Gold Trading Plan | Limited Downside, Key Fibo Zones in Play🌍 Market Context
Gold is facing renewed selling pressure after yesterday’s bounce from the $3,820 area.
Risk-on sentiment and fresh USD buying are weighing on XAU/USD.
However, expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year and geopolitical tensions remain supportive, limiting deeper downside moves.
📊 Technical Analysis – Fibo Matrix Setup
🔴 SELL Reaction Zones
386x – 388x (Fibo retracement 0.5 – 0.618 + 0.786 confluence)
→ Intraday SELL scalp zone with strong rejection probability.
3881 – 3892 (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 downtrend extension)
→ Key SELL liquidity zone for deeper rejection.
🟢 BUY Support Zones
3820 – 3819 (short-term recovery base) → Initial intraday support.
3795 – 3793 (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 recovery zone) → Major liquidity pocket, ideal for BUY setups if tested.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup
Entry: 386x – 388x (watch rejection candlesticks).
Target: 3820 → 3795.
Stop Loss: Above 3892.
2️⃣ BUY Setup
Entry: 3795 – 3793 with bullish confirmation.
Target: 3860 → 3880.
Stop Loss: Below 3785.
⚡ Key Notes
USD momentum is crucial – if dollar strength continues, Gold may retest 379x zones.
Fed’s rate cut outlook and geopolitical headlines remain the “floor” for Gold.
Stick to clear Fibo reaction zones for best risk-to-reward setups.
💬 Community Insight:
Do you expect Gold to hold 3820 before bouncing, or will we see a flush into 379x liquidity?
Drop your setups below 👇
Fibonacci Retracement
XAUUSD – Gold Smashes to New ATH: Bulls in Full Control📊 Market Overview
Gold has surged into uncharted territory, breaking through to a fresh All-Time High (ATH). The earlier dip toward 3,800 USD acted as nothing more than a springboard, allowing buyers to reload before launching this powerful breakout.
Safe-haven demand continues to fuel the rally, as concerns over a potential US government shutdown and expectations of more Fed rate cuts strengthen bullish momentum.
📍 Crucial Levels to Watch
🔴 SELL Reaction Zone
3,911 – 3,915 (Liquidity Resistance) → Potential short-term ceiling, profit-taking may appear here.
🟢 BUY Reaction Zones
3,830 – 3,820 (Fibo Support) → First pullback level for intraday buyers.
3,808 – 3,810 → Secondary support zone for a deeper correction.
3,747 – 3,752 (Liquidity BUY Zone) → Stronger base for swing buyers.
🎯 Trading Setups
1️⃣ Buy the Dip (Primary Play)
Entry: 3,830 – 3,820, confirmation needed.
Targets: 3,900 → 3,915, extend toward 3,950+ if momentum remains strong.
Stop: Below 3,808.
2️⃣ Sell the Spike (Countertrend)
Entry: 3,911 – 3,915, only on visible rejection.
Targets: 3,871 → 3,830.
Stop: Above 3,922.
3️⃣ Swing Buy Opportunity
Entry: 3,752 – 3,747 (Fibo confluence).
Targets: 3,830 → 3,900.
Stop: Below 3,735.
⚡ Pro Tips
Trend bias = Strongly Bullish, prioritize long setups.
Countertrend shorts are tactical; keep stops tight.
Headlines from the US political scene and Fed could trigger extra volatility at highs.
💬 Discussion
Will gold extend to 3,950 – 4,000 USD, or is a sharp pullback around the corner? Drop your views and charts below 👇
XAUUSD Daily Plan – Gold’s Pullback Before the Next Leg Higher📊 Market Overview
Gold has pulled back from its fresh record highs but the move looks more like healthy accumulation than a reversal. The 3,800 zone has acted as a strong support, absorbing selling pressure and keeping the broader bullish trend intact. Immediate rebounds confirm that buyers are still in control, preparing for the next breakout.
📍 Key Levels to Watch
🔴 SELL Reaction Zone
3,871 – 3,872 → First resistance level, possible short-term rejection.
3,915 – 3,920 (Fibo Liquidity Zone) → Stronger sell wall where profit-taking may appear.
🟢 BUY Zones
3,808 – 3,810 (Fibo 0.786 Support) → Important reaction zone for intraday buy setups.
3,747 – 3,752 (Fibo Liquidity Buy Zone) → Deep correction level, strong long-term demand area.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Setup
Entry: Buy near 3,808 – 3,810 on bullish candlestick confirmation.
Targets: 3,871 → 3,900+
Stop: Below 3,795
2️⃣ Deep Pullback Opportunity
Entry: 3,747 – 3,752 if price flushes lower.
Targets: 3,808 → 3,871
Stop: Below 3,735
3️⃣ Countertrend SELL Setup
Entry: 3,915 – 3,920 only with strong rejection.
Targets: 3,871 → 3,808
Stop: Above 3,928
⚡ Trading Notes
Gold remains in a strong bullish channel – selling should only be tactical and short-term.
Watch US political headlines and end-of-month flows, as they could trigger volatility.
Stick to defined Fibo zones for best risk-to-reward setups.
💬 Community Discussion
Do you think Gold will test 3,900+ this week or will we see a deeper correction first? Share your charts and ideas below 👇
XAUUSD – Gold Daily Plan | Sharp Drop, What’s Next?Gold printed a sudden 70+ point drop from 388x to 380x, leaving traders questioning:
– Was this a big player manipulation?
– Or simply institutional profit taking?
Key reaction zones will define if Gold holds above 3800 or dives deeper.
📍 Critical Levels
🔴 SELL Reaction Zone
387x → Strong resistance where sellers may step in.
🟢 BUY Zones
3780 (Retest Breakout + Trendline) → First demand zone.
375x (Fibo Support Zone) → Strong liquidity pocket, potential reversal.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Idea
Entry: 387x
Targets: 3800 → 3780
SL: Above 3888
2️⃣ BUY Idea
Entry: 3780 – 375x
Targets: 3838 → 387x
SL: Below 3745
⚡ Trading Notes
High volatility expected near 3800 psychological mark.
Stick to zone trading – avoid mid-range traps.
Monitor USD strength; any spike could pressure XAU further.
💬 Discussion
Do you think Gold will break below 3800 or bounce back to test 387x? Drop your views 👇
Gold Bulls in Control: Buy Zones Lined Up for the Breakout!📊 Market Context
Gold is trading near record highs around $3,850, heading toward its best month in 14 years. With Q3 2025 and September closing, gold has surged nearly 12% this month, driven by rising safe-haven demand amid the looming U.S. government shutdown and weaker USD sentiment.
The bullish structure remains intact, and dips continue to attract aggressive buyers.
📍 Key Trading Levels
🟢 BUY Zones
3846 – 3843 → Intraday BUY scalp zone
SL: 3836
TP: 1R → 2R → 3R → 4R (hold longer if above 389x)
3818 – 3816 → Deeper reaction BUY zone
SL: 3810
TP: 1R → 2R → 3R → 4R (limit orders can be set for extended swing positions)
🔴 SELL Reaction Zone
Around 387x → Expect heavy profit-taking and short-term pullbacks.
🎯 Trade Plan
Prioritize BUY setups only; gold remains in strong bullish momentum.
Use the 384x zone for scalps and 381x zone for deeper limit buys.
Trail stops once price breaks 389x, opening room for 3920+ targets.
⚡ Trading Notes
Volatility may spike with U.S. political risks – manage positions carefully.
Avoid chasing highs; wait for structured retracements to BUY zones.
Stick to R/R discipline; market rewards patience in strong trends.
💬 Community Insight
Do you think gold will smash through 3920+ this week, or will we get another retracement first? Drop your setups and let’s compare strategies 👇
XAUUSD – FIBO MATRIX Trading Plan | Key Levels for TodayMarket Snapshot
Gold is attracting steady buying interest as dovish Fed expectations keep the USD capped near 3-week highs.
At the same time, geopolitical tensions and tariff concerns add to safe-haven demand.
Focus now shifts to US PCE inflation data, which could trigger the next big move.
📍 Important Price Zones (M30)
🔴 SELL Reaction Zones
3767 – 377x → Major rejection area (Fibo 0.786).
3810 – 3817 → Strong SELL zone (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618).
🟢 BUY Support Zones
3725 → First support zone.
3690 – 3695 → Deep pullback support (Fibo confluence).
🎯 Trading Ideas
1️⃣ SELL Setup
Entry: 3767 – 377x (if rejection signal shows).
Targets: 3750 → 3725.
SL: Above 3778.
2️⃣ BUY Setup
Entry: 3725 with bullish confirmation.
