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APTECH LTD : A good Buy for Long Term CMP: 254.70The stock has retraced to 0.618 of the Fib series from its all time high of 418.35 which it reached on 30th May 2023 and has been falling continuously to touch a low of 243.90 on 9th Nov 2023. Thats a drop of over 41% from its all time high. The stock is finding support at the current levels which happens to be the Monthly and Weekly Instutional Buy Zone and also the 0.618 Fib Retracement level.. this level is a good area for institutional investors to come in. The average 30 day Volume is around 311 K whereas the last few days the volumes has been in the range of over 750K. This means good buying is coming in these levels. The monthly Institutional buy zone is between 207/- and 250/- The stock is still trading below the falling trend line and the ideal buy would be after a confirmed close above the trend line with better than average daily volumes, however since this is a good stock and it is in the important support levels, one can start buying partly ( as per your risk appetite) at these levels and accumulate if it comes lower and within the buy zone mentioned above. Target: We are looking at a long term target (1.50 to 2 years) of Rs.525/-
NSE:APTECHTLong
by ajayharidas
4
CONFIPET | Mini Swing Trade📊 Details Confidence Petroleum India Ltd is engaged in manufacturing of LPG cylinders and is also a supplier of auto LPG in India with its network of bottling plants and Auto LPG dispensing stations across India. It also supplies packed LPG cylinders and is also engaged in LPG bottling catering to industrial and commercial customers. Disclaimer: This analysis is solely for educational purposes and does not make me a SEBI registered analyst. If you found this analysis helpful, I encourage you to like and share it. Your observations and comments are also welcomed below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you. 🔍 More Analysis & Trade Setups 🔍 For more technical analysis and trade setups, make sure to follow me on TradingView: www.tradingview.com
NSE:CONFIPETLong
by Munish_Jain
Investment_ Yes BankNamaste! Yes Bank has been a favourite stock for retail public. Due to it's penny price, it attracts a lot of retail attention. I think it is a good time to invest in Yes Bank because of following reasons. 1. According to me, any retail person will think of Yes Bank and Idea, if he has given a choice to buy some large-cap stocks. Generally, businesses like telecom, aviation, manufacturing, automobile, etc hasn't been a good wealth creators , just look at the history. Whereas, pharma, banks and financial institutions, services (IT) and technology, etc has been very good wealth creators. So Idea being a telecom company, it is to be avoided for now. So we have only one choice left, that is Yes Bank. 2. Yes Bank suffered a huge huge downfall in the stock prices, when a fraud of around Rs 5000 crores has been reported. The promoters provided loans to the businesses, which had weak fundamentals and without determining repayment risks. 3. RBI doesn't want people to doubt on banking system , so it ordered (SBIN and LICI on behalf of the government) and others (HDFC, ICICI) etc to save the Yes Bank. Now SBIN is the largest shareholder with 30% holding in Yes Bank. 4. Banks has been a good wealth creators, thanks to booming economy and financial system of India. So, I thoroughly think that Yes Bank stock prices will rebound. 5. The worst case scenario would be, Yes Bank to be acquired by some other private bank. I don't think it will be acquired by SBIN or any other govt owned companies, because the government is already selling its stakes in public sector undertakings. Just look at the worst case scenario at Satyam Computers. It had been acquired by Mahindra, at a penny price after reporting "window-dressing" of financial statements. Now, it's shareholders would have got Tech Mahindra shares and it is among the good wealth creators. Conclusion: Investment at current prices is fine. Yes Bank might be a good pick for a portfolio, along with other strong companies to maximize overall returns. Some ventures capitals generally invest in around 10 risky start-ups, 8 of them fail but 2 of them multiply the capital 20 fold, they still make good money in the end. Yes Bank has a very high reward potential due to it's current price. Making money via investing requires patience, strong self discipline, risk appetite, etc, so invest wisely. Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets and may result in a loss. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing.
NSE:YESBANKLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
4
Investment_ LICI (Life Insurance Corp)Namaste! LICI has been hit hard for the mainly two reasons, 1. Previous performance of other IPO stocks such as Paytm, Zomato, Etc. 2. Current bearish sell-off (in over all global markets). Investment Objective: If Nifty/Sensex give 10-12% annual average return, my goal is to beat the index. Means we will try to generate >12% annual return. We can include stocks with high risk and high reward (such as Paytm, Zomato and LICI) to make a portfolio, along with other blue-chip stocks so that, we increase our returns with a little increase in our risk. I would not advice investing more than 10% of your investment capital in each. Remaining 70% should be invested in other blue-chip stocks. The logic: Look, there is always a resistance at the high of red candles. As you can see in the chart, this will be the 3rd attempt for a breakout. Each time the resistance get a hit, it becomes weaker and weaker. The probability of a breakout increases with the number of hits. So, Rs 669.40 is a most logical price for an entry. Always remember, our goal is to beat the index. As long as our basket of stocks performs well, we should be happy. Disclaimer: Investment carries an element of financial risk. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets. Please do your due-diligence before investing.
NSE:LICILong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
1
Investment_ Muthoot FinanceNamaste! Muthoot Finance is one of my favourite stocks in the finance sector. The formulae I use to calculate intrinsic value suggests this stock, whereas it somewhat fails in the valuation of Bajaj Finance, SBI Cards, etc. It is trading at a PE (Price to earnings ratio) of 11.62, whereas Bajaj Finance is 51.29 and SBI Cards is 45.53. In most cases, the lower PE is better. The intrinsic value stands around Rs 3000, assuming growth to be 17.2% YoY and 6.1% Indian treasury yields. The reasons to buy this stock:- 1. Low PE and intrinsic value. 2. 1.75% Dividend Yields. 3. >20% correction in stock price. Q: What price should I buy? A: The current price of Rs 1144 is a good price. Please do not invest more than 10% of your capital. I suggest many stocks, but it is your responsibility to choose your favourite ones. Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets and may result in a loss. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing.
NSE:MUTHOOTFINLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
2
Investment_ AmazonNamaste! Amazon has corrected enough to look attractive to value investors. VI basically mean they will look for: 1. Low P/E ratio, 2. An long term up-trending stock (Amazon is that), 3. Fear in the markets, Etc. Investors like Warren Buffet doesn't buy when the market is at all time high and people think it will keep going up in a straight line. He and other value investors wait for an opportunity, when there is fear and it results in considerable fall in the stock prices. It's when they come in. For Amazon, I can say with 100% confidence, value investors must be jumping in. This opportunity (because of correction) is rare and happens in 4-5 years approx. They are smart people and following them is a smarter decision. Amazon is definitely a buy, at current prices or at break of 118. The most important rule in Investing is, never ever sell at a loss. There are only two possibilities in my opinion, either the company goes bankrupt, or you make money. Disclaimer: Investment carries an element of financial risk. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets. Please do your due-diligence before investing. You are solely responsible for your decisions.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
Investment_ HCL TechTrading and investing are completely different in nature. In trading, we don't care about the prices whether it's fair or not. We buy high and sell even higher. But in investing, we should only buy a stock near its intrinsic value. No matter if everyone is making money except us. But, price which is justified by fundamentals are sustainable and proved sustainable historically. "Intrinsic value is upgraded or declined based on fundamental changes. I amend my intrinsic value every year based on the growth of the company." So here I am with a stock named HCL Tech. According to my method of calculating intrinsic value, it's not worth more than ₹700 a share. It has broken its daily trendline on charts. And I am expecting it to come at least near my intrinsic value. Well, this will not happen overnight, it may take several months, to several years. But, what if the stock didn't come down to my intrinsic value? I won't buy it for investing. Never. Short term trades can be taken, which can even last for several months, but for investing? Nope. Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article is of my own, you're solely responsible for any decision taken in the markets. The analysis I've shared is just for informational and educational purposes only.
NSE:HCLTECHLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
4
Investment_ ITCTrading and investing are completely different in nature. In trading, we don't care about the prices whether it's fair or not. We buy high and sell even higher. But in investing, we should only buy a stock near its intrinsic value. No matter if everyone is making money except us. But, price which is justified by fundamentals are sustainable and proved sustainable historically. "Intrinsic value is upgraded or declined based on fundamental changes. I amend my intrinsic value every year based on the growth of the company." So here I am with a stock named ITC. According to my method of calculating intrinsic value, it is worth around ₹300 a share. I will start accumulating shares, near Rs 180 levels (strong weekly support). Well, this will not happen overnight. It may take several months. Some questions answered:- Q: If it is a fundamentally good company, why the price is not moving up? Does the market doesn’t know anything? A: Nope. Market knows everything. But, the market generally moves in a direction of “what is expected and what is unexpected”. Q: So, what’s expected in ITC? A: Well, it’s a good company, good cashflow, no debt, professionally managed company, etc. When the company performs “as expected”, why should its price move in either direction? Price only moves when unexpected things happen. Q: Should the people sell the shares who has already bought and invested in it, so that they can buy at a lesser price? A: Nope. Absolutely not. Investment is not a buy-sell game. It must have long-term view (5 years, 10 years, etc.). Q: Then what's the solution? A: Add more shares. Yes. As long as the company is fundamentally strong, buying at dip or discount is best for investing perspective. And this company is giving dividend of Rs 5 approx every year. That translates into at least 2.5 % every year if the current price taken into consideration. Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article is of my own, you're solely responsible for any decision taken in the markets. The analysis I've shared is just for informational and educational purposes only.
NSE:ITCLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
Investment_ Coal IndiaTrading and investing are completely different in nature. In trading, we don't care about the prices whether it's fair or not. We buy high and sell even higher. But in investing, we should only buy a stock near its intrinsic value. No matter if everyone is making money except us. But, price which is justified by fundamentals are sustainable and proved sustainable historically. "Intrinsic value is upgraded or declined based on fundamental changes. I amend my intrinsic value every year based on the growth of the company." So here I am with a stock named Coal India. According to Sir Benjamin Graham's method of calculating Intrinsic Value, it is worth around ₹249 a share. A shareholder mainly makes profit from different two ways, 1. Appreciation in the share price and 2. Dividend paid by the company. This stock is offering "9.13%" dividend yield. It means that you're getting approximately 9.13% return every year as a dividend payment (which is obviously better return than current FD rates). And I think the share price will also appreciate in the upcoming months. Why? Let's analyze what we see in charts. It had formed "Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern" (a bullish reversal chart pattern) on weekly charts during the month of Feb. It looked like it breakout of neckline on 22 Feb weekly candle. But it proved fake breakout and reversed backed to consolidation. Now I think the neck-line is already weak. I am expecting a huge breakout in upcoming months which can take stock to Rs 200 levels or even higher. Well, this will not happen overnight, it will take months to years as well. But I think staying invested in this stock is not a bad deal as long as it has very good dividend yield. Some questions answered: Q: At what price should I buy? A: Well, this stock looks hugely undervalued and I suggest to start accumulating shares NOW. Q: Well, if it is good undervalued fundamentally strong company, why the prices doesn't move up? A: Like most of the public sector companies, it pay most of the profit in form of dividend. Therefore, on ex-dividend date, the prices get already discounted to dividend paid by the company. And investors are happy with the dividends paid by the company which restricts them to bet for higher prices (like what we are seeing in the Metal sector now). Q: Should I buy shares tomorrow, at on go? A: Nope. Divide your capital in at least 3 lots. You buy first lot tomorrow, second lot after 2-3 week (as you like) and third lot AFTER BREAKOUT. Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article is of my own, you're solely responsible for any decision taken in the markets. The analysis I've shared is just for informational and educational purposes only.
NSE:COALINDIALong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
4
Investment_ NetflixNamaste! Netflix has corrected almost 74% from the all time (swing) highs. This isn't new for Netflix. It had happen in the year 2011-12, when it corrected 82% from swing highs. It had moved >9000% since then (up to the latest swing high from Rs 7-8 price). Investing after a correction is a good idea, because it gives us more room for potential gains. And, there is no SL. In the worst case scenario, (if the company goes bankrupt), we don't sell. It's just the cost of execution (we lose 10% of our capital). 1. Do not invest more than 10% of your whole capital in this stock. 2. It is a good price to buy (invest) now. The current price is Rs 183 approx. Thank you for your time. Disclaimer: The analysis and idea I have shared is of my own. Please do your own due diligence before investing. The reward always comes with a risk.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
Investment_ BCG (Brightcom Group)Namaste! 1) BCG is a very good mid-cap stock for investing, based on my analysis. It has average EPS of Rs 4.40 for the last 6 years. It also has corrected enough to look good to value investors. 2) It's intrinsic value (IV) is Rs 184, if India 10Y Treasury yield of 6.1% is considered. I personally use Sir Ben Graham's formulae, in which he has put 10 Year Treasury Yield at the denominator. Hence, if the treasury yields go up, then stock and overall market's IV will go down, it's that simple. 3) Currently, Treasury yield is around 7.4%. But I expect it to go down, in the upcoming time. 4) I do not suggest investing more than 5% of your entire capital in this stock. I suggest many stocks, but you have to pick your favorite ones yourself. The price for investing in should be Rs 36.55. Remember, you should buy only when it break that level. I will also be buying some shares. Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment carries an element of financial risk. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing.
NSE:BCGLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
2
Investment_ TECHM (Tech Mahindra)Namaste! I have selected another stock, which looks good to invest in. You must have wondering, why am I sharing only technology companies? Well, it is the sector which have fallen mostly. I don't like to buy at highs. I like to buy at correction, when there is fear, when the weak-hands get panic and selling it. That's what many of the great investors do. Anyways, TECHM is a stock, which have fallen around 48% from all time highs. Well, in my perspective, this stock, along with other technology stocks are on a sale . I would advice anyone to invest in because, it is a very good opportunity to do so. If you have been reading my articles, you will know why. And remember, don't concentrate your portfolio in the IT Sector, by buying every stock in the sector. Please diversify. You can either place GTT (Good Till Triggered) orders with your broker at a price 1017.50-1018 , or manually buy it if it crosses this crucial price level. I would modify the entry, if it signals to do so based on my plan, and will update it here. Q: Will it sky-rocket as soon as you buy. A: NO. Investment takes time to show results, months or years. There are many many things which affect the stock performance. You can't figure out why is this happening. What can you do is, buy and sell . Please read previous articles, for reading more about the above thing. Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment carries an element of financial risk. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing. I already have some shares and will/may add more if I get another opportunity.
NSE:TECHMLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
Investment_ RBL BankNamaste! RBL Bank has been fell hard, since the change of CEO, correcting about 90% from the all time highs. According to me, there can be 2 main reasons:- 1. The Market is wondering if the CEO is a idle choice. RBL Bank is a private sector bank, and CEO came from a Public Sector bank. 2. The market is also thinking if this could be next Yes Bank . But, this is a complete different scenario than Yes Bank. You see, in any bank, NPAs are a crucial factor to consider. If there are increased or more NPAs, it hits any bank hard. In the Yes Bank, Mr. Rana and company has given very big loans to some of the big companies. The companies didn't became successful and didn't earned profit. So they defaulted their loans. And it is called NPAs (Non-performing Assets), or you can say a lost money. . Whereas, it is a very different case in the case of RBL bank, except the opportunity cost (if the new CEO takes more and more time to make and run RBL Bank successfully). Investment: Q: What is the investment price? A: If the price moves at or above Rs 96.35 Q: What if it becomes the next Yes Bank? A: Don't invest more than 10% of your entire capital. And Never sell it at a loss. Positional: Q: Can I take it as a positional trade? At what price? A: At or above Rs 96.35. SL is Rs 82.35. Q: What is the target. A: You can do either of the 3 things. a: 3 times your risk amount (Rs 138.35), b: Rs 153, c: Rs 279. Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment and trading carries an element of financial risk. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing and trading.
NSE:RBLBANKLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
Investment_ TCSNamaste! TCS has been one of the stocks which didn't corrected much in the "corona crash", dropping only similar to 30%. The main reasons for this stability was:- 1. IT sector still offered it's employees a work from home opportunity, so it's business didn't affected that much. 2. TCS is the biggest company in the IT sector today, and it's share price has been very stable due to the fact that it didn't fell more than 30% since the year 2010. 3. So, again it fell 30% and it's price is trading near support level. 4. It's an very good investment opportunity, for the people who are very conservative in risk taking. Hence, they should not expect higher returns rather stability. 5. Investment price looks good at current price of Rs 3074. 6. More capital allocation can be done to this stock as compare to small and mid-cap due to the nature of stability. But not more than 20%. Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets and may result in a loss. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing.
NSE:TCSLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
1
Investment_ Disney_ Walt Disney CompanyNamaste! Walt Disney is the biggest media company by market cap in the world. It has multiplied around 70 times (to date) since the IPO. Talking around the current scenario, it had acquired Marvel for 4 billion dollars a decade ago which made 18 billion dollars to Disney. The point here is that it is taking good management decisions to adapt to changing business environments and killing the competition by acquiring them. And OTT platforms will be the future. TVs are a day of the past. They (OTT) platforms will charge a fees for almost every movie if not all in the coming decade. It will make them a lot of profit. So, it is a good investment opportunity for Disney at current prices. The main reasons are following. 1. It has corrected >50% from all time highs. Buying after a correction is always a good idea, which has so much potential to maximize your returns in the long run. 2. If you look at the charts, you may notice that it is kind of creating a higher swing low, which is a good bullish indication. Value for money stocks tend to not easily fall in bear market or weak economy cycles. 3. OTT platforms are the future, where I think every movie will be charged money to be watched, making these OTT platforms a lot of money. This is my thinking please comment your idea. 3. Disney has been releasing the content, which is almost watchable with our families. Which is quite good because they are almost having audience of all the age groups. It's content is enjoyable from the age group of 10-60 years, in my opinion. Investment at current prices is a good opportunity since the stock very rarely corrects below 55-60%. Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets and may result in a loss. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing.
NYSE:DISLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
2
Investment_ Redington IndiaNamaste! Redington India is a good mid-cap pick considering it's fundamentals, very consistent EPS, and after a good correction. It is a buy at current prices (Rs 126.55). The logic is simple, if a company with good fundamentals available at a discount, then it's a perfect opportunity to invest. Remember, never invest more than 10% of your capital in any particular stock. Diversification is a must for reducing risks. I have shared many stocks till now and will share more in the future, in the tradingview platform. I expect anyone, who is reading these articles to do your own analysis, and pick the stocks of your choice. Make a perfect blend of sectors and stocks resulting in a market-beating portfolio. The most important rule in Investing is, never ever sell at a loss. There are only two possibilities in my opinion, either the company goes bankrupt, or you make money. Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing.
NSE:REDINGTONLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
ARVINDFASN | Swing Trade📊 Details Arvind Fashions Ltd operates in the branded apparels, beauty and footwear space. It has a portfolio of several owned and licensed global brands across different segments. Disclaimer: This analysis is solely for educational purposes and does not make me a SEBI registered analyst. If you found this analysis helpful, I encourage you to like and share it. Your observations and comments are also welcomed below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you. 🔍 More Analysis & Trade Setups 🔍 For more technical analysis and trade setups, make sure to follow me on TradingView: www.tradingview.com
NSE:ARVINDFASNLong
by Munish_Jain
3
BHANSALI ENG POLYM Breakout prediction long opportunityBHANSALI ENG POLYM is a Process Industries/ Industrial Specialties stock that have been consoladating for past 7-Months. by looking the volume spike it seems bulls will be taking the stock to outside the channel now. once breakout is successful, after little consolidation it can give a very nice Risk:Reward :: 1:3 Approx. Reasons: RSI is crossing 60 to upside. (Bullish) 200 EMA have been providing a nice support for very long time. In History also it has been a nice support and resistance. Rectangle Pattern breakout is about to happen. If it gives a popout candle then you may go long by putting a small stoploss. Price > EMA(13,50,200) which shows bullishness. but as it has been a trendy momentum for past 2 weeks. I am expecting it to give little consolidation outside the channel and then bullish momentum. Verdict: Bullish Breakout is about to happen Plan of action: Entry after consoladition BUY: 98-100 after consoladition Stoploss: 96 Target: 111
NSE:BEPL
by finnova_
CREDITACC | Swing Trade📊 Details CreditAccess Grameen Limited is registered as a non-deposit accepting NBFC - Microfinance Institution with the RBI. It is engaged in providing microfinance services to women who are enrolled as members and organized as Joint Liability Groups. It also uses its distribution channel to provide certain other financial products and services to the members. Disclaimer: This analysis is solely for educational purposes and does not make me a SEBI registered analyst. If you found this analysis helpful, I encourage you to like and share it. Your observations and comments are also welcomed below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you. 🔍 More Analysis & Trade Setups 🔍 For more technical analysis and trade setups, make sure to follow me on TradingView: www.tradingview.com
NSE:CREDITACCLong
by Munish_Jain
CUB Bullish breakout analysis 21 Nov 23 CUB has given the breakout as can be seen on the chart. we can make a entry once it give us a retrace and then it goes bullish. you can buy the stock once it drops to price 144-146. and hold it till 160 with Risk:Reward :: 1:3 approx. Reason: Stock has given the breakout of rectangle pattern range 120-142. (Bullish) Just EMA(13,200) crossover, also golden crossover. (Bullish) Price > EMA(12,50,200). (Bullish) RSI > 60 crosing to upside. (Bullish) Verdict: Bullish Breakout done Plan of action: Entry after retrace BUY: 144-146 after retrace Stoploss: 141 Target: 160
NSE:CUBLong
by finnova_