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XAUUSD Facing Downward PressureHello traders, XAUUSD is currently facing downward pressure following recent economic news. The lower-than-expected unemployment claims data suggests economic stability, reducing the demand for gold. The higher-than-expected PCE core index increases the likelihood that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, putting pressure on gold prices. While the US GDP remains stable , there is no strong breakthrough. Technically, XAUUSD is in an uptrend but has encountered resistance at $3,790 . The price of gold is currently testing support at $3,700. If this level is broken, gold could fall to the $3,635 region. Given the current fundamental and technical factors , the likelihood of XAUUSD continuing to decline is high. If support doesn't hold, gold could continue to drop. Wishing you successful trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ShadowReaper_
2
XAUUSD – Pressure at the 3777 zone, adjustment scenario and trenXAUUSD – Pressure at the 3777 zone, adjustment scenario and trend-following buy Technical Analysis After a strong rally, gold (XAUUSD) is now approaching the resistance zone of 3777–3780, where it converges with the Fibonacci expansion cluster and the old resistance structure. This is a price zone prone to short-term selling pressure and is a decisive point for the next trend. EMA200 (H1: 3685) is still clearly sloping upwards → the main trend remains bullish, but the market is in a state of range expansion, with the possibility of a correction before continuing upward. RSI (14) is currently oscillating around 57–60, indicating that the upward momentum has cooled, not yet entering the overbought zone but posing a risk of divergence if the price forms a new peak without accompanying momentum. The Volume Profile levels and support zones 3738–3740 / 3719–3722 / 3661–3665 will be where buyers can react to protect the main trend. Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Sell adjustment at resistance zone: Entry: 3777–3780 SL: 3784 TP: 3755 – 3742 – 3730 – 3705 Scenario 2 – Short-term Buy scalping: Entry: 3738–3740 SL: 3734 TP: 3747 – 3755 – 3770 Scenario 3 – Trend-following Buy (preferred when deep correction): Entry: 3719–3722 SL: 3715 TP: 3728 – 3740 – 3765 – 3780 Price Zones to Watch 3777–3780: important resistance, potential Sell zone. 3738–3740: near support, suitable for Buy scalping. 3719–3722: main Buy zone for recovery, confluence with support structure. 3705: deep support, target if correction trend expands. Outlook The major trend for gold still leans towards bullish, however, the 3777–3780 zone currently plays a decisive role. Sellers can take advantage of short-term Sell to catch the correction, while buyers should wait for the price to retreat to support zones to enter trend-following orders. This is a reference scenario based on technical analysis, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and prepare well for your trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Gold Finds Support at R1 , buy the Dip stills looks good We have seen a solid pullback (of over 72 points from the highs) in yesterday’s session, yet the broader structure on the H4 and higher timeframes remains firmly bullish, maintaining its HH-HL pattern. Price has so far rejected the 3720 zone (Weekly R1), confirming it as near-term support, and is now retesting the immediate resistance at 3750 along with the descending trendline overhead. As long as gold holds above the PWH / 3700–3680 demand zone, this looks like a healthy consolidation rather than a trend reversal. A sustained breakout above 3750 and the descending trendline could trigger momentum toward the 3790–3800 zone once again. For the short- to mid-term outlook, buying dips remains the preferred strategy, with invalidation coming only on a clean breakdown and H4 close below 3700 with strong volume.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1: Adjustment structure formed, awaiting confirmation below 3685 After the surge to 375x, gold is entering a correction phase in line with the structural pattern. On H1, the price clings to the upper edge of the rising wedge, with RSI cooling off from overbought levels, indicating that supply pressure is starting to dominate. Today's plan focuses on the adjustment structure, prioritising selling upon confirmation signals. Key price zones (as per the attached chart) Sell strong resistance 3775–3785: confluence of channel top + 2.618 extension. Look for weakening reactions to initiate short/medium-term sell orders. Buy zone volume 3726–3720: a thin support area providing momentum for a rebound. Holding this zone could push the price to retest 3750–3775; conversely, losing 3720 may lead to a deeper decline. Resistance + FVG 3715–3698: as the price drops, this area turns into supply; a failed retest here is an early signal for further decline. Confirm sell 3688–3685: closing H1 below this zone confirms a short-term downtrend, targeting a lower buy zone. BuyZone 3652–3646: confluence of channel bottom + old liquidity, expecting a strong bullish reaction if revisited. Reference trading scenarios (adhering to risk management) Sell reaction at peak: 3778–3783, SL 3792, TP 3755 → 3738 → 3722. Sell on confirmation: wait for H1 to close below 3685, enter sell 3684–3682, SL 3696, TP 3673 → 3656 → 3648. Buy scalp by volume: 3726–3720, SL 3715, TP 3738 → 3750 (only short-term if the larger structure remains corrective). Buy swing at strong zone: 3652–3646, SL 3639, TP 3673 → 3698 → 3712 → 3740. Operational notes Prioritise waiting for rejection/closing signals at the mentioned zones; avoid chasing orders in between. Order volume should be allocated according to confirmation levels (confirmation zone < breakdown < failed retest). Avoid excessive leverage; adjust SL according to structure when in profit. This is a personal perspective, not an investment recommendation. If you want the quickest updates on the next XAUUSD scenarios, follow me and join my community for discussions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
AUDNZD Trading Idea – Momentum & Liquidity OutlookThe pair has been in a clear expansion phase, showing strength after multiple structure breaks. Momentum has favored the upside, while recent consolidation reflects market participants taking profits and rebalancing orders. A corrective wave appears to be unfolding, which is typical after strong impulsive moves. Such phases often allow liquidity collection before the next directional expansion. The broader sentiment suggests that buyers are still active, but short-term volatility may create temporary pullbacks. Educational Note: Markets move in cycles of impulse and correction. Recognizing these phases helps traders avoid chasing moves and instead prepare for continuation opportunities once the correction stabilizes.
Long
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold Price Action: Trendline Break but Bulls Still in ControlGold posted a fresh all-time high yesterday near 3790 before entering a healthy pullback phase after an extended intraday rally. The higher-timeframe structure remains constructive, with the market still maintaining its higher-highs and higher-lows sequence. However, price action has broken below the rising trendline support we discussed in yesterday’s update, signaling a short-term pause in momentum. At the moment, gold is consolidating just above R2 (3754), which continues to act as an important intraday support. For bulls to regain momentum and extend the rally, price needs to break above the declining red resistance trendline and sustain above the 3790–3800 zone. A breakout here could open the door for further upside continuation. On the other hand, a confirmed H4 close below 3750 could invite deeper profit-taking, with the 3700–3710 area (previous week’s high) remaining the key demand zone and primary downside support. Overall, the broader trend remains bullish, but price action is currently in a consolidation phase. Watching for either a breakout above resistance or a close below 3750 will provide clarity on the next directional move.
FX:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
GBPUSD – Medium-Term H1/H4 Technical Outlook Overview: GBPUSD has recently broken below its ascending trendline/channel after failing to sustain momentum near the 1.3530–1.3575 supply zone. At present, price is testing the 0.618 retracement (~1.3366), while the RSI (5) is heavily oversold (~13–14). This signals the possibility of a short-term bounce before the broader bearish bias resumes. For Indian traders who follow GBPUSD closely, the focus should remain on selling rallies into resistance while being open to buying intraday dips at clearly defined liquidity levels. Market Structure & Key Observations Trendline Break: The bullish channel has been violated, shifting momentum to a “sell-the-rally” strategy. Resistance Zones: 1.3537 and 1.3453–1.3428 (strong supply levels). Support Zones: Initial support at 1.3366 (Fib 0.618) and 1.3319; major demand lies at 1.3143–1.3093. Momentum Check: Deep oversold RSI could trigger corrective recoveries, making intraday scalps attractive. Trading Plan Sell the Rally – Primary Bias Entry: 1.3500 – 1.3510 Stop Loss: 1.3550 Take Profit: 1.3480 – 1.3466 – 1.3445 – 1.3430 📌 Idea: Short entries on retest of broken structure. Only invalid if we see a 4H close above 1.3550. Buy the Dip – Intraday Scalping Entry: 1.3310 – 1.3330 Stop Loss: 1.3290 Take Profit: 1.3355 – 1.3368 – 1.3390 – 1.3410 📌 Idea: Quick long trades from liquidity near 1.3319, targeting minor resistance. Buy Deeper Liquidity Sweep – Swing Setup Entry: 1.3090 – 1.3110 Stop Loss: 1.3050 Take Profit: 1.3135 – 1.3160 – 1.3200 – 1.3240 📌 Idea: If the market flushes into the 1.3143–1.3093 demand zone, expect stronger bounce potential. Risk Management & Invalidation Above 1.3550 (4H close) → Bearish bias invalidated. Strong breakdown below 1.3310 → Skip scalps, focus on deeper buy zones. Partial profit booking at each target is recommended to protect capital.
Short
by ANFIBO_
XAUUSD – The SELL trend has been confirmed Technical Analysis After a strong rally hitting the resistance zone of 3770–3780, gold (XAUUSD) failed to maintain momentum and began forming consecutive declines. This signals that selling pressure is dominant in the short term. The 3767–3769 zone coincides with a local resistance, where the market has reacted multiple times → confirming its role as a distribution zone. Fibonacci Retracement levels from the most recent upward wave show the 0.618 area around 3700–3705 acting as short-term support, where a technical rebound may occur. The 3673–3675 zone confluences with Fib 2.618 and EMA200 → strong support, considered the main Buy zone for long-term buyers. RSI (14) is currently below 50, momentum leans towards a decline, confirming that a corrective trend is prevailing. Trading Scenario SELL Scenario (trend-following priority): Entry: 3767–3769 SL: 3775 TP: 3755 – 3740 – 3733 – 3710 – 3694 Buy scalping Scenario (short-term support reaction): Entry: 3701–3704 SL: 3698 TP: 3710 – 3722 – 3736 Buy zone Scenario (priority for medium-term rebound): Entry: 3673–3675 SL: 3666 TP: 3688 – 3696 – 3705 – 3720 – 3736 Price zones to watch 3767–3769: important resistance, priority Sell zone. 3700–3705: short-term support, potential Buy scalping area. 3673–3675: main Buy zone, confluence of support + Fibonacci. 3694 and 3736: key intermediate levels, where partial profit-taking is advisable. The main short-term trend is leaning towards SELL, however, important support zones may offer opportunities for counter-trend Buy or trend-following Buy after price correction. This is a reference scenario based on resistance – support and Fibonacci. Follow me if you love trading gold and want to read the latest analyses in the community.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
LiamTrading XAUUSD Scenario Today Fibo & Volume Profile AnalysisLiamTrading XAUUSD Scenario Today:Fibo & Volume Profile Analysis Gold, after testing the 375x zone, has shown clear signs of weakening. On the H1 chart, the price structure is forming an adjustment phase aligning with key Fibonacci and Volume Profile levels. This is the time when the market starts to “filter” liquidity, creating opportunities for both short sell orders and buy orders at strong support zones. Technical Analysis Fibonacci indicates the 0.786 – 1.0 zone around 3756–3758 coincides with strong resistance and FVG, with a high potential for a reversal. Volume Profile points out the POC area around 3735–3740, if breached, it will pave the way for deeper downward pressure. The confluence support zone of 0.618 fibo + large volume around 3688–3691 is suitable for scalping buy. Further, the area 3648–3651 is reinforced by VAL and the bottom of the volume profile, making it a strong long-term “Buy zone.” Trading Plan Reference Sell zone: 3756 – 3758, SL 3763, TP 3750 – 3748 – 3736 – 3710 – 3690 – 3655 Buy scalping: 3688 – 3691, SL 3685, TP 3701 – 3715 – 3728 Long-term Buy zone: 3648 – 3651, SL 3640, TP 3670 – 3688 – 3700 – 3718 – 3733 – 3755 In summary, gold is moving in accordance with the technical structure confirmed by Fibonacci and Volume Profile. Today's scenario prioritises observing reactions around the sell zone 3756–3758 to find short opportunities, and waiting to buy at value zones 369x and 365x for the recovery wave. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you want the fastest updates on the next gold scenarios, follow me and join the community to stay informed.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading – XAUUSD IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS OF CURRENT TRENDLiamTrading – XAUUSD Scenario Today: Opportunities at Key Price Levels Gold continues its strong upward momentum, currently fluctuating around the 376x–377x range after a series of breakthroughs. The technical structure on the H1 chart shows the market is forming clear resistance and support zones, suitable for short-term trading plans. Technical Analysis RSI is cooling off from high levels, indicating the possibility of a short-term correction. The upper price range around 3818–3821 is a strong confluence of resistance, coinciding with wave peaks and Fibonacci extensions, making it prone to selling reactions. Conversely, the support zones at 373x and 370x exhibit dense liquidity, serving as potential buying points when prices adjust. The short-term Dow structure still leans towards an uptrend, but attention is needed for the sell confirmation zone if gold fails at the peak. Reference Trading Plan Sell Zone: 3818 – 3821, SL 3828, TP 3805 – 3785 – 3760 – 3732 – 3650 Buy Scalping: 3728 – 3731, SL 3723, TP 3750 – 3777 – 3790 Buy Zone: 3706 – 3709, SL 3700, TP 3725 – 3738 – 3750 – 3777 – 3790 In summary, the main trend still leans towards an increase, but with gold approaching strong resistance zones, the likelihood of a correction is very high. Traders need to patiently wait for reactions at the marked zones for optimal entries, while managing risk tightly. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you're interested in gold scenarios, follow me for the fastest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves continue on H4XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves continue on H4, price returns below trendline: prioritise correction scenario Hello Trader, Based on the Wolfe Waves structure on the H4 frame and current price behaviour, gold has returned to trading below the trendline, indicating a weakening short-term uptrend and paving the way for a downward correction before the market decides the next trend. The upper zone has created a clear “sell zone”; below, two defensive buy zones appear suitable for both scalping and medium-term. Main Technical Picture Wolfe Waves: wave 5 completes near resistance, then price falls back below the trendline — aligning with the correction scenario along Wolfe's target line 1–4. Trendline & price box zone: the close below the rising trendline indicates “acceptance” below; immediate resistance lies at the 375x–376x cluster (sell zone). Momentum: H4 MACD slows, histogram narrows → high probability of a pullback – retest before a new decision. Detailed Trading Scenarios 1) Sell according to correction trend (priority) Entry: 3756 – 3759 SL: 3764 TP: 3745 → 3732 → 3715 → 3690 → 3672 Reason: the 375x zone coincides with the sell zone + upper trendline; selling at retest offers a good R:R ratio. Confirmation/Negation: if H4 closes above 3764 and holds, the short-term sell scenario weakens. 2) Buy scalping in buffer zone Entry: 3701 – 3703 SL: 3695 TP: 3715 → 3732 → 3745 → 3766 Note: this is just a rebound in the correction phase; lock each step and move SL according to TP1. 3) Buy medium-term (strong base zone) Entry: 3648 – 3651 SL: 3644 TP: 3672 → 3698 → 3708 → 3722 – 3727 Reason: the 365x zone coincides with the demand/accumulation volume on H4; suitable for catching a deep rebound along with the larger trend. Management: this is a medium-term order, so divide volume, lock each step and move SL to breakeven after TP1. Refer to my scenario if you find it reasonable, trade accordingly, and if you enjoy trading gold with high-quality scenarios, follow me.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
Gold Soars: Will a Weak USD Open the Door for New Highs?Hello traders, it’s clear that gold is rising sharply, supported by the weakening of the USD. Can gold continue to conquer new highs? On the chart, the price is moving within a clear upward channel. The key support level at 3,750,000 has been tested multiple times, and if the price holds above this level, gold could continue rising towards 3,827,000. The areas near recent highs also show an increase in trading volume, reinforcing the bullish trend. Forecasts indicate that the U.S. labor market is slowing down, with 233K jobs created, slightly higher than the previous 231K. This weakens the USD, creating an opportunity for gold to continue its rise, as gold typically benefits from a weaker USD. With strong technicals and a weakening USD, XAU/USD could continue its upward momentum. Get ready for some exciting opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ShadowReaper_
3
Gold Prices Continue to Rise Amid Rate Cuts and Geopolitical RisGold prices today are being strongly supported by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (FED) will continue to cut interest rates and the increasing demand for safe-haven assets amid rising geopolitical instability. Last week, the FED made its first rate cut of 0.25% since December, causing gold prices to surge. While some investors took profits, most experts believe the uptrend is not over yet. This week, investor focus will be on the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for August, the FED's preferred inflation measure, which may provide further clues about future rate cuts. Many forecasts predict a slowdown in core PCE, reinforcing the case for continued rate cuts by the FED. Additionally, safe-haven flows are further supported by prolonged geopolitical risks, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict and concerns over economic impacts from U.S. tariffs. Furthermore, strong gold buying activity from global central banks plays a crucial role in strengthening the bullish outlook for the precious metal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alliance_Signal
Bullish Momentum Intact: Watching R2 for continuation or pause Gold continued its upside momentum after a clean breakout above the previous week’s high, leading to a strong one-way rally towards the weekly R2 level at 3754. At the moment, price is holding well above the rising trendline, showing no signs of major rejection or reversal. The immediate resistance remains at weekly R2, and a sustained break above this level could open the door for a move towards weekly R3 around 3800. The overall structure is still bullish, with higher highs and higher lows firmly intact. For any meaningful correction to take place, price would first need to break below the rising trendline. A deeper retracement would require price to trade back under the previous week’s high, which would then shift the short-term bias toward the weekly pivot zone near 3672. Until then, dips are likely to be seen as buying opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves forming on H4 chart, clear correction signaHello Trader, On the H4 chart, gold is forming a quite standard Wolfe Waves pattern. The 5th wave has completed, and the price is moving into the crucial resistance zone of 3760 – 3770, which is also a potential Sell Zone. Given the current structure, the preferred scenario is a short-term downward correction before the main trend resumes. Technical Analysis The price has touched the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension and reacted with a decline, indicating profit-taking pressure. The MACD still shows the previous buying force was quite strong, but the histogram is starting to weaken, aligning with the possibility of a correction wave emerging. Area 3760 – 3770: a critical resistance zone, also coinciding with the 5th wave line of Wolfe Waves. Trading Scenario Sell order according to Wolfe Waves Entry: 3760 – 3770 SL: 3782 (above resistance zone) TP: 3710 -3660 -3610 – 3620 (key level Wolfe target) Sell when price confirms below trendline Entry 3727-3730 sl 3735 tp 3715-3700-3686-3665 Short-term Buy Scalping Entry: 3705 – 3708 SL: 3700 TP: 3720-3730 – 3745- 3766 Note: This is just a short-term retracement strategy, going against the correction, so risk management is crucial. Conclusion Short-term: Prioritise observing reversal signals at 3760 – 3770 to Sell. Medium-term: Wait for Buy opportunities around 3564 – 3574 to align with the main trend. The market is entering a distribution and correction phase, so patiently waiting for candle confirmations at key zones will be key to optimising entry. This is the Wolfe Waves scenario I propose for gold during this period. You can refer to and adjust according to your own strategy. Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging. The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673. The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely. Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity. Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+. Trading Plan Reference Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673. Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690. Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720. These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging. The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673. The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely. Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity. Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+. Trading Plan Reference Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673. Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690. Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720. These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
1
XAUUSD – Daily Trading Plan Hello Traders, Gold opened the Asian session holding its price structure firmly. The 3708 level will be the key pivot today: If price sustains above this level, the next upside targets are 3750 and possibly 3780. If price reacts lower at 3708 resistance, then 3650 or even 355x could be the zones to watch for buying opportunities. Fundamental Context Last week’s correction was triggered by comments from the Fed Chair on interest rate policy. The Fed does not intend to cut rates too frequently, and this week’s PCE data will play a decisive role in shaping the outlook. Trading Strategy for Today Buy Setup Entry: 3650 – 3653 SL: 3645 TP: 3662 – 3675 – 3690 – 3706 – 3725 Sell Setup 1 Entry: 3700 – 3703 SL: 3708 TP: 3690 – 3675 – 3662 – 3650 – 3633 Sell Setup 2 Entry: 3738 – 3740 SL: 3746 TP: 3725 – 3710 – 3700 – 3675 – 3650 Summary The preferred bias for today is to look for buy opportunities on dips, in line with the broader uptrend. Follow me to receive the latest updates as soon as market structure changes
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold Consolidating Near All-Time HighLast week Gold made a new all-time high around the 3707 level, and we have seen minor pullback after this high, leading to a pullback towards the 3620 -30 area. From there, the price bounced back strongly and is now trading close to the 3700 mark again. Currently, the market seems to be consolidating in a range between 3620 and 3700-07. The overall trend still looks bullish, but for the next clear direction, we need a strong higher time frame close either above 3700 for further upside or below 3600 for possible deeper correction. Immediate resistance 3700-07 Weekly R1 3719 Weekly R2 3754 Pivot 3672 (As immediate support) Weekly S1 3628
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
XAU/USD: Sideway or Waiting for a Breakout?Hello traders, gold is currently in a clear sideways phase , moving within a narrow trading range between support at 3,652 USD and resistance at 3,700 USD. The chart shows that gold continues to fluctuate in this area without any signs of a strong breakout. Although there is no major immediate news impact, the recent Fed rate cut has created a slight bullish bias for gold, as it continues to be viewed as a safe-haven asset in a low-interest-rate environment. This may support gold in holding within the current range, with a slight upside potential if price stays above the 3,652 USD support level. If gold breaks above the 3,700 USD resistance , the uptrend could continue. However, if it breaks below current support levels , the market may see a correction. We need to monitor market signals closely to determine any trend shift.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ShadowReaper_
XAUUSD – The Decisive Zone and Trading ScenariosTechnical Analysis Gold prices on the H4 chart are in a recovery phase after retesting the support at 3,661–3,662. The latest candle has rebounded strongly to the 3,684 zone, yet the structure still indicates a clear tug-of-war. The upward trendline was breached in the previous decline, and currently, the price is retracing to test this area again. This is a crucial point to determine whether the short-term uptrend will continue. The Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed around the 3,613–3,626 zone, along with the Fibonacci extension, becomes a point of interest for deeper pullbacks. The Volume Profile indicates the main Point of Control (POC) lies lower, around 3,551, a potential target for gold to revisit if selling pressure increases. The RSI (14) is at ~59, leaning towards the buyers but hasn't crossed into the overbought territory → the current momentum is more of a recovery rather than a sustainable uptrend. Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy following the short-term trend: Entry: wait for a retest at 3,673–3,662 SL: below 3,655 TP1: 3,690–3,700 TP2: 3,708–3,715 (2.0–2.618 Fib extension) Scenario 2 – Short sell after confirmed failure: If the price fails to hold above 3,661 and there is a reversal signal on H4, consider selling. Entry: 3,661–3,650 (after confirmation candle) SL: above 3,673 TP1: 3,626–3,613 (FVG + support) TP2: 3,579 TP3: 3,551 (POC Volume Profile) Key Price Levels to Watch 3,708–3,715: extended resistance zone, Fibonacci confluence, important target for buyers. 3,661–3,662: short-term support, the boundary to determine the next trend. 3,613–3,626: FVG + intermediate support, a zone prone to reactions. 3,551: volume POC, a deeper target if the market breaks all support. I will apply the long-term trading scenario in the new week, give me a follow for motivation to write more!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading