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Gold Guinea Eye Breakout – Bulls Test Crucial ₹78,500 ResistanceMCX Gold Guinea shows a strong bullish recovery back toward a key resistance zone near ₹78,400, after bottoming out around ₹77,000. The recent rally has been steady, forming higher lows and higher highs—indicating short-term bullish momentum is building up. The price action has now reclaimed the consolidation range it was stuck in earlier (between ₹77,500 and ₹78,500), suggesting buyers are regaining control. However, ₹78,500–₹78,800 remains a crucial resistance area, as it previously acted as a supply zone before the breakdown on June 24th. The current candles are small-bodied and forming near resistance, hinting at buying exhaustion or profit booking. If the price manages to close above ₹78,800 with strength and volume, it may open up a fresh leg toward ₹79,200 and eventually ₹79,800. On the flip side, failure to break and hold above ₹78,500 could lead to a pullback to ₹77,800 or even ₹77,500, which now acts as immediate support. Until a breakout above the resistance range is confirmed, the structure remains cautiously bullish but not yet in a full uptrend.
MCX:GOLDGUINEA1!Long
by duttkirti
AFFLE India: Breakout Backed by Earnings📉 Technical Overview Post-COVID Surge: From INR 400 pre-COVID, AFL India climbed steadily, forming higher highs and higher lows. Recent Breakout: Just two days ago, it exceeded its recent high and spiked to ₹2,080, now consolidating near ₹1,990. Next Move: If it clears ₹2,080 and sustains above that level, targets are: 🎯 Target 1: ₹2,200 🎯 Target 2: ₹2,300 🎯 Target 3: ₹2,400 Support Zones: ✅ Recent higher-low stop loss near ₹1,800 ✅ If ₹1,800 fails, the next support lies between ₹1,330–₹1,400. A breakdown below this would invalidate the current bullish setup. 💰 Q4 FY24 Financial Highlights (vs Q3 FY24 & Q4 FY23) Total Income: ₹602 Cr (→ vs ₹602 Cr; ↑+19% vs ₹506 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹468 Cr (↓–0.4% vs ₹470 Cr; ↑+9% vs ₹430 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹134 Cr (↑+2% vs ₹131 Cr; ↑+37% vs ₹98 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹124 Cr (→ vs ₹124 Cr; ↑+24% vs ₹100 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹103 Cr (↑+3% vs ₹100 Cr; ↑+18% vs ₹87 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹7.34 (↑+3% vs ₹7.13; ↑+18% vs ₹6.24) ✅ Strong YoY growth across key profitability metrics, especially operating and net profit—good sign of resilient operations. 🔍 Fundamental Insights Steady Margin Expansion: Operating margin expanded sequentially and year-over-year, indicating improving operational efficiency. Healthy Balance Sheet: Company maintains a solid cash position with no significant debt—boosting financial flexibility. Dividend History: Announced interim/final dividend (check exchange filings) reflecting steady shareholder returns. Product & Market Position: Strong market presence in polyvinyl chloride (PVC) coatings and insulation materials, catering to growing infrastructure and auto sectors. 📝 Conclusion AFL India has demonstrated a classic breakout from a bullish price structure, supported by solid Q4 earnings. The stock now needs to clear and hold above ₹2,080 to confirm upside momentum. If successful, it may rally toward ₹2,400, keeping an eye on strict stop-loss near ₹1,800 or the ₹1,330–₹1,400 zone if support falters. ⚠️ Disclaimer This report is for informational use only and not investment advice. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:AFFLELong
by Rupesh_Chidharala
Ramco Cement Break Out Strong Is This the Start of a New Rally ?📉 Technical View: Ramco Cement Limited has formed a beautiful ascending triangle pattern with a strong resistance zone at ₹1080–₹1130, tested since 2021. Today, it broke out and hit a new all-time high of ₹1152, now hovering around ₹1140. If the breakout holds, we may see: 🎯 Target 1: ₹1200 🎯 Target 2: ₹1240 🎯 Target 3: ₹1300 If the stock falls back below ₹1030, the breakout becomes invalid. 💰 Q4 FY24 Financial Highlights (vs Q3 FY24 & Q4 FY23) Total Income: ₹2397 Cr (↑+21% vs ₹1983 Cr; ↓–10% vs ₹2678 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹2078 Cr (↑+93% vs ₹1074 Cr; ↓–8% vs ₹2259 Cr) Operating Profits: ₹319 Cr (↑+14% vs ₹279 Cr; ↓–24% vs ₹419 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹46 Cr (↓–76% vs ₹191 Cr; ↓–74% vs ₹175 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹26 Cr (↓–86% vs ₹182 Cr; ↓–80% vs ₹129 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹1.16 (↓–85% vs ₹7.72; ↓–79% vs ₹5.46) 🧾Despite strong revenue growth and higher operating profits sequentially, sharp cost escalations impacted margins in Q4. 📈 Fundamentals & Dividend Insights: ✅ Company continues with capacity expansion in East & South India. ✅ Focus on green energy & cost optimization to improve margin outlook. 💸 Dividend Declared (May 2025): ₹3.50 per share 📝 Final Word: The breakout on charts is significant and supported by top-line improvement. If sustained, the stock may offer strong upside potential, making Ramco Cement one to watch closely.
NSE:RAMCOCEMLong
by Rupesh_Chidharala
Gujarat Industries Power Bounces Back with Strength📈 Technical Analysis Breakout & Correction: After breaking ₹190 resistances in Jan 2024, GIPCL surged to ₹270 by June but later corrected sharply. Strong Demand Base: ₹150 acted as a reliable bottom during the downturn, supporting a rebound into a higher-high, higher-low pattern. Buy Trigger Zone: A breakout above ₹230–₹240 (former resistance) with bullish candlestick confirmation could unlock upward momentum toward: 🎯 Target 1: ₹250 🎯 Target 2: ₹260 🎯 Target 3: ₹270 Support Levels: 🔻Recent higher-low stop-loss around ₹190 🔻₹150 remains the critical demand zone—below this, bullish case weakens 💰 Q4 FY24 Financial Highlights (vs Q3 FY24 & Q4 FY23) Total Income: ₹338 Cr (↑+5% vs ₹322 Cr; –9% vs ₹373 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹219 Cr (↑+18% vs ₹196 Cr; –14% vs ₹254 Cr) Operating Profits: ₹119 Cr (↑+34% vs ₹89 Cr; flat YoY) Profit Before Tax: ₹86 Cr (↑+62% vs ₹53 Cr; ↑1% YoY) Profit After Tax: ₹70 Cr (↑+79% vs ₹39 Cr; ↑6% YoY) Diluted EPS: ₹4.49 (↑+73% vs ₹2.59; ↑2% vs ₹4.38) 📌 Sequential growth across the board—profit nearly doubled QoQ and edged higher YoY—signals improved margins and operational discipline. 🔍 Fundamental Highlights Dividend Yield ~1.9%: Company increased annual dividend to ₹4.09 per share (40.9%) for FY25 Consistent Dividend Growth: Yield rose steadily over the past decade, backed by a healthy ~29% payout ratio Latest Q4 Net Profit: Up 5.4% QoQ to ₹70 Cr, reflecting resilience in earnings . Strong Cash Flow & Balance Sheet: Installed capacity ~1,184 MW with healthy leverage metrics 🧭 Conclusion Gujarat Industries Power is showing promising signs—technically rebounding from ₹150 with strategic breakout levels at ₹230–₹240, and fundamental strengths in earnings growth and dividends. If the ₹230–₹240 zone is breached and confirmed, the stock could rally to ₹270. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Investors should perform their own research and consult a professional before investing.
NSE:GIPCLLong
by Rupesh_Chidharala
Swing and Positional Trade Setup ✅ Final Setup for Positional and Swing Trades (High Beta Liquid Stocks for Cash and Options)- This trading guide outlines a simple and effective setup for both positional and swing trades, focused on high beta, highly liquid stocks. Follow the rules strictly for better consistency and profitability. 🔹 Positional Trade Setup • Open the Monthly Chart of the stock. • Add the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator. • Uncheck all levels (30, 50, 70) and only keep one level at 60. • Edit the level from 70 to 60 and highlight it in green. Entry Criteria: • Stock must cross the 60 RSI level on the monthly chart. • Entry is only triggered if the price breaks the previous month's high. Stop Loss: • Place the initial stop loss below the previous month's low. Trailing Stop Loss: • Trail the stop loss to the current month’s low, but only after the monthly candle closes. • Continue trailing the stop loss every month using this method until exit. Exit Rule: • Exit the positional trade only if the current month’s candle closes below the previous month’s low. ⚡ Note: The RSI 60+ setup is a powerful momentum strategy with high reward probability. 🔹 Swing Trade Setup • Monthly RSI must cross above the 60 level. • Switch to the Daily Chart of the stock. • Identify the current swing high on the daily chart. • Entry is triggered only when the stock breaks the swing high. • Place the stop loss below the previous week low at first. Trailing Stop Loss: • If the trade moves in your favor, trail the stop loss to cost from week low. Exit Rule: • Exit the swing trade only if RSI crosses below 60 with a daily candle close. 📌 High Liquid Stocks List (Suitable for both Cash and Options Segment) 🚗 Auto • Bajaj Auto • Bosch Ltd • Eicher Motors • Hero Motocorp • Maruti Suzuki • TVS Motors • Tata Motors 🏦 Banking & Financial Services • Bank of Baroda • Kotak Bank • Axis Bank • ICICI Bank • HDFC Bank • IndusInd Bank • Bajaj FinServ • Bajaj Finance • SBI 🧪 Chemicals • Aarti Industries • Atul Ltd • Navin Fluorine • UPL • Tata Chemicals 🍫 FMCG • Britannia • Godrej Consumer • Tata Consumer • DMart • Hindustan Unilever • Dabur 💊 Pharma & Healthcare • Apollo Hospitals • Alkem • Biocon • Divis Labs • Dr. Reddy’s • IPCA Labs • Laurus Labs • Lupin • Aurobindo Pharma • Sun Pharma • Cipla 💻 IT Sector • HCL Technologies • Infosys • LTIM • TCS • Tech Mahindra • Wipro ⛓️ Steel & Metals • APL Apollo • JSW Steel • Jindal Steel • Tata Steel • Hindalco • L&T 🛢️ Oil & Gas • Reliance Industries • Gujarat Gas • IGL • MGL • Tata Power 🏢 Realty • DLF • Godrej Properties • Lodha • Oberoi Realty • Phoenix Mills 🛋️ Durables & Others • Sona BLW (Sonacoms) • Amber Enterprises • Bata India • Crompton • Dixon Technologies • Titan • ACC Cement • Ambuja Cement • Ultratech Cement • Voltas • Polycab • Mazdock • Asian Paints • Berger Paints 📝 Conclusion This is the final and simplified setup designed for traders looking for clarity and consistency in trading. No complicated indicators or confusing rules—just clean chart action with momentum logic. Please don't trade Intraday and Index options - its a TRAP. FarazT Sr. Equity Research Analyst
NSE:TITANEducation
by SwingAcademy
3
Gold’s Recent Movement and Market SentimentXAUUSD: Gold Bounces Strongly From the Bottom, Is This the Start of a New Uptrend? 🌍 Macro Overview – Gold’s Recent Movement and Market Sentiment Gold recently experienced a strong bounce from the 3.282 USD/oz low, reaching up to 3.317 USD/oz. This move has sparked some optimism, but let’s take a look at the key macro factors that might be affecting gold: 📉 US bond yields have dropped, signaling that market risk aversion is starting to return 💵 The USD remains strong, but buying interest for gold in Asia is increasing, as confidence in fiat currencies begins to wane 🇪🇺 The EU is pushing ahead with negotiations with the US on tariffs before the August 1st deadline. If these talks break down, gold could benefit significantly 🏦 The Fed is maintaining interest rates, but the market is betting that cuts could come in September if inflation remains under control 📊 US unemployment data and the Fed’s speech tonight will be key, with the market waiting anxiously for clues on the Fed’s next move 📊 Technical Analysis – Gold Approaching Key Resistance Zones Gold is trading within a descending channel, but signs of a breakout are emerging after a solid test of the bottom. Key resistance levels are around 3330 – 3340, and these will be crucial in determining whether gold can continue its upward momentum. Fair Value Gap (FVG) has appeared between 3310 – 3320, which suggests that if buying pressure remains, a breakout could be on the horizon. 🎯 Trading Strategy for Today – Focused on Clear Entry Points 🟢 BUY SCALP: Entry: 3310 – 3308 SL: 3304 TP: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 🔵 BUY ZONE (safer entry points): Entry: 3290 – 3288 SL: 3284 TP: 3294 → 3298 → 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3320 → 3330 🔴 SELL SCALP (if price hits resistance levels): Entry: 3335 – 3337 SL: 3342 TP: 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3300 ⚫ SELL ZONE (strong resistance at 3360-3362): Entry: 3360 – 3362 SL: 3366 TP: 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 → 3336 → 3330 📌 Note: Always place SL and TP to protect your account, especially in a market that may experience significant volatility. Monitor the volume from London and New York sessions for clearer market direction. A strong breakout above resistance could signal the start of a new uptrend. 💬 Gold has bounced strongly, but is this the start of a larger rally, or just a brief pullback? What do you think about today’s potential trend? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
NDRAUTO Price Action#### Current Price and Performance - **NDR Auto Components** is trading near ₹1,050–₹1,100 as of July 9, 2025, after a recent pullback from its all-time high of ₹1,191 set earlier in the month. - The stock has delivered an exceptional one-year return of over 135%, with a three-month gain of more than 70%. - Recent price action shows high volatility, with swings of 7–11% on certain days and a short-term correction of about 8% in the past week. - Over the past month, the stock is down about 2–3%, reflecting some profit booking after a rapid rally. #### Trend and Technical Overview - The medium-term trend remains positive, supported by robust earnings growth and strong momentum. - Technical indicators suggest the stock is consolidating after reaching overbought levels, with support seen near ₹1,000 and resistance around ₹1,150. - The stock’s volatility is elevated, and its beta is above 2, indicating higher sensitivity to market movements. #### Valuation and Financial Metrics - NDRAUTO trades at a premium, with a price-to-book ratio above 8 and a price-to-earnings multiple reflecting high growth expectations. - The company’s market capitalization is approximately ₹2,500 crore. - Return on equity (ROE) is strong, around 19–23%, and return on capital employed (ROCE) is above 20%. - Net profit for FY25 rose nearly 38% year-on-year to over ₹53 crore, with revenue up 18% to about ₹713 crore. - Operating margins have improved to nearly 11%, and earnings per share (EPS) for the year is above ₹22. - The dividend yield is modest at 0.26%, with a payout ratio around 12%. #### Market Sentiment and Outlook - Market sentiment remains positive, with the company consistently reporting record profits and sales. - Analysts highlight the company’s efficient operations, strong order book, and improving profitability. - The recent correction is seen as a healthy consolidation after a sharp rally, though further volatility is likely in the short term. - The long-term outlook is favorable, supported by ongoing growth in the auto components sector and the company’s expanding market share. #### Summary NDRAUTO has delivered outstanding returns over the past year, driven by robust financial performance and strong sector momentum. The stock is currently consolidating after hitting record highs and remains highly volatile. While valuations are elevated, the company’s growth trajectory and operational efficiency support a positive outlook for medium- to long-term investors. Short-term caution is warranted due to recent volatility and profit booking.
NSE:NDRAUTOLong
by KamalKJoshi
Market will give a good opportunity soon. But stay cautious tillSo as we analyzed yesterday "Smart Money is Booking Profit on Every Bounce" we got more than 100 points drop in $NSE:NIFTY. And that gave us a supply candle today. We will see a more downside. But tomorrow's expiry can give us a sideway day. Before than Earning Season market will reset itself and many stocks will be forming The Earning Pivot. Be cash Ready. Do not deploy money in market on any impulsive trade. you gonna get a very good opportunity soon. The next support for Nifty will be at 25222. The Resistance we gonna face at 25335. However, individual stocks where Smart Money is flowing, will keep giving good blasts. But that too should be used only for trading and not holding for short term. #Tyre industry looking awesome. I mean, just look at $BSE:GOODYEAR. NSE:BANKNIFTY also giving same vibes as Nifty. Support fir intraday stays at 57004. If that breaks than 56704 will be next stop. Resistance at 57303. If you are a new trader, this is time to take a pause and learn a proper setup and right timing entry. That will be all for the day. Avoid margin trading at any cost. Use tight SLs in positions. Take care. have a profitable tomorrow.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Trendxinc
FINOPB Price Action#### Current Price and Performance - **Fino Payments Bank (FINOPB)** is trading around ₹274–₹278 as of July 8–9, 2025. - The stock has seen a recent high of ₹300 and a low of ₹274.95 in the latest trading sessions. - Over the past month, the price has declined from the ₹286–₹290 range, with a notable drop from its 52-week high of ₹467. - The 52-week low stands at ₹200, highlighting significant volatility in the past year. #### Trend and Technical Overview - The short-term trend is **negative**, with the stock slipping about 4% over the past week and nearly 7% in the last month. - Volumes are robust, with daily trading often exceeding 1.5 million shares, indicating high market participation and speculative interest. - The stock is currently trading closer to its lower circuit limit than its upper circuit, reflecting bearish sentiment. #### Valuation and Financial Metrics - FINOPB is priced at a **low price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) ratio**, though exact values are not meaningful due to inconsistent profitability. - The trailing twelve-month (TTM) earnings per share (EPS) is positive and has grown 7.3% year-on-year. - The market capitalization is around ₹2,477 crore. - Dividend yield is 0%, and the company has not announced any dividends recently. #### Market Sentiment and Outlook - Sentiment is cautious, with the stock underperforming the sector and broader indices in 2025. - The price action reflects ongoing concerns about growth visibility and profitability, despite some improvement in recent quarters. - The stock is viewed as a high-risk, high-volatility play, with traders dominating activity rather than long-term investors. #### Summary FINOPB is in a corrective phase, trading near the lower end of its yearly range after a sharp decline from its highs. While trading volumes are high and EPS has shown some growth, the lack of dividends and inconsistent profitability weigh on sentiment. Investors should remain cautious, as the stock’s volatility and weak trend suggest further downside risk unless there is a clear improvement in fundamentals.
NSE:FINOPBLong
by KamalKJoshi
Swing & Positional Trade - Momentum Trading - RSI 60 Monthly📌 Simple Positional Trading Strategy for Beginners & Intermediate Traders Over the years, I’ve explored and tested a variety of advanced trading strategies. However, I’ve come to realize that for beginners and traders with 2–3 years of experience, complex strategies can often lead to confusion and unnecessary risk. To address this, I’m sharing a straightforward and effective positional strategy that operates solely on the monthly time frame—eliminating the noise of intraday volatility and focusing purely on major institutional trends. 🔹 Strategy Name: Positional/Swing RSI Breakout – Cash or Options (Excludes Futures) This method is tailored specifically for cash market positions or options trades (for those familiar with managing them). Futures are intentionally excluded to reduce leverage-related risks and complexity for new and learning traders. ✅ Strategy Rules • Time Frame: Monthly Candlestick • Indicator Used: RSI (Relative Strength Index) 📥 Entry Conditions: • Monitor for RSI crossing above the 60 level on the monthly chart – this indicates strong bullish momentum. • Once RSI is > 60, mark the high of the previous month’s candle. • Place a buy order just above the previous month’s high. • 🔒 Stop Loss: • Set the stop loss just below the previous month’s low. Trail your stop loss to the low of each month after closing of that monthly candle. 📤 Exit Conditions: • Exit the trade only if a full monthly candle closes below the previous month’s low. • Ignore daily price fluctuations—this strategy is built for positional swing trading, not short-term moves. 💡 Note for Options Traders: If trading via options, ensure you exit your position before monthly expiry to avoid time decay and liquidity issues. If you're unfamiliar with options mechanics, it is advisable to stick with cash market trades. 📋 Stock Universe: A curated list of 30–50 high-beta, highly liquid stocks is provided below for your assistance. These stocks: • Offer consistent volume and volatility • Are widely tracked by institutions • Provide clean price action suited for both cash and options trades 🤝 Support & Queries: If you have questions regarding execution, stock selection, position sizing, or risk management, feel free to reach out. 🔁 Final Thoughts: Trading success doesn’t come from complexity—it comes from consistency, clarity, and discipline. Follow the process, manage your risks wisely, and let the strategy do its work. Wishing you profitable trades and steady growth! Please share this content with as many traders as possible and become a successful trader like PRO. High Beta and Liquid Stocks List:- 🚗 Auto: Bajaj-Auto, Balkrisind, Bharatforg, Boschltd, Eichermot, Exideind, Heromotoco, Mrf, M&M, Maruti, Motherson, Tvsmotor, Tatamotors, Tiindia 🏦 Banking & Financial Services: Axis Bank Ltd., Bank Of Baroda, Canara Bank, Federal Bank Ltd., Hdfc Bank Ltd., Icici Bank Ltd., Idfc First Bank Ltd., Indusind Bank Ltd., Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd., Punjab National Bank, State Bank Of India, Bajaj Finance Ltd., Bajaj Finserv Ltd., Cholamandalam Investment And Finance Company Ltd. ⚗️ Chemicals: Aarti Industries Ltd., Atul Ltd., Bayer Cropscience Ltd., Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd., Coromandel International Ltd., Deepak Nitrite Ltd., Gujarat Fluorochemicals Ltd., Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers And Chemicals Ltd., Himadri Speciality Chemical Ltd., Linde India Ltd., Navin Fluorine International Ltd., Pcbl Chemical Ltd., Pi Industries Ltd., Pidilite Industries Ltd., Srf Ltd., Solar Industries India Ltd., Sumitomo Chemical India Ltd., Tata Chemicals Ltd., Upl Ltd. 🛍️ FMCG: Britannia Industries Ltd., Colgate Palmolive (India) Ltd., Dabur India Ltd., Emami Ltd., Godrej Consumer Products Ltd., Hindustan Unilever Ltd., Itc Ltd., Marico Ltd., Nestle India Ltd., Patanjali Foods Ltd., Radico Khaitan Ltd., Tata Consumer Products Ltd., United Breweries Ltd., United Spirits Ltd., Varun Beverages Ltd., Dmart 💊 Pharma & Healthcare: Abbott India Ltd., Alkem Laboratories Ltd., Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd., Aurobindo Pharma Ltd., Biocon Ltd., Cipla Ltd., Divi's Laboratories Ltd., Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd., Fortis Healthcare Ltd., Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd., Granules India Ltd., Ipca Laboratories Ltd., Laurus Labs Ltd., Lupin Ltd., Mankind Pharma Ltd., Max Healthcare Institute Ltd., Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd., Syngene International Ltd., Torrent Pharmaceuticals Ltd., Zydus Lifesciences Ltd. 💻 IT & Tech: Coforge Ltd., Hcl Technologies Ltd., Infosys Ltd., Ltimindtree Ltd., Mphasis Ltd., Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd., Persistent Systems Ltd., Tata Consultancy Services Ltd., Tech Mahindra Ltd., Wipro Ltd. ⚒️ Metals: Apl Apollo Tubes Ltd., Adani Enterprises Ltd., Hindalco Industries Ltd., Hindustan Copper Ltd., Hindustan Zinc Ltd., Jsw Steel Ltd., Jindal Stainless Ltd., Jindal Steel & Power Ltd., Lloyds Metals And Energy Ltd., Nmdc Ltd., National Aluminium Co. Ltd., Steel Authority Of India Ltd., Tata Steel Ltd., Vedanta Ltd., Welspun Corp Ltd. 🏙️ Realty: Anant Raj Ltd., Brigade Enterprises Ltd., Dlf Ltd., Godrej Properties Ltd., Macrotech Developers Ltd., Oberoi Realty Ltd., Phoenix Mills Ltd., Prestige Estates Projects Ltd., Raymond Ltd., Raymond Realty Ltd., Sobha Ltd. 🧱 Durables & Cement and Oil Gas: Amber Enterprises India Ltd., Bata India Ltd., Blue Star Ltd., Century Plyboards (India) Ltd., Cera Sanitaryware Ltd., Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Ltd., Dixon Technologies (India) Ltd., Havells India Ltd., Kajaria Ceramics Ltd., Kalyan Jewellers India Ltd., Pg Electroplast Ltd., Titan Company Ltd., V-Guard Industries Ltd., Voltas Ltd., Whirlpool Of India Ltd., Acc, Ambuja Cements, Ultratech Cement, Shree Cements, Jk Cement, Reliance. For Swing Trading on Daily Charts - Check Monthly RSI crossed 60 level. Daily must cross 60 level too. Enter upon previous Day high. First stop loss below previous Day candle low. Then trail it to current low until the current Day candle gives closing below previous Day low. High Growth Momentum Strategy.
NSE:TITAN
by ITCconceptsMarketStructure
1
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Cup and Handle Breakout in SWSOLAR BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:SWSOLAR
by Kapil-Mittal
2
GRSE Price Action #### Current Price and Performance - **GRSE** is trading near ₹2,965–₹2,974 as of July 9, 2025, after a recent dip from its 52-week high of ₹3,538. - Over the past year, the stock has delivered a return of approximately 9%, with a sharp rally in the past three to six months (up about 81–84% during that period). - The stock has shown high volatility, with a notable correction of nearly 13% in the last month and a 4.5% decline in the last week. #### Trend and Technical Overview - **Medium-term trend** remains positive, supported by strong order inflows and robust financials, but the recent correction suggests some profit booking and consolidation after a rapid upmove. - Technical indicators reflect heightened volatility, with the stock pulling back from overbought levels. - The stock is trading at a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 64 and at 16 times its book value, indicating premium valuation. #### Valuation and Financial Metrics - **Market capitalization** is around ₹34,000 crore. - **Return on equity (ROE)** stands at 28%, and **return on capital employed (ROCE)** is 37%, both indicating efficient use of capital. - **Dividend yield** is modest, around 0.3–0.5%. - The company is nearly debt-free and has delivered strong profit growth (CAGR of 26% over five years). - Revenue and profit have grown significantly, with FY25 revenue at ₹5,076 crore and net profit at ₹527 crore. - Operating margins have improved to 8%, and the company maintains a healthy dividend payout ratio of about 30%. #### Market Sentiment and Outlook - Sentiment remains positive, given GRSE’s strategic role in defense shipbuilding and a strong order book. - Analysts highlight the company’s consistent financial performance and leadership in its sector, though caution is advised due to high valuation multiples. - The recent correction may offer a better entry point, but further consolidation or volatility is possible in the short term. #### Summary GRSE has delivered strong medium-term returns, underpinned by robust financials, sector leadership, and efficient capital management. The stock is currently consolidating after a sharp rally and is trading at premium valuations. While the long-term outlook remains positive, investors should be mindful of recent volatility and elevated price multiples when considering new positions.
NSE:GRSELong
by KamalKJoshi
AGIIL Price Action#### Current Price and Performance - AGI Infra Ltd (AGIIL) is trading near ₹990–₹1,000 as of early July 2025. - The stock touched a 52-week high of around ₹1,030 and a low near ₹328, showing a strong upward trend over the past year. - Over the last year, AGIIL has delivered a return of more than 115%, significantly outperforming broader market indices and sector peers. - Short-term performance remains robust, with the stock up over 18% in the past month and about 31% in the last three months. - The stock has shown notable volatility, with weekly price movements averaging around 9%. #### Trend and Technical Overview - The medium-term trend is positive, supported by strong price momentum and investor interest. - Technical indicators suggest the stock is not in the overbought zone, but recent price action has been volatile, with some profit booking observed after the recent rally. - The stock’s beta is high, indicating greater sensitivity to market movements compared to the broader market. #### Valuation and Financial Metrics - AGIIL trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 34–36 and a price-to-book (P/B) ratio near 4.5–10.7, which is higher than sector averages, reflecting premium valuations. - The dividend yield is low, around 0.05–0.11%, making it less attractive for income-focused investors. - The company’s earnings per share have grown steadily, with recent annual EPS exceeding ₹27. - Return on equity (ROE) and return on capital employed (ROCE) remain strong, both above 25%, indicating efficient use of capital. - Revenue and profit growth have been solid, with revenues up over 21% year-on-year and operating margins above 25%. - The company’s debt-to-equity ratio has improved, now at a comfortable level below 40%. #### Market Sentiment and Outlook - Market sentiment is positive, with increased retail investor holdings and stable promoter ownership. - AGIIL is considered one of the top-performing small-cap stocks in its sector, although some analysts note that growth rates have moderated recently. - The stock is viewed as overvalued by some metrics, suggesting limited immediate upside unless earnings growth accelerates further. - Risks include high valuation multiples, recent volatility, and a slowdown in quarterly profit and revenue growth. - The long-term outlook remains favorable, supported by a strong project pipeline and consistent financial performance, but short-term caution is warranted due to recent rapid price appreciation. #### Summary AGIIL has delivered exceptional returns over the past year, driven by strong fundamentals and investor optimism. While the company maintains solid profitability and growth, its valuation is elevated and recent volatility suggests that investors should be cautious about new entries at current levels. The stock remains attractive for those with a medium- to long-term horizon, provided they are comfortable with the higher risk and volatility profile.
NSE:AGIILLong
by KamalKJoshi
Is a Pullback Coming or Will the Bulls Continue?Gold Faces Resistance at 3300 – Is a Pullback Coming or Will the Bulls Continue? Market Overview: USD Gains Pressure Gold as Trade Deals Unfold Gold has been under pressure recently due to the strong recovery of the US dollar. Positive developments in global trade talks and agreements between major nations, including the US, have been a key driver for the USD, which in turn has weighed on gold. US inflation data continues to show signs of easing, providing the Fed more room to hold off on rate hikes, strengthening the USD. FOMC meeting minutes due this week will provide further insight into the Fed’s approach to interest rates. With geopolitical tensions easing and trade deals stabilizing, the demand for safe-haven assets like gold is slightly reduced. In the short-term, the market is testing crucial levels, and while gold remains bullish in the long run, the current market conditions suggest potential for a pullback before further upside. Technical Analysis: Gold in a Range-Bound Market Looking at the H1 timeframe, gold has formed a clear downward channel between 3360 and 3290, which could signal further corrective action if the price remains within this range. If gold fails to break above resistance at 3360, a dip to 3250 might occur, especially if the USD strength continues to put pressure on gold. However, waiting for confirmation patterns before entering a trade is key. False breakouts can be a risk when price moves quickly through key levels without sustaining momentum. Buy Bias in Short-Term with Caution on Bearish Moves Given the current market structure, there is more room for buy opportunities than for selling at the moment. Watch out for a potential bounce back in the 3320-3325 region as gold might test these levels before continuing its rise. The rejection wick on yesterday's D1 candle shows that the sellers are losing control, and buying pressure is starting to build again. In the M30 chart, there's a continuation pattern forming around the 16-14 zone, which could be an ideal place to enter a buy position if it holds. Resistance and Support Levels: Key Resistance Levels: 3302 – 3310 – 3324 – 3335 – 3361 Key Support Levels: 3275 – 3259 – 3248 Trading Strategy – Buy and Sell Zones BUY ZONE: 3250 – 3248 Stop Loss: 3244 Take Profit: 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280 → ???? SELL SCALP: 3303 – 3305 Stop Loss: 3310 Take Profit: 3298 → 3294 → 3290 → 3286 → 3280 → 3270 → 3260 SELL ZONE: 3334 – 3336 Stop Loss: 3340 Take Profit: 3330 → 3326 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300 → ???? Key Updates to Watch: FOMC and Trade Policy News With FOMC minutes due and trade policy developments on the horizon, it’s crucial to stay alert for any shifts in market sentiment. Ensure you stick to TP/SL levels to protect your account from any unexpected volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
DMART – Earnings Incoming________________________________________________________________________________📈 DMART – Earnings Incoming: What’s the Right Time to Enter an Options Trade? 📆 Result Date: 11th July 2025 (Friday) 🕒 Strategy Style: Beginner + STWP HNI Learning Setup 🔍 For Educational Purposes Only ________________________________________________________________________________ 🧠 What's the Setup? DMART is announcing results on Friday, 11th July. We’re expecting a strong move — either up or down — because of mixed expectations around revenue and margins. When you trade options around results, timing your entry is just as important as selecting the right strikes. Let’s simplify it ⬇️ ________________________________________________________________________________✅ Option 1: Enter on 10th July (Thursday, After 2 PM) 💡 This is the ideal time for most traders. 🟢 Better option prices (not too inflated yet) 🟢 Good liquidity for smooth entry 🟢 Gives you overnight time to plan 🟢 You avoid the Friday panic crowd 🎯 STWP Suggested Strategy: Buy 4300 CE + 4100 PE = ~₹180 total premium This is called a Long Strangle – You win if the stock moves sharply up or down after results. ________________________________________________________________________________⚠️ Option 2: Enter on 11th July (Friday, Before 2 PM) 🔸 You might think, "Let me wait till Friday to get more clarity" — but there’s a catch: ❌ Option prices become expensive (high IV) ❌ Bid-ask spreads get wide (hard to enter) ❌ No time to react if results come intraday ❌ You’re stuck with weekend gap risk without prep Unless you're experienced or scalping early, it’s not ideal for beginners. ________________________________________________________________________________🎯 Best Timing Rule – STWP Style: 📌 Enter on 10th July between 2:00 PM – 3:15 PM Why? You’ll lock in a clean setup with decent pricing and avoid stress. 📆 Exit Plan: Hold through the weekend → Exit on Monday (14th July) if stock moves sharply 🔥 ________________________________________________________________________________🧠 Alert: Set alerts at: ₹4450 (Upside) ₹3950 (Downside) If either hits on Monday, trail the winning side and exit the losing leg. ________________________________________________________________________________ 📚 This is a learning example – not a trade recommendation. Options carry risk. Please manage your capital and don’t trade blindly. ________________________________________________________________________________⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read): • This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice. • I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. • The information provided here is based on personal market observation. • No buy/sell recommendations are being made. • Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions. • Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management. ________________________________________________________________________________
NSE:DMART
by simpletradewithpatience
SAMHI Price action#### Current Price and Performance - SAMHI Hotels is trading around ₹220–₹221 as of early July 2025. - The stock has moved between a 52-week high of approximately ₹238 and a low near ₹121. - Over the past year, the stock has delivered a return of about 15–16%, with a moderate uptrend since its listing. - Short-term price action has been stable, with minor fluctuations and a slight upward bias in recent weeks. #### Trend and Technical Overview - The medium-term trend is positive, supported by strong operational results and improving financials. - Technical indicators show a bullish outlook, with moving averages and MACD supporting upward momentum, though some caution is advised due to a slightly overbought RSI. - The stock has shown resilience even during broader market volatility, outperforming major indices over the past year. #### Valuation and Financial Metrics - SAMHI has reported a significant turnaround, moving from losses to profitability in FY25. - Revenue for FY25 rose to over ₹1,130 crore, with operating profit margins improving to nearly 36%. - Net profit margin has increased sharply, and earnings per share turned positive after several years of losses. - The company’s debt profile has improved, with a lower net debt-to-EBITDA ratio, and strong institutional holdings support the valuation. - The stock is considered expensive on some valuation metrics, reflecting high growth expectations. #### Market Sentiment and Outlook - Analyst sentiment is generally positive, with target prices suggesting potential upside of 25–30% from current levels. - The company’s robust order book, successful strategic partnerships, and expansion into high-demand markets are seen as key growth drivers. - Risks include high valuation multiples and execution challenges in a competitive hospitality sector. - The long-term outlook remains favorable, with expectations of continued revenue and profit growth as the company leverages its portfolio and operational strengths. #### Summary SAMHI Hotels has demonstrated a strong recovery, transitioning to profitability and delivering robust revenue growth. The stock has outperformed the broader market and is supported by positive analyst sentiment and institutional interest. While valuations are high, the company’s improving fundamentals and growth prospects make it attractive for investors with a medium- to long-term horizon. Caution is warranted in the short term due to potential volatility, but the overall trajectory remains positive.
NSE:SAMHILong
by KamalKJoshi
SWSOLAR Price action### SWSOLAR Price Analysis #### Current Price and Performance - Sterling and Wilson Renewable Energy (SWSOLAR) is trading near ₹305 as of early July 2025. - The stock has seen significant volatility over the past year, with a 52-week high near ₹400 and a low around ₹230. - Over the last month, the stock delivered a modest gain of about 1.5%, while in the last three months, it rebounded strongly with a return of nearly 25%. - Despite recent gains, the one-year return is sharply negative, down over 50%, reflecting a challenging period for the company. #### Trend and Technical Overview - The medium-term trend shows a recovery from earlier lows, supported by improved financial results and order inflows. - Short-term price action indicates consolidation, with the stock trading in a narrow range after a recent rally. - Technical indicators suggest resistance around ₹320–₹330, with support near ₹290. #### Valuation and Financial Metrics - SWSOLAR trades at a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio above 80, indicating premium valuation despite recent earnings improvement. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is above 7, which is elevated compared to sector norms. - The company recently returned to profitability, reporting a net profit margin of about 1.3% and positive earnings per share after several loss-making quarters. - Revenue growth has been robust, with the latest quarter showing a year-on-year increase of over 110%. - Operating cash flow turned positive in the latest fiscal year, a significant improvement from previous negative figures. #### Market Sentiment and Outlook - Analyst sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with most recommendations skewed toward buying, and an average target price suggesting potential upside of over 35% from current levels. - The company’s strong order book and improving execution are seen as key positives. - However, high valuation multiples and recent volatility warrant caution for new investors. - The long-term outlook depends on continued execution of large-scale projects and maintaining profitability. #### Summary SWSOLAR has staged a notable turnaround in recent quarters, moving from losses to profitability and delivering strong revenue growth. The stock has rebounded from its lows but remains volatile and highly valued relative to peers. Investors should monitor execution risks and broader market sentiment, as further upside may depend on sustained financial performance and sector stability.
NSE:SWSOLARLong
by KamalKJoshi
Assuming the mindset of Warren Buffett, let us evaluate BSE Ltd.📊 1. Understand the Business (Circle of Competence) BSE Ltd. is one of India’s two major stock exchanges (along with NSE). It earns revenue from: Listing fees Transaction/clearing charges Data dissemination Subsidiary businesses (e.g., mutual funds, SME platform) 🔍 Buffett View: The stock exchange business is a monopoly-like, high-moat business with few players. It benefits from network effects – more listings attract more investors and vice versa. It has low capital requirements to grow and high operating leverage – very Buffett-friendly traits. 📈 2. Financial Health (Conservative Analysis) Let’s assume a financial breakdown based on known fundamentals (recent as of 2024-25): | Metric | Value | Buffett Interpretation | | ---------------------- | ---------------------- | ----------------------------------------------- | | ROE (Return on Equity) | >20% | Excellent – Indicates efficient use of capital | | Debt-to-Equity Ratio | Close to 0 | Strong – Buffett avoids debt-heavy firms | | Free Cash Flow | Positive, consistent | Good – Buffett loves cash-generating businesses | | Dividend Yield | 1.5%–2.5% | Moderate, not key, but shows surplus cash | | Earnings Growth | CAGR \~20–25% (recent) | Promising – but must sustain organically | 🔍 Buffett prefers stable and predictable earnings, and BSE shows that in its core exchange business, though it remains sensitive to market cycles. 🏰 3. Economic Moat BSE's Competitive Advantages: Brand heritage (Asia’s oldest exchange) Government regulations ensure limited competitors High switching costs for existing listed companies High margin data services, SME listings, and mutual fund platforms 🛡 Buffett’s View: > “I want a business with a durable competitive advantage.” > BSE fits this well. 👨‍💼 4. Management Quality Buffett places immense importance on management honesty and competence. BSE’s leadership has been conservative, focused on transparency and innovation (e.g., India INX, BSE StAR MF). Consistent improvement in digital platforms and growing relevance in mutual fund distribution indicates forward-thinking leadership. ✅ Buffett’s View: Passes the integrity and competency test. 🌏 5. Industry Outlook Indian capital markets are expanding. Retail participation, SIP inflows, and startups going public will grow exchange volume. Fintech and tech listings offer upside. Regulatory tailwinds from SEBI are improving transparency and scale. 📘 Buffett likes industries with tailwinds, and Indian capital markets are structurally growing. 📉 6. Technical Entry (Buffett seldom uses technicals but we’ll blend it) > "Price is what you pay. Value is what you get." Looking at the Fibonacci retracement levels from the chart: CMP: ₹2,456.70 38.2% Level: ₹2,337.15 →Potential entry zone 50% Level: ₹2,123.35 → Strong support / high conviction entry 61.8% Level: ₹1,909.50 → Ideal deep value buy (high margin of safety) 🟩 Accumulation Zone: ₹2,100 – ₹2,337 🛑 Stop-loss (Fundamental): ₹1,850 (below 61.8% retracement and key support) 🎯 Target (Intrinsic Value): ₹3,000–₹3,200 over 2–3 years (based on earnings growth) 📌 7. Intrinsic Value Estimation (Buffett’s Method) DCF-style rough estimate: EPS: ₹75 (assumed) Growth: 15% CAGR (conservative) Terminal PE: 25 (market average for strong moats) Holding period: 5 years Future EPS = 75 × (1.15)^5 ≈ ₹150 Target Price = 150 × 25 = ₹3,750 Present Value (with 12% discount) ≈ ₹2,120 – ₹2,350 🔎 Fair Value Range: ₹2,100–₹2,350 💵 Buy Below: ₹2,350 (for margin of safety) ✅ Final Verdict (Buffett Style Summary) | Criteria | Verdict | | ----------------------- | ---------------------------- | | Understandable Business | ✅ Yes | | Economic Moat | ✅ Strong | | Management Quality | ✅ Trusted & Competent | | Financial Strength | ✅ Excellent | | Industry Tailwind | ✅ Positive | | Intrinsic Value Range | ₹2,100–₹2,350 | | Current Price | ₹2,456 – Slightly overvalued | | Buy Recommendation | Wait for dip below ₹2,350 | | Stop Loss (Soft) | ₹1,850 | | Target (Long-Term) | ₹3,500+ |
NSE:BSELong
by Premcool
MCX GOLD Petal - market indecisionThe recent candles are choppy, with mixed direction and long wicks, reflecting market indecision and low conviction from both buyers and sellers. Price is hovering around the mid-range of the fall, indicating a range-bound structure with no clear breakout or breakdown yet. If the price breaks below ₹9740, it could retest the major support at ₹9651. Conversely, a breakout above ₹9850 with volume may invite a retest toward ₹9940 and ₹10000. Until then, the bias remains neutral-to-bearish, with volatility compressing inside a sideways band.
MCX:GOLDPETAL1!Long
by duttkirti