Long-term
Alembic Ltd Weekly Analysis for Long duration NSE:ALEMBICLTD Weekly Analysis for long period
Trendline Breakout and sustained above strong support with LH LH structure
Buy Above 77 only of it sustained and give clear breakout with SL of 65 Strong Support as it was strong resistance since the beginning of its launch (1999).
T1 85
T2 98
T3 115
HOW-TO apply an indicator that is only available upon request?Recently, I've realized that my typical day involves constant encounters with indicators. For example, when the alarm clock rings, it's an indicator that it's morning and time to get up. I am checking the phone and once again paying attention to the indicators: battery charge and network signal level. I figure out in just one second that such a complex element of the phone as the battery is 100% charged and the signal from the cell towers is good enough.
Then I’m going out on a busy street, and it's only because of the traffic light indicator that I can safely cross the road to reach the parking lot. Looking at the on-board computer of my car, with its many indicators, I know that all the components of this complicated mechanism are working properly, and I can start driving.
Now, imagine what would happen if none of this existed. I would have to act blindly, relying on luck: hoping that I would wake up on time, that the phone would work today, that car drivers would let me cross the road, and that my own car would not suddenly stop because it ran out of gas.
We can say that indicators help to explain complex processes or phenomena in simple and understandable language. I think they will always be in demand in today's complex world, where we deal with a huge flow of information that cannot be perceived without simplifications.
If we talk about the financial market, it's all about constant data, data, data. Add in the element of randomness and everything becomes totally messed up.
To create indicators that simplify the analysis of financial information, the TradingView platform uses its own programming language — Pine Script . With this language, you can describe not only unique indicators, but also strategies — meaning algorithms for opening and closing positions.
All these tools are grouped together under the term "script" . Just like a trade or educational idea, a script can also be published. After this, it will be available to other users. The published script can be:
1. Visible in the list of community scripts with unrestricted access. Simply find the script by its name and add it to the chart.
2. Visible in the list of community scripts, but access is by invitation only. You'll need to find the script by its name and request access from its author.
3. Not visible in the list of community scripts, but accessible via a link. To add such a script to a chart, you need to have the link.
4. Not visible in the list of community scripts; access is by invitation only. You'll need both a link to the script and permission for access obtained from its author.
If you have added to your favorites a script that requires permission from the author, you'll only be able to start using the indicators after the author includes you in the script's user list. Without this, you will get an error message every time you add an indicator to the chart. In this case, contact the author to learn how to gain access. Instructions on how to contact the author are located after the script's description and highlighted within a frame. There you will also find the 'Add to favorite indicators' button.
The access can be valid until a certain date or indefinitely. If the author has granted access, you will be able to add the script to the chart.
Investment_ AmazonNamaste!
Amazon has corrected enough to look attractive to value investors. VI basically mean they will look for:
1. Low P/E ratio,
2. An long term up-trending stock (Amazon is that),
3. Fear in the markets, Etc.
Investors like Warren Buffet doesn't buy when the market is at all time high and people think it will keep going up in a straight line.
He and other value investors wait for an opportunity, when there is fear and it results in considerable fall in the stock prices. It's when they come in.
For Amazon, I can say with 100% confidence, value investors must be jumping in. This opportunity (because of correction) is rare and happens in 4-5 years approx. They are smart people and following them is a smarter decision. Amazon is definitely a buy, at current prices or at break of 118.
The most important rule in Investing is, never ever sell at a loss. There are only two possibilities in my opinion, either the company goes bankrupt, or you make money.
Disclaimer: Investment carries an element of financial risk. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets. Please do your due-diligence before investing. You are solely responsible for your decisions.
RBA Chart Analysis After a 1 year long trendline breakout at 103, now consolidating between 105 - 120. You can accumulate in this range. 130 is the strong resistance, after breaking this, the targets are mentioned and can be achieved in a year if company's financials were strong. Double bottom and a strong support at 85.
CARE Ratings - Play the possible breakout -CARE Ratings Ltd - Oligopoly sector- Recent buy back at 515 - Dividend Yield - High OPM - Low BV vs peers -
Breakout level and expected levels are given - Practice Stop Loss Discipline - Capital Preservation First
Re-visit after a few years this one has legs.
- Not Advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities -
NARAYANA HRUDAYALA - FOR SWING NARAYANA HRUDAYALA Looking good for swing.
Insights:-
Good quality company basis long term financial performance.
Size- Ranks 3rd out of 32 companies in Healthcare Services sector
Valuation price very attractive.
ADX in strong trend.
Supertrend also bullish
Above VWAP and 20 EMA.
Financial Trend:-
Pbdit (Q)
Highest at Rs 275.75 cr.
Net Sales (Q)
Highest at Rs 1,221.59 cr
Operating Profit To Net Sales (Q)
Highest at 22.57%
Pbt Less Oi (Q)
Highest at Rs 198.85 cr.
Pat (Q)
Highest at Rs 173.14 cr.
Eps (Q)
Highest at Rs 8.47
intraday, swing, short term; min 70% returns, indiamartMIDcap stocks are going to boom.
long term investment; min 70% return
huge potential is there.
investment ;
if you are intrested in investmet, go for it with small risk,
more possibility is there for breakout.
.
.
.
. more than that "INDIAMART "is fundamentally good
.
.
.refer our old idea attached below
intraday, swing, short term; min 70% returnsfood sector is always good for down trend global markets
smallcap stocks are going to boom.
long term investment; min 70% return
huge potential is there.
investment ;
if you are intrested in investmet, go for it with small risk,
more possibility is there for breakout.
.
.
.
. more than that " megastar food "is fundamentally good
.
.
.refer our old idea attached below
intraday, swing, short term; min 70% returs
add this to your watchlist and wait.
midcap stocks are going to boom.
long term investment; min 70% return
huge potential is there.
investment ;
if you are intrested in investmet, go for it with small risk,
more possibility is there for breakout.
entry-358
target-568
POSITONAL BUY CALL FOR INDIAMART can add indiamart at current rates and can avg upto 4400
stop loss -4000 (positional)
short term traders stop loss - 4300
1st target - 5265 (short term can exit here with 10% return)
2nd target - 6910
3rd target- 9740
its a positonal call can take of time period of 9-12months
indiamart as given a breakout in a falling wedge pattern with a retest for a good entry
note: this is only for educational purpose pls do your own research before investing . at your own risk
JK TYRE --Bullish --Long Term JK TYRE --Weekly chart -- Bullish Technical indicators '
1. Weekly chart find lower channel breakout after correction 140 sub level , Stock seen upmove towards 200 + level an corrected again around 140 level where find retest breakout support, recently .
2. stock at cmp 164 level trading at upper channel at higher high an higher low chart pattern .
3. Weekly RSI seen enter at bullish zone above center line .
4. CCI , EMA crossover seen at center line move above center line will extreme bullish .
5. Stock above 24,35 HMA near Crossover at trendline support, and trading near 200 HMA line .
6.All this indicators look bullish turnaround in price , mid to long term Period entry at cmp 162-164 level for mid term ( 6 month) target 175-200-220 and long term ( 1 year ) target 250-300 . stop loss bellow strong support line 135 at daily candle closing bellow level .
** THIS IDEA IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE . ** Trade at own risk .!
HAPPY TRADING .!!
Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2In my previous post , we started to analyze the most popular financial ratio in the world – Price / Earnings or P/E (particularly one of the options for interpreting it). I said that P/E can be defined as the amount of money that must be paid once in order to receive 1 monetary unit of diluted net income per year. For American companies, it will be in US dollars, for Indian companies it will be in rupees, etc.
In this post, I would like to analyze another interpretation of this financial ratio, which will allow you to look at P/E differently. To do this, let's look at the formula for calculating P/E again:
P/E = Capitalization / Diluted earnings
Now let's add some refinements to the formula:
P/E = Current capitalization / Diluted earnings for the last year (*)
(*) In my case, by year I mean the last 12 months.
Next, let's see what the Current capitalization and Diluted earnings for the last year are expressed in, for example, in an American company:
- Current capitalization is in $;
- Diluted earnings for the last year are in $/year.
As a result, we can write the following formula:
P/E = Current capitalization / Diluted earnings for the last year = $ / $ / year = N years (*)
(*) According to the basic rules of math, $ will be reduced by $, and we will be left with only the number of years.
It's very unusual, isn't it? It turns out that P/E can also be the number of years!
Yes, indeed, we can say that P/E is the number of years that a shareholder (investor) will need to wait in order to recoup their investments at the current price from the earnings flow, provided that the level of profit does not change .
Of course, the condition of an unchangeable level of profit is very unrealistic. It is rare to find a company that shows the same profit from year to year. Nevertheless, we have nothing more real than the current capitalization of the company and its latest profit. Everything else is just predictions and probable estimates.
It is also important to understand that during the purchase of shares, the investor fixates one of the P/E components - the price (P). Therefore, they only need to keep an eye on the earnings (E) and calculate their own P/E without paying attention to the current capitalization.
If the level of earnings increases since the purchase of shares, the investor's personal P/E will decrease, and, consequently, the number of years to wait for recoupment.
Another thing is when the earnings level, on the contrary, decreases – then an investor will face an increase in their P/E level and, consequently, an increase in the payback period of their own investments. In this case, of course, you have to think about the prospects of such an investment.
You can also argue that not all 100% of earnings are spent paying dividends, and therefore you can’t use the level of earnings to calculate the payback period of an investment. Yes, indeed: it is rare for a company to give all of its earnings to dividends. However, the lack of a proper dividend level is not a reason to change anything in the formula or this interpretation at all, because retained earnings are the main fundamental driver of a company's capitalization growth. And whatever the investor misses out on in terms of dividends, they can get it in the form of an increase in the value of the shares they bought.
Now, let's discuss how to interpret the obtained P/E value. Intuitively, the lower it is, the better. For example, if an investor bought shares at P/E = 100, it means that they will have to wait 100 years for their investment to pay off. That seems like a risky investment, doesn't it? Of course, one can hope for future earnings growth and, consequently, for a decrease in their personal P/E value. But what if it doesn’t happen?
Let me give you an example. For instance, you have bought a country house, and so now you have to get to work via country roads. You have an inexpensive off-road vehicle to do this task. It does its job well and takes you to work via a road that has nothing but potholes. Thus, you get the necessary positive effect this inexpensive thing provides. However, later you learn that they will build a high-speed highway in place of the rural road. And that is exactly what you have dreamed of! After hearing the news, you buy a Ferrari. Now, you will be able to get to work in 5 minutes instead of 30 minutes (and in such a nice car!) However, you have to leave your new sports car in the yard to wait until the road is built. A month later, the news came out that, due to the structure of the road, the highway would be built in a completely different location. A year later your off-road vehicle breaks down. Oh well, now you have to get into your Ferrari and swerve around the potholes. It is not hard to guess what is going to happen to your expensive car after a while. This way, your high expectations for the future road project turned out to be a disaster for your investment in the expensive car.
It works the same way with stock investments. If you only consider the company's future earnings forecast, you run the risk of being left alone with just the forecast instead of the earnings. Thus, P/E can serve as a measure of your risk. The higher the P/E value at the time you buy a stock, the more risk you take. But what is the acceptable level of P/E ?
Oddly enough, I think the answer to this question depends on your age. When you are just beginning your journey, life gives you an absolutely priceless resource, known as time. You can try, take risks, make mistakes, and then try again. That's what children do as they explore the world around them. Or when young people try out different jobs to find exactly what they like. You can use your time in the stock market in the same manner - by looking at companies with a P/E that suits your age.
The younger you are, the higher P/E level you can afford when selecting companies. Conversely, in my opinion, the older you are, the lower P/E level you can afford. To put it simply, you just don’t have as much time to wait for a return on your investment.
So, my point is, the stock market perception of a 20-year-old investor should differ from the perception of a 50-year-old investor. If the former can afford to invest with a high payback period, it may be too risky for the latter.
Now let's try to translate this reasoning into a specific algorithm.
First, let's see how many companies we are able to find in different P/E ranges. As an example, let's take the companies that are traded on the NYSE (April 2023).
As you can see from the table, the larger the P/E range, the more companies we can consider. The investor's task comes down to figuring out what P/E range is relevant to them in their current age. To do this, we need data on life expectancy in different countries. As an example, let's take the World Bank Group's 2020 data for several countries: Japan, India, China, Russia, Germany, Spain, the United States, and Brazil.
To understand which range of P/E values to choose, you need to subtract your current age from your life expectancy:
Life Expectancy - Your Current Age
I recommend focusing on the country where you expect to live most of your life.
Thus, for a 25-year-old male from the United States, the difference would be:
74,50 - 25 = 49,50
Which corresponds with a P/E range of 0 to 50.
For a 60-year-old woman from Japan, the difference would be:
87,74 - 60 = 27,74
Which corresponds with a P/E range of 0 to 30.
For a 70-year-old man from Russia, the difference would be:
66,49 - 70 = -3,51
In the case of a negative difference, the P/E range of 0 to 10 should be used.
It doesn’t matter which country's stocks you invest in if you expect to live most of your life in Japan, Russia, or the United States. P/E indicates time, and time flows the same for any company and for you.
So, this algorithm will allow you to easily calculate your acceptable range of P/E values. However, I want to caution you against making investment decisions based on this ratio alone. A low P/E value does not guarantee that you are free of risks . For example, sometimes the P/E level can drop significantly due to a decline in P (capitalization) because of extraordinary events, whose impact can only be seen in a future income statement (where we would learn the actual value of E - earnings).
Nevertheless, the P/E value is a good indicator of the payback period of your investment, which answers the question: when should you consider buying a company's stock ? When the P/E value is in an acceptable range of values for you. But the P/E level doesn’t tell you what company to consider and what price to take. I will tell you about this in the next posts. See you soon!