ITC near Breakout 15M ITC is creating a Symmetrical triangle. it is also at very crucial level ie. 237 which wal acting as a resistance earlier but now acting as support for it.
200 days EMA is also near about 235. if ITC will break this pattern with high volume profile either side we can take position
you can go long above 240 and for short enter below 235 increased volume profile is must.
Long-short
SRTRANSFIN ACCUMULATION 1D PRICE-ACTION-VOLUME-PROFILEDisclaimer -:
1. FOR WHOM VOLUME PROFILE AND MY METHOD IS A LITTLE NEW OR BLURRY . I WILL SOON PUT UP AN EDUCATIONAL POST WITH DETAILS AND EXAMPLES. WE CAN HAVE A SERIES OF DISCUSSIONS THERE TOO. DO FOLLOW MY ACCOUNT TO GET NOTIFIED.
2. Do ask your questions in the comments if any.
NSE:SRTRANSFIN used to consolidate for a very very long time between 700 and 1300.
After the rally since last year we can see currently its in a sideways region. This could be accumulation or distribution. We are not sure yet. But chances are high it is a small pause and a small accumulation region. Nonetheless confirmation is absolutely essential.
1500 and 1265 are important levels within which the sideways region is currently in. Breakout with high buying(green) volume will confirm accumulation and the opposite could signal possible distribution.
Volume Profile -: ACCUMULATION REGION:
Using Volume Profile one can identify probable accumulation or distribution regions by comparing the historical Volume at Price and current Volume at Price.
2. If the current volume is low, its mostly a pause before the trend resumes
3. If the current volume is higher or equivalent to historical levels then either the trend will resume or it may reverse. If it resumes then we have more strength in trend due to more accumulation. So a breakout/breakdown will confirm in this case
IMPORTANT OBSERVATIONS
1. From 17Mar-20 to 30Oct-20 A Nice accumulation took place in the rectangular region with ample of volume.
2. Then rally happened with in between small pause where accumulation happened since in those small pause green volume was more than red volume (more buying than selling).
3. Now its in sideways but with very low volume compared to historical accumulation. So there is a high chance that its a brief pause and soon it will breakout and resume the trend.
TARGET WITH LOGIC
Mark the brief pause that happened between 22nd Nov and 23rd Dec (2020). The volume at that level is comparable to the volume at current level.
Two things can happen
1. It breaks out with this amount of volume. In this case, it makes sense to assume a rally to be little more than the rally since 23rd Dec 2020 level since the accumulation volumes are almost same. So i used a Fib Extension from 23rd Dec 2020 and marked 168% as target level.
2. It continues in this region for a long time. Then afterwards if it breaks out we have to consider rally to be much longer because the accumulation now is much stronger. I will update target level with image if that happens
Entry
Wait for a breakout above 1537 level with high volume, 1D, closing at 320PM and then take position.
I will update here before or during possible breakout.
You may use breakout above 1537 + ATR(Average True Range) for additional confirmation.
-> The best way to enter would be to partially after breakout and the add after (throwback + continuation). i will update when addition can be done.
STOPLOSS
Best to place stop-loss at or below 1276 for conservative approach. Then trail as per your strategy or best use MA in 1H or 1D timeframe with ATR Buffer.
EXIT
Since the target is above all time high. Its a provisional target level. So it doesn't make sense to exit at target rather hold on to it as much as possible and keep conservatively trailing stop-loss. Following can be used as exit signals or bearishness signals.
1. If there is bearish candlestick pattern in 1D timeframe, stop-loss can be trailed to a nearby support level .(Like Candle Low)
2. If there is RSI Divergence in 1D timeframe, better to exit at close of 1D since afterwards there can be long consolidation or reversal.
3. If the trailing stop-loss is hit, please exit
Note-: This analysis is for NSE:SRTRANSFIN to be put in watchlist not immediately taken position in.
**I WILL POST NECESSARY , SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THIS THREAD LIKE ADDITION TO POSITION, EXIT SIGNALS, BREAKOUT ETC.
TO AVOID MISSING OUT ON UPDATES PLEASE REMEMBER TO LIKE AND FOLLOW THE POST AND MY ACCOUNT.
**YOU CAN TURN ON NOTIFICATION TO BE UPDATED OF CHANGES
**ANY COMMENT ON THE ANALYSIS WILL BE HIGHLY APPRECIATED.
NSE:SRTRANSFIN
HUL LONGSETUP and HUL SHORT BOTH SETUP IS GIVENCondition
High Probability go for long above 2402 if price sustains at this and opens below 2495
Target 1 = 2458 Target 2= 2488
Medium Probability go for short if market is negative and it does not cross 2395 during morning hour
Target 1 2322
Note: Once it crosses 2395 do not short it wait for long when price will come at 2402 and sustain
DIVISLAB making head and shoulderDIVIS LAB is making a very good head and shoulder pattern which is right at the support. The resistance was broken earlier now turned into support.
So some bullishness will result in a good trade. So watch out for this one.
COMMENT down below your views on the analysis.
Nifty Level For Tomorrow ( Price Action Analysis)If Tomorrow Market Open Above 15900 and Taking Support at 15880 Then GO Long AFTER 15 Min Candle High Breaks.
iF market open below 15840 then Go short for 50-80 Point Down and If given support breaks then second support is 15700
Or
If Market Open Flat Then Avoid trade if the given level breaks then take trade with Proper Risk Management
All Advice is given for Educational Purpose
Do Concern your Financial Advisor before taking any decision
Major Resistance:- 15990
Minor Resistance:- 15900
Major Support :- 15600
Minor Support :- 15690
Have A Wealth Tading
Nifty Level For Tomorrow ( Price Action Analysis),IF MARKET OPEN 15690 AND TAKING SUPPORT THEN GO LONG UPTO 1574.
IF MARKET BREAK THIS LEVEL THATS IS 15690 THEN GO SHORT For 50-80 Point Down
Or
IF Market Open on 15748 then Go Short For 100 Point Down If LEVEL BREAKS THEN CONTINUE
IF mARKET GO SIDE WAYS THEN DONT TRADE IF LEVEL BREAKS THEN TAKE TRADE
MAJOR RESISTANCE:- 15750, 15900
MAJOR SUPPORT :- 15680 ,15600 ,15531
ALL Advice is given for Educational Purpose
Analysis Based on Purely Price Action.........
SBI CARDS BUYING OPPORTUNITYSBI Cards gives a breakdown of its trend support
Note: Don't go for short, it may bounce because It is not a perfect breakdown so, look for buying opportunity, but if you still wanna go short only after confirmation candle
Also, Keep It Mind that
If stock market experts are experts, they would buy stock not selling advice. so trust no one make your own analysis
CADILA HEALTHCARE BUYING OPPORTUNITY Cadila gives breakout and it comes to retest the support but it didn't sustain and close the candle below its support
Note: It is not a perfect breakdown so so don't go for short because it may bounce, look for buying opportunity
Also, Keep It Mind that
If stock market experts are so experts, they would buy stock not selling advice. so trust no one make your own analysis
Lupin, Swing/PositionalSimple analysis for Lupin!
It has been consolidating between 1175 and 1246 from the beginning of this month. A break above can be traded for fibonacci pivot targets, and a break below the consolidation range can be traded as a short position for a target of 50 EMA.
Make sure to trade what happens and not what you expect :)
Note: Please do not follow my idea blindly, please analyze yourself as well. I just share my idea so that people can build upon the same. The idea I share is open to healthy criticism and feedback :)
Hindalco, SwingHindalco is forming a symmetrical pattern and can break either side of the triangle. A break above can be traded for long position for targets of 411 and 426. A break on the downside can be traded for short position for targets of 380 and 367. A downside break will lead to the price going below the 50 EMA, and the first target mentioned for 367 is the level of 200 EMA.
Make sure to trade what happens and not what you expect :)
Note: Please do not follow my idea blindly, please analyze yourself as well. I just share my idea so that people can build upon the same. The idea I share is open to healthy criticism and feedback :)
TV18 nearing long term resistance . Potential breakoutNSE:TV18BRDCST nearing long term resistance with high volume .
Initiate long position if weekly candle closes above 41 . If it closes below 39 , chances to initiate a short position.
SBI LIFE (BUY AND SELL)Why Buy and Sell
Now you need to understand the chart Is creating 2 patterns at the same time
1. Tripple Top (which is a trend reversal)(Which is highlighted in Yellow)
2. Cup and handle (which is highlighted in Blue)
If the price crosses the resistance line and creates a new candle above the resistance line then Buy the Target is 1130.( Which means its completing Cup and Handle Pattern)
If the price crosses the Support line and creates a new candle Below the Support line then Sell the Target is 860, 778, 737.( Which means its completing Tripple Top Pattern)
HDFCAMC Undecisiom momentReason :
1.Global crisis
2. Nifty looking weak
3.Possible for a pattern failure
4.fakeout
5.Avoid taking long for this month(index looking weak )
6.Maybe breakout possible stick with your stop loss(if the breakout happens to wait for a retest is a smart decision)
Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor,
Investment/Trading in the securities market is subject to market risk, We are not responsible for your profit or loss