In monthly chart wave completed at 6357, wave completed at 2252,
and in wave may be 5th wave is running from 7511.
38% projection of that wave (5) is already achieved but it is below earlier high and 61% is coming at 13598. so wave (5) completion range can be 12428-13598.
wave 5 started from 11181 is already trading in its extended zone and 100% projection is at 11696. above 100% projection of wave 5 is a rare case.
And if nifty cross 11696 then we will change wave count as under:
10790-11305 wave (a or i)
11305-11181 wave (b or ii)
11181-116** wave (c or iii) is running.
If we are right in this count then nifty will decline...
Nifty needs to break below 11441 in quick time if it completed its wave (v) at 11578 and 11383-11181 are immediate targets because extended wave (v) retraces 100% in quick time.
But it nifty crosses 11578 without breaking below 11441 then we will consider wave (iii) completed at 11578 and wave (v) started from 11452.
Move from 11221-11578 is very sharp and steep...
Wave 5 started from 11181 has achieved its minimum projection.
By looking at the internal wave count of wave 5 it seems wave (iii) is completed at 11424 and wave (iv) is completed at 11383 OR still in progress and wave (v) is still pending.
Earlier we have considered wave iii at 11072 but now it seems iii has completed at 11305 and wave iv at 11181 which is almost 23% retracement.
And if wave iv is completed at 11181 then projections of wave v is coming at 11377-11499.
we were expecting more than 38% retracement because counted five wave completed at 11305 and looking for wave (b or ii) which can...
In 30min chart immediate resistance range is coming at 10900-10970.
Note:- I am considering internal (i) and (ii) of (3) because expecting bigger decline. if this wave count is wrong then nifty can bounce quickly towards 11260.
Bounce from 11185 is looks like an impulsive wave and wave v of that impulse has already achieved its minimum projection.
Now this impulse can be:
(i) wave C of irregular correction-Nifty can decline below 11185 in that case.
(ii) New impulse- Nifty can give retracement of this impulsive bounce and then again bounce above 11794.