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Fundamental Analysis

Gold trading strategy on Friday, December 20U.S. Data Strengthens Market Expectations for the Federal Reserve's Cautious Approach to Policy Easing Next Year Recent data has reinforced market expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will adopt a cautious approach to policy easing in the coming year. Earlier reports showed that the U.S. economy grew faster than expected in Q3 2024, while unemployment claims also saw a significant decline compared to forecasts. The robust economy and inflation risks, including tariffs and spending cuts, reaffirm that the Fed has little reason to take aggressive action. This traditionally is not favorable for gold, a non-yielding asset. Investors are awaiting the release of the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data on December 20, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, for further clues about the economic outlook. In today’s trading session, investors will focus on the crucial PCE inflation data, which will determine whether gold will recover strongly to the 2.63x - 2.65x region or drop deeper to the 2.55x - 2.53x range. The answer will be revealed later today, with a slight increase expected compared to the previous report. For now, it is advisable to consider buying in the Asian and European sessions first, with the PCE data to be considered later. Thus, the recommendation is to buy with targets at 2.605 - 2.607, 2.610 - 2.612, and possibly 2.615 - 2.617. Afterward, a sell position can be considered on a pullback with a target of 5-10 points. In the European session, if gold continues to trade around 2.59x at the start of the European session, the buy strategy remains valid. However, if gold falls and closes a candle at 2.58x, the situation should be reconsidered. At that point, a sell position may be initiated earlier with a target of 5-10 points. Trading Plan: BUY ZONE: 2591 - 2589 SL: 2585 TP1: 2600 TP2: 2605 SELL ZONE: 2621 - 2623 SL: 2627 TP1: 2610 TP2: 2600 Gold is rebounding quickly after China’s decision to maintain interest rates, following the Fed’s signals that rate cuts may be less aggressive. => There is a possibility of further gains, but it is not recommended to chase buys. Waiting for a light pullback would be a more prudent strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade
Centum Electronics Breakout. A 20% Up move possibility Pattern Analysis 1. Broadening Channel: • This pattern is characterized by higher highs and lower lows, forming a widening range. • It suggests increased volatility and indecision in the market. 2. Key Observations: • The stock price is nearing the upper resistance line of the broadening channel (~₹2300–₹2400 levels). • Historical data shows a strong rejection from this resistance zone. • Support lies near ₹1800 (the lower boundary of the channel). 3. Volume: • A breakout above the resistance line with significant volume could confirm an upward trend continuation. • A lack of volume near the resistance could result in a pullback or consolidation. 4. Risk-Reward: • If the stock breaks out, the potential upside could be near ₹3000 (as indicated in the projection). • However, failure to break the resistance might result in a decline to the lower support (~₹1800 or lower). Disclaimer- This is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research before investing.
NSE:CENTUMLong
by Trade_lyst
Bitcoin (BTC): technical and fundamental analysis. Altseason.📈 Technical analysis BTC/USDT The Bitcoin price is trading within a narrowing price range, formed after an unsuccessful test of the major resistance block at $100,000, followed by a correction to the 0.23 Fibonacci retracement level and subsequent consolidation. This has resulted in the formation of a pattern known as a narrowing wedge, the breakout of which could indicate the next direction for BTC price movement. If buyers, supported by fundamental factors, manage to break through the psychological resistance level of $100,000, we can expect a strong upward momentum toward the next resistance zones at $110,000–$120,000 and a test of the global trendline resistance. Conversely, if sellers push the price below the $90,000 support block and establish themselves beneath the EMA 200 line, we anticipate a corrective move toward the 0.5–0.61 Fibonacci retracement levels. These levels coincide with Imbalance zones, where consolidations are needed to close gaps in horizontal volume levels. 📉 Bitcoin market global analysis. When does the altseason start? Bitcoin's dominance has begun a rapid decline, and we are currently witnessing an attempt to break out of a parallel price channel. If it manages to consolidate below the lower boundary of the channel, we can expect further declines in dominance, which would indicate the start of significant capital flows from Bitcoin to altcoins. What are Bitcoin's long-term growth targets? Above the current all-time high (ATH), there are no resistance levels based on historical data. Therefore, to determine growth targets, we will rely on trendlines, Fibonacci extension levels, analysis of large order block clusters in exchange order books, and, of course, indicators: Fibonacci Extension Levels: The nearest growth targets for Bitcoin are the 1.61 and 1.78 Fibonacci extension levels, which lie in the range of $104,000–$112,000. Global Trendline: The next target could be the global trendline drawn based on the peaks of the previous growth cycle. A test of this trendline might occur around the $120,000 level. RSI Analysis: The RSI indicator is currently about 18% away from its resistance trendline. Translating this to Bitcoin’s price chart, this corresponds to a range of approximately $114,000–$120,000. This is where a test of the resistance line may occur, as observed in all previous Bitcoin market cycles. 💠 Analysis of liquidity zones and levels The Fear and Greed Index remains in the Greed Zone at 76. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has grown to $3.37 billion, while the Bitcoin Dominance Index has fallen to 56.18. According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in the order books, the largest blocks are at levels 100,000 and 120,000, and the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels: 🟢 Demand zone: 80,000 - 90,000 🔴 Supply zone: 100,000 - 150,000 Levels for long positions: 90,000 - psychological support level 88,000 - large support block 60,000 - large support block Levels for short positions: 100,000 - largest resistance block 110,000 - large resistance block 120,000 - 100,000 - ascending trend line of resistance 📊 Fundamental analysis In November, Bitcoin ETFs recorded an inflow of $6.1 billion—the highest monthly figure since the instrument's launch in January. This indicates growing investor confidence in the asset while favoring the security of regulated ETFs over direct BTC purchases. Record inflows into Bitcoin ETFs could support a BTC rally above $100,000. Ethereum and Altcoin Investment Trends Investment inflows into Ethereum (ETH)-focused products reached $634 million, pushing the total for this year to over $2.2 billion, surpassing the previous record of $2 billion set in 2021. Similarly, Ripple (XRP)-based crypto funds received record-breaking investments of $95 million. This surge may be linked to preparations for ETFs on other cryptocurrencies, potentially accelerating the onset of an altseason. Regulatory and Macroeconomic Developments SEC Leadership Announcement: Tomorrow, information may emerge regarding the new chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), a key financial regulator overseeing the crypto market. Under current chair Gary Gensler, the SEC has intensified crypto market regulation. The appointment of a crypto-friendly commissioner could boost market sentiment and further support the start of an altseason. U.S. Labor Market Data: Labor market reports are set to be released this week, serving as a critical indicator for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. A continuation of rate cuts by the Fed would likely bolster overall growth in the cryptocurrency market. 🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy We expect increased volatility in both stock and cryptocurrency markets on the following dates: ➤ 12/04, 21:45 - Speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. ➤ 12/06, 21:45 - US Unemployment Rate for November. ➤ 12/18, 21:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. ➤ 12/18, 21:00 - US GDP (q/q) (Q3) ➤ 01/29/2025, 21:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. 📈 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator: In November, the price of Bitcoin was in an upward trend. Our trading indicator, as always, warned about this in advance! And even during the flat period it gave good entry points. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals have become profitable, and built-in Anti-Flat System prevented losses from manipulative market movements. 😎 Total price movement by all signals: + 54.92% Maximum price movement: + 42.10% Average price movement: + 13.73% In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
by TradeINEX
Bullish on Ethena Project...On daily and Weekly timeframe Ethena( XETR:ENA ) making fall wedge and made a breakout, already had 50% pump from bottom, still has room to grow we can see aroun 0.65-0.7$ range and range can be a bit of resistance, also Ethena team getting lot of good project and work based on there top tier skills as they developed product UStb fully backed by BUDL(blackrock) in parnetship with securitize, it will be separate fiat stablecoin product alonside there USDe.... (small explanation) Blackrock is the world’s largest asset manager. Their on-chain product is BUIDL which is a stablecoin available to whitelisted addresses, with an interest rate similar to US treasury bills. USDe/sUSDe being backed by BTC/(st)ETH/SOL and crypto shorts is great during bull markets, when everyone wants to (leverage) long crypto and will pay shorts for the privilege, but not so great during a bear market when shorts may have to pay longs. So Ethena is building a new stablecoin for everyone (not just whitelisted addresses) called UStb backed by BUIDL, and when the crypto shorts don’t make money Ethena can switch USDe’s backing to UStb. So sUSDe will have a TradFi interest rate during crypto bear markets and a CeFi interest rate during crypto bull markets, and we will all be able to play with it in DeFi thanks to the many protocols that support it.
Long
by Just_a_Trader001
2
Bajaj Health Care now 431 looks good on chart Key Point in chart: (1) New support : 431 which was previously a resistance, now broken with volume. Target 1 : 490 , Target 2 : 538 , Target 3 : 602 (2) Price structure : The chart show double bottom & Inv. head & shoulder which are positive signals. A projected price rally is shown, aiming for 490 and so on. (3) Fundamental analysis : The stock's quarter on quarter earnings have increased. This is positive signal, supporting the likelihood of a breakout. (4) Stop Loss : Suggested Stop loss is at 385.
NSE:BAJAJHCARE
by Rachitstock
1
The new kid on the listed hospitality spaceA professionally managed, highly leveraged, growth oriented, asset heavy, recently listed domestic focused hospitality company, SAMHI enjoys high operating margins only to see its net profit dwindle due to depreciation and interest... company has some marquee investors like Madhusudan Kela, Govt of Singapore and looks to be undervalued relative to its peers.. Technically,post listing there seems to be a triangle in formation and recenty the stock broke out of a base pattern... my thesis for taking position is an early entry while it seems to be within a triangle in formation based on the base breakout and waiting for the triangle BO confirmation by about 21st Jan 2025... the target I am looking for is 300+ stoploss is a bit deep..time based (22nd jan) and price based, if it rejects the support line, whichever comes early...
NSE:SAMHILong
by Rocky_Chow
UPDATE - Rates Rises and Cuts since 2021 and effect on BTC PAThere it is, the entire effect of FED Rate Cuts, Effects on influential companies and banks and the unstoppable RISE of Bitcoin to Corporate recognition and Adoption and the arrival of ETF's And now, with a more Global acceptance of Crypto, whats next ? what is certain is how BTC is gaining on GOLD's previous title as the Safe haven and Stor of Value The BTCXAUT ( Gold) chart shows this rise as it has begun, ready to take over > Currently, ONE BTC = 39 ounces of Gold, down slightly from the 42 Over 100 is expected by 2030 at the very latest It is simply Bad financial advice to suggest people SELL Bitcoin.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
MARKET SEDUCES YOU AND THEN ABUSES YOUIf you’ve been trading for a while, you’ve likely experienced the bittersweet relationship every trader has with the market. It's alluring, promising wealth and freedom, but just when you think you're in control, it turns around and shows you who's boss. If you ask me, the market is like that one girl (or guy) who seduces you with charm, only to leave you questioning every decision when reality sets in. Let me explain. The Seduction: The Perfect Setup Every trader starts their journey starry-eyed. Charts look predictable, patterns seem reliable, and the idea of making money feels as simple as "buy low, sell high." You see a bullish setup—a textbook breakout or a pristine reversal—and your confidence skyrockets. The market whispers sweet nothings: "You're smart." "You’ve got this figured out." "This trade is the one that will change everything." Your heart races as you enter the trade, convinced that profits are just a formality. The charts, like a perfectly written love letter, pull you in deeper. The Abuse: The Sudden Betrayal And then it happens. That perfect setup? It fails. Your stop-loss gets triggered, or worse, you hold on as the market spirals out of control, dragging your account with it. The promises of wealth turn into whispers of regret: "Why didn’t you see the signs?" "You should’ve exited earlier." "You’re not cut out for this." The very market that lured you in with promises of riches now mocks you with losses. Your emotions swing wildly—frustration, regret, even self-doubt. The Cycle of Hope and Hurt What makes the market truly intoxicating (and dangerous) is its unpredictability. Just when you're ready to walk away, it offers another chance—a new setup that looks even better than the last. It reels you back in, and the cycle repeats. The seductive charm of the market lies in its ability to make you believe you’re in control, only to remind you of its dominance when you least expect it. It tests your patience, discipline, and ego like nothing else. How to Survive the Relationship To thrive in the market, you must treat it with respect and caution, like a volatile relationship: 1. Detach from Emotion: Avoid getting too attached to any single trade. The market owes you nothing. 2. Have Clear Boundaries: Use stop-losses and position sizing to protect yourself. Don't give the market more than you're willing to lose. 3. Stay Humble: Overconfidence is the market's favorite weakness to exploit. Stay grounded and stick to your plan. 4. Learn from the Pain: Losses are inevitable, but they’re also lessons. Reflect and adapt after every setback. The Market Is What You Make It While the market can seduce and abuse, it’s ultimately neutral—it’s neither good nor evil. The key is in how you approach it. Treat it with caution, embrace the uncertainty, and remember: no one trade will make or break your career. Trading isn’t just about winning; it’s about surviving. So, the next time the market flashes its charm, remind yourself: looks can be deceiving. Stay vigilant, and don’t let its allure blind you to the risks.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by keshevdugar
Stock Analysis: GEM Enviro Management LimitedIntroduction: GEM Enviro Management Limited is a waste management firm that was founded in February 2013 and focuses on recycling all packaging trash, including plastic waste. Business Services: 1. EPR consulting and fulfillment for plastic waste 2. Collection and recycling of waste plastic from industry 3. Recycled product marketing and sales 4. Business Responsibility and Sustainability Reporting (BRSR) and ESG consulting Revenue Split: 82.5% goes to EPR consulting and fulfillment for plastic waste Industrial plastic waste collection and recycling: 17.5% Fundamentals: Market Cap: ₹ 340 Cr. Stock P/E: 30.1 (Ind. P/E: 34.4) 👍 ROCE: 52.5 % 👍 ROE: 38.8 % 👍 3 Years Sales Growth: 10% 3 Years Profit Growth: 25% 👍 3 Years ROE 45.4% 👍 Cons: Stock is trading at 7.00 times its book value 👎 Technicals: GEM Enviro Management Limited is a recently listed firm. It has been in a downtrend since reaching 323 levels in mid July 2024. It is trading in a strong consolidation zone between 142 and 197 levels. For any significant upside momentum, the stock has to take strong support around 20 EMA (Black Line) with a strong volume. The bullish trend can be confirmed once the 20 EMA (Black Line) traverses past 50 EMA (Orange Line) and 100 EMA (Sky Blue Line) in the weekly closing. Resistance levels: 197, 290, 323 Support levels: 142 Note: As per technical analysis, downside risk is minimum and upside potential is huge.
BSE:GEMENVIROLong
by shanmurali
19 years breakout in INDIAN CARDS CLOTHINGAfter showing 24.13 Cr. of sales and 12.51% of quarterly net profit, there have been multiple ups and downs in the Indian Card Clothing stock prices in the past few weeks. For example, Indian Card Clothing stock price on 29th of November 2024 was around Rs. 265.7. Indian Card Clothing share price now stands at an average of Rs. 300.10. Judging by last week's performance, stock is in up trend. he Indian Card Clothing Company Ltd., incorporated in the year 1955, is a Small Cap company (having a market cap of Rs 178.29 Crore) operating in Engineering sector. The Indian Card Clothing Company Ltd. key Products/Revenue Segments include Flexible And Metallic Card Clothing - Sets, Other Operating Revenue and Sale of services for the year ending 31-Mar-2024.
NSE:INDIANCARDLong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit
2
Stock Analysis: Angel One LimitedAbout Company - Angel One Ltd is a diversified financial services company and is primarily engaged in the business of stock, commodity and currency broking, institutional broking, providing margin trading facility, depository services and distribution of mutual funds, lending as a NBFC and corporate agents of insurance companies. Fundamentals: Market Cap: ₹ 28,411.92 Cr. Stock P/E: 21.15 Ind.P/E: 5.4 Book Value: ₹ 582.53 Dividend Yield: 1.1 % ROCE: 38.74% ROE: 45.56 % Sales Growth 3 Years: 42.31% Profit Growth 3 Years: 28.50 % Cons: The company is trading at 5.40 times the book value. Provision and contingencies have increased by 123.40%. Promoter holding has decreased from 38.21% to 35.63%. Technicals: Angel One has been in a down (-2.26%) 17 Dec 2024 Resistance levels: 3900,3400 Support levels: 3028,2729
NSE:ANGELONELong
by gujju_forex