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Fibonacci Retracement

XAUUSD – Weekly outlookXAUUSD – Weekly outlook: structure points towards 4,580 as long as bulls hold the line Brian – Favouring buy-the-dip setups while price holds above 3,996 1. Market overview – triangle break and trend confirmation On the daily chart, gold has finally broken out of the long consolidation triangle, with Friday’s candle closing cleanly above the descending trendline that has capped price for weeks. For me, this breakout is the first proper confirmation that the primary bullish trend is resuming. The next major resistance on the chart sits around 4,246 – a key level I’m watching as a trend-confirmation line. If price can break and hold above 4,246, the path towards the higher zone around 4,580 opens up, in line with the Fibonacci extension drawn on the chart. In short: the structure into next week is bullish, with pullbacks seen as opportunities to position for a potential move towards new highs. 2. Technical structure – from breakout to extension targets The breakout from the triangle comes after a sequence of higher lows bouncing off the rising trendline, indicating accumulation rather than distribution. Below price, we have demand zones clustered around the 4,110 trendline area and deeper supports near 4,040 and 3,920. Above price, the roadmap is fairly clear: First, a test of 4,246 (local resistance & former supply). Then the ATH / prior high region around 4,360–4,380. Finally, the Fibonacci 1.618 extension projects into the 4,560–4,580 zone, which is my medium-term upside objective if bulls can maintain control. As long as daily structure keeps printing higher highs and higher lows and price stays above the key invalidation at 3,996, I will continue to treat gold as buy-on-dip rather than looking for major tops. 3. Key zones & trading ideas for next week I’m not treating this as a signal service, but here’s how I’m mapping the chart for my own trading: Primary idea – Buy the dip into trendline / support Watch zone: around the rising trendline near 4,110. If price pulls back into this area early in the week and shows a clear rejection on H4/D1 (wick rejections, bullish engulfing etc.), I’ll be interested in building long positions. Upside path: First objective: 4,246 – trend-confirmation resistance. If broken and retested from above, the next leg could extend towards 4,360–4,380. Extension target: 4,560–4,580 in line with the 1.618 Fibonacci projection. Secondary idea – Using Fibonacci zones on break above 4,246 If gold breaks and holds above 4,246, the Fibonacci zones between roughly 4,360 and 4,580 become interesting for scaling in / managing positions: Partial profits or tight trailing stops can be considered as we approach 4,360–4,380. Any healthy corrective pullback from that region that respects the rising structure could still offer add-on entries with the 4,580 zone as a medium-term target. Invalidation: A daily close below 3,996 would seriously damage this bullish structure and force me to reassess. Below that, I would step aside and wait for a new pattern rather than trying to force the long idea. 4. Fundamental backdrop – why gold still has a bid From a macro point of view, gold is navigating a mix of: Tariff and trade tensions, which keep hedging demand alive as investors look for protection against policy shocks. Ongoing geopolitical risks and conflict, supporting gold’s role as a classic safe-haven asset. A late-cycle interest-rate environment, where markets are increasingly focused on when and how aggressively central banks will adjust policy after a period of elevated rates and liquidity distortions. This combination tends to limit the downside for gold: even when we see corrections, dip-buyers are never too far away, especially when the technical structure is aligned with the macro story. 5. Strategy & risk management Into next week, my bias is clear: structure is bullish above 3,996, so I prefer buying pullbacks rather than trying to short into strength. The trendline around 4,110 is my first area of interest for fresh longs; anything closer to 4,040–4,000 (if we see a deeper flush) would be considered an even better price, provided the daily structure doesn’t break. As always, position sizing and stop placement are key – one good weekly move is far more valuable than several emotional entries trying to catch every candle. What do you reckon – does this breakout have enough fuel to take us towards 4,580, or do you see a deeper correction setting up first? Feel free to share your view in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
FVG Retracement With EMA, RSI & Fib Confluence📈 Bitcoin Chart – FVG Retracement With EMA, RSI & Fib Confluence in a Bearish Market Structure This chart showcases a sustained bearish sequence on BTC, defined by a clean continuation of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). Throughout this decline, multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed both locally and at higher levels — each created by strong institutional sell-side displacement. As price trends downward, these unmitigated FVGs above the market consistently act as magnet zones:price retraces into previous inefficiencies, rebalances them, and resumes the dominant bearish trend. In the current setup, the integration of FVGs + Fibonacci Retracement(Point A to B) + EMA Levels + RSI Momentum provides a highly structured roadmap for anticipating retracements and continuation points. The most significant imbalance sits near the major Fib retracement zone and under key EMAs — making it the highest-probability reaction area. Secondary FVGs below it may still induce a bounce, but carry lower structural relevance. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 📊 Key Observations 1️⃣ Prior FVG Mitigation A previously formed FVG under the EMA was cleanly filled, followed by immediate downside continuation. This confirms bearish order-flow control and validates the role of FVGs as efficient retracement targets in a downtrend. 2️⃣ High-Priority FVG (Primary Zone) The upper FVG holds the strongest confluence: Created by strong displacement Sits below the EMA50 Aligns with the 38.2%–61.8% Fib retracement zone This cluster makes it the most likely zone for a meaningful bearish rejection if price retraces into it. 3️⃣ Secondary FVG Reaction Zone A lower FVG also exists beneath the main zone. Although it can cause a minor corrective bounce, it formed during a smaller move and does not align with the key trend or Fib levels — giving it lower probability. 4️⃣ RSI Momentum Context RSI remains below 50, confirming bearish momentum. When RSI stays under mid-line, bearish FVG reactions tend to be more reliable and continuation setups form cleanly. 5️⃣ Structural Context The broader structure remains decisively bearish as long as price trades below the EMAs and below the major upper FVG. Retracements into these zones are more likely to serve as rebalancing moves rather than genuine reversal attempts. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 📊 Chart Explanation Symbol → BTCUSDT Timeframe → 1D This visualization illustrates how Smart Money Concepts apply cleanly during strong trending conditions: A clear LH–LL downtrend Several historical FVGs acting as retracement magnets A previously mitigated FVG confirming bearish control A high-confluence FVG aligned with EMAs and Fib levels A secondary imbalance that can still induce short-term reactions RSI showing momentum remains bearish Together, these elements outline a textbook sequence: displacement → inefficiency → retracement → rebalancing → continuation. Price remains under firm bearish control unless it breaks above the upper FVG with conviction. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 📘 Using Fib Retracement, EMA50, and RSI With FVGs (Bullish + Bearish) 🔹 1. Fibonacci Retracement + FVG In a downtrend, draw Fib from swing high → low; in an uptrend, draw low → high The 38.2%–61.8% zone is the prime retracement area in both directions. If an FVG forms or sits inside this Fib zone, it becomes a high-probability reaction point (bearish rejection in downtrend, bullish bounce in uptrend). 🔹 2. EMA50 + FVG In a bearish trend, price and FVGs forming below EMA50 act as stronger bearish retracement zones. In a bullish trend, price and FVGs forming above EMA50 act as stronger bullish retracement zones. EMA50 acts as a mean reversion point where price often returns to rebalance before continuation. 🔹 3. RSI + FVG RSI below 50 → bearish momentum → bearish FVG reactions are more reliable. RSI above 50 → bullish momentum → bullish FVG reactions are more reliable. If RSI rises from oversold (or falls from overbought), it often signals a retracement phase toward nearby FVGs. 🔹 4. Combined Logic (Works for Bullish and Bearish) Displacement creates an FVG (inefficiency). Price retraces into the 38–61% Fib zone. Retracement taps EMA50 or stays on the correct side of EMA50 (below for bearish, above for bullish). RSI confirms momentum (below 50 for bearish continuation, above 50 for bullish continuation). Price rejects from the FVG and continues the trend. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ ✅ Summary Market structure remains bearish with consistent LHs and LLs. A previously filled FVG under the EMA validated the continuation move. The upper FVG is the highest-strength level due to EMA + Fib + displacement confluence. A lower FVG exists but carries reduced importance. RSI below 50 reinforces bearish momentum and reliability of bearish FVG reactions. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer 📘 For educational purposes only. 🙅 Not SEBI registered. ❌ Not investment advice. 🧠 Smart-Money-Concepts explanation only.
Short
by MarketAlgoBot
3
Possibility Due To Weak TrendTrend Started Became Weak I already for daytime frame this 4h time frame channel breakdown already happened may take support from fib level 0.6 but possible to maybe price come to 0.7 level easily. Reverse Scenario: Break his channel high price level 🧠 Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research) ⚖️ This is not financial advice or suggestion 👉 “Risk Is Real 💸 Stay Practical🚀” 💬 Please feel free to ask any questions (It's Free) BINANCE:STRKUSDT
CRYPTO:STRKSUSDShort
by Jatin109
Symmetrical Triangle Structure & Key EquilibriumEditorial Insights - Symmetrical triangles signal a balanced tug-of-war between buyers and sellers; this compression, as mapped here, often precedes significant expansions in volume and volatility. - The triangular structure’s edges—CT (red) and trendline (green)—have been tested repeatedly over months, reflecting both supply absorption and demand resilience. - The hidden white line adds a subtle layer of convergence, useful for traders identifying areas of potential liquidity concentration. - The yellow 50% Fibonacci level frames the equilibrium for this market phase, offering a snapshot of price discovery dynamics within the triangle. - Price positioning relative to all these lines is best seen as a way to monitor evolving order flow and market intent, without any explicit forecasting or directional bias. Key Levels & Reference - CT (Red): Major supply test points. - Trendline (Green): Demand and higher low sequence. - Hidden Line (White): Structural convergence not visibly obvious but influential. - Fibonacci 50% (Yellow): Core equilibrium reflecting price agreement zone. This post is for educational and analytical purposes, respecting the principle that all information is a visual observation—not a prediction or directional signal, but a live structure map to enrich your pattern playbook.
NSE:BHELLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
Sobha- A breakout of consolidation is on cardsRealty sector has been performing well post Q2 results announcements. Sobha has posted stellar Q2 numbers but it might be one off quarter as well. Technically, stock is looking ripe for a good flag breakout of consolidation. We might soon see a breakout coming but sustainment of breakout is crucial for further upmove. Levels are mentioned on chart. We can see upside of more than 50% if breakout sustains. You can also check other realty sector stocks and see if any similar pattern is visible. Please note that I am just NISM certified RA and not SEBI registered. This analysis is not a recommendation but has been shared for educational purposes only.
NSE:SOBHALong
by chartistamey
3
Bullish Fibonacci Retracement Setup📈 Bullish Fibonacci Retracement Setup Intro The chart illustrates a classic Bullish Fibonacci Retracement structure — highlighting key swing points, retracement levels, and potential continuation zones. Price action shows a healthy pullback within a larger uptrend, suggesting accumulation before a possible breakout move. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 🟩 Chart Overview • Point A → Represents the Swing Low , marking the starting point of the current upward move. • Point B → Denotes the Swing High , where price faced resistance before retracing. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 📊 Key Fibonacci Levels 1️⃣ Validation Line (78.60%) — Entry is confirmed when any two consecutive candles close above this level, signaling a strong breakout and bullish continuation. 2️⃣ Minimum Retracement (61.80%) — This level has been achieved, and two candles have successfully closed below it, confirming a valid retracement phase within the Fibonacci structure. 3️⃣ Devalidation Line (38.20%) — If any two candles close below this level, the Fibonacci setup becomes invalid. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 🎯 Trail Levels Trail Levels → • Stop-loss will trail two levels below the current active level. • Each target level is confirmed only when two consecutive candles close above it successfully . ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ ✅ Summary • Price is retracing within a strong bullish trend. • A close above the 78.6% Validation Line confirms continuation. • Structure remains valid as long as price holds above the 38.2% Devalidation Line. • Trail progressively with momentum as higher targets activate. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer: 📘 For educational purposes only. 🙅 Not SEBI registered. ❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation. 🧠 Purely a learning resource. 📊 Not Financial Advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by MarketAlgoBot
ChennaiPetro: Wedge & Trendline BO with 61.8%, Chart of the WeekNSE:CHENNPETRO Explosive Breakout: Why This Refinery Stock Could Rally Another 30% After Its Q2 Turnaround. This PSU Refinery Stock Broke Through ₹979 Levels - Here's What Traders Need to Know About the Next Move. Let's Analyse in our Chart of the Week Below. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: Trend Structure and Momentum: - The stock experienced a prolonged uptrend from March 2023 to July 2024, rallying from base levels around ₹433 to a peak of ₹1,275, representing approximately 195% appreciation - Post the July 2024 peak, the stock entered a corrective phase characterised by lower highs and consolidation - Recent price action shows a breakout above the descending cyan trendline that had been capping rallies since mid-2024 - Current price of ₹979.35 (as of October 31, 2025) represents a 26.80% gain, indicating strong buying momentum - The stock is trading above all key Fibonacci retracement levels, having reclaimed the 61.8% level at approximately ₹953 Candlestick Patterns and Formations: - The most recent candle shows a strong bullish close with a substantial body, indicating conviction in the upward move - The chart displays a rising wedge/descending channel pattern that was broken decisively in recent sessions - Prior consolidation between ₹700-₹850 formed a re-accumulation base, which has now been breached to the upside - The breakout candle demonstrates strong price and volume expansion, a classic sign of institutional participation Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Characteristics: - Recent volume surge to 90.39 million shares significantly exceeds the average volume of 13.46 million, representing approximately 6.7x normal trading activity - The volume spike coincides with the price breakout, validating the move as genuine rather than a false breakout - Historical volume analysis shows similar spikes during major trend reversals, particularly during the March 2023 base breakout - Volume expansion without corresponding price weakness suggests strong demand absorption at current levels Volume-Price Relationship: - The volume profile indicates heavy accumulation in the ₹700-₹800 zone, which now serves as a critical support cluster - Recent sessions show sustained above-average volume, suggesting institutional interest rather than retail speculation - The volume pattern aligns with a classic "breakout with expansion" scenario, increasing the probability of trend continuation Support and Resistance Levels: Key Support Zones: - Primary Support (S1): ₹854 - This represents the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and previous consolidation high - Secondary Support (S2): ₹754 - The 0.382 Fibonacci level and recent breakout point from the descending trendline - Critical Support (S3): ₹631 - The 0.236 Fibonacci level and long-term base support at ₹433-₹450 zone - The grey trendline originating from the 2024 lows provides dynamic support, currently positioned around ₹720 Key Resistance Zones: - Immediate Resistance (R1): ₹1,094 - The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level - Major Resistance (R2): ₹1,275 - The all-time high achieved in July 2024 and psychological resistance - Extended Resistance (R3): ₹1,400-₹1,500 - Projected based on measured move from the consolidation range Technical Patterns and Indicators: Chart Patterns: - Descending Channel Breakout: The stock has successfully breached the cyan-colored descending trendline that acted as resistance since July 2024 - Rising Wedge Resolution: The consolidation pattern between August and October 