Nifty May 06, 2021 Expiry strategyNifty
CMP 14801
- Nifty has 20 day and 50 day EMA support around 14620-14650
- Resistance around recent high of 15044
Given the set up
One may consider a Short strangle strategy for 06 May expiry
Sell Nifty
14600 Put option around 100
15000 Call option around 82
Max profit potential in strategy Rs 13650 (approximately 8% on Margin requirement)
Loss in strategy only if Nifty closes below 14418 or above 15182 on 06 May 2021
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Futures
Nifty: Is this a Buy in dips opportuinityNifty
Earlier we were expecting Nifty to do a sub 14000 level. In that post we had highlighted that Nifty has a chance of bouncing back towards 14655. Well the bounceback has been much more than that and today despite we seeing a big dip in Nifty, it is so far trading well above
- 20 day EMA at 14648 &
- 50 day EMA at 14622 currently
Trading above the EMA changes the structure and So far as Nifty stays above the 2 EMAs Nifty may be considered as a Buy on dips opportunity.
Exit if closing is below the EMA
Given the set up,
Strategy that can be deployed
Consider
Selling Nifty 06 May expiry 14400 Put option around 70
Lot size 75
Max profit potential in strategy Rs 5250 per lot.
The strategy gives a decent return potential
But More importantly the strategy provides Risk cover for a fall in Nifty price up to 14330 giving ample scope and time to exit with less damage in case Nifty moves otherwise.
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Bank Nifty: Chart set up and trading strategyBank Nifty
Observations
- we observe Bank Nifty trading in down trend channel
- Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern seen in chart
Pattern gets invalidated if Bank Nifty closes below 30405
Given the set up, Strategy that may be considered
Consider selling Bank Nifty 27 May 2021 expiry
30000 Put option between 700-800 (Last traded Price 753)
The strategy has a return potential of Rs 17500- 20000 per lot
More importantly the strategy has inbuilt Stop loss protection up to 29300-29200 till 27 May which is roughly a protection of 2500 points from current levels
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NIFTY TRADE SETUP FOR EXPIRYThere will 3 kind of scenario in the market .1. Gap up2. Gap down 3. normal .L ets discuss all three scenario in detail and set a trade plan accordingly . 1} Gap up :- If nifty opens above 14575 or 14650 . then we will look for buy on dip till market sustain above 14450 . 2 } gap down opening :- if nifty opens below 14450 .then we will look for Sell on rise till nifty sustain below 14550 . 3. normal opening :- in case nifty opens 14450 - 14550 . then we will see range bound market . and movement comes either in first 15 minute or in 2nd part of market . in such scenario mark the range and sell Ce option at high and sell Pe option on Low. Nifty define its Range in first 15 min or max in 30 minute . Mark the range , identify the market and set your trade with conviction and SL. wish you all Happy trading . Thanks for messages and support.
Nifty: Trade data analysis, Chart set up and co-relationNifty
Derivative data analysis for trade day April 9, 2021
Futures Data
- Retail participants added 10.97K Index Futures Long Contracts & exited 434 Index Futures Short contracts
- FIIs added 990 Index Futures Long Contracts and added 6.56 K Index Futures Short Contracts
- Proprietary traders added 1.47K Index Futures Long contracts and added 5.98K Index Futures Short contracts
Call Option
- Retail participants added 2.71 Lakhs Call Long Contracts & added 2.76 Lakh Call Short contracts
- FIIs added 38.86 K Call Long Contracts and added 37.75 K Call Short Contracts
- Proprietary traders added 1.04 Lakh Call Long contracts and added 1.01 Lakh Call Short contracts
Put Option
- Retail participants added 1.77 Lakhs Put Long Contracts & added 2.12 Lakhs Put Short contracts
- FIIs added 34.04 K Put Long Contracts and added 18.61 K Put Short Contracts
- Proprietary traders added 1.01 Lakh Put Long contracts and added 82.87 K Put Short contracts
At important technical resistance levels, We observe retail traders going Long aggressively and on the other hand FIIs and Proprietary traders going short in index futures.
On the Options front, we observe Retail traders being Net neutral in Call Options and Net Put Short
FIIs & Proprietary traders were Net neutral in Calls and were Net Put buyers
Today, we see Nifty dropping 400 points... and the result is in front of us who the winner of the set up is...
If you have been following me, you would realize I have been highlighting the importance of resistance at 14882. On an intraday basis, it did breach it and traded higher but on a closing basis it was respected to perfection. Our strategy to sell 14900 Call option had factored in this kind of risk and we were well positioned and came out making profits in the trade
Prior to this we also suggested a strategy to go short in 15200 Call option for May series in the region of 250-300.
Our strategy to sell 15200 Call option for May series in the region of 250-300 gave ample opportunity to enter the trade . It has made a low of 143 so far and is now trading at 150 and is in profit
Going forward, On Technical Analysis front
- it has opened below 50 day EMA
- broken the yellow turned dotted red line
- at the important blue Lakshman Rekha line ( level identified since February 2021 and has been massively respected)
- with multiple re-test of Laxmam Rekha line, is it getting weaker and would it break...???
Only time will tell... All these points have been discussed in my previous Nifty posts which you can go through...
This is not a recommendation now. We are reaping the rewards of the hard work done earlier.
This post is more for you to understand
- the importance of doing your homework,
- analyzing profit potential and risk involved before you enter a trade &
- preparing a trading plan that suits you and factors in the risk....
- and more importantly be in control of the situation and be in better frame of mind.
If you want to improve as a trader, first thing you need to do is ensure your mind is relaxed.
And to be relaxed you need to prepare a good trading plan.
Remember, chances of you making a better trading decision would increase when you do your homework and when you have the right mindset.
Best wishes....!!!
Like and Follow
Nifty: Chart levels and trading strategy for the 08 April expiryNifty
CMP 14774
- We have got the rise we were looking for
- on charts we see 2 important resistance levels at 14818 and 14885 levels
given the levels we have suggested a trading strategy in chart
The trading strategy covers risk for a rise in Nifty price up to 14954-14964 giving us ample scope to adjust / exit in case Nifty movement is not in favor.
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer :
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Short the BankNifty Early MondayTrade-hour analysis
The BNF is about to break a downward channel and correct after the COVID-corrective bull run.
Sell if the BNF confirms the 15m Bearish trend and take profits at 33530-33540
If there is gap up openning then wait for gap to be filled.
If the there are more positive fundamental cues (Highly unlikely) Enter at the top buy zone after confirmation and TP at the closest DSZ.
NIFTY TRADE SETUP FOR TUESDAY
Today we had Trade in both direction.
I am trying to catch nifty on top and bottom.
in a range bound market like today it is very easy
to mark top and bottom .
There is fair amount of risk as we
trade against the short term trend , but again
reward is very good.
Tomorrow 15050 will be our pivot point . above 15050 we will be look for buy and below 15050
we will short nifty.
Level mention on chart .
Thanks for likes and messages.
Maruti suzuki potential downside targetMartui Suzuki share price has started a News bear phase, which is indicated by Head and shoulders pattern and breakdown of neckline.
During Wave A, it fell 11% from the top (A) and then retraced by 50% (B). It fallen again to 6900 giving 900 point gap Due to ongoing market condition, it retraced to 7300, which is a strong resistance line.
It is yet to reach the zone of wave A indicating it is a correctional move.
When it will start to fall again, the lower target will be 1.618 of wave A or 6200.
Stoploss high of wave B 7745.
Upside seems to be limited as up trends has lower volume as indicted by OBV graph. NSE:MARUTI2!
NIFTY TRADE SETUP FOR Monday
1. GAP UP OPENING :- if nifty opens Gap up above
15050 ...
then we will be bullish till nifty sustain
above 14980 - 14960.
in that scenario buy nifty above 15080 .
or buy on dip between 14960 - 14930.
2. GAP DOWN OPENING ;- if nifty opens below 14930 ,
then we sell nifty till nifty sustain below 15030.
3. NORMAL OPENING ;- if nifty opens between
14920-14980 ...then we will sell below 14930
and buy above 15005.
Level and setup mention on chart.
NIFTY TRADE SETUP FOR FRIDAY
Another excellent Day for us.
Hope you guys made good money .
Please check our level and setup ,
See how our level works.
Tomorrow I will look for sell below 15050.
and will buy above 15200.
level Mention on Chart.
thanks for your likes and message .
will try to answer all your messages
and question on Sunday.
NIFTY TRADE SETUP FOR EXPIRY
Today was another good day for us.
I told you will work on different setup
.By the Grace of GOD we all make good money.
Tomorrow Nifty will give direction in both direction .
My setup will be buy on dip and sell on top .
till Nifty trade in between15270 - 15150.
above 15270 will buy .
Thank you for your messages and Support.
BANKNIFTY | Small Cup & Handle inside the channelBANKNIFTY | Small Cup & Handle inside the channel - Looks good 1000+ points - Expecting the gap to be sealed
CMP : 35339
SL : 34950
Target : 36500
1:3+ risk reward setup
P.S : Vix is high, market is in consolidation mode so prefer to use spread.
Ex :
Buy 35500 CE
Sell 36500 CE (This would take care of the Time decay, Volatility crash of the option we buy so we dont lose entire premium)
NIFTY TRADE SETUP FOR MONDAY
I had share with you live trade setup on Friday
after 200 point gap down opening.
Please have a look to that chart and you will understand ,
how we adjust our trade and view.
Monady i will continue with Sell on rise strategy till nifty trade below 14700-14750.
Level mention on Chart.
If you have any question regarding setup or Nifty
,Please message me .
Once again Thanks for your Love and support .
NIFTY 50, 1D, RISE AND FALL, CORRECTION IS NEARGiven:
NIFTY 50 : P/E = 34.73 :(
STOCH RSI = OVERBOUGHT :(
Nifty 50 is currently all time high. :)
Trend-line Resistance is at near 13200 level and also GANN Static level is at 13000 - 13225.
Trend-line support is at near 12460 level
Also noted, there is a support zone at same 12460 level on Weekly time frame, which makes it a strong support level.
MY ANALYSIS :
NIFTY50 may immediately touch 13100 -13200 level and retrace back to near 12460 - 12500 level and then goes up and move in a Channel.






















