Gold Weakens Further as Market Awaits Fresh CatalystsGood morning, traders! In the early hours of Friday's trading session, gold continues to weaken, losing over 12 pips.
This decline reflects a temporary pause from bullish investors as they seek new drivers for upward momentum. From a technical perspective, the chart shows that while long-term bullish momentum remains intact, the current pullback appears to be nearing its conclusion. Support is forming around the $2,566 zone, followed by $2,630.
In the short term, gold may experience further declines as the market awaits directional clarity from news expected later in the day. On the other hand, the long-term bullish trend remains a favored bet, with key upside targets marked clearly on the chart.
Happy trading, and may your trades be profitable! Don’t forget to leave a like and share your thoughts about the outlook for this precious metal. Cheers!
Forex
Gold resuming the decline As discussed in last week posts and weekly analysis video also, price is resuming the decline cycle and seems like breaking down the rising wedge pattern, On Friday gold price tested the fib 50% level and now moving down , 2650-65 is the main resistance zone now and under this we can look for sell opportunities , today we have extreme narrow CPR which can add a very good one sided move, as I am holding sell trade from last week I am expecting a test near 2600 area first where I am planning to book profit partially from some positions because under 2600 we have weekly S1(2596) where we can expect a short bounce (but I do not want to buy as of now) and I want to hold rest of the sell entries towards 2530.
If bears managed to close the day under 2600 then this can add another confirmation for more decline.
Gold is in Range : Sell is still favourable Gold price is consolidating within the 2,620-2,650 range for the last five trading days, we have seen multiple attempts by gold on 2650 Level but failed to sustain above this level. Today also gold trading in a narrow range of 2634-2644,remaining near yesterday's closing price, On the hourly chart we can see that price is forming a tringle structure and breakout from this structure in any side can generate good move, as we are in correction so Probably, the main scenario is a continuation of the downward movement to 2620 and if breakdown from there then we can see price under 2600 soon.
EUR/USD: Bearish Pressure IncreasesEUR/USD marked its second consecutive day of gains, extending its recent breakout above the 1.0500 level in response to the US Dollar's uncertain stance ahead of key US data releases later this week.
The 4-hour chart indicates that technical risks remain tilted to the downside, as the pair continues trading below all its moving averages. These averages maintain a bearish slope, creating dynamic resistance around the 1.0560 level. Meanwhile, technical indicators remain within negative territory, lacking clear directional strength.
In the short term, and according to the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD appears poised to extend its decline. The pair is trading below the bearish-moving averages, encountering sellers near the EMA 34 and 89 levels. Finally, technical indicators are neutral-to-bearish, positioned below their midlines, supporting the extension of the downtrend without providing a definitive confirmation.
Support levels: 1.0465, 1.0420, 1.0370
Resistance levels: 1.0560, 1.0625, 1.0660
XAUUSD todayHello dear friends, it's Samson here!
Gold prices continue to consolidate within a familiar range, as the market awaits a fresh catalyst to drive the next decisive move. What’s in store for gold, and what scenarios could unfold?
At the moment, sellers have hit the pause button, keeping an eye on key events like Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks, U.S. employment data, and the all-important CPI report. These indicators will shape expectations for the Fed's policy outlook. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders are currently pricing in a 74% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting. However, nothing is set in stone, and until clear signals emerge, the market may remain locked in consolidation mode.
On the technical front, gold could build bullish momentum to test significant resistance levels amid favorable news. However, if prices break below the critical support at 2636 and sustain that position, a bearish wave could gain traction sooner than anticipated.
This is a pivotal moment for XAUUSD, as the market balances between anticipation and action. What’s your take on the current setup? Let’s discuss your thoughts, forecasts, or any questions you have—together, we can navigate these shifting dynamics!
EUR/USD: Bearish Signals Strengthen Near Key ResistanceWhen observing the 4-hour chart, we can see that the EUR/USD pair is hovering near a strong resistance zone (marked in red). This is a region where selling pressure has significantly increased during previous trading sessions, making it difficult for the price to break out. In this context, the signals for a potential bearish trend are becoming increasingly evident.
One notable factor is the position of the EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines. With the price trading below both moving averages, they are acting as dynamic resistance levels, pushing the price lower each time it attempts to recover. This further reinforces the view that selling pressure continues to dominate the current market.
Additionally, the previous downside gap has yet to be filled, which is often a technical indication that bearish pressure remains. As the price approaches the resistance zone of 1.0550 - 1.0560, the likelihood of rejection from this level is high, especially in the absence of strong buying momentum.
If the price fails to break through this resistance zone, the possibility of a decline to lower support levels opens up. The nearest support is located at 1.0487, but a more prominent target lies in the 1.0420 - 1.0400 range. This is a critical support zone that could serve as a stopping point if the bearish trend continues.
Based on this analysis, a bearish trading strategy should be approached with caution. Traders may consider entering a sell position around the 1.0550 - 1.0560 resistance zone, with take-profit targets at 1.0480 and 1.0420, respectively. A prudent stop-loss level would be above the resistance zone, around 1.0575, to minimize risk.
Overall, the market is currently leaning toward a bearish outlook, but waiting for clear reactions at the resistance zone is crucial to ensure trades are executed at optimal levels. This approach provides greater security in a market that remains potentially volatile.
GBP/USD: At a Crossroads - Will the Bears Take Over?Hello, brilliant traders!
What’s your take on the current trend of GBP/USD? Let me break it down for you with a detailed analysis on the daily timeframe to give you a broader perspective.
At the moment, GBP/USD remains firmly in a long-term downtrend, trading around the 1.269 level. This aligns perfectly with signals from the EMA 34 and EMA 89, both indicating a potential reversal on the horizon. It's clear that key technical levels are coming into play, demanding the market’s full attention.
Following the recent corrective rally, GBP/USD appears poised to test resistance near the 1.287 level. This could be a prime opportunity for sellers to step in and drive the pair lower, especially given the prevailing dominance of the long-term bearish trend. The chart analysis I’ve shared illustrates this outlook in more detail.
Looking ahead, fundamental factors could further shape the direction of this pair. Hawkish remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and robust U.S. economic data may pile additional pressure on GBP/USD, possibly pushing it below the critical 1.225 support level. On the flip side, a dovish tone from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey could cap any upward moves, leaving the pair vulnerable to further downside action.
The market is at a pivotal point, and I’d love to hear your thoughts on GBP/USD! Share your insights in the comments below, and let’s discuss where we think this pair is headed next.
Wishing you smart trading and plenty of opportunities ahead!
Update XAUUSDSpot gold prices continue to rise as the US dollar weakens, making it more affordable for holders of other currencies to purchase gold.
Meanwhile, crude oil prices unexpectedly surged to $70 per barrel, adding upward momentum to gold’s price trend.
Another contributing factor is the announcement of martial law in South Korea. This has sparked concerns among financial investors about potential instability in the country, which could impact commodity prices and international currency markets. Consequently, many have increased their gold purchases as a safe-haven asset. These factors are fueling gold prices to climb further today.
BTC Short setup for 04-12-2024 Looking for the short setup from two point of zone.
First zone is at 97k and second one is at 97800 levels as marked in chart.
BTC seems changing the direction for the shortterm correction till 87-85k levels.
Entries would be identified after finding the reversal setup as mentioned in the chart.
Trade with right risk and reward.
This is shared only for the educational purpose.
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Trading options offers a number of benefits for an active trader: Options can offer high returns and do so over a short period, allowing you to multiply your money quickly if your wager is right. With options, it can cost less to get the same exposure to a stock's price movement than it does to buy the stock directly.
EURUSD LONGFOREXCOM:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
GOLD--> The bears are gaining strength! Next target: 2600OANDA:XAUUSD is declining after a false breakout of the resistance range. The fundamental backdrop is mixed and still does not allow for a clear medium- and long-term strategy to be formed. But!...
Trump's tariff policy and rising geopolitical tensions are influencing metal prices. Against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices are declining and confirming the market's structure.
Looking ahead, all eyes will be on U.S. employment data as the country will release multiple job-related figures ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday.
From a technical standpoint, we have a trend to watch after leaving the rising channel support and the 2636 area, reflecting the prevailing bearish sentiment.
A breakout below 2636 could trigger aggressive selling against the backdrop of a newly strengthened dollar. However, the possibility of a retest of the area of interest before continuing the downward trend cannot be ruled out. Gold prices are expected to decline and reach levels of 2610 and 2596, respectively.
GBP/USD Outlook: Navigating the Approaching ReversalHello dear readers,
Today, let's delve into a detailed analysis of the GBP/USD chart to identify key points that might influence our investment decisions in the coming period. The current chart presents some intriguing technical signals that we should monitor closely.
Overall Assessment:
The 4-hour chart for GBP/USD is showing an upward trend, but the price is currently approaching a significant resistance area. This is a point where many traders might consider taking profits, which could introduce selling pressure at these higher levels.
EMA Lines and Current Signals:
The price is trading between the EMA 34 and EMA 89, with the EMA 34 approaching from below and possibly providing support if prices start to decline. The intersection of these EMAs could be a crucial signal for identifying a potential change in trend.
Potential for Reversal:
As the price nears this strong resistance zone, there is a possibility that it will test and possibly retreat from this level. If this occurs, we might see the price execute a pullback towards the nearest support line, formed by the ascending black trendline.
Predictions and Strategy:
If the price fails below the resistance and the EMA 34 does not hold as support, we could witness a more substantial price drop. The next target could be the lower support level of the ascending channel, where the price may find momentum for a recovery.
Personal Insight:
Given the current scenario, I would advise investors to closely watch the current resistance area and prepare for the possibility that the price could decline after touching this zone. Stop-loss orders should be cautiously placed to protect capital from potential volatility. For those looking to capitalize on a downward trend, waiting for a reversal confirmation before placing sell orders could be a prudent strategy.
Wishing all our readers successful trading and stay tuned to market developments to seize beneficial opportunities.
EUR/USD Analysis: Bearish Forecast After Short-Term PullbackDear Readers,
Today, let’s dive into the technical analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair and consider the possibility of a pullback scenario before the main downtrend continues.
Resistance Zone and Pullback Potential:
The strong resistance zone marked in pink on the current chart is the point at which EUR/USD has failed to overcome in recent attempts. This represents strong selling pressure at higher prices. In the short term, a pullback could occur when the price approaches this resistance zone again, attracting investors looking for an opportunity to sell.
Support Line and Downtrend:
The main support line, drawn in black, has kept the price from falling further since late November. The price has bounced from this support line a few times, but a pullback to the above resistance zone could be just a temporary sign before the main downtrend continues.
EMAs and Price Action Prediction:
EUR/USD is currently trading between the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, representing a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. A pullback could see the price approach or break above the 34 EMA before selling pressure returns, resulting in a fresh decline.
Personal View:
After the pullback is complete and the resistance level is not broken, EUR/USD is likely to resume its downtrend. The price could fall to the next support level at 1.04245 and could continue to fall to 1.03838. Traders should consider establishing short positions as the price approaches the resistance, with carefully placed stop-loss orders to protect capital. This could be a good opportunity to ride the long-term downtrend without getting caught in short-term rallies.
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Consulting A Stock Exchange Broker. ...
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Trading options offers a number of benefits for an active trader: Options can offer high returns and do so over a short period, allowing you to multiply your money quickly if your wager is right. With options, it can cost less to get the same exposure to a stock's price movement than it does to buy the stock directly.
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