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XAUUSD – The Decisive Zone and Trading ScenariosTechnical Analysis Gold prices on the H4 chart are in a recovery phase after retesting the support at 3,661–3,662. The latest candle has rebounded strongly to the 3,684 zone, yet the structure still indicates a clear tug-of-war. The upward trendline was breached in the previous decline, and currently, the price is retracing to test this area again. This is a crucial point to determine whether the short-term uptrend will continue. The Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed around the 3,613–3,626 zone, along with the Fibonacci extension, becomes a point of interest for deeper pullbacks. The Volume Profile indicates the main Point of Control (POC) lies lower, around 3,551, a potential target for gold to revisit if selling pressure increases. The RSI (14) is at ~59, leaning towards the buyers but hasn't crossed into the overbought territory → the current momentum is more of a recovery rather than a sustainable uptrend. Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy following the short-term trend: Entry: wait for a retest at 3,673–3,662 SL: below 3,655 TP1: 3,690–3,700 TP2: 3,708–3,715 (2.0–2.618 Fib extension) Scenario 2 – Short sell after confirmed failure: If the price fails to hold above 3,661 and there is a reversal signal on H4, consider selling. Entry: 3,661–3,650 (after confirmation candle) SL: above 3,673 TP1: 3,626–3,613 (FVG + support) TP2: 3,579 TP3: 3,551 (POC Volume Profile) Key Price Levels to Watch 3,708–3,715: extended resistance zone, Fibonacci confluence, important target for buyers. 3,661–3,662: short-term support, the boundary to determine the next trend. 3,613–3,626: FVG + intermediate support, a zone prone to reactions. 3,551: volume POC, a deeper target if the market breaks all support. I will apply the long-term trading scenario in the new week, give me a follow for motivation to write more!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAU/USD – Captain Vincent Weekly Plan🔎 Captain’s Log – Context 📈 Main Trend : Strong uptrend after BoS. 📊 Price moving sideways within the rising channel, staying below Weak High 3674 . 📌 EMA 50 > EMA 200 → bullish trend remains solid. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Golden Harbor (BUY – Main Priority) 🎯 Entry: FVG Dock: 3602 – 3593 FVG Deep: 3567 – 3560 OB Harbor: 3535 – 3540 ⛔ SL: below 3520 ✅ TP1: 3674 (sweep Weak High) ✅ TP2: 3720 – 3740 2️⃣ Quick Boarding (Short-term SELL – Counter-trend) Condition: If price breaks 3674 first → watch for false break. 🎯 Entry: 3670 – 3680 ✅ TP: back to 3602 – 3567 ⚠️ Note : scalp only, don’t hold long. 3️⃣ Storm Breaker Alert (Bearish Scenario) If 3535 breaks → short-term uptrend invalidated. 🎯 Bearish target: 3480 – 3500 Captain’s Note ⚓ “The golden sail still catches the wind after BoS, leading the captain and crew on the bullish tide. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3593 – 3560 – 3535) remains the preferred docking point to load cargo and continue the voyage. Quick Boarding 🚤 at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3670 – 3680) is only a short ride when the ship sweeps liquidity at Weak High 3674 . Should 3535 break, the ship might be dragged toward 3480 – 3500, but as long as it anchors at Golden Harbor, the grand journey still heads north toward 3720+.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Could Launch Wave (5)Namaste Traders Gold on the M30 chart remains bullish, but the push into the upper channel line signals short-term profit booking. For those trading Gold/USD or tracking Gold in INR terms on MCX, here’s my plan for the upcoming sessions: 🔍 Technical Overview Price completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural zone for sellers to take profits. The 3666–3670 region has acted as a pivot/support multiple times. I expect a Wave (4) correction into this zone before a fresh rally. 3657 is deeper support and also serves as the invalidation level for the bullish scenario. If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) could push towards 3720–3725. 📈 Key Levels Type Price Level Notes Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch for rejection Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4) Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation Target (5) 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target ⚙️ Trading Plan ✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation) Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a small sweep to ~3657). Confirmation: Look for a bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on the M30 chart. Take Profit: TP1: 3695–3700 (previous high/resistance) TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection) Stop Loss: Below ~3652. Risk/Reward: Aim for 1:2 to 1:3. ⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short If price retests 3695–3700 and forms a strong rejection, a quick countertrend short is possible. Targets: 3670 → 3657. Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707. Use small position sizing, as this is against the primary trend. 🛡 Risk & Invalidation A close below 3656 plus a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario. For Indian traders watching MCX Gold (in INR), keep in mind USD/INR fluctuations – a weaker rupee can amplify gold gains even if spot prices pause. Always keep risk ≤1–1.5% per trade and avoid chasing late entries. 🧭 Final Thoughts Gold’s trend is still bullish on the short-term chart. A healthy correction into 3666–3670 could offer a prime entry for Wave (5). Be patient, wait for confirmation, and let the price come to your zone. Countertrend shorts are valid only on a clear rejection at 3695–3700 – otherwise, stick with the trend. Good luck and happy trading,
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
1
Gold Outlook – Short-Term Pullback, Long-Term StrengthGold has shown a strong bullish phase over recent weeks after a long consolidation. The market moved from accumulation into expansion, reflecting renewed participation by larger players. This upward momentum indicates strong capital inflows, supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and shifting investor sentiment. Technically, price has broken out of a prolonged range and established a clear upward trajectory. Market structure suggests that buyers remain in control, though current price levels are showing signs of potential exhaustion, which could trigger short-term corrective moves before the broader trend resumes. Fundamentally, global economic pressures continue to boost gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. Concerns over inflation, central bank policy adjustments, and currency volatility are keeping investor demand elevated. With global risk sentiment fluctuating, gold is likely to remain an attractive hedge, sustaining its medium-term bullish outlook despite short-term pullbacks. Conclusion: Gold is in an expansion cycle, supported by both technical momentum and fundamental demand. Short-term corrections are expected, but the broader trajectory remains upward.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
XAUUSD | FED leaning toward 50bps cut? | Buy strategy at support🟡 XAU/USD – 12/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context The probability of a FED -50bps cut next week has risen to 10.9% (from 8%), while a -25bps scenario is almost certain. US jobless claims rose sharply → reflecting a weakening labor market, reinforcing expectations of FED easing. Tonight (21:00): release of Consumer Sentiment & 1Y–5Y Inflation Outlook (University of Michigan) – data that could further impact the Dollar. ⏩ Captain’s Summary: Dollar weakness + falling bond yields = Gold remains supported to rise. However, short-term pullbacks may appear before breaking higher levels. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone): Weak High: 3675 – 3677 (psychological barrier) Peak Zone: 3676 – 3680 (high test, short-term reversal risk) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone): FVG: 3603 – 3601 Deep Harbor: 3621 – 3623 Price Structure: On H1, Gold has repeatedly formed BoS and Equal High (EqH) around 3645 – 3650. An FVG appears → sign that price may need to fill the liquidity gap before continuing. Priority scenario: Pullback to 3636 or deeper 3621, then rebound towards 3675 – 3680. If 3680 breaks successfully → opens the way for new ATH above 3700. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Plan ✅ Buy (trend-follow priority) Buy FVG: 3601 – 3603 | SL: 3591 | TP: 3605 – 3610 – 3615 – 3620 – 36xx Buy Zone: 3621 – 3623 | SL: 3612 | TP: 3640 – 3655 – 3665 – 3675 – 368x ⚡ Sell (short-term scalp at resistance) Sell Zone: 3675 – 3680 | SL: 3684 | TP: 3665 – 3655 – 3645 – 36xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “The dovish wind from the FED continues to push the golden sails forward. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3636 – 3621) is the safe docking zone for sailors to gather strength before the new voyage. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3675 – 3680) may create big waves for short Quick Boarding 🚤 , but the main course is still heading North. If the 3680 wave breaks, the golden ship will extend its journey to new peaks above 3700.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Caution ahead of US PPI report | Priority on Sell setups🟡 XAU/USD – 10/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context US 10-year bond yields rebound, signaling the market is awaiting key inflation data. At 07:30, US PPI report will be released – a crucial figure that could strongly influence FED rate expectations. Investors are also eyeing US CPI in the coming days to assess the inflation outlook. The US Supreme Court accepted Trump’s appeal, but this news has not yet had a notable impact on Gold. ⏩ Captain’s Summary: Ahead of inflation data, Gold often tends to correct lower due to cautious sentiment. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Key Resistance): Bearish OB: 3654 – 3660 (short-term upper cap) ATH Watchtower: 3700 – 3702 (Sell Zone – possible new ATH test) Golden Harbor (Strong Support): Buy Zone: 3601 – 3602 OB Dock: 3582 – 3585 Currently, price is around 3640 – 3645, after a technical rebound from support. High probability that Gold will retest nearby resistance before a downward correction. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios ⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL – Daily Priority) Entry 1: 3654 – 3660 SL: 3668 TP: 3654 → 3650 → 3618 → 3610 Entry 2 – ATH Test: 3701 – 3703 SL: 3711 TP: 3688 → 3675 → 3665 → 365x ✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Only at deep support) Buy Zone: 3601 – 3603 SL: 3592 TP: 3610 → 3620 → 3630 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The golden ship faces turbulent seas today as it sails near Storm Breaker 🌊 (3654 – 3660) . Before the fierce winds called US PPI , sailors should prioritize dropping anchor with short-term SELL positions at resistance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3601 – 3603) remains a safe haven below, but only when the ship corrects deeply should it dock. On this voyage, Quick Boarding 🚤 is for scalp maneuvers, while the main current is still steered by the stormy waves of inflation.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – GOLD 08/09 | Captain VincentObserving JPY & USD | Buy still holds dominance 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context This morning there were no major new updates. The US session tonight (08/09) will also not release big data. The latest impact on the market is Japanese PM S. Ishiba’s resignation , which pressured JPY downward and slightly lifted the Dollar. However, Gold only made a small correction and maintained strong stability. ➡️ Captain’s Summary: Dollar and JPY currently only have indirect influence, not enough to push Gold deeply lower. The main trend is still supported for a bullish rebound. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Captain’s Shield (Main Support): Golden Harbor OB: 3542 – 3549 Main Buy Zone: 3549 – 3551 Liquidity Dock: 3573 – 3575 Storm Breaker (Resistance): Quick Boarding: 3602 – 3604 (Short-term Sell scalp) Storm Breaker Peak: 3632 – 3634 (Sell zone – may form a new ATH) ⏩ Price structure remains bullish (continuous BOS). Corrections are mainly liquidity grabs before pushing up to higher resistance zones. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios ✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority) Buy Zone: 3549 – 3551 | SL: 3542 | TP: 3553 → 3557 → 3560 → 3563 → 35xx Liquidity Dock: 3573 – 3575 | SL: 3565 | TP: 3578 → 3581 → 3583 → 35xx ⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short-term) Entry: 3602 – 3604 SL: 3610 TP: 3600 → 3597 → 3594 → 3591 → 3588 → 35xx 🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – New ATH) Entry: 3632 – 3634 SL: 3640 TP: 3629 → 3625 → 3623 → 3619 → 361x ⚓ Captain’s Note “The golden ship sails steadily as the seas remain calm this morning, with no big news waves. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3549 – 3551) together with OB near 3542 is the safe anchorage for sailors riding the bullish trend. Liquidity Dock ⚓ (3573 – 3575) is just a temporary anchor before the bullish winds carry the ship further. Quick Boarding 🚤 (3602 – 3604) is for those who want to ride short-term waves. And if the ship touches Storm Breaker 🌊 (3632 – 3634) , it may be a new wave peak – but the grand journey is still headed North with the bullish sails full of wind.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs?Hello Traders And Investors XAUUSD At Critical PRZ: Will Gold Reverse or Break to New Highs? 🔥” The recent price action on Gold (XAUUSD) has reached a very critical level near $3,586 – $3,600, which aligns with a strong resistance zone. This area is marked as a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), where sellers may step back into the market. 🔍 Market Structure Breakdown: Previous Liquidity Sweep Price collected liquidity below the July lows before forming a Higher Low at the start of August. This move gave the market strength to push higher, creating a clean bullish structure. Strong Impulsive Rally From mid-August onwards, gold showed a strong bullish impulse, breaking through minor resistance levels without much pullback. However, such parabolic moves often lack sustainability, making them vulnerable to a healthy correction. Resistance & PRZ Reaction The current resistance zone has historically acted as a strong rejection level. Price tapping into this zone suggests exhaustion in bullish momentum, increasing the probability of a short-term pullback. 🎯 Target Zones for Downside Move: 1st Target: $3,480 – $3,500 This area coincides with a previous demand block and will act as the first reaction point. Final Target: $3,330 – $3,320 (Key Support) If bearish momentum sustains, price could revisit this major support, completing the correction phase before potentially resuming the broader uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
1
GBP/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown PotentialThe GBP/USD 30-minute chart shows price moving within an ascending trendline but recently stalling near resistance around 1.3550–1.3560. The Ichimoku cloud suggests weakening bullish momentum, with price struggling to sustain above the support line. Bearish Setup: A breakdown below the ascending trendline and cloud support around 1.3500 could trigger stronger downside pressure. Targets: If selling momentum continues, price may test the 1.3420 and 1.3395 support levels. Stop Loss: A safe invalidation zone lies above 1.3550–1.3560, where further upside would invalidate the bearish scenario. 🔎 Overall, GBP/USD looks vulnerable to a short-term pullback unless it reclaims strong bullish momentum above 1.3550.
Short
by KingProTrader
High probability 1:7 Gold buy scenario.Gold is developing nice scenario for upside move. Currently it is under consolidation. We are expecting manipulation toward FVG (1 and 15m overlapping) and then upward movement after liquidity sweep. Below is detail 1. Price has created Break of Structure. 2. Displacement happened, which created FVGs in 5 and 15m overlapping. 3. FVGs are formed in Discount and OTE zone. 4. FVGs are overlapping BB on 5m. 5. HTF bias is also upside. All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:7) trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by hari_log
1
1:7 RnR trade opportunity on GBPCADGBPCAD is forming a great price action and scenario. Which may lead to high risk and reward trade. Below are the signals noticed ... 1. Price has broken 10 days’ consolidation of trend line and nearby resistance as well. 2. Created BOS and FVG on 1-hour time frame in discount area. 3. Price is running above VWAP and 21 EMA. And 21 EMA crossing over VWAP. 4. Now we can expect a pullback till FVG area. All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high RnR (1:7) trade scenario. Note – if liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
Long
by hari_log
USDCAD – Bearish Trade Setup (1H Timeframe)Trade Details Entry: 1.38469 Stop Loss: 1.38845 Target: 1.37977 🔹 Technical Reasons for Bearish Bias Trendline Breakdown Price recently broke below the rising trendline, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened. The failed retest of the broken trendline confirms bearish pressure. Moving Averages Confirmation The short-term moving averages (yellow lines) have crossed to the downside, aligning with bearish sentiment. Price is trading below these moving averages, signaling sellers are in control. Lower High Formation After the sharp drop, the latest pullback failed to make a new higher high. This indicates a shift from bullish structure to a bearish lower-high pattern. Weak Recovery Attempt The rebound after the drop is shallow and lacks strong bullish candles. This suggests the market is unable to regain bullish momentum. 🔹 Risk Management The Stop Loss is placed above the recent swing high (1.38845), protecting against sudden spikes. The Target is set at 1.37977, aligning with recent support levels and offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 🔹 Trade Outlook This setup anticipates continuation of the bearish trend after the trendline break. Unless price reclaims and sustains above 1.3885, sellers remain favored in the short term. A successful breakdown could open the way for deeper downside in USDCAD. ✅ Summary: Bearish structure confirmed by trendline break, bearish moving average alignment, and weak recovery → Entered short at 1.38469, targeting 1.37977 with stop at 1.38845.
Short
by Crystal_0404
XAU/USD Trading Plan – Gold Eyes 3400! 🚀Gold continues to hold its bullish momentum as the USD weakens, and buyers are stepping in with strong FOMO-driven demand. However, a short-term correction (1–2 days) is still possible before the next big leg higher. The smart play? ⚡ Wait for clean pullbacks into strong liquidity zones — buy low, hold, and ride the trend. 📊 Short-Term View (M15–H1) Break below 337x could push Gold quickly down to 335x–334x to fill liquidity gaps. Bigger picture remains bullish with a potential run to 3400 and beyond. 🔑 Key Levels Support: 3363 – 3356 – 3349 – 3335 Resistance: 3385 – 3391 – 3402 – 3425 🎯 Trading Plan ✅ Buy Setups Scalp Buy: 3356 – 3354 SL: 3350 Targets: 3360 → 3365 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400+ Swing Buy Zone: 3336 – 3334 SL: 3330 Targets: 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3380 → 3400+ ❌ Sell Setups Scalp Sell: 3385 – 3387 SL: 3390 Targets: 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3365 → 3350 High-Risk Sell Zone: 3401 – 3403 SL: 3407 Targets: 3396 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370 📌 Takeaway Gold is still bullish overall, but short-term dips are healthy and provide the best entry points. Stay patient, wait for price action to confirm at key support, and let the market pay you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
AUDJPY – High Probability Short Setup (15M) 📊 Market Insight: AUDJPY has broken intraday structure and is now retracing into the 95.44 – 95.60 supply zone. This level is key for potential downside continuation. 🔑 Setup Details: Supply Zone: 95.44 – 95.60 Entry Zone: 95.40 – 95.55 (confirmation required) Targets: TP1: 95.00 TP2: 94.85 – 94.90 Stop Loss: Above 95.60 🎯 Trading Approach: I look for rejection or bearish confirmation candles before entering. Strict stop-loss placement and structured exits ensure controlled exposure, a must in fund management. ⚖️ Risk Management Philosophy: Every trade is positioned with calculated risk allocation to safeguard client capital while compounding returns. Consistency and discipline form the backbone of my strategy. 📩 For Managed Accounts & Professional Trading Guidance insta@ the_sohailarhaan
Long
by sohail1811
EUR/USD Bearish Trade Idea - Detailed Analysis** IF you like my observation, please boost and follow for more content." Timeframe: 1 Hour Entry Price: 1.16177 Stop Loss (SL): 1.16521 Take Profit (TP): 1.15763 Market Overview: Trend Context: The EUR/USD pair is currently in a clear downtrend as indicated by the price action making lower highs and lower lows. Chart Setup: The chart shows a descending triangle pattern, which typically signals a continuation of the bearish trend, as the price struggles to break through the resistance at the upper boundary while consistently making lower lows. Trade Rationale: Descending Triangle Pattern: The formation of a descending triangle indicates a strong bearish bias, where the sellers have been consistently defending the resistance level. The price is making lower highs and has found support at the 1.16177 level, a key point where the downtrend has previously gained momentum. A breakdown from this triangle often leads to a continuation of the downward movement, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Entry Setup: The entry point at 1.16177 is set below the support level, confirming that the price is likely to break through and continue downward. A close below this level would provide confirmation for the short position, as the breakdown indicates further downward potential. Stop Loss Placement: The Stop Loss (SL) is set at 1.16521, just above the last significant swing high and the trendline of the triangle. This allows for some room in case of a false breakout while minimizing risk if the price reverses above this level. Take Profit Target: The Take Profit (TP) is set at 1.15763, where the previous support has been observed. This level represents a logical exit point, based on the measured move of the triangle pattern and the market's reaction at this support area. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with a stop loss of approximately 45 pips and a take profit target of approximately 114 pips. This results in an RRR of about 1:2.5, which aligns with a solid risk management strategy for a favorable trade. Technical Indicators: Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): The chart indicates the use of EMAs, which are still in a bearish alignment. The price is below both the 9-period and 20-period EMAs, suggesting that the overall trend is downward. The EMA setup confirms the bearish momentum, reinforcing the rationale for the short position.
Short
by Crystal_0404
2
Bullish USDJPY (Long Position)Time Frame: 1-Hour Trade Direction: Bullish Entry Price: 148.629 Target Price: 149.262 Stop Loss: 148.108 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.3:1 1. Chart Analysis: The price action has been respecting a strong ascending trendline (blue line) indicating a consistent upward momentum over the past several hours. Price has recently bounced off the trendline and is approaching a resistance zone near 148.6, showing potential for a continuation upward towards 149.262. Support Level: The price has previously found support at the 148.1 level, confirming a solid demand zone in the market. 2. Indicator Support: Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): The price is currently trading above both the 9-period and 20-period EMAs, which is a bullish sign indicating upward momentum. The EMAs are also in alignment, further supporting the bullish case. Volume Trend: There is an increase in volume accompanying the recent bullish price action, confirming strong buying interest and supporting the idea of a potential breakout towards the target. 3. Risk Management: The stop loss is placed just below the recent low at 148.108 to provide a reasonable buffer against any price retracement, keeping the trade within an acceptable risk range. The target is set at 149.262, just below the key resistance level, ensuring that we capture the full potential of the current trend while minimizing the risk. 4. Trade Setup Logic: This setup is based on the continuation of the uptrend, with strong support from both the price action and indicators. The price action has successfully bounced from the trendline, confirming a potential continuation move towards higher prices. The target lies near a resistance zone, making it a logical point for potential profit-taking. 5. Conclusion: The overall market structure and indicators are aligned in favor of a bullish position, providing a high-probability setup. With a clear risk-reward ratio, this trade offers a favorable risk profile and a solid chance for profit.
Long
by Crystal_0404
XAU/USD Price Action Zones & Trade Setup (Aug 20, 2025)Analysis: The market recently made a CHoCH (Change of Character), signaling a possible bearish structure. First Selling Zone (3340 – 3350): Strong resistance area where sellers may push price down. Second Selling Zone (3350 – 3360): A deeper liquidity grab area for confirmation shorts. First Buying Area (3308 – 3320): Demand zone where buyers might step in for a short-term bounce. Second Buying Area (3270 – 3280): Stronger demand, ideal for swing buy opportunities if price dips further. Price is currently around 3323, hovering near equilibrium, likely to retest selling zones before dropping to buying areas. 📈 Trade Plan: Sell Entries 🔹 First Short: Around 3340 – 3350 (First Selling Zone). 🔹 Second Short (confirmation): Around 3350 – 3360 (Second Selling Zone). 🎯 Targets: TP1: 3320 (First Buying Area) TP2: 3280 (Second Buying Area) 🛑 Stop Loss: Above 3365 Buy Entries 🔹 First Buy: Around 3310 – 3320 (First Buying Area) for a small bounce. 🔹 Second Buy (stronger): Around 3270 – 3280 (Second Buying Area). 🎯 Targets: TP1: 3340 (back to resistance) TP2: 3355 (liquidity above first selling zone) 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3260
FX:XAUUSD
by Pipshunter27
GBP/USD Bearish Trade Idea** IF you like my observation, please boost and follow for more content." Overview: The chart displays a clear bearish setup on the 1-hour timeframe for the GBP/USD currency pair. The pair has formed a descending triangle pattern, indicating potential downward price action. The price has been respecting the trendline resistance, which adds confidence to the short trade. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the key elements for this trade: 1. Pattern Formation: Descending Triangle: A continuation pattern that suggests consolidation and potential breakout to the downside. The price is nearing the apex of the triangle, and we anticipate the breakout to occur below the horizontal support at 1.34495. 2. Entry Point: The entry is set at 1.34475, just below the critical horizontal support level. This level aligns with the trendline resistance from previous price action, ensuring that we are positioning ourselves at a point where price momentum is likely to shift downward. 3. Stop-Loss (SL): The stop-loss is placed at 1.35060, just above the trendline resistance. This level is chosen to minimize the risk in case the price fails to break the support and reverses back upward. Keeping the SL tight ensures that the risk is controlled. 4. Take-Profit (TP): The take-profit level is set at 1.33774, based on the price's potential to reach a key support zone. The target is set at a conservative level, providing a strong risk-to-reward ratio while aligning with previous price action lows. 5. Risk to Reward Ratio: With a SL of 85 pips and a TP of 705 pips, the trade offers a favorable 1:8.3 Risk to Reward Ratio. This ensures that the reward far outweighs the risk, making it a worthy trade setup for those seeking high probability and high return trades. 6. Technical Indicators: Trend Indicators: The 9 and 20 EMA lines confirm the bearish trend as the price is trading below these EMAs. The cross of the 9 EMA below the 20 EMA further supports the downside momentum. Volume: A decrease in volume during the consolidation phase suggests a buildup for a breakout, likely to the downside as indicated by the pattern. 7. Conclusion: This trade setup provides a logical bearish scenario, supported by strong technical analysis. The entry, SL, and TP are placed strategically based on price action and pattern confirmation. A breakout below the support level at 1.34475 would trigger the short position, aiming for the next significant support at 1.33774. The risk is well-managed with a tight SL, and the reward is significant, offering an excellent risk-to-reward profile. Make sure to monitor the breakout closely, as this setup depends on the price respecting the triangle formation.
Short
by Crystal_0404
Gold after FOMC: Just a pullback or the start of a new wave?[Background After the early morning FOMC session , Gold is showing signs of a sell-side pullback to gain momentum. On higher timeframes (H4–D1), the structure remains bearish with lower highs . However, consistent buying pressure around 3320 – 3330 keeps this zone as the key battlefield . 🪙 Key Levels Today 🔹 Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3357 – 3355) SL: 3362 TP: 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 33xx 🔹 Tidal Rebound 🌊⚡ (Sell Scalp 3349 – 3347) SL: 3353 TP: 3345 → 3340 → 3335 → 33xx 🔹 Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp 3330 – 3328) SL: 3322 TP: 3335 → 3337 → 3339 → 3341 🔹 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3320) SL: 3313 TP: 3325 → 3330 → extend further 📌 Trading Scenarios After FOMC, the market may show rebound waves . During Asia–Europe, price may consolidate between 3345 – 3357 . If price tests Storm Breaker 🌊 → Prioritise Sell setups in line with the main bearish trend. If price drops to Quick Boarding 🚤 or Golden Harbor 🏝️ → Short-term Buy scalps on pullback moves. 📰 Market Context FED remains dovish leaning , with high probability of a rate cut in September (~82%, CME FedWatch) . Geopolitical variables (Trump–Putin, Ukraine) remain unpredictable and may spark sudden volatility. ⚓ Captain’s Note "Let Storm Breaker 🌊 test the buyers’ strength. Those who board at Golden Harbor 🏝️ will be lifted by the waves, but those who drift into the storm will soon feel the sea’s fury."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold (XAU/USD) Short-Term Bearish Setup1. Well-Defined Resistance Zones Two horizontal shaded areas labeled Resistance R1 and Resistance R2 mark zones near $3,360–$3,380, where price repeatedly failed to break higher. Trading ideas from analysts on TradingView reinforce that the immediate resistance lies around $3,364–$3,370. As long as price stays below that, sellers remain in control TradingView +1 . 2. Descending Channel & Bearish Momentum The chart highlights a shift from an earlier ascending channel (green), followed by breakdown and decline — a classic reversal from bullish to bearish. In line with this, there’s also mention of a bearish flag pattern forming on the 30-minute (M30) timeframe, offering a potential shorting opportunity TradingView +1 . 3. Key Support Levels & Targets Multiple support levels annotated: Support S2 (at two levels) and Support S3, with notable levels around $3,315, $3,301–$3,302, and $3,300. The annotated price action indicates projected declines toward those levels—especially highlighting $3,314.94, $3,301.55, and $3,300.96 as intermediate and key targets. Ultimately, the red “High support area” below suggests a broader demand zone, perhaps around $3,280–$3,300, where stronger support may emerge. 4. Trading Plan Illustrated White arrows depict a descending trajectory: from current levels down to each support, suggesting a sell-on-rally approach. Blue markers denote possible bounce points for pullbacks before continuation lower. Broader Market Context Gold prices have recently been tracking in the $3,330–$3,350 range, facing resistance near $3,350–$3,360 and support near $3,300. Analysts caution that a break below that could push it toward $3,245 or $3,150–$3,120 TradingView +1 . Overall momentum has turned cautious or bearish—bearish engulfing patterns, weakening rally strength, and below-average technical indicators emphasize the risk of further declines FXEmpire +2 FXEmpire +2 . Weak U.S. economic indicators or dovish signals from Fed officials (like Powell) could offer brief relief rallies; but failure to reclaim resistance may extend the slide FXEmpire +1 . Key Levels at a Glance Level Type Price Range Notes Resistance ~$3,350–$3,360+ Strong ceiling—decline confirms bearish bias Support S1 ~$3,315–$3,320 First potential reaction zone Support S2 ~$3,301 Intermediate target for sellers Support S3 ~$3,300 Psychological barrier; near high support zone High Support Area ~$3,280–$3,300 Zone where bullish buyers might regroup Conclusion Your chart effectively captures a short-term bearish trend in gold (XAU/USD), showing: Failed attempts to overcome resistance near $3,360. A bearish flag breakout signaling potential continuation downward. Clearly plotted support targets, with bounce zones drawn out. A visual trade plan suggesting sell-on-rallies targeting declining support levels until reaching a strong demand zone. To succeed with this setup, traders might wait for a brief rally into one of the identified sell zones (e.g. ~$3,314 or $3,325) before entering shorts, with stop-loss placements above the resistance areas and profit objectives aligned with support levels ($3,301 or near $3,300).
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingProTrader
Gold Price Awaits FOMC – Liquidity Levels in PlayGold price continued to slide into liquidity zones during the late US session yesterday and reacted perfectly at the MMFLOW BUY ZONE 3314 – 3316, delivering over +70 pips profit to traders ✅. At present, on M5–M15, Gold is showing signs of a short-term recovery. However, for a strong upside move, buyers must break through the 3320 – 3322 resistance zone. A confirmed breakout here could trigger momentum towards higher KeyLevels, allowing price to retest important supply zones. 📈 Upside Targets (Intraday): 333x and 334x remain the key areas to watch for take-profits or potential reversal setups. 🔔 Why This Week Matters – The FOMC Decision The highlight of the week is the FOMC meeting during the US session. Markets are awaiting clarity on the Fed’s next move. Any hint towards a September rate cut could trigger massive bullish momentum, breaking Gold out of its corrective channel. 👉 Asian & European sessions: Focus remains bullish toward 333x – 334x, with potential SELL setups at resistance. ⚠️ US session with FOMC: Expect extreme volatility – risk management is critical. 📉 MMFLOW Technical Trading Plan 🔹 BUY Scalp Setup Entry: 3311 – 3309 SL: 3305 TP: 3315 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360+ 🔹 BUY Zone (FOMC Plan) Entry: 3290 – 3288 SL: 3282 TP: 3295 → 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370+ 🔸 SELL Scalp Setup Entry: 3342 – 3344 SL: 3348 TP: 3338 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320 🔸 SELL Zone (FOMC Plan) Entry: 3360 – 3362 SL: 3368 TP: 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330 ⚠️ Key Notes for Indian Traders FOMC = high volatility event – manage your exposure carefully. Stick to strict TP/SL discipline to protect capital. Smart traders know: KeyLevels = Profits ✅ 🔥 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily Gold price analysis, liquidity maps, and Smart Money insights – designed for Forex & Gold traders in India.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold Consolidates Ahead of FOMC Liquidity SweepGold is currently moving within a narrow range, with downside pressure becoming increasingly evident. With just over a day left before the FOMC meeting – an event that could shape the next major trend – the market seems to be preparing for a sharp liquidity sweep. 👉 At first glance, price action looks frustrating and unclear. But for traders following MMFLOW KeyLevels, this is actually the “golden range”, as key zones continue to hold with remarkable precision. 📉 Today’s Outlook Main Trend: Ongoing corrective downside move. Potential Scenario: A deep liquidity sweep towards the 331x zone before a strong bullish rebound. 🔑 Key Trading Levels SELL Zone: 3340 – 3345 | Short SL: 4 – 5$ 🎯 Targets: 3325 → 3317 → extended 3310 📌 Note: Manage risk tightly and watch reactions around KeyLevels – a single BreakOut move post-FOMC could unlock the next major opportunity. ✨ Once again: KeyLevels = Profits ✅ 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily KeyLevel strategies, liquidity maps & smart money insights
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2