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XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & TrendlineXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Trendline: prioritize Sell, wait for a “good deal” in the liquidity zone 1. Market snapshot On H1, gold is touching the trendline just as yesterday's scenario – this is an area where strong price reactions may occur. The current structure shows that the price is gradually distributing below the trendline, with no clear signal that buyers have regained control. In the short term, Brian prioritizes the Sell scenario, utilizing the POC – VAH – FVG areas of the Volume Profile to find entry points. 2. Volume Profile – Key price areas to note Short-term POC/VAH area around 3,488–3,492 (according to his chart): This is an area where dense trading occurred, the profile “bulges” out, indicating strong market interest. When the price returns to this area, a reaction is expected – suitable for entering orders in the current priority direction. Sell-side liquidity below: If gold cannot hold the POC/VAH area and is pushed down, the liquidity area below will become a reasonable target for the next downward move. Gold is likely to fluctuate sideways on Friday to close the weekly candle below the trendline, then consider a clearer break at the start of next week. 3. Trading scenario for next week Scenario 1 – Prioritize Sell at the Volume Profile area Main mindset: When the price returns to the POC/VAH areas above, prioritize finding short signals instead of chasing buys. Watch for clear candle reactions (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…) at the thick profile area. Target: Gradually close towards lower liquidity areas (sell-side liquidity) below. Depending on price behavior, the target can be expanded if selling pressure intensifies at the start of the week. Scenario 2 – Break trendline & buy the retracement If gold decisively breaks the downtrend line, closes above, and maintains the new structure: Then, the strategy will shift to buying the retracement at the trendline itself (now acting as support). The POC/VAL area below will then become a reasonable “buy zone” to follow the new upward trend. In summary: before a clear break occurs, Brian still prioritizes selling at high liquidity areas, rather than rushing to catch the bottom. 4. Fundamental context – Large capital still supports gold Central banks are increasing gold purchases: In October, global central banks net purchased +53 tons of gold, the highest level since 11/2022. This figure increased by +194% compared to July, marking the third consecutive month of increased purchasing speed. This indicates: Short-term selling pressure may appear around the trendline/resistance, but long-term capital flow still favors gold. Any deep declines later may still attract buying power from large institutions. 5. Risk management suggestions Maintain the mindset: Sell is the current priority scenario, not the only option – if the structure changes, be ready to switch to buy. Do not overlook the nearest liquidity/swing low area to place SL – avoid dragging SL too far due to emotions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
USDJPY Breakdown Begins:Elliott Wave Points to Deeper CorrectionThe USDJPY 4H chart shows a completed five-wave impulsive structure, ending at the recent high marked as wave (5). After finishing this full wave cycle, the price has started to break down from the rising wedge pattern, which is a common sign of a trend reversal. The corrective structure from the top suggests the beginning of a larger A-B-C decline, targeting lower levels in the coming sessions. As long as price stays below the invalidation level near 157.68, the bearish outlook remains valid. This setup indicates that USDJPY has likely completed its bullish phase and is now preparing for a deeper corrective move downward. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
Short
by Money_Dictators
XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+ Brian – Prioritize buying with the trend, use VAL to position entry Market snapshot At the end of the US session yesterday, gold had a strong increase and then stabilized, currently moving sideways around 4,216 on H1. The structure is still an uptrend, the current decline is mainly a technical correction within the value area. On the chart, the 4,264–4,265 area is marked as important resistance, where if broken, the medium-term uptrend could be unleashed more strongly. Volume Profile & key price areas The VAL (Value Area Low) of the Volume Profile is currently around 4,200 – this is an area where the market has previously accepted a large volume of trades, suitable for trend-following buys. A deeper support area is around 4,164 (Supportsides on the chart), where buyers have previously intervened very clearly. Above: 4,265 – confirmed resistance, if broken will strengthen the scenario of gold heading to higher price areas, matching the "super cycle 5,000 USD" story