Targets: 3760 → 377x.
SL: Below 3715.
3️⃣ Deep BUY Opportunity
Entry: 3690 – 3695 zone.
Targets: 3725 → 3760.
SL: Below 3685.
⚡ Trading Insights
Respect the Fibo reaction levels for clean entries.
Risk range: 6–8 USD to avoid stop hunts.
Book profits in steps: 1R → 2R → 3R for strong RR balance.
💬 Community Talk
Do you see gold breaking above 3770 first, or dropping to 3725/3695 before bouncing back? Share your chart view 👇
XAUUSD – The SELL trend has been confirmed
Technical Analysis
After a strong rally hitting the resistance zone of 3770–3780, gold (XAUUSD) failed to maintain momentum and began forming consecutive declines. This signals that selling pressure is dominant in the short term.
The 3767–3769 zone coincides with a local resistance, where the market has reacted multiple times → confirming its role as a distribution zone.
Fibonacci Retracement levels from the most recent upward wave show the 0.618 area around 3700–3705 acting as short-term support, where a technical rebound may occur.
The 3673–3675 zone confluences with Fib 2.618 and EMA200 → strong support, considered the main Buy zone for long-term buyers.
RSI (14) is currently below 50, momentum leans towards a decline, confirming that a corrective trend is prevailing.
Trading Scenario
SELL Scenario (trend-following priority):
Entry: 3767–3769
SL: 3775
TP: 3755 – 3740 – 3733 – 3710 – 3694
Buy scalping Scenario (short-term support reaction):
Entry: 3701–3704
SL: 3698
TP: 3710 – 3722 – 3736
Buy zone Scenario (priority for medium-term rebound):
Entry: 3673–3675
SL: 3666
TP: 3688 – 3696 – 3705 – 3720 – 3736
Price zones to watch
3767–3769: important resistance, priority Sell zone.
3700–3705: short-term support, potential Buy scalping area.
3673–3675: main Buy zone, confluence of support + Fibonacci.
3694 and 3736: key intermediate levels, where partial profit-taking is advisable.
The main short-term trend is leaning towards SELL, however, important support zones may offer opportunities for counter-trend Buy or trend-following Buy after price correction.
This is a reference scenario based on resistance – support and Fibonacci. Follow me if you love trading gold and want to read the latest analyses in the community.
Bullish Cup & Handle – A Powerful Continuation Chart Pattern🔹 Intro / Overview
☕ The Cup and Handle is a 📈 bullish continuation pattern often studied in technical analysis.
⚔️ It forms when there is a fight between bulls 🐂 and bears 🐻 — the Cup develops as both remain strong.
📉 During the Handle, sellers 🛑 temporarily gain strength.
📈 But when price closes above the Validation Line, buyers regain control 💪 and bullish momentum dominates.
____________________________________________________________
📖 How to Identify
✅ Validation → The pattern is valid if price closes above the Validation Line.
❌ Devalidation → The pattern is invalid if price closes below the Devalidation Line(before Validation).
📉 Retracement Rule →The pattern is only confirmed if the price closes below the Retracement Line during the Handle formation.
This ensures a proper pullback forms before breakout .
____________________________________________________________
📖 Key Points of Pattern
✅ A valid Cup requires the retracement condition — confirmation occurs only if price closes below the Retracement Line .
⚖️ Balanced Highs → Point A (left peak) and Point C (right peak) should be relatively close in price, ensuring a proper Cup shape 🍵.
🔒 The Handle must not break the structural integrity of the Cup.(No Close Below Devalidation Lines)
____________________________________________________________
🎯 Trading Plan (Educational Only)
📌 Entry → Considered only after confirmation when price closes above the Validation Line.
🛡️ Stop-Loss (SL) → After validation, the Devalidation Line may act as an SL.
🎯 Target (TP) →
First Target → 1R (equal to the risk defined by Entry–SL distance).
Remaining Lots → Trail using ATR, Fibonacci levels, Box Trailing, or structure-based stops.
____________________________________________________________
📊 Chart Explanation
🍵 The Cup forms with a rounded base Point B and two balanced tops: Point A (left peak) & Point C (right peak) - The marginal price difference should be small to ensure a reliable Cup.
📈 The Retracement Line ( Point D ) confirms the pattern only if price closes below the Fibonacci Level of 78.60% and above the 50.00% .
📉 The Handle develops as price pulls back, with Point E marking the Handle low. and Good Handle of Cup is Formed (this low should not go below 50.00% Level )
📏 The Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from Point B (Cup base) to Point C (right peak). These levels provide a reference framework to observe Retracement (minimum 78.60%) , Validation (100.00%) , and Devalidation (50.00%) areas for educational study of the structure.
____________________________________________________________
👀 Observations
✨ Works best after a strong uptrend 🚀 or at major support–resistance zones 🧱.
⚖️ A balanced Cup (Top Right ≈ Top Left) improves reliability.
📏 Handle Formation
The Handle should be shorter than the Cup depth — and should also be longer than the required minimum depth for proper structure.
If the Handle is too deep, it weakens the setup — and also if it is too short, the formation loses reliability.
____________________________________________________________
❗ Why It Matters
🔍 Shows the market battle between buyers and sellers.
💪 Highlights how buyers regain dominance after retracement validation.
⚖️ Balanced structure + strict rules = better filtering of weak setups.
📝 Provides clarity on entry, SL, and TP with a structured framework.
____________________________________________________________
🎯 Conclusion
The Cup and Handle pattern, when validated through Fibonacci retracement rules 📉, balanced highs ⚖️, and proper Handle structure 🔒, offers a disciplined framework for studying bullish continuation setups.
🔥 Patterns don’t predict. Rules protect.
____________________________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only.
🙅 Not SEBI registered.
❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
🧠 Purely a learning resource.
📊 Not Financial Advice.
Atul Auto | MTF Fibonacci Confluence structuresWeekly Chart Analysis
– Drew a multi-timeframe Fibonacci from the 119.35 low (Mar ’20) to the 844.60 high (Oct ’24) on the Monthly time frame .
– Highlighted the 50–61.8% retracement zone (481.95–396.40) as an orange supply/demand area.
– Circles mark historical pivots where price reacted as support or resistance within this zone.
Key Observations
-Price consistently respected the 50–61.8% band during prior rallies and pullbacks.
-Recent price action formed a contracting triangle (CT) at the lower edge of the Fibonacci zone.
-Volume contraction noted inside the triangle, suggesting supply–demand equilibrium.
Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should perform your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
KEC International: Bullish Structure with StrengthSince April 7th, the price structure of KEC International has demonstrated a notable bullish trend reversal, characterized by the formation of higher highs and higher lows along an ascending trendline. This pattern is often interpreted by technical analysts as a sign of strengthening upward momentum.
A recent Fibonacci retracement, drawn from the swing low to the swing high of the current rally, revealed a pullback to the 38.2% level—a zone commonly viewed as a potential support area within a prevailing uptrend. The stock responded positively to this level, rebounding and subsequently closing above the 61.8% retracement level, which is another key technical threshold.
Interestingly, the price has retested the 61.8% level and held firm, suggesting that this area may be acting as a support base. Additionally, the stock has managed to close above its 200-day EMA, a long-term trend indicator that many market participants use to assess broader directional bias. A sustained position above the 200 EMA is generally considered constructive from a trend-following perspective.
From a structural standpoint, based on current chart dynamics, the next potential resistance zone appears to be near ₹948, while the suggested support level is around ₹780 . These levels are derived from historical price action and technical confluence zones, and may serve as reference points for monitoring future price behaviour.
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Market conditions are subject to change, and trading decisions should be made based on individual research, risk assessment, and consultation with a licensed financial advisor.
Multi-Confirmation Price Action: Fibonacci Zones, Base BreakoutsExplore multi-confirmation techniques using Fibonacci retracement to identify high-probability base breakout zones. Learn how to spot double bottom and inverted head & shoulders patterns at demand levels and execute confirmation trades for precision entries
Bank nifty Rising wedge pattern.Pattern Analysis
Rising Wedge Pattern:
A bearish pattern typically seen near tops. It shows narrowing price movement with higher highs but declining momentum.
Breakdown confirmed as price has fallen below the lower wedge support trendline.
Confirms selling pressure and rejection from the top near 57,300–57,500 zone.
🕯️ Candlestick Signals
Dark Cloud Cover:
A bearish reversal pattern indicating sellers have taken control after a bullish phase.
Big Red Candle + ‘M’ Pattern:
Bearish engulfing at resistance – strong indication of a top formation.
3 Inside Down Candlestick Pattern at Resistance:
Recent red candles have higher volume, confirming institutional selling activity.
As anticipated in our previous analysis, Bank Nifty corrected from the 57,000 level to 56,056, validating the bearish setup.
It is also expected to short here 56,550 add on any rise up to 57,700-57,950 for target mentioned on chart.
Alternative Scenario: Be aware that the rising wedge could potentially break upwards. If the price breaks decisively above the resistance trendline with strong volume, the bearish outlook would be invalidated.
Fibonacci Retracement Trailing : Lock Profits & Ride Trends🔹 Intro / Overview
Managing trades after entry is just as critical as spotting the entry itself.
In this idea, we apply Fibonacci retracements with a trailing stop system to capture profits while staying disciplined.
A well-structured trailing plan helps traders:
✅ Lock in gains early
🛡️ Protect capital against reversals
📊 Stay rule-based instead of emotional
---
📖 Concept
- A swing High (A) to Low (B) defines our Fibonacci retracement zones.
- Retracements (C, E) test Fibonacci levels but don’t confirm entry until structure is validated.
- Entry (F) occurs only after a successive close confirms the short trade.
- Stop Loss (SL) is placed at the 61.8% retracement (closer and more protective than the far swing).
- Trailing: SL trails forward only , two Fib levels behind price. It manages the remaining position after booking partial profits.
---
📊 Chart Explanation (Step-by-Step)
1️⃣ Swing Definition
📍 A = Swing High
📍 B = Swing Low
2️⃣ Retracement Testing
- C → first retracement (no confirmation)
- D → invalid as no proper close
- E → deeper retracement, still no entry
3️⃣ Entry Point
✅ At F, successive closes confirm → short entry taken
4️⃣ Stop Loss (SL)
📉 Set at 61.8% retracement for tighter risk management
5️⃣ Targets & Trailing
🎯 Target 1 hit → exit one lot, secure partial profits
🔄 Remaining lots managed with trailing system:
• SL adjusted only forward , never backward
• SL trails as price moves down:
• 150% → SL to 100%
• 178.6% → SL to 123.6%
• 200% → SL to 150%, etc.
6️⃣ Projected Path
🔍 Blue/red paths illustrate how price could move while trailing locks in gains
---
🔍 Observations
📌 Entry validated on structure → reduces false signals
🎯 Booking partial profits builds confidence and ensures realized gains
🔄 Trailing maximizes potential while staying safe
📊 Fib-based progression keeps decisions mechanical, not emotional
---
✨ Why It Matters
✔ Turns static Fibonacci into a dynamic strategy
✔ Prevents giving back profits when trends reverse
✔ Adds confidence and discipline in trade management
✔ Teaches how to scale out smartly
---
✅ Conclusion
Fibonacci retracement alone gives levels — but combining it with a trailing stop system transforms it into a complete trade plan.
By booking partial profits and trailing the rest:
🛡️ You protect capital
🚀 You ride trends longer
🤝 You trade with discipline instead of emotion
---
⚠️ Disclaimer
For educational purposes only · Not SEBI registered · Not a buy/sell recommendation · No investment advice — purely a learning resource
Trailing Stops: Protect Profits & Ride the Trend with Discipline🔹 Intro / Overview
Managing a position after entry is just as important as identifying the entry itself.
Here, we are specifically discussing trailing stops using Fibonacci retracements .
A well-structured trailing stop helps traders:
✅ Lock in profits
🛡️ Reduce risk
📊 Stay objective in the face of market noise
This idea shows how trailing stops can be applied in a structured way to complement Fibonacci retracements and trend management.
📖 Concept
📍 A trailing stop is a dynamic stop-loss that adjusts as price moves in your favor.
🔄 Instead of staying fixed, it “trails” price at a chosen distance — capturing more upside while capping downside.
🧩 Traders often trail stops using swing lows/highs, moving averages, or volatility measures like ATR .
📊 Chart Explanation (Step-by-Step)
1️⃣ Entry Criteria
✅ Successive closes above 78.6% confirm the long entry.
2️⃣ Stop Loss (SL)
📉 Placed at the previous swing low for structure-based protection.
⏩ SL adjustments move forward only with trailing rules — never backward.
3️⃣ Trailing Levels
👉 SL always trails two levels below the current trail level if the candle closes above it.
📈 Trail 1: 123.60% → SL moves to 78.60%
📈 Trail 2: 150.00% → SL moves to 100.00%
📈 Trail 3: 178.60% → SL moves to 123.60%
📈 Trail 4: 200.00% → SL moves to 150.00%
📈 Trail 5: 223.60% → SL moves to 178.60%
📈 Trail 6: 250.00% → SL moves to 200.00%
📈 Trail 7: 278.60% → SL moves to 223.60%
📈 Trail 8: 300.00% → SL moves to 250.00%
4️⃣ Target Points
🎯 At Target 1 , book one lot to secure profits.
📊 Remaining positions can be trailed further with the next levels.
5️⃣ Projected Path
🔍 Dotted blue/red projections illustrate potential movement under this trailing system.
🔍 Observations
📌 Objective Entry : Requires successive closes above 78.6%, reducing false signals.
🎯 Partial Profit Booking : Taking one lot off at Target 1 ensures realized gains.
🔄 Two-Level Trailing : Locks in profits while leaving room for trend continuation.
📊 Rule-Based Framework : Clear Fibonacci-based progression keeps decisions mechanical and consistent.
✨ Why It Matters
✔ Prevents turning winning trades into losers.
✔ Builds confidence by removing emotions from exit decisions.
✔ Lets profits run while maintaining protection.
✅ Conclusion
Trailing stops are not about perfection — they’re about discipline .
By systematically adjusting stops as the market moves, traders:
🛡️ Protect capital
🚀 Let profits run
🤝 Remove emotions from decision-making
When combined with Fibonacci retracements , trailing stops provide a structured framework to manage trades effectively after entry.
⚠️ Disclaimer : For educational purposes only · Not SEBI registered · Not a buy/sell recommendation · No investment advice — purely a learning resource
ULTRACEMCO: Wave C started from strong Fib clusterULTRACEMCO – Daily Chart Analysis
🔹 Base Point: The count begins from the low made on 3rd March 2025.
🔹 From this low, the price moved up in the form of a clear impulse wave, completing a 5-wave structure.
🔹 This was followed by a corrective fall, retracing 61.8% Fibonacci of the prior impulse.
⚡ Correction Phase:
The decline is counted as an ABC Flat correction (red).
Within this, the C wave extended fully to the 100% Fibonacci projection.
At this point, we observe a strong cluster zone formed by the 61.8% retracement and 100% extension, indicating confluence and potential support.
📈 Current Development:
From this support, the price has begun to move up again, showing the characteristics of a fresh impulse.
The overall structure fits into a larger Zig-Zag correction, where Wave C is still under development.⏳
📝 Summary:
✅ Impulse up (5 waves)
✅ Flat correction (A-B-C) complete at Fib cluster
🚀 Wave C of Zig-Zag unfolding
#ULTRACEMCO #NSEStocks #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #WaveAnalysis #TradingSetup #PriceAction
Nifty Short Entry Based on TRIPLE CROWN Theory
combining specific Fibo Retracement level, identified areas that can be used to go short in NIFTY
range to go short is - 25160 to 25000, which got triggered yesterday,
let us go for short till yesterday's high is not breached
target will be 24760 and 24600 and then 24340
stop can be placed 25000
this trade is purely based on entry when the price falls in TCZ (The Triple Crown Zone), which is price zone based on FIBO RETRACEMENT LEVELS IN A SPECIFIC ORDER
note :-
more then entering the trade
it will be more interesting to understand this theory and its impact if price stays in TCS zone today and how it reacts here on
stay tuned
have a good day to all
Olectra Greentech – Golden Ratio on MTF + Hidden channel on WTF📝 Description
📌On the Weekly Chart (Left) – Price action has formed a strong counter-trend (CT) breakout from a prolonged downtrend. Hidden within the structure is a parallel channel (highlighted in pink), with volume gradually increasing in the recent rally — a positive sign of accumulation.
📌On the Monthly Chart (Right) – A Fibonacci retracement drawn from the Feb 2023 low to the Feb 2024 high (a one-year strong uptrend) shows price taking support exactly at the 61.8% Golden Ratio. This reaction from a key retracement zone is aligned with historical technical behavior.
This is not a forecast, but rather a technical observation of structure, retracement behavior, and volume dynamics.
Varun Beverages: From Parallel Channel to Symmetrical TriangleOn the monthly timeframe (right chart), Varun Beverages shows a classic Fibonacci retracement pullback to the 38.2% level after an extended rally.
>Shifting to the weekly timeframe (left chart), we observe:
-Parallel Channel during the earlier uptrend phase, reflecting a strong trending structure.
-A break of the uptrend that transitioned into a sideways phase.
-Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle – characterized by a sequence of lower highs and higher lows, creating a contraction pattern.
This multi‑timeframe view highlights how trends evolve from strong rallies, to corrections, and into consolidation structures.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
Bank nifty correction start now?Bank Nifty
Current Price: 56,791.95 (Spot)
Bank Nifty has reversed lower from the resistance trendline, confirming selling pressure near higher levels.
A Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern combined with an emerging M-top formation indicates potential short-term bearish sentiment.
It can short here or any bounce use as shorting opportunity for target 56,056
Major resistance is 57,400-57,700
The index is forming a rising wedge pattern, a bearish structure suggesting potential for deeper correction if key support levels are breached.
Key Support Levels:
Immediate support is identified at 56,056 (trendline support).
A decisive close below 56,056 may accelerate selling pressure, opening downside targets toward: 55,342 , 53,908
VIPIND: Unlocking Potential After Downtrend
VIP Industries has demonstrated robust bullish momentum over the past few trading sessions, signaling a notable shift in market sentiment. This upward trajectory is particularly significant given the stock's prolonged downtrend since October 2024.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the recent price action suggests the potential completion of a corrective phase. The retracement from what appears to be Wave 1 to Wave 2 aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which often precedes the initiation of a strong Wave 3 impulse. This potential wave structure, if confirmed, could indicate further upside potential.
A key development supporting this bullish outlook is the stock's recent decisive close above its 200-day EMA, accompanied by a significant surge in trading volume. This confluence of price action and volume confirms strong buying interest and suggests a potential long-term trend reversal. The increased volume further validates the strength of the breakout, indicating broader market participation.
While the immediate outlook appears constructive, traders should be mindful of potential profit-taking around the ₹446 level. This area may present a temporary resistance zone where some short-term corrections or consolidation could occur. However, should the stock successfully navigate this level, the next significant upside resistance target to monitor is ₹492 . This level aligns with prior price highs and could represent a more substantial challenge for further upward movement.
For risk management purposes, a prudent approach would involve considering a stop-loss order positioned below the identified support zone, as depicted on the chart. This strategy aims to mitigate potential downside risk in the event of an unexpected reversal in market sentiment.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. It is based on observations from the provided chart and commonly used technical indicators. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own comprehensive due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NAZARA TECHNOLOGIES LTD | Monthly Chart Breakout📊 NAZARA TECHNOLOGIES LTD (NSE: NAZARA) | Monthly Chart Breakout
📅 Date: June 1, 2025
📈 CMP: ₹1,295.10 (+28.04%)
📌 Ticker: NSE:NAZARA
📉 Chart Pattern Insight
🔥 Cup & Handle + Falling Wedge Breakout
Nazara Tech has broken out of a strong Cup & Handle pattern, reinforced by a Falling Wedge breakout — a powerful confluence suggesting a major trend reversal.
🎯 Breakout is confirmed with high volume and a clean monthly candle close above key resistances.
📐 Fibonacci Retracement Levels (From High ₹1678 to Low ₹477)
🔸 38.2% – ₹935.85 (was resistance, now flipped to support)
🔸 50% – ₹1,077.55
🔸 61.8% – ₹1,219.25 (just surpassed – strong bullish confirmation)
🧭 100% – ₹1,678 (All-Time High)
📊 Indicator: RSI + Moving Average Cross (Icon shown)
🔍 RSI is at 71.63 and rising sharply, indicating strong momentum
🔺 RSI crossover above MA confirms bullish strength and trend continuation
🧱 Volume Spike
📈 Volume this month is multi-month high, validating the breakout
🔑 Key Levels
Support: ₹935 (prior resistance, now retest zone)
Immediate Resistance: ₹1,300 (psychological), ₹1,400
Target Zones:
Short-Term: ₹1,450
Medium-Term: ₹1,600+
Long-Term: Retest of All-Time High ₹1,678+
🛡️ SL: ₹935 (monthly close basis)
📌 Trading Plan
Entry: Pullback near ₹1,220–₹1,250 or breakout retest
SL: ₹935 (below 38.2%)
Target: ₹1,450 / ₹1,600+
Time Frame: Positional – Multi-week to multi-month
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.