Structural Confluence of Elliot and HarmonicsConfluence doesnt mean some indicators and price action .. confluence conditions can be seen everywhere from structure to entry
The above structure shows you confluence with 2 major concepts in trading world HARMONICS and ELLIOT, shows you the possible areas where you could see confluence of both
The 3rd wave could some times be BAT pattern or DEEP CRAB pattern in impulse, when it comes to elliot correction you will prob'ly see ABCD pattern in formation.
This will give you an idea of how to identify the confluence when you are looking for swing trading
Always keep in mind that there will be internal small patterns within the big pattern do not get confused while doing multi TF analysis thinking which pattern to follow, always follow the higher TF pattern.
Harmonicmoves
NIFTY FINANCIAL INDEXAt the PRZ of a bearish Harmonic Bat in Weekly time frame it made a bearish reversal Candlestick today. A follow through tomorrow onwards would confirm a downward move for 13250 and below that for 12000. The view would negate if it sustains above today's high.
The index constitutes of all the large Banks and large Finance companies.
Harmonic Bat is a 5 points pattern based on specific Fibonacci Ratios which signal a reversal of trend for 38-50-62% of the last leg of the trend ending.
NIFTYIt might be forming a THREE VALLEYS & A RIVER in hourly time frame. It has two bearish Harmonic Trading Patterns at 11875 (Deep Crab) and at 11975 (Alt Shark). "If" a REVERSAL were to occur from that zone then the downside expected levels could be 11750 / 11550 / 11400. The negation point would be at 12020
DOW JONESDJIA which turned from a Bullish Harmonic AB=CD is now approaching the PRZ (28600-28800) of a Bearish Harmonic AB=CD. Like in the bullish instance which coincided with Ichimoku support, here too the expected resistance tallies with an Ichimoku weekly resistance and a falling trend line. View would negate above 28900
NiftyNifty has initiated a Bullish Harmonic Pattern 5-O which has the PRZ of 11450-11400. As long as it sustains above 11300 it could rally till 11775-11850. Further confirmation would be hourly sustenance above 11570.
Bullish 5-O are 6 points Harmonic Patterns usually preceded by a Bearish Alt Shark. The pullback from the Alt shark in this case happens to be a corrective which ends at O from where the larger trend resumes its path.
NIFTY & BANKNIFTYNifty:
Monthly range 11350-10725
Weekly support 11050 resistance 11350/11475/11750
Daily support 11000/10850 resistance 11300
Hourly Butterfly at 11025, if it fails to hold then 10900 likely.
Bank Nifty:
21000 crucial level for any attempt to bounce/reverse back for 22700 and above that rally till 23750-24000
Nifty & NIFTYITNifty is making a Cup & Handle in lower time frame, a breakout level coincides with the Bearish AB=CD between 9600-9650 which I had already suggested as a possible level in my previous tweets, view would go wrong below 9100. At the same time NIFTY IT in hourly is on the verge of an IHS breakout which suggest 13500 as a probable level. Both suggested levels could be the culmination zones for now at least for the bounce which started from 7500.
HDFCIt has activated a C Clamp which suggest a retracement till 1860 is probable, which is also a resistance in weekly/monthly time frame. The level also tallies with a retracement of the monthly bullish harmonic pattern as well as with a probable bearish pattern near it in lower time frame. Two studies suggesting indentical resistance ahead!
GOLDGOLD had a sharp sell off like equities in the 1st week of March due to Central Banks across the globe pumping liquidity and reducing rates. Besides the domino principle of one pulling the other (losses in equities globally being cleared via unwinding of long gold positions) as one asset manages the other in a systematic risk environment.
Current set up suggest $1675 where it would complete its minimum Bullish Dragon (trigger - hourly close above $1630). Only if it sustains above that $1800 is the next level with some resistance near $1735. Else a dip till $1575 before it attempts another up move.
From a medium to long term prospective this could be the last leg of the rally from 2016, post this Gold could start a fresh downside cycle.