m15 timeframe sees gold drop sharply by 50 points 🔍 Market Context
Gold prices have just reached an all-time high (ATH GOLD) around the 4,180 USD mark, following a steep upward rally over several sessions.
Immediately after, the market witnessed the first break of structure (BoS) – a sign that the upward momentum is weakening .
Currently, prices are returning to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 4,125 – 4,145 USD , and this is likely a liquidity rebalancing phase before prices choose the next direction.
💎 Technical Analysis
ATH GOLD: 4,180 – 4,185 USD
Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4,125 – 4,145 USD → an empty price zone that needs to be filled.
Order Block Buy Zone 1: 4,050 – 4,060 USD → the nearest demand zone, potentially creating the first technical reaction.
Order Block Buy Zone 2: 3,980 – 3,985 USD → a deeper demand zone, large liquidity confluence, possibly becoming the main "accumulation point."
Overall Structure: After breaking the upward channel, the market is in a retracement phase – the medium-term structure remains bullish .
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario – filling FVG and technical adjustment
If prices continue to test the FVG 4,125 – 4,145 USD zone without surpassing it,
→ consider a short-term sell to catch the technical retracement phase.
Target: the first OB Buy Zone at 4,050 USD .
Stop Loss: above 4,155 USD (to avoid being swept above the FVG peak).
➡️ This scenario suits short-term traders following corrective waves – only enter when there is a clear reversal candle confirmation.
2️⃣ Trend-following Buy Scenario – catching the rebound from OB Zone
If prices adjust to the 4,050 – 4,060 USD zone, observe reaction signals such as Bullish Engulfing or strong Rejection .
Upon confirmation, initiate a trend-following buy order .
Target: zone 4,125 → 4,145 USD or the previous peak at 4,180 USD.
Stop Loss: below 4,030 USD.
If the first OB zone does not hold, the 3,980 – 3,985 USD zone will be an ideal area for long-term "accumulation."
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid FOMO buying at high prices when the FVG is not yet filled.
Prioritise trading at clear reaction zones (OB, FVG edge).
Reduce volume when entering counter-trend orders to preserve capital.
💬 Conclusion
After a steep rise, gold is entering a value rebalancing phase .
The current market structure leans towards a short-term technical retracement before continuing the main upward trend.
If the 4,050 – 4,060 USD zone reacts well, gold may soon rebound and aim for the 4,150 – 4,180 USD zone.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Short-term sell when price reacts at FVG.
Wait to buy at OB Buy Zone when there is a confirmed bullish signal.
Forexsignals
CHF/JPY Builds Momentum for Next Wave HigherThe CHF/JPY 1-hour chart shows a completed wave (1) near the 191.17 level, confirming a strong bullish impulse after a previous decline. The pair is now entering a wave (2) corrective phase, which is likely to retrace toward the 188.7–189.0 support zone before resuming the next upward move. This pullback appears to be a healthy correction within the broader uptrend. Once the correction is complete, wave (3) is expected to begin, targeting levels above 193.0 . The overall market structure remains bullish, suggesting that any short-term dips could offer potential buying opportunities for traders waiting for the next impulsive rally
Stay tuned
@Money_Dictators
Thank you.
LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark: The upward wave continues
Hello everyone,
Gold continues to maintain its impressive upward momentum as the DXY only slightly increases by 0.50% and is currently at 98.21 – a signal indicating that safe-haven flows still prioritise precious metals.
Currently, the technical structure on H1 shows gold is in a clear upward channel, with price reaction zones accurately identified through Fibonacci and trendline, aiming for the next major target of $4000/oz.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1)
Main Trend: Strong upward, Higher High – Higher Low structure remains intact
Main Support Zone: around 3890 – 3900, coinciding with Fibo 1.0 confluence + upward trendline
Psychological Resistance Zone: 3955 – 3999, corresponding to Fibo extension 2.0 – 3.6
RSI is moving into the 70+ zone, reflecting strong buying force but short-term correction signs need to be observed.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios
Buy scalping
📍 3909 – 3911
🛑 SL: 3904
🎯 TP: 3940 – 3955 – 3970 – 3990
Buy swing
📍 3888 – 3890
🛑 SL: 3882
🎯 TP: 3910 – 3925 – 3950 – 3975 – 3990
Sell scalping
📍 3956 – 3958
🛑 SL: 3964
🎯 TP: 3935 – 3910 – 3890
Sell swing
📍 3997 – 3999
🛑 SL: 4010
🎯 TP: 3975 – 3950 – 3925
🧭 Trend Analysis
With the current upward force and stable technical structure, the $4000 target is entirely feasible in the short term.
The preferred strategy is to BUY with the trend, watch for pullbacks to optimise entry, and avoid FOMO at the peak.
Adjustments to the support zone 3890–3900 will be a beautiful opportunity to open buy positions.
💡 I will continue to update detailed reaction zones & new plans in each session.
Follow me for the earliest updates on daily gold scenarios!
XAUUSD – Gold Bulls Eye New Highs | Francis FiboMatrix Plan📊 Market Outlook
Gold keeps climbing with momentum, now approaching the 3,800$ zone. The market is fuelled by expectations of more Fed rate cuts and rising demand for safe-haven assets as global uncertainties stay elevated.
Silver is also breaking higher, heading toward its historic $50 target, confirming the broader strength in precious metals.
📍 Trading Levels
✅ BUY Zone: 3782 – 3780
🛑 Stop Loss: 3772
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1 → 3800
TP2 → 3829
TP3 → 3848
TP4 → 3885+ (long-term hold if 377x holds support)
⚡ Trading Plan
Only look for BUY setups on dips – no shorting in this phase.
Keep position sizing balanced; trail stops once price moves past 3829.
Bias remains bullish as long as gold holds above 377x support.
💡 Francis Note
This is not just a trade – it’s part of the bigger wave. Play the retracements smart, respect risk, and let the trend do the heavy lifting.
💬 Your View?
Is gold ready to break beyond 3,885 → 3,900, or will we get a quick pullback first? Drop your charts and setups below 👇
XAUUSD – Need confirmation before placing orders
Hello everyone,
Last week, gold experienced a strong surge, but after hitting the resistance at 378x, a noticeable selling pressure emerged, causing the price to drop and the weekly candle to close in a corrective direction. This indicates a market sentiment of hesitation, especially for those trading on margin, who are more susceptible to fear-driven decisions.
Technical Analysis
Currently, the price is returning to test the trendline around 3752. This is a crucial area where a reactive Buy can be considered, with a safe stop loss placed below 3743. However, this is merely a trade based on crowd psychology, so careful observation of price action is necessary.
In the event the price breaks the upward channel, we will wait for a pullback around 3760 to enter a Sell order. Should this scenario unfold, the downtrend will become clearer, with the target potentially reaching the 366x–367x region.
Additionally, pay special attention to the support area of 3717–3723. This is a significant price zone, and if breached, gold is likely to enter a medium-term downtrend. In this context, a reactive Buy at 3715 could also be a reasonable scalping option for those who prefer short-term trading.
Trading Scenarios
Buy around 3752, SL 3743.
Sell upon breaking the trendline and pulling back to 3760, expecting a decline to 366x–367x.
Buy scalping at 3715, SL 3709, short TP towards 3723–3735.
📌 As the new week begins, be patient and observe the price reactions at key areas to obtain clear confirmation signals before placing orders.
Hopefully, this scenario will be helpful for everyone's trading process. I will continue to share more so that everyone can keep a better track of the market.
LiamTrading – Medium-term Gold Outlook H4Let's prepare the scenario for the new week, folks!
