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XAUUSD – Breakdown After Ceasefire & Fed Comments📉 Market Overview Gold (XAUUSD) dropped over 2%, sliding from $4,012/oz to $3,945/oz, marking a sharp $67 decline overnight. The selloff came as two key catalysts hit the market: 🕊 Israel–Hamas ceasefire agreement cooled down geopolitical tensions. 💬 Fed’s Barr pushed back against October rate cuts, sending USD higher and pressuring gold. Despite the drop, price action suggests a temporary corrective phase, with gold now stabilising near a short-term support zone. 📊 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View) Gold has confirmed a Head & Shoulders (H&S) breakdown pattern, with a neckline retest around $4,014 – $4,033 acting as resistance. After the breakdown, price rebounded slightly but continues to trade below the structure, showing that bears remain in control short-term. The short-term support zone sits around $3,945, and if broken, could accelerate the decline towards $3,912 – $3,885, aligning with deeper liquidity areas. 🔑 Key Zones to Watch Resistance (Breakdown Zone): 4,014 – 4,033 Support (Short-term): 3,945 – 3,912 Liquidity/Buy Zone: 3,885 – 3,878 💡 MMFLOW Trading Scenarios 🔵 BUY SCALP Zone: 3,912 – 3,910 🔴 Stop Loss: 3,905 ✅ Take Profit: 3,916 – 3,920 – 3,925 – 3,930 – 3,940 – 3,950 – ??? Trading View: The market is still digesting recent fundamentals; volatility remains high. A short-term rebound from 3,910 is possible as liquidity builds up near this demand zone. However, unless price reclaims 4,014, any bounce may only be corrective before further downside continuation. 🧭 MMFLOW Insight Even though gold faces bearish momentum, macro risks still support a long-term bullish narrative: U.S. government shutdown risks remain unresolved. Fed may turn dovish later in Q4 if labour data weakens. Liquidity gaps below $3,900 could attract smart money accumulation zones. ⚠️ Trading Notes ✅ Always set Stop Loss – NFP-style volatility can occur post-Fed comments. ✅ Avoid chasing after breakdown candles. Wait for pullback entries at key levels. ✅ Be patient — the best setups form when liquidity is fully absorbed. 📍 Summary Gold continues to trade under pressure after geopolitical easing and hawkish Fed tones. Watch for price action around $3,910 – $3,945; this range will likely define the next major impulse. Stay alert — once liquidity clears, MMFlow will be watching for smart-money reentry signals from key OB/CP zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD| Unstoppable Uptrend, Gold Benefits from Fed & ETF Inflow📊 Market Context Gold continues to maintain its upward trend amidst the political and economic instability in the US. The US government has entered its second week of shutdown with no signs of reaching an agreement, raising further concerns about the impact on economic performance. Simultaneously, the Fed's entry into a monetary easing cycle since September, with expectations of further 25-point rate cuts in October and December, is driving strong buying momentum in gold. Not just investors, but global central banks are also continuing to accumulate gold, adding 15 tonnes to reserves, indicating a gradual shift away from US public debt. All these factors combined continue to reinforce a sustainable upward trend, opening up opportunities for strategic BUY moves. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Prices remain within the upward channel, continuously retesting and bouncing off support zones. Buy Scalp Zone 4004–4002: a quick reaction zone in the short term. Main Buy Zone 3986–3984: key support, combined with FVG. Target Resistance: 4068–4082 (Liquidity Zone). 📈 Trading Plan ✅ BUY SCALP: 4004–4002 SL: 3996 TP: 4008 - 4012 - 4016 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ???? ✅ BUY ZONE: 3986–3984 SL: 3980 TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4010 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ???? ⚠️ Risk Management Note The 4000 level is a psychological resistance – prone to liquidity sweeps. Prioritise waiting for clear price action signals at BUY zones. Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may increase with political news & Fed impacts on market sentiment. ✅ Summary Gold's uptrend remains solid thanks to political instability, Fed easing, record ETF inflows, and central banks continuing to hoard gold. Strategy prioritises BUY at 4004–4002 and 3986–3984 with targets aiming at 4068–4082.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Bulls Reloading After a Healthy Pullback | Next Target: 4090+📊 Market Context After a powerful bullish rally that pushed gold to record highs, XAUUSD retraced about 1% on Thursday as traders took profit from the recent surge. However, this move appears to be a technical correction, not a trend reversal — as indicators have shown overbought conditions for several sessions. Despite this short-term pullback, the long-term uptrend remains intact. Gold is up more than 50% year-to-date, driven by: 🌍 Ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions, 💰 The Federal Reserve’s monetary easing cycle, 🏦 Record central bank gold accumulation, ⚔️ Rising global uncertainty, fueling strong safe-haven demand. Overall, this retracement could be an ideal setup for BUY re-entries, as bulls look to reload positions toward the 4090–4100 liquidity zone. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price remains inside the medium-term bullish channel, showing strong reactions around 4000–3980 support. 4010–4008 acts as a quick scalp zone for short-term entries. 3984–3982 serves as a key structural support and liquidity reaction area. 4090–4092 (Liquidity Sell Zone) stands as the major resistance — potential liquidity trap area. 📈 Trading Plan ✅ BUY SCALP: 4010–4008 SL: 4002 TP: 4015 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - 4050 - ???? ✅ BUY ZONE: 3984–3982 SL: 3978 TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4005 - 4010 - 4020 - ???? ✅ SELL ZONE: 4090–4092 SL: 4098 TP: 4085 - 4080 - 4070 - 4060 - 4050 - ???? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes The 4000 level remains a strong psychological and structural support — only enter long positions with confirmed price action signals. Be cautious around 4090–4100, where liquidity sweeps and false breakouts are likely. Adjust position size properly to manage volatility during high-impact news or geopolitical updates. ✅ Summary Gold is undergoing a healthy correction phase within its broader uptrend. The strategy remains BUY-focused at 4010–4008 and 3984–3982, with upside targets toward 4060–4090, and a potential short-term SELL opportunity near 4090–4092 if rejection signals appear. 💡 MMFLOW TRADING – Trade with market structure, follow liquidity, and ride the BIGWIN setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Targeting $4,100! Where to Buy Before the FOMC Minutes?Hello TradingView community! 🚀 Gold (XAU/USD) continues to demonstrate incredible strength, consistently breaking past old highs and forming a solid upward price channel. This robust uptrend is not only technically reinforced but also awaits a potential catalyst from today's significant fundamental news. In this analysis, we will combine two crucial perspectives: an in-depth look at the technical charts to identify optimal entry points, and an examination of the key fundamental event that could significantly impact Gold prices during the US session. 1. Fundamental Perspective: All Eyes on the FOMC Minutes Today's market highlight, Wednesday, October 8, is the release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes at 2:00 PM ET Why is this important? This document provides a detailed record of the latest policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED) in September. Traders will scrutinise the text for any hints about the future interest rate path. Potential scenarios: "Dovish" Tone: If the minutes reveal FED officials' concerns about economic growth and the possibility of further rate cuts, the US Dollar might weaken. This would create a strong push for Gold (XAU/USD), potentially driving the next price surge. "Hawkish" Tone: If the minutes emphasise that inflation remains a concern and the FED is not in a hurry to cut rates, the USD might see a short-term recovery, causing Gold to have a corrective dip. This event is a top catalyst for volatility. Our strategy is to prepare technical zones to capitalise on the market's reaction. 2. Technical Analysis: Detailed Trading Plan The bullish structure on the 2H timeframe is undeniable. Prices are creating a series of higher highs, confirmed by each "BoS" (Break of Structure), signalling that the Buyers are in full control. Here are the key zones to watch: Potential Buy Zones (Key Points): FVG Zone ($4,004): The nearest support is this Fair Value Gap, an area of price imbalance that the market often seeks to fill. Prices may retest this area before or during the news release. "Buy Break BoS" Zone ($3,981): This is the nearest swing high that has been broken. Now it has turned from resistance into a crucial support level. This zone offers a solid entry point if prices correct slightly deeper. "Bullish Order Block" Zone ($3,951): This is the last major "stronghold" of the Buyers—a powerful buy order block that initiated the latest push wave. This is an ideal area to look for buy orders if the market experiences a strong liquidity sweep downwards. Upside Targets: Short-term Target (Scalping): $4,070 - This level coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Main Target: "Liquidity Sell" Zone at $4,103. This is a large "liquidity pool" where the Sellers' stop-loss orders are likely concentrated. Smart money often drives prices to such areas. Strategy Summary Main Trend: Bullish. Core Strategy: Look for "Buy the dip" opportunities at the key support zones mentioned. Critical Timing: Be cautious around the FOMC Minutes release (18:00 UTC). Volatility can be high, and the market may whip in both directions to sweep stop-losses before following the main trend. Pro Tip: Patience is key. Waiting for prices to pull back to a confirmed support zone will provide a much better Risk/Reward ratio than chasing the market at the top. WHAT'S YOUR VIEW? How do you think Gold will react to today's FOMC minutes? And where are you looking to place your buy orders—at the FVG zone $4,004, the BoS level $3,981, or are you patiently waiting for the Order Block $3,951? Share your views in the comments below! 👇 Don't forget to leave a Like 👍 and Follow the channel for the latest XAU/USD analysis updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
GOLD M30 – Bulls Defend $4,000, Eyes on 4,100+Gold’s historic surge above the $4,000 psychological barrier is now consolidating, with buyers defending the 3996$ support (Fibo 0.618 reaction). The structure remains bullish, while intraday traders are eyeing the next reaction zones for both continuation and scalp opportunities. 📊 Technical Levels to Watch (Fibo Matrix – M30) 3996$ Support Zone: Breakout retest + Fibo 0.618 → must-hold for bulls. 4018 – 4020: First intraday resistance, potential short-term reaction. 4043$: Expansion-based psychological barrier. 406x – 407x: Key SELL Reaction Zone (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618) → scalp rejection likely. 4095$+: Upper liquidity expansion, next major target if momentum extends. 🎯 Francis Trade Plan ✅ BUY Setup: Entry: 3996 – 4000 zone. Targets: 4018 → 4043 → 406x. SL: Below 3984. ⚠️ SELL Setup (Short-term scalp only): Entry: 406x – 407x reaction. Targets: 4020 → 4000. SL: Above 4096. 🔑 Francis View The breakout at $4,000 signals strength, and bulls still dominate. 👉 Dips into 3996 support remain attractive BUY opportunities. 👉 Short-term scalpers can prepare for reaction SELLs around 406x – 407x. 📌 Bias: Bullish above $3996 – 4,100 zone remains the next liquidity magnet.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD XAU/USD – Intraday Plan | Bulls Targeting 4,000$Gold has once again proven its safe-haven dominance, pushing close to 3,980$ during the Asian session. Despite USD fluctuations and global market risk-on vibes, buyers remain firmly in control. The psychological milestone of 4,000$ is now directly in focus. 🔎 Technical Snapshot (M30) Trend remains bullish, supported by the Fibo channel. Dip-buying pressure continues to dominate intraday price action. Sellers will only gain short-term control near the 3988 – 4000$ resistance zone. 🔑 Key Trading Levels BUY Zone (Fibo 0.618): 395x → Ideal intraday demand. Support Zone: 393x → Must hold for bullish structure. Immediate Resistance: 397x → Current ATH zone. SELL Reaction Zone: 3988 – 4000$ → Potential short scalp. Major Resistance: 4000 – 4006$ → Strong psychological wall. 📌 Trading Plan (FranCi$$ Style) ✅ BUY on Dips Entry: 395x – 393x Targets: 3975 → 3988 → 4000$ Stop Loss: Below 392x ⚡ SELL Scalp Entry: 3988 – 4000$ Targets: 3970 → 3950$ Stop Loss: Above 4015$ 🎯 Final Take Gold’s path remains upward, but the 4000$ barrier is where bulls meet the biggest challenge. Smart traders will look to buy dips for continuation and use scalp sells only at strong rejection zones. 🔥 Stay tuned with FranCi$$ for realtime intraday updates – precision signals, scalping setups, and golden opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold Near ₹4000, BofA Warns of Mid-Cycle Adjustment 📊 Market Context Gold prices are inching closer to the ₹4,000/oz mark, but a fresh warning from Bank of America has made the market cautious. Strategist Paul Ciana notes that gold is over 20% above the MA200 – a level seen before sharp corrections in historical peak cycles (2008, 2011, 2020, 2022). However, medium-term forecasts from Goldman Sachs, UBS, and even BofA still suggest that gold could reach ₹4200–₹4900/oz next year. This means the long-term upward trend is still intact – but the current phase is prone to unexpected corrections to shake off FOMO buying pressure. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Prices are fluctuating near the ATH Zone and the crucial liquidity area around ₹3990–₹4000. Buy Zones: ₹3935–₹3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) offer an opportunity to accumulate orders. Sell Zone: ₹3993–₹3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a liquidity trap is likely when prices approach the ₹4000 mark. 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: ₹3935–₹3933, main support at ₹3910. SELL Zone: ₹3993–₹3995, closely watch liquidity. Psychological resistance: ₹4000. 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: ₹3935–₹3933 SL: ₹3927 TP: ₹3940 - ₹3945 - ₹3950 - ₹3960 - ₹3970 - ₹3980 - ??? ✅ SELL ZONE: ₹3993–₹3995 SL: ₹4000 TP: ₹3988 - ₹3984 - ₹3980 - ₹3970 - ₹3960 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes The ₹3990–₹4000 area is extremely liquid – a peak sweep is likely before reversal. Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation, avoid FOMO as prices near the psychological mark. Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may be higher than usual with the market debating the risk of a “mid-cycle correction”. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Prices are fluctuating near the ATH Zone and the crucial liquidity area around ₹3990–₹4000. Buy Zones: ₹3935–₹3933 (CP zone & FVG reaction) offer an opportunity to accumulate orders. Sell Zone: ₹3993–₹3995 (Liquidity Zone) – a liquidity trap is likely when prices approach the ₹4000 mark. 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: ₹3935–₹3933, main support at ₹3910. SELL Zone: ₹3993–₹3995, closely watch liquidity. Psychological resistance: ₹4000. 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: ₹3935–₹3933 SL: ₹3927 TP: ₹3940 - ₹3945 - ₹3950 - ₹3960 - ₹3970 - ₹3980 - ??? ✅ SELL ZONE: ₹3993–₹3995 SL: ₹4000 TP: ₹3988 - ₹3984 - ₹3980 - ₹3970 - ₹3960 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes The ₹3990–₹4000 area is extremely liquid – a peak sweep is likely before reversal. Only enter trades with clear price action confirmation, avoid FOMO as prices near the psychological mark. Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may be higher than usual with the market debating the risk of a “mid-cycle correction”.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Sustainable Price Rise: Where’s the Next Optimal Entry?Hello TradingView community! 🚀 Gold (XAU/USD) is in an extremely sustainable upward structure. Instead of lengthy analysis, let's dive straight into the action plan: What is the optimal entry point and what target is Gold aiming for? Check out the details below. 1. Market Structure Analysis: The Strength of the Bulls 🐂 Looking at the chart, the first thing that catches our eye is a series of "BoS" (Break of Structure). Every time Gold breaks an old peak, it not only creates a Higher High but also confirms that the upward trend is very strong and sustainable. This indicates that buying power is completely overwhelming and shows no sign of weakening. Smart Money is continuously pushing the price higher, and our job is to ride this "wave." 2. Potential Buying Zones - Where to Catch the Wave? 🧐 To optimize profits and minimize risks, finding a beautiful entry point after a price correction is extremely important. Based on the chart, we have 2 noteworthy potential buying zones: Buying Zone 1 - Fibonacci Confluence ($3885): This is an extremely ideal "Buy Zone," coinciding with the golden Fibonacci ratio of 0.618. In technical analysis, this is a very strong support level, where prices often tend to reverse and continue the main trend. Professional traders always hunt for pullbacks to this zone. Buying Zone 2 - Exploiting FVG ($3914 - $3933): Slightly higher, we have the FVG (Fair Value Gap) area at $3914 and the "Buy Scalping" zone at $3933. These are "price gaps" created by supply-demand imbalances when prices rise too quickly. The market tends to return to fill these gaps before continuing its journey. This could be an opportunity for those wanting to catch an earlier wave. 3. Target Conquest - What’s Gold’s Next Destination? 🎯 Once we have a buying position, where will our target be? Short-term target: The "Sell Scalping FVG" zone around $3969 could be a minor resistance point where some traders will take profits. Main target: The ultimate destination this structure is aiming for is the "Sell Gold Liquidity" zone at $3998. This is an important "liquidity" area, concentrating many stop-loss orders of the Sellers. Prices are often attracted to these zones like a "magnet" to sweep liquidity before making further moves. Summary & Advice Main trend: UP. Primary strategy: Buy on dip when prices correct to important support zones. Potential buying zones: $3885 (Fibonacci) and $3914 - $3933 (FVG). Price targets: $3969 (short-term) and $3998 (main target). Always remember, risk management is the key to surviving in the market. Set reasonable Stop-loss for all your trades. WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THIS PLAN? Will Gold retrace to the Fibonacci zone $3885 or react right at the FVG zone $3914? Leave your opinions and perspectives in the comments below. We will discuss together to find the best opportunities! 👇 Don't forget to Like 👍 and Follow my TradingView channel to not miss daily Gold analyses!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context Gold continues to assert its strength by breaking the psychological barrier of $3,900, becoming the central asset amidst financial and political turmoil. US government shutdown → defensive capital flows strongly into gold. Fed expected to cut interest rates by another 0.25 points → further strengthens the advantage for the non-yielding precious metal. Lack of economic data → investors closely follow private reports, adding uncertainty and supporting gold's role as the “number 1 safe haven”. 👉 Market sentiment is perfectly aligned: USD under pressure, capital moving away from risky assets, BUY side FOMO continues to amplify → gold stands before the opportunity to climb and conquer the 3950–3990 range. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Main trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the rising trendline. BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → Volume CP Zone, supports momentum. BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest old ATH, accumulation zone for the next rally. SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, prone to liquidity traps. Extended target: 3994 (Fib 3.618). 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883 SELL Zone: 3949–3950 Resistance: 3950, 3994 Support: 3900, 3880 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 SL: 3898 TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 SL: 3878 TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950 SL: 3955 TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Liquidity may sweep above 3950 before adjusting → need to wait for price action confirmation. Avoid FOMO at the peak, prioritize BUY only when price adjusts to support zones. Order volume should be slightly reduced before unexpected Fed policy announcements. ✅ Summary Gold is in the “golden phase” of an uptrend: political instability + dovish Fed + safe haven demand = BUY is the main strategy. Plan to accumulate around 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with an extended target of 3950–3990. SELL is only a short-term strategy at the liquidity zone. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups with the team!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD Marching Toward $4,000 Zone? Gold Holds Firm Above 3,900Gold starts the week with relentless bullish momentum, breaking through 3,900 USD for the first time and eyeing new record highs. The rally is fueled by safe-haven demand as the US government shutdown drags on and market expectations grow for an upcoming Fed rate cut. Despite a stronger USD and risk appetite in equities, gold buyers remain firmly in control. 🔎 Technical Outlook (H1 – FIBO Matrix) 📍 Reaction Buy Zones 3884 – 3880 (Fibo 0.5 support) → Short-term demand pocket. 386x (Fibo 0.618 H1) → Stronger liquidity-backed support, high-probability rebound zone. 📍 Reaction Sell Zones 393x – 394x (Fibo Extension 1.5 – 1.618) → Intraday resistance, possible rejection. 4,000 (Psychological Round Level) → Key psychological barrier; heavy liquidity likely. 🎯 Trade Plan 1️⃣ BUY Scenario Entry: 3884 – 3880 / 386x, wait for bullish confirmation. Targets: 3925 → 3940 → 4000. Stop Loss: Below 3850. 2️⃣ SELL (Short-term Scalp) Entry: 393x – 394x or rejection at 4000. Targets: 3900 → 3884. Stop Loss: Above 3952. ⚡ Key Insights Trend bias remains bullish → Prefer long setups from strong Fibo supports. 3925 is the immediate hurdle, 4000 the ultimate psychological wall. Watch USD volatility and Fed commentary for intraday direction. 💬 What’s your take, India? Do you expect Gold to hit 4,000 this week, or will sellers defend the zone? Drop your setups 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold Soars on FOMO – 1000-Pip Opportunity Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent ✳️ Hello to all traders, Today, we are not only analysing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A bullish storm is forming, promising attractive trading opportunities. 📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Bullish Structure From a technical standpoint, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 chart is undeniable. 🔹 Break of Structure (BoS): Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant. Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend. 🔹 Potential Demand Zone: After each rally, the price often takes a “pause” to accumulate. Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,911,169 zone, where the confluence between Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next rally. 🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Lit If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel driving the uptrend. 🔸 US Government Shutdown: This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets. Gold – the number one safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve their assets. 🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates: The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%. This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-yielding asset. 🔸 “Thirst” for Economic Data: The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty. In this environment, Gold continues to hold its safe haven role. 🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced. Strategy: Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169. Entry signals: Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as: Pin bar candles, engulfing Or BoS on the M15 chart Targets: Short-term: $3950 – $3990 Long-term: Target “+1000 pips” Risk management: Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB to protect the account. 🧭 Conclusion The current market sentiment is very favourable for the Buyers: USD is under downward pressure Defensive capital flows are strongly moving into Gold The FOMO effect can stimulate an extended rally The combination of a solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture. 👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity. 💼 Wishing everyone an effective and victorious trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD Near Record Highs: Key Data AheadGold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – October 3, 2025 1. Macro & News Context Gold is holding near record highs, heading for its seventh consecutive weekly gain, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting rates and by concerns around the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Spot prices have recently tested the ₹3,890–3,900 region and are now consolidating around ₹3,860. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) – Typically scheduled for 18:00 IST on the first Friday of the month, the September jobs report is likely to be delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown. Key event to watch today: ISM Services PMI (September) will be released at 19:30 IST. Since ISM data is privately produced, it will be published regardless of the shutdown and may serve as the main volatility catalyst in today’s U.S. session. 【ISM】 Labor market signals: Challenger job cut data showed lower layoffs in September, but planned hiring at the lowest level since 2009, reinforcing a softer employment backdrop. Combined with the Fed’s recent 25 bps rate cut (to 4.00%–4.25%), this continues to support the bullish gold narrative. USD trend: The dollar has weakened broadly this week, aligning with market bets on further monetary easing. This backdrop provides an additional tailwind for gold. 2. Technical Landscape (H1 Chart) The attached chart highlights key technical zones and a completed Harmonic XABCD pattern on the 1H timeframe: Support levels: Near-term: ₹3,844–3,841 Deeper: ₹3,827 (intraday pivot), ₹3,792 (strong low) Strategic: ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish Order Block) Resistance levels: Immediate: ₹3,865 Strong supply: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish Order Block) Extended target: ₹3,930–3,940 (Sell Scalping | Fibo zone) Momentum: After bouncing from point D of the harmonic structure, gold has been forming higher lows (HL). Price currently sits above the longer-term moving average and is testing the shorter-term average, suggesting a constructive short-term bias as long as supports hold. 3. Trade Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy-the-dip (preferred bias) Entry zone: ₹3,844–3,841 Stop loss: Below ₹3,827 (safer: below ₹3,792) Targets: ₹3,865 (first take-profit) ₹3,880–3,890 (major supply) Stretch: ₹3,930–3,940 Rationale: Higher low formation, bullish macro backdrop, aligned with strong weekly uptrend. Scenario 2 – Countertrend short at resistance Trigger zone: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish OB) Confirmation: Rejection candles (H15–H1) such as wicks, engulfing, or failed breakout. Stop loss: Above ₹3,895–3,900 (or above ₹3,945 if price spikes into the ₹3,930–3,940 fib zone). Targets: ₹3,865 → ₹3,844 → ₹3,827 Rationale: Potential liquidity sweep ahead of ISM, with profit-taking likely near supply zones. Scenario 3 – Breakdown through support Trigger: 1H close below ₹3,841 Path: ₹3,827 → ₹3,792 (Strong Low) → ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish OB) Rationale: Loss of intraday structure would flip bias short until major demand zones. 4. How to Trade Around Today’s Data If NFP is indeed delayed, the 18:00 IST slot may bring limited volatility. Focus instead on the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST, which could trigger sharp swings in both USD and gold. Adjust position sizing: Expect spread widening and slippage around the release. Reduce leverage or scale into positions. 5. Risk Management Limit risk per trade to 0.5–1% of account equity. Avoid chasing price once levels are tested; wait for H15–H1 candle closes for confirmation. Monitor the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Treasury yields – further dollar weakness would reinforce bullish gold setups. 🔑 Key Takeaway Gold remains structurally bullish in the broader trend, with immediate support at ₹3,841–3,844 critical to maintain upside momentum. Watch for reactions around ₹3,880–3,890 and ₹3,930–3,940. With NFP possibly delayed, the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST will be today’s most important catalyst for directional moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Outlook: Eyeing $4,000 – Fibo Expansion Zones in PlayGold continues to benefit from safe-haven demand as political risks in Washington and mixed U.S. data keep investors cautious. The metal is trading inside a clear bullish channel, with Fibonacci projections suggesting further upside before any major correction. 📊 Technical Deep Dive – H4 Structure 🔹 Fibonacci Confluence The current rally respects 0.618 retracement at $3,820 and 0.786 retracement near $3,872, confirming algorithmic order flow. Next expansion points are sitting at Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 ($3,995 – $4,003), a major liquidity target where reactions are likely. 🔹 Liquidity Pockets $3,820 – $3,828: Historical demand block + Fibo 0.618, strong buy reaction zone. $3,860 – $3,872: Active reaction layer, intraday support if retested. $3,995 – $4,003: Key sell reaction zone, a liquidity grab area before possible retracement. 🔹 Candle & Flow Breakout candles show strong momentum, pushing price toward untested liquidity. However, multiple tests of $3,895 signal distribution pressure ahead of the $4,000 test. 🎯 Trade Playbook 🟢 Bullish Setup (Main Play) Entry: $3,860 – $3,872 Targets: $3,895 → $3,995 → $4,003 Stop: Below $3,850 🔵 Deep Buy Setup (Aggressive) Entry: $3,820 – $3,828 Targets: $3,872 → $3,895 Stop: Below $3,808 🔴 Countertrend Short (Scalp) Entry: $3,995 – $4,003 Targets: $3,970 → $3,950 Stop: Above $4,010 ⚡ Key Insights Watch for a $4,000 liquidity sweep – could trigger either breakout continuation or sharp pullback. If $3,860 support fails, deeper correction into $3,820 is expected before next rally. H4 close above $3,895 strengthens bullish bias toward $4,003+. 📌 Question for traders: Will Gold break $4,000 and run, or is this a setup for a liquidity trap before correction? Share your view 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Daily Plan: Gold Targets 7th Straight Weekly Gain |MMFLOWTRADING📊 Market Context Gold holds firm above $3,850, aiming for its 7th consecutive weekly gain. 🔥 Main driver: Risks from a prolonged U.S. government shutdown. 📉 54% probability of the shutdown lasting 29 days (Polymarket) → directly impacting gold sentiment. 🛡 Safe-haven demand & BUY-side FOMO keep fueling momentum. ⚖️ Still, profit-taking at higher resistance zones could trigger sharp swings before the next directional move. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) 📈 Main trend: Bullish, but consolidating near 3,850. 🚧 Key Resistances: 3882–3884 & 3934–3936 (Liquidity Sell Zones). 🏦 Key Supports: 3797–3795 & 3756–3754 (Buy Zones). 🎯 Key Levels: 3850 – 3880 – 3900. 📈 Trading Scenarios & Plan ✅ SELL ZONE 1: 3882–3884 SL: 3890 TP: 3878 – 3874 – 3870 – 3865 – 3860 – 3850 – 3840 – ??? ✅ SELL ZONE 2: 3934–3936 SL: 3940 TP: 3930 – 3925 – 3920 – 3910 – 3900 – ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3797–3795 SL: 3790 TP: 3800 – 3810 – 3820 – 3830 – 3840 – ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3756–3754 SL: 3750 TP: 3760 – 3770 – 3780 – 3790 – 3800 – ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes 🌀 U.S. shutdown headlines may spark unexpected volatility. 🕵️‍♂️ Focus on BUY setups at support, avoid chasing FOMO at highs. ❌ Consider SELL only if clear rejection signals form at resistance zones. ✅ Summary Gold remains supported by safe-haven flows, eyeing a 7-week winning streak. 🎯 Strategy: BUY setups: 3797–3795 & 3756–3754. SELL setups: 3882–3884 & 3934–3936. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Trading Plan | Limited Downside, Key Fibo Zones in Play🌍 Market Context Gold is facing renewed selling pressure after yesterday’s bounce from the $3,820 area. Risk-on sentiment and fresh USD buying are weighing on XAU/USD. However, expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year and geopolitical tensions remain supportive, limiting deeper downside moves. 📊 Technical Analysis – Fibo Matrix Setup 🔴 SELL Reaction Zones 386x – 388x (Fibo retracement 0.5 – 0.618 + 0.786 confluence) → Intraday SELL scalp zone with strong rejection probability. 3881 – 3892 (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 downtrend extension) → Key SELL liquidity zone for deeper rejection. 🟢 BUY Support Zones 3820 – 3819 (short-term recovery base) → Initial intraday support. 3795 – 3793 (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 recovery zone) → Major liquidity pocket, ideal for BUY setups if tested. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Setup Entry: 386x – 388x (watch rejection candlesticks). Target: 3820 → 3795. Stop Loss: Above 3892. 2️⃣ BUY Setup Entry: 3795 – 3793 with bullish confirmation. Target: 3860 → 3880. Stop Loss: Below 3785. ⚡ Key Notes USD momentum is crucial – if dollar strength continues, Gold may retest 379x zones. Fed’s rate cut outlook and geopolitical headlines remain the “floor” for Gold. Stick to clear Fibo reaction zones for best risk-to-reward setups. 💬 Community Insight: Do you expect Gold to hold 3820 before bouncing, or will we see a flush into 379x liquidity? Drop your setups below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
(XAU/USD) – Gold likely to touch $4,000/oz: Ideal buying levels?1. Market Structure & Trend Outlook On the H1 chart, gold is sustaining its bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. After the BoS (Break of Structure), price retraced near 3,862 Buy Zone and bounced upward. At present, price trades above EMA34 and EMA89, keeping bullish bias intact. 2. Important Levels Buy Zone: 3,862 – 3,865. Acts as short-term support. Holding above strengthens the bullish case. OB1: 3,806 – 3,810. Next support in case Buy Zone breaks. OB2: 3,763 – 3,770. Deeper support, triggered only if market corrects heavily. Sell Scalping Zone (Fibo): 3,912. A short-term resistance, profit booking expected. Sell Zone / ATH: 3,933 – 3,935. Breakout here may lead to fresh record highs. 3. Trade Setups Bullish Setup: Buy on retest of 3,862 – 3,865. SL: Below 3,850. TP1: 3,912. TP2: 3,933 – 3,935. Bearish Setup (Defensive): If below 3,860, expect test of 3,806 – 3,810. If this fails, price may decline towards 3,763 – 3,770. 4. Conclusion Trend remains positive on H1. Best strategy: Buy on dips near support, manage SLs carefully, and book partial profits near resistances. Sustaining above 3,933 may open doors for new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSUS | Government Shutdown Confirmed | Gold awaits ADP & ISM🔎 Context & News US Politics : The US government officially shut down after the Senate failed to pass the federal funding bill. A major political risk catalyst, triggering safe-haven flows into Gold. FED : Probability of a -25bps rate cut in October rises to 96.2% → almost certain. Key Events Today (ET / UTC) : • ADP Employment Change: 08:15 ET / 12:15 UTC • ISM Manufacturing PMI: 10:00 ET / 14:00 UTC → Both will be crucial data points that may shake Dollar and Gold. 📌 Summary : US politics + FED easing = Gold remains supported, but ADP & ISM tonight could spark strong volatility in the US session. 📈 Technical Analysis (H1) Main Trend : Bullish after multiple BoS. EMA : EMA 34 > EMA 89 → bullish momentum intact. Resistance : 3,897 – 3,907 (Sell scalp – Fibo 0.5–0.618). 3,920 – 3,921 (Liquidity / ATH test). Support : 3,872 – 3,876 (old high retest). 3,833 – 3,841 (OB zone). 3,814 – 3,822 (deep Support Zone – losing this shifts bias). 🎯 Trade Plan ✅ Buy (trend priority) Buy Zone 1 : 3,872 – 3,876 • SL: 3,869 • TP: 3,897 → 3,907 → 3,920 Buy Zone 2 (OB) : 3,833 – 3,841 • SL: 3,826 • TP: 3,872 → 3,897 → 3,907 Buy Zone 3 (Deep Support) : 3,814 – 3,822 • SL: 3,808 • TP: 3,841 → 3,872 → 3,897 ⚡ Sell (short scalps only – lower RR) Sell Zone 1 : 3,897 – 3,907 • SL: 3,912 • TP: 3,885 → 3,876 → 3,841 Sell Zone 2 (ATH sweep) : 3,920 – 3,921 • SL: 3,925 • TP: 3,907 → 3,885 → 3,876 📝 Conclusion Gold remains strongly supported by the US government shutdown + FED rate cut expectations. Strategy today: Prioritize Buy at support; Sell only for short scalps around 3,907 – 3,921. ⚠️ Watch out: ADP & ISM tonight may trigger unexpected volatility → manage risk carefully and move SL to BE after TP1. 📢 If you find this Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow Captain Vincent ⚓ for the latest updates. 💬 What do you think, crew? Will Gold break ATH 3,920 right after ADP & ISM tonight?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD – Gold Smashes to New ATH: Bulls in Full Control📊 Market Overview Gold has surged into uncharted territory, breaking through to a fresh All-Time High (ATH). The earlier dip toward 3,800 USD acted as nothing more than a springboard, allowing buyers to reload before launching this powerful breakout. Safe-haven demand continues to fuel the rally, as concerns over a potential US government shutdown and expectations of more Fed rate cuts strengthen bullish momentum. 📍 Crucial Levels to Watch 🔴 SELL Reaction Zone 3,911 – 3,915 (Liquidity Resistance) → Potential short-term ceiling, profit-taking may appear here. 🟢 BUY Reaction Zones 3,830 – 3,820 (Fibo Support) → First pullback level for intraday buyers. 3,808 – 3,810 → Secondary support zone for a deeper correction. 3,747 – 3,752 (Liquidity BUY Zone) → Stronger base for swing buyers. 🎯 Trading Setups 1️⃣ Buy the Dip (Primary Play) Entry: 3,830 – 3,820, confirmation needed. Targets: 3,900 → 3,915, extend toward 3,950+ if momentum remains strong. Stop: Below 3,808. 2️⃣ Sell the Spike (Countertrend) Entry: 3,911 – 3,915, only on visible rejection. Targets: 3,871 → 3,830. Stop: Above 3,922. 3️⃣ Swing Buy Opportunity Entry: 3,752 – 3,747 (Fibo confluence). Targets: 3,830 → 3,900. Stop: Below 3,735. ⚡ Pro Tips Trend bias = Strongly Bullish, prioritize long setups. Countertrend shorts are tactical; keep stops tight. Headlines from the US political scene and Fed could trigger extra volatility at highs. 💬 Discussion Will gold extend to 3,950 – 4,000 USD, or is a sharp pullback around the corner? Drop your views and charts below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
US Government Shutdown, Gold Benefits & FOMO BUY Continues📊 Market Context The gold market kicks off Q4/2025 with great enthusiasm as safe-haven flows continue to surge. Not only that, the potential delay of the NFP employment report this week further fuels the market's "thirst" for directional information, positioning gold as the central asset in everyone's sights. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure from political uncertainties and expectations that the Fed is moving closer to further rate cuts. Combined, the current picture shows that gold is not only maintaining its strength after a breakout rally but also has the opportunity to expand and conquer new high price territories, as safe-haven capital and FOMO momentum from the BUY side continue to amplify. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) The price maintains the main upward trend, staying above the support structure. Important BUY ZONE: 3833–3831 (Fibo + CP zone) – this area is likely to react strongly. Secondary BUY ZONE: 3817–3815 (OBS zone) – stronger support, suitable for accumulating additional BUY orders. Resistance area 3919–3923 (Liquidity Sell Zone) may be where liquidity traps appear. ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3833–3831 SL: 3827 TP: 3838 - 3842 - 3846 - 3850 - 3855 - 3860 - 3870 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3817–3815 SL: 3810 TP: 3822 - 3826 - 3830 - 3835 - 3840 - 3850 - 3860 - 3870 - ??? ✅ Summary Gold is directly benefiting from political instability and the delay in US economic data. The main trend remains BUY with safe-haven flows, with strategic zones at 3833–3831 and 3817–3815. The expansion target aims for 3870–3880 and beyond to 3920+ if buying momentum remains strong.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Daily Plan – Gold’s Pullback Before the Next Leg Higher📊 Market Overview Gold has pulled back from its fresh record highs but the move looks more like healthy accumulation than a reversal. The 3,800 zone has acted as a strong support, absorbing selling pressure and keeping the broader bullish trend intact. Immediate rebounds confirm that buyers are still in control, preparing for the next breakout. 📍 Key Levels to Watch 🔴 SELL Reaction Zone 3,871 – 3,872 → First resistance level, possible short-term rejection. 3,915 – 3,920 (Fibo Liquidity Zone) → Stronger sell wall where profit-taking may appear. 🟢 BUY Zones 3,808 – 3,810 (Fibo 0.786 Support) → Important reaction zone for intraday buy setups. 3,747 – 3,752 (Fibo Liquidity Buy Zone) → Deep correction level, strong long-term demand area. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Setup Entry: Buy near 3,808 – 3,810 on bullish candlestick confirmation. Targets: 3,871 → 3,900+ Stop: Below 3,795 2️⃣ Deep Pullback Opportunity Entry: 3,747 – 3,752 if price flushes lower. Targets: 3,808 → 3,871 Stop: Below 3,735 3️⃣ Countertrend SELL Setup Entry: 3,915 – 3,920 only with strong rejection. Targets: 3,871 → 3,808 Stop: Above 3,928 ⚡ Trading Notes Gold remains in a strong bullish channel – selling should only be tactical and short-term. Watch US political headlines and end-of-month flows, as they could trigger volatility. Stick to defined Fibo zones for best risk-to-reward setups. 💬 Community Discussion Do you think Gold will test 3,900+ this week or will we see a deeper correction first? Share your charts and ideas below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD – Gold Daily Plan | Sharp Drop, What’s Next?Gold printed a sudden 70+ point drop from 388x to 380x, leaving traders questioning: – Was this a big player manipulation? – Or simply institutional profit taking? Key reaction zones will define if Gold holds above 3800 or dives deeper. 📍 Critical Levels 🔴 SELL Reaction Zone 387x → Strong resistance where sellers may step in. 🟢 BUY Zones 3780 (Retest Breakout + Trendline) → First demand zone. 375x (Fibo Support Zone) → Strong liquidity pocket, potential reversal. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Idea Entry: 387x Targets: 3800 → 3780 SL: Above 3888 2️⃣ BUY Idea Entry: 3780 – 375x Targets: 3838 → 387x SL: Below 3745 ⚡ Trading Notes High volatility expected near 3800 psychological mark. Stick to zone trading – avoid mid-range traps. Monitor USD strength; any spike could pressure XAU further. 💬 Discussion Do you think Gold will break below 3800 or bounce back to test 387x? Drop your views 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold 30/09 - Safe-haven flows surge | Gold sails toward new ATH 🟡 XAU/USD – 30/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News US Politics : Meeting between Trump and bipartisan leaders ended without agreement → growing risk of a US government shutdown by Wednesday. Conflict : Democrats demand concessions, Republicans fiercely oppose → wide gap remains, both sides blaming each other. Market : Investors watch JOLTS data and speeches from 3 FED members, but political risks are the strongest catalyst for Gold. Trend : Safe-haven flows keep pouring into Gold → increasing likelihood of testing new ATH. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : US political seas are stormy, Gold becomes the fortress of safety. The voyage toward ATH is widening. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (H1) EMA : EMA 34 (yellow) > EMA 89 (red) → bullish trend clearly dominant. Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) Big Volume Dock: 3,827 Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) ATH test: 3,916 – 3,917 Market Structure : Gold broke out strongly, now trading around 3,870. Main trend remains bullish, with 3,842 – 3,827 as key anchor zones. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (main priority) Buy Zone 2 – Big Volume Entry: 3,827 – 3,824 SL: 3,815 TP: 3,870 – 3,899 – 3,916 ⚡ Sell (short scalp – high risk) Sell Zone – ATH test Entry: 3,917 – 3,920 SL: 3,925 TP: 3,899 – 3,870 – 3,856 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails are filled by safe-haven winds, pushing the ship close to ATH. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,842 – 3,827) is the ideal dock for sailors to position Buys. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,916 – 3,920) may unleash violent waves, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. If the political storm from Washington breaks out, Gold’s voyage could surpass the peak and expand its horizon.” 📢 If you find the Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the earliest updates. 💬 What’s your view, crew? Will Gold conquer ATH around 3,917 this week?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Bulls in Control: Buy Zones Lined Up for the Breakout!📊 Market Context Gold is trading near record highs around $3,850, heading toward its best month in 14 years. With Q3 2025 and September closing, gold has surged nearly 12% this month, driven by rising safe-haven demand amid the looming U.S. government shutdown and weaker USD sentiment. The bullish structure remains intact, and dips continue to attract aggressive buyers. 📍 Key Trading Levels 🟢 BUY Zones 3846 – 3843 → Intraday BUY scalp zone SL: 3836 TP: 1R → 2R → 3R → 4R (hold longer if above 389x) 3818 – 3816 → Deeper reaction BUY zone SL: 3810 TP: 1R → 2R → 3R → 4R (limit orders can be set for extended swing positions) 🔴 SELL Reaction Zone Around 387x → Expect heavy profit-taking and short-term pullbacks. 🎯 Trade Plan Prioritize BUY setups only; gold remains in strong bullish momentum. Use the 384x zone for scalps and 381x zone for deeper limit buys. Trail stops once price breaks 389x, opening room for 3920+ targets. ⚡ Trading Notes Volatility may spike with U.S. political risks – manage positions carefully. Avoid chasing highs; wait for structured retracements to BUY zones. Stick to R/R discipline; market rewards patience in strong trends. 💬 Community Insight Do you think gold will smash through 3920+ this week, or will we get another retracement first? Drop your setups and let’s compare strategies 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo