A SLOW WALK PATH ONLY FOR LONG TERMonly for long term investors i am personally holding this company it is an investment pick has current market scenario only long term is the outlook a good dividend paying company below are the trade ratios i sm looking the market bearish so will buy slolwy on dips for future
possible @ 710/700/650
looking for 1000/1100/1800+
only investment pick no trading
buy and forget no time
yealry 10 rs+ dividend company has it is an investment so no sl will hold for longer tenure
Fundamental Analysis
BOI Showing Strength with Vol., Good Q3 and Below BV.NSE:BANKINDIA is showing strength with volumes getting picked since two days after good Q3 Numbers and RBI Liquidity Inject in the System. It is still trading below its book value of 155 Rs.
Bank of India posted a good set of numbers as fresh NPA accretion declined on a sequential basis. Margins were partly impacted due to lower margins on international book. Loan growth was healthy during the quarter. Lower credit costs and contained opex helped the bank post a good rise in net profit.
F&O Activity:
Significant Long Build-up with 105 PUT Showing Significant OI addition.
Trade Setup:
It can be a Good 1:2 RISK-REWARD Trade with the recent swing low being crucial. The stock closed above 20 DSMA.
Target(Take Profit):
115/116 Levels for Swing Trader and 155 for Positional Trader.
Stop-Loss:
99/100 For Swing Trader and Recent Base of 89-91 for Positional Trader.
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Fresh Buy Sinal on Globus Spr. With MACD getting +veNSE:GLOBUSSPR today gains on the drop in rice price for ethanol distilleries with MACD turning Positive and RSI showing Strength, it was from a good base if the given resistance is broken it can provide a good swing.
Trade Setup:
It can be a Good 1:1 RISK-REWARD Trade, with the recent base being crucial levels on downside.
Target(Take Profit):
1115.80 Levels for Positional Trader.
Stop-Loss:
Around 795.85 For Swing Trade and Recent BO Base for Positional Trader.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
GODFREY PHILLIPS THE BEST SECTOR OF ALL TIME Please consult your financial advisor before investing.This is only for learning purpose of chart.
We are NISM certified EQ and MCX trader but not SEBI register investment advisor.
THE 'OG STOCK " stock has given multibagger overthe past few years despite tax rise and uncertain govt policy on tobacco we firmly believe that stock will give infinite return from this level. Because you cannot not stop addict from smoking. Rather make money and be happy...
CERA : on Fibonacci Gold Ratio level...CERA is taking support on 200 weekly ema as well as Fibonacci Gold Ratio level... must follow its financial level...
CMP : 6600
TG : near ATH
SL : 7-8 % Below cmp
Stock's selection based on 5 Point Analysis:
1: Idea : Support on 200 WEMA.
2: Support : Volume, Delivery .
3: Technical : 21/55/200-EMA, Super trend up, RS>0 RSI.
4: Fundamental : PE, PAT, Industry & peer PE and sector performance.
5: Timing : Entry Timing on Daily chart.
Disclaimer : It is my personal view as a trader and for educational purpose only. Equity market involves risk .
Please consult your financial adviser before taking any decision.
Part 1: How to Analyze Events in the Forex Market?
The forex market is one of the most dynamic and volatile financial markets in the world. It is deeply influenced by global events, economic data, and geopolitical developments. Traders who understand how to analyze these events can make informed decisions and capitalize on market movements.
Influence Of the Global Events:
The forex market is directly linked to global economic health. Since currencies represent the economies of their respective countries, any significant event like an interest rate decision, inflation data, or geopolitical conflict. It can cause major fluctuations in currency prices. Here’s global events play important role:
- Central Bank Policies: When the Federal Reserve (Fed) or European Central Bank (ECB) changes interest rates, it impacts global liquidity and investment flows.
- Economic Data Releases: GDP growth, inflation, and employment reports provide insights into economic stability, affecting investor confidence.
- Geopolitical Events: Wars, elections, trade agreements, and diplomatic conflicts impact currency demand and risk sentiment.
What Happens When News Is Published?
When a major economic event or news release occurs, the forex market reacts instantly. Here’s the typical stages of events:
Stage 1: Market Expectations: Before the news release, traders anticipate the outcome based on forecasts. The market often prices in expectations.
Stage 2: Immediate Volatility: If the actual data differs from the forecast, there’s a sharp price movement in the affected currency pairs.
Stage 3: Liquidity Fluctuations: Spreads widen, and liquidity dries up momentarily as traders rush to execute orders.
Stage 4: Short-Term Correction: After the initial reaction, the market stabilizes, and price action follows the broader trend.
Major Events:
Central Bank Meetings – Institutions like the Fed, ECB, BoJ, and BoE set monetary policies. Interest rate hikes strengthen a currency, while rate cuts weaken it. Forward guidance also plays a role in shaping long-term trends.
Inflation Reports (CPI & PPI): These measure inflation levels, influencing central bank decisions. Higher inflation often leads to interest rate hikes, strengthening the currency, while lower inflation may result in monetary easing, weakening it.
Employment Data (NFP & Job Reports) – The US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is a key indicator. Strong job growth supports a stronger USD, while weak employment data signals economic trouble.
GDP Growth Reports –:A higher-than-expected GDP growth rate boosts investor confidence and strengthens the currency, while economic contraction leads to depreciation.
Political & Geopolitical Events: Elections, government policies, trade wars, and conflicts create uncertainty, often pushing investors toward safe-haven currencies like the USD, JPY, or CHF.
One's Loss, Another's Win:
When the U.S. releases strong economic data, such as higher-than-expected GDP growth, strong job reports (NFP), or an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, The demand for the U.S. dollar increases. This leads to USD appreciation against other currencies, including the euro.
For example,
---> EUR/USD falls : USD is gaining strength, it takes fewer dollars to buy 1 euro, causing the EUR/USD exchange rate to drop.
---> USD/EUR rises : USD is now wortth more, the inverse exchange rate (USD/EUR) increases, meaning 1 USD can now buy more euro.
Key strategies for trading events:
•Stay Ahead with an Event Calendar: Keep track of important economic events and central bank meetings to anticipate potential market-moving news.
• Gauge Market Expectations: Understand forecasts and market sentiment before the event to predict how the market might react.
• Implement Stop-Loss Orders: Protect your trades from excessive risk by setting stop-loss orders to cap potential losses during volatile moves.
• Wait for Market Stability: Allow the market to settle after the event to avoid getting caught in the initial volatility and better assess the trend.
• Evaluate the Market’s Response: Assess the immediate market reaction to the event to identify if the initial price move is sustainable or a short-term spike.
Drawbacks of Trading News:
High Volatility & Whipsaws: Prices can spike in both directions before settling on a trend, leading to stop-loss hunting.
Widened Spreads: During news releases, brokers often widen spreads, increasing trading costs.
Slippage: Rapid price movements can lead to orders being executed at unexpected prices.
Emotional Trading: Sudden market swings can trigger impulsive decisions, leading to losses.
Market Manipulation: Big players and institutions often move the market unpredictably before major news releases.
In the next part, we will focus on the specific events and strategies.
Journey to become a profitable traderIt starts with an examination that tests trading proficiency and encourages risk management and discipline. Upon completing the examination, the trader will join a prop trading firm, receive a trading account and then grow that account by meeting fixed objectives and withdrawing their profit.
The 1% rule demands that traders never risk more than 1% of their total account value on a single trade. In a $10,000 account, that doesn't mean you can only invest $100. It means you shouldn't lose more than $100 on a single trade.
Trading With Professional The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
A PCR at one (=1) suggests that investors are purchasing the same amount of put options as call options and signals a neutral trend going forward. No PCR is considered ideal, but a PCR below 0.7 is typically viewed as a strong bullish sentiment while a PCR above 1 is typically viewed as a strong bearish sentiment.
GOLD - TRADING IN ASCENDING CHANNELSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold has been oscillating near the support level of 2762 since the session's opening. The probability of a retest of the all-time highs remains elevated. The dollar's current correction provides opportunities for bullish movements. Traders are experiencing profit-taking while awaiting the Federal Reserve's statements and the Trump administration's stance on trade tariffs. U.S. tariff policies, along with PMI data, continue to shape market sentiment, impacting both the dollar and gold. From an economic perspective, the upcoming week holds significant importance with key events such as the Fed's rate decision, U.S. GDP report, and PCE data release.
From a technical standpoint, gold has tested a critical support zone, though it has yet to reach the risk area where a trend reversal might be expected. It appears that less committed market participants have exited their positions, securing profits.
Resistance levels: 2760, 2790
Support levels: 2750, 2745
The primary focus at this stage is on the 2760 support level. Should gold manage to establish a sustained move above this level, a potential rise toward 2790 can be anticipated. However, this remains a pivotal zone that continues to attract the attention of speculators. We expect a retest of the ATH and anticipate a possible false breakout in the near term.
BANDHAN BANK - DOUBLE BOTTOM IN FORMATIONSymbol - BANDHAN BANK
CMP - 151.12
Incorporated in 2014, Bandhan Bank is a commercial bank focused on serving underbanked and underpenetrated markets in India. The company has a PAN-India presence and offers a wide range of banking products & services and asset & liability products and services designed for micro banking and general banking.
A double bottom pattern is currently in formation, and the price is undergoing a consolidation phase. At this juncture, the key level of focus is 154, which represents the breakout zone for this consolidation (Buy Trigger). If the price successfully sustains above this level, a potential upward move towards 168 can be anticipated. Therefore, I intend to initiate long position in Futures at the buy trigger level. Additionally, I plan to add more position around 150 level and will hold long position with a stop loss at 144. The target for this trade is 168, which implies an expected upside of approximately 8.40% from the entry point.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Database Part-5An option chain lists data on calls and puts, underlying prices, strike prices, expiration, and moneyness. Call option data is listed to the right of the table. Put option data is listed to the left of the table. Strike prices are listed on rows in the centre of the table.
Avoid options with low liquidity; verify volume at specific strike prices. calls grant the right to buy, while puts grant the right to sell an asset before expiration. Utilise different strategies based on market conditions; explore various options trading approaches.
RSIThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a widely used momentum oscillator in technical analysis that helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions in a market. Here’s a brief overview:
Interpretation:
Overbought: An RSI above 70 suggests that the asset might be overbought and could be due for a pullback.
Oversold: An RSI below 30 indicates that the asset might be oversold and could be due for a bounce.
Trading with the DataDefine Your Risk Tolerance and Goals: Before diving into options trading, assess your risk tolerance and establish clear trading objectives. Understand how much risk you’re willing to take on and what you aim to achieve.
Diversify Your Options Strategies: Spread your risk by using various options strategies. Consider covered calls, protective puts, and other approaches to safeguard your investments.
Set Entry and Exit Points: Determine specific levels at which you’ll enter and exit trades.
Having clear guidelines helps you avoid emotional decisions during market fluctuations.
Limit Maximum Risk Per Trade: When buying options, consider using debit spreads. These allow you to define your maximum risk upfront while still benefiting from potential gains.
Hyundai - Will the share price go uphill or downhill from here?Hyundai India Motors presented quarterly results today and the street didn't like it. The share price has been falling since its IPO launch recently.
What are the reasons for such a fall? Is now a good time to pick this stock?
This video answers. Watch now.
P.S. - The video starts at 1 min
Wipro's Steady Climb with Cautionary Signals Topic Statement:
Wipro's recent strong quarterly performance has led to a significant surge in its stock price, indicating a potential bullish trend.
Key Points:
1. The company reported a robust 24.6% QoQ profit growth for the third quarter.
2. The stock is trading in an up-trending channel, making channel trading convenient.
3. A double top pattern has emerged, indicating potential resistance.
4. Buying at the lower end of the channel, near the 180-day moving average, offers an oversold entry point.
PCR (Put Call Ratio) Trading The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
Here PCR is computed by dividing the put trading volume by the call trading volume on a specific day. Here, Put volume indicates the total put options initiated over a specific time-frame. Conversely, Call volume indicates the total call options initiated over a specific time-frame.
Technical AnalysisTechnical analysis is a means of examining and predicting price movements in the financial markets, by using historical price charts and market statistics. It is based on the idea that if a trader can identify previous market patterns, they can form a fairly accurate prediction of future price trajectories.
How to perform technical analysis
Identifying the trend. This is the first step in technical analysis for traders because trading strategies can either follow the trend or go against the trend. ...
Drawing support and resistance levels. ...
Establishing entry and exit points. ...
Position sizing and risk management.
Trading MistakesIt is a high-stakes game where many are lured by the promise of quick riches but ultimately face harsh realities. One of the harsh realities of trading is the “Rule of 90,” which suggests that 90% of new traders lose 90% of their starting capital within 90 days of their first trade.
The 5-3-1 strategy is especially helpful for new traders who may be overwhelmed by the dozens of currency pairs available and the 24-7 nature of the market. The numbers five, three, and one stand for: Five currency pairs to learn and trade. Three strategies to become an expert on and use with your trades.
Basic to Advanced Trading Road MapRoadmap to being a successful trader
Step 1: Decide on your trading pattern. ...
Step 2: Select the most appropriate stock trading broker for You. ...
Step 3: Choose the best stocks for your investment. ...
Step 4: Determine your risk tolerance. ...
Step 5: Learn to be patient.
It is a high-stakes game where many are lured by the promise of quick riches but ultimately face harsh realities. One of the harsh realities of trading is the “Rule of 90,” which suggests that 90% of new traders lose 90% of their starting capital within 90 days of their first trade.