XAU/USD – Gold Retests Bullish OB, Preparing for a Major Recover📊 Market Structure
After the Liquidity Sweep around the 4,26x highs, Gold shifted into a short-term distribution phase and formed a series of bearish ChoCHs.
However, the entire current decline remains a corrective move, as price is now approaching the Bullish Order Block at 4,155 – 4,158 USD, which is also the primary support of the prevailing trend.
The ascending trendline has not been fully broken → buyers still have structure support.
The main scenario: price may continue sweeping deeper into the Bullish OB, or even tag the Deep OB at 4,129 – 4,130 USD, before initiating a strong bullish recovery.
💎 Key Technical Zones
Bullish OB: 4,155 – 4,158 USD → primary BUY zone
Deep OB: 4,129 – 4,130 USD → safer BUY zone (deep retest)
Bearish OB: 4,211 – 4,213 USD → short-term SELL reaction
Liquidity Above: 4,239 – 4,240 USD
🎯 Trading Plan – Two Clear Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend-Following Priority
When price taps the Bullish OB 4,155 – 4,158 and prints a clear rejection candle:
Entry: 4,155 – 4,158
SL: 4,128
TP1: 4,188
TP2: 4,211
TP3: 4,239
TP4: 4,260+
→ A trend-aligned setup: low risk – high reward.
→ If price does not react at the Bullish OB, wait for a deeper BUY at the Deep OB (safer).
2️⃣ SELL Scalp – For Intraday Traders Only
If price retraces into the Bearish OB 4,211 – 4,213 and shows rejection:
Entry: 4,211 – 4,213
SL: 4,225
Short TP: 4,188 → 4,175
→ This is only a reaction play. Do NOT hold long-term since the main trend remains bullish.
🧠 Vincent’s View
Gold is likely in its final corrective phase before starting a new bullish leg.
As long as 4,129 remains intact, buyers maintain full control.
Smart money is likely accumulating around the Bullish OB before pushing price back toward 4,239 – 4,260.
⚡ “Smart money always returns to where strength began — buy where the market was born.”
⏰ Timeframe: H1
📅 Updated: 04/12/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