2025 has resolved to the upside - Base-on-Base Formation: The ₹433 level established in early 2024 served as the foundation for the subsequent rally, demonstrating strong long-term base support - Cup and Handle (Potential): If the stock consolidates between ₹950-₹1,050 and then breaks out, it could form a cup and handle pattern projecting toward ₹1,400+ Fibonacci Analysis: - The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at ₹953 has been convincingly reclaimed, suggesting the corrective phase may be complete - Golden ratio support held perfectly during the September-October consolidation - The next Fibonacci target at 0.786 (₹1,094) represents the immediate upside objective - Fibonacci extension levels project Upmove at ₹1,350 (1.272 extension) and ₹1,500 (1.618 extension) if the rally extends Risk Factors and Invalidation Levels: - A close below ₹920 would signal a potential false breakout - Sustained trading below ₹850 would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest resumption of the downtrend - Weekly close below the broken trendline (currently around ₹940) would be a bearish reversal signal - Failure to maintain above 61.8% Fibonacci retracement could trigger another corrective leg Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop: Company Fundamentals: - Chennai Petroleum Corporation (CPCL) reported Q2 FY26 revenue of ₹16,327 crore with profit after tax of ₹719 crore - The company achieved a crude throughput of 3.013 million metric tonnes (MMT) with a Gross Refining Margin (GRM) of $9.04 per barrel in Q2 FY26 - However, Q1 FY26 saw challenges with a net loss of ₹40 crore compared to a profit of ₹357 crore in Q1 FY25, primarily due to inventory losses and lower GRM of $3.22 per barrel - For H1 FY26, CPCL recorded net profit of ₹689.68 crore versus a net loss of ₹294.45 crore in H1 FY25, with average GRM at $6.17 per barrel - The company achieved a record crude throughput of 11.642 MMT with 111% capacity utilisation Business Operations and Product Portfolio: - CPCL is engaged in refining crude oil to produce various petroleum products, including LPG, Motor Spirit, Kerosene, Aviation Turbine Fuel, High Speed Diesel, Naphtha, Fuel Oil, and Bitumen - The company also produces speciality products like Paraffin Wax, Mineral Turpentine Oil, Hexane, and Petrochemical feedstocks - Most fuel products are marketed by the parent company, Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), while CPCL directly markets speciality products - In 2024, CPCL commissioned new infrastructure, including Pharma Grade Hexane production and Sustainable Aviation Fuel Financial Metrics and Valuation: - Market capitalisation stands at approximately ₹14,584 crore, with the company maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 35% - CPCL has demonstrated strong return on equity with a 3-year ROE of 31% and has reduced debt levels - Current price-to-earnings and other valuation metrics suggest the stock is reasonably valued considering sectoral challenges Sector Outlook and Industry Trends: - India's refining capacity increased to 258.1 MMTPA as of FY25, with domestic consumption at 239.2 MMTPA - India is expected to drive global oil demand growth, with consumption projected at 5.74 million barrels per day in 2025 and 5.99 million bpd in 2026 - The country plans to expand refining capacity to 309.5 MMTPA by 2028 - Refinery output has been strong, with manufacturing IIP for refined petroleum products rising 4.24% in June 2025, driven by auto-fuel demand growth of 7.9% year-on-year - However, refining margins are expected to fall below mid-cycle levels in FY25, indicating potential profitability challenges Opportunities and Challenges: Opportunities: - Downstream activities driven by refinery-petrochemical integration are projected to post the highest 5.2% CAGR through 2030 - Growing domestic demand for petroleum products with urbanisation and economic growth - Government initiatives supporting energy infrastructure development - Indian refiners have benefited from processing discounted Russian crude, generating significant margins Challenges: - Net profit declined for the last two quarters, with an average decrease of 108.5% per quarter, and revenue fell 14.1% per quarter - Volatile crude oil prices and fluctuating gross refining margins - India's domestic crude oil production has fallen 26.3% and natural gas by 24.1% during FY12-FY25, leading to increased import dependency - Environmental regulations and pressure to transition toward cleaner energy - Institutional investment in CPCL decreased by 37.83% over the past 30 days Competitive Position: - CPCL is a subsidiary of Indian Oil Corporation, providing strategic advantages in product marketing and distribution - The company competes with major refiners, including Reliance Industries, Bharat Petroleum, Hindustan Petroleum, and Mangalore Refinery - CPCL's core vision is to be the most admired Indian energy company, creating value through world-class performance and ethical governance - The company's location in South India provides strategic advantages for serving the region's growing energy needs Fundamental Risks: - The stock trades at reasonable valuations with potential upside to fair value estimates around ₹1,050 - Strong Q2 performance suggests earnings momentum is improving after a weak Q1 - Sectoral tailwinds from growing domestic demand support medium-term prospects - Key risks include GRM volatility, crude price fluctuations, and regulatory changes My 2 Cents: - CPCL presents a compelling technical setup following the breakout from a multi-month consolidation pattern - The combination of volume expansion, Fibonacci support, and trendline breach suggests potential for further upside - Risk management is critical given sectoral volatility; strict adherence to stop losses is recommended Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:CHENNPETROLong
by Karanshah137
9
GOLD | Is This the FINAL Short Setup Before the Next Move? Welcome Traders! Forget the noise — focus on structure and sentiment. Gold is holding firm near $3,950, but the macro backdrop just got tighter. The question now: Can demand strength beat Powell’s new hawkish tone? 1. Market Insight – Powell vs. Demand Two forces are pulling Gold in opposite directions: 🐻 Bearish Catalyst: Powell hinted that another rate cut in December is unlikely, and the Fed plans to continue balance sheet reduction — strengthening the USD and weighing on non-yielding assets like Gold. 🐂 Bullish Support: Persistent central bank demand and ETF inflows continue to provide a safety net, tightening overall Gold supply. 🎯 Outlook: Expect sideways compression before a potential breakout. We’re stalking the strategic Sell Zone to align with the bearish fundamentals. 📊 2. Structure Check – Where Bears Wait The market is approaching a major confluence zone: SELL LIMIT Zone: $4,057 — intersection of the descending trendline and key horizontal resistance. Immediate Support: $4,005 — target for the first leg down. 3. Action Plan – The Short Sniper Setup Entry: SELL LIMIT $4,057 Stop-Loss: just above the descending trendline TP1: $4,005 (short-term support retest) Extended Target: $3,938 if breakdown accelerat Powell’s hawkish tone is clear — but will bears finally take control from $4,057$, or will central bank demand defend the rally?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD (XAU/USD) — Calm Before the FOMC Storm Gold is currently consolidating above $3,950, signaling a pause in volatility as traders await the FOMC decision for the next directional move. 1️⃣ Macro Outlook & Core Bias – FOMC in Focus 🔑 Market Pause: After rebounding during the Asian session, Gold’s upside momentum remains limited. Market participants are cautious ahead of the Fed’s policy update. Headwinds: Renewed optimism on US–China trade and a slightly stronger USD are capping Gold’s advances. Game Plan: Stay tactical — identify scalp zones and prepare for a major breakout once the FOMC event unfolds. 2️⃣ Technical Setup – Descending Channel in Play 📉 Structure: Price action is holding above $3,950, but movement remains confined within a descending channel/flag. Bias: Short-term demand persists, yet the broader structure still favors bears. Preferred Setup: Watch for BUY scalps from lower demand zones toward the Fibo/channel resistance area. 3️⃣ Trading Plan – Precision & Patience 💰 🟩 BUY Scenario (Long Scalp) Buy Zone: $3,939.468 Strategy: Look for long scalps targeting the Fibo 0.5 resistance. Stop-Loss: Tight SL just below the $3,939 level. 🟥 SELL Scenario (Short Setup) Scalp Sell Zone: $4,015.646 (Fibo 0.5) → Short scalps targeting a retest of the channel midline. Main Sell Zone: $4,046.448 (Fibo 0.618 / Channel Ceiling) → Ideal entry for a continuation short, aligning with the overall bearish channel. 4️⃣ Trader’s Take 🚀 The FOMC decision will set the tone — Are you eyeing a bounce from $3,939, or waiting for the $4,046 rejection to ride the next wave down?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD DIP ALERT! Sniping the $3,89x FIBO Floor Ahead of FOMC!FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Quick Insight (H1/M30 Focus) Welcome Traders! Gold paused its sell-off near $4,065 as safe-haven demand returned pre-FOMC. Dovish Fed expectations are weakening the USD, setting the stage for a major rally. This is the final BUY ON DIPS setup! 🧠 INSIGHT & LOGIC Fundamental Anchor: Weak US inflation and strong expectations for a Fed rate cut are the key drivers limiting downside. Long-term bias is Bullish. Technical Focus: We are tracking the final deep correction to the $3,89x zone (Fibo 1.5 - 1.618 Extension). This is the ultimate technical floor for the ATH rally. Action Plan: WAIT for the price to hit this extreme zone and confirm reversal (H1/M30). 🎯 KEY ACTION ZONES 🔥 CRITICAL BUY: $3,89x region ($3,881.435$). Strategy: BUY on confirmation here. TP TARGET 1: $4,037.647 (Immediate Resistance). TP TARGET 2: $4,232.374 (Major Structural Resistance). SL MANDATE: Place SL safely below the 1.618 Fibo zone. Patience is key. Do NOT rush the entry! Is the $3,89x$ floor strong enough for the ATH rally? 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD RECOVERS: H1 Bounces at $4,150 – Sniping the Fibo SELL Zone🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: Weak USD & CPI Focus Drive Recovery Gold price gained some traction in early European trading on Wednesday, recovering above the $4,150 level. Primary Driver: The weaker US Dollar (USD) is currently supporting the price recovery. Mixed Forces: Easing US-China trade tensions are putting some pressure on Gold, but this is offset by Fed rate cut expectations and general market uncertainty, which should limit the downside. Key Event: Traders are keenly focused on the US CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation report for September this Friday. Any sign of hotter-than-expected US inflation could lift the USD and pressure Gold in the short term. Technical Bias: After the DOUBLE TOP DUMP and a +3000 PIPS move down, the market is now attempting a corrective rally. Our strategy is to SELL the strong Fibo/Volume resistance (Sell on Rally) before looking for the next BUY zone. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Based on the recent major market reversal from the Double Top and the current corrective bounce (Referencing image_43ce7f.png), we have our strategic levels: 1. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES): These are the primary resistance zones for executing SELL trades, anticipating the continuation of the post-dump correction: REACTION FIBO 0.5 ZONE - SELL ZONE 4190 - 4200: This is the first critical resistance zone (0.5 Fibo retracement) to look for a Short entry. REACTION FIBO - SELL ZONE BIG VOLUME for SELL SIDE 4300 - 4310: This is the major supply/liquidity zone and the ultimate target for the current corrective rally. 2. Strategic BUY Zone (ORDER BUY REACT ZONE): This is the key support area where the previous dump found temporary relief, which we use for stop-loss or potential re-entry: ORDER BUY ZONE 4100 - 4090: This is the immediate support zone formed after the dump, which is currently holding the price. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize SELL on Rally): Wait for the corrective bounce to reach the REACTION FIBO 0.5 ZONE - SELL ZONE 4190 - 4200. Short Entry: Execute the SELL entry upon confirmed reversal candles (H1/M30/M15) in the 4190 - 4200 zone. Targets (TP): Aim to retest the recent low and the LIQUIDITY PUMP area. Contingency BUY: If price breaks decisively above 4200, the rally may extend to the BIG VOLUME SELL ZONE 4300 - 4310. ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Management: Place Stop Loss (SL) above the 4200 zone for the short entry. Watch the US CPI report on Friday closely, as inflation data could cause extreme volatility. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD Accumulates Above $4200 Which Fibo React Zone Fires First ?🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: The Calm Before the Geopolitical Storm Gold is trading above the psychological $4,200 mark but struggled to gain meaningful traction on Monday due to mixed forces. Driving Forces: Increased geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainty act as tailwinds for the safe-haven asset. USD Weakness: Expectations for more Fed rate cuts and the US government shutdown weaken the USD, providing support for XAU/USD. Traders have fully priced in two more rate cuts this year, which continues to pressure the US Dollar. Technical Outlook: Gold is currently consolidating above $4,200, signaling that the bullish structure remains intact. We are now watching for confirmation at key Fibo levels before the next breakout. 📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels Our core strategy is to BUY ON DIPS at the identified Fibo Reaction Zones and look for short-term Sells only as resistance tests (Referencing image_58f686.png). 1. Strategic BUY Zones (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE): These are the crucial support zones for initiating Long entries: Reaction Fibo Buy Zone 4230 - 422x. This is the immediate, primary support zone where we anticipate the first bounce. Big Volume For The BUY Side 4205 - 4200. This is the major demand zone and the ultimate pullback point to catch the large growth wave. 2. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES): These are high-volume resistance areas for potential Take Profit (TP) or short-term Scalp Sells: Reaction Fibo Sell Zone 4280 - 4285. The first key resistance level where the price may encounter selling pressure. Reaction Fibo Sell Zone 4315 - 4320. The next significant resistance and TP level. Big Volume For The Sell Side 4356 - 4360. The major supply and long-term TP target. 📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN Primary Action (Prioritize CHỜ ĐỢI BUY): The market is consolidating. Do NOT FOMO. Patiently wait for the price to correct to the Reaction Fibo Buy Zone 4230 - 422x. Long Entry: Upon confirmation (H1/M30/M15 reversal candles) at the BUY Zones, confidently activate the Long (BUY) entry. Targets (TP): Aim for the successive SELL Zones: 428x, 431x, and the ultimate target at 4356 - 4360. ⚠️ Risk Warning Risk Management: Always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the nearest active BUY ZONE. Monitor trade talks closely as they could trigger sharp volatility. Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD: 419x FIBO! READY FOR 426x TARGET.Gold is surging near $4,210, backed by Fed rate cut expectations and ongoing trade tensions. The long-term structure is rock-solid Bullish. Our plan is simple: WAIT and BUY the intelligent pullback! 🎯 THE BUY REACT ZONES (H1) We are prioritizing Longs and patiently waiting for the price to hit the exact FIBO RETRACE levels. 1. PRIME BUY ENTRY (The Sweet Spot): Zone: 4194 - 4190 (Our key Fibo Retrace Buy Zone). Action: Look for the price to correct here. Execute a BUY (Long) upon confirmed H1/M30 candle reversal signals. 2. DEEPER STRATEGIC BUY: Zone: 4,145.676 (Our major Order BUY zone). Zone 2: 4124 - 4120 (Fibo Extension Buy Zone). Action: If the first zone fails, be ready to load up at these deeper accumulation points. 3. TAKE PROFIT TARGET: Target: 4264 - 4268 (The Fibo Extension Sell Zone). AD Note: Sells are only for quick scalps; we wait for the major Fibo reaction at 426x. ⚠️ Immediate Focus: WAIT for the 419x retest. Discipline is key to catching this trend continuation!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD AT ATH! $4,200 BATTLE – Which Fibo Zone Fires First?Gold is fiercely battling the $4,200 mark after hitting a new All-Time High near $4,220. Bulls are pausing, but macro risks (geopolitics, trade war warnings) keep the trend Long. Our focus: Sniping the Reaction Zones. 🎯 THE FIBO ACTION ZONES (H1/M30) 1. STRATEGIC BUY ZONE (Optimal Long Entry): Zone 1: 4162 - 4158 (The crucial Fibo Retest/0.618 support). Zone 2: 4144 - 4140 (Deeper strong support). Action: Wait for the pullback into 4162 - 4158 and execute a BUY upon bullish confirmation. 2. SELL/TP ZONES (Profit Taking & Resistance): TP Target 1: 4208 - 4212 (Immediate Fibo Resistance). TP Target 2: 4225 - 4250 (Fibo Extension 1.5 - 1.618). Action: Look for SCALP SELL opportunities or take profits (TP) here if price rejects these levels. 📈 TODAY'S MOVE: Patience for the 416x retest. Join the Long trend aggressively only after a solid bounce confirmation! ⚠️ Risk Management: Keep SL tight below your chosen BUY Zone. Discipline over FOMO!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD CRASH ALERT: +60 PRICES DUMP! Waiting for the Ultimate Fibo React BUY Zone. FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Emergency Action Plan Gold just suffered a brutal 60-point plunge from 416x to 411x, triggered by mounting geopolitical tensions. The market is volatile, and deep correction is highly likely. We must trade smart, not emotionally. 🎯 EMERGENCY ACTION ZONES (H1/M30) Avoid chasing! We only trade when price hits our calculated FIBO REACTION ZONES. 1. SCALP SELL RETRACEMENT: Zone 1 (High): Watch the 407x area (4,077.605). Zone 2 (Key Fibo Resistance): The 405x area (4,048.493). Action: If price bounces back into either zone, look for strong bearish rejection to execute a SCALP SELL. 2. CRITICAL BUY REACT ZONE (The Lifeline): Zone: We are waiting for the AD's updated FIBO REACTION zones that conform to the new deep trend. Action: DO NOT BUY BLINDLY. Only enter a Long when the price reaches these deeper support levels and gives a strong, confirmed BUY REACT signal. ⚠️ Immediate Focus: OBSERVE & WAIT. The AD will provide continuous updates. Manage risk strictly—this volatility demands discipline!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Symmetrical Triangle & Parallel Channel CoexistenceThis weekly chart of Tara Chand Infralogistic Solutions Ltd. serves as a case study in identifying and analyzing overlapping price action structures in 3 Main Points - 1) The chart highlights a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern, with one white line representing the counter-trendline (CT) and another as the primary trendline (T), illustrating the process of volatility contraction. 2) Overlaid within the triangle, a clearly marked parallel channel (in pink) frames the intermediate price swings during the recent consolidation. The channel illustrates rotational movement within the broader consolidation envelope, mapping the climb and retracement cycles more granularly. 3) Volume, Fibonacci retracement levels, and the shaded value area further reinforce the chart’s impartial focus on structure, without implying directionality. This example serves as a valuable reference for recognizing multi-pattern contexts and appreciating how classical patterns—when viewed together—help decode complex phases of price organization. - Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider seeking advice from a qualified financial advisor, and trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
NSE:TARACHANDLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
Sniping the Next BUY Zone for Maximum Gains.The sentiment is clear: Bulls are running the show, preparing for potentially an eighth consecutive weekly gain. Our strategy is simple—wait for the intelligent retest to join the momentum. 🎯 THE TARGET ZONES (M30/H1) We're focusing on the two most crucial zones derived from Fibo React Logic: 1. PRIME BUY ENTRY (The Sweet Spot): Zone: 4018 - 4014 (Our key Fibo Retest Zone). Action: Wait for Gold to pull back to this area. Execute a BUY (Long) only upon confirmed M30/H1 candle rejection (e.g., Bullish Engulfing/Pin Bar). 2. TAKE PROFIT TARGET (The Next Peak): Zone: 4094 - 4098 (Fibo Extension/SELL React Zone). Action: This is the primary TP for our Long entries, representing the next major target for the buyers. 📈 TRADING SCENARIO Strategy: Patience is key. Let the market retrace to 4018 - 4014. Once confirmation hits, ride the wave up to 4094 - 4098. 🚨 Risk Alert: Be disciplined with your Stop Loss. Maintain strict risk management, especially if the price fails to hold the 4018 - 4014 zone. Let's trade with precision today!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
$4,000 RECLAIMED! Targeting Fibo Extremes on H4.The big picture is clear: Gold has strongly pushed past the $4,000 mark, driven by major safe-haven demand amidst US-China tensions. Buyers are pushing for an eighth straight weekly gain! But where are the high-probability zones? 🔑 THE FRANCI$$_FIBOMATRIX PLAN (H4) We're keying in on two critical Fibo Reaction Zones for the perfect entry: 1. SELL ZONE (Correction/Reversal Focus): Zone 1 (FIBO): 402x - 403x (4,025.424 - 4,032.844). Action: Look for H1/H4 candle rejection here to initiate a corrective short trade. Zone 2 (Extension): 411x - 412x (4,115.422 - 4,128.811). Action: The ultimate target if momentum holds; watch this for the major supply zone. 2. BUY ZONE (Trend Continuation): The Sweet Spot: 392x - 389x (3,907.030 - 3,895.674). This is our key Liquidity React Fibo Buy Zone. Action: Wait for the deep pullback here, confirm with bullish signals, and join the main trend with a target back to the 402x/411x range. 🚨 Critical Risk Alert: A decisive weekly close below $3,962 signals a high risk of deep correction towards $3,900. Manage your Longs tightly below this level!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD: The Dollar Blinks! Time to 'Pay' at the 0.618 Fibo (4018) The Macro Play: USD Retreat Sets the Stage for Gold's Counter-Attack The precious metal is catching a bid as the US Dollar softens after hitting its recent highs. The fundamental backdrop is keeping Gold buoyant: Fed Pivot Narrative: Despite the hawkish undertones in the last FOMC meeting minutes, the market's conviction in two potential Fed rate cuts by year-end remains a powerful tailwind, making non-yielding Gold more attractive. Geopolitical Fog: While the short-term truce news caused a minor retreat, the overarching safe-haven demand driven by global tensions and the looming US government funding crisis provides critical floor support. Bottom Line: Gold is navigating a choppy consolidation phase. Short-term pressure exists, but the Long-Term Macro Thesis favors a cautious recovery. 📊 The MatrixFibo PTKT: SCALP Zones Are Active! Price action shows clear reaction points within the recent sharp move lower. Our plan is to Trade the Reactions at these high-probability confluence zones. 1️⃣ The Aggressive SELL Zone (SELL SCALP Setup) We are looking for the market to exhaust its short-term recovery rally at major resistance levels. Primary SELL ZONE: 3997 - 4000 (0.5 Fibo Level): This area is critical psychological resistance and the 50% retracement of the latest impulse down. PLAN: Await a failed breakout or clear bearish rejection signal (Pinbar, Bearish Engulfing) at 3997 - 4000. TARGET: The move should aim to clear the lows, heading straight for 3915 - 3910. The Ultimate SELL Reversal: 4014 - 4018 (0.618 Fibo Downtrend Zone): This is the REACTION FIBO 0.618 DOWNTREND H1 ZONE. This level is our strongest strategic SELL point if the bounce extends deeper. 2️⃣ The Key BUY Zone (BUY SCALP Setup) We treat this area as the final line of defense for the current uptrend structure. Key Support & BUY SCALP REACT ZONE: 3915 - 3910: This zone is a Major Confluence point: Key Support, the 0.786 Fibo, and the Uptrend Channel Bottom. PLAN: Look for strong buying pressure to emerge as price tests 3915 - 3910. Requires a solid Bullish Price Action Confirmation. TARGET: A successful bounce targets the liquidity back at 3997 - 4000. 🛑 FranCis MatrixFibo Risk Policy Volatility Alert: Expect large swings around US data and Fed commentary. NEVER TRADE WITHOUT A HARD STOP LOSS (SL) on SCALPS. Strategy Focus: The market is range-bound. Stick to a Two-Sided Scalping Plan defined by the identified price levels. Discipline: Only enter trades at or with clear confirmation from the React Zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD UPDATE – Bulls Defend $4,000 Ahead of Powell’s SpeechGold continues to hold firm above the key $4,000 psychological level, even after a sharp correction from the all-time high near $4,059. The market’s focus now shifts to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, which could set the tone for the next directional move. Despite the recent dip, the overall structure remains bullish, and the FiboMatrix setup still signals that buyers are not out of the game yet. Technical Structure (H1 – FiboMatrix View) Support Zone (BUY Setup): 4010 – 4012 → Retest of breakout trendline + Fibo 0.618 reaction zone. Strong intraday base where liquidity may reload for another bullish leg. Reaction Buy Zone: 402x → Potential confirmation area if price reacts positively. Resistance Zone (ATH): 4060 → Previous intraday top, acting as the first major barrier before retesting 408x. SELL Reaction Zone: 4084 – 4086 → Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 expansion zone, potential scalp short zone with tight stop above 4090. 🎯 Trading Plan (Francis Strategy) ✅ BUY Setup: Entry: 4010 – 402x (wait for confirmation). TP1: 4060 TP2: 4084 SL: Below 3996 ⚠️ SELL Setup (Short-term scalp): Entry: 4084 – 4086 (if rejection forms). Target: 4040 → 4020 SL: Above 4096 🔑 Francis Outlook Gold’s short-term correction looks more like a controlled retracement than a trend reversal. As long as the price holds above the $4,000 handle, the bullish bias stays intact. 👉 Expect potential consolidation before Powell’s remarks, followed by a sharp reaction depending on the tone of his speech. A clean breakout above 4060 – 4086 will open the path toward $4,100+ and new ATH targets. 🚀 Trend Bias: Bullish above 4010 – Buy the Dip, Sell only at Fibo extremes with confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD XAU/USD – Intraday Plan | Bulls Targeting 4,000$Gold has once again proven its safe-haven dominance, pushing close to 3,980$ during the Asian session. Despite USD fluctuations and global market risk-on vibes, buyers remain firmly in control. The psychological milestone of 4,000$ is now directly in focus. 🔎 Technical Snapshot (M30) Trend remains bullish, supported by the Fibo channel. Dip-buying pressure continues to dominate intraday price action. Sellers will only gain short-term control near the 3988 – 4000$ resistance zone. 🔑 Key Trading Levels BUY Zone (Fibo 0.618): 395x → Ideal intraday demand. Support Zone: 393x → Must hold for bullish structure. Immediate Resistance: 397x → Current ATH zone. SELL Reaction Zone: 3988 – 4000$ → Potential short scalp. Major Resistance: 4000 – 4006$ → Strong psychological wall. 📌 Trading Plan (FranCi$$ Style) ✅ BUY on Dips Entry: 395x – 393x Targets: 3975 → 3988 → 4000$ Stop Loss: Below 392x ⚡ SELL Scalp Entry: 3988 – 4000$ Targets: 3970 → 3950$ Stop Loss: Above 4015$ 🎯 Final Take Gold’s path remains upward, but the 4000$ barrier is where bulls meet the biggest challenge. Smart traders will look to buy dips for continuation and use scalp sells only at strong rejection zones. 🔥 Stay tuned with FranCi$$ for realtime intraday updates – precision signals, scalping setups, and golden opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo