Fundamental Analysis
Nifty Trade Setup & Commentary - Nifty is currently trading at 24,148
- Nifty overall structure is at a very crucial point where we have a make or break structure
- Important zone and area to watch for bulls will be 23,813 and if this gets breached or if we see a weekly closing below this I expect Nifty to free fall till 23,200 and then 21,285
- Nifty Demand and POI Zones: 21,285 and 23,200
- Nifty Supply Zones: 25,200
- If Nifty goes upto 25,200 and shows a relief rally dont consider or assume the bull run is back because we need to flip that zone and wait for nifty to make a weekly close above 25,200 if order to turn bullish again
Crypto USDT Dominance Update & Commentary- USDT Dominance is currently trading at 4.61%
- USDT Dominance works inversely with the Crypto Market
- If you see USDT Dominance falling and being bearish then are high chances of crypto moving up impulsively
- Current Market Structure of USDT Dominance looks highly bearish
- We can expect USDT Dom to easily fall down to 4.29% and 3.81%
- These 2 zones are highly going to be important because in between that we will also see some sort of upside retracement followed by more downside moves
- I have drawn more downside zones like 2.45% and 1.90% as well where you can expect USDT Dominance to absolutely get slaughtered and this should mark the local end of bull run.
Ethereum Bull Run Analysis & Commentary - Ethereum is currently trading at 3204$ and has breached all recent swing lows
- Structurally Ethereum looks all set to purge way higher in the upcoming weeks
- Ethereum is up 30% this week for all those faithful holders, ethereum has finally started moving impulsively and all the patience was worth it
- Technically, I see ETH reaching 3400-3600$ soon and post that I would like to see how ETH reacts from that zone.
1) Scenario 1 - Lock in partials around 3400-3600 and deploy the same partials when you see ETH dipping back to fill the FVGs around 2800-3000$
2) Scenario 2 - You let you position run and lock in partials around 4000$ and deploy your gains when you see ETH dipping back to 3500$ and second deploy around 3000$
- My bull run conservative target for Ethereum is 8000$ minimum anything above that is a gift
Bitcoin (BTC): technical and fundamental analysis📈 Technical analysis BTC/USDT
The Bitcoin price has reached a new all-time high (ATH) following Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election. This price movement has fully validated the scenario outlined in our previous analysis. Now we expect a correction of the latest growth wave in the near future. Key targets for this correction could initially be the dynamic support levels at EMA 50 and EMA 200. The first 1H Imbalance zone is near EMA 50, where gaps on the horizontal volume levels need to be filled through trading consolidations. If sellers manage to push through the 70,000 support level, where the EMA 200 line also lies, we anticipate the start of a full correction of the November growth. In this scenario, the price may drop to the next 4H Imbalance zone, situated between the 0.61 and 0.78 Fibonacci retracement levels, where corrections typically conclude and a reversal occurs.
For BTC to continue its upward trend, it needs to surpass the 77,000 level, which would open the path for a test of the significant resistance block at 80,000.
📉 Bitcoin market global analysis
On the daily logarithmic chart, it’s crucial for Bitcoin’s price to hold above the 70,000 level with a weekly close to support continued growth. Otherwise, BTC may face a correction. This is further indicated by the beginning of a divergence on the RSI indicator, which has been in the extreme overbought zone for an extended period.
What are Bitcoin’s long-term growth targets?
Above the current ATH, there are no resistance levels based on historical data. To determine growth targets, we’ll rely on trend lines, Fibonacci extension levels, analysis of large order block clusters in order books, and, of course, indicators.
According to the MVRV Deviation Pricing Bands indicator, the next target for Bitcoin is 85,000, where the first Fibonacci extension level of 1.23 is also located. In the 90,000 - 100,000 range lies a global trend line constructed from the peaks of Bitcoin’s previous two cycles, aligning with the 1.38 Fibonacci extension level. The highest trend line, situated between the 1.61 and 1.78 Fibonacci levels, could be tested starting from the 100,000 level.
💠 Analysis of liquidity zones and levels
The Fear and Greed Index is in the Greed Zone - 75.
The total capitalization of the cryptocurrency market has grown to $2,531 billion, and the Bitcoin Dominance Index has increased to 59.73.
According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in the order books, the largest blocks are at levels 77,000 and 80,000, and the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels:
🟢 Demand zone: 50,000 - 70,000
🔴 Supply zone: 80,000 - 90,000
Levels for long positions:
70,000 - psychological support level
65,000 - large support block
60,000 - large support block
Levels for short positions:
77,000 - large resistance block
80,000 - largest resistance block
90,000 - 100,000 - ascending trend line of resistance
📊 Fundamental analysis
Bitcoin-Based Spot ETFs Set a New Record. On November 7th, Bitcoin (BTC) spot ETFs reached a new milestone, attracting $1.38 billion in a single day—the largest daily inflow since their launch in January. This record-breaking inflow was fueled by Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election, as many investors believe his re-election will positively impact the crypto industry. Another factor driving Bitcoin’s growth was the recent decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), which lowered the key interest rate by 25 basis points during its latest meeting.
What Changes Are Expected in the Crypto Community After Donald Trump's Victory:
- Bitcoin could become one of the strategic reserve assets of the U.S.;
- Token classification systems may change, with most cryptocurrencies likely to be considered commodities rather than securities;
- Crypto investors might enter the market more actively;
- Banks could gain more freedom to provide services to crypto startups and interact openly with the crypto industry;
- Spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) based on Solana (SOL).
🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy
We expect increased volatility in both stock and cryptocurrency markets on the following dates:
➤ 11/13, 4:30 PM - US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October.
➤ 11/14, 11:00 PM - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech.
➤ 11/27, 4:30 PM - GDP data (q/q) (Q3).
➤ 12/18, 9:00 PM - New Fed interest rate decision.
➤ 01/29/2025, 9:00 PM - New Fed interest rate decision.
📈 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator:
In October 2024, the Bitcoin price continued to recover its positions, thanks to positive expectations from the US elections and further reduction in the key interest rate of the Fed.
Our trading indicator, as always, warned about this in advance! And even during the flat period it gave good entry points. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals have become profitable, and built-in Anti-Flat System prevented losses from manipulative market movements. 😎
Total price movement by all signals: + 41.89%
Maximum price movement: + 13.77%
Average price movement: + 7.58%
In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
Bitcoin Weekly TA & Commentary- Bitcoin is currently trading at 79,446$
- Bitcoin has printed a new All Time High today and we can expect this rally to continue until 84,120$ or 89,333$
- Bitcoin is currently carrying a huge parabolic momentum where we can expect large expansions and retractions this week
- From an accumulation perspective you should wait for dip and the point of interest lies at 70,000$ and 73.5k, if you see 70k getting breached then we can see 66,000 coming in play
- If you are already holding Bitcoin and confused where to lock in partials then you can watchout these 2 zones
- 84,120$
- 89,333$
- Lock in partials to roll over the same money in dips to either add BTC or Alts its upto you
Asian paints Funda and 2021 to 2024 distribution TGT-below1600technically from 2021 to 2024 asian paints has seen distribution i think by now smart money has already exited
Asian Paints
last all quaters has profits around 1100-1200 cr
This quater 694 cr which is very massive dip in profits
current p/e 52
sector p/e 47
i think asian paints is now no longer market leader
so considering these profits constant for next three quaters also then
keeping P/e also constant at 50 stock fair price would be 1600 where eps is taken as 32 (Trailing Twelve months)
if pe also falls asian paints fair valuation comes around 900-1200 rupees Thats a lot of gap
fii hold 15%
others hold 8%
public around 18%
i think asian paints facing severe competition from
berger paints
grasim
indigo paints
sirca paints
mrf (also has paints )
and many other local players
Disclaimer- Just my view and opinion trade at your own risk not an investment advice
these are only for educational purposes
Stock Analysis: Atam ValvesAbout: Atam Valves
Atam Valves is a part of AMCO Industries involved in the manufacturing and export of Industrial & Plumbing Valves, Fittings & Boiler Mountings including valves of Gate, Globe, Check, Ball, Butterfly, Steam Traps, Boiler Mountings & Accessories, and other industrial valves and fittings. Clients include Adani, Alps Industries, BHEL, BPCL, BSBK, Driplex, Essar, HPCL, IOCL, IRCTC, NTPC, Thermax, Voltamp, etc.
Fundamental Analysis
Market Cap: ₹ 163 Cr. Stock P/E: 26.1 (Ind. P/E: 49.5)
ROCE: 24.1 %; ROE: 20.8 %
Quarterly Results
Sales (Sep 2024): 16.92 YOY Sales Growth %: 32.60% (Sep 2024)
Operating Profit (Sep 2024): 2.62 OPM % (Sep 2024): 15.48%
Net Profit (Sep 2024): 1.66
Compounded Sales Growth (3 Years): 42%
Compounded Profit Growth (3 Years): 89%
Stock Price CAGR: 84%
Net Cash Flow: 9.96 (Mar 2024)
Cons:
Promoter holding decreased by more than -2% QoQ
Net Profit TTM Growth % : Negative Net Profit TTM Growth %
Negative profit growth, promoters decreasing shareholding QoQ
Low Piotroski Score : Companies with weak financials
Technical Analysis
Atam Valves has been in a downtrend for more than three months.
Even though the Sep 2024 Quarter Income (16.92 Cr.) exceeded Jun 2024 (11.48), it fell below Mar 2024 Income of 17.25 Cr.
It took strong support around 128 levels.
After consolidating between 128 and 134 levels, it gave a strong breakout with good volume.
The downside potentials are limited.
Currently trading near 142 levels.
Resistance levels: 144.5, 155, 188, 226
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BEL Trying for a Reversal NSE:BEL is Trying to make a Reversal on the Daily Chart with today's heavy inflow as it's now gonna be part of the Nifty 50 which will attract more passive funds chasing it, although a breakaway gap is yet to be filled below the accumulation zone let's see if bulls can defend it a close above 315-317 Levels will confirm that they defended it and further upside can be seen.
Check out my other stock ideas below until this trade gets activated, I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Bitcoin Bull Run Setup and Retracement Areas - Bitcoin is currently trading at $75,973.
- Donald Trump's victory in the elections is considered great news for crypto traders and investors.
- Many believed that the market had already priced in a Trump win; however, on election day, Bitcoin reached a new all-time high (ATH).
- Bitcoin has created small imbalances and fair value gaps with this recent surge. The $70,514 level appears to be a crucial zone we may revisit soon.
- From an investment standpoint, it's advisable not to rush in; instead, wait for the market to retrace before deploying capital.
- You can place limit spot buys in the range of $70,500 to $72,000.
- Wait for Bitcoin to drop back to the $70,500 level for swing trading.
- Altcoins are still yet to show their impulsiveness, meme coins, RWA, depin, AI are some cryptos that showed good parabolic signs
- Manage risk and wait for a DIP
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in LATENTVIEW
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in AVALON
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
page industries falling wedge and long consolidation
Hi guys,
you can see page has fallen from 54349 to 33070
a decent correction and market leader in textiles(under garments)
i think next sector will be textiles however page is at very discount price and downside is very limited
can see faling wedge refer the above image for other time frames and can expect all time high in long term
also after long donwtrend back uptrend
disclaimer- this is not any investment call or idea , this just my view and it can go wrong ,this is only for educational purposes trade at your own risk :)
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Cup and Handle Breakout in PDMJEPAPER
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%