LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | A bearish structure has formed...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | A bearish structure has formed, waiting for confirmation during the European session
Overall, gold is in a corrective downtrend after the previous bullish move. On the H1 timeframe, a clear Dow bearish structure (lower highs, lower lows) has formed. However, the support zone around 4,030 and the lower Fibonacci cluster are still potential areas where buying pressure may appear. Today’s European session will be crucial to confirm whether price continues to drop deeper or bounces back, aligning with the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern developing on H4.
Macro – Short Fundamental Outlook
The minutes from the Fed’s October meeting revealed a strong internal division:
One group opposed rate cuts and wanted to maintain current levels.
The other group supported cutting rates and even suggested further reductions in December.
This lack of consensus shows high uncertainty in monetary policy, encouraging defensive flows to continue favouring gold. In the long run, gold only surges when confidence in the financial system weakens — a gold price peak is not a sign of prosperity but a warning signal.
Technical Analysis – H1 (trendline, Fibonacci, liquidity)
Price is trading below the short-term descending trendline, confirming that the bearish phase remains active.
The 4,082–4,090 zone is an important liquidity zone — repeatedly tested and now acting as near-term resistance.
The 4,029–4,031 cluster is a key support area:
Overlaps with technical support + Fibonacci retracement.
Beginning of the large FVG that extends down to 3,985 (Fibo 1.618 + psychological support).
Above current price, the 4,129–4,130 zone is strong resistance. If price breaks and holds above this area, the bearish Dow structure will weaken significantly.
Suggested Trading Scenarios
BUY Scenario – Buying at Support / Fibonacci
Logic: Price holds above the support–Fibonacci zone, showing bottom-fishing demand.
Entry BUY: 4,029–4,031
SL: 4,022
TP: 4,040 → 4,065 → 4,090 → 4,120
Only consider buying if price shows strong reaction at 4,029–4,031 (long wick rejection or clear reversal candle on M15–H1).
Cancel this BUY plan if H1 closes below 4,022.
SELL Scenario – Following the current bearish structure (preferred if trendline remains intact)
Logic: Price retraces to resistance + descending trendline and gets rejected.
Entry SELL: 4,098–4,100
SL: 4,105
TP: 4,088 → 4,070 → 4,035 → 4,000–3,985
Only sell if price touches 4,098–4,100 with clear rejection (bearish pin bar/engulfing).
If H1 closes above 4,105 and breaks the trendline strongly, stop all sell setups and reassess.
Key Levels for Scalping
4,082 – 4,060 – 3,985 – 4,129
These levels can be used for quick intraday trades, but reduce position size and take profit fast.
Important Notes
If price closes firmly above the descending trendline and holds above 4,090–4,100, bias will gradually shift toward BUY setups, as an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is forming on H4.
If the 4,029–4,022 support breaks decisively, gold is likely to drop toward the FVG and Fibonacci 1.618 zone around 3,985.
What scenario are you leaning toward for gold today — a pullback for another sell, or holding the bottom for a rebound? Leave your view in the comments and follow LiamTrading for daily XAUUSD updates on TradingView.
Ictconcepts
XAUUSD – CLEAR INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS FORMATION, CONTINUE ...💛 XAUUSD – CLEAR INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS FORMATION, CONTINUE TO PRIORITISE BUY SETUPS 🎯
🌤 1. Overview – Today’s Market Picture
Hello everyone, Lana here again 💬
During the Asian session this morning, gold completed the right shoulder of a very clear Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on the H3/H4 timeframe. Those who bought following the previous setup are now in a favourable position, and in my view, this is still a good time to hold Buy positions and prepare for additional entries once the market confirms the trend.
On the macro side, according to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25bp in December has dropped to around 30–33%, while the likelihood of keeping rates unchanged remains dominant.
This means the USD is not weak enough to push gold sharply higher, but also not strong enough to suppress it—creating a volatile range-bound environment, which is ideal for technical-pattern trading.
💹 2. Technical Analysis – Inverse Head & Shoulders & Market Structure
The Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern has formed quite cleanly:
Left shoulder → Head → Right shoulder, all supported by the long-term ascending trendline.
The demand zone around 4040–4050 is acting as a liquidity box supporting the entire structure.
The neckline is currently around 4089–4090:
Once price breaks above and closes above 4089, we can consider a confirmed bullish trend.
After the breakout, gold may extend toward 4145 → 4200, which aligns with higher liquidity zones + upper FVGs.
Zone 4130–4132:
A major liquidity cluster—where many take-profit orders & short-term sell orders may appear.
If this zone is broken decisively, price may accelerate quickly toward 4200.
Zone 4040:
This is both the bottom of the pattern and a key support.
The bullish structure fails if gold closes below 4040 on H4, which would invalidate the Inverse H&S pattern.
Overall, price is currently compressing right below the neckline, and just one strong breakout could trigger the next bullish wave.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan (For Study Purposes Only)
💖 Primary BUY Scenario – Following the Pattern
1️⃣ Buy on retracement to support
Entry: 4060–4063
SL: 4055
TP: 4088 → 4108 → 4130 → 4143 → 4200
2️⃣ Buy the neckline breakout
Condition: Price breaks the descending trendline & neckline, and closes above 4089.
Entry: around 4089–4092
SL: 4080
TP: 4132 → 4145 → 4200
💢 Notes on SELL Setups
Selling now is counter-trend against the pattern and not the priority.
Consider only short-term sells if:
Price reacts strongly at 4132–4145, and
Clear bearish signals appear on M15–M30 (pin bar, bearish engulfing, rising sell volume).
⚠️ 4. Fundamental Factors to Watch
High probability that the Fed keeps rates unchanged → market may stay flat before data releases, then spike in volatility.
Gold remains sensitive to data: employment, inflation, and speeches from Fed officials.
🌷 In summary
The Inverse Head & Shoulders on XAUUSD supports the bullish scenario as long as price stays above 4040 💛
Strategy:
Prioritise Buy setups: first at 4060–4063, then on the breakout above 4089.
Watch the 4132–4145 zone closely—if broken, the move toward 4200 becomes highly probable.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold updates!
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold Holds 0.618, Bullish Scenario...💛 LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold Holds 0.618, Bullish Scenario Preferred for Wednesday 🎯
Gold continues to recover after the previous decline and is currently sitting right at the 0.618 Fibonacci level on the H1 timeframe — indicating buyers still have the upper hand. Price is also holding above the rising trendline and the thick Volume Profile area around 407x, so for today’s session, I continue to prioritise BUY setups in line with the trend.
📰 Macro – News Context
After the U.S. government reopened, the market is preparing for a series of economic data today and tomorrow → both USD and Gold may experience strong volatility.
President Trump attacked Fed Chair Powell, calling him “stupid and incompetent,” saying he once wanted to fire him immediately but was stopped by advisors.
👉 Because of this, market sentiment is very sensitive: if data leans towards a rate-cut scenario, Gold could gain additional support.
📊 Technical – H1 with Fibonacci, Trendline & Volume Profile
Fibonacci 0.618: Price is holding at the 0.618 level of the latest downswing; if this level holds, the natural target will be the upper FVG + resistance zone 4120–4150.
H1 Uptrend Line: The trendline from the recent low is supporting price very well; each retest generates a bullish reaction → an ideal area to wait for BUY entries.
Volume Profile & Liquidity:
The 4075–4080 zone is Buy Liquidity — thick volume, lots of order flow → suitable as an entry point if price retests.
VAL ~4040 and the Support + FVG area around 4020 are the next defence zones if the market sweeps deeper.
Upside liquidity:
Past H1 FVG remains unfilled up to at least 4150, so if the bullish scenario plays out, Gold can easily extend into this zone.
🎯 Trading Scenarios (LiamTrading)
1️⃣ Primary Setup – BUY with Trend
Entry: 4078–4080 (trendline retest + strong volume cluster)
SL: 4073
TP: 4094 → 4120 → 4140 → 4175
💡 Notes:
Wait for a clean M5–M15 bullish reaction (long lower wick, pin bar, or bullish engulfing) around 4078–4080 before entering.
Once price moves ~1R in profit, move SL to breakeven for account protection.
2️⃣ Short-term Scalping Zones
Support – quick buys: 4048–4023 (VAL + lower FVG zone).
Resistance – quick sells: 4121–4151 (FVG + upper liquidity zone).
These are only for scalping, so:
Enter on smaller timeframes (M5–M15).
Take profits quickly, avoid holding through major news.
✅ Summary
Short-term trend: Bullish bias as long as price holds above the H1 trendline and the 0.618 zone.
Main plan: Wait for BUY at 4078–4080, targeting 4120 → 4140 → 4175.
So, what do you think — will Gold push straight to 4150, or will it sweep down toward 404x first?
👉 Share your view in the comments & Follow LiamTrading to get daily XAUUSD plans on TradingView.
XAUUSD – Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming on H4 💛 XAUUSD – Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming on H4 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone, Lana here again 💬
After a strong drop, Gold is forming a clear Head & Shoulders structure on the H4 timeframe, aligned with the long-term ascending trendline. This pattern suggests the possibility of a bullish move back toward previous highs — but price may still dip lower to complete the structure first.
💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
The Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder is gradually shaping around the trendline + supporting FVG.
The upper 50% Fibonacci area is a reasonable zone for the right shoulder to form. If price breaks above the neckline, it may head toward the major liquidity zone around 4200.
In the short term, the 4118–4120 zone serves as resistance + neckline, making it suitable for a technical Sell setup.
The 4040–4042 area aligns with the trendline + Order Block, forming a strong support zone for potential Buy entries if price makes a deeper correction.
🎯 Trading Plan (For Reference Only)
💢 SELL Scenario (scalping at resistance)
Sell: 4118–4120
Stop Loss: 4125
Take Profit: 4105 → 4086 → 4060 → 4040
💖 BUY Scenario (preferred with the main pattern)
Buy: 4042–4040
Stop Loss: 4034
Take Profit: 4075 → 4090 → 4100 → 4140 → 4200
⚠️ Important Notes
Trading based on patterns is always expectation-driven, so combine it with candlestick confirmation on smaller timeframes (M15–M30) before entering.
Upcoming FOMC Meeting and NFP report, especially after the long U.S. government shutdown period, may cause unpredictable volatility.
Reduce position size and avoid holding large trades during major news events.
🌷 Final Thoughts from LanaM2
The H4 Head & Shoulders pattern on Gold is offering attractive opportunities for both short-term Sells and trend-aligned Buys 💛
Stay patient, wait for price to reach the marked zones, follow your stop-loss rules, and avoid FOMO during high-impact news.
If you found this helpful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily Gold insights!
BTC Swing 8R reversal scenario....BTC moved as per our plan throughout last 10-15 days and crashed to ~ 90K levels, now it has reached to its critical level of reversal, which is weekly FVG CE area. Price has already shown change in delivery at 4H level. All these making it a really good contender for a long swing trade which may even lead to all time high.
1. Price has tested CE of weekly strong FVG and formed CISD at 4-hour level.
2. Now it is testing CISD imbalance area to form proper entry model…
3. We may wait for MSS to occur in this area in 15 minutes for more precise entries.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone.
6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Join me on live stream for real time update.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold on a downward trend, hitting ...💛 LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold on a downward trend, hitting strong support around 4005 🎯
Gold has plunged from its peak, currently “visiting” the 4005–3990 zone, where trendline + POC/OB + high liquidity converge. This is a zone where a technical rebound might occur, but the short-term trend remains bearish, so any BUY orders need to wait for clear confirmation.
🔍 Fundamental Analysis
Goldman Sachs forecasts that during 2025–2026, central banks will purchase an average of ~80 tons of gold per month, a significant driver that could push gold towards 4,900 USD/oz by the end of 2026.
This keeps the long-term trend of gold bullish, but in the short term, deep corrections like the current one are normal to “shake off” positions before big money returns.
📊 Technical Analysis
Current trend:
H1 is still in a short-term downtrend phase (lower high – lower low), with prices below the 4080–4100 resistance zone and below the nearest descending trendline.
Main support zones:
4005–3990: intersection of long-term rising trendline, POC – OB, old VAH/VAL zone → crucial support, potential for bottom-fishing buying force.
3975–3977: deeper support, coinciding with liquidity zone & recent low.
Key resistance zones:
4098–4100: confluence of resistance + trendline test → ideal zone to watch for SELL retracement.
Above is the cluster 4011 – 4053 – 4077 – 4098–4100 acting like “steps” for scalping orders.
Volume Profile:
Heavy trading volume around the 4000–4020 zone → prices tend to revisit this area multiple times before moving away.
🎯 Reference Trading Scenarios
SELL – following the downtrend (priority)
Entry: 4098–4100
SL: 4105
TP: 4082 → 4060 → 4035 → 4012
Price retraces to resistance + descending trendline.
Only trigger when M15–H1 shows clear rejection candles (pin bar/bearish engulfing) around 4098–4100.
BUY – catching the rebound at strong support
Entry: 3975–3977
SL: 3970
TP: 3995 → 4025 → 4050 → 4080
Confluence support zone at channel bottom + POC/OB + liquidity.
Only BUY when there is strong rejection or a clear reversal pattern (M15–H1).
⚠️ Price zones to watch for scalping
4011 – 4053 – 4077 – 3939
These zones are suitable for short scalps, prioritising the main trend (currently bearish), quick exits – do not hold positions too long.
🧠 Risks & Invalidations
H1 closes above 4105 → reduces SELL priority, wait for new structure.
H1 closes below 3970 → bad structure for BUY side, potential for further decline to lower zones.
Are you watching to BUY or SELL gold in this zone?
👉 Comment your perspective & Follow LiamTrading channel for daily XAUUSD plans.
XAUUSD – TWO MAIN SCENARIOS FOR THE DAY: MONITOR REACTION AT...💛 XAUUSD – TWO MAIN SCENARIOS FOR THE DAY: MONITOR REACTION AT TRENDLINE 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold is currently waiting at the H4 trendline, indicating the market is lacking volume to decide the next direction.
Although the price is adjusting after the drop from the 4,400 USD zone, the larger trend is still supported by strong buying flows from central banks.
💹 Market Context
According to Goldman Sachs, the current decline is only temporary, as the demand for gold as a safe haven asset remains strong:
US bond yields are falling
USD is weakening
The US economy is under pressure from unemployment and inflation
In September alone, central banks purchased 64 tonnes of gold, and forecasts suggest that November may continue this strong accumulation trend.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 If Gold breaks below the trendline → the market will trigger strong selling pressure, pulling back to the 395x zone, where there is low liquidity and important support.
📈 Conversely, if the price holds the trendline and volume pushes up, a short-term upward structure will form.
📌 The 4068 zone is a key level — if the price retests this area and falls back, Buy will only activate when it reaches 4034.
🎯 Reference Trading Scenarios
🔻 SELL – When breaking the trendline (priority if volume is strong)
Sell 4036–4038 │ SL: 4044
TP: 4010 → 3995 → 3970 → 3945
🔹 BUY – Strong support 395x
Buy 3952–3954 │ SL: 3957
TP: 3975 → 3995 → 4030
🔸 BUY maintaining trend (if price rebounds at 4068)
Buy at 4034 after confirmation signal
⚠️ Important Note
Volume is currently low, making the market prone to stop sweeps, so enter orders with small volume.
The larger trend is still supported by flows from central banks, but in the short term, Gold may fluctuate strongly around the trendline.
Prioritize trading based on price reactions at key zones rather than predicting direction in advance.
🌷Gold is in a sensitive phase at the H4 trendline 💛
If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to receive daily gold analysis ✨
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the start of the week – wait for price to retrace to the trendline & resistance for a perfect entry
Gold is experiencing a sharp decline amidst global market liquidity pressures. The simultaneous drop in gold, stocks, and Bitcoin indicates that capital is being withdrawn from risky assets and even safe havens, similar to tense periods like the 2008 crisis or the early 2020 pandemic. Investors are selling profitable assets to cover losses elsewhere.
In the long run, gold usually recovers sooner, but in the short term, the downtrend still prevails.
On H1, the price is below the descending trendline, under the 4100 resistance, and is moving in a clear Lower High – Lower Low structure. This is a good signal to continue prioritising SELL orders retracing to resistance.
🔍 Technical Analysis (Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci • Liquidity)
The descending trendline is the biggest barrier; each time the price hits the trendline, it is strongly rejected.
Main Resistance:
4098–4100: resistance area + confluence with the trendline.
4120–4130: stronger area if the price retraces deeply (close to Fibo 0.382).
Target Support:
4065: intermediate support – where the price has bounced slightly several times before.
4040 – 4025: large liquidity area – confluence with the H1 FVG bottom.
3985–3995: the end zone of the down wave if the selling force expands.
Liquidity Zone:
Many liquidity sweep bottoms continuously → indicates that the selling force still prevails.
The lower FVG area (around 4025–4040) is highly likely to be filled within the week.
📉 Trading Scenario (prioritise SELL retracement)
Scenario – SELL retracement to trendline + resistance (priority)
Entry: 4098–4100
SL: 4106
TP: 4088 → 4065 → 4040 → 4025
💡 Suggestion: Wait for M5–M15 to form a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) before executing the order.
When to BUY?
Only BUY if:
H1 closes above 4120, breaking the descending trendline → short-term trend phase change.
If this signal is not present → do not rush to buy against the trend.
⚠️ Important Note
The phenomenon of “selling everything to hold cash” may continue → gold may remain under pressure in the short term.
Which price range are you watching for today's session?
Comment below & Follow LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates!
XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN💛 XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold prices at the start of the week are mostly unchanged, the price structure on H4 remains the same, so Lana continues to maintain the old trading strategy.
Currently, gold is weakly reacting around the medium-term resistance area, not strong enough to break through – but also no clear reversal signals.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 Prices are moving within a narrow range between key liquidity zones:
Zone 4138–4140 is the near resistance, where the market has repeatedly reacted with declines.
Zone 4200 coincides with confluence fibo + descending trendline – strong resistance.
Zone 3990–3988 is important support, also a lower liquidity area, suitable for technical rebound Buy.
Market liquidity is weak, as shown by the pin bars and narrowing range.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💢 SELL (priority on correction rhythm)
4138–4140 | SL: 4146 | TP: 4120 → 4105 → 4089
4200 | SL: 4212 | TP: 4185 → 4160 → 4133
💖 BUY (strong support)
3990–3988 | SL: 3984 | TP: 4002 → 4032 → 4060
⚠️ Market Insight (Macro Insight)
Gold declines simultaneously with US stocks and Bitcoin, indicating a lack of liquidity across the market.
This behaviour is common during phases like:
Financial Crisis 2008
Early pandemic panic 2020
Investors are forced to sell even profitable assets to cover losses, causing gold – despite being a safe haven asset – to also decline. This reflects a strong increase in cash demand and widespread fear.
🌷 Conclusion with LanaM2
Gold is moving within a tight range and is heavily dependent on liquidity 💛
If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold analysis ✨
Gold/XAUSSD weekly analysis and possible sell/buy scenarios....Currently gold is showing pressure and generating sell signals. There are multiple sell opportunities developed in Gold in different time frames. And we can anticipate couple of opportunities out of these will trigger. Gold has already created CISD on HTF and tested daily FVG and changed delivery and showing down fall in price. There is already one sell scenario executed. And we can see few more in coming week.
1. Price has already changed delivery in daily time frame and tasted daily FVG and price is falling now.
2. Currently price is holding at daily FVG and we may see slight pull back around the levels of 424152 & 4205 and then further fall till ~3888 level.
3. We can see another higher probability sell scenario at 4300 level if aforementioned levels are breached.
4. RSI is also showing sell side pressure, giving another confluence.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1h/15m) at FVG zone.
7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~10R trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Join me on live stream for real time update.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BTC Weekly analysis and sell/Buy scenarios....BTC moved as per our plan throughout last week more than 13K points so far, and still in down trend. Price is continuously creating BOSs and moving toward our target of 90K. Meanwhile during sniper delivery, it has created some pull back zones, which can be tested before reaching to our target. So we have few possible multi RnR trades scenarios before seeing possible reversal.
1. Sniper deliver is already done and price is pulling back slowly.
2. We may see possible pullback sell trade opportunity around 100K and 103.5k levels.
3. RSI is also showing sell side pressure, giving another confluence.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone.
6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~7R trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to...LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to explode, waiting for a breakout to choose direction!
Gold is moving close to the lower trendline of the upward channel, indicating an accumulation state – waiting to choose direction. The price hasn't broken the 4210 resistance zone, but neither has it breached the trendline, so today's fluctuation will revolve around this structure.
If the buying force is strong enough and closes the H1 candle above 4210, the upward trend will be reactivated with a broader target. Conversely, if the price breaks below the trendline, gold may decline to the POC area according to Volume Profile/Fibonacci around 4126–4130, where signals to buy again according to the main trend will be prioritized.
🔍 Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci)
H1 Upward Channel: Price is testing the trendline for the second time → a pullback bounce may appear if the selling force is weak.
Strong Resistance:
4210: hard resistance – needs to break to confirm the rise.
4230: extended area, coinciding with the channel peak – likely to have a strong reaction.
Important Support:
4174: intermediate support; breaking this level will trigger a short-term decline.
4126–4130: POC + large liquidity according to Volume Profile – the best buying area if a deep correction occurs.
Market Sign: Weak candle force in the 4180–4190 area indicates gold is waiting for USD information before breaking direction.
📈 Daily Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy according to trend (priority)
Entry: 4126–4128 (POC + Volume Profile support)
SL: 4120
TP: 4140 → 4156 → 4180 → 4198
Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle or reversal pattern at 412x.
Scenario 2 – Sell when breaking trendline (counter-trend)
Condition: H1 breaks below trendline + failed retest
Entry: 4174–4176
SL: 4182
TP: 4150 → 4135 → 4110
Note: Only sell when there is a confirmation candle; this is a short-term surfing order.
Scenario 3 – Buy when breaking and holding above 4210 (Break & Retest)
Entry: 4212–4216
SL: 4202
TP: 4230 → 4260 → 4285
🌍 Macro Analysis – USD under pressure from new tariff plans
President Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on goods from many Latin American countries (beef, bananas, coffee…).
Objective: reduce domestic food prices, lower import costs.
This could weaken the USD when officially announced → gold benefits in the medium term.
⚠️ Invalidation Condition
H1 closes below 4120 → losing upward structure, may slide to 4090–4100.
H1 closes above 4230 → cancel all sell orders, prioritize buying according to breakout.
Which price area are you observing?
Please comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
Axis bank is forming a good buy scenario.Axis Bank is in slow selling for weeks after a strong rally and now forming a bullish scenario.
It is taking reversal from protection trendline and braking out bearish trendline.
It is also taking support from daily order block.
it is also taking rejection from 21 EMA
All other Higher duration EMAs are synced in upside direction.
Rejection point is forming a cluster of multiple parameters .
All these in combination making it an attractive buying scenario....
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Kotak buying scenario........Kotak Mahindra Bank is forming a wonderful scenario in buying side. It is ranging between trend lines for long time and now taking a reversal after a pullback. Below conditions are reflecting the situation of smart money to jump in…….
1. After pullback it is respecting cluster of 50/100 and 200 SMA and formed a rejection candle.
2. There is a daily FVG nested in OB, which is also being respected.
3. RSI is also at mid-level and showing a reversal..
4. We may see some choppy kind of situation for few days and later breakout.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
Weekly analysis BTC with 4R trade ideaLast weeks’ trade has performed well and already moved ~15K points and still going on. Further to this week analysis, we expect good reversal trade from the zone of 89700 to 90385. Still we have ~11k points movement pending to reach to this level. Price would be showing weakness in sell side and reversal pattern. We should patiently wait for entry model and confirmation as price is in sell side.
1. 1D FVG and wick is creating strong cluster of their relevant CE levels.
2. We would see exaction in sell side movement and reversal pattern.
3. RSI will also show oversold or bearish divergence on HTF.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
5. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1H/15m) at FVG zone.
6. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~4R trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
,
GOLD TRADING INSIGHTS TODAY WITH LUCYGOLD TRADING INSIGHTS TODAY WITH LUCY 💛
Hello everyone 🌸
The gold market (XAUUSD) today is showing many interesting signals as the price continues to test the crucial trendline area. Traders' sentiment is quite cautious at the moment – both buyers and sellers are “squaring off” around the liquidity balance zone.
🔍 Technical Analysis
On the chart, gold is moving within a narrowing triangle price channel – this indicates momentum is accumulating, and when the price breaks in either direction, the subsequent volatility will be very strong ⚡
Currently, the price is reacting around the main trendline, but there is no clear breakout signal yet.
In my personal view, the probability of a decline remains higher, however, further confirmation is needed before entering a trade.
The important point to note is the support area at 3965, which is the key boundary to confirm a clear downtrend.
If the price breaks through this area, the possibility of extending towards the Fibonacci 2.618 area around 3890 is entirely possible.
⚙️ Price Levels to Watch
Currently, the 3990 – 4012 area is short-term resistance, where sellers may reappear.
Meanwhile, the 3965 – 3945 – 3920 areas are the main supports that need close observation.
If the price continues to hold above 3945, the likelihood of a short-term rebound is quite high.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenario
💼 Buy: 3945
⛔ SL: 3938
🎯 TP: 3958 – 3977 – 3992 – 4012
💼 Sell: When the price clearly breaks below support 3965
⛔ SL: Above the breakout area
🎯 Expected TP: extending towards the Fibonacci 2.618 area around 3890
I still prefer to observe the price reaction at the trendline area, and only act when there is clear confirmation — because in a triangle pattern, the patient one will always be the winner 🌙
⚠️ Note & Conclusion
The above analysis reflects only Lucy's personal perspective, based on Trendline – Fibonacci – ICT factors 📊
This is not investment advice.
Please share your views on gold in the comments section 💬
And don't forget to follow Lucy for daily updates on insightful analyses —
where technical analysis merges with market emotions 💫🌸
GOLD CONFIRMS SHORT-TERM DECLINE AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINEXAUUSD – GOLD CONFIRMS SHORT-TERM DECLINE AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINE
🪞 1. Overview
🌤️ In the Asian session this morning, gold broke the upward trendline even though the selling pressure wasn't particularly strong.
However, this is the first signal indicating that the short-term trend is leaning towards the sellers.
💬 Currently, the 3996 level is a significant resistance, and the price might retest this area before continuing to decline.
If the price surpasses the FVG at 4007, the trend might temporarily rebound in the short term.
💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
🔸 Market structure: After breaking the trend, the structure temporarily shifts to short-term bearish.
🔸 Liquidity & FVG: Liquidity is drawn to the 3960–3940 area, while FVG 4007 is the first barrier.
🔸 Order Flow: Smart Money may lightly sweep up to the resistance area before pushing the price further down.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios
💔 MAIN SELL
Entry: 3996 | SL: 4004
TP: 3985 – 3972 – 3948
💢 SELL scalping
Entry: 4007 | SL: 4014
TP: 3998 – 3978
💖 REACTIVE BUY
Entry: 3965 | SL: 3957
TP: 3976 – 3988 – 3999
🌸 DEEP BUY
Entry: 3941 | SL: 3931
TP: 3955 – 3968 – 3988 – 4012 – 4066
🔍 4. Price Levels to Note
✨ 4007 → FVG resistance, short-term trend confirmation area
✨ 3996 → Retest area of the broken trendline
✨ 3965 – 3941 → Strong support area, likely to see reversal reactions
💬 5. Notes & Call for Interaction
⚠️ This is not an investment recommendation, but merely a personal technical perspective following the ICT method.
Observe the price reaction around the trendline carefully before making a decision 💭
If you find this post helpful, please 💛 like – 💬 leave a comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2
to stay updated with daily gold insights and learn more about the Smart Money Concept 🌷✨
Is EUR/USD Setting Up for a Massive Bullish Move?My EUR/USD analysis is a multi-timeframe forecast focusing on key institutional levels. The daily chart provides a long-term perspective, showing the pair in a consolidation phase after a significant downtrend. I've identified a very powerful sell zone from 2020 that represents a major historical resistance level. I expect sellers to enter the market if the price re-approaches this area.
On the 4-hour chart, the focus shifts to the immediate price action. The pair is currently in a tight consolidating range. My strategy is to wait patiently for a clear breakout from this range. I have identified a Green Order Block (OB) and a Buyer Liquidity zone below the current price. My primary thesis is that the price may drop to these levels to grab liquidity before a larger move upwards.
I've outlined two potential bullish scenarios, both of which target the major sell zone. The first (blue arrow) involves a drop to the buyer liquidity zone before the rally, while the second (white arrow) predicts a more direct breakout. A key part of my plan is to look for confirmation on a lower timeframe, such as a change of character, before entering a long position.
In essence, my analysis is a road map for a potential long trade, but it emphasizes patience, confirmation, and a rule-based approach. The core idea is to follow institutional footprints by targeting liquidity zones and trading with the expected direction of smart money. I will not enter a trade until my specific breakout criteria are met, ensuring a high-probability setup.
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based Analysis🗓️ Date Range: IPDA Range (June 9 – July 4, 2025)
This chart is built using ICT methodology focusing on market structure, liquidity, PD arrays, and smart money price delivery.
🧠 Narrative Breakdown:
✅ IPDA Range is defined from June 9 to July 4 (20 trading days), providing the valid high and low to map premium/discount.
✅ A Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirms the intent to shift bearish after internal liquidity was swept.
✅ Price ran the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) and rejected from the Daily Rejection Block (RB.D) and CISD + IPDA S.D., indicating institutional selling interest.
✅ The recent rally into the premium zone failed to close above BSL, showing weakness and potential continuation to the downside.
🎯 Key Points:
BSL Swept above internal range.
RB.D + CISD + IPDA S.D.: Price rejected from these confluences.
Current Bias: Bearish until 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 are met (internal sell-side liquidity).
Extended Target: 2,993.69 — external liquidity resting below the May low.
DOL marked inside the range suggests smart money is engineering price toward sell-side targets.
⚒️ Tools Used:
IPDA Range (20D)
MSS / BoS
Rejection Block (RB.D)
CISD + IFVG
PD Arrays (BSL, IDM, DOL)
📌 Summary:
This is a classic Sell Model within a defined IPDA range. Liquidity was swept, price rejected from premium, and now seeks inefficiencies + sell-side liquidity.
🧠 Wait for price action confirmations on lower timeframes (1H/15M) near PD arrays to engage.
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based AnalysisThis chart reflects a detailed breakdown of Gold using Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concepts on the daily timeframe.
🧠 Key Highlights:
Break of Structure (BoS) and Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirm bearish intent.
Price recently delivered a strong displacement to the downside, breaking through the prior IDM low and forming a clean MSS.
The price has rejected from the Daily Bearish Imbalance (BISI D) and Refined Breaker Block (RB.D) — acting as a key supply zone.
Confluence of Liquidity and Imbalance:
Internal liquidity has been swept from equal highs.
Bearish rebalancing observed in the CISD + IPDA S.D. zone.
Next probable draw on liquidity sits near the 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 PD arrays.
Ultimate downside target marked around 2,993.69, aligned with a previous BMS + DOL zone.
🛠 Tools Applied:
PD Arrays: BISI, RB, FVG, SIBI
Liquidity Zones: IDM, DOL, IPDA S.D.
Price Action: MSS, Displacement, and Retracement Concepts
📌 Bias: Bearish
📌 Narrative: Liquidity has been engineered above highs; current price action seeks sell-side liquidity and inefficiencies beneath recent lows.
XAUUSD Intraday Liquidity Flow – Key Intraday Triggers
If price breaks the current low and forms a new low during the NYC session, wait patiently for a Market Structure Shift (MSS) before entering.
Daily High (DH) is not tested yet – potential target for price.
If change in direction with good displacement (forming FVGs): Consider taking profit at Daily High (DH).
OANDA:XAUUSD






















