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Morning Mantra - 2nd August 2023Dear All, It was indeed quite a choppy day yesterday. Where somehow the unfortunate thing is that it has been for back to back 2 days that Nifty is failing to cross over the level of 19800. Although, on the other hand, Nifty is currently above 19550 and just as we had stated earlier, it seems that Nifty is creating a platform for another new high. So, once again with the stop loss of 19550, keep rebalancing your portfolio and keep following the Cherry Picking Strategy for now for the magical and psychological figure of 20000. Happy Trading! Keep Investing! Regards , Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
01 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - better to stay neutral ✌️I had a long bias on Nifty from yesterday, the gap up was expected but the fall from 10.10 to 10.45 looked quite surprising to me. NiftyIT was supporting, the earlier fall came mostly from the FinNifty components - its understandable as its expiry. The much awaited levels to watch out for were 19700 to 19680 where nifty had spent some time yesterday as well as on 27th Jul. The below chart will show the relevance of 19700 levels a break would have ensured in a bias shift from long to neutral. The 60pts ~ 0.31% rally that followed till 13.30 gave hopes to the bulls. But for any bullish activity we need some strong action tomorrow, the volume + price action in RELIANCE in the closing minutes did not favorable, so before fresh longs we will monitor the price action during the opening 1hr tomorrow. Till then its better that we stay neutral. ... Comment with your thoughts, opinion or bias, I will respond with the levels I am watching for tomorrow !
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
Nifty trade setup for 31-07-2023Nifty important intraday levels to watch for 31-07-2023 #Support: 19560 Short if candle closes below 19560. #resistance: 19770 Long if candle closes above 19770. #Targets on downside after break of support. Target 1= 19470 Target 2= 19380 #Targets on upside after break of resistance. Target 1= 19760 Target 2= 19850 Target 3= 19970 Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal on either side. Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always keep stoploss in order to protect your capital. Follow us for more such information and educational ideas. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section.
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestyourAsset
Morning Mantra - 1st August 2023Dear All, Just as we had stated yesterday that after observing the formation of a Doji pattern on the Day chart, we are expecting a bounce back in Nifty. Likewise, we did experience the same yesterday itself. Another positive factor here is that we can now observe the formation of a Hammer pattern on the chart of Nifty. So it is somehow indicating a further uprise in the Market, which altogether is being expected to be witnessed today itself. So, once again we are with our words that above 19800 , we will be ready for our psychological figure of 20000. Furthermore, in the meanwhile with the stop loss of 19550, continue Rebalancing your Portfolio and keep following the Cherry Picking Strategy for now. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
FASP levels for Nifty 01/08/2023The FASP for Nifty is listed for 01-08-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities. What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)? It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds. Validity of the levels: 1 Day How to use these levels? The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options. Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
NSE:NIFTY
by SathishChandrasekaran
28 Jul ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty Beautiful recovery final 45mts🐂The open was as expected and the first 2 candles made sense when we retouched yesterday’s swing low.But what followed after that was more of a discouragement for the bears. No matter how hard the bears try - they are unable to push down the prices. We had a gradual fall to the intraday low of 19563 which was hit by 13.45 - and this was the time by which the bulls took over. The bulls were able to rally Nifty back to yesterday's closing level. By 15.07 Nifty turned green and then dipped a bit to close at 19646 just 0.07% in red. The last 45mts helped Nifty climb 99pts ~ 0.51% on what looked like a fairy tale like ending. The real reason was the lack of participation of commodity, consumption, energy, fmcg, pharma and metal indices. Finally it seemed like only the financial and IT indices wanted RED. What today’s move means is Nifty50 is an untradeable range as of now, we need to either break 19521 on the downside or break 19729 on the upside for a directional game. ... Comment with your thoughts, opinion or bias, I will respond with mine :)
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
Morning Mantra - 31st July 2023Dear All, Just as we had stated in the last week , about witnessing a supply pressure in Nifty as a result of observing a Shooting Star formation on the weekly chart. Likewise, the same was observed in the previous week itself. Now for this week, as per the Day chart setup, we can observe a Doji formation on the chart. Which altogether indicates that in a very short term, we can get to witness a little bounce back in Nifty. However, on the other hand, as per the Weekly chart, there’s still an indication of a little supply pressure . Although we had already stated about the necessity of witnessing either a breakout of 19800 or breakout of 19550 in Nifty. So, according to that Nifty took a beautiful support just around our stated level of 19550, as it made a low of 19563 on the last Friday. Therefore, on this positive note we are still with our words that the overall market sentiments still seem to be positive. So, with the stop loss of 19550, continue rebalancing your portfolio and keep following the Cherry picking strategy, for now. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
FASP levels for Nifty 31/07/2023The FASP for Nifty is listed for 31-07-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities. What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)? It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds. Validity of the levels: 1 Day How to use these levels? The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options. Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
NSE:NIFTY
by SathishChandrasekaran
Nifty weekly analysis for 31/07/23.After 4 weeks in green market has given a halt candle near the high forming a red doji candle. Even on the daily charts, market has formed a doji, on the lower side of the range in which it was trading. The monthly expiry was a good one and the trend remain on the sell side whole day. Nifty is trading around 20 ema (daily) and if it breaches the levels it can test 19500 levels. On the hourly charts, market is trading below the 20 ema and can go to test the 200 ema, if it start trading below 19500. Support :- 19565, 19500, 19370 Resistance :- 19650, 19730 The market supports are nearby and it can reverse from any of the support. Try to keep targets small on the down side. Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
NSE:NIFTY
by TheMamboMomentum
Morning Mantra - 28th July 2023Dear All, Just as we had stated yesterday, about our expectation of witnessing a selling pressure . Likewise the same was observed in the Market yesterday itself. Moreover, yesterday Nifty made a low of 19603, which was somehow very near to our stated support level of 19550 (with a difference of only 50 points approx). Furthermore, since today is the last trading of the week, therefore we have to be quite cautious. As once again, there’s a probability of witnessing some supply pressure in the Market. Last but not the least, as of now it will be very important for us to witness a closing of above 19550 in Nifty. Regards , Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTY
by alokdaiya
27 Jul ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty + Weekly + Monthly AnalysisNifty Monthly Analysis Nifty is up 707pts ~ 3.73% this July Expiry month. The breakout from the last known resistance of 18880 came on the last working day of the previous month. All Nifty had to do was sustain that momentum and see where it has taken it? Almost for 11 days Nifty revised its all time highs. The last 5 days has been pretty unlucky for the bulls. Nifty Weekly Analysis Probably this was the only week in this month that belonged to the bears, we dropped 268pts ~ 1.34% between the last expiry and today. And this is the first week in this current month where nifty did not hit a new all time high. Although I had taken the short position from last friday, it was negated in the trade yesterday. And I am back to square one today as Nifty shows bearishness. Nifty Daily Analysis Nifty fell an impressive 264pts ~ 1.33% today and did 2 important things today. Broke the island gap formation of yesterday, immediately negating the bullish stance Broke the swing low of day before yesterday confirming continuation in bearish stance. In yesterday’s analysis we did discuss the possibility of a fake move if Nifty retouches the 19600 levels. I wanted that to happen in the forenoon, but it happened only by 15.00. And the last 30mts nifty gained back 100 points to close in decent territory. The 2 abrupt moves took out my stop losses in either direction, so this week it was all learning and no earning 🙂 Yesterday’s island formation encircled, to enter the prior session’s bearish stance - nifty will have to fall below 19540 tomorrow. This may seem quite too much as US markets SPX, DJI and NDQ are currently celebrating better than expected GDP data. Regarding the options premium behaviour - I will discuss in the banknifty analysis below. ... Please comment with your thoughts, opinion or bias, I will respond with mine!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
FASP levels for Nifty 28/07/2023The FASP for Nifty is listed for 28-07-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities. What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)? It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds. Validity of the levels: 1 Day How to use these levels? The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options. Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
NSE:NIFTY
by SathishChandrasekaran
Nifty trade Setup for 27-07-2023Nifty important intraday levels to watch for 27-07-2023 #Support: 19760 Short if candle closes below 19760. #resistance: 19820 Long if candle closes above 19820. #Targets on downside after break of support. Target 1= 19670 Target 2= 19580 Target 3= 19500 #Targets on upside after break of resistance. Target 1= 18880 Target 2= 19990-20000 Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal on either side. Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always keep stoploss in order to protect your capital. Follow us for more such information and educational ideas. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section.
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestyourAsset
Morning Mantra - 27th July 2023Dear All, Just as we had stated yesterday about witnessing a bounce back in Nifty. Likewise the same was observed in the Market, yesterday itself. So as per the current scenario, Nifty somehow seems to be creating a platform in between the levels of 19800-19550. Therefore, in such a situation we have to be stock specific and have to keep rebalancing our portfolio. Moreover, since today is the day of weekly settlement, therefore we have also to be cautious for the day. In the meanwhile, with the stop loss of 19550 , we can continue following the Cherry Picking strategy for now. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
26 Jul ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty | A trend reversal in store?Today’s gap up opening and the race towards 19825 took out my stop loss. From last Friday we were short on Nifty, this stop loss hit proves to me that the bears are short lived in our market. Nifty50 went up 147pts ~ 0.75% from the prev. close enough to take out the 19800 levels where I had placed the protective stop. The main reason for the rally was the boost in RIL, ITC and LT. Until the high of the day was formed - NiftyIT was also supporting it. And at 11.15 NiftyIT started reversing whereas banknifty which was starting to fall reversed. The contra move in NiftyIT and BankNifty was like a script from a tamil movie (perfectly musical). The final effect was Nifty50 was able to hold its ground. At around 11.30, I was not able to agree with the technicals and took a smaller position - bought 19600 PE @ 10.5. Now I have 2 opposite positions of long and short on Nifty50 carried forward to the expiry tomorrow. Most likely the PE position will expire worthless or I may have to convert it into a ratio spread. The negation of the short-term bearish trend is visible + the island formation due to the gap up. If we get a mega gap down tomorrow, i.e. a quick fall below the 19650 levels - I will be more inclined to ride on the bear wave and consider today’s price action as a fake. ... Please comment with your thoughts, opinion or bias, I will respond with mine!
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
Nifty analysis for 27/07/23 (monthly expiry).Nifty traded inside the first hour candle and closed 100 points higher forming a confusion candle charts. The market are consolidating and creating confusion. On the hourly charts, started trading above the 20 ema after the gap up and took support from the levels. Nifty traded in 70 points range after the first hour candle. Initially, both the indices were travelling in different direction and nifty leading but finally banknifty also followed the index and closed above 46k levels. On 15 minutes chart, there was a constant rejection from 19825 levels and closed below the 20 ema after the fall of the final hour. Support :- 19760, 19700, 19640 Resistance :- 19825, 91870 ,19990 Nifty has consolidated and can give nice trend on the monthly expiry. Watch for the movement as option premium can give nice movement too. Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
NSE:NIFTY
by TheMamboMomentum
Nifty Trade setup for 05-07-2023Nifty important intraday levels to watch for 25-07-2023 #Support: 19660 Short if candle closes below 19660. #resistance: 19760 Long if candle closes above 19760. #Targets on downside after break of support. Target 1= 19600 Target 2= 19500 #Targets on upside after break of resistance. Target 1= 19820 Target 2= 19870 Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal on either side. Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always keep stoploss in order to protect your capital. Follow us for more such information and educational ideas. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section.
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestyourAsset
Morning Mantra - 26th July 2023Dear All, From back to back 2 days, we have been witnessing a supply pressure in Nifty. Where on the other hand, we have also been witnessing a stock specific momentum in the Market. Well on the day chart of Nifty, we can now observe a beautiful hammer formation . So, here we are expecting to witness a bounce back in Nifty, Today . Furthermore, it is being expected that as of now Nifty will continue to make a platform in between its range of 19800-19550. So, for now with the stop loss of 19550, continue Rebalancing your Portfolio and keep following the Cherry Picking Strategy. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
25 Jul ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - Starting to Breakdown?Nifty had a decent recovery between 13.35 to 14.55 where it gained back 89pts ~ 0.46% after it fell 96pts ~ 0.49% from the open. The moves were exactly similar to the financial service index - because it was caused by the FinNifty components. This casts the doubt that it could be an expiry related move rather than a natural pullback. For better clarity we would need to wait for tomorrow’s trade. Ideally Nifty was poised to continue the falling chat pattern as confirmed by the diverging moving average slope. I almost thought 19600 will get taken out for good today, but that's exactly the area from which it reversed and gained up all the lost points. It will be interesting if tomorrow’s trade happens below the 19670 levels which might give the 19707 levels a temporary resistance zone. I still continue to hold the bearish view unless proved wrong by taking out the immediate swing high. ... Please comment with your feedback & suggestions - I will use that to improve my services! viswaram. com
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
Morning Mantra - 25th July 2023Dear All, Just as we had stated yesterday about witnessing a supply pressure from the current levels as a result of the shooting star formation on the weekly chart of Nifty. Likewise the very same was observed in the Market yesterday itself. For now, the level of 19550 will remain to be the level of support for Nifty. With which, we can continue following the Cherry Picking strategy and Rebalancing of the Portfolio. Furthermore, now an either side movement of a fresh breakout of above 20000 or a breakdown of 19550 will decide the next move of Nifty. Till then, Keep Trading, Keep Investing! Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya