Forexsignals
DXY Analysis: Seizing Opportunity on the Next Correction Wave (
📈🌐 In this comprehensive DXY analysis, we delve into the intricacies of the recent price action, focusing on the aftermath of waves 1-2-3-4-5 and the promising prospects of the impending correction wave. Discover how to ride the waves of opportunity for clean profits as we set our sights on Wave ABC!
🔍 Key Points:
Wave-by-Wave Breakdown: We break down the recent DXY price movements, examining the five-wave pattern (12345) that has unfolded so far. Gain insights into the characteristics of each wave, understanding the broader trend and where we currently stand.
Correction Wave Dynamics: Explore the concept of corrective waves and their significance in market analysis. Dive deep into the potential scenarios for the forthcoming Wave ABC, identifying possible price levels, patterns, and timing.
Opportunity for Clean Profit: Learn how astute traders can capitalize on the correction wave. We provide strategies to navigate the market during this phase, showcasing how to identify entry and exit points for optimal risk-reward ratios.
Riding Wave BC: Delve into the specifics of Wave BC, the second segment of the corrective pattern. Uncover the factors influencing its formation and understand how to align your trading approach to capture its potential gains.
Risk Management Strategies: Mitigate risks effectively by understanding the importance of proper risk management during corrective waves. Explore techniques to protect your capital while maximizing your profit potential.
Technical Analysis Tools: Discover a range of technical indicators and tools that can be employed to validate your DXY analysis and fine-tune your trading decisions during this critical phase.
Real-world Examples: Gain insights from real-world historical examples of correction waves, comparing their patterns and outcomes. Learn from past instances to enhance your decision-making process.
📊💰 As the DXY enters a pivotal phase, make sure you're equipped with the knowledge and strategies needed to ride the waves of opportunity. Don't miss out on potential clean profits during the correction wave – Wave ABC holds the promise of lucrative trades. Stay informed and trade confidently with our in-depth analysis!
(Note: Trading involves risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your research and consider seeking advice from financial professionals before making trading decisions.)
XAUUSD : Appearance of weakness in the 1900 zone?U.S. retail sales data released on Tuesday showed consumer spending remained strong in the country, potentially indicating more inflationary pressures in the coming months.
Investors mostly favor the dollar and Treasuries as a safer haven than gold, as risk appetite worsens amid worsening economic conditions across most globally, especially in China.
The greenback steadied near 1-and-a-half month highs on Wednesday, after recovering sharply from 2023 lows over the past month
Eurusd 15 AUG ANALYSIS AUG ,
EURUSD RISK 1:3
ALWAYS FLEXIBLE , JUST LIKE MARKET
Trade Idea: SELL
📍 Entry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ Stop Loss: (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD 1 : 3
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!!
long EUR/JPYthe pair is trading above the key support level after breaking out from a continuation pattern. The uptrend is fairly well established, the breakout has taken place after a good consolidation and now we have a re-test of the breakout level. This makes it a good entry point to enter the trend and ride it for as long as possible.
AUDUSD 4H AUDUSD ANALYSIS
📍 Entry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ Stop Loss: (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD 1 : 2.8
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!!
GBPAUD SHORT Trade Idea: SELL
📍 Entry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ Stop Loss: (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD 1 : 4.5
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!!AND IF YOU WANT TO LEARN IT WHAT STOPPING YOU TO ASK HOW ?
Possible long in EUR/CADThe pair is bouncing from the support. This is a key pivot level which has been tested several times in the past. The momentum oscillators are also showing a slight positive divergence. Longs have a clear risk management below the support level and we can see a substantial rally from this level.
nzdchf analysisTrade Idea:
📍 Entry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ Stop Loss: (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD upto tradingsysten
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!!AND IF YOU WANT TO LEARN IT WHAT STOPPING YOU TO ASK HOW ?
Make Money with USDJPYHello Everyone
Here is another update from Trading Idea, few days back we have provided forecast of upcoming bullish cycle in USDJPY, so this is just the update of counts of cycle.
