XAUUSD - 1H SHORT (GOLD)FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
Metals
Gold Struggles Under Tariff Pressure Hello everyone, great to see you again!
Today, OANDA:XAUUSD remains under notable pressure as the U.S. continues to signal a tougher trade stance. The latest move: the U.S. President announced a 50% import tariff on copper and a potential 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals, following a previous tariff notice ranging from 25% to 40% sent to 14 countries — including Japan, South Korea, Thailand, and Malaysia.
This isn’t just about protectionism. These measures fuel fears of global inflation, supply chain disruptions, and a broader economic slowdown. With surging prices in raw materials and essential goods, consumers may be forced to cut back spending, a classic warning sign for future growth.
In this environment, investors had hoped gold would shine again as a safe haven asset. However, the recent bullish momentum has been underwhelming, signaling ongoing market hesitation.
📉 On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is being squeezed into a descending pattern, which typically carries a high probability of a downside breakout. If the current support fails, the next target could fall below the 32xx area.
On the flip side, if supportive news emerges — such as a hint of rate cuts from the Fed — gold must break above the $3,335 level to revive bullish sentiment.
🔎 What do you think? Will gold break lower — or bounce back? Drop your thoughts below!
Gold Update - July 11th, 2025Gold is holding strong above 3300 on the daily close and today price breakout from the resistance trendline I mentioned yesterday. Also price is staying above the weekly pivot, which shows the bulls are getting more confident.
We're seeing some real momentum building up. The breakout from that trendline resistance is a good sign that buyers are ready to push higher.
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside Targets:
For intra day, watch 3340-45 as the next resistance area
For the bigger timeframe, we need to break and hold above 3355-60. That's the major level that will tell us if this is just a bounce or the start of something bigger.
Downside Support:
If things go wrong, the weekly pivot is our first support to watch
Also keep an eye on this week's low as backup support
Gold is finally picking a direction and it's pointing up. The breakout from the trendline gives us some confidence, but we're still in range on higher TF.
The real test will be if we can push through 3340-45 and then tackle that bigger 3355-60 area. If we can do that, then we might be back in business for the bulls.
Gold price stabilizes above 3300Plan XAU day: 10 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) have pared a portion of their modest intraday gains but continue to maintain a positive bias for the second consecutive day, trading around the $3,320 level during the early European session on Thursday. Ongoing uncertainties surrounding US President Donald Trump’s trade policies and their potential implications for the global economy are keeping investors cautious. In addition, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower interest rates later this year continue to lend support to the non-yielding precious metal.
Meanwhile, the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting released on Wednesday indicated limited support for a potential rate cut as early as this month. This has provided a boost to the US Dollar (USD), which—alongside a broadly positive tone in equity markets—is capping the upside potential for gold as a safe-haven asset. As such, it would be prudent to await confirmation through sustained buying interest before anticipating further gains, as market participants turn their attention to upcoming US Weekly Jobless Claims data and speeches from Federal Reserve officials for near-term trading cues
personal opinion:!!!
Market accumulates, sideways above 3300 waiting for US unemployment news today
Important price zone to consider : !!!
support zone point: 3307 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold’s Recent Movement and Market SentimentXAUUSD: Gold Bounces Strongly From the Bottom, Is This the Start of a New Uptrend?
🌍 Macro Overview – Gold’s Recent Movement and Market Sentiment
Gold recently experienced a strong bounce from the 3.282 USD/oz low, reaching up to 3.317 USD/oz. This move has sparked some optimism, but let’s take a look at the key macro factors that might be affecting gold:
📉 US bond yields have dropped, signaling that market risk aversion is starting to return
💵 The USD remains strong, but buying interest for gold in Asia is increasing, as confidence in fiat currencies begins to wane
🇪🇺 The EU is pushing ahead with negotiations with the US on tariffs before the August 1st deadline. If these talks break down, gold could benefit significantly
🏦 The Fed is maintaining interest rates, but the market is betting that cuts could come in September if inflation remains under control
📊 US unemployment data and the Fed’s speech tonight will be key, with the market waiting anxiously for clues on the Fed’s next move
📊 Technical Analysis – Gold Approaching Key Resistance Zones
Gold is trading within a descending channel, but signs of a breakout are emerging after a solid test of the bottom.
Key resistance levels are around 3330 – 3340, and these will be crucial in determining whether gold can continue its upward momentum.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) has appeared between 3310 – 3320, which suggests that if buying pressure remains, a breakout could be on the horizon.
🎯 Trading Strategy for Today – Focused on Clear Entry Points
🟢 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3310 – 3308
SL: 3304
TP: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330
🔵 BUY ZONE (safer entry points):
Entry: 3290 – 3288
SL: 3284
TP: 3294 → 3298 → 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3320 → 3330
🔴 SELL SCALP (if price hits resistance levels):
Entry: 3335 – 3337
SL: 3342
TP: 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3300
⚫ SELL ZONE (strong resistance at 3360-3362):
Entry: 3360 – 3362
SL: 3366
TP: 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 → 3336 → 3330
📌 Note:
Always place SL and TP to protect your account, especially in a market that may experience significant volatility.
Monitor the volume from London and New York sessions for clearer market direction. A strong breakout above resistance could signal the start of a new uptrend.
💬 Gold has bounced strongly, but is this the start of a larger rally, or just a brief pullback? What do you think about today’s potential trend? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Gold Finds Support as Tariff Tensions RiseHello everyone! What’s your take on XAUUSD today?
OANDA:XAUUSD is showing a mild recovery, currently trading around $3,323, gaining over 100 pips on the day. Despite this bounce, the short-term structure still leans in favour of the bears.
On July 9th, President Biden announced a 50% tariff on copper and a projected 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals, following earlier notices of 25–40% tariffs imposed on 14 countries including Japan, South Korea, Thailand, Laos, and Malaysia.
This escalation has led to a sharp rise in international copper prices and reignited fears of global inflation, supply chain disruptions, and slower economic growth. As consumers cut back and companies face contract renegotiations, financial risk is spreading across global markets.
In this climate, investors are returning to gold as a safe haven, seeking capital protection in anticipation of broader market instability.
📈 Outlook: Gold prices may continue to rally in the short term if the U.S. unveils further tariff measures or reveals new negotiation drafts in the coming days.
Gold Update - July 10th, 2025Yesterday we have seen breakdown below Monday's low , but bulls again stepped in at the lower levels and pushed gold back above 3300 by the daily close. This was actually a really encouraging sign that buyers are still willing to defend this level.Things are looking a bit better now. Gold is trading above the weekly pivot, which is a positive shift from yesterday's weakness.
What's in the way:
The immediate challenge is that dynamic trendline you can see on the chart
Bulls need to break through this first ....
After that, the next big test is around 3340 this is a high volume area where we've seen plenty of action before.
old is basically stuck in a range between 3280-85 on the bottom and 3335-40 on the top. Right now, there's no clear direction.
We need a decisive break from this range. Until then, we're just watching price bounce between these levels without any real commitment from either buyers or sellers.
Selling pressure, gold downtrendPlan XAU day: 09 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to extend its decline on Wednesday for a second consecutive session, as the US Dollar (USD) and US Treasury yields strengthen ahead of the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has climbed to a two-week high, exerting downward pressure on XAU/USD, which has fallen below the $3,300 level at the time of writing.
The forthcoming release of the FOMC Minutes from the June meeting is anticipated to provide insight into the Federal Reserve’s internal discussions regarding the future course of monetary policy.
In June, the central bank chose to maintain its benchmark interest rate within the 4.25% to 4.50% range, citing continued labor market resilience and persistent inflationary pressures.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price is in the accumulation zone below 3300, big selling pressure. Pay attention to selling gold according to the trend line 3294
Important price zone to consider : !!!
support zone point: 3274; 3252 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Bearish Harmonic in Play – Silver Sell Zone TriggeredBearish Harmonic in Play – MCX:SILVER1! Sell Zone Triggered 🔔
The pattern marked from X → A → B → C → D forms a Bearish Harmonic Structure , most likely a Bearish Butterfly , confirmed by key Fibonacci ratios:
* XA to AB retracement: 78.8%
* BC to CD extension: 1.543
This setup signals the formation of a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) near point D , where a bearish trend may initiate.
📉 Bearish Price Outlook
The dotted projection lines and red arrow illustrate the anticipated downward move:
* Price is likely to face resistance and reverse from the PRZ between ₹108,771 and ₹109,850
* A break below ₹106,899 could trigger further decline toward key support levels at ₹103,904 and ₹98,810
Gold at a Crossroads – Rebound or Breakdown?Gold just faced a sharp sell-off as optimism surged around a potential trade truce. After President Trump announced a 25% tariff on Japan and South Korea, the deadline was surprisingly pushed to August 1st, giving countries room to negotiate. That pause eased market fears and triggered a short-term risk-on sentiment.
But the real pressure came from a stronger US Dollar and 10-year Treasury yields hitting a two-week high – a deadly combo for gold, which offers no yield. The shift in capital flow toward safer, interest-bearing assets pushed gold further into the red.
Now, all eyes are on the upcoming Fed minutes and speeches from key officials this week. If the tone is hawkish, gold could lose further ground. But a dovish hint might spark a bounce from the $3,290 support zone.
Gold Price Action Update - July 9th, 2025We have seen that gold retested crucial 3300 support level once again yesterday and managed to bounce back, closing above it by day's end. This suggesting that the bulls were still in control.
but again in eary asian session today Gold broke below 3300 and is now trading under Monday's low(3295-96).This is definitely a shift in momentum that we need to watch carefully.
If we stay below Monday's low (3295-96) and can't reclaim the weekly pivot, more downside pressure possible,
The next logical target /support would be the weekly S1 at 3268.
For any bullish recovery, we NEED to reclaim that weekly pivot at 3316,and 3345 our next major hurdle to overcome,while today's action looks bearish on the shorter timeframes, the daily close is still favoring the bulls for now. This creates an interesting dynamic where we're seeing some short-term weakness within what's still technically a bullish structure.
EURUSD - Sideways Action Sparks Reversal SpeculationHello traders, what are your expectations for EUR/USD?
Today, EUR/USD continues to move sideways around the 1.1800 mark during Thursday’s European session. The pair is showing signs of caution as the US Dollar gains ground amid optimism over a US–Vietnam trade deal.
From a technical perspective, the bullish trend still dominates as the price remains within an upward channel. However, a short-term pullback could be on the horizon, especially with buying momentum fading as EUR/USD approaches the upper boundary of the channel.
What do you think—could a reversal be forming from this zone?
Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Happy trading, everyone!
XAUUSD Short Setup – Bearish Structure Break & RetestI’m watching a clean bearish structure on Gold (XAUUSD) as follows:
✅ Trendline Rejections:
Price has respected a descending trendline with three confirmed lower highs, showing clear bearish pressure.
✅ Key Support Broken:
The 3,325–3,330 zone previously acted as strong support. Price has broken below this area with momentum.
✅ Potential Retest:
I expect a pullback retest of the broken support (now resistance) zone. If we see rejection in this area, I plan to enter short.
✅ Target Area:
The final target for this move is set near the 3,262–3,265 zone, which aligns with previous demand and potential liquidity levels.
🎯 Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: 3,325–3,330 (on retest confirmation)
Stop Loss: Above the descending trendline (~3,340+)
Target: 3,262
Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:2 or higher depending on entry execution
⚠️ Note:
Always confirm entries with price action (e.g., bearish engulfing candles or rejections) before entering. Manage risk properly as Gold can be volatile.
💬 What do you think? Share your thoughts and charts below!
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #ShortSetup
Buy Opportunity or A Sign of a Bigger Downtrend?Gold Reverses Below 3300 – Buy Opportunity or A Sign of a Bigger Downtrend?
🧭 Market Update: Is the Sell-Off Really That Dangerous?
Gold had a surprising reversal at the end of the US session yesterday, after a sudden sharp drop targeting the 329x liquidity zone, followed by strong buying momentum pushing the price back above this level.
When gold tested the liquidity zone below 3300, large buying volumes appeared and pushed prices above this region. Overall, the market has not yet made a clear decision for either the bulls or the bears. We are still in an accumulation phase, with liquidity sweeps happening around both highs and lows, so it's crucial for traders to stay cautious and focus on finding appropriate scalping points to enter and exit.
Short-Term Outlook: Buy Bias Takes Over Today
For today, the buy bias appears to be stronger than yesterday. Focus on buying early at continuation patterns to catch the market trend. The D1 candle from yesterday formed a wick rejection, showing that the selling pressure was absorbed and the buying momentum has returned in the short term. So, it’s important to be proactive and look for early buy opportunities.
In the M30 timeframe, a solid continuation pattern is forming in the 16-14 zone, which could be an ideal entry point for today. If the price drops further, we’ll watch for a test of the old bottom at 03-00, and we’ll wait for any strong downward momentum to confirm if the bearish trend continues. On the other hand, for those considering sell positions, caution is advised. As mentioned earlier, with yesterday’s D1 wick rejection, the SELL pressure has likely been absorbed, and BUY momentum may overpower in the next few days. Avoid rushing into sell trades prematurely.
Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Important Resistance: 3342 – 3353 – 3362 – 3381
Important Support: 3330 – 3314 – 3303 – 3295
Scalping Opportunities and Buy Zones:
BUY SCALP:
3316 – 3314
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3350
BUY ZONE:
3303 – 3301
Stop Loss: 3297
Take Profit: 3306 → 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 → 3340 → ????
Sell Opportunities and Caution on Bears:
SELL SCALP:
3362 – 3364
Stop Loss: 3368
Take Profit: 3358 → 3354 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330
SELL ZONE:
3380 – 3382
Stop Loss: 3386
Take Profit: 3376 → 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350
Key Takeaway:
We are at a crucial juncture where both bulls and bears are battling for control. Will gold bounce from the support and continue its bullish momentum, or will the sellers take charge and drag prices lower? Be patient and wait for clear price action signals before entering trades.
The market is currently in an accumulation phase, so don't rush into trades. Focus on buying when clear confirmations appear at support zones and be aware of sell rejections at key resistance levels.
💬 What’s Your View on Gold Today?
Do you think gold is ready to break 3390 and continue its bullish trend? Or are we looking at a deeper correction to 3270 in the coming days?
👇 Share your analysis and thoughts in the comments below! I’d love to hear your take on where gold is heading next! Let’s discuss and refine our strategies together!
XAUUSD Long Idea – Inverse Head & Shoulders ReversalTechnical Overview:
I’m observing a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern forming on the 4-hour chart:
✅ Left Shoulder: Formed around 3,270
✅ Head: Rejection and reversal near 3,190
✅ Right Shoulder: Higher low around 3,300
✅ Neckline: Approx. 3,350 zone
Price has broken above the neckline area and is currently retesting it as support, which strengthens the bullish case.
Trade Plan:
🔹 Entry: Current zone near 3,340–3,350 retest
🔹 Targets:
🎯 TP1: ~3,400 (recent structural high)
🎯 TP2: ~3,450–3,460 (major resistance block)
🔹 Stop Loss:
Below the right shoulder area at ~3,290 for risk containment
Rationale:
1. Inverse Head & Shoulders is a classic bullish reversal pattern
2. Break and retest of neckline suggests buyers stepping in
3. Momentum shift confirmed by higher low structure
Potential Path:
I expect price to bounce from the neckline retest and push towards the 3,400 psychological level. If momentum persists, continuation to the 3,450 resistance block is likely.
📊 Risk to Reward Estimate:
Approx. 1:2 to 1:3 depending on target selection
📝 Note:
This analysis is for educational purposes—always manage your risk and validate entries with your own confirmations.
Gold Bounces Back: Quick Recovery from 3300 SupportGold is now trading above this week's pivot at 3316, which is a positive development. This suggests the bulls are regaining control after yesterday's decline, Rather than breaking down after the failed attempt at 3360, gold is showing it can hold key support and bounce back quickly. This resilience is encouraging for the medium-term outlook.
Key Levels Moving Forward:
Support: 3300 (now proven)
Pivot: 3316 (currently holding above)
Resistance: 3360 (still the key level to break)
Gold Breaks Below 3300 – Smart Buy Opportunity ... Gold Breaks Below 3300 – Smart Buy Opportunity or Warning of a Larger Downtrend?
🧭 Weekly Kickoff: Is the Sell-off Really That Dangerous?
Gold opened this week with a sharp drop, falling to 3306 USD and even breaching the psychological 3300 level to dip into the 329x region. While this could be alarming at first glance, it's more likely a liquidity sweep than the beginning of a sustained downtrend.
The market seems to be preparing for accumulation before the next big move.
🌐 Macro Highlights Impacting Gold
US inflation continues to cool → creates room for the Fed to ease policy if needed
FOMC minutes due this week → traders eye clues for timing of potential rate cuts
Middle East tension eases → safe-haven demand slightly reduced
Trump’s new tax legislation approved → may increase US debt pressure
US–China trade war sees temporary pause → easing short-term geopolitical risk
Overall, this phase resembles a classic consolidation, where breakout potential is growing rapidly.
📉 Technical Outlook – CP Pattern in Focus
A Continuation Pattern (CP) is forming – typically a sign of trend continuation after correction. This suggests current downside movement could be a technical pullback rather than a true reversal.
Price rejected resistance at 3336, broke below 3323 support, and quickly tested the 3303 region – a highly sensitive short-term support.
If the 3293 level is breached, the next liquidity pool lies around 3278 USD, which could trigger aggressive buy interest.
📌 Key Trading Plan – 04 July
🔵 BUY ZONE
3294 – 3292
Stop Loss: 3288
Take Profit Targets: 3298 → 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330
🔴 SELL SCALP
3324 – 3326
Stop Loss: 3330
Take Profit: 3320 → 3316 → 3312 → 3308 → 3304 → 3300
🔴 SELL ZONE
3350 – 3352
Stop Loss: 3356
Take Profit: 3346 → 3340 → 3335 → 3330 → 3320
💡 Market Insight Today
This is a crucial “decision zone” for gold – the tug-of-war between bulls and bears is heating up. Will gold bounce off the 3290s and resume its upward journey, or are we heading for a deeper correction?
🧠 Keep an eye on the CP formation and price behaviour near key levels.
⚠️ Breakout traders should be patient – the real move may just be loading.
Gold Slips Sharply to Start the Week – What’s Next?Hello everyone! What are your thoughts on gold today?
As the new trading week kicks off, gold has taken a sharp dive, shedding over 200 pips and currently hovering around $3,316 at the time of writing.
The short-term bearish momentum remains intact, especially after breaking below the key $3,325 support level. The confluence of the EMA 34, EMA 89, and the former support-now-resistance zone forms a critical ceiling. Unless the bulls manage to reclaim this area, the downward trend is likely to persist, keeping sellers in control.
So, what’s your outlook for gold? Is this just a dip—or the start of a deeper correction?
Gold Weekly Analysis : Monday 07/07/2025Gold made a solid attempt to break higher last week, but that 3360 resistance level (previous week's R1) proved to be a tough line to break. The bulls pushed hard but couldn't secure a clean breakout, and now we're seeing some of that momentum fade.
Price opened with a decline today, showing some weakness after last week's failed breakout attempt. This is typical behavior after hitting resistance, some profit-taking and repositioning is expected.
This week's pivot is at 3316, which is actually ascending from last week's 3308 pivot. This is still a positive sign and suggests the underlying structure remains constructive despite the recent pullback.
In the bigger timeframe, gold is still consolidating within a range. We're not seeing a complete breakdown of the bullish structure yet, but rather a pause after the rejection at key resistance.
Critical Levels to Watch:
Upside Breakout Level: Last week's high around 3360 remains the key level bulls need to reclaim for any meaningful continuation higher.
Defense Zone: The 3300-3308 area is crucial support. This zone encompasses both the psychological 3300 level and the previous week's pivot. Bulls need to defend this area to maintain their recent gains.
If price slides below 3300, we could see a decline back toward that recent swing low area. This would signal that the bulls have lost control of the near-term momentum.
Gold Holds the Line and Rallies – A Strong Weekly Close in SightAfter holding firm at the support level around $3,250 per ounce, gold is on track to end this shortened trading week with a notable gain. This is an encouraging sign for investors, highlighting that gold’s appeal remains strong despite recent volatility.
The recent sell-off was not entirely unexpected, as the market recalibrates its interest rate expectations. However, the long-term bullish trend for gold remains intact, even as the price consolidates within a narrow range.
SilverSilver ( OANDA:XAGUSD ) – Bearish Head & Shoulders Forming on 4H Chart
Silver is currently trading at $35.95/oz and forming a Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4-hour chart — a classic bearish reversal setup. The right shoulder is still in formation, with the neckline support around $35.26.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Neckline: $35.26
Breakdown Target: $33.24
Pattern Type: Bearish Head & Shoulders
⚠️ A decisive break below the neckline could trigger a short-term correction toward $33.24. Until then, price action near the neckline should be watched closely for confirmation.
📉 Short bias on breakdown. Wait for confirmation before entry.
Is EURUSD About to Reverse? Key Support in DangerHello traders, what are your thoughts on EURUSD?
Today, EURUSD is facing a clear risk of a downside correction following stronger-than-expected Nonfarm Payroll data. This immediately boosted the US dollar, threatening the pair’s recent bullish momentum.
On the H4 chart, a CHOCH (Change of Character) pattern has just formed, signaling weakening buying pressure. If the price breaks below the 1.1745 support, the following BOS (Break of Structure) sequence could confirm a shift to a bearish market structure. With the Fed likely to maintain higher interest rates for longer and delay rate cut expectations, the USD stands to benefit further.
What do you think — could this be the start of a major reversal?