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Kondratieff Wave

GOLD 4H | Liquidity Harvest Done… Now the Slide BeginsPrice engineered liquidity above the previous swing high and immediately delivered a sharp rejection, confirming a buy-side liquidity grab and the start of distribution. Structure has now shifted bearish with a clear BOS from the premium zone. I’m expecting a mitigation leg before continuation lower. The draw on liquidity sits inside the 4100–4080 demand imbalance, which aligns with unmitigated bullish orders from the prior accumulation phase. If 4100 fails to hold on mitigation, the next liquidity pools rest at: 4022 (clean sell-side pocket) 3998 (final downside liquidity target)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by YCGH_Capital
EURUSD – Clean HTF Discount Zone Re-test With Bullish ContinuatiPrice has returned into a deep HTF discount zone, and the reaction from this area aligns well with my overarching bullish narrative. The marked zones represent the regions where I want to see LTF confirmational behavior before considering any long entries. The structure remains intact as long as price holds above the lower boundary of the zone. A decisive close below that level will invalidate the bullish bias completely and shift the entire directional expectation. Bullish Path: • Price taps into the discount zone • LTF confirms accumulation / BOS • Price pushes toward the mid-structure continuation level • Final objective lies near the upper liquidity pool (DOL), assuming underlying conditions remain unchanged Key Levels Noted on the Chart: • Entry Interest: All highlighted zones (LTF confirmation required) • Mid-structure Expectation: Level where I want price to show EDD for continuation • Final DOL Target: Only if macro conditions remain aligned • Bias Invalidation: A clean close below the lower major zone ⚠️ ENTRY CONDITION (IMPORTANT): I will execute the trade only if the LTF mirrors the structural behavior I’m expecting from the HTF. No LTF confirmation = No trade.
Long
by YCGH_Capital
2
XAU/USD | 15M | Smart Money Short SetupAfter a strong impulsive rally, price swept liquidity above the recent swing high and instantly rejected from a premium zone. A clear shift of structure confirms bearish intent, with supply perfectly aligning with imbalance fill. 🔹 Key Notes: – Liquidity grab above previous high ✅ – Premium zone rejection ✅ – Market structure shift to bearish ✅ – Clean imbalance + Supply confluence ✅ Now expecting continuation to downside targeting the next demand and inefficiency below 4020 region.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by YCGH_Capital
Historical Impact of Fed Interest Rates on Dow JonesThe current market cycle looks eerily similar to the 2005 - 2010 era. Dow started going up after the last rate hike in expectation of a rate cut and eventually peaked around the time the cut started i.e. Sep 2007. Very similar behaviour is evident in current cycle where market has been rising since the last rate hike. If the Fed cut is expected in June 2024, then there is still some upmove left, but we are close to the top. P.S.: 1: Numbers mentioned are the rates after the said action. 2: Similar price action was developing in 2015-2020 period, however, it can't be considered as a valid reference on account of COVID crash.
TVC:DJI
by pankajarora232
5
ADA ACCUMULATION PHASEAda is in complete accumulation phase. Accumulation is to collect or increase the amount of something. Accumulation can refer more narrowly to increases in the position size of an asset that is built up over multiple transactions. Accumulation can also refer to the overall addition of positions to a portfolio. In technical analysis , accumulation points to a general increase in buying activity in an asset. In this case, the asset is said to be "under accumulation" or "being accumulated."
by Lows_and_Highs
2