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Nifty: 24 Dec weekly expiry range predictionNifty - Yesterday, on the Technical Analysis front, we highlighted Bullish Harami Candlestick pattern suggesting up movement - F&O Data analysis confirming stronger hands on buy side (FIIs buying Index Futures & Proprietary traders selling Put Options) - After opening & trading in red, Nifty immediately jumped in to positive territory and managed to close 135 points higher at 13601 just 18 points above 13583 resistance levels mentioned - So far so good… Today we are giving an expected range for weekly expiry. Markets are dynamic and not a necessary it would happen. Use it for educational purpose only - This is not a trading decision - we are not recommending any fresh position today - in our last Nifty update we had given a trading strategy to sell 13300 Put options Continue to hold and let it expire worthless and ensure complete profitability on that. A detailed report has been shared late last evening with those who have shared their email address. If you are interested share your email address in Private message Take care & safe trading...
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
Nifty: Trade data analysis and important support and resistanceThe red zone line drawn in our December 15, 2020 analysis report provided perfect. Is it a one off fall or Would Nifty fall further Let us look at what F&O trade data has in store for us FIIs Net sold 3133 contracts worth Rs 264.93 Cr Futures Data - Retail participants squared off 20.76 K Long Contracts & squared off 5.62 K Short contracts - FIIs squared off 1.25 K Long Contracts and added 1.88 K Short Contracts - Pro traders added 15.06 K Long contracts and squared off 1.08 K Short contracts Call Option - Retail participants added 3.79 Lakh Call Long Contracts & added 2.37 Lakh Short contracts - FIIs added 39.33 K Call Long Contracts and added 52.86 K Call Short Contracts - Pro traders added 58.55 K Call Long contracts and added 1.86 Lakh Short contracts Put Option - Retail participants squared off 1.55 Lakh Put Long Contracts & exited from 90.53 K Put Short contracts - FIIs added 37.30 K Put Long Contracts and added 12.70 K Short Contracts - Pro traders added 3.29 K Put Long contracts and exited from 33.68K Put Short contracts Put Call ratio is at 0.92 Today’s trade saw Retail Participants unwinding their Long Positions in general are Net Short 0.79 Long Position for every 1 Short Contract, FIIs have not done any major activity today in Index Futures front and still Net Long in the ratio of 2.06 :: 1. So we might have to wait and see what they are up to... Proprietary traders looks likely to have used today’s dip to go Long in Index Futures. Digging deeper into the data We see Bank Nifty Open Interest rising by 15.97% and Nifty Open Interest reducing by 9.22%. So Unwinding in Long position by Retail participants looks likely to have happened in Nifty Futures. Proprietary Buying looks likely to have happened in Bank Nifty. Major Call option activity in Nifty happened in 13600 & 13700 Call option Important resistance levels on the upside 13458 / 13530 / 13583 / 13674 Support seen at 13215 / 13151 / 13050 Prima facie Data Analysis suggests that major Call Option buyers would break even only if Nifty closes above 13674 on December 24, 2020. Major Call Option sellers would be happy if Nifty closes below 13583 on December 24, 2020. If you find the analysis helpful Do hit the Like button Follow for more such analysis and ideas. To receive Data analysis in your email, kindly reach out to me in PM Take care & Safe trading…!!! Disclaimer: - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be - We do our best to ensure that the data we release is complete, accurate and useful. However, because we do not create the data, and because the processing required to make the data useful is complex, we cannot be liable for omissions or inaccuracies - The user expressly acknowledges that the Data may contain some nonconformities, defects, or errors. - Neither Indiamarketoutlook nor the author shall be liable for any claim for any loss, or other damage arising from access to or use of data or information
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
11
Nifty: Writing was on the wall...!!!Nifty The current drop might have surprised you but have a look at this data below and see for yourself how each participants had positioned themselves on Friday and decide for yourself if you had access to this valuable information before trade could you have done better...? This data analysis will tell you how various participants Retail, FIIs and Proprietary traders positioned themselves on Friday and answer your questions as to What happened today? Call Option data - Retail participants added 2.17 lakhs Call option and added 1.85 lakh Call short position - FIIs added 34.84 K Call Long and added 25.83 K Call Short position - Proprietary traders added 62.4 K Call Long and added 1.03 Lakh Call Short position Put Option data - Retail participants added 1.18 Put Long option and added 1.44 Lakh Call short position - FIIs added 27.63 K Put long & added 12.89 K Put short - Proprietary traders added 35.96 K Put Long & added 24.8K Put Short position If you see Retail participants were Call Buyers and Put sellers (which means they were super bullish) where as FIIs and & Proprietary traders were more inclined towards buying Puts and selling Call Options (meaning they were bearish on the market) - Who do you think so trades with more knowledge? - who do you think so has more financial muscle?💪 We had 2 powerful sources the FIIs and Proprietary traders inclined towards Shorts and the Herd mentality of Retail Participants inclined towards Buy side... What do you prefer? - trade against the powerful and lose - or trade with winners and increase your chances of winning This data can help you avoid Hope based trading and making mistakes. It's not too late. Start trading with knowledge. To get access to our detailed F&O data analysis on a daily End of Day basis Message in private Only those who are serious may message Others who don't want to change may kindly ignore 🙏 Best wishes Follow and Hit the Like button...!!!
