The Canadian dollar is steady in Friday trade, after sustaining considerable losses a day earlier. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.2118, up 0.11% on the day. The US dollar was broadly higher on Thursday, as the Fed surprised the markets when it announced that it will begin to scale back its portfolio. The Fed ended its purchase of...
The New Zealand dollar continues to head higher this week. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.7244, up 0.37% on the day. It has been a strong start to the week for the New Zealand dollar, which is up 0.95%. The US dollar is once again struggling against the major currencies. Inflation surged in April, which led to speculation that the Fed...
The British pound touched a 3-month high earlier on Tuesday, when GBP/USD reached a high of 1.4220. In North American trade, the pair is trading at 1.4200, up 0.49% on the day. The pound received a lift from positive UK employment numbers, which were released earlier in the day. The unemployment rate for March dipped to 4.8%, down from 4.9% and a 6-month low. The...
The Australian dollar is down slightly in the Wednesday session. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7747, down 0.27% on the day. Australian CPI posted a gain of 0.6% in the first quarter of the year, down from 0.9% in Q4 of 2020. The read was certainly respectable, but underperformed, as the estimate stood at 0.9%. Trimmed CPI, which excludes...
Not only failures to cross the support-turned-resistance line during the previous week’s bounce but bearish MACD and weak RSI, not oversold, also favors EURUSD bears as global markets prepare for the Fed decision on Wednesday. However, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of November 2020 to January 2021 upside, around 1.1885, offers immediate support to the quote before...
Price action suggest a favourable RR for trail target of life high slow and steady
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Despite battling with 200-HMA, gold stays inside a bullish chart formation on a key day. Also favoring the metal buyers is a one-week-old rising trend line and likely US dollar weakness due to the expected dovish comments from the US Federal Reserve. However, sustained trading beyond $1,855 becomes necessary for the bulls to target $1,875 and then head towards the...
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Inflation is a tough one to get your head around, and QE, MMT and fiscal spending is popular terms these days. I will try to connect the dots short and sharp in two posts. I’ll use gold as an inflation metric, i.e. higher gold price equals higher inflation. First, "inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon", Milton Friedman once said. There are...
The yield curve has been recently uninverted, maybe due to Fed's short-term buying program.
VIX has fallen back to retest its breakout level. The structure is similar to March-June 2016. Will history repeat ahead of FED decision?