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Fundamental Analysis

ADANIPOWER Price ActionAdani Power Ltd (ADANIPOWER) is currently trading near ₹154, having experienced a range between ₹148 and ₹156 in the last few sessions. The stock has been volatile, recovering quickly after a sharp correction at the end of September 2025, when it dropped from around ₹170 to ₹145 before stabilizing. Trading volumes remain heavy, often exceeding 60 million shares on active days, reflecting strong investor interest and liquidity. The price quickly rebounded after the steep selloff in late September and early October, with daily swings of 2-5% being common. The recent momentum is slightly upward, though choppy, with brief profit-taking followed by renewed buying. Overall, Adani Power shows short-term volatility within a broad uptrend established earlier in the year, featuring periods of sharp gains and corrections that align with sector and broader market sentiment shifts. The stock is actively traded and responsive to market news and institutional flows.
NSE:ADANIPOWERLong
by KamalKJoshi
Look at this........i already make a entry 🧪 Fundamentals / Business Snapshot What they do: Privi Speciality Chemicals is a major Indian manufacturer, exporter, and supplier of aroma & fragrance chemicals. Their capability includes many complex operations (distillation, condensation, hydrogenation etc). Recent financials:   • In FY25, revenue rose ~ 19.9 % to ~ ₹2,101.19 crore from ~ ₹1,752.23 Cr prev year.   • Net profit nearly doubled—~ 97 % YoY to ~ ₹187.00 crore vs ~ ₹94.91 Cr the previous year.   • In the most recent quarter (Q1 FY26), revenue ~ ₹567.80 Cr (up ~21.7 % YoY), net profit ~ ₹61.93 Cr (up ~97.4 % YoY). Margins / Efficiency:   • Operating / EBITDA margins have improved. For example, in recent quarters the OPM has been ~ 20-23 % in some reports.   • ROE recently ~ 16.94 % vs its 5-yr average ~11.8 %. Risks / concerns:   • Some analysts / rating agencies see weaker long-term fundamentals: slow growth in net sales / operating profit over longer horizon, high debt/EBITDA in some reports.   • Commodity input risk, foreign exchange risk (since exports are significant), margin pressure possible. (General for speciality chemicals) Competitive / strategic positives:   • Strong R&D, product mix improvements.   • Export orientation gives access to global markets. --- 📊 Technical / Price Action View Current trend & moving averages: According to ETMoney, the stock is hovering around key moving averages: the 20, 50, 100, 200-day EMAs/SMAs are giving “neutral” signals in many cases. Momentum indicators:   • RSI (14) ~ 48-50 area → neutral territory.   • MACD in some sources is slightly negative or weak → indicates not strong momentum up currently.   • Some resistance / support zones via pivot / classic technical tools: TipRanks shows pivot at ~ ₹2338, with resistance above and support below. Recent behaviour:   • The stock has hit 52-week highs in recent past, showing strong sentiment after good results.   • However, price also seems to be consolidating / facing short-term corrections (QoQ revenue drops, expenses growth) in some quarters.
NSE:PRIVISCLLong
by GOURAB_MAJUMDER
Part 6 Learn Institutional Trading Key Terminology in Option Trading Before diving deeper, let’s understand some crucial terms used in options: Underlying Asset: The financial instrument (like a stock, index, or commodity) on which the option is based. Strike Price (Exercise Price): The price at which the underlying asset can be bought (for a call) or sold (for a put). Expiration Date: The date when the option contract ends. After this date, the option becomes worthless if not exercised. Option Premium: The price paid by the buyer to the seller for acquiring the option. Intrinsic Value: The amount by which an option is in profit if exercised immediately. Time Value: The extra value in the option premium due to time left before expiration. In-the-Money (ITM): When the option already has intrinsic value (profitable if exercised now). Out-of-the-Money (OTM): When the option has no intrinsic value. At-the-Money (ATM): When the strike price equals the current market price of the underlying. Example: If a stock is trading at ₹1000 and you buy a call option with a strike price of ₹950, your option is in the money. If you buy a call with a strike price of ₹1050, it’s out of the money.
NSE:HDFCBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
XAU/USD: GOLD HITS NEW ATH! Buy or Sell Now?Gold (XAU/USD) is absolutely on fire, hitting a Fresh All-Time High (ATH) this morning! This massive breakout isn't random; it's a direct outcome of global risk factors lining up, making gold the ultimate safe haven: 🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trade War Reloaded: Trump's shocking 100% tariff threat on China exports has brought back major global uncertainty. Though he's softened his tone, the damage to sentiment is done, pushing money into gold. ⚠️ Geopolitical Heat: Warnings about sending Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine keep geopolitical tensions brewing, acting as a continuous tailwind for the metal. 🏛️ US Shutdown Drama: The ongoing US government funding deadlock is a big worry, further driving flight-to-safety flows. ✂️ Fed Rate Cut Confidence: High probability of Fed rate cuts in Oct/Dec (96%/87%) provides strong support, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Structure is Full-On BULLISH! The price action today is textbook, showing exactly how Smart Money operates: Liquidity Sweep & FVG: Price first wicked sharply below 4000 for a classic Liquidity Sweep—hunting weak hands' Stop-Losses—and created a temporary Fair Value Gap (FVG), before reversing with massive momentum. Structural Break (BOS & MSS): This aggressive move resulted in a clean Break of Structure (BOS) above the old ATH at 405x, confirming a major Market Structure Shift (MSS). The trend is now unequivocally BULLISH. Trading Plan - The Right Way: Priority: Stick with BUY positions! The bias remains bullish as long as price holds above the Order Block (OB) support at 405x. This is the key level. Big Warning: Don't try to short the top (sell dò đỉnh)! The risk of getting caught in a liquidity grab or price trap at these highs is extremely high. Stay away from counter-trend moves. Sell Scenario (Only if): We only consider a short-term SELL if there's a strong, confirmed candle close below 405x. In that case, we might target a minor pullback to 4000 for profit booking, but the main goal remains to BUY on dips. 👉 Bottom Line: Fundamentals and technicals are singing the same tune. 405x is the line in the sand. Trade carefully, manage your stop-loss, and always do your own research (DYOR). #GOLD #XAUUSD #ATH #MarketUpdate #TradeWar #FED #SmartMoney #ICT #TechnicalAnalysis #SafeHaven #DYOR
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XRPUSDT - RETESTS RESISTANCE AFTER SELL-OFFSymbol - XRPUSDT XRPUSDT is undergoing a corrective phase following a sharp sell-off. It remains premature to anticipate sustained growth without intermediate pullbacks, as the pair is approaching a major resistance zone. The broader cryptocurrency market is showing signs of recovery after a period of heavy liquidations. Both BTCUSDT and XRPUSDT are nearing critical resistance levels, where a potential corrective movement could emerge. From a technical perspective, after nearly two months of consolidation, the price broke below the established trading range, indicating a structural breakdown. As part of the current correction, XRPUSDT is retesting the liquidity zone between 2.7000 & 2.7266, which could serve as a trigger for renewed selling pressure. Resistance levels: 2.7000 – 2.7266, 2.8286 Support level: 2.5050 A sharp advance without sufficient technical strength to surpass the 2.7000 resistance may lead to a false breakout, followed by a pullback toward the 2.5050 support zone.
Short
by akshit_official
LiamTrading – GOLD: Continuing the trend towards 4,130Gold has broken 4,060 and set a new historical peak thanks to the US-China trade tensions and the expectation of an early Fed rate cut. The main trend remains upward; the next target level according to the channel structure is 4,130. Technical H4→H1 The upward channel has been maintained for several weeks; breaking 4,060 confirms continuation. Nearest liquidity zone: 4,030–4,032. Medium-term volume POC: ~3,988. Target/resistance clusters by rhythm: 4,050 → 4,072 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130. Trading Plan Buy 1 (retracing to the liquidity zone) Entry: 4,030–4,032 SL: 4,025 TP: 4,050 → 4,072 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130 Buy 2 (medium-term POC) Entry: 3,988 SL: 3,980 TP: 4,022 → 4,050 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130 Sell reaction (higher risk) Entry: 4,130 SL: 4,140 TP: flexible according to price reaction; prioritize closing at 4,070 if a clear rejection candle appears. Invalidation: short-term upward structure weakens if H1 closes below 3,980. Quick Notes Prioritize “buy-the-dip” at 4,03x and 3,988; sell orders are only reaction trades at 4,130. When TP1 is reached, move SL to entry to protect the position. Volatility around US data release times may create false breaks; maintain disciplined risk management. I will provide immediate updates as price paths change, real-time trading is the best way to be accurate and successful.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Technical Indicators 1. Introduction to Technical Indicators Technical indicators are mathematical calculations based on historical price, volume, or open interest data. They are primarily used in technical analysis, a method of evaluating securities by analyzing market statistics rather than intrinsic value. Indicators help traders: Identify trends and reversals. Determine momentum and market strength. Recognize overbought or oversold conditions. Generate buy or sell signals. There are three main categories of technical indicators: Trend Indicators – Identify the direction and strength of a trend. Momentum Indicators – Measure the speed and force of price movements. Volume Indicators – Analyze trading activity to confirm price movements. Some indicators are leading, giving early signals of potential price movement, while others are lagging, confirming trends after they have started. 2. Trend Indicators Trend indicators help traders identify whether an asset is moving upward, downward, or sideways. Recognizing trends early allows traders to align their strategies with the market direction. 2.1 Moving Averages (MA) Moving averages smooth out price data to reveal trends over a specific period. There are two main types: Simple Moving Average (SMA): Calculated by averaging the closing prices over a specified period. Example: A 50-day SMA sums the last 50 closing prices and divides by 50. Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Places more weight on recent prices, making it more responsive to price changes. Applications: Trend identification: Prices above the MA indicate an uptrend; below indicate a downtrend. Crossovers: A short-term MA crossing above a long-term MA generates a bullish signal, and vice versa. Limitations: Lagging indicator, less effective in sideways markets. 2.2 Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) MACD measures the difference between two EMAs (usually 12-day and 26-day). Components: MACD Line: Difference between the fast and slow EMA. Signal Line: 9-day EMA of the MACD line. Histogram: Difference between MACD line and Signal line. Interpretation: Crossovers: MACD crossing above Signal line = buy signal; below = sell signal. Divergence: Price making new highs while MACD fails indicates trend weakness. Strengths: Effective for spotting trend reversals and momentum shifts. Weaknesses: Lagging indicator; may give false signals in choppy markets. 2.3 Average Directional Index (ADX) ADX measures the strength of a trend regardless of its direction. Values above 25 indicate a strong trend. Values below 20 suggest a weak trend or sideways market. Applications: Confirming trend strength before entering a trade. Pairing with other indicators for trend-following strategies. Limitations: Does not indicate trend direction, only strength. 3. Momentum Indicators Momentum indicators assess the speed of price movements, helping traders identify potential reversals or continuation patterns. 3.1 Relative Strength Index (RSI) RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions. Values above 70 = overbought (possible reversal or pullback). Values below 30 = oversold (possible rebound). Applications: Divergence between RSI and price signals potential trend reversals. Combining RSI with trend indicators enhances trade accuracy. Limitations: Can remain overbought or oversold for extended periods in strong trends. 3.2 Stochastic Oscillator The stochastic oscillator compares a security’s closing price to its price range over a specific period. %K Line: Current close relative to the high-low range. %D Line: 3-period moving average of %K. Interpretation: Values above 80 = overbought; below 20 = oversold. Crossovers of %K and %D lines indicate potential buy/sell signals. Strengths: Effective in volatile markets for timing entries and exits. Weaknesses: Less effective during strong trends; prone to false signals. 3.3 Rate of Change (ROC) ROC measures the percentage change in price over a given period. Positive ROC indicates upward momentum. Negative ROC signals downward momentum. Applications: Identifying early trend reversals. Confirming breakouts or breakdowns. Limitations: Sensitive to price spikes; may give false signals in choppy markets. 4. Volume Indicators Volume analysis confirms price trends, as strong moves are typically accompanied by high volume. 4.1 On-Balance Volume (OBV) OBV measures cumulative buying and selling pressure by adding volume on up days and subtracting volume on down days. Applications: Divergence between OBV and price can signal reversals. Confirming trend strength. Limitations: Lagging indicator; requires combination with price analysis. 4.2 Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) CMF measures the volume-weighted average of accumulation and distribution over a specified period. Positive CMF = buying pressure. Negative CMF = selling pressure. Applications: Identifying accumulation or distribution phases. Supporting trade entries in trend-following strategies. Weaknesses: Less effective during low-volume periods. 5. Volatility Indicators Volatility indicators help traders gauge market risk and potential price swings. 5.1 Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands consist of a moving average (middle band) and upper/lower bands based on standard deviation. Price near upper band = overbought. Price near lower band = oversold. Applications: Trading range-bound markets using band bounces. Breakouts indicated when price moves outside bands. Limitations: Band breakouts don’t always result in sustained trends. 5.2 Average True Range (ATR) ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average of true price ranges over a period. Applications: Setting stop-loss levels. Identifying breakout potential. Limitations: Does not indicate trend direction, only volatility. 6. Combining Indicators for Strategy Using a single indicator often results in false signals. Effective traders combine indicators from different categories: Trend + Momentum: Example: Use SMA to identify trend direction and RSI to detect overbought/oversold conditions. Trend + Volume: Example: Confirm trend strength with ADX and OBV before entering a trade. Momentum + Volatility: Example: Use MACD for momentum and ATR to set stop-loss levels. Rule of Thumb: Avoid indicators that provide the same information. Mix leading and lagging indicators for better confirmation. 7. Indicator-Based Trading Strategies 7.1 Trend-Following Strategy Use moving averages or ADX to identify trends. Enter trades in the direction of the trend. Use momentum indicators like MACD or RSI for entry timing. 7.2 Reversal Strategy Use RSI, Stochastic, or Bollinger Bands to detect overbought/oversold conditions. Look for divergence between price and indicator for potential reversals. 7.3 Breakout Strategy Use Bollinger Bands or price channels to identify consolidation. Volume indicators like OBV or CMF confirm breakout strength. 8. Common Mistakes in Using Indicators Overloading charts: Too many indicators can confuse signals. Ignoring market context: Indicators must be interpreted in conjunction with price action. Blind reliance: No indicator guarantees success; risk management is crucial. Neglecting timeframes: Indicators behave differently on daily, weekly, or intraday charts. 9. Advanced Indicator Techniques Divergence Trading: Identifying differences between price and indicators like MACD or RSI to spot potential reversals. Multiple Timeframe Analysis: Confirm signals from multiple timeframes to reduce false entries. Weighted Indicators: Adjust indicator sensitivity to reduce lag or noise. Algorithmic Integration: Using indicators as inputs in automated trading systems. 10. Choosing the Right Indicators Factors to consider: Trading style: Day traders vs. swing traders vs. long-term investors. Market conditions: Trending vs. ranging markets. Timeframe: Short-term indicators are more sensitive; long-term indicators reduce noise. Simplicity: Choose a few reliable indicators rather than overwhelming charts. 11. Conclusion Mastering technical indicators requires practice, observation, and discipline. While indicators provide valuable insights into market behavior, they are most effective when combined with strong risk management and a clear trading plan. Successful traders: Use indicators to enhance decision-making, not replace it. Test strategies thoroughly before applying them in live markets. Adapt indicator settings to suit different market conditions. By understanding the nuances of trend, momentum, volume, and volatility indicators, traders can create robust strategies that increase probability and confidence in their trades. This Technical Indicators Masterclass equips traders with the knowledge to analyze markets effectively and navigate complex price movements with precision.
TVC:US10YEducation
by TechnicalExpress
$4024 Gold: 8-Week Jhakaas Record! BUY Pivot $398x!Hello, traders! Gold just wrapped up an impressive 8-week winning streak, closing the session at $4,024.40/oz (Futures). This bada (big) rally was immediately triggered by President Trump's unexpected tariff threat on China, which, boss, fueled a massive rush toward safe-haven assets. Fundamentals & Technical Bias: Buying the Pivot Core Drivers: Escalating trade panga (conflict) thanks to Trump, steady Fed rate cut expectations, and ongoing global gadbadi (instability) are all making Gold the top safe haven. Technical Recovery: After a deep correction to $394x, Gold recovered super fast and closed firmly above $399x. This confirms that buying power is dominant and the bullish momentum is pakka (confirmed). Priority Bias: BUY (Long). $398x is the critical short-term pivot point. Risk management is key, remember that. Risk Warning: Only switch to SELL (Short) if the price rapidly breaks below $398x due to major negative news. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $4064, $4084, $4104, $4124 Support: $3984, $3951, $3934 Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at the Pivot) BUY ZONE (Pivot $398x): $3984 - $3982 SL: $3974 TPs: $3992, $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032 SELL ZONE (Counter-Trend): $4024 - $4026 SL: $4034 TPs: $4016, $4006, $3996, $3986, $3976 Will this trade war tension take Gold past $4100 next week? Kya lagta hai? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #4KGold #TrumpTariffs #8WeeksUp #Pivot #TradingView #PaisaBanega
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
FLAIR Price Action- Current Price: About ₹315 as of early October 2025. - Price Range: 52-week low roughly ₹195 and high around ₹357. - Market Cap: Approximately ₹3,300 Crores. - P/E Ratio: Around 27-28, indicating moderate valuation relative to earnings. - Recent Trend: The stock has been fluctuating in the ₹300-320 range in recent weeks with some volatility shown in daily price changes. - Moving Averages: The 50-day and 200-day moving averages align near the ₹310-320 levels, indicating a sideways to slight downtrend intraday in early October. - Financial Performance: Annual revenue close to ₹970 Crores, with profits around ₹114 Crores and promoter holding near 79%. - The stock has shown some recovery from the lows earlier in 2025 but remains below its 52-week high. - Trading volume shows moderate liquidity, with typical daily volumes in the tens of thousands range. Overall, Flair Writing is moderately valued, with recent price consolidation and moderate volatility as it trades below its recent highs, supported by steady financials.
NSE:FLAIRLong
by KamalKJoshi
TARIL Price ActionHere is the price and fundamental analysis summary for Transformers & Rectifiers (India) Ltd (TARIL) without references: - Current Price: Around ₹491.35 as of October 2025. - Price Range: 52-week range is approximately ₹356 low to ₹649 high. - Market Capitalization: About ₹14,748 Crores. - P/E Ratio: Around 56-60, indicating relatively high valuation. - EPS: About ₹8.06 to ₹8.71 (TTM). - Dividend Yield: Very low, about 0.04%. - Price averages: 50-day average ~ ₹507, 200-day average ~ ₹494. - Revenue and Profit Growth: Strong profit growth of over 250% CAGR in last 5 years; sales and operating profit margins improving, with recent operating profit margin around 16-17%. - Return Ratios: ROCE ~28%, ROE ~23%. - Working Capital Efficiency: Debtor days reduced significantly, improving cash cycles. - Stock trades at about 11.8 times book value (book value approximately ₹37). - Quarterly trends show improving profitability and sales year-over-year. - Peer comparison: Valuation and profitability metrics compare reasonably with peers in electrical equipment sector. The stock price has been on an uptrend with strong fundamentals and growth metrics indicating positive medium-term potential but trades at a high valuation reflecting investor optimism and strong earnings growth.
NSE:TARILLong
by KamalKJoshi
ORIENTCER Price ActionOrient Ceratech Ltd is currently trading at ₹37, showing a slight uptick in the latest session. The stock has an annual range between ₹28.93 (year low) and ₹57.4 (year high). Volumes in recent sessions have been below average, reflecting subdued market participation. The market capitalization stands close to ₹442 crore. Technically, the stock is consolidating, with the price hovering just below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a weak trend in the medium term. Recent intraday movement ranged from ₹36.8 to ₹38.2, and resistance is visible around ₹38–₹41, while support lies near the ₹36 zone and more strongly at the yearly low. On the fundamentals front, Orient Ceratech reported modest profit growth with a trailing twelve-month EPS of ₹0.95 and a P/E ratio near 39, which is above its historical average but below the sector average. The book value per share stands around ₹23 and the price-to-book is about 1.6. Dividend yield is modest at 0.68%, and the balance sheet shows moderate leverage. While revenue has grown slightly year-over-year, profitability remains a concern with recent margin pressures. In summary, the stock remains in a consolidation phase with a mildly negative bias until a strong reversal or breakout above resistance emerges. Both technicals and fundamentals suggest a cautious stance for new entries, with high valuations and weak earnings trends requiring close monitoring.
NSE:ORIENTCERLong
by KamalKJoshi
KPEL Price ActionK.P. Energy Ltd (KPEL) is currently trading around ₹424, rebounding sharply with a rise of almost 10% in the last session. The price remains well below the 52-week high of ₹675 but is comfortably above the year's low at ₹336. Recent sessions saw increased volatility, with an intraday range from ₹386 to ₹438 and strong trading volumes, pointing to heightened trader activity. The stock is in the middle of a broad upward trend but has underperformed on a year-to-date basis, falling more than 21% compared to modest market gains. Short-term technicals are mixed: while the long-term average remains bullish, the stock faces immediate resistance near ₹528 and finds support just above ₹420. Momentum indicators such as MACD show lingering positive signals, but trading below the short-term average keeps the outlook cautious for aggressive entry. KPEL’s financial fundamentals are robust, highlighted by strong growth in both net sales and profits. The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is about 23, and the price-to-book (P/B) stands near 11.8—both somewhat elevated but aligning with industry standards for growth-oriented firms. Debt levels are well-controlled, and operational margins have improved, adding confidence to the long-term narrative. Despite high valuations, continued top-line and bottom-line delivery sustains market interest, with a positive outlook for future growth if sector conditions remain favorable. For traders, key levels to monitor are resistance at ₹528 and support at ₹420. As long as the price remains above the lower band, upward momentum is supported, though breaking below could invite short-term selling pressure. Long-term investors may consider accumulating during any dips, relying on the company’s strong operating performance and sector prospects.
NSE:KPELLong
by KamalKJoshi
XAUUSD Analysis for the New WeekXAUUSD Analysis for the New Week: Sideways Accumulation Awaiting Big Waves - Detailed Trading Strategy Hello trading community! Last week, XAUUSD (Gold) moved as predicted within a narrow range, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. However, the main trend on larger time frames remains bullish. At the start of the new week, Gold is likely to continue accumulating before making stronger breakthroughs. This article will provide a detailed analysis of technical and fundamental factors, along with specific trading strategies. 📊 Technical Analysis Based on the H1 chart, we can clearly see the following important price structures: Ascending Channel: Gold is still moving steadily within an ascending channel, indicating that the buying trend remains dominant in the medium term. The lower support line of the channel will be a crucial support area for buyers. Key Support: The price range of $3970 - $3974 is acting as a solid support zone. This is the confluence area of the lower channel line and a dense volume profile zone, showing strong buyer interest here. The "Buy test support" scenario as shown in the image is entirely feasible. Resistance Zone: The $4060 area and further the old peak around $4080 (corresponding to the Fibonacci Extension 1.618 area) are significant barriers. Sellers might be active in these areas. Volume Profile Indicator (VPVR): The Point of Control is around $3982, further reinforcing the importance of the nearest support zone. Any break below this area could trigger a short-term sell-off towards the $3946 area. 📰 Fundamental Analysis The market is influenced by mixed information streams, creating uncertainty and reinforcing Gold's sideways scenario: ⚠️ Hawkish Stance from the FED: Recent statements by Mr. Musallem (FED) indicate concerns about inflation potentially rising further. He emphasised the need to control inflation expectations, even at the cost of short-term labour market fluctuations. This implies that the FED might continue to maintain tight monetary policy, putting pressure on Gold prices (due to a stronger USD). 📈 Risk Asset Frenzy: Bitcoin reaching the $111,000 mark is raising concerns about an asset "bubble" and potential crisis risks. In this scenario, Gold could benefit as a safe haven asset, attracting funds when market risks are high. The contradiction between FED policy and market risk sentiment is the reason for Gold's sideways accumulation. 🎯 Trading Strategy Based on the above analysis, we can build two trading scenarios for the upcoming week. The main priority remains to buy along the trend. Scenario 1: Buy at Support (BUY) 📈 Entry: Look to buy when the price adjusts to the $3974 - $3971 area. Stop Loss (SL): $3965 (Below the safe support zone). Take Profit (TP): $3985 - $3999 - $4020 - $4050 - $4080. Scenario 2: Sell at Resistance (SELL) 📉 Entry: Look to sell when the price approaches the strong resistance area of $4077 - $4080. Stop Loss (SL): $4086 (False breakout above the peak). Take Profit (TP): $4055 - $4020 - $4000 - $3970. Summary The main trend of Gold remains bullish, but in the short term, the price may continue to move sideways within the $3970 - $4080 range to accumulate. The optimal strategy is to look for buying opportunities at key support areas and consider short-term sell orders at strong resistance zones. Always remember to manage your capital strictly as the market always holds unexpected fluctuations. Wishing traders a successful new week! Note: This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave..LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave, Short-term Sell at 4028 Hello traders, Gold has had an impressive growth week, but as prices hit new highs, the risk of correction always increases. Let's examine this week's Gold scenario based on wave analysis and market liquidity. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart H4 – XAUUSD) Based on the H4 chart, Gold (GOLD) seems to have completed the Push Wave 5 (Elliott Wave 5) in the current uptrend cycle, reaching strong resistance around 4050–4060. Current Structure: The price is within a sustainable Uptrend Channel. The 4050–4060 range is a significant resistance where selling pressure may emerge. An ABC correction wave scenario appears after completing Wave 5. Key Liquidity Zones: Potential Resistance Zone (Sell Wave C): Around 4028–4033 (Price area to watch for the reaction of the final Wave C). Confirmed Drop Support Zone: 3972 (Critical price area confirming if selling pressure is strong enough). Attractive Buy Zone: 3976 (Temporary liquidity if price corrects, waiting for Breakout confirmation). Long-term Buy Zone (POC Buy): ~3850 (Price area with a huge Volume Profile, ideal for long-term buy orders). 🎯 New Week Trading Scenario 📉 Short-term Sell This scenario is based on the expectation of an ABC correction wave starting from the resistance zone. 📍 Entry: 4033 🛑 SL: 4040 (Very tight SL, suitable for short-term Sell strategy at the wave peak) 🎯 TP: 3976 → 3943 → POC (~3850) 📈 Long-term Buy This setup waits for a correction to lower liquidity zones to enter Buy orders with optimal R:R ratio. 📍 Entry: 3976 (Temporary liquidity buy zone) 🛑 SL: 3970 🎯 TP: 4040 → 4090 → 4150 🛑 Failure Scenario (Wait for Breakout Confirmation) If the price breaks the 4060 peak and creates a new ATH (All-Time High), the ABC wave scenario will fail. Action: Continue to prioritize Buying. The best entry is to wait for the price to retest the broken liquidity zone (Breakout Retest) around 3976. 🧭 Fundamental & Long-term Analysis Macroeconomic Sentiment: The Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) forecasts Gold to rise to $4,500 in the next two years, bolstered by long-term inflation concerns. This confirms the long-term uptrend of Gold remains intact. US Dollar Impact (USD): The traditional view is that USD rises as investors seek liquidity during market stress. However, Gold's rise alongside USD shows the market prioritizes gold as an inflation hedge rather than just a safe haven. Long-term Strategy: The buy zone at POC (~3850) according to Volume Profile is extremely suitable. Large liquidity here will help traders enter optimal orders and hold long-term, leveraging the pressure from the Seller's Liquidity to push prices up. 📌 Conclusion Gold is at a critical crossroads. Although the long-term trend is up, the short-term correction risk (ABC Wave) at the 4028–4033 zone is very high. Priority: Watch for short-term sells at the resistance zone with a tight SL. Safe strategy: Wait to Buy at liquidity support zones like 3976 or POC (~3850) to optimize risk/reward (R:R). I will continue to update Gold scenarios daily with insights from 8 years of trading experience. 👉 Follow me to not miss important updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Part 2 Master Candle Stick PatternHow Option Trading Works Let’s take a simple example. Suppose a stock named XYZ Ltd. is trading at ₹1000. You believe it will rise in the next month, so you buy a call option with a strike price of ₹1050, expiring in one month, and pay a premium of ₹20 per share. If the price rises to ₹1100, your profit = (1100 - 1050 - 20) = ₹30 per share. If the price stays below ₹1050, you lose the premium (₹20 per share). This is the beauty of options — your loss is limited to the premium, but your potential profit is unlimited. Similarly, if you believe the stock will fall, you can buy a put option. For example, if you buy a put option at ₹950 with a premium of ₹15: If the stock falls to ₹900, your profit = (950 - 900 - 15) = ₹35 per share. If the stock stays above ₹950, you lose the ₹15 premium.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
GOLD: ACCUMULATION POST SELL-OFF,Weekend Short-term Trading PLANGOLD: ACCUMULATION POST SELL-OFF, Weekend Short-term Trading Plan Hello traders 👋 The Gold market witnessed a strong and clear Sell-off yesterday, especially with the decisive break of the $4000 zone – a confirmation area for a new corrective trend, or at least a long-term downtrend cycle. Currently, Gold prices are fluctuating within a narrow range (Sideways), mainly due to the cautious sentiment of investors and the weak liquidity characteristic of Friday. This lack of momentum makes it likely for Gold to continue moving sideways until the New York Session opens. 🔎 Technical Analysis (Chart 30M – XAUUSD) Resistance Retest Zone (Fibonacci Retest): $4030 – $4035. An ideal area for Sellers to re-enter. Sell Scalping/FIBO 50 Zone: $4000 – $4004. The $4000 price zone, once broken, now becomes strong resistance. Key Support/Accumulation Zone: $3940 – $3945 (Confluence of Support level 1.618). Long-term Buy Zone (Buy Scalping): $3890 – $3880. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan (Short-term Trading) The strategy for the day is Short-term trading (Scalping) when the price hits minor resistance zones and seeks larger orders when matching Entry zones according to Fibonacci Extension. 🔴 SELL Scenario (Priority according to the downtrend structure) 1. Sell Re-test Zone $4000 Entry: 📍 4002 – 4004 SL: 🛑 4010 TP: 🎯 3998 – 3985 – 3960 (Can hold the position if the reaction is good) 2. Sell Re-test Zone $4030 (Fibonacci Retest) Entry: 📍 4030 – 4032 SL: 🛑 4037 TP: 🎯 4016 – 4002 – 3998 – 3978 🟢 BUY Scenario (Bottom-fishing/Support) 1. Buy Scalping Zone $3940 Entry: 📍 3940 – 3942 SL: 🛑 3935 TP: 🎯 3965 – 3977 – 3999 – 4035 💡 Fundamental View & Weekend Risk News: A report from SEB Research suggests that market expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates might be too high due to persistent inflation risks. This could pressure Gold and support the USD on a macro level. Friday Risk: Reduced liquidity, prone to Stop Hunts or Fakeouts. ⚖️ Conclusion & Recommendations Short-term main trend: Correction/Downtrend. Action: Closely observe market reactions this Friday. Prioritise Selling at strong Resistance zones ($4000, $4030) and manage capital tightly (Tight SL) for Buy Scalping orders. 👉 Follow me for timely updates on the latest scenarios in the weekend trading session!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure BreakLiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure Break, Preparing for a STRONG DOWNTREND? Hello trader, The Gold market has undergone a significant Market Structure Shift, breaking the previous sustainable uptrend. After the key support area around 4000 was breached with high volume, the Bears have taken short-term control. Currently, the price is experiencing a slight correction after a sharp drop, but overall, it is forming Lower High – Lower Low patterns on the H1 chart, confirming the downward movement. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 1H – XAUUSD) The recent sharp decline has broken the upward structure (Break of Structure - BOS) and created significant inefficiencies/imbalances that need to be filled: Liquidity Zone (Resistance): $4050 – $4060. This is the resistance peak to watch. Sell Liquidity Zone (FVG Sell Zone): $4030 – $4040. This is the ideal Fair Value Gap for Bears to re-enter. Key Support/Buy Scalping Zone: $3925 – $3935 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.272). Swing Buy/Accumulation Zone: $3905 – $3915 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.618). 🎯 Main Trading Scenario (Short-term BEARISH) Sell entry 4000 – 4002 SL 4008 TP 3986 – 3965 3950 – 3923 Sell Entry 4028 – 4031 (FVG) SL 4036 TP 4022 – 4010 4000 – 3960 Buy Scalping 3926 – 3928 SL 3921 TP 3939 – 3955 3970 – 3990 Buy Bottom Zone 3900 – 3908 SL 3895 TP 3922 – 3945 3970 – 3988 Export to Spreadsheet 🧭 Fundamental View & Market Sentiment The downward momentum is being driven by the following factors: Monetary Policy: Fed official Williams' remarks supporting continued rate cuts seem to be reducing the safe-haven demand for Gold. Although rate cuts typically support Gold in the long term (due to "cheap money"), a slowing labour market is a short-term negative signal. CPI News: The Bureau of Labour Statistics recalling staff to compile the CPI report amid a government shutdown highlights the importance of this data. If CPI is not as expected, it could cause significant volatility. Market Sentiment: After the structure break, technical selling sentiment may dominate, especially if the price cannot quickly recover to the 4000 level. 📌 Conclusion & Recommendations Gold has confirmed a short-term structure change to a downtrend. While the long-term trend is not yet clearly defined, the current priority is to seek Sell opportunities when the price retraces to key resistance and FVG areas (such as $4000 and $4030). Advice: Always adhere to SL (Stop Loss) and prioritise risk reduction when the market shows reversal signals. DO NOT BUY when the downtrend structure is prevailing. 👉 Follow me for detailed updates and the latest trading plans during the session!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX