Vinati Orgncs: Gearing Up for big move.Vinati Organics has been consolidating for 2 years in a unique supply-demand conversion zone.
In the first year, it traded in a rectangle pattern, making higher highs. Later, it underwent a trend reversal, forming a triangular pattern with lower highs. Throughout this period, it held one support level, as its visible from chart.
Today, it made a good move and retested its resistance. If it breaks its trend line with volume tomorrow, it could be an excellent opportunity to add some positions.
The chemical sector has been going through a correction phase, but now it seems promising to invest in.
We can take a long position in this stock with a potential target of at least 20%. To manage risk, we'll set a reasonable stop loss of 15%
Buy-1960
Target- 2350
StopLoss- 1650
If your thought also aligns with this analysis do consider boosting this.
Note- Do your own Analysis before investing.
Nse
Indraprastha Gas: Breakdown or potential rise ?Hello guys I am back with another Interesting Analysis.
This time we will discuss about Indraprastha Gas Ltd. in a very easy to understand and end of the section I will reveal my personal opinion on this stock.
Current Chart Pattern:
Currently, the stock is in an uptrend, following an ascending parallel channel pattern. When we examine the daily timeframe, it's evident that the stock has been consolidating within this pattern for the past 1.5 years.
Previous Price movement:
Looking at the weekly timeframe, the stock was previously moving in a rising wedge pattern. However, in 2021, it experienced a breakdown and underwent a correction of 50%.
Current price movement.
>>Since that decline, it has initiated an uptrend movement while forming the current channel pattern.
>>Recently, the stock experienced a 15% decline again from its peak and moved outside of its parallel channel pattern.
My Commentary on "will it fall or Rise".
So, When we look at how this stock behaved in the past, we see that after big drops, it often bounced back strongly. This time, the stock has fallen below its usual support area, which seems like a normal pullback. Interestingly, it found support at Fibonacci S3 (420 level) and started rising again.
Now, Looking at its Financial data everything looks great, The company is currently undergoing its highest-ever sales and profits.
To cut the Long story short, I'm still positive about this stock, considering this level as good opportunity. But when it comes to entry it is better to wait for a strong confirmation. Ideal entry would be when it breaks the 450 level with comparatively big green engulfing candle, we can take a small stop loss at 415 level to capture atleast 25%.
Do consider pressing the boost button🚀🚀, It helps me bring more interesting analysis. And if you've any question and suggestion please feel free to post in comment section.
Note: This is for informational purposes only. Do your own research before investing.
BEL - A Breakout Opportunity NSE:BEL
Bharat Electronics Limited is engaged in design, manufacture and supply of electronics products/systems for defense as well as for nondefense markets. The Company's principal products include weapon systems, radar and fire control systems etc.
TTM EPS: 10.72
TTM PE: 21.86
Sector PE: 30.84
Book Value Per Share: 45.45
P/B: 5.16
Face Value: 1
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 57,101
Dividend Yield: 1.71
Some Positives:
Rising Net Cash Flow and Cash from Operating activity
Company with high TTM EPS Growth
New 52 Week High
Growth in Quarterly Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (YoY)
Company with No Debt
Increasing Revenue every quarter for the past 2 quarters
Strong cash generating ability from core business - Improving Cash Flow from operation for last 2 years
Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow for last 2 years
Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding
Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long term moving averages
Some Negatives:
Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects
MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter
Inefficient use of assets to generate profits - ROA declining in the last 2 years
Decline in Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (QoQ)
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE. Thanks
TEXRAIL - Doubler in making? NSE:TEXRAIL
Texmaco Rail & Engineering Limited is engaged in the business of manufacturing of rolling stock, hydro mechanical equipment, steel castings, agricultural and other equipment.
TTM EPS: 1.10
TTM PE: 51.27
Sector PE: 27.99
Book Value Per Share: 40.50
P/B: 1.40
Face Value: 1
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 1,815
Dividend Yield: 0.18
Some Positives:
High Piotroski Score - Companies with strong financials
Strong Annual EPS Growth
New 52 Week High
Bullish Engulfing Pattern (Bullish Reversal)
Increasing Revenue every quarter for the past 2 quarters
Strong cash generating ability from core business - Improving Cash Flow from operation for last 2 years
Stock gained more than 20% in one month
Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long term moving averages
Some Negatives:
Red Flag: High Interest Payments Compared to Earnings
Decline in Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (QoQ)
Decline in Quarterly Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (YoY)
Declining profits every quarter for the past 3 quarters
Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash
Recent Results: Declining Operating Profit Margin and Net Profits (YoY)
My Opinion: I think the stock can hit 77 from here in next few days. In next 1-2 years it can give good returns.
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION.
Can we see more fall in NIFTY ?Hey Hardworking traders! Here's a quick update on the Nifty 50 index's recent journey and its future outlook-
Nifty highlights:
>>So, It has been a roller coaster ride for NIFTY, It has witnessed multiple obstacles, Be it after Covid affects be it Russia-Ukrain war, High inflation and interest rate hike.
>>These macro incidents combined together resulted Index to stay sideways. But the game changed in June, when it broke out and nearly touched 20,000.
Current Market updates/My views
>>Right now It seems to be in a correction mode and hanging around 19300 level. "Looking at the chart, we can draw a line connecting the highest points, showing the resistance at 18800. Also, using the pivot point indicator, we identify a support level at 18800.
>> Do not get worried here, Think like this way, Every time an Index or a stock gives breakout then it suppose to retrace all the way to its Breakout level, which makes its breakout more prominent.
>>Though the numbers are dropping, does not mean the celebration is over. Track closely how it behaves near the new support area and plane your Trades accordingly. If it retraces to Breakout level I am going to aggregate more.
Keep in mind, Technical helps but it is just one part of the equation. So, stay updated with the world news, Big Financial decisions and market sentiments to understand the complete picture.
Do consider pressing the boost button🚀🚀, It helps me bring more interesting analysis. And if you've any question and suggestion please feel free to post in comment section.
Note: This is for informational purposes only. Do your own research before investing.
Remarkable Breakout in MPS LTD.Good morning Guys! Here is a potential trade set up for next week.
Providing you some pointers for MPS LTD.
>>MPS Ltd experienced a beautiful breakout from a well-defined rectangle pattern last week
>> As we see in a daily timeframe, it was religiously following a rectangular pattern since more than 1 year, it is more like a broadening rectangular pattern.
>> After witnessing breakout it has retraced back to its breakout zone and again bounced back as bulls got activated, it seems lot of juice has still left.
Sales and profits are also looking promising.
Now question comes, How to trade in this zone as it has already shown significant moves ?
So, Checks these pointers out to understand it.
>>Either we can take entry while it retraces back to its BZ level or it gives a good upward move after little accumulation.
>>IF it comes back all the way to 1460 that would be our trigger point.
>>Now in second scenario if it does not give a pull back then we will wait for little consolidation and if we find a sort of engulfing type green candle then also we can think of taking entry.
STOP-LOSS.
Now stop loss would be deferent in both the scenarios.
First scenario: Buying at Breakout Zone- we can go with 5% of stop loss.
Second scenario: Buying higher level- In this case we will have to with higher stop loss, that would be 12%.
Targets totally depend on your patience level.
If you find this analysis helpful, please consider boosting 🚀 it. If you have some suggestions and any question please post in comment section.
Please note- I am not SEBI registered, so do your research before investing.
"Beautiful Breakout in ESAB India: Unlocking Potential.Welcome back again. Today we will discuss about ESAB INDIA.
>>Esab India was consolidating in rectangle channel pattern for 20 months. two weeks back it has given a breakout and retraced till its BZ.
>>Again last week it has took support from crucial pivot point and bounced back with a good healthy green candle along with good momentum.
>>Today this stock seems to continuing its bullish trend while overall market is being bearish. We can see from chart its consolidation phase was fairly long, so, we can anticipate a big run up from here.
>>Now talking about its fundamentals, ESAB India Ltd is a leading supplier of welding and cutting products in India with the market cap of 7,849cr. Take a look Some financial pointers of this stock-
*The company is debt-free.
*ROCE (Return on Capital Employed) is at an all-time high of 71%.
*Earnings show strong potential for future growth.
*The PE (Price-to-Earnings) ratio is currently at 51.
*Historically, the PE ratio has been at a higher level (66) for the past two years.
*Given the past PE levels, the current PE of 51 appears reasonable and undervalued.
*Considering these factors, it's a potential candidate for long-term investment.
If you do not have a long vision in this stock then do utilize your Risk-Reward Ratio based on Your Risk Appetite. Level of 4500 stop loss makes lot of sense in this one.
Do consider pressing the boost button🚀🚀, It helps me bring more interesting analysis. And if you've any question and suggestion please feel free to post in comment section.
Please note I am not SEBI registered. Do your own research before investing.
KENNAMETAL INDIA - 26% RETURNSBUY - KENNAMETAL INDIA LTD
CMP - Rs. 2126
Target - 1: Rs. 2431
Target - 2: Rs. 2676
.
.
Technicals - 1) Harmonic Patterns
2) Targets set using Fibonacci Retracement and Gann Angles
3) EMA Convergence
.
.
Comment: Estimated time for returns is 6-9 months.
EVERESTIND's Recent Breakout - A Dive into the Technical📈 EVERESTIND's Breakout Analysis 📉
Hello, fellow traders! Today, we're diving deep into EVERESTIND's breakout that occurred on 7th August 2023, shortly after the company announced impressive financial results. The stock has shown some intriguing patterns, and I'm here to break it all down for you, especially if you're new to the world of trading. Let's get started!
🔍 Key Observations
EVERESTIND announced stellar financial results, leading to a breakout on 7th August 2023, accompanied by impressive volume.
Before this breakout, the stock maintained a robust base hurdle, with previous swing lows remaining unbroken.
High volume on bullish candles indicates potential accumulation .
Despite the price decrease over the past two days, the last candle is an inside candle , with its mother candle being a large bearish one. However, the selling volume is minimal.
The price seems to be retesting the breakout, possibly due to RSI bearish divergence.
📉 Trading Strategy
First Entry: Buy if the high of the inside candle is broken, around 1030.
Stop Loss for First Entry: Below the inside candle.
Second Entry: On a retest of the breakout, around the 1000 level.
Stop Loss for Second Entry: Below the plotted support zone on the chart, which was previously a resistance.
📚 Let's Learn Some Technical Terms!
1. Inside Candle: A candlestick pattern where the current candle's high and low are within the previous candle's high and low.
2. RSI Bearish Divergence: When the price makes a new high, but the RSI fails to make a new high, indicating potential weakness in the trend.
3. Accumulation: A phase where investors buy or "accumulate" a stock in anticipation of a future price increase.
🚫 Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI registered analyst. Always do your research before making any trading decisions.
"In trading and in life, patience is not just a virtue, it's the key."
🔗 Connect with Me!
For more insights and analyses, follow my TradingView profile: in.tradingview.com
Thank you for your support and feedback! If you found this analysis helpful, please like, comment, and follow. Happy trading!
Banknifty Banknifty . ( Not for "Amature traders" )
Enter after " Breakout and Retracement ".
.
.
For " long "
entry: 44530 / 45120
target: 45030 - 45250 - 45760
stoploss: 44500 / 44980
.
.
For " Short"
entry: 44480
target: 44250, 44030
stoploss: 44580
.
Enter only if market Breaks
"Yellow box" mentioned.
.
Wait for proper reversal and conformation.
.
Don't make complicated trade set-up.📈📉
Keep it " Simple, Focus on Consistency " 💹.
Refer our old ideas for accuracy rate🧑💻.
Valuable comments are welcomed-✌️
.
Refer old ideas attached below.
ELECTCAST : Electrosteel Castings LtdElectrosteel Castings Ltd
CMP : 60.60
1) Stock has broken out above crucial resistance zone and multi year highs
2) Price is consolidating since the last two months between the range of 55 to 65
3) A move above 65 - should generate strong momentum in share prices towards 95 and 105 levels
4) Overall long term structure is very pullish and stock should find support on pull-back between 59 to 61 zone
5) Weakness would extend its phase only below 53
Interesting Set-Up
Great Swing Opportunity in HFCL!Good evening All!
So, HFCL Ltd has been stuck in a beautiful symmetrical tringle pattern for about 2 years now.
As we can see from chart it moves up retest it resistance, gets rejection from the trend line and retrace back to support. It's like a cycle that keeps repeating.
Right now, it's again retraced back to the support level and is trading above it. Don't you think this could be a great opportunity to buy and then sell when it tests the resistance again? It seems like we could take advantage of this special pattern! And that makes our trade little easier and less riskier.
Today, HFCL Ltd touched its support and showed a powerful upward move. I suggest we consider buying at this level and aim to sell at 82 with a stop loss at 59. Our target should be at least 82. Let's keep an eye on the stock and make the most of this opportunity.
What do you think guys, do let me know.
And if you found this helpful do consider Boosting this Analysis 🚀 so, it can reach out to more people.
BANKNIFTY Analysis for Monday 07 Aug 23These are important Levels for Banknifty for Monday. 'Yellow' markings are very important since they are combination of Fib levels and Price Action. Any breakout/rejection from these levels can give good momentum on either side. Since I am a little biased on the bullish side for tomorrow, breakout from Yellow zone and TL will give me a good conviction to go long in BANKNIFTY. Hope you have a good day tomorrow. Good Luck!