EURUSD stays defensive within a short-term bearish chart pattern after recovering from the Year-To-Date (YTD) low in the last two consecutive days. The corrective bounce also crossed a two-week-long falling resistance line and gains support from the bullish MACD signals, as well as the upbeat RSI (14) conditions, to suggest the Euro pair’s further advances....
BankNifty Analysis BankNifty had a similar chart pattern as that of Nifty. An opening gap-up of 272pts ~ 0.6% and then a 2nd leg of rally from 10.30 of 279pts ~ 0.63%. The only difference I saw was that after the day’s high was hit - BankNifty started falling gradually whereas Nifty went flat. Tomorrow’s RBI MPC outcome at 10.00 might be interesting. We would...
EURUSD pares weekly losses ahead of the key inflation data from the Eurozone and the US. In doing so, the Euro pair rebounds from horizontal support comprising lows marked since November 2022, around 1.0485-80, as the RSI (14) takes a U-turn from the oversold territory. The same joins the looming bull cross on the MACD to direct the pair towards the nine-month-old...
AUDUSD breaks a three-week-old rising support line even as Australia’s Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) matches upbeat market forecasts for August with 5.2% YoY figures. The trend line breakdown joins bearish MACD signals to keep the Aussie pair sellers hopeful. However, the RSI (14) line is approaching the oversold territory and hence suggests a limited room...
GBPUSD stays depressed at the six-month low even as bears struggle with a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since early February. Also challenging the downside bias is the oversold RSI (14) line. With this, a corrective bounce toward May’s bottom of around 1.2310 can be witnessed. However, the 200-SMA on the daily chart, around 1.2435 at the...
USDJPY stays defensive at an 11-month high, losing upside momentum after a three-week winning streak, as market players await this week’s key Japan inflation data, as well as the US Durable Goods Orders. Also, sluggish RSI (14) line and MACD signals add restrictions to moves and challenge the Yen pair buyers. Furthermore, a rising wedge bearish chart formation...
EURUSD fades bounce off an ascending support line stretched from early January as market players brace for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcements on Wednesday. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) line is nearly oversold and the MACD flags bull cross, which in turn favors the Euro pair’s sustained trading beyond the stated support...
USDCAD stays pressured at the lowest level in a month after breaking a six-week-old horizontal support. Adding strength to the downside bias is the Loonie pair’s sustained trading below the 200-SMA. However, the nearly oversold RSI (14) line and sluggish MACD signals prod the bears, which in turn highlights a two-month-old ascending support line, close to 1.3430...
EURUSD braces for the first weekly gain in nine as markets await the key European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate announcement. In doing so, the Euro pair extends the previous week’s rebound from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of March-July upside, near 1.0680 by the press time. The corrective bounce also gains support from a looming bull cross on the MACD...
Gold Price again prods the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support, after failing to break the same during late August, within a 2.5-month-old falling wedge bullish chart formation. The sluggish MACD signals and a downward-sloping RSI (14), not oversold, also favor the XAUUSD bears in breaking the 200-EMA support of around $1,910, which in turn will allow...
USDJPY begins the week on a negative note while extending a downside gap during the early hours of Monday. Adding strength to the bearish bias about the Yen pair are the concerns about the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) exit from the ultra-loose monetary policy easing and a five-week-old rising wedge bearish chart pattern. It should be noted, however, that multiple...
Gold price appears well set to print the first weekly loss in three as it defends the previous Friday’s U-turn from a key resistance line below the important Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). However, the 50-EMA pierces the 200-EMA from below and prints a “Golden Cross” bullish moving average crossover suggesting a corrective bounce in prices. Additionally, the...
EURUSD extends recovery from the 200-DMA, as well as an upside break of a fortnight-old descending resistance line, as markets await the Eurozone inflation data and the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge, namely the US Core PCE Price Index. That said, the looming bull cross on the MACD and upbeat RSI (14), not overbought, also keep the Euro buyers hopeful. However, a...
GBPUSD remains on the back foot while justifying a downside break of a 5.5-month-old rising support line and the 100-SMA. Also keeping the Cable bears hopeful are the bearish MACD signals. However, the nearly oversold RSI conditions suggest limited room towards the south, which in turn highlights the 200-SMA level of around 1.2400 as the key support. It’s worth...
USDJPY again flirts with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the October 2022 to January 2023 downturn within a five-month-long bullish channel. Though, the overbought RSI (14) and looming bear cross on the MACD signal pullback of the Yen pair. That said, the tops marked in late June and early July join the 21-DMA to highlight the 144.60-50 zone as a short-term key...
AUDUSD bears ran out of steam during the sixth week of the downtrend by positing the slimmest losses since mid-July. Even so, the Aussie pair faded bounce off a downward-sloping support line from early March, not to forget staying beneath a six-week-long descending resistance line. It’s worth noting that the nearly oversold RSI and the impending bull cross on the...
After the trades on Friday, I modified my stance to 100% bearish. What other boon could I ask for when we had the opening 5mts better than expected? “The first target to take out will be the recent swing low of 19296. The next support comes at 19190.’ As soon as 19300 was taken out in the 2nd candle, my conviction for a bear rally was growing. But that did not...
A bullish triangle joins Thursday’s rebound to lure GBPUSD buyers as markets await the first estimates of the UK Q2 GDP. However, fears of recession and the 1.2815-25 resistance confluence restrict Cable prices. That said, a convergence of the 100-SMA and top line of a six-week-old descending triangle together constitute the 1.2800-05 key hurdle for the buyers....