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Astral Ltd – Strong Base, High ExpectationsNSE:ASTRAL 🔹 Fundamental Overview Business Profile: Astral is a leading player in India’s building materials sector, engaged in manufacturing pipes, fittings, adhesives, and bathware products with a strong brand presence and pan-India distribution. Financial Strength: The company maintains an exceptionally strong balance sheet with very low debt (Debt/Equity ~0.04), reflecting conservative financial management. Profitability: Delivers ROE around 14 % and ROA near 10 %, demonstrating healthy operational efficiency. Valuation: The stock trades at a premium valuation with a P/E near 80× and P/B above 10×, indicating high investor confidence and growth expectations. Growth Trend: Revenue and profit growth have been modest recently, with single-digit YoY expansion amid a slower construction cycle. Strengths: Industry leadership, strong brand recall, product diversification (plumbing to adhesives), and debt-free operations. Risks: Elevated valuation levels, cyclical exposure to real estate and construction demand, and potential margin pressure from input cost fluctuations. 🔹 Technical Overview Trend Direction: Long-term structure remains bullish, with the stock trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Momentum: RSI around 55, showing neutral momentum — neither overbought nor oversold. Trend Strength: ADX near 18 suggests a weak trend phase; stock may be consolidating before the next directional move. Support Levels: ₹1,420 – ₹1,430 range offers strong support for accumulation. Resistance Levels: ₹1,475 – ₹1,490 is a crucial breakout zone; a close above this range can trigger a fresh rally. 🔹 Investor Takeaway Outlook: Astral combines a debt-free balance sheet, premium brand positioning, and steady market dominance—making it a high-quality compounder in the construction materials space. Investment Horizon: Ideal for long-term investors (2–5 years) seeking exposure to India’s infrastructure and housing growth themes. Risk Profile: Moderate to high—strong company, but entry should be disciplined due to high valuation. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:ASTRALLong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
Graphite India: Sparking the Next Electrode UpswingNSE:GRAPHITE Company snapshot India’s largest graphite electrode manufacturer; also produces specialty graphite, impervious graphite equipment, GRP pipes and high-speed steel. Capacity of ~98,000 TPA across plants at Durgapur and Nashik; Germany plant closed. Utilisation stood at ~83% in FY25. Investing in advanced carbon technologies; announced ~25,000 TPA capacity expansion (~123,000 TPA target). Market context Rising share of electric-arc-furnace (EAF) steel globally supports electrode demand. US anti-dumping duty (~93.5%) on Chinese graphite improves non-Chinese producers’ competitive positioning. Valuation & stock stats (Oct 2025) Share price ~₹625; 52-week range ~₹365–₹638. Market cap ~₹122 billion; P/E ~34; P/B ~2.1; dividend yield ~1.8%. Peer: HEG and other electrode-cycle players. Key fundamentals Q1 FY26 results: Total income ~₹789 crore; PAT ~₹145 crore; EBITDA ~₹200 crore. Business mix (FY25): Graphite & Carbon ~89%; Steel ~9%; Others ~2%. Ownership: Promoters ~65% (no pledge); FIIs ~6.6%; MFs ~7.5%; DIIs ~9.6%. Capacity & capex Base electrode capacity ~98,000 TPA; plan to expand by ~25,000 TPA. Expansion capex ~₹600–650 crore; timeline yet to be fully disclosed. Technical view Trend: Price is above 200-day moving average (~₹559); near 52-week high. Support zone: ~₹480–₹510–₹546. Resistance/breakout zone: ~₹630–₹640. Strategy: Positive momentum; consider buying on dips with support around ₹540. Actionable watch-points Electrode price trends and needle-coke spread (core margin driver). Execution of the ~25,000 TPA expansion—schedule, funding, payback. EAF steel cycle developments in India and globally. Policy/anti-dumping updates impacting Chinese graphite supply. Capital allocation: capex vs dividend, progress in advanced carbon tech. Key risks Slowdown in EAF steel or electrode demand; sharp rise in raw-material (needle coke) costs. Reversal of favourable trade or tariff policies. Expansion delays or weaker‐than‐expected product mix shift to lower margin grades. Stance Fundamental: Strong balance sheet, favorable cycle exposure, expansion potential. Technical: Bullish bias ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:GRAPHITELong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
Kirloskar Oil Engines - Swing TradeKirloskar Oil Engines Limited - Technical Analysis Report Current Market Price: 1,005.70 MARKET BIAS: BULLISH RECOVERY IN PROGRESS Kirloskar Oil Engines is currently trading at 1,005.70, showing signs of bottoming out after a significant correction from its all-time highs of ₹1,450+. The stock is now forming a potential reversal pattern. KEY TECHNICAL OBSERVATIONS: 1. Major Support Zone - HOLDING STRONG ✅ The stock has found solid support in the 900-950 zone, which coincides with: - Multiple moving average convergence (EMA 20/50/100/200) - Previous resistance-turned-support from mid-2025 - Psychological round number support at 900 The price has bounced decisively from this zone, suggesting accumulation by institutional investors. 2. Consolidation Rectangle Pattern (Daily/Weekly) A clear *rectangular consolidation box* : - Upper Range: 1,016 - 1,050 - Lower Range: 900 - 950 This sideways movement indicates Distribution completion and potential energy buildup for the next directional move. All major EMAs are converging in the 890-910 zone, creating a strong support cluster. TARGET ANALYSIS: Immediate Resistance Targets: Target 1: 1,180 - 1,200 (First Major Resistance) - Previous consolidation high from December 2025 - 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the recent decline Target 2: 1,334 (Secondary Target) - Major swing high marked on weekly chart - Psychological resistance zone Target 3: 1,450 (Extended Target) - Previous all-time high zone - Final resistance before new highs Critical Support Levels: - 1,000: Immediate psychological support - 900-920: MAJOR SUPPORT (EMA cluster + pattern base) BULLISH BREAKOUT (Higher Probability - 65%)** CONCLUSION: Kirloskar Oil Engines is at a Critical juncture with strong technical setup favoring a Bullish breakout. The stock has: - ✅ Successfully held major support zones - ✅ Maintained position above all key moving averages - ✅ Formed higher lows indicating accumulation - ✅ Built a strong base for the next upward move Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
NSE:KIRLOSENGLong
by earnwhileulearn
Long Term Buy #GMRCurrent market Price: ₹153.35 Key Technical Analysis Points "Major Breakout Achievement" The stock has successfully broken out of a 16-year resistance level around ₹101.73, which had been a significant barrier since the 2009 highs. Previous ATH : ₹111.17 - Target 1: ₹125.86 - Target 2: ₹153.35 Key support : ₹101.73 (former resistance, now support) **Long-term Pattern**: The chart shows a classic long-term consolidation pattern from 2009-2023, followed by a strong breakout and retracement that successfully held above the breakout level. Conservative Trader can Initiate buy above ₹101.73 Breakout. The stock experienced significant highs around 2009-2010, followed by a prolonged bear market and consolidation phase lasting over a decade. The recent breakout suggests a potential new bull cycle for the airport infrastructure company.
NSE:GMRAIRPORTLong
by earnwhileulearn
SchaefflerInd - Technical Analysis#Schaeffler India - Technical Analysis Report Current Price: 4,141.10 / Prev ATH @4951. Trade Setup Overview Basic Dow Theory : Stock is making Higher High - Higher Low by Breaking previous ATH decisively and stock is down to strong Demand Zone for retracement. Stock is in consolidation before breaking previous ATH & currently forming Flag & Pole Pattern. Entry on breakout above resistance 4,200-4,300 Conservative Stop Loss at 3,800 | Tight SL near 4,000 Tgt 1: 4,602 Tgt 2: 4,776 Tgt 3: 5,026 Grand Flag & Pole Target: 5,495. Technical Highlights: - Trend Reversal confirmed by breaking previous High on May 2025 around 2,800 - Price consolidating after strong recovery rally - Trading above key moving averages - Breakout above 4,300 resistance could trigger momentum toward 4,600 / 5495 Risk-Reward: Favorable R:R with potential 11-33% upside vs 3-8% downside to stop loss levels.
NSE:SCHAEFFLERLong
by earnwhileulearn
RUSTOMJEE: Structure Shift Pending Structure overview Price has completed a corrective downswing into a high-probability demand cluster marked as the Wave C completion zone 539–551 , aligning with prior structure support and the recent change‑of‑character (ChoCH) retest. The preceding upswing from May formed an impulsive leg (A), followed by a three‑leg pullback (a‑b‑c) that is now basing near the green box. The broader thesis is a potential transition from correction to the next advancing leg (C) if the stock holds above the invalidation band and reclaims the upper boundary of the box with expanding volume. Key levels Buy zone: 551–539 (staggered entries). Trigger confirmation: Daily close above 573–575 (ChoCH shelf) and then 588–590 (range high) to open momentum. Targets: T1 597–605 (gap/structure), T2 654–675 (swing supply), Primary target 754–777 (projected Wave‑C completion). Invalidation/Stop: Day close below 510–512 cancels the bullish swing; expect deeper retest into 481–441 if violated. Momentum and pattern notes The decline into 539–551 shows slowing downside and overlapping candles, consistent with completion of wave c. A higher low above 539 followed by a break of 588 would confirm a trend inflection. Volume expansion on green days near 560–575 will strengthen the reversal case; weak bounce with fading volume would argue for more range before lift‑off. Trade plan (cash/swing) Entry 1: Accumulate small size within 551–539 with a tight stop under 535 intraday and core stop on day close below 510–512. Entry 2 (confirmation): Add on a daily close above 573–575; raise stop to 545. Entry 3 (breakout): Add on strong close above 588–590 with volume; trail under the breakout bar low. Exits: Scale 30–40% at 597–605, another 30% around 654–675, and ride the rest toward 754–777 with a weekly trailing stop under higher lows. Option tactics (if applicable) Bull call spread when cash closes above 575: buy near‑ATM call, sell +80 to +120 OTM to reduce theta and cap risk. Consider a calendar call around 560 if expecting a slower grind higher. Exit or roll if the stock loses 575 on a closing basis after entry. Risk management Position sizing: Risk a fixed fraction of equity (0.5–1%) based on the 510–512 invalidation; avoid adding if price threatens the stop. Respect daily/weekly closes for decisions; intraday spikes are common near base zones. If the stock closes below 510–512, step aside and wait for a fresh base closer to 481–441. Prediction Base‑case scenario favors a swing advance from 551–539 toward 597–605, then 654–675 within 2–6 weeks, with the potential to extend into 754–777 if 590 holds post‑breakout and market breadth supports. Failure to reclaim 575–590 quickly would likely keep the stock range‑bound between 551 and 590 before the next directional move. Disclaimer: This post is for education only and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy/sell securities; I am not a SEBI registered analyst .
NSE:RUSTOMJEELong
by LiveTradingBox
Aurobindo Pharma – Strong Core, Next Growth AheadNSE:AUROPHARMA 🔹 Fundamental Overview Aurobindo Pharma is a diversified, integrated pharmaceutical company with a strong presence in generics, APIs, and specialty formulations, operating across over 150 countries. Market Capitalization: Around ₹65,000 crore—a large-cap pharma player with stable earnings visibility. Valuation: Trades at a P/E of about 18–19× and P/B near 2×, making it fairly valued compared to peers. Profitability: Return on Equity (ROE) around 10–11% and Net Profit Margin near 10%, reflecting steady but moderate profitability. Balance Sheet Strength: Low leverage with Debt-to-Equity ratio of roughly 0.25, highlighting financial discipline. Growth Trend: Revenues and earnings have shown consistent moderate growth, with recent improvement in operating margins driven by cost control and new product launches. Dividend Policy: Low dividend payout; management prioritizes reinvestment and expansion. Strengths: vertically integrated model, global footprint, diversified product portfolio, and strong R&D capabilities. Risks: Regulatory scrutiny (especially in the USFDA space), pricing pressure in generic markets, and raw material cost volatility. 🔹 Technical Overview Trend Direction: The stock maintains a bullish to neutral bias, trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, showing medium-term strength. Momentum: RSI near 55–60, suggesting balanced momentum without overbought signs. Trend Strength: ADX around 30 indicates a healthy ongoing trend; MACD remains in positive territory, supporting upward bias. Support Levels: Strong base between ₹1,030 and ₹1,070, ideal zone for accumulation. Resistance Levels: Key resistance lies around ₹1,120 – ₹1,150; a breakout above this range may trigger sustained upside. Long-Term Projection: On a 3–5-year horizon, strong fundamentals and sector growth could drive price toward ₹2,500+. Risk Management: Maintain stop-loss near ₹1,000 to safeguard capital; trail stops as price advances beyond ₹1,200. 🔹 Investor Takeaway Outlook: Aurobindo Pharma combines financial stability, diversified revenue, and steady earnings visibility—well-positioned for long-term growth. Strategy: Accumulate on dips near support zones and add on breakouts above ₹1,150 with confirmation. Investment Horizon: Suitable for investors seeking medium-to-long-term exposure (1–5 years) in India’s resilient pharmaceutical sector. Risk Profile: Moderate—best for investors comfortable with regulatory and currency-related volatilities. ======================== ======================== ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:AUROPHARMALong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC-Built to Compound, Poised to BreakoutNSE:ABSLAMC 🔹 Fundamental Overview Business Strength—One of India’s leading asset management companies, part of the Aditya Birla Group; operates across mutual funds, PMS, and AIF segments. Financial Health – Debt-free balance sheet with excellent profitability and high cash reserves. Profitability Metrics – ROE around 28%, ROA near 25%, and net margins above 50%, indicating strong operational efficiency. Growth Trend – Revenue and net profit are both growing at ~20–25% YoY, supported by rising AUM and stable fee income. Valuation—Trades near 24× P/E and 6–7× P/B; premium valuation justified by brand strength and consistency, but limits margin of safety. Dividend Policy – Moderate yield (~1.5–1.7%) with regular payouts; good for long-term income seekers. Key Positives—Strong parentage, scalable business, high ROE, and steady market share gains. Key Risks—Market-linked revenues, fee compression risk, and competition from passive products and fintechs. 🔹 Technical Overview Trend Bias—The long-term trend remains bullish, with the price comfortably above the 50-DMA (₹838) and 200-DMA (₹748). Momentum – RSI around 55–60, neutral to mildly positive; no overbought signs. Trend Strength – ADX below 20 shows consolidation; potential for trend expansion if volume picks up. Crucial Support Zone – ₹ 815 – ₹ 830; strong base for accumulation. Resistance Zone – ₹ 854 – ₹ 860; a breakout above this range may trigger a sustained rally. Long-Term Projection – 2,500+++ possible over 3–5 years in favorable market conditions. Risk Control – Maintain stop-loss below ₹ 810 for long positions; trail profits once above ₹ 900. 🔹 Investor Takeaway Outlook—Fundamentally robust, financially sound, and technically poised for breakout after consolidation. Strategy—Ideal for gradual accumulation on dips and adding on confirmed breakouts above ₹ 860. Time Horizon – Best suited for 1–5 year investors seeking stable compounding from a high-quality financial business. ======================== ======================== ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:ABSLAMCLong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
3
JIOFin Good to keep on RadarNSE:JIOFIN JioFin has been Consolidating for long time; it's good to keep on radar as we are expecting BO soon ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:JIOFINLong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
Cholafin Long - Investment Ideas & AnalysisTechnical Analysis : Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Co. Ltd. Current Price: 1,610.30 Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis Weekly Timeframe Pattern The stock has formed a **Cup and Handle** pattern on the weekly chart, which is traditionally considered a bullish continuation pattern. This pattern suggests potential accumulation and a possible breakout scenario. Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily chart, a * *Bullish Pennant* * formation has developed, indicating consolidation after a strong upward move. This pattern typically suggests continuation of the prior trend once a breakout occurs. Key Technical Levels Fibonacci Retracement Levels: - 0 Level: ₹1,491.20 - 0.5 Level: ₹1,567.70 (approximate support zone) - 0.618 Level: ₹1,595.45 (golden ratio support) - 1 Level: ₹1,644.20 - 1.272 Level: ₹1,685.80 - 1.414 Level: ₹1,707.55 Current Price Action: The stock is trading near ₹1,610.30, positioned between the 0.618 and 1.0 Fibonacci levels, suggesting a mid-range consolidation zone. Upside Targets If the bullish patterns play out and the stock breaks above recent resistance: - **Primary Target:** Based on the Fibonacci extension, the measured move suggests potential toward ₹1,685-₹1,708 range - **Pattern Target:** The Cup and Handle height projection aligns with Fibonacci extension levels Support Analysis - **Immediate Support:** ₹1,595-₹1,600 zone (0.618 Fibonacci level) - **Strong Support:** ₹1,567 region (0.5 Fibonacci level) - **Major Support:** ₹1,491 (pattern base/0 level) With Nifty made a Bounce back and if the rally continues, adds advantage for the stock to break previous resistance." This highlights the **correlation with broader market sentiment** (Nifty index), suggesting the stock's performance may be influenced by overall market conditions. Swing Trading Perspective For short-term traders, the Cup and Handle height provides a **measured move target**. However, confirmation of breakout above resistance with volume would be essential before entry. **Disclaimer:** This is a technical analysis based on chart patterns and historical price action. This is not financial advice. Traders should conduct their own research, consider risk management strategies, and consult with financial advisors before making trading decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
NSE:CHOLAFINLong
by earnwhileulearn
1
Naukri’s Edge: Classified Growth with Startup OptionalityNSE:NAUKRI 🔹 Fundamentals Core biz: Naukri (recruitment), 99acres (real estate), Shiksha/iimjobs (education), Jeevansathi. Q1 FY26 results: Revenue: ₹791 Cr (+17% YoY, +5.5% QoQ). Billings: ₹644 Cr (+11% YoY). PAT: ₹343 Cr (+32% YoY, –26% QoQ). Operating margin ~34%. Balance sheet: Debt-free, large investments (Zomato/PolicyBazaar >₹30,000 Cr). Valuation: P/E ~85–90×; P/B ~2.6×; ROE ~4%; Dividend yield ~0.4%. 🔹 Growth Drivers Hiring recovery → higher Naukri ad spend. 99acres scaling & cash positive. Premium HR SaaS & product monetisation. Value unlocking from investments. 🔹 Risks Dependence on recruitment cycle. Stock valuation sensitive to Zomato/PolicyBazaar. Competition (LinkedIn, job portals, property sites). Execution risk in new verticals. 🔹 Technicals (Weekly Chart) CMP: ₹1,398.5. Resistance: ₹1,432 (horizontal + trendline). Breakout signal: Weekly close >₹1,432 with strong volume. Targets: ₹1,550 (T1), ₹1,750 (T2). Support: ₹1,360 (short-term), ₹1,300–1,250 (strong zone). Stop loss: Weekly close <₹1,360. 🔹 Outlook (3 yrs) Base case: Revenue CAGR 12–18%, margin expansion. Bull case: 20%+ CAGR + portfolio upside. Bear case: Single-digit growth if hiring slows. 🔹 Bottom Line Investor view: Quality market leader + investment optionality. Action: Watch for a breakout >₹1,432 with volume for entry; else accumulate on dips near ₹1,300–1,250 with disciplined sizing. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:NAUKRILong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
Hitech Pipes Long 📊 Hi-Tech Pipes Ltd (NSE: HITECH) – Weekly Technical Analysis The stock has witnessed a prolonged downtrend from its highs and recently formed a strong bullish reversal candle, signaling a potential short-term trend reversal. Key indicators are also turning positive, supporting the possibility of an upward move. 🔎 Technical Observations Price Action: After a steep fall from ~₹140 levels, the stock took support near ₹88–90. A strong green weekly candle has appeared with good momentum, suggesting renewed buying interest. RSI has bounced from oversold territory, indicating strength. MACD has shown a bullish crossover, with the histogram turning green, confirming momentum shift. The recent bullish candle was backed by higher-than-average volume, a sign of accumulation. 📌 Trading Plan Entry Zone: ₹95 – ₹102 Stop-Loss: ₹88 (weekly close basis) Target 1: ₹110 – ₹115 Target 2: ₹125 – ₹130 Target 3: ₹140 – ₹145 ⚠️ Key Notes Sustaining above ₹115 with strong volume will be crucial for further upside. Since the broader trend is still weak, treat this as a pullback rally until the stock closes above ₹130+. Booking partial profits at each target level is advised to protect gains. 📢 Conclusion Hi-Tech Pipes Ltd is showing early signs of a reversal after a long decline. The combination of price action, momentum indicators, and support zone bounce makes it an attractive short-term opportunity. However, strict stop-loss management is necessary given the prior downtrend.
NSE:HITECHLong
by earnwhileulearn
Hindware - Keep On WatchCMP 200 on 22.04.25 The stock price has dropped more than 60% since August 2023. This time, it has been consolidating in a narrow range for the last two months. If it gives a move upside after this consolidation, we may see the price of 245,345 or even more. One should buy wisely in the range of 200-180, keeping the stop loss levels in mind. If it sustains below 175, the setup will show weakness. Keep the position size according to the risk management. All these illustrations are only for learning and sharing purposes, not a buy or sell recommendation in any way. It is only for paper trading. All the best.
NSE:HINDWAREAPLong
by anandlive
2
Zyduslife - Near Breakout LevelsCMP 1013.85 on 07.09.25 All important levels are mentioned on the chart. For a year, the level of 1030 has been acting as a resistance zone. The price has formed a Cup & handle pattern. Presently nearing the level of breakout. If it sustains above 1030, it will gain strength. If it sustains below 980-970, the setup will weaken, and the exit plan should be exercised. Possible targets are 1120/1170+. All these illustrations are only for educational and sharing purposes. It should not be considered as a buy or sell recommendation. All the best.
NSE:ZYDUSLIFELong
by anandlive
D-Link India: Riding the 5G & Digital India Wave NSE:DLINKINDIA 📊 D-Link (India) Ltd – Technical & Fundamental Analysis 🔹 Technical Analysis Trend Structure Stock rallied from ~₹360 to ~₹590 and is currently in a corrective phase. Presently trading around ₹476.55. Fibonacci Retracement Price is hovering near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (₹473.85). Next key retracement support: 0.618 level (₹446.55). Indicates the stock is at a critical support zone after a healthy pullback. Volume Action The correction is happening on low volumes (dry pullback). Suggests lack of strong selling conviction. Support & Resistance Levels Support: ₹470 (Fib 0.5) and ₹446 (Fib 0.618). Resistance: ₹520 (recent swing high) and ₹590 (previous top). Technical View Current price action reflects consolidation after a rally. Sustainability above 470–446 zone will be important for future direction. ==================================== ==================================== 🔹 Fundamental Analysis Business Overview Subsidiary of D-Link Corporation, Taiwan. Operates in networking solutions: routers, switches, Wi-Fi systems, surveillance equipment. Serves consumer, SME, and enterprise markets. Financial Position Revenue: Stable growth supported by IT demand. Margins: Moderate (~6–8%) but consistent. Balance Sheet: Debt-free and cash-rich. Returns: ROE/ROCE in the range of ~15–20%. Industry Drivers 5G rollout in India → boosts demand for networking gear. Digital India & Smart Cities projects → infrastructure demand. Work-from-home & hybrid culture → sustained Wi-Fi/router demand. Enterprise IT upgrades → strong B2B demand. Strengths Global brand recognition. Expanding market presence in India. Strong cash reserves, no debt. Risks Intense competition (TP-Link, Cisco, Netgear). Import dependency → currency fluctuations affect costs. Technology cycles → rapid product obsolescence. 🔹 Future Growth Prospects 5G & Fiberization: Rising network infrastructure requirements. IoT & Smart Homes: Increasing adoption of connected devices and Wi-Fi mesh solutions. Government Push: Smart City & Digital India initiatives driving demand for surveillance and enterprise networks. Enterprise Growth: SMEs and corporates upgrading IT networks post-pandemic. 🔹 Investor-Friendly Summary Technically: Stock is undergoing a healthy pullback at a critical Fibonacci zone (0.5–0.618). Low volume suggests limited aggressive selling. Fundamentally: Strong brand, debt-free, positioned to benefit from digital infrastructure growth. Risks include competition and currency fluctuations. Future Outlook: Demand from 5G, IoT, and government projects offers long-term industry tailwinds. ============================ ============================ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:DLINKINDIALong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
Smartworks: From IPO Buzz to Breakout ZoneNSE:SMARTWORKS 📊 Technical Analysis (Daily & Weekly Chart) Trend: After listing in Aug 2025 around ₹407, the stock corrected to ~₹393 and then staged a strong rally towards ₹480. Currently consolidating near recent highs. Current Price: ₹476.05 Resistance Levels: ₹480–₹490 (immediate supply zone) ₹520–₹550 (next major resistance) Support Levels: ₹460 (short-term support) ₹420 (major support / breakout retest zone) Chart Structure: Stock is forming a short-term bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows since early Aug. A weekly close above ₹490 may trigger continuation rally. View: Sustaining above ₹490 can open upside towards ₹520–₹550; failure to cross may lead to pullback towards ₹460–₹420 support zone. 🏭 Fundamental Analysis Business Model: Smartworks is India’s leading managed office space provider, offering flexible workspaces to corporates. Operates on a “space-as-a-service” model—leasing large commercial spaces, customizing, and sub-leasing to enterprises. Growth Drivers: Rising demand for flexible office spaces post-pandemic. Corporate shift towards asset-light models. Strong tailwinds from India’s IT, startup, and service sector growth. Expansion across Tier-1 & Tier-2 cities. Financials (FY25 & Q1 FY26): (approximate) Revenue FY25: ~₹1,374 Cr (38.9% CAGR over 2 years). EBITDA FY25: ~₹172 Cr (117% CAGR). Net Loss FY25: ~₹63 Cr (loss narrowing). Q1 FY26: Revenue ~₹379 Cr; Net Loss ~₹4 Cr (showing progress toward breakeven). Market Cap: ~₹5,200 Cr. Strengths: Fastest-growing flexible office provider in India. Strong corporate client base (enterprise-focused, not just startups). Expanding in sync with India’s office demand cycle. High revenue growth with improving operating margins. Risks: Still loss-making; breakeven depends on occupancy/utilization. Highly competitive industry (WeWork, Awfis, IndiQube). Lease liability-heavy model exposes risk during demand slowdowns. Valuation expensive (P/B ~9x, negative P/E). 🎯 Conclusion Technical View: Stock near crucial resistance ₹480–₹490. Breakout with volume can take it towards ₹520–₹550. Support at ₹460 / ₹420. Fundamental View: Strong revenue growth and improving margins; leadership in flexible workspace model. IPO proceeds support expansion & debt reduction. Profitability is the key monitorable. 👉 Investor Stance: Investors: Can accumulate gradually for long-term play on India’s office demand & corporate workspace outsourcing trend. Needs patience till profitability. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:SMARTWORKSLong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
SHANGVIMOV : Heavy Lifter of India’s Infra GrowthNSE:SANGHVIMOV 📊 Technical Analysis (Weekly Chart) Trend: After a steep fall from ~₹800 (2024 highs) to ~₹200 (2025 lows), the stock has been consolidating and is now attempting to break out of resistance near ₹350–₹360. Current Price: ₹334.25 Resistance Levels: ₹350–₹360 (immediate supply zone, highlighted in your chart) ₹420–₹450 (next major resistance) Support Levels: ₹300 (short-term support) ₹250 (major support, bottom zone) Chart Structure: Formation of a rounding base; breakout above ₹360 on weekly closing can trigger momentum rally. View: If price sustains above ₹360, potential upside towards ₹420–₹450; failure to break may lead to retest of ₹300. 🏭 Fundamental Analysis Business Model: Sanghvi Movers Ltd is India’s largest crane rental company and among the top 10 globally. Provides heavy-lift, engineered transport & installation services, especially to wind energy, power, steel, cement, refinery, and infrastructure projects. Growth Drivers: Renewable energy push (especially wind and solar projects requiring heavy cranes). Infrastructure growth under government’s capex focus. Demand from steel, cement, oil & gas projects. Financials (Latest FY24/25) (approximate): Revenue: ~₹650–700 Cr. Net Profit: ~₹120–130 Cr (steady growth). Debt levels moderate; improved operating margins due to higher utilization of crane fleet. Strengths: Market leader with strong fleet of high-capacity cranes. Asset-heavy model creates strong entry barriers. Benefits from India’s renewable & infra capex cycle. Risks: Cyclical industry – earnings depend on capex cycles. High capital expenditure (maintenance, fleet expansion). Order inflow variability. 🎯 Conclusion Technical View: Stock is at a crucial resistance zone (₹350–₹360). A breakout with volume could take it to ₹420–₹450. Support at ₹300. Fundamental View: Strong long-term player in crane rental, directly benefiting from infra & renewable boom. Earnings visibility is improving with higher crane utilization. 👉 Investor Stance: Investors: Long-term accumulation is possible; positioned well in the infra/renewable growth cycle, though cyclicality risk exists. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:SANGHVIMOVLong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
Olectra Greentech – The Silent EV Multibagger in MakingNSE:OLECTRA 📊 Technical Analysis (Weekly Chart) Trend: The stock had a steep fall from ~₹1,800 (2024 highs) to ~₹1,000 (2025 lows). It has since formed a rounded bottom and is showing signs of reversal. Current Price: ₹1,528.80 Resistance Levels: ₹1,600 (immediate resistance) ₹1,800 (major breakout level) Support Levels: ₹1,400 (nearby support) ₹1,200 (major support, recent bottom area) Indicators: Momentum improving with strong green candles and higher lows. Weekly structure suggests accumulation and potential trend reversal. View: If stock sustains above ₹1,600, it can retest ₹1,800–₹2,000 in medium term. 🏭 Fundamental Analysis Business Model: Olectra Greentech is India’s largest electric bus manufacturer, part of MEIL (Megha Engineering). It also works on tippers, EV trucks, and composite insulators. Growth Drivers: Government’s push for EV adoption in public transport (FAME-II scheme). High demand for electric buses from state transport corporations. Strong backing from parent MEIL ensures execution capacity. Financials (Latest FY24/25) (approximate): Revenue: ~₹1,300–1,400 Cr (growing rapidly with order wins). Profit: Still moderate due to high R&D and capex. Order Book: Over ₹12,000+ Cr, ensuring visibility for next 3–4 years. Strengths: Market leader in EV bus space. Rising government contracts. First-mover advantage. Risks: Execution delays (delivery timelines). Intense competition from Tata Motors, Ashok Leyland. Margin pressure due to high input and battery costs. 🎯 Conclusion Technical View: Bullish reversal forming. Sustaining above ₹1,600 can lead to ₹1,800–₹2,000. Strong support at ₹1,200. Fundamental View: Strong long-term growth story in India’s EV transition, backed by large order book and government support. Near-term volatility possible, but structurally a good EV play. 👉 Investor Stance: Investors: Accumulate gradually for 3–5 years; could be a multibagger if execution sustains. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:OLECTRALong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik