Gold Surges Ahead of FOMC – Big Moves Coming!📈 Gold Unexpectedly Surges Ahead of FOMC Data – Prepare for Major Volatility 🚀
🔍 Market Overview
After a sharp 60-pip drop at the market open, gold made an unexpected recovery yesterday. Currently, on the H1 chart, price is approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci level, but the reaction here seems weak.
If sellers do not step in with enough strength, gold could continue rising toward the 0.786 Fibonacci zone at 2769 - 2771, where we need to observe price action carefully before entering trades. A key trendline resistance marks the highest barrier in this range.
💡 Key Market Influences:
Asian Bank Holiday (Lunar New Year): Liquidity will be significantly lower today, which may lead to a tighter price range in the Asian and early European sessions.
FOMC Data Release Tonight: The market will closely watch the statements from Fed Chairman Powell, as they could have a major impact on USD (DXY) and set the long-term direction for gold.
📊 Trading Strategy
During the Asian and European sessions, gold may maintain a bullish bias. Look for early BUY opportunities if the price holds around 2763 - 2765.
Wait for clear signals from FOMC before committing to strong positions during the US session.
💡 Intraday Trading Plan
BUY SCALP: 2755 - 2753
SL: 2750
TP: 2760 - 2763 - 2766 - 2770 - ????
BUY ZONE: 2743 - 2741
SL: 2736
TP: 2748 - 2752 - 2755 - 2760 - 2765 - 2770
SELL SCALP: 2771 - 2773
SL: 2776
TP: 2766 - 2762 - 2758 - 2752 - 2748 - 2745
SELL ZONE: 2785 - 2787
SL: 2792
TP: 2783 - 2780 - 2776 - 2772 - 2768 - 2765
⚠️ Important Notes
🔹 Low liquidity in the market could lead to unexpected price swings.
🔹 Be cautious with trades ahead of the FOMC release, as it will determine the next move for USD (DXY) and gold.
🔹 AD’s View: Gold may continue rising before dropping sharply if the FOMC releases statements favoring USD. However, price action confirmation is crucial before entering trades.
👉 Always follow TP/SL to protect your capital and maximize profits!
📢 Take Action Now!
👉 Follow KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade for expert market analysis and high-probability trading strategies! 🚀
👉 Share your thoughts and comment on gold’s expected movement today! 💰
India
GOLD CONSOLIDATES POST-FOMC – IS A BIG MOVE COMING?🌍 MARKET OVERVIEW
🔹 The FOMC has kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25% - 4.5%, aligning with market expectations. This signals a cautious stance from the Fed, as they require more economic data before making further policy adjustments.
🔹 The outlook for the USD remains optimistic, as policymakers are not hinting at early rate cuts. This could apply pressure on gold in the coming days.
🔹 Gold's price action has remained relatively stable post-FOMC, as the news was already priced in, and Asian liquidity remains low due to ongoing holiday celebrations.
💡 Key Market Insights:
Price is likely to stay in a tight range between 2765 - 2755 during the Asian and early European sessions.
If price breaks out of this range, follow the momentum for the next directional move.
📊 KEY PRICE LEVELS
🔴 Key Resistance Levels:
▫️ 2764 - 2771 - 2778 - 2784
🟢 Key Support Levels:
▫️ 2754 - 2749 - 2741 - 2733 - 2719
💡 TRADING STRATEGY
📌 BUY SCALP
🔹 Entry: 2742 - 2740
🔹 SL: 2736
🔹 TP: 2745 - 2749 - 2753 - 2757 - 2760
📌 BUY ZONE
🔹 Entry: 2733 - 2731
🔹 SL: 2727
🔹 TP: 2736 - 2739 - 2742 - 2745 - 2750 - 2755 - ????
📌 SELL SCALP
🔹 Entry: 2770 - 2772
🔹 SL: 2776
🔹 TP: 2766 - 2762 - 2758 - 2753 - 2750
📌 SELL ZONE
🔹 Entry: 2783 - 2785
🔹 SL: 2789
🔹 TP: 2780 - 2777 - 2774 - 2770 - 2765
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES
📌 Watch for breakout: If price breaks out of the 2765 - 2755 range, trade in the breakout direction to maximize profits.
📌 Low liquidity in the Asian session: Be cautious of potential price manipulations and fake moves due to thin liquidity post-holiday.
📌 Protect your capital: Always follow TP/SL rules to avoid unnecessary risks and market manipulation.
📢 DON’T MISS OUT!
👉 Follow KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade for expert market insights and high-probability trade setups! 🚀
👉 Which direction do you think gold will break? Drop a comment below and let’s discuss! 💬📈
Liquidity Crisis Drives Gold Down: Seize the Market Opportunity🔍 Market Overview
Gold prices dropped more than 1% amidst a strong sell-off in the global market, driven primarily by the decline in global stock markets rather than just interest rates or currency movements.
This sell-off is tied to liquidity issues, as gold is being sold alongside other risk assets, reflecting a minor liquidity crisis.
💡 Key News:
Fed Policy Meeting (29/01): Policymakers are expected to maintain current interest rates, but all eyes will be on signals regarding future decisions.
Trump’s Tariff Policies: His actions could fuel inflation, creating additional volatility for USD and gold.
📊 Technical Analysis & Strategy Summary
Yesterday’s analysis played out perfectly, with the market aligning with predictions. Clear corrections delivered 400 PIPS profit from the daily plan and nearly 1,000 PIPS from PREMIUM_SIGNAL.
Today, focus remains on retracement waves to find key SELL opportunities at resistance zones.
💡 Trading Strategies
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 2749 - 2751
SL: 2755
TP: 2745 - 2743 - 2740 - 2735 - 2730
SELL ZONE:
Entry: 2760 - 2762
SL: 2766
TP: 2756 - 2752 - 2748 - 2742 - 2735 - 2730
BUY SCALP:
Entry: 2732 - 2730
SL: 2725
TP: 2735 - 2738 - 2742 - 2746 - 2750
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 2719 - 2717
SL: 2713
TP: 2723 - 2726 - 2730 - 2735 - 2740 - 2746
⚠️ Important Notes
Wide price range: Recent days have seen broad ranges, like yesterday’s 60-point swing, so trade cautiously.
Risk management: Always adhere to Take-Profit (TP) and Stop-Loss (SL) levels to safeguard your account.
📢 Take Action Now!
👉 Follow KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade to get daily market insights and winning strategies! 🚀
👉 Wishing you successful trades and profitable sessions ahead! 💰
Gold’s Weekly Start: Price Gap Sparks Key Trading Opportunities📉 Daily Plan for XAUUSD: Gold Opens the Week with a Price Gap
🔍 Market Overview
As anticipated in last week's analysis, the market opened this Monday with a price gap (GAP) due to the strong selling pressure seen late last week. The gap spans approximately 5 points, with gold dropping from $2,770 to $2,764.9.
This movement aligns with previous views that gold has revisited its all-time high, where significant sell orders awaited, resulting in a dominant SELL momentum at this level. Confirmed reversal patterns are now visible on H4, H2, and H1 timeframes.
📊 Technical Insights
Current Price Range:
Gold is fluctuating between $2,773 and $2,756, forming a temporary range of about 17 points. This range is expected to hold during the Asian and European sessions unless disrupted by key market data later in the week.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zones:
$2,786 - $2,784 (Major Resistance)
$2,778 - $2,772 (Short-Term Resistance)
Support Zones:
$2,759 - $2,761 (Immediate Support)
$2,750 - $2,745 - $2,735 (Stronger Support Zones)
Market Behavior:
If price remains below $2,773, SELL momentum will likely dominate.
A breakout above this level will invalidate short-term sell strategies, prompting the need to wait for higher entries.
Sideways movement may persist due to lower liquidity during the Asian session.
💡 Trading Strategy Ideas
BUY ZONE: $2,746 - $2,744
Stop-Loss: $2,740
Take-Profit: $2,750 - $2,754 - $2,757 - $2,760
BUY SCALP: $2,759 - $2,757
Stop-Loss: $2,753
Take-Profit: $2,763 - $2,765 - $2,768 - $2,771
SELL ZONE: $2,784 - $2,786
Stop-Loss: $2,790
Take-Profit: $2,780 - $2,776 - $2,772 - $2,768 - $2,764
SELL SCALP: $2,772 - $2,774
Stop-Loss: $2,778
Take-Profit: $2,768 - $2,765 - $2,760 - $2,756 - $2,750
⚠️ Important Notes:
Market Liquidity: The Asian session lacks liquidity today, which could cause erratic price movements.
Risk Management: Always set Take-Profit (TP) and Stop-Loss (SL) levels to safeguard your account during volatile conditions.
📢 What’s Your Take?
Do you think gold will break below its current range or consolidate for a bigger move?
👉 Follow KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade for more in-depth market insights and daily trading plans! 🚀
Gold Hits Record Highs: Is a Reversal Looming?Gold Returns to All-Time High: Is a Major Correction on the Horizon?
🔍 Strong Reaction at Historical Highs
Gold has returned to its all-time high zone, and as it touched this level, prices have seen a significant reaction, dropping $20 to around $2,770.
On the H4 timeframe, candles show strong selling pressure at the highs, signaling a potential deeper correction. As the market opens next week (Monday), there is a high likelihood of a GAP (price gap) forming on smaller timeframes due to the current momentum.
📊 Technical and Fundamental Insights
Double Top Formation:
Gold shows signs of forming a Double Top pattern at its historical peak.
Combined with technical signals, this suggests a possible short-term corrective wave.
Crucial News from FED and Trump:
Next week, the market anticipates critical updates from the Federal Reserve (FED) regarding interest rate policies.
President Trump’s fiscal and monetary policy announcements could also drive significant volatility in gold prices.
Low Liquidity Conditions:
With many Asian nations entering their Lunar New Year holidays, market liquidity is expected to decline, potentially leading to heightened volatility.
🌟 Price Behavior Analysis
Based on insights from DXY, SWAP CHARGE, and FVG analyses:
DXY Weakness: While DXY's weakness supports gold, heavy selling pressure near the highs indicates a possible corrective phase.
SWAP CHARGE Shifts: The shift from buying to selling suggests that selling pressure is currently dominant, supporting the likelihood of a gold correction.
💡 Key Levels to Watch Next Week
Resistance:
$2,786 - $2,790: This is the previous all-time high and a critical resistance level. A breakout above this zone could trigger a stronger bullish trend.
Support:
$2,758 - $2,735 - $2,718 - $2,694: These are the major support zones to monitor in case of a deeper correction.
📢 Conclusion:
Given the current dynamics, gold appears poised for a potential correction after testing its all-time highs. This aligns with technical signals and fundamental developments. Traders should closely monitor key levels and upcoming announcements from the FED and President Trump to stay ahead of market movements.
👉 Follow KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade for more in-depth analysis and market updates! 🚀
Gold’s Liquidity Gap: Bearish Signals Align with Market Shifts🔍 Insights from FVG (Fair Value Gaps):
The chart highlights key Fair Value Gaps (FVG) – liquidity voids that price tends to revisit and fill.
FVG acts as a magnet: Prices often retrace to these zones to rebalance liquidity.
Currently, gold is trading near the strong resistance level of $2,786, which could trigger a significant correction.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
Major Resistance Zone:
$2,786 - $2,790: This is a strong resistance area where a reversal is highly probable if selling pressure dominates.
Important FVG Zones:
$2,728 - $2,683: Price is likely to revisit this zone to fill the liquidity gap.
$2,580: If selling pressure persists, this zone will be the next target.
🔄 Market Behavior and SWAP CHARGE Alignment:
SWAP CHARGE shifting from buying to selling:
This is a strong indicator that selling volume is gaining dominance, aligning with the likelihood of price retracing to lower FVG levels.
Formation of a bearish trend:
Failure to break the $2,786 resistance and potential retracement toward lower FVG zones reinforce the expectation of a bearish cycle.
💡 Conclusion:
Forecast: Given the current market behavior and SWAP CHARGE data, it is highly likely that gold prices will correct toward lower FVG zones such as $2,728, $2,683, and even $2,647.
Trading Strategy Tips:
Closely monitor price reactions at major resistance levels before entering trades.
Use the FVG zones as key targets when the bearish trend is confirmed.
👉 Reminder:
Always set your TP/SL levels to protect your account and manage risks in this volatile market.
📢 Follow KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade for more in-depth analysis and effective trading strategies! 🚀
GOLD: Will a Pullback Follow This Rally?📊 Technical Analysis Recap:
Following yesterday’s analysis, our market outlook remains on point, delivering a 100-pip profit from our BUY signal. While there have been minor pullbacks, they’ve not been significant enough to break the market’s bullish structure. Our weekly plan has aligned perfectly with the arrows plotted on the chart.
🔍 Key Market Insights for Today:
The higher timeframe remains bullish, with GOLD nearing critical resistance levels that may signal a potential strong pullback as the week closes.
GOLD continues to trade within an ascending channel, with additional BUY opportunities marked on the chart (dashed lines).
⚡️ Key News Events:
Today features the release of Flash Manufacturing PMI and Flash Services PMI data. While not major drivers, being the final trading day of the week, these events could trigger 30-35 points of volatility.
Keep an eye on potential spikes toward upper resistance levels, which could set the stage for a significant pullback. For now, we continue to focus on the bullish trend, with updates to come during the European and U.S. sessions.
📈 Key Resistance Levels:
🟥 2774 - 2782 - 2788
📉 Key Support Levels:
🟩 2754 - 2745 - 2736 - 2724
🎯 Suggested Trading Strategies:
🟢 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 2745 - 2743
SL: 2739
TP: 2748 - 2751 - 2755 - 2760
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 2738 - 2736
SL: 2732
TP: 2742 - 2746 - 2750 - 2755 - 2760
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 2774 - 2776
SL: 2780
TP: 2770 - 2766 - 2762 - 2758 - 2752
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 2788 - 2790
SL: 2795
TP: 2785 - 2782 - 2778 - 2772 - 2766 - 2760
⚠️ Important Notes:
📌 Trade Carefully: Volatility may spike during the week’s closing sessions.
📌 Watch for Reversals: Look for signs of significant corrections near key resistance levels.
👉 Stay tuned for real-time updates during the European and U.S. sessions!
💬 Share your thoughts in the comments!
📢 Follow KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade for daily insights, actionable strategies, and precise trade setups. Let’s conquer the market together! 🚀
Gold Hits 3-Month High Amid Uncertainty 🌍 Market Update:
Gold surged to its highest level in nearly three months on Wednesday, January 22, trading just below its record high. The rally is driven by:
✨ Key Drivers:
💵 Weak USD: The USD Index hit a 3-week low, making gold more attractive for non-USD holders.
📉 Policy Uncertainty: Lack of clarity on Trump’s trade and economic policies supports gold as a safe-haven asset.
🔍 Trump’s Speech Insight:
During the inauguration, no clear economic or tariff policies were announced, hinting at strategic priorities. This fuels USD correction and strengthens gold. However, a pro-USD statement could trigger a sharp reversal, so stay cautious.
📈 Market Sentiment:
🟢 Bullish Trend: Gold remains strong but approaches critical resistance levels on D1 and H4.
❗ Caution: Avoid selling until reversal patterns or strong bearish signals emerge.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 🟥 2764 - 2774 - 2788
Support: 🟩 2745 - 2725 - 2715 - 2705
🎯 Trading Plan for XAUUSD:
🟢 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 2746 - 2744
SL: 2740
TP: 2750 - 2754 - 2758 - 2762
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 2726 - 2724
SL: 2720
TP: 2730 - 2735 - 2740 - 2750
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 2774 - 2776
SL: 2780
TP: 2770 - 2767 - 2763 - 2760
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 2786 - 2788
SL: 2793
TP: 2782 - 2779 - 2775 - 2770
⚠️ Reminder:
📌 Trump’s critical speech today may affect monetary policies and gold prices.
📌 Always follow TP/SL rules to protect your account during high volatility.
👉 What’s your view on gold this week?
💬 Share your thoughts in the comments below!
📢 Follow KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade for daily insights, strategies, and precise trade setups! Together, we conquer the market! 🚀
Trump’s Trade Policy: Market Reactions and Gold’s Momentum🌍 Key Updates:
Last night, President Donald Trump announced during a press conference:
"I will impose a 10% tariff on China for fentanyl shipments transported via Canada and Mexico, effective February 1."
This tariff rate is lower than the 60% he mentioned during his campaign, which has led to a positive reaction in financial markets.
📊 Market Reactions:
Global Stock Markets:
US and Asian stock indices recorded strong gains following the announcement.
Futures markets are also trending upward.
Gold Performance:
Gold rallied strongly last night, as expected, and continues to gain bullish momentum.
Currently trading around $2,745 - $2,747, with the primary strategy being BUY on dips during corrections.
💡 XAUUSD Trading Plan:
BUY ZONE: $2,726 - $2,724
SL: $2,720
TP: $2,730 - $2,734 - $2,738 - $2,744 - ????
SELL SCALP: $2,754 - $2,756
SL: $2,760
TP: $2,750 - $2,747 - $2,743 - $2,740
SELL ZONE: $2,780 - $2,782
SL: $2,785
TP: $2,775 - $2,770 - $2,765 - $2,760 - ????
Current Market Sentiment:
Looking at the current candlestick momentum, there are no signs of weakness or reversal in this zone or nearby levels. However, unexpected statements from President Trump could trigger sudden volatility. With current price action, gold may retest its previous highs, but the range remains challenging for trading. Stay aligned with the main trend and monitor updates frequently.
⚠️ Reminder:
Stick to the primary strategy of BUY on dips, as the market shows strong bullish sentiment. Always set Take-Profit (TP) and Stop-Loss (SL) to manage risks effectively.
🤔 What’s Your View?
Will gold retest its previous high of $2,788 and climb to new peaks this week?
👉 Leave a comment and follow KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade for more insights and trading strategies! 🚀
USD WEAKENS, GOLD RALLIES ON TRUMP'S INAUGURATION🌍 Market Overview:
President Donald Trump’s inauguration today has drawn significant global attention.
The USD continues to weaken amid concerns over new trade and fiscal policies.
Gold reacted strongly, rising more than 0.3% to surpass $2,710/ounce.
🔸 Factors Driving Gold’s Rally:
Weak USD: The DXY index dropped to a near two-month low, providing strong support for gold.
Trump’s Policy Stance: Mixed expectations on the new fiscal and trade policies are fueling demand for safe-haven assets.
Risk Sentiment: Investors are turning to gold to hedge against potential volatility during this political transition.
📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis:
Key Support Levels:
$2,696 - $2,690: Serves as the nearest support zone in case of a correction.
Key Resistance Levels:
$2,723 - $2,725: A short-term target.
$2,745 - $2,747: The next target if the bullish trend continues.
$2,760 - $2,762
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
BUY SCALP: 2712 - 2710
SL : 2706
TP : 2716 - 2720 - 2724
BUY ZONE: 2696 - 2694
SL : 2690
TP : 2700 - 2704 - 2710 - 2716 - ????
SELL SCALP: 2744 - 2746
SL : 2750
TP : 2740 - 2736 - 2730 - 2724 - ????
SELL ZONE: 2760 - 2762
SL : 2766
TP : 2755 - 2750 - 2745 - 2740 - ????
⚠️ Reminder:
Always set Take-Profit (TP) and Stop-Loss (SL) levels to protect your account and ensure safety in volatile markets.
🤔 What’s your view on gold’s movement this week?
👉 Follow me for more insights and to stay ahead of market trends with KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade! 🚀
👉 Leave a comment and follow for more updates from KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade! 🚀
Sensex: Double Bottom BrokenThe Sensex has broken the double bottom support at 77,575, signaling a bearish breakdown structure. The next key level to watch is 76,000, which is now on the radar for potential testing.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Is TATASTEEL Trading At A Fair Valuation?NSE:TATASTEEL has been falling since 185 rupees and has reached about 50% retracement level today from the last swing. Though this stock is in surveillance as the PE is above 50, But also considering the PB of less than 2 and other similar factors, It may not be that bad after-all.
Technically speaking, The stock is trading at an RSI of about 30 on daily, and there is a bullish divergence on hourly chart.
There is a doubt in my head due to the new Virus news sentiments. If it goes to 120, It would be trading around 61.8% retracement which would be an ideal buy for me. Currently I am tracking this stock and considering an early buy at 132-133 range.
~ Trading Idea by Dr. Sagar Bansal via @jyotibansalanalysis
Can 2025 Be A Reversal For INDUSINDBK?NSE:INDUSINDBK has been falling since 1700 rupees and is all the way down about 50% from the last swing low. Recently the bank has shown a short term crash like structure where a Divergence build-up usually results in a reversal.
The 61.8% level which is considered a good retracement level is still far below at 780. But considering the current sharp fall, the divergence buildup, and 50% retracement, it might not be a bad idea to enter an early buy position.
Currently the major challenge for this bank is 1000 level which is somehow acting as a psychological resistance. 925 can be a hard stop with reconsideration of second buy at 780.
~ Trading Idea by Dr. Sagar Bansal via @jyotibansalanalysis
Happy New Year 2025 – A Year of Trading Success with TraderRahul🎉 Happy New Year 2025, Traders/Investors! 🚀
As we step into 2025, let’s take a moment to reflect on the incredible journey we’ve shared in the trading world. From insightful discussions to valuable chart ideas, the growth we’ve experienced as a community is inspiring.
"The stock market rewards those who are patient, disciplined, and willing to learn."
This year, let’s focus on:
✅ Analyzing trends with clarity,
✅ Learning from every trade, win or lose, and
✅ Supporting each other to grow as traders.
My Goals as a Moderator
As your TradingView moderator, I’m committed to:
Keeping our community positive and insightful.
Encouraging the sharing of high-quality trading ideas.
Ensuring this platform remains a space for genuine growth and collaboration.
Thank you for being part of this journey with me, TraderRahulPal. Together, let’s make 2025 a year of learning, success, and positivity!
Wishing you all a Happy, Healthy, and Profitable New Year! 🎊
Let’s trade smart, stay strong, and aim high.
Warm regards,
Rahul Pal
Moderator | TraderRahulPal
ntpc green great opportunity fundamental analysis NSE:NTPCGREEN
conclusion:
NTPC Green is a stock with high growth potential
With increasing investments in the renewable energy sector
and government support, this company can perform quite cmp:144.13
well in the future. Current pe: 352
Price to sales:61.9
Roe:6.20
Roce:7.60
You can see that the company's various ratios indicate that it is significantly overvalued compared to its peers in the sector
We can see that the company's P/E ratio is very high and the price-to-sales ratio is 61.9, which is abnormal
We can assume that the company has high growth potential and is backed by a strong parent company. However, the current market valuation seems to be anticipating future earnings
"Additionally, we can see that the company's ROE and ROCE are quite low. This could be due to factors like heavy capital expenditure or a debt burden. However, the situation might improve in the future, and we could see the company's ROE and ROCE grow."
"Yes, the company has high growth potential, but a valuation of 1.23 lakh crore for a company with 4000 crore rupees in revenue doesn't seem justified. However, due to its high growth potential, NTPC Green has received such a high valuation."
max profit minimum time opportunity (value investing)Entry Price: The entry price should be between ₹3700 and ₹3900.
Target Price: ₹5910 (35% upside potential)
Sell Signal
between -10 and -15
Hold Signa
ranges between -10 and 10
Strong Buy Signal
exceeds 10
sector - gold and jewelry
NSE:SKYGOLD
:Sky Gold Limited is engaged in the business of designing, manufacturing, and marketing gold jewellery
:The company has reputed clients like Malabar Gold, Joyalukkas, Senco , Khazana Jewellers, Khimji, Kalyan Jewellers, GRT, Istaara etc.
The company's previous financial reports indicate continuous and strong sales growth
The quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) average sales growth in the last four quarter is 30%, while the year-on-year (YoY) average sales growth over the past two years stands at 46%. Additionally, the company has consistently improved its profit margins on a YoY basis.
The company's EPS has also shown remarkable growth alongside its profit and sales. In the financial year 2022-23E PS grew by 9%, followed by an impressive 76% growth in 2023-24. In the current financial year, EPS growth has reached 96%
peer base valuation
The company's P/B ratio appears undervalued compared to top peers. However, many of its peers are outperforming it in terms of P/B ratio performance.
The company's P/E ratio is significantly higher than the industry average but considerably lower compared to the major players in the industry.
Its EPS growth in the previous quarter has been the highest among its peers.
The company's sales growth is also the highest in the industry,
its EV/EBITDA is much lower than that of market leaders.
Additionally, the company's ROE is better than many peers in the industry, although it still lags behind the industry leader's ROE.
:share holding changes
The company's promoters have been continuously reducing their stake since the September quarter of the previous year. Their holding, which was 73.55% in September 2023, has dropped significantly to 58.24% by October 2024, which is a concerning trend.
On the other hand, FIIs, which held 0% in September 2023, have steadily increased their stake over the last four quarters to 1.38%. Additionally, DIIs have acquired a 6.31% stake in the recent period, indicating strong trust from major investors, which is a positive sign for the company.
estimate for q3
Recently, several news portals have reported that 46 lakh weddings are expected to take place in India during November and December. Given that gold accessories are heavily purchased during Indian weddings, the upcoming quarter could be highly favorable for the gold sector.
This presents a significant opportunity for the company to expand its market. However, it is important to note that the company primarily focuses on lightweight jewelry, while heavier jewelry is typically preferred for weddings.
That said, the company's B2B business model, which involves selling jewelry to stores and online platforms that further sell to end consumers, provides growth in this high-demand period.
Ujjivan Small Finance Bank to Go up in Mid Term and Long TermUjjivan Small Finance Bank has crossed its resistance trendline. Considering the fundamentals, the bank may struggle in mid term but a uptrend following the breakout is very likely in the near future.
Monthly Stochastic RSI also suggests that the stock is oversold right now, which indicates a reversal in a few months.
Can a Corporate Titan Withstand the Tremors of Allegations?In the high-stakes arena of global business, few narratives captivate the imagination quite like the meteoric rise and sudden turbulence of an economic powerhouse. The Adani Group once celebrated as a paragon of Indian entrepreneurial success, now finds itself navigating treacherous waters of legal scrutiny and market skepticism. What began as a remarkable journey of a diamond trader turned infrastructure magnate has transformed into a complex tale of ambition, power, and potential corporate misconduct that challenges our understanding of success in the modern economic landscape.
The allegations against Gautam Adani—ranging from securities fraud to a purported massive bribery scheme—represent more than just a corporate challenge; they symbolize a pivotal moment of reckoning for corporate governance in emerging markets. With U.S. prosecutors indicting Adani and a damaging report by Hindenburg Research accusing the group of "the largest con in corporate history," the conglomerate has witnessed a staggering $68 billion evaporation of market value. This precipitous fall from grace serves as a stark reminder that even the most seemingly invincible corporate empires can be vulnerable to the harsh light of forensic scrutiny and legal investigation.
The unfolding saga transcends the individual narrative of Gautam Adani, touching upon broader themes of economic development, political connections, and the delicate balance between entrepreneurial ambition and ethical conduct. As the Adani Group confronts these unprecedented challenges, the world watches with bated breath, understanding that the outcome will not merely determine the fate of one business empire, but potentially reshape perceptions of India's economic credibility on the global stage. The resilience, transparency, and response of the Adani Group in the face of these allegations will serve as a critical case study in corporate accountability and the complex interplay between business, politics, and regulatory oversight.
Ultimately, this narrative invites us to reflect on the fundamental principles of corporate integrity and the thin line between visionary entrepreneurship and potential systemic manipulation. As investors, policymakers, and global observers, we are compelled to ask: Can reputation, built over decades, withstand the seismic tremors of serious allegations? The Adani Group's journey offers a compelling, real-time exploration of this profound question, challenging our assumptions about success, power, and the intricate mechanisms that govern global business ecosystems.
Biggest IPO of INDIA Hyundai Motor : Risk factorsThe Hyundai Motor India Limited IPO, which commenced on Tuesday, October 15, 2024, is generating considerable buzz. The public issue closes on Thursday, October 17, 2024, making tomorrow the final day for subscription. As of the second day, the IPO has achieved a 42% subscription rate (based on BSE data). Let's delve deeper.
Key Highlights of the IPO:
Launch Date: October 15, 2024
Closing Date: October 17, 2024
Current Subscription (Day 2): 42% (BSE data)
Significance: Largest IPO in India to date, surpassing the LIC IPO
IPO Type: Entirely an "Offer for Sale" (OFS)
Understanding the Offer for Sale (OFS)
Nature of OFS: Existing shareholders, including founders, promoters, or board members, are selling their shares to the public.
Lack of Fresh Funds: The IPO is not raising new capital for growth or expansion. No new shares are being issued.
Questions to Consider:
Why is the company opting for a complete OFS instead of issuing new shares for growth? What does this suggest about the company's future plans?
What are the implications for future company expansion and innovation?
Concerns Over High Dividend Payouts:
Dividend Payouts: 178% in March 2024 and 229% in March 2023.
Possible Implications: While high dividends suggest strong profitability, they also raise concerns about the company's reinvestment strategy. Are profits being prioritized for shareholder payouts rather than business growth?
What This Might Mean for Investors:
Are current shareholders primarily looking to maximize profits from high dividends before offloading shares?
How does this dividend strategy impact the long-term sustainability and growth potential of the company?
Important Considerations
Before investing, carefully consider:
Thorough Research: Analyze the company's financial statements, strategic plans, and competitive landscape.
Risk Assessment: Evaluate the potential risks associated with the OFS structure and the high dividend payout history.
Investment Goals: Ensure the investment aligns with your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Final Thoughts:
The Hyundai Motor India IPO presents a investment opportunity, but it also carries inherent risks. The high dividend payouts and the OFS structure warrant careful scrutiny. Investors should conduct thorough due diligence and make informed decisions before participating. The impending deadline adds another layer of complexity, underscoring the need for a well-considered approach.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not intended as a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
Swing Trading Idea :: 02The daily chart forms a cup and handle pattern. The stock has recently made a higher high with volume buildup, a significant technical milestone, This indicates the potential for sustained upward momentum, especially as volume supported the breakout.
The stock could face psychological resistance around INR 2000. If momentum continues and the stock decisively breaks above INR 2000, a further target could be set around historical levels.
For a stop-loss level, consider placing it slightly below the retest level.
These levels can be adjusted based on risk tolerance and evolving market conditions.
Disclaimer: The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or any other types of advice or recommendations.