Sobha Ltd for 65%+ gainsDate: 23 Nov’24
Symbol: SOBHA
Timeframe: Weekly
Sobha Ltd currently seems to be starting Wave V of 3 which is heading towards 2720-50 (65%+ from its current price of 1630) as seen in the chart. Two levels (2720 & 2750) have been marked as supply zone. However, a clearer target can be pinned once the stock makes a fresh ATH.
The company has recently posted strong Q2 numbers and highest quarterly profits since March 2023.
This is not a prediction but a possible wave count. This is also not a recommendation to trade or invest. Please do your own analysis. If you are reading this, let me know your views in comments or on X (Twitter).
HINGLISH VERSION
Sobha Ltd vartamaan mein 3 ki Wave V shuroo kar rahee hai jo 2720-50 (1630 kee vartamaan keemat se 65%+) kee taraf badh rahi hai jaisa ki chart mein dekh sakte hain. Do staron (2720 aur 2750) ko supply zone ke roop mein dikhaya gaya hai. Haalaanki, stock ke nae ATH banaane ke baad ek spasht target tay kiya ja sakta hai.
Company ne haal hee mein majaboot Q2 quarter ka result aur March 2023 ke baad se sabse adhik quarterly profits darj kiya hai.
Yah koee bhavishyavaanee nahin balki sambhaavit Wave count hai. Yah trade lene ya invest karne ki bhi salaah nahi hai. Kripya apana vishleshan svayan karen.
Oberoirealty
Cosmic Collision: DLF & Oberoi Realty Clash in Real-Estate Space◉ Abstract
The Indian real estate market is growing fast and is expected to reach $1 Trillion by 2030. Two big companies in this field are DLF and Oberoi Realty. DLF makes most of its money from commercial properties mainly through rental income, while Oberoi Realty focuses on homes.
Both companies are doing well, but Oberoi Realty is growing faster and making more profit. DLF's stock price might go up soon after being stable for a long time. Oberoi Realty's stock has been going up steadily. Both companies don't have too much debt and are attracting investors. DLF seems expensive when you look at its price compared to earnings, while Oberoi Realty looks like a better deal. Oberoi Realty is also spending more on growing its business.
In the end, both companies are in a good position to benefit from India's growing economy and increasing demand for real estate.
◉ Introduction
The Indian real estate sector has witnessed significant growth in recent years, driven by increasing demand, policy reforms, and infrastructure development. Two prominent players, DLF Limited and Oberoi Realty Limited, have been at the forefront of this growth, shaping the country's urban landscape. Both companies have established themselves as leaders in the industry, with a strong presence in residential, commercial, and retail segments.
◉ Indian Real Estate Sector: Future Growth Prospects
India's real estate market is expected to register significant growth in the coming years, driven by a number of factors. Here's a quick summary of the key trends:
● Market size and GDP contribution: The market size is expected to reach US$ 1 trillion by 2030, up from US$ 200 billion in 2021, and contribute 15.5% to GDP by 2047.
● Residential market growth: The residential market is witnessing strong growth, with the value of home sales reaching an all-time high of Rs. 3.47 lakh crore (US$ 42 billion) in FY23. Demand is surging in top 8 cities across mid-income, premium, and luxury segments.
● Retail and office space: The retail and office space segments are also growing rapidly. Gross leasing in top 7 cities crossed 60 million sq ft for the first time in 2023, with technology companies leading leasing activity.
● Data centers: Data center demand is on the rise, with an expected increase of 15-18 million sq ft by 2025.
● Housing shortage: There is a significant housing shortage in urban areas, with the current shortage estimated at 10 million units. An additional 25 million units of affordable housing are required by 2030.
Overall, the Indian real estate sector presents a promising picture for growth and development. The sector is benefiting from a number of factors, including a growing economy, rising urbanization, and increasing disposable incomes. This is leading to strong demand for both residential and commercial properties.
◉ Company Overviews
● DLF NSE:DLF
DLF Limited, along with its subsidiaries, focuses on colonization and real estate development across India. Their activities encompass land acquisition, project planning, construction, and marketing. The company specializes in developing and selling residential projects, while also managing commercial office spaces and retail properties, including malls and hospitality ventures. Notably, it owns The Lodhi Hotel and Hilton Garden Inn in New Delhi, as well as the DLF Golf & Country Club in Gurugram. Additionally, DLF is involved in leasing, maintenance, power generation, and recreational services. Established in 1946, DLF Limited is headquartered in Gurugram and operates as a subsidiary of Rajdhani Investments and Agencies Private Limited.
● Oberoi Realty NSE:OBEROIRLTY
Oberoi Realty Limited, along with its subsidiaries, focuses on real estate development and hospitality in India. It operates in two main segments: Real Estate and Hospitality. The company develops and sells various projects, including residential, commercial, hospitality, retail, and social infrastructure. It also leases office and retail spaces. Additionally, it manages hotel operations, which include room sales, food and beverage services, and related offerings, as well as constructing residential apartments and providing property management services. Established in 1998, the company is based in Mumbai, India.
◉ Market Capitalization
● DLF - ₹ 2,26,256 Cr. ($26.8 B)
● Oberoi Realty - ₹ 68,970 Cr. ($8.2 B)
◉ Relative Strength
The chart vividly demonstrates that neither company has managed to surpass the performance of the real estate sector over the past year. The realty sector has achieved an impressive return of 94%, while DLF and Oberoi Realty have delivered returns of 73% and 67%, respectively.
◉ Technical Aspects
● DLF
➖ Since its listing in July 2007, DLF reached an impressive peak of ₹ 1046 in January 2008.
➖ However, the stock faced a significant decline following the Lehman Brothers crisis later that year.
➖ After enduring a lengthy period of consolidation lasting eight years, the price stabilized around ₹ 66 in February 2016 and began its upward trajectory.
➖ Now, after nearly 17 years of consolidation, the stock is trading just below a critical resistance level, with a breakout anticipated in the near future.
● OBEROIRLTY
➖ Since its launch in December 2010, Oberoi Realty has shown a consistent upward trajectory
➖ During this ascent, the stock formed a Bullish Pennant pattern, and after breaking out, it surged to an all-time high of ₹ 1970 in September 2024.
➖ Currently, it is trading just below this peak. Analysts expect the stock to continue its upward momentum and reach new heights in the coming days.
◉ Revenue Breakdown
● DLF
DLF mainly generates its revenue from real estate development, concentrating on both commercial and residential areas. Significantly, the commercial real estate sector contributes a considerable 74% of the company's total revenue, largely through rental income.
● OBEROIRLTY
The company predominantly earns around 97% of its revenue from the real estate development sector. Furthermore, it also participates in the hospitality industry, which adds the remaining 3% to its overall revenue.
◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis
● DLF
➖ Over the past three years, DLF has recorded a modest compounded annual growth rate of 6% in sales.
➖ Despite this, the company has seen remarkable profit growth, which surged by 33% during the same timeframe.
➖ Currently, DLF enjoys a robust operating profit margin of 33%, an increase from 30% in FY23.
➖ In fiscal year 2024, earnings per share have jumped to 11.02, up from 8.22 the previous year, reflecting a consistent upward trend in EPS over the last four years.
● OBEROIREALTY
➖ In the last three years, Oberoi Realty has achieved an impressive compounded annual growth rate of 30% in sales.
➖ Profit growth has closely mirrored this success, with a CAGR of 34% during the same period.
➖ The company currently boasts an outstanding operating profit margin of 55%, a figure that continues to rise.
➖ While the EPS growth from FY23 to FY24 is modest, with EPS standing at 52.99 compared to 52.38 the previous year, the overall trend in EPS has been positive over the last four years.
◉ Valuation
● P/E Ratio
➖ DLF's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 79.6, slightly exceeding its 1-year median P/E of 76.7. However, when juxtaposed with the industry average of 34.4, it becomes evident that DLF is significantly overvalued at this time.
➖ In contrast, Oberoi Realty presents a P/E ratio of 31.50, which is just above its 1-year median P/E of 29.6. Yet, when compared to the industry P/E of 34.4, it appears to be undervalued.
● P/B Ratio
➖ DLF's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 5.74, indicating a substantial overvaluation relative to the industry average of 3.54.
➖ Similarly, Oberoi Realty also seems overvalued with a P/B ratio of 4.98.
● PEG Ratio
➖ Oberoi Realty's PEG ratio of 1.83 positions it as an attractive investment opportunity, especially when compared to DLF's considerably higher PEG of 4.79.
◉ Profitability Analysis
➖ DLF ROCE - 6% in FY24
➖ OBEROIRLTY ROCE - 15% in FY24
➖ These numbers clearly demonstrate that Oberoi Realty is more profitable than DLF, as it efficiently leverages its total capital—comprising both equity and debt—to yield higher returns.
◉ Capex Analysis
● DLF
➖ The cash flow statement for DLF reveals a negative capital expenditure, indicating that the company is selling or disposing of its existing capital assets.
➖ This suggests a strategic decision to reduce its portfolio of office spaces and similar fixed assets, as they are no longer deemed necessary.
● OBEROIRLTY
➖ In contrast, Oberoi Realty has ramped up its capital expenditure from 601 crore to 677 crore compared to the previous year.
➖ This increase is a positive sign for the company, reflecting its ambition for expansion and growth in the market.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ DLF has demonstrated impressive growth in its operating cash flow, rising to 2,539 crore from 2,375 crore in FY23.
➖ Oberoi Realty has also performed exceptionally well, transforming its cash from operations to an impressive 2,810 crore, marking a significant recovery from a considerable negative of 2,383 crore in FY23.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ DLF demonstrates robust financial health with a manageable debt level of 4,894 crores and an impressive debt to equity ratio of just 0.12, signaling that debt is not a significant issue for the company.
➖ On the other hand, Oberoi has a debt of 2,495 crores, resulting in a debt to equity ratio of 0.18, which indicates that the company is also not worried about its debt situation.
◉ Shareholding Pattern
● DLF
➖ Currently, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) possess a 16.17% stake, reflecting a decline from the previous quarter.
➖ On the other hand, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have increased their holdings to 4.81% as of the June quarter, a slight rise from 4.77% in the last quarter.
● OBEROIRLTY
➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have made a notable increase in their investment in this stock, now holding 18.05%, up from 16.96% in the last quarter.
➖ Conversely, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have reduced their stake to 12.30%, down from 12.83% in the March quarter.
◉ Conclusion
After a comprehensive assessment of the technical and financial metrics, we have concluded that Oberoi Realty has surpassed DLF in terms of valuation, profitability, revenue growth, and future expansion prospects. However, this does not imply that DLF cannot enhance its performance in the future. In fact, DLF is on the verge of a significant multi-year breakthrough, and if this happens, it could create an excellent opportunity for investors to take advantage of any price declines.
In the end, both companies exhibit strong growth potential as they are leaders in the real estate sector. As the economy continues to grow, both Oberoi Realty and DLF are well-positioned to capitalize on this expansion.
Godrej Properties for 50% upsideDate: 23 Sep’24
Stock: Godrej Properties
Timeframe: Daily Chart
Godrej Properties seems to have begun Wave V of 3 impulse which is heading towards 4900 levels (50%+ from current price of 3200) as seen in the chart. Both, increase in volume and RSI breakout confirm this move. More clarity on the target will emerge as the move develops. Possible before the end of this financial year?
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis before investing.
OBEROIRLTY - Symmetrical triangle Breakout - DailyName - OBEROIRLTY
Pattern - Symmetrical triangle Breakout
Timeframe - Daily
Volume - Good volume
Cmp - 1814
Target - 2140
SL - 1767
Always welcome for any comments with your feedback or give it a like if you find it useful.
Analyst Ratings
TradingView: Based on 21 analysts, the overall rating is neutral. The price target ranges from INR 1,175 to INR 2,350.
Morningstar: Oberoi Realty is considered fairly valued with a current price of INR 1,784.64 and a fair value estimate of INR 3,142.13.
Yahoo Finance: Provides detailed analyst estimates, including earnings and revenue projections.
Key Metrics
Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratio: 30.39
Price to Book (P/B) Ratio: 4.48
Price to Sales (P/S) Ratio: 12.43
Here’s a summary of Oberoi Realty Ltd’s Q1 FY25 results:
Financial Highlights
Net Profit : Oberoi Realty reported a net profit of INR 584.51 crore, an impressive 82% increase from INR 321.64 crore in the same quarter last year1.
Revenue : The revenue for the quarter rose by 54% to INR 1,405 crore.
EBITDA : EBITDA saw a significant rise of 72%.
Operational Highlights
Sales Volume: The company achieved strong sales volume, contributing to the overall revenue growth2.
Project Launches: Successful project launches and ongoing projects have driven the financial performance1.
Comparative Performance
Quarter-over-Quarter: Compared to the previous quarter, revenue grew by 6.87%, although profit decreased by 25.83%3.
Outlook
The strong performance in Q1 sets a positive tone for the rest of the fiscal year, with expectations of continued growth driven by robust project pipelines and market demand.
Oberoi realty Good to Watch NSE:OBEROIRLTY
Making HH HL formation and forming C&H structure as well
Good to keep on the radar
Always respect SL & position sizing
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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Disclaimer
SEBI UNREGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any decisions
you take on basis of our research.
OBEROI REALTY for 30% (approx..) GainOBEROI REALTY is showing 22 months or 96 week consolidation breakout. Sector chart is also showing the breakout. A company with good fundamental one can check the below the link ( www.screener.in )
CMP : 1120
TG : 1370
SL : Below 9 week EMA
Stock's selection based on 5 Point Analysis:
1: Idea : Breakout.
2: Support : Volume, Delivery & VWAP. ( To view this, click sedg.in )
3: Technical : 9/21/55/200-EMA, RS>0, MACD, RSI & Super trend up. ( To view this, click sedg.in )
4: Fundamental : PE, PAT, Industry & peer PE and sector performance.
5: Timing : Entry Timing on Daily chart.
Disclaimer : It is my personal view as a trader and for educational purpose only. Equity market involves risk.
Please consult your financial adviser before taking any decision.
OBEROIRLTY is an attractive cheap BUY.TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF OBEROIRLTY
The LAST CLOSE PRICE of OBEROIRLTY is 958.85. The PARABOLIC SAR is showing the BUY SIGNAL with TREND as UPTREND . The FIBONACCI LEVELS analysis shows that the CLOSEST FIBONACCI LEVELS is 0.5 at the FIBONACCI STOCK PRICE LEVEL of 943.65. From here, the Key Support and Resistance levels are SUPPORT 1 at 929.75, SUPPORT 2 at 912.55 with RESISTANCE 1 and RESISTANCE 2 at 957.55 and 1002.55 respectively. The Key 50% FIBONACCI LEVEL stands at 943.65 which is the crucial Fibonacci Level determining whether the scrip will maintain the trend or not.
The STOC RSI has the values K and D as 46.07 and 37.08 respectively. At this level it the status is WITHIN OVER BOUGHT AND OVER SOLD RANGE. When we look at the Moving Averages, MACD is the crucial indicator to look into. With MACD VALUE at 8.45 and 5 at 8.42 alongwith HISTOGRAM showing valus of 0.02, the STATUS is clearly BUYING CROSSOVER.
The best indicator to determine the Trend Reversal is FISHER TRANSFORM and currently the values of FISHER and TRIGGER stand at 1.05 and 0.59 with signal as UPTREND. A very important factor while making the investment is to see if there has been already too much of Buying or Selling, and that are we entering too late into the transaction or not. Thus, with WILLIAM's R% value at -0.371 the STATUS is WITHIN OVER BOUGHT AND OVER SOLD RANGE.
No one wants to buy costly things, and thus always look for the bargain or appropriate price levels to buy things. Same applies to Stocks, howver the only exception would be some Hot Stocks that one wants to have any price. Looking at this perspective, the P/E RATIO of the stock stands at 17.96 which signifies its Price Level to be VERY CHEAP.
>>> RECOMMENDATION is : BUY.
TARGET PRICE 1 = INR 957.55.
TARGET PRICE 2 = INR 1002.55.
STOP LOSS 1 = INR 929.75.
STOP LOSS 2 = INR 912.55.
Disclaimer: The following information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any stock or investment. Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities by analyzing statistics generated by market activity, such as past prices and volume. However, the future performance of a stock or investment cannot be guaranteed based on technical analysis alone, and other factors, such as economic conditions and company fundamentals, should be considered when making investment decisions. Before making any investment decisions, please consult with a licensed financial advisor and conduct your own research to determine if an investment is suitable for your individual circumstances and risk tolerance. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.
OBEROI REALITYENTRY TARGET SL Mention in the chart.
ALWAYS TAKE TRADE WITH CONFIRMATION
Note : Trading in any financial market is very risky. I post ideas for educational purpose only. It is not financial advice. Do not hold us responsible for any potential loss you may incur. Please consult your financial adviser before trading.
OBEROIRLTY Soon to see a DOWN MOVE ???!!!Chart pattern insist me to go with the opinion titled above
Reasons
1. Oberoi realty has been respecting the channel pattern.
2. Now, it has given BREAKDOWN on Weekly timeframe out of 2.5 year old Trendline support!! (Channel too breached)
3. Volume too seen supportive for the down move.
4. Day candle closing out of the blue trendline will make our exit (STOPLOSS)
5. Target and SL mentioned in the chart.
12% down move awaits as per levels...Let's wait and watch how it moves!!!!
NOTE : Just sharing my view....not a tip nor advice!!!!
BULLISH on OBEROIRLTYNSE:OBEROIRLTY
The Stock had given the breakout from the channel pattern and now the price is retesting the trendline. The risk takers can take a bet and enter on current levels. Those who are conservatives can wait and see the candle patterns and price behaviour to enter. The SL and Target are given on the chart. The view is for upto 6 months.
Disclaimer :- This is my own view and Analysis. This is for educational purposes. This is is not a recommendation, call or a tip.
Oberoi Realty Breakout Analysis !!📈 Oberoi Realty Ltd. 📉
This Stock broke out from a Down Trending Trendline zone after testing three times. It was in consolidation inside Triangle Pattern since last six months and today that ended on long side So I am biased on long side as todays candle closed is strong green.
On Buy Side I am looking for Targets of 977 and 1036.
StopLoss should be kept at 888.
It offers 1:2 Risk Reward.
All Important Supports and Resistances are drawn in chart. All levels are on closing basis.
Please have a look and revert back if you need some more study on it.
Disclaimer : Consult Your Financial Advisor Before Taking Any Decision On This Analysis.