in the long term. Trading plan for next week (according to H1 & Volume Profile) Priority scenario – Buy at VAL with the trend Buying area: around 4,200 (VAL of Volume Profile). Can flexibly range 4,198–4,203 depending on spread and market conditions. Idea: wait for the price to pull back to the VAL area, observe H1 candle reactions (long lower tail, rejection candles...) before entering the order. Immediate targets: TP1: area 4,240–4,245 TP2: 4,265 – important resistance marked as "important resistance, confirming medium term increase". If the price closes clearly above 4,265 and successfully retests, consider holding part of the position or finding additional entry points, according to the scenario of expanding to higher areas in the new cycle. Defensive scenario – Deep support If the 4,200 area does not hold, the 4,164 area will be the next support to watch. Closing H1/D1 below 4,164 will be a signal to reduce short-term expectations and wait for a new structure instead of trying to "buy every dip". Fundamental context – Reasons gold is still supported Gold is heading for its best growth year since 1979, with an increase of over 60% in 2025 – this is the context of a true bull market, not just a recovery wave. YTD performance of XAU outperforms BTC, showing that large capital flows prioritize stability and gold's safe haven role. Current supporting factors: US bond yields cooling, USD weakening. Geopolitical tensions escalating, Russia–US negotiations have not brought clear breakthroughs. The market prices in nearly a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates at the next meeting, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. Follow Brian to share the Gold scenario together
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
7
XAUUSD (Gold Spot) – Daily & H4 Update | 03 Dec 2025Yesterday’s session delivered exactly the kind of two-way volatility we often see when a strong trend starts to lose momentum. Gold opened with early selling pressure, dropped sharply, and filled the bullish Fair Value Gap (between roughly 4170–4200 before finding buyers. The 4200 psychological round number held firm as dynamic support, and more importantly, yesterday’s daily candle closed comfortably above it, a clear sign that bulls are still defending this zone aggressively for now.However, the broader context remains cautionary. As highlighted yesterday, we printed a very narrow Central Pivot Range positioned near the top of the recent range. Price ultimately closed below this CPR, which is typically a bearish development and suggests the aggressive bullish momentum we saw through November is fading, at least in the short term.Current Technical Structure Immediate resistance cluster sits at 4245-50. A convincing H4 close above 4230 (Fib level for recent drop) would be the first meaningful sign of renewed bullish strength. The real confirmation of trend continuation comes only with a decisive break and daily close above 4245–4250 (R1 and the recent range high). Until that happens, the path of least resistance leans lower within this ascending channel. Key Levels to Watch TodayBullish scenario Hold above 4230 → potential retest of 4250–60 H4 close > 4230 → opens 4245–4250 and possibly 4280 (R2) Daily close > 4245 → resumes the broader uptrend targeting 4300+ Bearish scenario Failure to sustain today’s CPR (4198–4203) on an intraday basis increases downside risk Break and close below 4198–4200 → high-probability move toward Previous Day Low ~4165 Loss of 4165 exposes S2 ~4130 and potentially the lower levels Summary & Bias As long as 4200 hold, the structural uptrend remains valid . That said, the narrow-top CPR, repeated failure at 4245–4250, and yesterday’s close below CPR all point to waning momentum. base case for the next 24–48 hours is continued range-bound/two-way action between 4165–4250 unless we get a clear daily close outside of this zone. A sustained break below 4198–4200 would shift near-term bias to bearish with 4165 and 4130 as logical downside targets. Conversely, bulls need to reclaim and hold 4230+ quickly to keep the November uptrend alive.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
EURUSD – Retesting Demand Zone for Potential Upside ReversalPrice has tapped into a well-defined HTF demand zone after a controlled selloff. The latest wick into the zone suggests absorption and potential willingness to push higher. If the zone continues to hold, I’m expecting bullish orderflow to kick in, leading to a structure shift and an upward continuation toward the next liquidity pool. Bullish Path: • Sweep into HTF demand • Hold above the blue line (micro support) • Shift in structure • Continuation toward upside inefficiencies ⚠️ ENTRY CONDITION (IMPORTANT): I will take the trade only if the LTF replicates the same structure and confirmations I’m anticipating on the HTF. No LTF alignment = No trade. The idea remains valid as long as price respects the demand zone and doesn’t close decisively below it.
Long
by YCGH_Capital
Gold Faces Critical Resistance: Will Bulls Break Through or FadeGold is currently trading around 4,217, , as bulls continue to struggle with a persistent resistance zone that has proven difficult to crack. . The $4,240-4,250 level has emerged as a significant ceiling for gold price, repeatedly rejecting bullish advances over recent sessions. Multiple attempts by buyers to establish a foothold above this area have been met with aggressive selling pressure, creating major resistance for the current rally. The repeated failures at this level suggest strong conviction from bears defending this zone. Today's Central Pivot Range (CPR) formation presents a narrow range, which historically signals an imminent volatility expansion. A narrow CPR often acts as a coiled spring the tighter the compression, the more explosive the eventual breakout. This technical setup demands heightened attention to risk management and position sizing. Key Technical Levels to Watch The ascending trendline (black diagonal) provides dynamic support Bullish Order Block: $4,170-4,200 zone Bullish Case: A convincing breakout and close above 4,250 would invalidate the recent resistance and likely trigger stops from short sellers, potentially fueling a rapid move toward the R2 level at $4,290. The key word here is "sustain" we need to see buyers hold gains above resistance, not just spike through momentarily. Bearish/Consolidation Case: Failure to breach 4,250 could lead to profit-taking and a drift back toward the $4,200 level. A break below the ascending trendline would be a more significant warning sign, potentially opening the door to a test of the $4,170-4,200 order block. Loss of this support zone could accelerate selling toward $4,150. Breakout traders: Wait for a decisive close above $4,250 with strong volume before entering long positions, targeting $4,275-4,300 Range traders: Look for mean reversion plays within the $4,200-4,240 range Trend followers: Watch for trendline support holds for continuation long entries
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
XAUUSD Positional Long with SL#Gold Positional Trade Outlook Gold is currently pulling back after a sharp rally, offering #positional traders an opportunity to build entries gradually with the target upto prev ATH or rejection. Price is approaching key demand zones, so follow a scaled stop-loss (SL) structure to manage risk effectively. Consider building positions in phases as price reacts to each support level: SL1: 4,008 – Early protective stop for light entries SL2: 3,930 – Medium-risk level for second build-up SL3: 3,886 – Deep stop for long-term positional holds Stick to disciplined risk management, add positions only on confirmations, and allow the trend structure to guide your exposure.
CFI:XAUUSDLong
by earnwhileulearn
Weekly Gold analysis & 8R scenarioLast week gold closed positively with a strong candle showing positivity and approaching to a strong 4H FVG nested inside weekly quadrant level and making cluster. We may see both buying and selling scenarios. Gold has also broken 4H trend line and retested it. So we can see a possible move till FVG. We may also witness a breakout if price violates FVG and breaks all time high with strong volume support. 1. Price is creating higher highs in micro structure level and approaching towards 4hours FVG after breaking and retesting trend line at 4 Hours. 2. Trend line breakout is supported by strong volume. 3. Price is continuously running above EMAs confirming up move for now. 4. We may see a reversal scenario at 4 hour FVG level. 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1h/15m) at FVG zone. 7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Join me on live stream for real time update. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HareeyMarketMantraah
XAUUSD is skyrocketing after the Adam & Eve pattern!OANDA:XAUUSD is really interesting right now. The price seems likely to rise further after the formation of the Adam & Eve pattern. With such an easy-to-remember name, the Adam & Eve pattern is one of the most memorable. Below, I’ll explain the reasons and how to easily recognize it. The Adam pattern is characterized by a sharp drop, followed by a quick recovery, forming a "V" on the chart. High, sharp, and aggressive! You could say it's more "masculine." On the other hand, the Eve pattern develops more slowly. The price becomes more rounded, forming a wider and smoother base before rising again, creating a shape similar to the letter "U." Softer, more curved, and more "feminine." Combining these two elements gives us the Adam & Eve pattern, which often signals a potential trend reversal. Especially when accompanied by fundamental analysis or other strong technical indicators. This pattern will stick in your mind when you connect its shapes to the male and female aspects. A pattern that's truly hard to forget.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
CADJPY could keep rising furtherOANDA:CADJPY The market has been on a clear upward trajectory for some time, with each swing reaching higher peaks and forming higher lows. The rising trendline has been the driving force behind this momentum. Following the recent surge, the price has pulled back slightly, forming a textbook bullish flag pattern. This is the kind of price action you want to see in a strong uptrend—a controlled retracement with a minor dip, without any aggressive selling pressure. The bears have failed to break the low, and the bullish momentum remains intact. As a result, the overall trend continues to hold steady. Right now, the price is breaking out of the flag pattern, and it looks like this trend is poised to continue. As long as the price stays above the trendline and doesn’t breach the flag's low, my outlook remains bullish. My target is set at 113.150.
Long
by Luiss_Miguel
GBP/USD Signals Trend Shift – Impulsive Upside ExpectedThe chart shows that GBP/USD has completed a full W–X–Y corrective pattern, with the final wave (y) and its C wave forming a clean bottom near the long-term support line. From that low, price has started a strong upward move, which looks like the beginning of a new impulsive Wave 1. The current pullback toward the 0.382–0.618 Fibonacci zone is typical behavior for a Wave 2 retracement before the next strong rally. As long as the price stays above the invalidation level at 1.30094 (the wave (y) bottom), the bullish scenario remains valid. This suggests that GBP/USD is preparing for a larger Wave 3 push to the upside. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
Long
by Money_Dictators
XAUUSD – Ascending Channel in Play, Upside Target Towards 4,240 Brian – Focusing on buying the dip, watching for short setups near upper resistance Market overview & structure On the H4 chart, gold is moving neatly inside a well-defined ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows. The current leg is pointing towards the 4,237–4,240 region, which aligns with: The upper boundary of the channel. A key resistance zone. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension and resting liquidity above recent highs. This keeps the broader bias bullish, but as price approaches 4,240, the probability of profit-taking and short-term selling pressure naturally increases. Wave & technical context The current move is an extension of the previous bullish structure after price broke out of the old bearish channel and started to consolidate in a new bullish one. Liquidity levels around 4,193 and above suggest that the market has been building positions and has room to drive price into higher resistance. The buy zone highlighted near the lower boundary of the channel, around 4,154–4,157, is where buyers are likely to step back in to defend the trend. As long as price holds above 4,150–4,154, the scenario of a continuation towards 4,240 remains the higher-probability path. Key zones & trading plan Primary scenario – Buy with the trend inside the channel Buy zone: 4,154–4,157 (channel support + marked buy zone). Idea: Wait for a pullback towards the lower boundary of the channel, or a brief liquidity sweep into this zone, followed by a clear rejection candle on H1/H4 before entering long. Targets: Short-term: 4,190–4,200 (mid-channel / interim liquidity). Extended: 4,237–4,240 (major resistance + 1.618 Fibonacci extension). This is a trend-following “buy the dip” setup suitable for swing or short-term positional traders. Secondary scenario – Short-term sell from 4,237–4,240 Sell zone: 4,237–4,240 – the confluence of strong resistance and the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. Idea: If price tags this zone and shows clear rejection (long wicks, bearish reversal pattern on H1/M15), it may offer a counter-trend short back towards the mid-channel or 4,190–4,200 support. This is a short-term, counter-trend idea, so: Position size should be smaller than the main long setup. Stop loss should be kept tight above 4,240 and not dragged wider out of emotion. News & broader context Liquidity conditions may thin out towards the end of the day due to the ongoing Thanksgiving holiday period in the US, which can lead to sudden spikes and stop hunts, especially around obvious liquidity pools. On the political side, headlines such as Mr. Trump’s comments about “permanently suspending immigration from third-world countries” add to general policy uncertainty, but the impact on gold is mostly indirect through broader risk sentiment. Another interesting point: silver has been rallying strongly, supported by solar-energy demand and supply concerns. It is acting like a “silent workhorse”, attracting fresh capital. This does not remove gold’s role, but shows that precious metals as a whole are gaining attention. Strategy & risk management For now, my focus remains on buying dips around 4,154–4,157 in line with the ascending channel, and only looking for short, tactical sell setups if price clearly rejects 4,237–4,240. I prefer to avoid entering fresh trades when US liquidity is very thin or right into major holiday sessions, as spreads can widen and price action can become erratic. Once price closes decisively below the buy zone and breaks the channel structure, this bullish plan loses validity, and it is better to step aside and reassess rather than forcing trades. What do you think – does this channel still favour the bulls, or are you expecting a deeper correction from the 4,240 region? Feel free to share your view in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
GOLD XAU/USD – Testing Supply Zone! Possible Pullback SetupGold extended its bullish momentum but is now showing signs of exhaustion as it tests the 4190–4200 supply zone, where price has reacted previously. I’ll be watching for potential short opportunities near 4185, as long as 4194 remains a protective upside barrier. If sellers step in, possible downside targets are: 🔽 4178 🔽 4172 🔽 4168 Structure remains valid as long as the 4194 zone holds. A breakout above may invalidate the pullback idea and open the door for further bullish continuation. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis idea for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan. Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by InvestPro_India
1
XAUUSD Outlook: Recent Gains Have Been Quite Steady!The market outlook for XAUUSD remains clearly optimistic. The latest price movement has shown a steady recovery, pushing towards the upper boundary of the newly forecasted price channel. This presents another excellent opportunity to get involved. The market may be in the early stages of a strong new bullish leg. We could also see some consolidation or a short-term pullback before continuing towards the upper boundary, but I believe the second scenario is more likely. My target would be 4,350.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone LtdCurrent price shown: ₹1,450.50, up ₹7.40 (+0.51%). The chart displays a strong uptrend from late August onward. A rising trendline (blue, upward-sloping) supports the price from the lows of September through November. Price has recently pulled back slightly but is still near the upper resistance zone. Major resistance zone highlighted: around ₹1,515–₹1,530. Support level marked near ₹1,467–₹1,480 (shaded lower red area). The price is currently trading close to resistance. Volume bars at the bottom show moderate trading activity, with occasional spikes. No abnormal volume at the latest price area.
NSE:ADANIPORTSLong
by shahushubham300
XAUUSD – H1 uptrend channel, short-term downside risk increasingXAUUSD – H1 uptrend channel, short-term downside risk increasing Brian – Prioritize short selling at the channel peak, wait to buy back at lower support I. Strategy Summary Gold is trading in an uptrend channel on H1, but the rise around 4.160 shows signs of weakening, increasing short-term correction risk. Preferred Scenario: Short sell at the channel peak 4.162–4.164, targeting support areas 4.145 – 4.130 – 4.115 – 4.100. After the correction, the 4.100–4.080 area may become the foundation for the next rise in the larger trend. Important price areas to watch: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110 – 4.088. II. Macro Context & News 27/11 02:00 – Fed releases Beige Book This document updates the Fed branches' assessment of the US economic situation. Describing slower growth, cooling price pressures will further reinforce expectations that the Fed will soon cut interest rates → supporting gold. Conversely, if the Beige Book describes the economy as still “resilient,” the market may temporarily slow down pricing in rate cuts → causing a short-term adjustment for gold. 19:30 – ECB releases October meeting minutes If the minutes lean towards the scenario of keeping high interest rates longer, the EUR may be supported, indirectly affecting the USD and gold inflows. However, the impact is usually not as strong as US data, mainly affecting the overall risk-on/risk-off sentiment. General Context: Gold has surpassed 4.160 USD/oz as the market increasingly expects the Fed to cut interest rates as early as December, reducing the appeal of interest-bearing assets and increasing the allure of gold – a non-yielding asset. This creates a support foundation for the medium-term uptrend, but after a hot rise, technical adjustments on H1 are normal. III. Technical Structure – H1 uptrend channel The price is within the H1 uptrend channel, with rising peaks and troughs, but the upper area near 4.160 coincides with: The upper boundary of the price channel. The “Sell POC” area on the chart – where liquidity and sell orders are concentrated. Preferred scenario on the chart: The price may slightly rebound to the POC area 4.162–4.164, then be rejected and slide to the important support area around 4.110 before extending the adjustment down to 4.100–4.080. The lower trendline of the uptrend channel also acts as a short-term buy area if a clear candle reaction appears. Notable price areas on H1: Resistance: 4.162–4.164 (channel peak + POC). Intermediate support: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110. Deep support: 4.088 – 4.080 – 4.100 (area that may form the bottom for the next rise). IV. Trading Plan 1. Preferred Scenario – Short sell at the channel peak Idea: Short sell when the price rebounds to the upper boundary of the H1 uptrend channel and POC 4.162–4.164, expecting a correction to support. Sell: 4.162–4.164 SL: 4.168 TP targets: TP1: 4.145 TP2: 4.130 TP3: 4.115 TP4: 4.100 This is a counter-move order in the uptrend channel, only targeting a short-term correction, not a major trend reversal scenario. 2. Supplementary Scenario – Short buy at support trendline Idea: When the price hits the lower trendline of the H1 uptrend channel and a nice candle reaction appears, consider a short-term buy according to the channel, prioritizing areas: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110 – 4.088 Specific Entry/SL levels will depend on the actual price reaction at the trendline, but the general principle: Buy close to the trendline, SL placed below the immediate support area, TP aimed at the middle of the channel or the nearest resistance. V. Risk Management & Notes Do not open new positions right before or at the time of the Beige Book and ECB minutes release, as volatility may suddenly increase, widening spreads. The sell order at 4.162–4.164 is a short-term counter-trend order in the uptrend channel, requiring moderate volume and strict adherence to SL 4.168. If the price clearly breaks and holds above the 4.170 area, the H1 correction scenario weakens – in that case, stay out, wait for a new structure instead of trying to maintain a sell view.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
A Short Gold Sell Opportunity You Can't MissLooking at the chart, gold continues to move steadily within a clear downtrend channel, with each peak and trough forming progressively lower levels over time. Currently, the price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel and interacting with the same resistance area where sellers have stepped in multiple times before, forcing the market to reverse. This behavior strongly indicates that the potential for a continued corrective move downward, in line with the main trend, remains intact. With this in mind, I believe a price decline toward the 4,080 level is a reasonable and logical target for the current correction. As long as the price hasn’t clearly broken through the upper boundary of the channel, I will continue to favor the scenario where the bearish trend remains dominant, viewing any upward movement as a mere pullback within the overall structure. This is not financial advice, but simply my personal perspective based on the current price action.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LauraCharts
Brian – Gold game plan for the US sessionBrian – Gold game plan for the US session Gold’s rally yesterday shook a lot of traders out of position – the move was slow, steady and unforgiving, making it hard both to get in and to get out. For now, the short-term trend is clearer on H1, while H4 is still in transition. Fundamental view – the Fed is confusing everyone Fed expectations for December have been on a roller-coaster: The market went from pricing a 25 bp cut in December at over 90%, Then collapsed those odds to below 30%, And has now swung sharply back again – all within about a month. That kind of violent repricing in rate expectations usually creates two things for gold: underlying support as soon as the market believes in easier policy again, and choppy two-way volatility around each new data print or Fed comment. So the macro backdrop still leans supportive for gold, but you do not want to ignore intraday whipsaws. Technical view – H1 bullish, H4 testing the top of structure On the H4 chart:Price is trading above the rising medium-term trendline from late October, keeping the broader structure constructive as long as 4,000 holds. We are now pushing up towards the descending trendline and a H4 supply/FVG band between roughly 4,160 and 4,200. Higher up sits a larger FVG / resistance block around 4,280–4,330 – if price ever accepts above the current downtrend line, that zone becomes a realistic upside magnet. On H1:Structure is clearly bullish with higher highs and higher lows after yesterday’s impulsive move. The current leg is extended, so I prefer to buy dips into support or a clean retest, rather than chase at the top of the candle. Core bias: still prefer buys with the trend. Shorts are tactical, only at clear reaction zones. Key levels Resistance / sell zones 4,167–4,169: short-term reaction zone at the descending trendline and FVG 4,200–4,220: upper part of the same supply area 4,280–4,330: major H4 FVG / supply above Support / buy zones 4,110–4,113: intraday support and potential retest area 4,080–4,070: minor support from recent consolidation 4,040–4,020: deeper pullback zone 4,000: key structural support; a break here would damage the bullish case 3,884: level that would confirm a medium-term bearish shift if price breaks and holds below Trade scenarios (reference only, not financial advice) Scenario 1 – Primary long: buy the dip into 4,110 Idea: stay with the bullish H1 structure, use the first decent pullback to get a better entry. Entry: 4,110–4,113 Stop: 4,105 Targets: 4,125 → 4,140 → 4,180 → 4,200 I want to see price pull back into this zone after a push higher, ideally with a rejection wick or bullish candle confirming buyers are still in control. Scenario 2 – Tactical short: fade the trendline at 4,167–4,169 Idea: counter-trend scalp from a clean confluence of resistance and FVG. Entry: 4,167–4,169 Stop: 4,175 Targets: 4,155 → 4,140 → 4,120 → 4,105 This is not a swing short – it is a tactical trade against the intraday trend. Size should be smaller, and I would look to lock in profit or move to breakeven quickly if price reacts in our favour. Scenario 3 – Breakout long if the trendline gives way If gold pushes through the descending trendline and holds above the 4,170–4,180 zone: I will shift back to a breakout-continuation mindset, looking to buy pullbacks above the broken trendline. The next upside magnets then become 4,220 first and eventually the 4,280–4,330 FVG. As long as 4,000 holds, I respect the upside and prefer to position with the trend, not against it. If we ever see a daily close below 4,000 and then 3,884, the whole story flips and I’ll start treating rallies as selling opportunities. Trade the structure in front of you, not the headline noise. Manage risk around the shifting Fed expectations, and let the levels do the heavy lifting. If this breakdown helps with your game plan, follow Brian for more gold updates during the US session and drop your own view in the comments so we can compare scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Brian – Gold Money Flow Map for the US Session TodayBrian – Gold Money Flow Map for the US Session Today Technical analysis – trendline, FVG, and two clear scenarios On H4, gold is still maintaining a medium-term uptrend line drawn from the end of October. The decline in the Asian session this morning was not strong enough to break the structure; the price touched the trendline and then bounced up, indicating that the sellers have not yet "crushed" this support area. Current structure: The price is accumulating around the 4,050–4,080 area in a sideways candle cluster, lying on the uptrend line and above the 4,000 support. Above, the 4,120–4,170 area is an FVG + important supply zone; higher is a larger FVG around 4,280–4,330 – if "filled," it is a potential area for a strong profit-taking move. Below, the 4,000 mark is a key support; losing this mark, the price could quickly slide to the 3,884 area – marked on the chart as the level confirming a medium-term downtrend if breached. Until 4,000 is broken, I consider this an accumulation area with a high possibility of "fake breaks" on both sides – so prioritize trading according to the trendline, not guessing tops and bottoms in the noise area. Key levels Resistance / sell zone: 4,100–4,110: buy confirmation zone, if rejected will become short-term supply 4,170–4,173: FVG / supply, medium-term short zone 4,280–4,330: large FVG above Support: 4,048–4,050: trendline + intraday breakout zone 4,022–4,005: next support if the price slides off 4,040 4,000: psychological and structural support 3,884: final support; breaking down will confirm a medium-term downtrend Trade scenarios (for reference, not investment advice) 1. Sell break intraday – follow the trend if the trendline breaks Entry: sell when the price breaks the short trend at 4,048–4,050 SL: 4,056 TP: 4,040 → 4,022 → 4,005 Idea: if the price breaks below the current accumulation cluster and short trendline, I want to follow the initial selling force, targeting the adjacent support area 4,022–4,005. When the order goes right, SL can be moved to BE around 4,040. 2. Sell “premium” – short at the upper FVG zone Entry: 4,170–4,173 SL: 4,178 TP: 4,160 → 4,145 → 4,122 → 4,100 This is a price zone I consider "beautiful" for medium-term trading if the market gives a deep retracement. FVG + H4 resistance converge; if the price is strongly rejected here, the TPs are successively the lower demand zone and the current range bottom. 3. Buy only after clean breakout – do not rush to catch the bottom I am only interested in buy orders when the market structure truly confirms: Trigger: H1/H2 candle closes clearly above 4,100 Entry: buy right around 4,100 after breakout SL: 4,092 TP: medium-term towards the 4,145 → 4,170 → 4,230+ depending on momentum This scenario considers 4,100 as the "exit door" from the current accumulation area. If this area holds as new support, buyers will have a clearer advantage and the money flow could push the price up to gradually fill the upper FVGs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold Trading Strategy for 500 Pips!Hey traders, As we roll into a brand-new week, gold is showing some impressive stability. XAUUSD is hanging right around the 4,050-dollar mark, and despite the quiet price action, there’s a lot happening beneath the surface that’s worth paying attention to. The market right now is in “wait-and-see” mode as everyone watches the Federal Reserve’s next moves. Over the past few days, expectations have started to shift—more traders believe the Fed may slowly pivot toward a softer stance and potentially move closer to cutting rates by the end of the year. Because of that, bond yields have been drifting lower, the dollar is losing some of its strength, and demand for safe-haven assets like gold is starting to rise again. All of these elements together create a strong backdrop for potential upside in the short term. On the technical side, XAUUSD is tightening inside a clean triangle structure, and for those who follow price action closely, you know what that usually means: the market is building pressure. When price consolidates this way, it often sets the stage for a strong breakout. If buyers can push through the upper boundary of this triangle, the next logical target sits up near the 4,500-dollar zone — right in line with the momentum we saw during the last bullish move. How about you? What’s your take on this setup? Are you leaning toward another leg up, or do you think the market is prepping for a pullback first? Wishing you a great week of trading—focused, confident, and full of solid opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel