JKCEMENT at Demand Zone – Is Wave 5 About to Start?⚡ JK CEMENT – Wave 4 Correction Completing | Wave 5 Blast Loading?
🧠 Overall Market Structure
JK Cement is showing a textbook Elliott Wave progression, and price has now entered the crucial Wave 4 → Wave C completion zone (₹5276–₹5396).
This zone aligns with 38.2% to 61.8% retracement of Wave 3, making it a high-probability reversal area 📌.
The chart shows:
Strong Impulse Wave 3 with clean channel movement
Clear ChoCH (Change of Character) at the top → signaling the start of Wave 4
A complete A-B-C correction structure into the green demand zone
Price now sitting exactly where a bullish reversal is expected
This is where Wave 5 usually begins ⚡.
📚 Educational Insights
📘 Impulse Wave vs Corrective Wave:
Wave 3 was an impulsive move — long, strong, and directional.
Wave 4 is corrective in nature — choppy and overlapping. This is normal and healthy before Wave 5 begins.
🎯 38.2%–61.8% Retracement Rule:
Wave 4 typically retraces 38.2% to 61.8% of Wave 3.
JK Cement’s price has corrected exactly into this Fibonacci zone — strengthening reversal probability.
🔄 A-B-C Correction Pattern:
Wave 4 often forms an A-B-C pattern.
This chart shows a clean A (fall) → B (pullback) → C (final drop) into demand — classic Wave 4 behavior.
🌀 Wave 5 Potential:
Wave 5 tends to be a trend-continuation wave.
Targets are often based on Fibonacci extensions of Wave 4 — exactly what we’re projecting here.
🎯 Prediction & Price Outlook
If price holds above the ₹5276–₹5396 support range and forms a reversal candle, the next major move could be a Wave 5 rally.
🚀 First Target: ₹7113 (0.78 retracement of Wave 4)
🚀 Second Target: ₹8132 (113%–128% extended retracement → typical Wave 5 zone)
A breakout above ₹6285 strengthens the confirmation of Wave 5 activation.
🛑 Stop Loss (Closing Basis): ₹5226
💡 Trading Strategy (Educational Purpose Only)
🟢 Entry Zone: ₹5276–₹5396
Look for Hammer, Bullish Engulfing, or ChoCH on lower timeframes.
📈 Confirmation Trigger:
Break above ₹6285 → safer entry with trend confirmation.
🎯 Targets:
• Target 1 → ₹7113
• Target 2 → ₹8132
⚖️ Risk Management:
• SL below ₹5226 (daily close)
• Risk 1–2% total capital
• Avoid chasing — wait for structure confirmation
🧩 Summary
JK Cement is showing a perfect Wave 4 completion setup at a major Fibonacci demand zone.
If the structure holds and reversal emerges, a strong Wave 5 rally could unfold toward ₹7113 and ₹8132 🎯.
This is a high-probability zone for trend continuation traders and Elliott Wave followers.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only — not financial advice.
Community ideas
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(26/11/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up today, indicating early positive sentiment and a possible attempt to recover from the recent sideways-to-weak price action. If the index sustains above the 59050–59100 zone, the buying setup becomes active with targets of 59250, 59350, and 59450+. A stronger bullish move can unfold only if Bank Nifty crosses above 59550, which will open the next upside targets of 59750, 59850, and 59950+.
On the downside, weakness will come only if the index slips below the 58950–58900 zone, where the PE trade activates with targets at 58750, 58650, and 58550-. With a gap-up opening, initial momentum may stay positive, but clear direction for the day will depend on how price behaves around the key breakout and breakdown levels.
Daily Macro, Market Mood Swings, and the Stories Behind the NoisGlobal Markets: Three’s a Trend
Global stocks pushed higher for a third straight session on Tuesday, fueled by growing confidence that the Federal Reserve will slip in a December rate cut like an early holiday present. U.S. Treasury yields eased as well, giving investors one more reason to feel optimistic — or at least less grumpy.
Wall Street’s Tech Glow-Up
Over on Wall Street, stocks climbed with the help of Silicon Valley’s usual superheroes — Alphabet and Meta. Google’s parent company surged 1.53% to a record close of $323.44, inching closer to the absolutely casual milestone of $4 trillion in market cap.
The Dollar Takes a Tumble
The dollar index dropped 0.44% as weaker-than-expected U.S. data — including September retail sales, core PPI, and ADP employment — boosted bets on a December Fed cut. Add in falling bond yields (with the 10-year sliding to a 3.5-week low of 3.987%), plus consumer confidence hitting a 7-month low, and the dollar had all the reasons it needed to slump politely into a corner. Retail sales rose just 0.2% versus the expected 0.4%, reminding everyone that the American consumer may finally be getting tired of carrying the global economy on their back.
The Fed Repricing Whiplash & Consumer Mood Swings
Markets have repriced December rate-cut expectations with the grace of a roller coaster: from the low 30% range to 90% an hour ago, now cooling at 87%. A month ago? Also 90% — before collapsing and then bouncing back. The main culprit: nonstop Fed commentary, proving once again that “forward guidance” is more of a suggestion than a plan. Meanwhile, fresh U.S. sentiment data didn’t help the mood. The headline index missed badly at 88.7 (vs 93.3 expected), current conditions hit the lowest since 2021, and future expectations slid to their April 2025 low — courtesy of stubborn inflation worries and rising job-income anxiety.
Global Highlights: Gold Glitters, Rupee Stutters & Data Storm Ahead
Germany delivered a flat Q3 GDP print, which, considering last quarter’s contraction, counts as… stability. Gold edged up 0.3% to $4,150.09 as weak retail sales strengthened the case for a December cut. Global equities mostly turned green, shrugging off AI-overinvestment and debt concerns as if the Fed’s 25-bps cut-in-waiting is a magic eraser. India, however, bucked the trend: the Sensex fell 314 points and the Nifty slipped 75. The rupee ended nearly unchanged at 89.22 as importer demand offset regional currency strength.
Today’s data docket is a global buffet — Australia CPI, New Zealand rate decision, Japan’s BoJ core CPI, a heavy U.S. lineup (GDP, durables, core PCE, spending, home sales, jobless claims), plus ECB’s Lagarde and Lane holding the mic in the Eurozone.
Supply–Demand + Trendline Confluence Trade SetupPrice abhi ek strong supply–demand structure follow kar raha hai. Market ne pehle demand zone se clear bounce diya tha, jahan buyers active mile. Upar jaate waqt price supply zone ke paas reject hua, confirming that sellers are still defending that level.
Abhi price trendline ke sath confluence area me trade ho raha hai, jo next move ke liye most important zone hai.
🔍 Key Analysis
Price ne Demand Zone se bounce diya → buyers active
Supply Zone par clear rejection → sellers strong
Market ek clean trendline follow kar raha hai
Ab price trendline + demand zone confluence test kar raha hai
Yaha se reversal ya breakdown — dono chances high clarity ke saath milenge
📌 Trade Plan
If price respects trendline:
Entry: Demand + trendline bounce ke baad bullish candle close
SL: Demand zone ke neeche
Targets:
T1: First minor resistance
T2: Supply zone retest
If trendline breaks:
Entry: Trendline breakdown candle close
SL: Breakdown candle high
Targets:
T1: Previous demand zone
T2: Major support
🔥 Why This Trade Works
Supply + demand + trendline = triple confluence
Clear structure + easy SL placement
Strong RR (1:2 / 1:3 possible)
⏰ 3PM Exit Rule
Agar target ya SL hit na ho →
3 PM par market price pe exit.
XAUUSD is skyrocketing after the Adam & Eve pattern!OANDA:XAUUSD is really interesting right now. The price seems likely to rise further after the formation of the Adam & Eve pattern. With such an easy-to-remember name, the Adam & Eve pattern is one of the most memorable. Below, I’ll explain the reasons and how to easily recognize it.
The Adam pattern is characterized by a sharp drop, followed by a quick recovery, forming a "V" on the chart. High, sharp, and aggressive! You could say it's more "masculine."
On the other hand, the Eve pattern develops more slowly. The price becomes more rounded, forming a wider and smoother base before rising again, creating a shape similar to the letter "U." Softer, more curved, and more "feminine."
Combining these two elements gives us the Adam & Eve pattern, which often signals a potential trend reversal. Especially when accompanied by fundamental analysis or other strong technical indicators.
This pattern will stick in your mind when you connect its shapes to the male and female aspects. A pattern that's truly hard to forget.
Gold Trading Strategy for 26th November 2025✨ GOLD TRADING PLAN – INTRADAY LEVELS ✨
(Well-structured, step-by-step, visually segmented with icons & dollars as requested)
🟢 BUY SETUP – LONG POSITION
📍 Entry Condition:
Buy ONLY IF price breaks & closes above the High of the 1-Hour Candle = $4154+
📌 Clear Trade Logic:
Breaking the previous hour high indicates bullish strength & momentum. A candle close above confirms continuation and reduces false breakout probability.
🎯 Targets for Upside Movement:
Target No. Price Level
🎯 T1 $4168
🎯 T2 $4185
🎯 T3 $4199
🔒 Recommended Stop Loss (SL):
Below previous 1-hour support zone OR below breakout candle low
(This protects against fake breakouts)
🔻 SELL SETUP – SHORT POSITION
📍 Entry Condition:
Sell ONLY IF price breaks & closes below the Low of the 30-Minute Candle = $4106-
📌 Clear Trade Logic:
Break of intra-day support signals bearish pressure. A candle close confirms sellers are dominant and validates the downside.
🎯 Targets for Downside Movement:
Target No. Price Level
🎯 T1 $4090
🎯 T2 $4078
🎯 T3 $4060
🔒 Recommended Stop Loss (SL):
Above breakout retracement zone OR 30-min rejection high.
🧠 Trade Execution Notes (Very Important)
✔ Wait for candle close confirmation, not just wick breakout.
✔ Use proper risk-reward ratio (1:2 or better).
✔ Avoid overleverage & follow strict SL discipline.
✔ Volume confirmation strengthens signals.
✔ Check news & volatility (US data, Fed, Dollar index) 📊
⚠ DISCLAIMER (Mandatory)
This is not financial or investment advice. Levels are shared for educational & chart-analysis purpose only.
Trading in Gold/Commodities involves high market risk — decisions must be based on personal judgment, risk capacity & research.
The user is fully responsible for their trades.
CG Power: Technical Correction vs Strong FundamentalsCG Power has reacted sharply from the 797–800 zone, confirming a reversal from the prior up-leg.
The decline into 677.80 has unfolded as a clean impulsive drop, which fits well as Wave (A) of the larger Wave Y.
With RSI oversold, the market is now in a zone where a corrective Wave (B) bounce becomes the higher-probability path. Any recovery into the 720–750 bearish order-block region will be the critical zone to watch.
As long as price remains below this region, the broader structure still points toward a Wave (C) decline — a final leg lower to complete Wave Y in the 520–540 support region.
This is a developing corrective structure , not a completed one.
Fundamentals Tell a Very Different Story
Free cash flow now at ₹5.82B, a major turnaround.
Long-term debt almost zero at ₹2.6M.
Three years of strong revenue growth.
ROCE around 19%, very healthy.
Margins stable and improving.
The only real tension point is valuation:
P/E ~98, which is stretched enough to justify a technical correction even in a fundamentally strong business.
Putting It All Together
Wave (A) of Y is likely complete at 677.80.
Wave (B) bounce expected next.
Wave (C) lower remains unfinished — completing Wave Y.
Fundamentals remain strong, long-term story intact.
Short-term corrective move doesn’t change the broader bullish health of the company.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
This week could be very decisive!!As we can see NIFTY couldn’t close itself and faced multiple rejections from 26000 levels which was both an important supply zone and psychological level. Hence if this weekly candle couldn’t close itself above 26000 level then we may see a sharp fall in NIFFTY so one should start getting cautious and only make new positions following the closing of this week’s candle so plan your trades accordingly.
Nifty - Buy the Dip + Sell-On-Rise Just like we planned for Tuesday, NSE:NIFTY went up to test 26025 and then dropped sharply.
We shorted exactly from that level as soon as it rolled down — clean and precise execution.
But here’s the thing: sellers still haven’t exhausted. They will soon, though.
For tomorrow, the Pivot is 25924 and the index is already trading below it — meaning the short buildup is still active.
The Macro Index also fell again, confirming weakness across the board.
So here’s my plan for tomorrow and the next 2–3 sessions:
As per technicals, Nifty may fall sharply below 25850, maybe even near 25790, and then bounce to 25900 — only to fall again.
So yes, Sell-on-Rise will continue…
But tomorrow will be a Buy-the-Dip day for me.
My approach is simple:
If Nifty touches near or below 25800, I will go long and book at 25900.
Then, if I see a rejection from 25900–25950 again, I’ll short it once more.
However, also remember - this whole plan will be invalid if Nifty closes above 26000 on daily chart or even hourly!
While most people will panic watching Nifty and BankNifty dropping, the broader market — especially Smallcaps — will quietly accumulate.
This is how smart money builds bases.
Only those who understand base formation will catch the next rally.
Everyone else will get shaken out.
So be careful.
Pick the right sector first, then pick the right stock.
📊 Levels at a Glance:
Pivot: 25924
Buy Zone: 25850–25790
Upside Booking Zone: 25900
Re-short Zone: 25900–25950
Macro View: Weak
Bias: Buy the Dip → then Sell the Rise
Broader Market: Accumulation phase in Smallcaps
That will be all for the day.
Take care. Have a profitable tomorrow.
UPDATE: $ZEC Playing Out EXACTLY As WarnedUPDATE: CRYPTOCAP:ZEC Playing Out EXACTLY As Warned
ZEC tagged the $700 HTF resistance and dumped 35%+ right from the level I highlighted earlier.
The move toward the $100 zone is unfolding step-by-step, exactly what the HTF structure hinted at.
I’m not saying ZEC can’t reclaim $700 and even squeeze toward $1,000 again…
But the risk is extremely elevated up here. Smart money enters where risk is low + reward is high, not at euphoric tops.
This is NOT a short signal.
This is awareness analysis, don’t jump into high-leverage longs blindly in a corrective environment.
My Radar Levels: $259 / $186 / $134
Invalidation : Any HTF candle closing above $760
Stay disciplined. Protect capital. Market always rewards the patient, not the emotional. NFA.
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 25–26✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold is still in a post-rebound consolidation range. After quickly rebounding from the 4022 level, the price is currently running above the MA5 and MA10. Short-term bulls still have momentum, but the upside pressure remains strong. The price is fluctuating above the Bollinger middle band, and the bands are slightly narrowing, indicating the market is entering a range-bound consolidation phase.
✅ From the 1-hour structure, the market is in a bullish upward-shifting structure, with higher lows and higher highs. Although MA5 and MA10 show slight convergence, the price has moved back above the short-term moving averages, indicating that the bullish momentum is still dominant.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4156–4160 / 4170–4180
🟢 Support Levels: 4110–4120 / 4070–4080
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Focus on Shorting on Rebounds
📍 Sell lightly around 4156–4160
🎯 Targets: 4135 / 4120
⛔ Stop-loss: Above 4170
This zone is a strong H4 resistance area that has been tested multiple times without breaking, making it a priority area for short entries.
🔰 Buy on Pullbacks
📍 Consider long positions around 4126–4130
🎯 Targets: 4155 / 4160 /4170
⛔ Stop-loss: Below 4115
The H1 moving-average system provides clear support. As long as 4115 holds, the bullish trend can continue.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
M&MFIN_on Monthly Timeframe📈 Technical Analysis (Monthly)
1️⃣ Long-Term Structure (2007–2025)
The stock shows a multi-year secular uptrend with large consolidation phases:
2007–2010: Long accumulation phase at low levels
2010–2018: Strong trending move → major impulse to ~₹500
2018–2020: Deep correction & COVID crash
2021–2025: Re-accumulation & tightening range
Now (2025): Major breakout attempt from 8-year resistance
This signals a structural shift from consolidation to trend resumption.
🔵 2️⃣ Key Levels (Major Supply–Demand Zones)
Major Multi-Year Resistance (Broken Now):
₹310 – ₹330 zone
Tested in 2017, 2018, 2021, 2023, 2024, 2025
Strong multi-touch ceiling
Stock has finally closed above it on monthly, confirming breakout strength.
Immediate Support:
₹285 – ₹300 (previous resistance → now support)
Major Higher Targets (Monthly chart):
Based on historical price action & Fibonacci extensions:
₹395 – ₹410 (first measured move)
₹470 – ₹500 (major resistance + multi-year supply)
₹575 – ₹600 (long-term pattern target)
🟢 3️⃣ Breakout Quality Check
✔ Volume confirmation (if available):
Breakout candles like shown usually represent institutional participation.
✔ Momentum:
Current candle is a 14% impulsive breakout, not a weak marginal move.
✔ Structure:
Has been forming a multi-year cup-like base, now breaking the rim.
This is a high-probability breakout.
🧠 4️⃣ Price Pattern Interpretation
Pattern Type:
A Cup & Resistance Shelf on monthly timeframe.
Duration: ~8 years
Bases of this length cause powerful multi-year moves
Breakout from such a structure suggests long-term trend reversal and fresh bull cycle
📌 5️⃣ Risk Management (Pro Approach)
If someone were to trade (not a recommendation):
Entry: On monthly close above 330 or dips to 300–315 zone
Stop-loss: Below 285 (structural invalidation)
Risk–Reward:
Target 1: ₹395
Target 2: ₹470
Target 3: ₹575
RR > 3 on higher timeframes → very strong setup.
🥇 6️⃣ Professional Summary
This is one of the cleanest long-term breakouts for MNFS in the last decade.
Key Takeaways:
Multi-year resistance broken
High momentum monthly candle
Long consolidation → explosive breakout
Upside potential remains strong
Structure supports trend continuation
Bias: Strongly bullish as long as price sustains above ₹285–300 zone.
GOLD – 4H | Falling Wedge Structure Near BreakoutGold has been compressing inside a converging falling wedge , a pattern that typically signals waning bearish pressure and an upcoming bullish break. The structure has been developing for several weeks, with each swing clearly showing a loss of momentum from sellers and a stronger defense from buyers at progressively higher lows.
The wedge is now approaching its apex, and price is pressing against the upper boundary. While this setup carries a bullish tilt, confirmation is still critical before acting.
Why this structure matters
This is a Converging Falling Wedge (Bullish) pattern, defined by:
Sellers losing momentum on each downswing
Buyers defending higher lows , tightening the structure
Compression building toward the apex , creating stored energy
Breakouts typically hitting the upper rail first
Confirmation occurring only on a close above the last swing high
In this case, the last swing high sits at 125,521 , aligning perfectly with the wedge’s upper rail.
Only a sustained 4H close above 125,521 would confirm that the market has absorbed overhead supply and is ready to transition into a higher timeframe move.
RSI Check
RSI is trending higher but hasn’t yet signaled full breakout momentum. A push above the 60–65 zone would strengthen the bullish case and support continuation after the breakout.
Trade Plan
Trigger :
Entry only on a sustained 4H close above 125,521 .
This keeps you aligned with pattern confirmation and avoids premature entries inside compression.
Upside path:
A breakout could initially retest the wedge boundary before starting the projected upward leg toward higher resistance zones.
Summary
Gold is displaying a well-defined falling wedge with clear signs of seller exhaustion and buyer strength. The structure leans bullish, but the move needs to be validated through a confirmed break above 125,521 . Until then, the wedge remains a compression zone — not a breakout.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Nifty closed below 26,000, BUT FIIs+DII are Buying📊 Key Levels for Wednesday (Snapshot):
⚠️ The Trap Zone (Neutral): 25,781 - 26,066 (Buy Support / Sell Resistance)
🔻 Bearish Breakdown: Only Below 25,781 (S1)
🚀 Bullish Reversal: Above 26,066 (R1)
⚔️ Pivot Point: 25,962
Institutional Data:
FII Net Buy: +₹917 Cr 🟢
DII Net Buy: +₹3,423 Cr 🟢
PCR: 0.73 (Bearish/Oversold) 🔴
👇 Join the Discussion: FIIs have started buying again. Do you think the Correction is OVER? Comment "TRAP" if you think Bears are about to get squeezed!
Sensex - 84700 CE and PE for expirySir/Mam,
Please buy CE and PE of strike price 84700. For best price wait for the value (-75% of both)
The best time for buying is after 1 PM or breakout points.
Today, it is closed at 84587.01 - It will go upside up to 84700 and then down till 84500 - 84400.
I am bearish if it is below 84800 levels.
Hope you have booked profits in Nifty as I suggested in my previous Idea chart.
Stay safe and keep smiling.
Thank you for taking time to read my ideas and your support really helps me a lot.
$TAO HTF SMC: Who’s Ready for the $1,000+ Expansion?GETTEX:TAO HTF SMC: Who’s Ready for the $1,000+ Expansion?
Price continues to respect the HTF Bullish Order Block (OB) at $235–$185, which remains the primary demand zone maintaining bullish order flow. Each mitigation of this OB has previously generated strong displacement to the upside, confirming active institutional interest.
The current range is defined by:
🔹 HTF Demand (Bullish OB): $235–$185
🔹 Mid-Range S/R: $540
🔹 HTF Supply (Bearish OB): $640–$700
A decisive close above $540 S/R will shift the internal structure bullish and validate a premium re-pricing phase targeting the HTF Supply at $640–$700.
A clean break of structure (BOS) above $700, combined with a displacement candle, will confirm HTF trend continuation and open up extended liquidity targets:
Target 1: $1,000
Target 2: $1,500
Target 3: $3,000
As long as price maintains the $235 Bullish OB, the HTF narrative remains bullish, with expectation of a sweep of upper-side liquidity and expansion toward unmitigated supply zones.
NFA & DYOR
UPDATE: $HYPE/USDT SHORT PLAYED TO PERFECTIONUPDATE: $HYPE/USDT SHORT PLAYED TO PERFECTION
Perfect short entry nailed at $50, after the clean retest, price flushed to $29, now stabilizing near $32.
That’s 38% down from our entry.
📉 5x Short = ~190% Profit
📉 Spot Position = 38% Gain
Both sides winning exactly as planned.
If you’re satisfied with the massive profit, feel free to secure and book here.
I’m still eyeing the $23–$19 zone for the full high-risk/high-reward target but safer traders already have their bag made.
We literally rode it from $50 → $29 in real time. 🔥
NFA & DYOR
Nifty Price Action analysis for December 2025Nifty closed November Series at 25884 after achieving new swing high of 26246
For December it is likely to take support as shown on the chart. The support guidance line and pullback support (dotted) line is shown.
The trend seems up. View is to go long at every 250 points dip.
Major support for December is likely to be at 25550, 25350 and 25000.
Bajaj Auto Ltd. (BAJAJ-AUTO)If you understand the time cycles of a particular stock, you can easily create your position on the chart by observing its nature and behavior. This is probably a very good way to manage your investments.
Time Cycle is a routine that allows you to map the movement of a stock by measuring the high and low levels of the stock on a day or period. However, it does not prove whether a reversal will occur in the next time cycle; it is only a probability. But it makes you profitable 80% of the time.
Regardless of the outcome, the candle formed on the day of the time cycle carries significant significance. The market respects this candle, whether it goes up or down, which is very important. Time Cycle often stops short near the candle. You will notice on the chart that it often looks like a support or resistance area.
Time Cycle candles also tell you about continuation or reversal, but you have to forgive the high and low of the candle formed in the time cycle.
You do not have to make any decisions yourself. This is its specialty.
Long NaturalgasNatural gas is looking good in current scenario.
If it will do breakout from 430 zone then we can see 432 and 468
1st Dec is date for 432 and 24 dec 468
This is as per my sqroot calculation from previous top formation.
For downside you must hedge the trade by buying Bullish Put spread or bullish call spread






















