Bajaj Auto Ltd.: Descending Wedge - Breakout or Breakdown?Bajaj Auto Ltd. is currently trading within a descending wedge pattern, indicating potential consolidation or a breakout scenario. Here’s the technical breakdown:
Key Observations
Descending Wedge:
The price is narrowing, with lower highs and lows, signaling reduced selling momentum.
Support Zone:
₹8,800–₹8,900 serves as a strong support level. A breakdown below this could lead to further downside.
Resistance Levels:
₹9,262.90: Immediate resistance.
₹9,642.45 and ₹9,995.55: Higher levels to watch in case of a breakout.
Trade Outlook
Bullish View:
A breakout above the wedge’s upper trendline signals upward momentum, targeting ₹9,262 and beyond.
Bearish View:
A breakdown below ₹8,800 could push the price to ₹8,600 or ₹8,400.
Niftyauto
Viaz Tyres Ltd: On the Verge of a Major Breakout or ReversalKey Highlights:
Resistance Zone (₹70-₹72):
The chart shows a well-defined resistance zone marked in red. This level has been tested multiple times without a breakout, making it a critical hurdle for the stock.
Ascending Trendline Support:
The blue trendline indicates a steady upward movement, with the stock consistently making higher lows. This trendline is currently acting as a strong support level, near ₹63.
Critical Support Level (₹53.90):
A red horizontal line at ₹53.90 highlights a strong support zone. If the price breaks below the ascending trendline, this level could act as the next major support.
Volume Analysis:
The stock is witnessing moderate volume near the consolidation phase, indicating indecision. A spike in volume could confirm a breakout or breakdown.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Outlook:
A breakout above ₹72 with strong volume could lead to a rally towards ₹85 or higher.
The ascending trendline suggests a positive bias as long as the price respects this support.
Bearish Outlook:
A breakdown below the trendline (₹63) may push the stock towards ₹53.90, the next support zone.
Failure to hold ₹53.90 could trigger further downside.
Takeaway:
The stock is currently consolidating between ₹65-₹72, forming a critical juncture for traders and investors. A breakout above resistance or breakdown below support levels will determine the next trend. Keep a close watch on volume for confirmation of the next move.
TVSMOTORReasons for considering a long position on TVS Motor:
1. Price at Support Zone: The daily horizontal support zone indicates a level where demand has historically been strong, which could push the price higher from here.
2. Above 200-Day Moving Average: Trading above this long-term moving average suggests a bullish trend, as it’s a widely-watched indicator of a stock’s overall direction.
3. Positive Relative Strength Against Nifty: Outperforming the Nifty shows that TVS Motor has stronger momentum, a good sign of investor confidence in this stock specifically.
4. Nifty Auto at Support Zone and 200-Day Moving Average: The sector’s overall strength at support, combined with it holding above the 200-day moving average, adds a supportive macro backdrop.
Waiting for confirmation with a CHOCH (Change of Character) on the 1-hour timeframe is a solid approach. Here’s a structured plan based on that:
1. Wait for CHOCH on 1-Hour: The CHOCH would confirm a potential shift in market structure, signaling the beginning of bullish momentum. This adds more reliability to the trade setup.
2. Entry on Retest / FVG / IFVG:
• Retest: After the CHOCH, a retest of the breakout zone could provide an optimal entry, ensuring the breakout holds.
• Fair Value Gap (FVG): If an FVG appears within this structure, entering here could capture the shift in momentum at a lower-risk point.
• Imbalance Fair Value Gap (IFVG): An entry on an IFVG could further refine your risk-to- reward ratio, especially if market liquidity fills these gaps.
TATA MOTORSReasons to consider going long on Tata Motors:
1. Technical Support Levels: Tata Motors is positioned at a horizontal support level and a fair value gap on the daily timeframe, indicating potential for a reversal or bounce.
2. Fundamental Strength: Tata Motors is fundamentally strong, likely benefiting from a well- positioned product line, growing market share, and financial resilience.
3. Sector Support: The Nifty Auto index is also at its support level and is taking support at the 200-day moving average, which could signal broader strength for the auto sector and support upward movement for stocks like Tata Motors.
Waiting for confirmation with a CHOCH (Change of Character) on the 1-hour timeframe is a solid approach. Here’s a structured plan based on that:
1. Wait for CHOCH on 1-Hour: The CHOCH would confirm a potential shift in market structure, signaling the beginning of bullish momentum. This adds more reliability to the trade setup.
2. Entry on Retest / FVG / IFVG:
• Retest: After the CHOCH, a retest of the breakout zone could provide an optimal entry, ensuring the breakout holds.
• Fair Value Gap (FVG): If an FVG appears within this structure, entering here could capture the shift in momentum at a lower-risk point.
• Imbalance Fair Value Gap (IFVG): An entry on an IFVG could further refine your risk-to- reward ratio, especially if market liquidity fills these gaps.
M&MThese are compelling reasons to consider a long position on M&M:
* Daily Support Level: When a stock holds at a daily support level, it often signals a buying opportunity as it tends to attract buyers, limiting downside risk.
* Above 200-Day Moving Average: This is a strong indicator of an uptrend. Trading above the 200-day moving average often suggests positive sentiment and longer-term bullishness.
* Relative Strength Against Nifty: Outperforming the broader market, such as Nifty, shows investor confidence in M&M compared to other sectors, suggesting resilience and potential for further upside.
* Nifty Auto on Support: Support in the Nifty Auto index can help support M&M’s price movement since positive sentiment across the sector typically benefits individual auto stocks.
Waiting for confirmation with a CHOCH (Change of Character) on the 1-hour timeframe is a solid approach. Here’s a structured plan based on that:
* Wait for CHOCH on 1-Hour: The CHOCH would confirm a potential shift in market structure, This adds more reliability to the trade setup.
* Entry on Retest / FVG / IFVG:
• Retest: After the CHOCH, a retest of the breakout zone could provide an optimal entry, ensuring the breakout holds.
• Fair Value Gap (FVG): If an FVG appears within this structure, entering here could capture the shift in momentum at a lower-risk point.
• Imbalance Fair Value Gap (IFVG): An entry on an IFVG could further refine your risk-to- reward ratio, especially if market liquidity fills these gaps.
Sobha LtdAll important points are marked.
𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐫: 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐬𝐮𝐛𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤𝐬, 𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐝𝐨𝐜𝐮𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐟𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐛𝐞𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠. 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐞𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞. 𝐖𝐞 𝐝𝐨𝐧𝐭 𝐦𝐚𝐤𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐬𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐥𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐜𝐨𝐬𝐭.
Macrotech developers Ltd (LODHA)All important points are marked.
𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐫: 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐬𝐮𝐛𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤𝐬, 𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐝𝐨𝐜𝐮𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐟𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐛𝐞𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠. 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐞𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞. 𝐖𝐞 𝐝𝐨𝐧𝐭 𝐦𝐚𝐤𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐬𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐥𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐜𝐨𝐬𝐭.
Mahindra and Mahindra ltdAll important points are marked.
𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐫: 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐬𝐮𝐛𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤𝐬, 𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐝𝐨𝐜𝐮𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐜𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐟𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐛𝐞𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠. 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬 𝐬𝐮𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐞𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞. 𝐖𝐞 𝐝𝐨𝐧𝐭 𝐦𝐚𝐤𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐲𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐬𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐥𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐜𝐨𝐬𝐭.
TVS SUPPLY CHAIN SOL - Swing Trade Analysis - 21st April #stocksTVS SUPPLY CHAIN SOLUTIONS (1D TF) - Swing Trade Analysis given on 21st April, 2024
Pattern: ASCENDING TRIANGLE
- Volume Buildup at Resistance - Done ✓
- Resistance Breakout - In Progress
- Demand Zone Retest & Consolidation - In Progress
* Disclaimer
#tvs #niftyauto
Eicher motors around the resistance zone (26/02/24)
The stock has taken a nice support from the weekly 20 EMA and has closed around the previous candle close.
There is a resistance zone around 3950-3985. If this resistance is clear and price sustain above the level. There will be chance of stock touch its recent high around 4160 level.
In case there is a pullback and price action near the support zone (3765-3800) shows some positivity, a nice R:R ratio trade can be captured.
Possibility of stock dropping below the support zone is quite less and if it occures, short opportunity will be there upto the next support level.
Major support zone :- 3765-3800, 3600-3625
Positional trades in the stock can be created in this week as per the trend.
On the daily charts market is consolidating and there are chance of a break out. Next thursday being the monthly expiry march expiry options can be trades.
Both side momentum is possible in the stock. Nifty Auto is trading around the ATH.
Wait for the price action on the daily charts and enter accordingly.
TATAMOTORS BreakoutTata Motors Limited is an automobile company engaged in manufacturing motor vehicles.
TTM EPS: 31.98
TTM PE: 19.61
P/B: 0.73
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 208,392
Dividend Yield: 0.32
Sector PE: 52.69
Book Value Per Share: 863.26
Some Positives:
Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long term moving averages
Strong Annual EPS Growth
Good quarterly growth in the recent results
Efficient in managing Assets to generate Profits - ROA improving since last 2 year
Growth in Quarterly Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (YoY)
Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years
FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding
Recent Results : Growth in Operating Profit with increase in operating margins (YoY)
Some Negatives:
Companies with High Debt
MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter
The decline in Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (QoQ)
Declining Net Cash Flow: Companies not able to generate net cash
My Opinion: Tata motors can see an upside move. Invested for the long term.
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE. Thanks
ASHOK LAYLAND Side base to Bullish SignalIn daily time frame it's follow side base trend . Due to quarterly report revenue was down by 2.91%(-2.905B). For long term view it's a bullish .
But here support was 165.35 and resistance 190.
If it break 190 resistance with great volume and take a retrace at this level then you can make position for long term .
Sona BLW Precisions (SonaComstar) NSE:SONACOMS
A great proxy player to Automobile Industry with great fundamentals and it was backed by one of the biggest fund house in the world Blackstone.
Stock was in sharp impulse wave which is wave 1. After impulse stock was in running triple three correction which is wave 2. Running triple three correction can be difficult to identify but give very good opportunity to hop into main trend which is in this case is bullish trend.
Basic rule is wave 3 is most of the time is extended one. So, After Running triple three correction I think stock is in extended wave 3. My target for wave 3 is 995.
NIFTY AUTO Sector Analysis (1W TF) - 16th December 2023#NIFTYAUTO Sector Analysis (1W TF)
Pattern: ASCENDING CHANNEL PATTERN
- If it breaks the Resistance zone then it could be expected to move to the top of the channel trendline
#stocks #swingtrade #chartanalysis #priceaction #traderyte #india #indiagdp #StockMarketindia
VARROC ENGINEERING - TREND IS CHANGINGFUNDAMENTALS
Varroc belongs to auto ancilliary sector.
One of the strongest OEM player to ride this bull run on auto sectors.
Ready for EV and had rolled out a lot of stuff for 2 wheelers already. Engine Valves, Lighting, Forging, ADAS ; you just name it and they make that.
The company is not only catering to Indian markets but have manufacturing setup outside india as well for global business..
One of the key points to note is that Varroc has very low public float around 8%.
75% with promoters, 5% with FIIs, and 12% with DIIs (MFs mainly)
While things went bit haywire post 2019 and company's growth went sideways to negative, it looks like they are back on track.
The current market cap is just under 8500 Crores (At cmp 555) while the Enterprise Value is value is already above 9600 Crores.
PE ratio is on a higher side amongst the peers but that would get adjusted with the expected rise in sales and underlying profits.
Cash flows of the company has also significantly improved.
Company has been taking initiative to lower down it's debt and its net debt to EBITDA had improved significantly (WALK the TALK).
While some business has seen some dip in European markets, the overall order book is very healthy and the results of all the initiatives shall reflect in the financials in next couple of years.
TECHNICAL
On technical charts it has broken out of 2019-2020 levels which it attempted to touch base in 2022 and recently in Sep/Oct 2023 as well. This attempt on 17 Nov 2023 has successfully cleared the resistance on weekly charts with rising volumes. Another interesting thing is that there was high volume rejection in May 2022 when it peaked around 493 in the month of April 2022; the current price and volume trend has even taken off those rejection levels with ease.
740 is a very very initial trading target (weak below 430) while I look this scrip as a portfolio buy for minimum 2-3 years time frame with targets of 1100 ++ (Weak below 400)
PS: From cmp of 555 this could be a doubler or multibagger in making. CLose watch on QoQ performance for next 6 quarters shall reveal a lot about the company.
Breakout Analysis: BAJAJ Auto Reaches All-Time HighOverview
BAJAJ Auto has given a beautiful breakout of its all-time high with impressive trading volume.
Currently trading at an all-time high, this presents an exciting trading opportunity.
Today's candle is notably bullish, signaling strong potential for gains.
Why It Matters
Breakout : When a stock breaks through a key resistance level (like an all-time high), it often signifies a bullish trend.
Volume : High trading volume confirms the strength of a breakout.
Bullish Candle : A bullish candle indicates that buyers are in control and prices may continue to rise.
Remember
This analysis is for educational purposes only , and I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance.
💪 Embrace the world of trading with confidence! Remember: "Trade wisely, and the profits will follow." 📊💰
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Nifty Auto Sector AnalysisUpcoming Week / Days
Looks like Auto Sector is going to outperform
The formation of the Chart Nifty Auto Looks interesting
RSI is overbought zone, whenever RSI goes above 70 the tendency of the sector is to fall back & touch the 21/50 day EMA giving an ample opportunity to buy stocks in the sector
Though RS (Nifty) is above 0 still looking nice for an upmove
#NiftyAuto | Trading inside a parallel channelHello Viewer or Traders,
#NiftyAuto trading inside a parallel channel . Sellers are trying but buers still not giving up. We are standing at a decision making area. A weekly closing below the parallel channel will give eraly indication of a possible downtrend. Keep checking your stocks and book profits as required. #NiftyTrading #IndianStockMarket