Marketstructure
Banknifty analysis - logic and planEXPLANATION : This is a 15 min time frame chart of BANKNIFTY . It has been consolidating at previous Resistance zone and formed the Evening star pattern . ( An Evening start is a candlestick pattern that is used by traders for analyzing when the uptrend is going to reverse to a downtrend ) If give a strong breakdown and continue his pattern , I am bearish on BANKNIFTY . If give a strong breakout and retest ( Resistance become Support ) , I am bullish on BANKNIFTY . Levels are marked in chart , enter as per your setup .
Nifty Fut (Daily TF)Nifty currently seems like forming a Bull Flag kind of pattern.
We can initiate a entry after a candle close over 15800 levels on atleast hourly chart.
Targets can be round levels of 15900(intraday) 16000 and 16200(swings).
Market Seems like bullish after nifty sustains above 15900 level but for short timeframes.
Overall market is still bearish on weekly and monthly charts.
Reliance Parallel Channel Strong Confluence Circle I daily make market analysis videos and posts on Financial markets
SR means Support and Resistance
PC means Parallel Channel
Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational purposes only. Our intention is not to provide any financial advice, don't take any decision without consulting your financial advisor.
DR REDDY LABS - 30min DECLINING - SHORTIf we look the chart the accumulation occur after the price has fallen.
The EMA 200 also started to flatten and the price was also below the 200 EMA.
In accumulation we see the price was in the range. The breakout happend on 8Jun2022.
After breakout of resistance the price was at Advancing stage. At this stage price is above 200 EMA.
Currently the price was in distribution stage and the price whip back and forth around the 200 EMA. If the Price breaks the support of the Range then it will be in Declining stage. The price will go down if it breaks the distribution stage.
We can go shorting for the next few days. Target is mentioned in chart!
What next? Reversal to 17k or 15kSince the Last blog on Nifty, we came across plenty of news, including repo rate hike, Fed rate hike, war-related tension, and inflation.
The entire global market reacted to it with extensive selling.
In the Indian market, FII has sold more than 17000 crs of their holding, which is equivalent to October 2021 stats but this month we still have half a month to go.
On the upside, the market should close above the 16400 in the coming week.
And there should not be any exhaustion gap below the 15600 level which is the next support level, in case this happens we may see a strong sell-out and the price would go to 15000. This level depicts the VAL level, which lowest price level within the area.
Market Phases - Every trader must knowMarket Phases -Stock prices may appear random, but there are repeating price cycles, which are predominantly driven by the market participation. Below are the four types of market phases that occur.
Phase 1: Accumulation - The accumulation phase is a stage of consolidation. There is no clear trend, and the stock is usually trading in a range. It's a span of time in which traders and institutions are slowly accumulating shares, but the market has not broke out yet. Trend traders finds difficulty to trade.
Phase 2: Advancing - During the advancing phase, price breaks out of range (comes out of the accumulation phase) and begins a sustained uptrend. This stage is when the price begins moving up. The big money has established a position and retail investors are now invited to join in the profit party. This is the most profitable time to own the stock – an opportunity to let your profits run.
Phase 3: Distribution - The distribution phase begins as the advancing phase ends and price enters another range period. The shares are being sold over a period of time—the opposite of accumulation. This time, the sellers want to maintain higher prices until the shares are sold.
Phase 4: Declining - During the declining phase, price breaks out of the range (comes out of the distribution phase) and begins downtrend. This stage comes after distribution when price begins moving down.
Now lets understand them one by one in detail :-
1.)Accumulation phase where trend traders find difficulty to trade
Accumulation usually occurs after a fall in prices and looks like a consolidation period.
Characteristics of accumulation phase:
It usually occurs when prices have fallen over the last 6 months or more
It can last anywhere from months to even years
It looks like a long period of consolidation during a downtrend
Price is contained within a range as bulls & bears are in equilibrium
The ratio of up days to down days are pretty much equal
The 200-day moving average tends to flatten out after a price decline
Price tends to whip back and forth around the 200-day moving average
Volatility tends to be low due to the lack of interest
Examples of Accumulation -
How To Trade Accumulation ??
1.)Sell At Resistance
2.)Buy At Support
Do not go blindly short at resistance, wait for any reversal candle or look for any negative price action in smaller TF. Look for reversal candles
Never buy blindly on support. Look for reversal candles. Switch to smaller Time-frame find a bullish price action/ bullish chart patterns.
Never Ever Trade At Midpoint In A Range Market. You never no where it will head, to the the support area or to the resistance area.
2.)Advancing phase which trend traders love — Best trading strategy is to long the uptrend
After price breaks out of the accumulation phase, it goes into an advancing phase (an uptrend) and consists of higher highs and lows.
Characteristics of advancing phase:
It usually occurs after price breaks out of accumulation phase
It can last anywhere from months to even years
Price forms a series of higher highs and higher lows
Price is trading higher over time
There are more up days than down days
Short term moving averages are above long-term moving averages (e.g. 50 above 200-day ma)
The 200-day moving average is pointing higher
Price is above the 200-day moving average
Volatility tends to be high at the late stage of advancing phase due to strong interest
Examples of Advancing
How To Trade Advancing ??
1.)Breakout Trading - Where you above the highs
2.)Pullback Trading - Where you buy support which was earlier a resistance. This is called change in polarity.
Avoid Trading against the trend. If you trade then take small profits. You will get max with the trend.
3.)Distribution phase- - Distribution usually occurs after a rise in prices and looks like a consolidation period.
Characteristics of distribution phase:
It usually occurs when prices have risen over the last 6 months or more
It can last anywhere from months to even years
It looks like a long period of consolidation during an uptrend
Price is contained within a range as bulls & bears are in equilibrium
The ratio of up days to down days are pretty much equal
The 200-day moving average tends to flatten out after a price decline
Price tends to whip back and forth around the 200-day moving average
Volatility tends to be high because it has captured the attention of most traders
Examples of Distribution :-
How To Trade Distribution ??
1.)Sell On Resistance
2.)Buy On Support
Do not go blindly short at resistance, wait for any reversal candle or look for any negative price action in smaller TF. Look for reversal candles
Never buy blindly on support. Look for reversal candles. Switch to smaller Time-frame find a bullish price action/ bullish chart patterns.
Never Ever Trade At Midpoint In A Range Market. You never no where it will head, to the the support area or to the resistance are.
4.Declining phase - Best trading strategy is to short the downtrend
After price breaks down of the distribution phase, it goes into a declining phase (a downtrend) and consists of lower highs and lows.
This is the stage where traders who do not cut their loss become long-term investors.
Characteristics of declining phase:
It usually occurs after price breaks out of distribution phase
It can last anywhere from months to even years
Price forms a series of lower highs and lower lows
Price is trading lower over time
There are more down days than up days
Short term moving averages are below long-term moving averages (e.g. 50 below 200-day ma)
The 200-day moving average is pointing lower
Price is below the 200-day moving average
Volatility tends to be high due to panic and fear in the markets
Examples of declining :-
How To Trade Declining ??
1.)Breakdown Trading - Where you sell below the lows
2.)Pullback Trading - Where you sell on rise after a breakdown. Supports turned into resistance. This is called change in polarity.
Avoid Trading against the trend. If you trade then take small profits. You will get max with the trend.
Hope you all learnt from this post. Share with the community if you liked it.
Regards
Omahto
BANKNIFTY READY FOR NEXT MOVEBNF Retracement almost near completion. Clossing is above .5 Fib level
Max we can expect till 35936( Below same the rally will have minimum effect for trend progress)
36k is strong psychological level nd we can see huge PUT writting.
Above 36200 we can see bnf moving till 36600
Idea invalid below 35900






















