Persistent Systems India - Earnings run?Video highlights similarities with the last earning cycle as well as a good way to play this stock.
Disclaimer - Trading stocks is risky & 95% of traders as per SEBI statistics lose money - with 60% losing most of their capital in 12 months. So, the odds are stacked against anyone trying to make a living in the markets. All the ideas here for education & analysis only. Please do your own research before risking your capital.
Fundamental Analysis
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Bharti Airtel - Its still consolidating, waiting for a triggerBharti continues to be a good trade on the long side. The markets are a tad soft after a big run from 16800 levels - and a bit of a soft period for the Nifty in the next couple weeks can be expected. So would stay light on the long side as of now - very selective. However Bharti is one stock would stay very productive on because
Shake out on 14th of June - went down to 818, clearing weak longs
Defied the general market weakness last one week or so and continues to consolidate
Fundamentals & analyst estimates - still positive
Need a rapid push above 850 to clear the way to 900
Again if it cant clear 850 on big volume in the next few days, take your profits and get out at 845 or so. (PS - similar thing happened in Britannia a few weeks back)
NSE Nifty India - Will it outperform Bank Nifty?3 Reasons why the Nifty may perform better than BankNifty in the next few months
Banks are relatively overbought - Esp ICICI, SBIN, Kotak, HDFC
FMCG, Auto could help the Nifty outperform Vs Bank Nifty
Bank Nifty has hit its life high and reversed - the Nifty still hasnt
Britannia India is hanging Around under Life Time HighI recorded a short video to talk about the process of looking at a stock. Starting with the fundamentals and then coming to the short term movements. This is more educational in nature and can help avoiding mistakes like
Looking at chart patterns and taking trades - only to see the stop loss getting hit
Overtrading, getting out of good trades early - getting faked out because of news
Why listening to "Nifty Analysis" and CNBC / Bloomberg is actually very harmful to good trading
How a good stock analysis process always starts with the "Monthly Chart" - and not the 5 min or the 15 min
Why trading doesnt necessarily mean making 2 or 3% on a trade - it should mean making 20-30% on some trades
Of course Britannia is the key trade to look at here - where to take a position and how to manage it. But the lessons i have learnt through painful losses are probably as vaulable.
Britannia India pre-break out homework for good tradersBritannia touched a LTH within a consolidation. Here are things to look at
Stock pattern
Figuring out institutional positioning
How do we as retail traders prepare and what homework to do
Setting up alerts on this stock at 4700 and 5000 - and why
Optional - Maximize gains through options when you are right - make 2-3X more than stock. Or just buy cash equities for decent returns
Please do let me know in the comments if you would like to know anything about the process or would like me to explain some concepts in more depth
Indigo Airlines : Positive news, good results & bearish analystsIndigo has broken through life highs and moving towards 2500 plus. This template can help you both if you are long as well as if you are thinking of buying now. Or more imp - if you are long and Indigo corrects by 5-10% (which it def will on its way higher)
What sparked the rally in Indigo? Bearish sentiment, Go Air or crude oil - and why its imp to understand that
Now that one is long (assuming) what to do when the stock pulls back to the 21 EMA (2200 odd)
What are catalysts that sparked this rally - Why is the street so bearish on it? And does their bearishness help or hinder the rally?
Looking at regional airlines like Qantas, Singapore performance in this quarter
Airlines businesses are always called the million-are makers - You start as a billionaire and destroy enough wealth to become a millionare. (is that true?)
All comments and criticisms are welcome!
ITC India - Right way to get into the stock with the least riskITC India is bullish and the top performer in the Nifty for 2023. Now in a pullback - obviously everyone is thinking about how to get in.
ITC results were outstanding and the street has high targets. However buying at Life highs is fraught with risk - so how to do that successfully is what this 2 min video is about.
Disclaimer - I am long ITC and looking at a target of 500. This video is for education purposes only
Nifty - Indian markets to correct or bull run to continue?Here i show 5 measures to look at whether the market will continue higher or correct. We have had an almost 12% rally from the lows of April - so people are worried.
However, look at these 5 measures and then take a call - dont make spur of the moment decisions only on the basis of yesterdays price action. Take all the below into account...
DXY
Nifty Heat Map
FII DII
AUDJPY - Why look at this?
Asian markets trend / SPY
Bharti Airtel - Gathering steam to test previous high of 8504 Reasons to why Bharti is a good 4-8 week bet - A 10% move is not completely unlikely but 5% is probably par for the course
Weekly charts setting up consolidation, as is the monthly
Good results - clearly profits are what leads the price for Bharti (see the charts)
Satisfies the Mark Minervini criteria template for a strong stock
Options are cheap - just 18% IV which is in the bottom 20%
Trade ideas for Nifty & BankNifty Analysis for 31-05-2023In this video, I share my analysis for Nifty and Bank Nifty for tomorrow. I use my own technique called FASP to identify the immediate targets for the index.
These levels are important to recognize where the key resistance and support points exist. Map these levels to your charts and explore how it works for you.
Wish you a very happy and profitable year ahead!
XAUUSD - IT'S TIME TO SHORT - RIDE THE WAVEOnce upon a time, when the world was engulfed in the grips of the COVID-19 pandemic, the financial markets trembled, and the price of XAUUSD embarked on a rollercoaster journey, capturing the hearts and minds of investors.
As the pandemic emerged in early 2020, fear and uncertainty spread like wildfire. The global economy was thrown into disarray as countries implemented lockdowns, businesses shuttered, and individuals faced unprecedented challenges. In these turbulent times, the price of XAUUSD experienced a dramatic surge.
Investors sought refuge in the safety and stability of gold, driving its price to new heights. With central banks around the world implementing unprecedented monetary stimulus measures, concerns about inflation and currency devaluation grew. Gold, known for its hedging properties, became the go-to asset for many, and the price of XAUUSD soared to record levels.
However, as the year progressed and vaccines began to offer hope, the tides started to shift. Governments and central banks unveiled massive fiscal stimulus packages, igniting expectations of an economic recovery. As optimism crept in, risk appetite among investors increased, diverting their attention away from the perceived safe haven of gold.
The price of XAUUSD experienced fluctuations as it grappled with changing market dynamics. It faced headwinds from the strengthening of other currencies and the allure of higher returns in equities and cryptocurrencies. Gold, once the shining star, took a step back as investors chased opportunities elsewhere.
But the story didn't end there. As the world battled subsequent waves of the pandemic and new variants emerged, uncertainty resurfaced. Investors realized that the road to recovery would be bumpy and filled with unforeseen challenges. Once again, their attention turned to gold.
The price of XAUUSD found renewed support as investors sought shelter from the storm. The safe haven qualities of gold were reaffirmed as concerns over inflation, geopolitical tensions, and the potential for further economic disruptions rekindled its appeal. Fluctuations persisted, but gold remained a steadfast companion for those navigating uncertain times.
As we approach the present day, the story of XAUUSD's price fluctuations continues to unfold. The world grapples with ongoing uncertainties related to the pandemic, geopolitical tensions, and economic recovery. The price of XAUUSD reflects these ever-changing dynamics, serving as a barometer of investor sentiment and a reflection of the challenges we face as a global community.
In this tale of price fluctuations, the enduring lesson is that gold, with its intrinsic value and historical significance, retains a special place in the hearts of investors. Through the trials and tribulations of the pandemic, the price of XAUUSD has mirrored the ebb and flow of human emotions and the resilience of the financial markets. And as the world evolves, so too will the story of gold's price fluctuations, forever intertwined with the tapestry of our lives.
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCAD GOLD price action #priceactionEURUSD sellers below 1.0750. Short only below 1.0720 to 1.0710 and 1.07
IF above 1.0750 buyers possible back to 1.08
GBPUSD sellers below 1.2350 to 1.2340 and 1.2330.
IF above 1.2370 and 1.2380 buyers to 1.24
USDCAD below 1.3580 sell . Above 1.3610 buyers to 1.3620.
Attention to highs of 1.36 (inflation tomorrow)
XAUSD buyers only above 1955.0