If you like the idea, than kindly boost and share it with others and help us.
Also if you have any query than don't hesitate to ask us.
This is the actual Forecast. on 2/08/20223.
XAU USD Bullish ChanceHello traders! Today, I am sharing a strong trade idea for XAUUSD that could potentially result in profits. The gold price has been showing a bullish momentum, making higher highs and higher lows (HL) on the daily chart, indicating a potential uptrend.
My suggestion is to consider buying XAUUSD from 1942.50, with a stop loss at 1935. The first target is at 1953.50, which could potentially result in a profit of approximately 75 pips. The second target is at 1863, which could yield a profit of approximately 180 pips.
As always, it is important to consider risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as unexpected events and news could impact the markets.
In conclusion, I believe that buying XAUUSD using the higher highs and HL analysis could be a profitable trade idea. Thank you for following my trade idea, and I wish you all the best in your trading journey. Happy Trading!
Disclaimer: This trade idea is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading in the financial markets involves risk, and past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Before placing any trades, you should carefully consider your financial situation, risk tolerance, and trading experience. Please be aware that trading in the foreign exchange market, particularly with leveraged instruments such as CFDs, involves significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors. The author shall not be liable for any losses incurred as a result of using this trade idea. Traders should always trade at their own risk and responsibility.
NZD/JPY - Bullish continuationHello traders, welcome to the first long video analysis for the NZDJPY pair on this channel.
Let's dive into the analysis for NZDJPY.
Currently, we are looking at the 1-day timeframe.
As we can see, the pair is in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
In summary, we can confidently label this as a bullish trend on the daily timeframe.
Now, let's move to the 4-hour timeframe.
Here, we notice that the price has recently broken a structure.
To make an informed judgment about where the pair may head next, we need to understand the recent price structure.
Interestingly, the price has experienced a strong bullish rally, also known as a bullish impulse move. This indicates a sharp surge in the buying direction.
This significant movement of around 3.25% within just 1-2 days demonstrates the current strength in the bullish trend.
Considering the breakout of the structure and the bullish impulse move, it becomes evident that the trend is healthy and robust.
As trend traders, we prefer to go with the market flow and avoid initiating sell trades in such a strong bullish environment.
Instead, we will patiently wait for the price to correct before considering further upside potential.
Given the sizable move already made by the pair, it has become relatively expensive at its current level.
Hence, we will wait for a logical level to enter the trade, where our stop loss can be minimized, and our potential targets can be significant.
At this moment, there isn't a clear stop loss zone. However, our target will be the nearest swing high, which could potentially act as resistance on a larger timeframe.
By entering the trade near a support zone with a low stop loss and aiming for a potential 1:2 or 1:3 risk-reward ratio, we enhance the odds of a successful trade.
Stay tuned for more insightful analyses and trading strategies for the NZDJPY pair on this channel.
If you find this analysis helpful, don't forget to like, subscribe, and share with fellow traders.
Your support keeps us motivated to deliver more valuable content.
#ForexAnalysis #NZDJPY #BullishTrend #TradingStrategies 📊🚀💼
USDZAR Sell Trade Signals Time Frame H4The USD/ZAR currency pair has been trading within a support and resistance channel, and recently it broke below the support line with a strong bearish candle. This presents a potentially favorable opportunity to initiate a sell trade with a small risk and the potential for significant rewards.
HTF - GOLD - HAS LOST ITS SHINE?My analysis today deals with how the further course of our most popular precious metal "GOLD / XAU" could look like.
For this I have carried out a "MULTI-TIME-FRAME" analysis, which refers to the higher time units (month - week - day) and thus makes the big picture visible.
Normally, all time units below "1h" are called noise, but even a - 1h-4h - analysis is of no use to you, if the knowledge about the big and whole is missing.
> We traders know that nobody can predict the future, and that's exactly why you have to be prepared for all initial situations.
> If the DXY should rise again, it means "BLOOD" for the traditional and crypto markets.
> This creates dangers, but also opportunities - it is important to look at the big picture.
> I have explained in detail which levels are RELEVANT in the following pages. .
table of contents
1st part = INTRODUCTION
2nd part = TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
= Monthly - Time frame
= Weekly - Time frame
= Dayly - Time frame
3rd part = CONCLUSION
PART ONE
"INTRODUCTION"
After "XAU/USD" formed a double top between 2020-2022, a strong sell-off has been unleashed thereafter.
> This sell-off paused in October this year to test the strength of it.
> With a subsequent bullish monthly candle, many retail investors now feel on the safe side that new highs will be reached.
> Here I do not want to take away the joy, but the big picture does not suggest anything like that.
> Once you look at the DXY (USD index) on the higher timeframes, the following sell-off in gold is "indirectly" confirmed.
(My DXY analysis is linked below this post, for confirmation purposes.)
GOLD SAFE HARBOUR .
If you follow popular wisdom, GOLD is classified as a safe and reliable haven.
SPEAKING LIKE ...
> "All that glitters is not gold."
> "Talk is silver, silence is gold."
> "Much gold, much future."
That, the precious metal gold got such a high value awarded - HAD - its reasons.
> Inflation protection and security - are definitely the two most associated words with this precious metal.
Unfortunately, at the latest, since the year 2021, this no longer seems to apply.
> If one compares the loss of inflation and the gain in value of gold, a significant gap can be seen, at which there can no longer be any talk of "inflation compensation".
> Gold will therefore no longer live up to its reputation and a rethinking of its value will have to take place in the future.
SECOND PART
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
For the analysis of the higher time levels, I proceed according to the onion-skin principle.
> MONTH - level > WEEK - level > DAY - level
These are divided into
> SUMMARY > CHARTS
The charts are presented in logarithmic scaling, as the given information can be visually presented in a more harmonious way.
1st MONTH – Time frame
SUMMARY
The trend channel plotted on the chart formed in March|2007 and has since maintained its position as a legitimate trend channel. Its mid-trend line showed reactions when confronted and was respected by the market.
> Price is in the area below the mean line and had last touched the channel in 2018.
> September|2020 the price ran into the mid-line but was not strong enough. This becomes very clear when looking at the moving away middle line despite the "double top".
> The trend arc is another resistance, which should be taken into account for a future downward movement.
If we go into more detail about the "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones, you can look at two zones in the chart.
> The "SUPPLY" zone is VERY STRONG because it is a RBD (Rally Base Drop).
> The "DEMAND" zone is VERY WEAK, as it is a DBD (Drop-Base-Drop).
> If we get another rise in the DXY, the drawn "DEMAND" zone will break and the sell-off will continue.
The Fibonacci retracements should serve us as additional confirmation, and have been proved in past moves (last decades) .
> Should the price rise even further, FIB (1) will serve as a Strong Resistance Zone, although the "FIB Zone = 0.75-0.88 - is the Strongest Resistance. (1)
> If the sell-off continues, FIB (2) cannot do much in the monthly chart, but if necessary there will be a reaction on the "smaller" time levels.
> The FIB (3) = 1.618 level, will resemble a large magnet and in combination with the FIB (4), will trigger a large resistance reaction in the market.
Past highs and lows usually serve as resistance / support, of which we have three.
> HIGH | 08/20 - Already showed a reaction (double top).
> HIGH | 09/11 - Point of Control
> LOW | 03/21 - Broken and recaptured
Points and levels of interest are in front of us, which have played a strong role for the market since 2011 .
> The most significant resistance, represents the plotted - POI (1800 USD), which is still contested at the time of this analysis.
> The other POIs have non-negligible resistance and support characteristics and should be kept in mind.
CHARTS
XAU - Overall picture
XAU - Trend lines
XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES + Market Structure Break
XAU - Fibonacci
XAU - POI
ATTENTION
In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. .
2nd WEEK – Time frame
SUMMARY
In addition to the already mentioned trend channel, now three more become visible, which may have escaped the one or the other.
> The "Purple" trend channel formed at the same time as its big brother (monthly channel) and thus represents a major significance for the market.
We are at the middle line of the channel and the market seems to have used it as support.
> The "Turquoise" trend channel accompanies us since the last high and has a big say with its many interactions.
My guess is that its resistance line will decide whether the sell-off will continue or be broken with confirmation.
> The "Earth-colored" trend channel is a small sideways accumulation and accompanies us in this area.
Currently, the price has fought its way back into the channel, confirmed it and is now targeting the top of the sideways channel.
> The "Orange colored" trend line , has been respected since 2018, 07|2022 broken.
The price suggests that the trend line is approaching for a final retest.
The additional "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones join the two existing ones and remain untouched.
As additional Fibonacci additions, we have:
> The 0.88 FIB (1), combined with the levels from the FIB (2). This represents with the 0.88 levels from FIB (2) - two very relevant resistance ranges.
> FIB (3) is only valid if the price does not rise further and therefore the input values do not change. Should this be the case, the 0.786 + 0.88 area is the most important to watch out for.
CHARTS
XAU - Overall picture
XAU - Overall picture + Month
XAU - Trend Channels + Trend Lines
XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES
XAU - Fibonacci
ATTENTION
In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. .
3rd DAY – Time frame
SUMMARY
The chart shows a falling triangle which has been broken .
> As a result, the price has confirmed this break, with a close at the break point.
> At this time level, there will be a sell-off, especially if the DXY rises.
To give a little comment on the "Supply & Demand" zones:
> The upper two "SUPPLY" zones are definitely very strong. 1800 + 1980.
> The bottom "DEMAND" zone is very strong, as it is a DBR (Drop-Base-Rally) zone. (ca. 1640 - ca. 1615)
> The "DEMAND" zones in between are incidental, will trigger small reactions on the lower time frames, but nothing significant. (ca. 1760 - ca. 1660)
CHARTS
XAU - Overall picture + Month + Week
XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES + Trend Lines
THIRD PART
CONCLUSION
"The central banks, themselves, are behind the gold price manipulation. What should you get out of it?"
Run this question through your head and let me know in the comments what you think is more likely.
> Another sell-off or a positive gold price for now?
In summary, based on technical analysis, there are a few reasons for a weak GOLD price .
> If you look at the area between 1,950 USD - 1,840 USD, it almost seems like an arm guarding the upper levels.
> To bring down this defense, I think, needs more momentum than what we have and are getting right now. (Christmas, New Year, Chinese New Year)
For this reason, I expect a weak gold rate and a strong USD, and an accompanying bloodbath in the traditional and crypto markets.
> Positioning after confirmation of this thesis = SHORT .
If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive an evaluation of the idea.
Thank you and happy trading!
Possible long in EUR/USD Euro dollar is at the key support level and if the supports holds up then we could get a decent bounce. This is on the daily timeframe and we can drill down further on the hourly charts if one wants to get shorter term idea. In any case a small bounce at this level is a high probability.
long AUD/CADAUD/CAD at an excellent support level. This is the previous breakout level where the market had tested the level several tines before breaking out, thus it is a key level in terms of the support and resistance. Expect the pair to bounce from here as the oscillators on the hourly time frame are also looking oversold. Some mean reversion can be expected and this is the right level from where we can get it.
USDCAD- BearishAfter the completion of a corrective rise in the first week of Jul'23 the currency pairs is forming lower lows and lower highs in an impulsive manner. We can count a five structure in the internals of each leg. Also we have a bullish outlook on AUDUSD then we must go short USDCAD as both the pairs are negatively correlated.
One should go short on current levels with SL of 1.33 and look for the target of 1.3000 and 1.2900 in the coming days.