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
40
Nifty F&O Data analysis and trading viewNifty 13558 FIIs Net sold 8803 Contracts worth Rs 811.83 Cr Futures Data - Retail participants squared off 49 Long Contracts & squared off 6.48K Short contracts - FIIs squared off 2.34K Long Contracts and added 6.54K Short Contracts - Pro traders added 1.10K Long contracts and exited 1.35K Short contracts Call Option - Retail participants added 1.28 Lakh Call Long Contracts & added 1.15 lakh Call Short contracts - FIIs added 10.5 K Call Long Contracts and added 16.45 K Short Contracts - Pro traders added 34.46 K Call Long contracts and added 40.81 K Call Short contracts Put Option - Retail participants added 1.28 lakh Put Long Contracts & added 1.30 lakh Short contracts - FIIs added 8.53 K Put Long Contracts and squared off 118 Put Short Contracts - Pro traders added 28.14 K Put Long contracts and added 35.74 K Put Short contracts Nifty closed the day in green yesterday, however volumes were down 31.73% compared to the day before and Open Interest reduced slightly Bank Nifty volumes were 28.85% lower compared to the day before. FIIs are slowly exiting Long positions and retail participants are buy calls and puts in expectations of big movements. For any underlying to move, we need strong volumes, which is missing. These are signs of distribution happening. In our previous post also we had highlighted a range bound movement scenario for markets. And that is precisely what we are seeing. Nifty yo-yoing between 13400-13600. If blue line is taken out, we might see another move towards 13400 - 13380 level. If you are trading in Futures and Options, trading without proper analysis, you are more risk. If you want to get detailed report on a daily basis, message in private Best wishes Do Hit the Like button and Follow.... Disclaimer: - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be - We do our best to ensure that the data we release is complete, accurate and useful. However, because we do not create the data, and because the processing required to make the data useful is complex, we cannot be liable for omissions or inaccuracies - The user expressly acknowledges that the Data may contain some nonconformities, defects, or errors. - Neither Indiamarketoutlook nor the author shall be liable for any claim for any loss, or other damage arising from access to or use of data or information
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
Nifty Chart set up, view and Strategy for 17 Dec expiry Nifty CMP 13533 Prima facie the chart set up reflects resistance at red line and Blue line likely to provide support F&O data reflects unwinding of position seen yesterday in Index Futures by FIIs after a long time. Given the set up, and Data analysis one may consider Selling Nifty 13700 Call Option between 45-55 (CMP 46) The strategy provides protection against loss for a rise up to 13745-13755 Today we are seeing a lot of activity in Put side too so even downside may be limited. We still feel this could be a range bound scenario For Risk Management Exit if today's closing is above 13600. We would reaffirm or reconsider our position on Monday after analyzing today's EOD F&O data Hit the Like button and follow for more such ideas. For details on Data Analysis report you can message in private. Take care & safe trading...!!! Disclaimer: - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
2
Nifty: Things to consider in Futures & Options tradingDear Trader, “We all want progress, but if you're on the wrong road, progress means doing an about-turn and walking back to the right road; in that case, the man who turns back soonest is the most progressive.” – C.S. Lewis Many a times I see retail participants buying Call and Put options based on hope. Even on 10th December 2020, Data analysis suggested retail participants were buying 13400 Puts and 13500 Calls in hope of big movement which never materialized. Our F&O data analysis shared on 08th Dec 2020, when Nifty was at 13413 odd levels gave us an indication of a rangebound movement for Nifty index and accordingly a short strangle strategy was suggested to sell 13500 Call option and sell 13200 Put option for 10 Dec 2020 expiry. Nifty closed at 13478 which means the strategy gave us the desired results. One of the fundamental factors that can make a difference in your trading success depends on Are you willing to put in efforts to do your study / home work ? Let me put it in simple way for you to understand.. - In exams, who do you think has a higher probability to score better marks – one who has prepared well for exams or one who is giving exams based on luck - Who has a better chance of cracking an interview for a job – one who has prepared well for it or one who goes unprepared - at interview the interviewer asks questions and is willing to let go 10 candidates in search of that 1 Mr Right Fit candidate. Why if you are an interviewer you are willing to reject... Because the person getting selected will get salary but for Company that is an investment and we want to be sure that would be a good Return on Investment, Isn't it? - and Why as an interviewee we prepare for the interview... Because we want to start earning, right? If we can do this for the Company where we work or want to work, then why in trading (where we are dealing with our own hard earned money, we want ROI and want to start earning) we neglect the importance of these 2 factors... - ignore the importance of preparation. & - Can you let go 10 trading opportunities for that 1 opportunity that has a higher probability of success with better risk::reward ratio. Can you not be more selective in your trading decisions...? My Mission is to - empower retail traders with the right information before they enter a trade in Nifty Futures / Options, - rationalize your expectations - help you avoid make mistakes and - realize your true potential to be profitable by being selective and trading with knowledge… For details you can get in touch...!!! Follow and hit the Like button if you agree on the points above and want to improve... Let me know your views / thoughts in the comment section below. Take care & safe trading...!!!
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
4
F&O Trade Analysis for trade date 07-Dec-2020Nifty FIIs Net sold 11765 Contracts worth Rs 1129.79 Cr Futures Data - Retail participants added 8.39K Long Contracts & exited 1.38K Short contracts - FIIs booked profits in 12.61K Long Contracts and exited 850 Short Contracts - Pro traders added 1.78K Long contracts and exited 508 Short contracts Call Option - Retail participants added 1.11 Lakh Call Long Contracts & added 94.5 K Call Short contracts - FIIs added 13.05 K Call Long Contracts and added 15.35 K Short Contracts - Pro traders added 23.18 K Call Long contracts and added 38.29 K Call Short contracts Put Option - Retail participants added 2.10 Lakh Put Long Contracts & added 1.78 Lakh Short contracts - FIIs added 7.11 K Put Long Contracts and added 14.75 K Put Short Contracts - Pro traders added 55.48 K Put Long contracts and added 79.87 K Put Short contracts FIIs booked profits in Index Futures and Retail traders have gone long in Index Futures and in Options have positioned themselves in expectation of a fall. Market rarely favors the bigger position in Options. Nifty was in green but Nifty volumes were 18.5% lower than yesterday and reduction in Open Interest was also seen where as Bank Nifty volumes were 28.9% lower. We could potentially be in for a range bound movement. Given the data, one may consider selling Nifty 10 Dec expiry 13500 Call Option around 35 & 13200 Put option around 30 Lot size 75 Max profit potential 75*65= Rs 4875/- Loss if Nifty closes above 13565 or below 13135 on 10 Dec 2020 Take care & safe trading...!!! If you want daily access to our F&O Data Analysis, you can get in touch. Disclaimer: - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be - We do our best to ensure that the data we release is complete, accurate and useful. However, because we do not create the data, and because the processing required to make the data useful is complex, we cannot be liable for omissions or inaccuracies - The user expressly acknowledges that the Data may contain some nonconformities, defects, or errors. - Neither Indiamarketoutlook nor the author shall be liable for any claim for any loss, or other damage arising from access to or use of data or information
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER BREAKOUT IN HDFC LIFEHDFC LIFE A GOOD BUY? HDFC LIFE Insurance had broken out of the the Inverse Head & Shoulders neckline on 17th Nov 2020 . Refer to the image above to see the breakout and re-test of the neckline. The prices had broken out and have already re-tested the neckline, now is the best chance to enter into the trade and BUY, take advantage of the price action . As we know the Target for the Head & Shoulders is the difference between the Neckline and the Peak. However, to be on the safe side I have taken the distance between the smaller peak and the neckline. Refer to the image below to see the targets & smaller peak. Remember to enter only above the last day's high which is at 650 . So you can BUY above 650 You can also have a trailing stop loss to have multiple entry & exit points. The 1st Major target is around 765 price level & the 2nd Major target is around 800 price level . Happy Trading & Investing, let me know if you liked the analysis and please give your feedback to help me publish ideas better.
NSE:HDFCLIFELong
by Furqaan
Nifty: Chart set up and trading view Nifty CMP 12540 Nifty opens gap up yet another day and is up 75 odd points. So is it time to celebrate or time to be cautious??? Lets look at chart set up In the chart we observe - Nifty Breakaway Gap up - Nifty Continuation Gap up - today's yet another Gap up opening could potentially turn out to be an Exhaustion Gap So it would be wise not to get too excited for any fresh entry in Nifty for Long position Given the set up, One may consider selling Nifty 12600 Call option Expiry: 12 Nov around 55-62 ( CMP 58.5) The strategy gives protection for a rise in price up to 12658 Take care & safe trading...!!! Disclaimer: - The view expressed here is my personal view - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook