My take on Gold Current PAGold (XAU/USD) – Daily View
Gold is bouncing between two important levels – the daily bullish FVG (support) and daily buyside liquidity (resistance). Since price is rejecting from both sides, the market is uncertain right now.
It’s better to wait for a clear close on the higher timeframe before taking any trades, otherwise there’s a high chance of getting stopped out in this choppy range.
Fundamental Analysis
Strides Pharma Science Ltd - Multiyear Breakout returns -2-3X !!The price consolidation for last 9 years gave a breakout which retested the breakout levels and going upwards. The price may move to give high returns in coming time.
Technically Multiyear breakout (double bottom) and may rise the price to give multibagger return after short consolidation.
Stock details
Sector: Pharma
Theme play out: CDMO ( Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization)
Technical analysis details
Accumulation Zone= 1350-1675
Low-risk entry price = weekly closing candle >1675
Stoploss = 1235 (weekly closing for less risk takers)
Stoploss = 1000 (weekly closing below- high-risk takers)
Target 1 = 2000
Target 2 = 2500
Target 3 = 3000
Target 4 = 4500 (Time frame ~ 1-4 years)
Positives
FII holding = 30.08%
DII Holding = 18.24%
sales are increasing annually
CDMO theme
Negatives
Promoters sold their holding 4.67 % for the last 3 years
Promoters pledge to hold 49.2%
Debt > reserves
Disclaimer: This analysis is just for educational purpose; nothing is guaranteed;
Bearish Trade Setup for ETH/USDOverview:
The setup for this trade is based on a bearish outlook for Ethereum (ETH) against the US Dollar (USD) on the 1-hour chart. The entry, stop loss, and take profit levels are carefully defined to provide a balanced risk-to-reward ratio. Here's why this setup is a solid trade idea:
1. Trade Entry:
Entry Price: 4574.87
The entry point is set based on a recent price retracement within the prevailing downtrend. The price has shown signs of rejection from key resistance levels, and the trade is positioned to capitalize on further downside momentum.
2. Target Price:
Target Price: 4241.87
The target level is derived from technical analysis, where price is expected to move toward previous support levels, presenting a logical exit point for profits.
3. Stop Loss:
Stop Loss Price: 4741.37
The stop loss is placed above recent swing highs, ensuring the trade has enough room to breathe while minimizing the risk of false breakouts. This level is a protective measure to ensure that a reversal or unexpected price movement does not lead to unnecessary losses.
4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
RRR: The trade has an acceptable risk-to-reward ratio, where the potential reward outweighs the risk by more than 1:1. This is crucial for maintaining profitability over the long term.
5. Trend Analysis:
The market is currently in a bearish phase, as seen in the price action and the overall downtrend. The setup capitalizes on this momentum with a proper risk management strategy.
The use of indicators like moving averages can further confirm the downtrend, though they are not displayed here, they should align with the bearish trend.
6. Volume Confirmation:
The volume should ideally be decreasing during the retracement phase and increase during the move towards the target price, confirming the bearish continuation.
7. Conclusion:
This trade is well-positioned to take advantage of a continuation of the bearish trend. The entry, stop loss, and target are all logically placed based on key price levels and risk management principles. As always, ensure to monitor the trade, and be ready to adjust if market conditions change unexpectedly.
KIRLOSBROS - BreakoutKIRLOSBROS has a breakout and ready to move up.
Market Cap: ₹ 16,140 Cr.
Promoter holding: 66.0 %
FII holding: 6.27 %
DII holding" 9.79 %
Public holding: 18.0 %
Debt: ₹ 182 Cr.
Debt 3Years back: ₹ 396 Cr.
Company is fundamentally very strong. Also DII and FII buying this stock.
Good to buy and hold for the long term.
Soon we can see 2400.
Hubtown Price AcionHubtown Limited's stock price has been on a steady upward trajectory, currently trading around ₹345 in late August 2025. The stock has shown strong momentum over recent months, rising steadily from lows near ₹162 over the past year. This rise is supported by positive market sentiment and the company’s ongoing progress in its real estate development projects, along with strategic mergers to consolidate its portfolio.
Financially, Hubtown has experienced improvement in revenue and profitability, reflecting efficient project execution and a favorable market environment. Its price-to-earnings ratio suggests moderate valuation, balancing growth expectations against earnings stability. Market capitalization places it comfortably within the mid-cap segment, attracting institutional interest.
Technically, the stock is trading well above key moving averages, showing a bullish trend with increased trading volumes confirming strength. It has broken through multiple resistance levels but may encounter short-term consolidation as traders book profits. Overall, Hubtown presents a solid growth story backed by fundamentals and positive technical indications, making it an attractive choice for investors looking for exposure in the real estate sector.
Eclerx Price ActionEclerx Services Limited has demonstrated a strong price rally in August 2025, reaching levels above ₹4,200, which is close to its 52-week high. The stock has shown solid upward momentum supported by consistent quarterly earnings growth and robust operational performance. Despite trading at a premium valuation with a price-to-earnings ratio in the mid-30s and a price-to-book ratio around 8, the market perceives the company as a leader in the IT-enabled services sector, warranting the premium.
The company’s financials reveal stable revenue streams of over ₹3,500 crore annually, with profit margins holding steady around the mid-teens percentage, reflecting operational efficiency. Eclerx maintains a strong balance sheet with negligible debt and healthy returns on equity and capital employed, underlining management’s efficient capital utilization.
Technically, Eclerx is trading above its key moving averages, indicating positive price momentum, though some short-term trading signals suggest potential for minor pullbacks. Dividend payouts have been regular but modest, corresponding to the firm's focus on growth reinvestment. Overall, Eclerx Services presents a fundamentally sound profile with growth prospects, making it attractive for investors with a medium to long-term horizon, though valuation levels suggest a need for cautious entry timing.
Garuda Price ActionGaruda Construction and Engineering Limited has shown significant price appreciation recently, trading around ₹211 as of late August 2025, marking a strong gain of over 10% in a single session. The stock has nearly doubled over the past six months, moving up from a 52-week low near ₹76 to a high close to ₹215, reflecting robust investor interest and positive sentiment.
The company’s price-to-earnings ratio is approximately 28, indicating a moderate valuation that reflects the market’s expectations of continued growth. Price-to-book ratio remains relatively low, suggesting that the stock may still hold value compared to its book assets. The market capitalization stands near ₹1,970 crore, placing it strongly in the mid-cap range.
Financially, the company reported solid quarterly profitability with profit around ₹28 crore on revenues of about ₹127 crore, highlighting operational efficiency and margin control. The dividend yield is modest, with recent dividend payouts indicating management’s focus on balanced capital allocation between growth and shareholder rewards.
Technically, the stock has broken past key resistance levels and is trading well above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, maintaining a clear bullish momentum. Trading volumes have increased, validating the price moves, but some volatility may persist due to profit-taking at near-term highs. Overall, the outlook for Garuda Construction appears positive, supported by strong fundamentals and favorable technical setups, making it attractive for medium- to long-term investors focused on growth in the engineering sector.
Part 3 Trading Master Class With ExpertsOption Trading Psychology
Patience: Many options expire worthless, don’t chase every trade.
Discipline: Stick to stop-loss and position sizing.
Avoid Greed: Sellers earn small consistent income but risk blow-up if careless.
Stay Informed: News, earnings, and events impact volatility.
Tips for Beginners in Options Trading
Start with buying calls/puts before selling.
Trade liquid instruments like Nifty/Bank Nifty.
Learn Greeks slowly, don’t jump into complex strategies.
Avoid naked option selling without hedging.
Paper trade before risking real capital.
Role of Volatility in Options
Volatility is the lifeblood of options.
High Volatility = Expensive Premiums.
Low Volatility = Cheap Premiums.
Traders often use Implied Volatility (IV) to decide whether to buy (when IV is low) or sell (when IV is high).
Part 2 Support and ResistanceWhy Trade Options? (Advantages)
Leverage: Small capital controls big positions.
Hedging: Protect stock portfolio from losses.
Flexibility: Profit in bullish, bearish, or sideways markets.
Income: Selling options generates consistent premiums.
Risk Control: Losses can be predefined by structuring trades.
8. Risks of Options Trading
Time Decay (Theta): Options lose value as expiration approaches.
Liquidity Risk: Not all options are actively traded.
Complexity: Strategies can be difficult for beginners.
Unlimited Risk (for sellers): Selling naked calls can wipe out capital.
Over-leverage: Small margin requirements may encourage oversized positions.
BIRLAMONEY Price ActionAditya Birla Money’s recent financial performance has been mixed. For Q1 of FY26, net profit declined about 6% year-on-year to ₹15 crore, while profit before tax dropped nearly 8%. Revenues from broking business fell by 18.6%, but wholesale debt market revenues saw a substantial 63% growth. The company's finance costs and employee expenses both edged higher, partly offset by a reduction in commission-related expenses.
Technical indicators show Birlamoney trading at around ₹173-181, with persistent volatility and several signs of oversold conditions on key oscillators like RSI and CCI. The stock is trading above its short, medium, and long-term moving averages, indicating underlying bullish strength despite short-term bearish signals on MACD. Support and resistance levels are tight: immediate pivots are near ₹173 and resistance clusters in the ₹180-185 zone.
Fundamental ratios suggest Birlamoney is priced at a moderate price-to-earnings multiple, making it neither cheap nor overly expensive relative to recent earnings. Market capitalization is over ₹1,020 crore, placing it among small-cap stocks with manageable debt levels. Dividend payments have recently resumed, with the board announcing a final dividend of ₹1 per share, but the overall yield remains low.
Institutional shareholding remains stable, and the company continues to operate primarily as a stockbroking and capital market distributor. Yearly financials reflect net profit growth of 40% and sales growth of 15% in FY25 over FY24, which underscores the longer-term improvement, despite recent quarterly softness. Share splits and bonuses have been issued in the past, but no recent corporate actions are pending.
TCS – Bullish SetupSummary:
This trade setup is based on a bullish momentum seen in the recent price action of TCS. We are entering the position with the expectation that the price will continue to rise, following a significant upward breakout. The entry, stop loss (SL), and target price (TP) levels are set, and the risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) is favorable.
Key Points of the Trade:
Entry Point:
The entry for this position is at 3140.80, which is above the recent support level, indicating the continuation of the upward trend. The entry is triggered as the price has recently started to break through a key resistance zone, suggesting that the bullish momentum is likely to continue.
Stop Loss (SL):
The stop loss is set at 3043.50, just below the recent support zone. This ensures that we have a protective exit if the market reverses. Placing the stop loss here helps mitigate risk in case the trade goes against us.
Target Price (TP):
The target for this trade is 3286.95, a price level that corresponds to a recent resistance point. This target has been chosen based on the potential upside movement following the breakout, providing a good area for price to reach based on historical price action.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
With the entry at 3140.80, the stop loss at 3043.50, and the target at 3286.95, the RRR stands at 1:1.5. This is a healthy ratio, ensuring that the potential reward outweighs the risk, which is crucial for effective swing trading.
Market Context:
The price has recently bounced off a support level, and we are observing strong bullish momentum as the price moves above the resistance area. This suggests the market may continue its upward movement, making the trade setup valid.
Confirmation:
The recent price action and the movement above key levels provide confirmation of the trade. Additionally, the overall market sentiment for TCS is positive, which further validates the bullish trade idea.
Conclusion:
This trade setup is a bullish scenario for TCS, with a clear entry, stop loss, and target price. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, making this a logical and worthwhile trade to consider for swing trading on the 1-hour timeframe. Keep an eye on any changes in momentum or price action that may suggest a reversal, but as of now, the trend looks strong.
SUDARSCHEM Price ActionSudarshan Chemical Industries is trading at elevated levels in August 2025, reaching around ₹1,448 after a robust rally from the year’s low near ₹796. The stock has hit its 52-week high at ₹1,505 and shows strong momentum, currently outperforming its 50- and 200-day averages. Price action suggests bullish sentiment, fueled by improving quarterly results and growing market confidence.
Financial indicators point to a premium valuation with a high P/E ratio, reflecting market optimism but also signaling that future growth expectations are priced in. The company’s market capitalization stands above ₹11,200 crore, highlighting its mid-cap stature in the specialty chemicals sector. Debt levels are moderate, and dividend payouts are steady but low compared to sector leaders.
Recent volatility is notable, with rising volumes and some profit-booking at upper resistance levels. Long-term investors may see potential if earnings growth sustains, while short-term traders should be mindful of resistance near the recent highs. Overall, Sudarshan Chemical Industries is in a positive trend, supported by fundamentals and strong technicals, but prudent monitoring of valuations and earnings updates is recommended.
BLS International Services LtdDate 25.08.2025
BLS International Services
Timeframe : Day Chart
Business Segments
(1) Visa and Consular Services 83%
(2) Digital Services 14%
(3) Others 3%
Geographical Split
(1) Middle East: 39%
(2) North America: 26%
(3) India: 23% in FY24
(4) Europe: 6%
(5) Africa: 3%
(6) Asia-Pacific: 3%
Acquisitions
(1) Company acquired a 100% stake in iDATA, a Turkey-based Visa and Consular Services provider for Rs. 720 Cr
(2) Company signed a SPA to acquire a 55% controlling interest in Aadifidelis Solutions Pvt. Ltd. and its affiliates, one of India's largest loan distribution and processing companies, for Rs. 190 Cr
(3) Completed the acquisition of 100% equity shares of Citizenship Invest, DMCC, UAE a Dubai-based advisory firm specializing in fast-track investor
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 15,216 Cr
(2) Stock P/E 26.9
(3) ROCE 33.6 %
(4) ROE 34.3 %
(5) Profit Growth 57%
(6) Sales Growth 35%
(7) OPM 29%
(8) EPS Growth 26%
(9) Promoter Holding 70%
(10) FII 8.54%
(11) DII 2.87%
Regards,
Ankur
Options Trading Strategies1. Introduction to Options Trading
Options are one of the most versatile financial instruments available in the stock market. Unlike straightforward stock trading, where you buy or sell shares, options give you the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an underlying asset at a pre-determined price within a specific time.
Because of their flexibility, options allow traders to:
Hedge against risk,
Generate income,
Speculate on market direction, or
Even profit from volatility itself.
Options trading strategies are structured combinations of options (calls, puts, or both) that help traders tailor risk and reward according to their outlook. Understanding these strategies is essential because options are a double-edged sword: they can multiply profits but also magnify risks if used incorrectly.
2. Basics of Options
Before diving into strategies, let’s recap the key concepts:
Call Option → Right to buy the asset at a certain price. (Bullish in nature)
Put Option → Right to sell the asset at a certain price. (Bearish in nature)
Strike Price → Pre-decided price at which the option can be exercised.
Premium → Cost of buying the option.
Expiry → The date on which the option contract ends.
In the Money (ITM) → Option has intrinsic value.
Out of the Money (OTM) → Option has no intrinsic value, only time value.
Understanding these basics is critical because all option strategies are built using calls and puts in different combinations.
3. Why Use Option Strategies?
Traders and investors don’t just buy calls and puts randomly. Instead, they use structured strategies to achieve specific goals:
Hedging: Protecting a stock portfolio against downside risk.
Income Generation: Earning premium by selling options.
Speculation: Taking directional bets with limited risk.
Volatility Trading: Profiting from changes in implied volatility regardless of direction.
4. Categories of Option Strategies
Option strategies can be grouped into four main categories:
Bullish Strategies → Profit when the market rises (e.g., Bull Call Spread, Covered Call).
Bearish Strategies → Profit when the market falls (e.g., Bear Put Spread, Protective Put).
Neutral Strategies → Profit when the market stays in a range (e.g., Iron Condor, Butterfly).
Volatility Strategies → Profit from volatility expansion/contraction (e.g., Straddle, Strangle).
5. Popular Options Trading Strategies
Let’s dive into some of the most commonly used strategies with examples, payoff logic, pros, and cons.
5.1 Covered Call (Income Strategy)
How it works: Hold the stock + sell a call option.
Example: Own 100 shares of Reliance at ₹2,500. Sell a call with strike ₹2,600 for ₹30 premium.
Payoff:
If Reliance stays below ₹2,600 → keep shares + earn ₹30 premium.
If Reliance rises above ₹2,600 → shares are sold at ₹2,600 but you still keep the premium.
Pros: Steady income, reduces cost of holding.
Cons: Caps upside potential.
5.2 Protective Put (Insurance Strategy)
How it works: Hold stock + buy a put option.
Example: Buy Infosys at ₹1,400. Buy a put with strike ₹1,350 at ₹20 premium.
Payoff:
If stock rises → unlimited upside, only premium lost.
If stock falls → downside limited at strike price.
Pros: Protects against big losses.
Cons: Premium cost reduces profit.
5.3 Bull Call Spread (Moderately Bullish)
How it works: Buy a lower strike call + Sell a higher strike call.
Example: Buy Nifty 19,800 Call at ₹200, Sell 20,200 Call at ₹80. Net cost = ₹120.
Payoff:
Max profit = Difference in strikes – net premium = ₹400 – ₹120 = ₹280.
Max loss = ₹120 (premium paid).
Pros: Limited risk, limited reward.
Cons: Capped profit even if market rallies big.
5.4 Bear Put Spread (Moderately Bearish)
How it works: Buy a higher strike put + sell a lower strike put.
Example: Buy 19,800 Put at ₹220, Sell 19,400 Put at ₹100. Net cost = ₹120.
Payoff:
Max profit = Difference in strikes – net premium = ₹400 – ₹120 = ₹280.
Max loss = ₹120 (premium).
Pros: Controlled bearish play.
Cons: Capped profit.
5.5 Straddle (Volatility Play)
How it works: Buy 1 Call + 1 Put of the same strike.
Example: Nifty at 20,000 → Buy 20,000 Call (₹200) + Buy 20,000 Put (₹180). Total = ₹380.
Payoff:
If Nifty moves sharply either side (>₹380), profit.
If Nifty stays near 20,000, loss of premium.
Pros: Profits from big moves.
Cons: Expensive, time decay hurts if market is flat.
5.6 Strangle (Cheaper Volatility Play)
How it works: Buy OTM Call + OTM Put.
Example: Buy 20,200 Call (₹120) + Buy 19,800 Put (₹100). Cost = ₹220.
Payoff: Needs larger move than straddle, but cheaper.
Pros: Lower cost.
Cons: Requires significant market move.
5.7 Iron Condor (Range-Bound Strategy)
How it works: Combine a Bull Put Spread + Bear Call Spread.
Example:
Sell 19,800 Put, Buy 19,600 Put.
Sell 20,200 Call, Buy 20,400 Call.
Payoff: Profit if Nifty stays between 19,800–20,200.
Pros: Income from stable markets.
Cons: Risk if market breaks range.
5.8 Butterfly Spread (Range-Bound, Low Risk)
How it works: Buy 1 ITM Call, Sell 2 ATM Calls, Buy 1 OTM Call.
Example:
Buy 19,800 Call, Sell 2×20,000 Calls, Buy 20,200 Call.
Payoff: Max profit if expiry near middle strike (20,000).
Pros: Low risk, good for low-volatility outlook.
Cons: Limited reward, needs precise prediction.
5.9 Collar Strategy (Hedged Investment)
How it works: Own stock + Buy Put + Sell Call.
Purpose: Locks range of returns.
Example: Own stock at ₹1,000. Buy 950 Put, Sell 1,050 Call.
Pros: Protects downside at low cost.
Cons: Caps upside.
5.10 Calendar Spread (Time-based Play)
How it works: Sell near-term option + Buy long-term option of same strike.
Profit: From time decay of short option while holding longer-term exposure.
Best used: In low-volatility environments.
6. Risk-Reward Analysis
Limited Risk Strategies: Spreads, Condors, Butterflies.
Unlimited Profit Potential: Long Calls, Long Puts, Straddles.
Income-Oriented: Covered Calls, Iron Condor, Credit Spreads.
Hedging-Oriented: Protective Puts, Collars.
7. How to Choose the Right Strategy
Factors to consider:
Market View (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral).
Volatility Outlook (High, Low, Expected to rise/fall).
Risk Appetite (Aggressive vs Conservative).
Capital Availability (Some require margin).
8. Common Mistakes in Option Strategies
Over-leveraging (buying too many contracts).
Ignoring time decay (theta).
Trading only naked options without strategy.
Not adjusting positions when market moves.
Misjudging volatility.
9. Advanced Insights
Option Greeks: Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega, Rho – help measure sensitivity to price, time, and volatility.
Implied Volatility (IV): Crucial in pricing; high IV inflates premiums, low IV reduces them.
Adjustments: Rolling options, converting spreads to condors, hedging with futures.
10. Conclusion
Options trading strategies are powerful tools. They allow traders to make money in bullish, bearish, sideways, or volatile markets – but only if used with discipline. A successful trader doesn’t just guess direction; they analyze market conditions, volatility, risk tolerance, and then select the appropriate strategy.
The beauty of options lies in flexibility: you can limit risk, enhance returns, or even profit from time and volatility itself. But the danger lies in misuse – options should be treated as structured financial instruments, not lottery tickets.
EPACK - Rounding BottomEPACK Durable Limited is an Original Design Manufacturer (ODM) of room air conditioners (RAC).
Fundamentals:
Market Cap: ₹ 3,747 Cr.
Promoter holding: 48.0 %
FII holding: 0.41 %
DII holding: 5.55 %
Public holding: 46.0 %
Debt: ₹ 416 Cr.
Debt 3Years back: ₹ 435 Cr.
Technical
EPACK is making a rounding bottom pattern and very long consolidation. Above 420, we can see all targets marked on the chart. Good to buy and hold for the long time.
Cargosol Logistics Ltd: Technical+ fundamental breakdownTechnical + fundamental breakdown for Cargosol Logistics Ltd., along with student learning points
- Technical & Chart Pattern Analysis
Timeframe Used: Weekly Chart
Trend: Stock has been in a prolonged downtrend from its highs (120+), but formed a base near 12.90 (March 2025) and gave a strong reversal candle.
Candlestick Pattern: Recent bullish engulfing + long lower wick near support shows accumulation and reversal signs.
Channel Breakout: Price has broken out of the falling channel, signaling possible trend reversal.
Support Levels
-20.0 (immediate, psychological round number support)
-16.0 (strong weekly support, retested multiple times)
-12.9 (major bottom, long-term support)
Resistance Levels
29.0 (near-term resistance, supply zone)
36.5 (medium-term target, previous swing high)
53.3 (major resistance, strong profit-booking zone)
Perfect Entry Points
-Accumulation Zone: 16-20 range (ideal for swing traders & positional investors).
-Breakout Entry: If price sustains above 29 with volume, next swing target can be 36-53.
Swing Analysis
-Current upswing from 12.9 - 24 is +85% already.
-Possible retracement to 20 before next leg up.
-If 29 breaks, swing rally towards 36-53 is likely.
Fundamental Comparison (Logistics Sector Peers)
(Values are approximate; students should cross-verify with latest financials)
Company P/E Ratio Debt/Equity ROE (%) Profit Margin Market Cap
Cargosol Logistics 18-20 Low (<0.5) 12-15% 5-6% Small Cap
TCI Express 40+ 0 (Debt-free) 25% 8-10% Mid Cap
Blue Dart Express 60+ 0.7 20% 7-8% Large Cap
Gati Ltd. Negative P/E High Debt -ve ROE Weak Mid Cap
Learning:
-Compared to peers, Cargosol is undervalued (low P/E, decent growth).
-Debt levels are manageable (safer than Gati).
-Still riskier than established players (TCI Express, Blue Dart).
Key Learnings for Students
1. Trendlines & Channels Matter: Downtrend breakout often signals big moves.
2. Candlestick Confirmation: Look for engulfing, hammer, or long-wick candles near support.
3. Volume = Strength: Always confirm breakouts with strong volumes.
4. Fundamentals First:
Check P/E, Debt/Equity, ROE, Margins before investing.
Compare with industry peers.
5. Risk Management: Small caps are volatile, so position sizing is critical.
👉Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Stock market investments are subject to risks. Do your own research or consult a financial advisor before investing.
#CargosolLogistics #StockMarketIndia #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #LogisticsSector #StudentInvestors #StockEducation #SupportAndResistance #InvestingBasics
Part 2 Ride The Big Moves Why Trade Options? (Advantages)
Leverage: Small capital controls big positions.
Hedging: Protect stock portfolio from losses.
Flexibility: Profit in bullish, bearish, or sideways markets.
Income: Selling options generates consistent premiums.
Risk Control: Losses can be predefined by structuring trades.
Risks of Options Trading
Time Decay (Theta): Options lose value as expiration approaches.
Liquidity Risk: Not all options are actively traded.
Complexity: Strategies can be difficult for beginners.
Unlimited Risk (for sellers): Selling naked calls can wipe out capital.
Over-leverage: Small margin requirements may encourage oversized positions.
Aster DM Healthcare LtdDate 24.08.2025
Aster DM
Timeframe : Day Chart
Business Segments
(1) Hospitals and Clinics 94%
(2) Labs and Pharmacies 6%
Market Position
(1) 2nd-largest hospital network in South India
(2) Largest bed capacity in Kerala, 2nd in Andhra Pradesh and 3rd in Karnataka
Key Metrics
(1) Total Bed Capacity 4,869
(2) Occupancy Rate 67%
(3) Average Length of Stay 3.2 days
(4) Total patient volumes 3.3 Million
Geographical Revenue Split
(1) Kerala 55%
(2) Karnataka & Maharashtra 34%
(3) Andhra & Telangana 11%
Note* The company has a presence across 5 states and 15 cities
Specialty-wise Revenue Mix
(1) Multi Speciality 17%
(2) Cardiac Sciences 14%
(3) OP Pharmacy & Anaestheolgy 13%
(4) Neuro Sciences 11%
(5) Gastroenterology & Liver Care 10%
(6) Oncology 8%
(7) Orthopedics 8%
(8) Nephrology & Urology 7%
(9) Child & and Adolescent Health 6%
(10) Women's Health 6%
Note*
(1) 59% of Revenue is derived from niche specialties
(2) Cardiac Sciences, Neurology, Oncology, Liver care, Nephrology, and Orthopaedics
Workforce
(1) Has a workforce of 19,500
(2) Doctors 2,649
(3) Nurses 6,235
(4) Others 7,563
(5) Healthcare workers and outsourced staff 3,055
Regards,
Ankur
Commodities & Currency TradingIntroduction
Financial markets are not limited to stocks and bonds. Beyond equity trading, two of the most important and widely traded asset classes are commodities and currencies (forex). These markets are essential for global trade, economic stability, and investment diversification. They are vast, liquid, and influenced by macroeconomic, geopolitical, and natural factors.
Commodities represent real physical goods like gold, crude oil, wheat, or natural gas.
Currencies represent the exchange rate between two different countries’ monetary systems, like USD/INR or EUR/USD.
Both markets attract traders, investors, speculators, and hedgers. While commodities protect against inflation and provide opportunities during supply-demand imbalances, currency trading allows participants to profit from fluctuations in exchange rates, driven by international trade, interest rates, and monetary policy.
In this guide, we will explore these markets in depth, covering fundamentals, participants, trading mechanisms, strategies, risks, and practical tips for success.
Part 1: Understanding Commodities Trading
What are Commodities?
Commodities are raw materials or primary goods used in commerce. They are standardized, meaning one unit of a commodity is interchangeable with another unit of the same grade and quality. For example, one barrel of crude oil or one ounce of gold is the same everywhere.
Types of Commodities:
Metals – Gold, silver, platinum, copper, aluminum.
Energy – Crude oil, natural gas, coal, gasoline.
Agricultural Products – Wheat, corn, coffee, sugar, cotton.
Livestock – Cattle, hogs, poultry.
Why Trade Commodities?
Hedging: Farmers, oil producers, and companies hedge against price fluctuations.
Speculation: Traders bet on rising or falling prices for profit.
Diversification: Commodities often move differently than stocks and bonds.
Inflation Hedge: Gold and oil, for example, rise when currency value falls.
Commodity Exchanges
Trading takes place on global exchanges such as:
Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) – US-based futures and derivatives.
London Metal Exchange (LME) – Specializes in metals.
Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) – India’s largest commodity exchange.
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) – Covers energy, agricultural, and financial products.
Forms of Commodity Trading
Spot Trading – Buying or selling the physical commodity for immediate delivery.
Futures Trading – Contracts to buy/sell at a predetermined price on a future date.
Options on Commodities – Gives the right, not obligation, to buy or sell futures.
Commodity ETFs – Exchange-traded funds that track commodity prices.
CFDs (Contracts for Difference) – Speculating on price without owning the commodity.
Key Influences on Commodity Prices
Supply & Demand – Fundamental factor; drought affects wheat, OPEC decisions affect oil.
Geopolitics – Wars, sanctions, and trade disputes impact energy and metals.
Weather & Natural Disasters – Hurricanes affect crude oil; droughts impact crops.
Currency Movements – Commodities priced in USD; weaker USD makes commodities cheaper globally.
Technology & Alternatives – Renewable energy can reduce demand for oil and coal.
Example: Gold Trading
Gold is considered a safe-haven asset. When equity markets are uncertain, investors flock to gold. It is traded both physically and via futures contracts. Factors affecting gold include inflation, central bank policies, and geopolitical risks.
Part 2: Understanding Currency Trading (Forex)
What is Forex?
Forex (Foreign Exchange) is the world’s largest and most liquid financial market, with daily turnover exceeding $7 trillion (BIS 2022). It involves trading one currency against another, such as USD/JPY or EUR/INR.
Currency Pairs
Currencies are quoted in pairs:
Major Pairs – USD paired with EUR, GBP, JPY, CHF, AUD, CAD.
Minor Pairs – Non-USD pairs like EUR/GBP or AUD/NZD.
Exotic Pairs – Emerging market currencies like USD/INR, USD/TRY.
Example:
EUR/USD = 1.1000 means 1 Euro = 1.10 US Dollars.
Why Trade Currencies?
Speculation: Profiting from price movements.
Hedging: Companies hedge against foreign exchange risks in trade.
Arbitrage: Exploiting differences between currency markets.
Global Trade: Facilitates international business transactions.
Participants in Forex
Central Banks – Control monetary policy and intervene in markets.
Commercial Banks – Provide liquidity.
Corporations – Hedge foreign earnings or payments.
Hedge Funds & Investors – Large speculators.
Retail Traders – Small participants trading via brokers.
Trading Mechanisms
Spot Forex – Immediate exchange of currencies.
Forward Contracts – Agreement to exchange at a future date.
Futures & Options – Standardized exchange-traded contracts.
CFDs – Retail traders speculate without owning currencies.
Factors Affecting Currency Prices
Interest Rates – Higher rates attract foreign capital.
Inflation – High inflation weakens a currency.
Economic Indicators – GDP, employment, trade balance.
Geopolitical Events – Elections, wars, sanctions.
Central Bank Policies – Quantitative easing, intervention.
Risk Sentiment – “Risk-on” favors emerging currencies, “Risk-off” favors safe-havens like USD/JPY/CHF.
Example: USD/INR
If the US Federal Reserve raises interest rates, demand for USD increases, and INR weakens. Conversely, strong Indian GDP data could strengthen INR.
Part 3: Strategies in Commodities Trading
Trend Following – Trade in direction of price momentum.
Seasonal Trading – Agricultural commodities follow cycles.
Spread Trading – Long one commodity, short another (e.g., WTI vs Brent crude).
Hedging – Farmers lock prices using futures.
Technical Analysis – Using charts, candlestick patterns, indicators.
Part 4: Strategies in Currency Trading
Carry Trade – Borrow in low-interest-rate currency, invest in high-yielding one.
Scalping & Day Trading – Small, quick profits in liquid pairs like EUR/USD.
Swing Trading – Capture medium-term currency trends.
News Trading – Trading around economic releases (NFP, CPI, Fed rate decisions).
Hedging – Companies use forwards to protect against currency risk.
Part 5: Risks in Commodities & Currency Trading
Leverage Risk: Both markets offer high leverage, magnifying losses.
Price Volatility: Sudden moves due to geopolitical or natural events.
Liquidity Risk: Exotic currencies and less-traded commodities may have low liquidity.
Counterparty Risk: In OTC forex and CFD markets.
Regulatory Risk: Government bans, restrictions, and policy shifts.
Emotional Risk: Greed and fear drive many traders into poor decisions.
Part 6: Risk Management & Best Practices
Position Sizing – Never risk more than 1–2% of capital on a single trade.
Stop-Loss Orders – Protect against unexpected volatility.
Diversification – Trade multiple commodities/currencies, not just one.
Stay Informed – Follow economic calendars, OPEC meetings, and weather reports.
Technical + Fundamental Mix – Balance chart reading with economic analysis.
Avoid Over-Leverage – Excessive borrowing leads to margin calls.
Keep a Trading Journal – Track mistakes and learn from them.
Part 7: Future Trends in Commodities & Currencies
Digital Currencies (CBDCs & Cryptocurrencies) may influence forex.
Green Energy Transition will shift commodity demand from oil/coal to lithium, copper, and renewable resources.
Algorithmic & AI Trading is expanding in both markets.
Geopolitical Fragmentation will continue to impact global trade and currency alignments.
Conclusion
Commodities and currency trading are the lifeblood of the global economy. They are more than speculative arenas—they enable trade, protect producers and consumers, and balance international financial systems.
For traders, these markets provide immense opportunities, but also demand discipline, knowledge, and risk management. A successful trader must understand both macroeconomic fundamentals and technical signals, while maintaining emotional control.
In the end, whether trading gold futures or EUR/USD pairs, the principles remain the same: manage risk, stay informed, follow discipline, and trade with a plan.
SUPREMEIND Price ActionSupreme Industries (SUPREMEIND) price analysis as of August 2025:
- **Current Price:** The stock closed at ₹4,637.80 on August 22, 2025.
- **Trend:** It has gained about 7.9% in the past week, 13.4% in the last month, and 26.4% over 6 months. However, there’s been a decline of about 16% over the last year.
- **Range:** The 52-week high is ₹5,654.55; the low is ₹3,020. On a three-year basis, the stock is up nearly 152%, beating its sector and index.
- **Valuation:** Supreme trades at a P/E ratio of around 66.2–75, which is high relative to historical averages and industry peers. P/B is about 10.3, and its market cap stands near ₹58,900 crore.
- **Fundamentals:** Quarterly profit for June 2025 was ₹202 crore on sales of ₹2,651 crore. For FY2024, profit was ₹1,069 crore and revenue ₹10,134 crore.
- **Technical:** The stock is in a short-term uptrend, with positive momentum since July. It regularly posts high returns in August historically, with an average gain of 3.6% for the month.
**Summary:** Supreme Industries is showing strong short-term momentum, with an overall impressive multi-year run and leadership in the plastics sector. However, its current valuation is rich, and investors should be mindful of broader market corrections or shifts in sector sentiment.
Oswal Agro Mills 12% upsideFollow Us and Don't miss a next Idea
The company's activities are divided between trade, real estate and investments
The company has almost no debt
Over the past 5 years, CAGR is 28.4%
In recent quarters, there has been significant growth in revenue and operating profit
Low P/E 8.4
P/B 1.1
Target Price 89