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Gold : Almost flat in Holiday weak Gold price is now trading in structure like a bearish flag, which usually means it might not be done falling yet. Right now, gold's hanging out around 2,619-20, near to weekly pivot point " If price decides to break out below this flag, it's probably going to keep sliding down, looking for support at lower levels. If by some chance it decides to pop up, it'll have to fight through some resistance to keep climbing and the main resistance that we have to watch in higher side is 2650 for bullish continuation. Given that it's the holiday season, it makes sense that the price is just chilling out, moving sideways with not much action going on.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold is in range : Current Price Action and Intraday Levels We have seen a recent downtrend (Short Period )after hitting a peak. The price has fallen below the previous support area and consolidation range (highlighted in yellow),and currently consolidating (In grey Box)suggesting sideways to bearish momentum. However, the consolidation could also imply that the market might be looking for direction (Wait for break in any direction). Current Price Action: Gold is currently priced at around $2,624.235, which is slightly above the pivot point (P) at $2,624.000. The price has shown a recent decline from the high of around $2,673.453, indicating a bearish sentiment in the short term. Resistance Levels based on Weekly Pivots: R1 is at $2,664.085, which was recently tested and acted as resistance. If the price moves up, this level could act as a resistance again. R2 at $2,704.560 and R3 at $2,744.645 are further resistance levels to watch if there's a strong bullish move. Support Levels based on Weekly Pivots: S1 is at $2,583.525, which is quite close to the current price. If the price breaks below the pivot point, this could be the first support level to watch. S2 at $2,543.440 and S3 at $2,502.965 are deeper support levels where buyers might step in. As discussed in weekly analysis video I am currently waiting for a swing buy opportunity ; and waiting for Lower level in 2550-2530 or Low area , or need confirmation above 2650 if price want to move directly in higher side without testing the lower levels .
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Still Looking weak Gold prices have shown weakness, with the market currently positioned below key resistance levels, suggesting a bearish outlook in Intra day. The immediate resistance is seen at the previous support level around 2620-2625, which may act as a psychological barrier for the price to overcome. Immediate Resistance: 2620-2625 - This level has previously acted as support but now could serve as resistance. A move above this could signal a potential short-term recovery. Immediate Support: 2588 - This level corresponds to the close on FOMC day, representing a critical support area where buyers might step in if the price tests this level again. If gold fails to hold above the FOMC day close, there's a risk of further downside also 2580 level acting as a key trendline support, where a failure could lead to more significant declines. The next significant support to watch is around 2568 or a potential move towards 2569 (Fib extension 0.618) if current trends persist, and further levels down to 2537 (November's low), which is a high volume node where buying interest might re-emerge. A break below this could lead to further declines, targeting lower supports; For a bullish signal, gold would need to convincingly close above 2650 if it reverse without breaking 2588 on day close.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold after FOMCAS EXPECTED , in previous post on gold the price was looking weak and after FOMC we have seen a decent correction in alignment with that view , on daily time frame price breakdown two supports I.e., 2620 and 2600, as you can see on the chart the price is now bouncing from lower TF oversold areas but still looking weak, next support as per weekly pivot is at 2568 and then 2530-35 area, As I am waiting from last week for this area for potential bottom in December so that I can plan a swing buy trade from this area. As per current PA ,last day candle is good bearish candle so there is no confirmation of any buy opportunity right now so it's better to wait for more confirmation from lower levels before entering in swing buy .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold resuming the decline As discussed in last week posts and weekly analysis video also, price is resuming the decline cycle and seems like breaking down the rising wedge pattern, On Friday gold price tested the fib 50% level and now moving down , 2650-65 is the main resistance zone now and under this we can look for sell opportunities , today we have extreme narrow CPR which can add a very good one sided move, as I am holding sell trade from last week I am expecting a test near 2600 area first where I am planning to book profit partially from some positions because under 2600 we have weekly S1(2596) where we can expect a short bounce (but I do not want to buy as of now) and I want to hold rest of the sell entries towards 2530. If bears managed to close the day under 2600 then this can add another confirmation for more decline.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold is in Range : Sell is still favourable Gold price is consolidating within the 2,620-2,650 range for the last five trading days, we have seen multiple attempts by gold on 2650 Level but failed to sustain above this level. Today also gold trading in a narrow range of 2634-2644,remaining near yesterday's closing price, On the hourly chart we can see that price is forming a tringle structure and breakout from this structure in any side can generate good move, as we are in correction so Probably, the main scenario is a continuation of the downward movement to 2620 and if breakdown from there then we can see price under 2600 soon.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
Option and Database TradingThe 80% Rule is a Market Profile concept and strategy. If the market opens (or moves outside of the value area ) and then moves back into the value area for two consecutive 30-min-bars, then the 80% rule states that there is a high probability of completely filling the value area. The defining feature of day trading is that traders do not hold positions overnight; instead, they seek to profit from short-term price movements occurring during the trading session.It can be considered one of the most profitable trading methods available to investors.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Gold at Resistance : A sell opportunity ?Yesterday, gold traded higher and closed the day in the positive territory . Today, Gold price climbs extending its gains for the fourth straight day. On the Intra day chart, Gold is now trading above weekly Resistance 1 (2653). Technically price is at resistance area and trading near to Fib golden zone , this area is perfect reversal zone but the geopolitical evens (War) currently pushing the price higher , for sell we need good confirmation from these resistance area. Today Initial Jobless Claims are expected to rise from 217K to 220K for the week ending November 16 and that can add volatility so we have to watch the reaction accordingly. Selling seems to be more favourable now for Intra day and for buy we have to look for lower levels but selling need to be assessed with good money management as gold is currently getting safe-haven demand for buyers.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold near to ATHAfter gap down opening Gold price again trading near to ATH and price now sustaining on PWH on H1. For sell we have to wait for rejection on ATH area (2755-59: for scalping only right now with tight SL on Intraday No confirmation, No sell) and for next move in higher side price need to breakout and need to sustain above this area and then we can look for buy in higher side towards weekly R1 and then R2. For a safe sell I think better wait for price to close below 2738 (As wee have High volume support at 2738-40,H1 or H4) and in Higher side there is no major confirmation right now.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
EURUSD bounces back from year-long support ahead of EU/US PMIEURUSD records its first daily gain in four, bouncing back from the lowest level since July 3, as traders eagerly await the preliminary readings of October's PMIs for the Eurozone and the US. The Euro pair’s movement aligns with overbought RSI conditions while it turns from an upward support line established in early October 2023. Sellers remain in control Despite an oversold RSI (14) supporting EURUSD's bounce from key support, bearish MACD signals and trading below the 200-SMA keep sellers optimistic. The downside bias is further strengthened by more dovish expectations from the European Central Bank (ECB) compared to the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Key technical levels to watch The multi-month support line around 1.0765 is crucial for EURUSD. A clear break below this level could expose the pair to a decline toward February and June 2024 lows, near 1.0700 and 1.0680, respectively. However, if the RSI conditions hold, Euro bears may face challenges around 1.0680. If not, the yearly low marked in April around 1.0600 will be the last line of defense for buyers before the pair heads toward the late 2023 bottom around 1.0450. Alternatively, a rebound for EURUSD seems unlikely while trading below the 200-SMA at 1.0870. That said, the immediate upside is protected by the 50% Fibonacci level from the pair's rise between October 2023 and September 2024, located around 1.0830. Additionally, the 38.2% Fibonacci level and an 11-week-old support line near 1.0920 and 1.1000 will be tough obstacles for bulls to overcome if they break past 1.0830. Further recovery looks challenging While some technical signals indicate that sellers may be losing momentum, several technical and fundamental factors suggest buyers are not yet ready to step in. The EURUSD's corrective bounce could continue with strong EU data and weak US statistics. However, if the US Dollar sees a positive surprise, the likelihood of further downside for the pair remains high.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold : Finally taking a breakAs discussed in yesterday's gold update that gold was due for a correction , accordingly we have seen a good correction in yesterday's trading session. Last day price close with a bearish Engulfing candle from a key level (Weekly R1) and now the major support as per volume (2738-40) is going to act as resistance area, also if we draw Fibonacci levels for last day candle we have now to major resistance in higher side for gold, one is at 2733 and another is 2739, so for intraday under these levels we can look for sell opportunities and we can look 2700 or low as our target .CPR is also descending today , any breach from PDL can result in continuation into lower side.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold : Due for correctionGold prices hit another record high during US session, yet it paused its advance amid elevated US Treasury bond yields and a strong US Dollar (But gold ignored the DXY move completely in last week). On daily close as per price action we can see a gravestone doji which can open door for correction. So for today the plan is to sell under last day high , we can sell near CPR area(2722-2727) or wait for pullback to daily R1(2735) for possible sell opportunities, On lower side as you can see that price is currently in over elevated region and price did not tested the weekly pivot(2694) , so first we can expect a test at weekly pivot for this correction and then we have to watch how price going to react there .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold : Ready for another rallyAs discussed since the beginning of this week that every Dip is a buying opportunity on gold, gold seems to following that and yesterday trading session after CPI numbers gold printed a good positive day closing and now trading above weekly S1 , Weekly S1 was acting as resistance on Intra day. For today the daily CPR relation is positive and price opened with a little gap on CPR (Virgin CPR) this is indication that price is in good bullish momentum right now and if price hold above weekly S1 (2626) then bulls can target weekly pivot on Intra day (2650). .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
6
EURUSD: Bulls need validation from 1.1200 and Fed Chair PowellEURUSD is gaining support after falling from a 14-month high, as buyers wait for comments from US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell. Upside remains favored The EURUSD pair is holding above a two-week rising support line and the 200-SMA, along with an upward trend line from late June, which keeps buyers optimistic. The steady RSI (14) also indicates a slow upward movement. Technical levels to watch Even with key support levels helping the EURUSD pair and the RSI suggesting an upward trend, the bulls may struggle to break through the horizontal resistance around 1.1200. If they succeed, the next targets could be the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Extensions (FE) of the pair’s August-September moves, respectively near 1.1215 and 1.1265. The previous yearly high around 1.1275 is a crucial point for the bears; if that breaks, prices could reach the 2022 peak of 1.1495. Meanwhile, EURUSD sellers should look for a clear drop below the immediate rising support line around 1.1125 to enter the market. However, the 200-SMA and a three-month trend line near 1.1080 and 1.0950 will be important obstacles for sellers. If the price stays below 1.0950, it could fall further toward the previous monthly low of 1.0780. Charts, Powell in the spotlight Along with the technical factors, comments from Fed Chair Powell will be important for EURUSD bulls. The recent rise is driven by market expectations of two more 0.50% rate cuts from the US central bank in 2024. If Powell dismisses these expectations, which seems unlikely, a downward reversal in Euro prices could happen.
by MTradingGlobal
1
GBPUSD: Overbought RSI, key resistance test buyersGBPUSD bulls are pausing at their highest level since February 2020, marking six days of gains despite a slow market atmosphere. That said, the Pound Sterling is facing a liquidity squeeze as we approach key data and events this week, which could impact its upward momentum at these multi-month highs. Pullback appears imminent but bulls can keep the reins Apart from the market’s anxiety ahead of this week’s key catalysts, the overbought RSI (14) line and a 10-week-old ascending resistance line, close to 1.3430 at the latest, suggest consolidation in the GBPUSD prices. Important technical levels A pullback in GBPUSD seems likely, with key short-term support levels at the 61.8% and 50.0% Fibonacci extensions of the quote’s August-September moves, respectively near 1.3375 and 1.3300. However, the previous monthly high near 1.3265 and the 21-SMA at 1.3190 are important, as they align with the bottom of a bearish wedge pattern near 1.3140, which could act as a final defense for buyers. On the flip side, for buyers to regain control, they need to break through the 1.3440 resistance. If they succeed, GBPUSD could target the February 2022 peak of around 1.3645 and the 2022 high of 1.3748. A sustained move above 1.3750 could even lead to a challenge of the psychological level at 1.4000. All eyes on US data/events Technical indicators for GBPUSD suggest a pullback may be on the horizon, even as recent U.S. factors favor ongoing Federal Reserve rate cuts throughout 2024. Therefore, key insights from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech on Thursday and the U.S. Core PCE Price Index— the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation—on Friday will be vital for determining the market's direction.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPJPY SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARDGBPJPYSHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1: 7 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
Long
by tradergyan01
1
USDJPY: Sellers remain in driver’s seat despite BoJ’s status quoEarly Friday, USDJPY reverses the previous day’s run-up to the highest level in a fortnight as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) leaves monetary policy unchanged, as expected. Oscillators, technical hurdles push back buyers within falling wedge USDJPY recently reversed from a six-week resistance level, and the RSI is pulling back while the MACD shows signs of a bearish crossover, which keeps sellers optimistic. Additionally, the price remains below the 200-Exponential Moving Average, making it harder for Yen buyers. However, a bullish falling wedge pattern that has formed since early August could encourage buyers. Technical levels to watch The USDJPY pair's drop from a key resistance level, along with weak indicators, suggests sellers will target below 142.00. Key levels to watch are the psychological mark at 140.00 and the monthly low around 139.55. If buyers can’t hold above the falling wedge's bottom near 139.30, the price could drop to the mid-2023 low around 137.20. On the flip side, the 1.5-month-old horizontal resistance area near 143.70-144.00 appears a tough nut to crack for the USDJPY bulls. Following that, the quote’s quick jump toward the stated bullish wedge’s top line around 145.00 can’t be ruled out. If the price stays above 145.00, it could aim for 156.00, but breaking the 200-EMA at 145.30 is essential for that rally. What next? Given the monetary policy divergence between the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ), as well as the quote’s sustained trading below the key resistances, the USDJPY sellers are likely to have some more days to cheer.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPJPY: 200-SMA again challenges buyers amid sluggish week-startGBPJPY reached a one-month high but then pulled back from the 200-day moving average (SMA) as traders get ready for important news this week, including PMIs and the US jobs report. The US and Canadian Labor Day holidays are allow the cross-currency pair to consolidate the previous weekly gains, especially amid the cautious mood in the market. GBPJPY buyers slowly tighten their grip… Although the 200-SMA has been restricting the GBPJPY pair’s upside momentum since mid-July, a higher low formation in the last fortnight signals that the buyers are gradually winning over. Also, the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI conditions add strength to the upside bias. Key technical levels to watch… Given the 200-SMA’s repeated attempts to stall the GBPJPY upside, the buyers are advised to wait for a daily break past the key moving average, around 192.25, to take fresh long positions. Following that, the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the quote’s December 2023 to July 2024 upside, respectively near 193.30 and 196.75, will lure the bulls. It’s worth noting, however, that a seven-month-old previous support line, close to 199.00, quickly followed by the 200.00 psychological magnet, could test the upside momentum. Meanwhile, a drop below the immediate rising support line at about 190.70 could lead to further declines. Next support levels are around 190.00 and 188.00, with potential further drops to 184.80 and 182.50 before reaching a new yearly low around 180.10. Looking ahead… With the US and Canadian holidays and upcoming key economic data, GBPJPY might stabilize in the short term. However, if the market reacts negatively to the data, the bullish trend could be challenged.
by MTradingGlobal