In my opinion, gold in the coming week may start to show a medium-term correction phase. However, it is important to note that nothing is absolutely certain on a larger timeframe. If you are trading intraday, stay closely aligned with price action to ensure higher accuracy.
Gold closed the weekly candle at 3759.85 – a price level that clearly indicates hesitation. The end-of-week session showed a rejection of price increase, mainly due to profit-taking pressure, so it cannot be immediately confirmed that a downtrend will begin.
The upward price channel is still strong, so it is essential to maintain a buying trend mindset to ensure the confidence in holding profits remains firm.
The upward structure is still stable, but the RSI has reflected a weakening in buying sentiment. To confirm a medium-term correction, gold needs to break 3720. At that point, a reasonable strategy would be to wait to sell around 3737–3740 (retracing to the trendline), targeting the support area coinciding with the highest volume profile cluster at 3645.
Conversely, the buying scenario will occur when:
- Price touches the 3735 boundary and a candle rejection reaction appears.
- Or gold breaks above the minor resistance at 3780, in which case you can buy immediately, with expectations towards the 3850 area.
Next week, be patient and wait for market confirmation to increase the probability of success. I will continue to share detailed scenarios in each trading session for everyone to stay updated.
Gold under EMA pressure Buy at support,short scalp at resistance🟡 XAU/USD – Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News
FED : Probability of a 25bps cut in October is 91.09% → almost certain.
US Calendar today : GDP, Jobless Claims, Durable Goods Orders, and especially speeches from 3 FED officials → strong volatility expected.
Gold yesterday : Dropped deeply but reacted precisely at key support → according to Vincent, this sell-off was mainly due to investors being cautious ahead of tomorrow’s CPI data.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Short-term waves are pressured by EMAs, but the bigger voyage remains bullish – sailors prioritize Buy at Golden Harbor, only Quick Boarding 🚤 when facing Storm Breaker.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (H30, EMA 34 & EMA 89)
EMA : EMA 34 (yellow) crossing below EMA 89 (red) → short-term bearish signal.
Trend : Overall still bullish, with Bullish OBs and Buy Zones below acting as strong supports.
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
3,769 – 3,777 (Bearish OB)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
3,734 – 3,718 (Bullish OB)
3,687 – 3,685 (Buy Zone OB)
3,650 – 3,648 (Deeper Buy Zone, confluence with EMA 89)
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
⚡ Sell (short-term scalp)
Entry: 3,776 – 3,773
SL: 3,783
TP: 3,770 – 3,765 – 3,760 – 3,755 – 3,750
✅ Buy (main priority)
Buy Zone 1 (OB)
Entry: 3,687 – 3,685
SL: 3,678
TP: 3,700 – 3,705 – 3,710 – 3,715 – 3,720
Buy Zone 2 (Deeper OB)
Entry: 3,650 – 3,648
SL: 3,638
TP: 3,665 – 3,670 – 3,675 – 3,680 – 3,685
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails are facing headwinds from short-term EMAs, but Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,734 – 3,650) remains a solid support dock. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,769 – 3,777) is only suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Tonight, the US sea will bring big waves from data & FED speeches – sailors, tighten your sails and manage trades with discipline.”
📢 If you find Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the latest updates.
💬 Do you have a different view on Gold? Drop a comment and join the crew discussion!
LiamTrading – XAUUSD IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS OF CURRENT TRENDLiamTrading – XAUUSD Scenario Today: Opportunities at Key Price Levels
Gold continues its strong upward momentum, currently fluctuating around the 376x–377x range after a series of breakthroughs. The technical structure on the H1 chart shows the market is forming clear resistance and support zones, suitable for short-term trading plans.
Technical Analysis
RSI is cooling off from high levels, indicating the possibility of a short-term correction.
The upper price range around 3818–3821 is a strong confluence of resistance, coinciding with wave peaks and Fibonacci extensions, making it prone to selling reactions.
Conversely, the support zones at 373x and 370x exhibit dense liquidity, serving as potential buying points when prices adjust.
The short-term Dow structure still leans towards an uptrend, but attention is needed for the sell confirmation zone if gold fails at the peak.
Reference Trading Plan
Sell Zone: 3818 – 3821, SL 3828, TP 3805 – 3785 – 3760 – 3732 – 3650
Buy Scalping: 3728 – 3731, SL 3723, TP 3750 – 3777 – 3790
Buy Zone: 3706 – 3709, SL 3700, TP 3725 – 3738 – 3750 – 3777 – 3790
In summary, the main trend still leans towards an increase, but with gold approaching strong resistance zones, the likelihood of a correction is very high. Traders need to patiently wait for reactions at the marked zones for optimal entries, while managing risk tightly.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you're interested in gold scenarios, follow me for the fastest updates.
XAUUSD – The Decisive Zone and Trading ScenariosTechnical Analysis
Gold prices on the H4 chart are in a recovery phase after retesting the support at 3,661–3,662. The latest candle has rebounded strongly to the 3,684 zone, yet the structure still indicates a clear tug-of-war.
The upward trendline was breached in the previous decline, and currently, the price is retracing to test this area again. This is a crucial point to determine whether the short-term uptrend will continue.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed around the 3,613–3,626 zone, along with the Fibonacci extension, becomes a point of interest for deeper pullbacks.
The Volume Profile indicates the main Point of Control (POC) lies lower, around 3,551, a potential target for gold to revisit if selling pressure increases.
The RSI (14) is at ~59, leaning towards the buyers but hasn't crossed into the overbought territory → the current momentum is more of a recovery rather than a sustainable uptrend.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy following the short-term trend:
Entry: wait for a retest at 3,673–3,662
SL: below 3,655
TP1: 3,690–3,700
TP2: 3,708–3,715 (2.0–2.618 Fib extension)
Scenario 2 – Short sell after confirmed failure:
If the price fails to hold above 3,661 and there is a reversal signal on H4, consider selling.
Entry: 3,661–3,650 (after confirmation candle)
SL: above 3,673
TP1: 3,626–3,613 (FVG + support)
TP2: 3,579
TP3: 3,551 (POC Volume Profile)
Key Price Levels to Watch
3,708–3,715: extended resistance zone, Fibonacci confluence, important target for buyers.
3,661–3,662: short-term support, the boundary to determine the next trend.
3,613–3,626: FVG + intermediate support, a zone prone to reactions.
3,551: volume POC, a deeper target if the market breaks all support.
I will apply the long-term trading scenario in the new week, give me a follow for motivation to write more!
XAU/USD – Captain Vincent Weekly Plan🔎 Captain’s Log – Context
📈 Main Trend : Strong uptrend after BoS.
📊 Price moving sideways within the rising channel, staying below Weak High 3674 .
📌 EMA 50 > EMA 200 → bullish trend remains solid.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Golden Harbor (BUY – Main Priority)
🎯 Entry:
FVG Dock: 3602 – 3593
FVG Deep: 3567 – 3560
OB Harbor: 3535 – 3540
⛔ SL: below 3520
✅ TP1: 3674 (sweep Weak High)
✅ TP2: 3720 – 3740
2️⃣ Quick Boarding (Short-term SELL – Counter-trend)
Condition: If price breaks 3674 first → watch for false break.
🎯 Entry: 3670 – 3680
✅ TP: back to 3602 – 3567
⚠️ Note : scalp only, don’t hold long.
3️⃣ Storm Breaker Alert (Bearish Scenario)
If 3535 breaks → short-term uptrend invalidated.
🎯 Bearish target: 3480 – 3500
Captain’s Note ⚓
“The golden sail still catches the wind after BoS, leading the captain and crew on the bullish tide. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3593 – 3560 – 3535) remains the preferred docking point to load cargo and continue the voyage. Quick Boarding 🚤 at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3670 – 3680) is only a short ride when the ship sweeps liquidity at Weak High 3674 . Should 3535 break, the ship might be dragged toward 3480 – 3500, but as long as it anchors at Golden Harbor, the grand journey still heads north toward 3720+.”
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Could Launch Wave (5)Namaste Traders
Gold on the M30 chart remains bullish, but the push into the upper channel line signals short-term profit booking. For those trading Gold/USD or tracking Gold in INR terms on MCX, here’s my plan for the upcoming sessions:
🔍 Technical Overview
Price completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural zone for sellers to take profits.
The 3666–3670 region has acted as a pivot/support multiple times. I expect a Wave (4) correction into this zone before a fresh rally.
3657 is deeper support and also serves as the invalidation level for the bullish scenario.
If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) could push towards 3720–3725.
📈 Key Levels
Type Price Level Notes
Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch for rejection
Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4)
Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation
Target (5) 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target
⚙️ Trading Plan
✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation)
Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a small sweep to ~3657).
Confirmation: Look for a bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on the M30 chart.
Take Profit:
TP1: 3695–3700 (previous high/resistance)
TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection)
Stop Loss: Below ~3652.
Risk/Reward: Aim for 1:2 to 1:3.
⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short
If price retests 3695–3700 and forms a strong rejection, a quick countertrend short is possible.
Targets: 3670 → 3657.
Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707.
Use small position sizing, as this is against the primary trend.
🛡 Risk & Invalidation
A close below 3656 plus a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario.
For Indian traders watching MCX Gold (in INR), keep in mind USD/INR fluctuations – a weaker rupee can amplify gold gains even if spot prices pause.
Always keep risk ≤1–1.5% per trade and avoid chasing late entries.
🧭 Final Thoughts
Gold’s trend is still bullish on the short-term chart. A healthy correction into 3666–3670 could offer a prime entry for Wave (5). Be patient, wait for confirmation, and let the price come to your zone.
Countertrend shorts are valid only on a clear rejection at 3695–3700 – otherwise, stick with the trend.
Good luck and happy trading,
Gold Outlook – Short-Term Pullback, Long-Term StrengthGold has shown a strong bullish phase over recent weeks after a long consolidation. The market moved from accumulation into expansion, reflecting renewed participation by larger players. This upward momentum indicates strong capital inflows, supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and shifting investor sentiment.
Technically, price has broken out of a prolonged range and established a clear upward trajectory. Market structure suggests that buyers remain in control, though current price levels are showing signs of potential exhaustion, which could trigger short-term corrective moves before the broader trend resumes.
Fundamentally, global economic pressures continue to boost gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. Concerns over inflation, central bank policy adjustments, and currency volatility are keeping investor demand elevated. With global risk sentiment fluctuating, gold is likely to remain an attractive hedge, sustaining its medium-term bullish outlook despite short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion: Gold is in an expansion cycle, supported by both technical momentum and fundamental demand. Short-term corrections are expected, but the broader trajectory remains upward.
XAUUSD | FED leaning toward 50bps cut? | Buy strategy at support🟡 XAU/USD – 12/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context
The probability of a FED -50bps cut next week has risen to 10.9% (from 8%), while a -25bps scenario is almost certain.
US jobless claims rose sharply → reflecting a weakening labor market, reinforcing expectations of FED easing.
Tonight (21:00): release of Consumer Sentiment & 1Y–5Y Inflation Outlook (University of Michigan) – data that could further impact the Dollar.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: Dollar weakness + falling bond yields = Gold remains supported to rise. However, short-term pullbacks may appear before breaking higher levels.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone):
Weak High: 3675 – 3677 (psychological barrier)
Peak Zone: 3676 – 3680 (high test, short-term reversal risk)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone):
FVG: 3603 – 3601
Deep Harbor: 3621 – 3623
Price Structure:
On H1, Gold has repeatedly formed BoS and Equal High (EqH) around 3645 – 3650.
An FVG appears → sign that price may need to fill the liquidity gap before continuing.
Priority scenario: Pullback to 3636 or deeper 3621, then rebound towards 3675 – 3680.
If 3680 breaks successfully → opens the way for new ATH above 3700.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Plan
✅ Buy (trend-follow priority)
Buy FVG: 3601 – 3603 | SL: 3591 | TP: 3605 – 3610 – 3615 – 3620 – 36xx
Buy Zone: 3621 – 3623 | SL: 3612 | TP: 3640 – 3655 – 3665 – 3675 – 368x
⚡ Sell (short-term scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone: 3675 – 3680 | SL: 3684 | TP: 3665 – 3655 – 3645 – 36xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The dovish wind from the FED continues to push the golden sails forward. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3636 – 3621) is the safe docking zone for sailors to gather strength before the new voyage. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3675 – 3680) may create big waves for short Quick Boarding 🚤 , but the main course is still heading North. If the 3680 wave breaks, the golden ship will extend its journey to new peaks above 3700.”
Caution ahead of US PPI report | Priority on Sell setups🟡 XAU/USD – 10/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context
US 10-year bond yields rebound, signaling the market is awaiting key inflation data.
At 07:30, US PPI report will be released – a crucial figure that could strongly influence FED rate expectations.
Investors are also eyeing US CPI in the coming days to assess the inflation outlook.
The US Supreme Court accepted Trump’s appeal, but this news has not yet had a notable impact on Gold.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: Ahead of inflation data, Gold often tends to correct lower due to cautious sentiment.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Key Resistance):
Bearish OB: 3654 – 3660 (short-term upper cap)
ATH Watchtower: 3700 – 3702 (Sell Zone – possible new ATH test)
Golden Harbor (Strong Support):
Buy Zone: 3601 – 3602
OB Dock: 3582 – 3585
Currently, price is around 3640 – 3645, after a technical rebound from support. High probability that Gold will retest nearby resistance before a downward correction.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL – Daily Priority)
Entry 1: 3654 – 3660
SL: 3668
TP: 3654 → 3650 → 3618 → 3610
Entry 2 – ATH Test: 3701 – 3703
SL: 3711
TP: 3688 → 3675 → 3665 → 365x
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Only at deep support)
Buy Zone: 3601 – 3603
SL: 3592
TP: 3610 → 3620 → 3630
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The golden ship faces turbulent seas today as it sails near Storm Breaker 🌊 (3654 – 3660) . Before the fierce winds called US PPI , sailors should prioritize dropping anchor with short-term SELL positions at resistance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3601 – 3603) remains a safe haven below, but only when the ship corrects deeply should it dock. On this voyage, Quick Boarding 🚤 is for scalp maneuvers, while the main current is still steered by the stormy waves of inflation.”
XAU/USD – GOLD 08/09 | Captain VincentObserving JPY & USD | Buy still holds dominance
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
This morning there were no major new updates.
The US session tonight (08/09) will also not release big data.
The latest impact on the market is Japanese PM S. Ishiba’s resignation , which pressured JPY downward and slightly lifted the Dollar.
However, Gold only made a small correction and maintained strong stability.
➡️ Captain’s Summary: Dollar and JPY currently only have indirect influence, not enough to push Gold deeply lower. The main trend is still supported for a bullish rebound.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Captain’s Shield (Main Support):
Golden Harbor OB: 3542 – 3549
Main Buy Zone: 3549 – 3551
Liquidity Dock: 3573 – 3575
Storm Breaker (Resistance):
Quick Boarding: 3602 – 3604 (Short-term Sell scalp)
Storm Breaker Peak: 3632 – 3634 (Sell zone – may form a new ATH)
⏩ Price structure remains bullish (continuous BOS). Corrections are mainly liquidity grabs before pushing up to higher resistance zones.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority)
Buy Zone: 3549 – 3551 | SL: 3542 | TP: 3553 → 3557 → 3560 → 3563 → 35xx
Liquidity Dock: 3573 – 3575 | SL: 3565 | TP: 3578 → 3581 → 3583 → 35xx
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short-term)
Entry: 3602 – 3604
SL: 3610
TP: 3600 → 3597 → 3594 → 3591 → 3588 → 35xx
🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – New ATH)
Entry: 3632 – 3634
SL: 3640
TP: 3629 → 3625 → 3623 → 3619 → 361x
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The golden ship sails steadily as the seas remain calm this morning, with no big news waves. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3549 – 3551) together with OB near 3542 is the safe anchorage for sailors riding the bullish trend. Liquidity Dock ⚓ (3573 – 3575) is just a temporary anchor before the bullish winds carry the ship further. Quick Boarding 🚤 (3602 – 3604) is for those who want to ride short-term waves. And if the ship touches Storm Breaker 🌊 (3632 – 3634) , it may be a new wave peak – but the grand journey is still headed North with the bullish sails full of wind.”
XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs?Hello Traders And Investors
XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs? 🔥”
The recent price action on Gold (XAUUSD) has reached a very critical level near $3,586 – $3,600, which aligns with a strong resistance zone. This area is marked as a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), where sellers may step back into the market.
🔍 Market Structure Breakdown:
Previous Liquidity Sweep
Price collected liquidity below the July lows before forming a Higher Low at the start of August.
This move gave the market strength to push higher, creating a clean bullish structure.
Strong Impulsive Rally
From mid-August onwards, gold showed a strong bullish impulse, breaking through minor resistance levels without much pullback.
However, such parabolic moves often lack sustainability, making them vulnerable to a healthy correction.
Resistance & PRZ Reaction
The current resistance zone has historically acted as a strong rejection level.
Price tapping into this zone suggests exhaustion in bullish momentum, increasing the probability of a short-term pullback.
🎯 Target Zones for Downside Move:
1st Target: $3,480 – $3,500
This area coincides with a previous demand block and will act as the first reaction point.
Final Target: $3,330 – $3,320 (Key Support)
If bearish momentum sustains, price could revisit this major support, completing the correction phase before potentially resuming the broader uptrend.
GBP/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown PotentialThe GBP/USD 30-minute chart shows price moving within an ascending trendline but recently stalling near resistance around 1.3550–1.3560. The Ichimoku cloud suggests weakening bullish momentum, with price struggling to sustain above the support line.
Bearish Setup: A breakdown below the ascending trendline and cloud support around 1.3500 could trigger stronger downside pressure.
Targets: If selling momentum continues, price may test the 1.3420 and 1.3395 support levels.
Stop Loss: A safe invalidation zone lies above 1.3550–1.3560, where further upside would invalidate the bearish scenario.
🔎 Overall, GBP/USD looks vulnerable to a short-term pullback unless it reclaims strong bullish momentum above 1.3550.
High probability 1:7 Gold buy scenario.Gold is developing nice scenario for upside move. Currently it is under consolidation. We are expecting manipulation toward FVG (1 and 15m overlapping) and then upward movement after liquidity sweep. Below is detail
1. Price has created Break of Structure.
2. Displacement happened, which created FVGs in 5 and 15m overlapping.
3. FVGs are formed in Discount and OTE zone.
4. FVGs are overlapping BB on 5m.
5. HTF bias is also upside.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:7) trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
Xau USD Bullish Structure Xau USD is making Higher High pattern . From 3325 it's moving upward with Higher High pattern . It's moving up . From here I m seeing again 10 -15 point movement . It's bullish Structure at higher level . We can wait for retracement if you are safe player. Consult your financial advisor before making any position in stock market.
1:7 RnR trade opportunity on GBPCADGBPCAD is forming a great price action and scenario. Which may lead to high risk and reward trade. Below are the signals noticed ...
1. Price has broken 10 days’ consolidation of trend line and nearby resistance as well.
2. Created BOS and FVG on 1-hour time frame in discount area.
3. Price is running above VWAP and 21 EMA. And 21 EMA crossing over VWAP.
4. Now we can expect a pullback till FVG area.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high RnR (1:7) trade scenario.
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Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
USDCAD – Bearish Trade Setup (1H Timeframe)Trade Details
Entry: 1.38469
Stop Loss: 1.38845
Target: 1.37977
🔹 Technical Reasons for Bearish Bias
Trendline Breakdown
Price recently broke below the rising trendline, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened.
The failed retest of the broken trendline confirms bearish pressure.
Moving Averages Confirmation
The short-term moving averages (yellow lines) have crossed to the downside, aligning with bearish sentiment.
Price is trading below these moving averages, signaling sellers are in control.
Lower High Formation
After the sharp drop, the latest pullback failed to make a new higher high.
This indicates a shift from bullish structure to a bearish lower-high pattern.
Weak Recovery Attempt
The rebound after the drop is shallow and lacks strong bullish candles.
This suggests the market is unable to regain bullish momentum.
🔹 Risk Management
The Stop Loss is placed above the recent swing high (1.38845), protecting against sudden spikes.
The Target is set at 1.37977, aligning with recent support levels and offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
🔹 Trade Outlook
This setup anticipates continuation of the bearish trend after the trendline break. Unless price reclaims and sustains above 1.3885, sellers remain favored in the short term. A successful breakdown could open the way for deeper downside in USDCAD.
✅ Summary:
Bearish structure confirmed by trendline break, bearish moving average alignment, and weak recovery → Entered short at 1.38469, targeting 1.37977 with stop at 1.38845.
XAU/USD Trading Plan – Gold Eyes 3400! 🚀Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum as the USD weakens, and buyers are stepping in with strong FOMO-driven demand. However, a short-term correction (1–2 days) is still possible before the next big leg higher.
The smart play? ⚡ Wait for clean pullbacks into strong liquidity zones — buy low, hold, and ride the trend.
📊 Short-Term View (M15–H1)
Break below 337x could push Gold quickly down to 335x–334x to fill liquidity gaps.
Bigger picture remains bullish with a potential run to 3400 and beyond.
🔑 Key Levels
Support: 3363 – 3356 – 3349 – 3335
Resistance: 3385 – 3391 – 3402 – 3425
🎯 Trading Plan
✅ Buy Setups
Scalp Buy: 3356 – 3354
SL: 3350
Targets: 3360 → 3365 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400+
Swing Buy Zone: 3336 – 3334
SL: 3330
Targets: 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3380 → 3400+
❌ Sell Setups
Scalp Sell: 3385 – 3387
SL: 3390
Targets: 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3365 → 3350
High-Risk Sell Zone: 3401 – 3403
SL: 3407
Targets: 3396 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370
📌 Takeaway
Gold is still bullish overall, but short-term dips are healthy and provide the best entry points. Stay patient, wait for price action to confirm at key support, and let the market pay you.
AUDJPY – High Probability Short Setup (15M)
📊 Market Insight:
AUDJPY has broken intraday structure and is now retracing into the 95.44 – 95.60 supply zone. This level is key for potential downside continuation.
🔑 Setup Details:
Supply Zone: 95.44 – 95.60
Entry Zone: 95.40 – 95.55 (confirmation required)
Targets:
TP1: 95.00
TP2: 94.85 – 94.90
Stop Loss: Above 95.60
🎯 Trading Approach:
I look for rejection or bearish confirmation candles before entering. Strict stop-loss placement and structured exits ensure controlled exposure, a must in fund management.
⚖️ Risk Management Philosophy:
Every trade is positioned with calculated risk allocation to safeguard client capital while compounding returns. Consistency and discipline form the backbone of my strategy.
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