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Strong RECOVERY exactly as analysed! But will it sustain!?As we can see NIFTY recovered sharply exactly as analysed as it took support at our demand zones! But it is too quick now to judge the upcoming trend by single day move as it could be a sentiment based volume which doesn’t last long. Hence as long as NIFTY doesn’t crosses and closes itself above previous swing, shorting at signs of rejection around supply zones can be done so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
NSE:NIFTY
by Kaushalfin
USDINR — Controlled Structural TrendUSDINR continues to trade within a long-term rising channel on the yearly timeframe. The move reflects gradual structural INR depreciation , driven by macro differentials rather than stress or disorderly conditions. No currency regime shift is visible at cycle degree. Invalidation: Only a sustained breakdown below the long-term rising channel would alter the structural view. 📌 FX moves slowly — structure reveals intent. #USDINR #Forex #IndianRupee #CurrencyMarkets #MarketStructure #MacroTrends
by kacraj
1
S&P 500 — Mature but Structurally HealthyThe S&P 500 remains in a long-term impulsive uptrend at cycle degree. Despite maturity, the structure shows no confirmed cycle-degree violation. Corrections continue to be corrective, not distributive. This suggests the global equity cycle is aging — but not ending. Invalidation: Only a confirmed breakdown below the primary rising structure would alter the yearly view. 📌 Cycles age before they end. #SP500 #USMarkets #Equities #MarketStructure #CycleAnalysis #LongTermView
SP:SPX
by kacraj
NIFTY 50 — Primary Trend IntactNIFTY continues to respect its long-term rising cycle base on the yearly timeframe. Higher highs and higher lows remain intact, with corrections staying contained within the primary structure. No cycle-degree trend violation or exhaustion pattern is visible at this stage. Invalidation: Only a sustained breakdown below the primary rising base would alter the yearly bias. 📌 Trend persists until structure breaks. #NIFTY50 #IndianMarkets #Equities #MarketStructure #LongTermInvesting #ElliottWave
NSE:NIFTY
by kacraj
US 10Y — Elevated but Structurally StabilizingLong-term yields remain elevated but contained within a broader corrective structure on the yearly timeframe. No impulsive expansion is visible that would signal systemic tightening or macro stress. This keeps the cost-of-capital environment restrictive but stabilizing , not disruptive. Invalidation: Only a sustained impulsive breakout above the long-term trendline would alter the macro regime. 📌 Structure defines risk. #US10Y #BondYields #InterestRates #MacroAnalysis #MarketStructure #LongTermView
TVC:US10Y
by kacraj
Dollar (DXY) — Range-Bound at Cycle DegreeThe Dollar Index continues to trade within a broad rising range structure on higher timeframes. There is no cycle-degree impulsive breakout indicating a sustained risk-off regime. Dollar strength remains episodic, not dominant. This supports a macro environment where risk assets can coexist with a stable dollar. Invalidation: Only a confirmed impulsive breakout beyond the long-term range would change the macro bias. 📌 Macro regimes change after structure confirms — not sentiment. #DXY #USDollar #MacroAnalysis #MarketStructure #RiskOn #RiskOff #LongTermCycles
TVC:DXY
by kacraj
Crude Oil — Still Corrective, Not LeadingCrude remains contained within a broad, long-term consolidation on the yearly timeframe. Despite volatility, there is no confirmed impulsive resolution at cycle degree. The structure continues to reflect a corrective / range-bound macro phase. This suggests inflation pressure remains contained , not accelerating structurally. Invalidation: Only a sustained, impulsive breakout from the long-term range would alter the yearly view. 📌 Structure over headlines. #CrudeOil #WTI #Brent #EnergyMarkets #MarketStructure #MacroContext #LongTermView
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by kacraj
Silver — Structural Confirmation at Cycle DegreeSilver has delivered a decisive breakout above prior long-term cycle resistance and continues to hold that structure on higher timeframes. The advance is impulsive in character, confirming broader participation within the precious metals cycle — not limited to Gold alone. No higher-degree overlap or distribution signal is visible at this stage. Invalidation: Sustained acceptance back below the prior breakout zone would weaken the yearly structure. 📌 Only cycle-degree structure alters the yearly view. #Silver #XAGUSD #PreciousMetals #MarketStructure #CycleConfirmation #ElliottWave #LongTermView
OANDA:XAGUSD
by kacraj
5
Gold — Yearly Structure Remains IntactGold continues to respect its higher-degree structural base on the yearly timeframe. The broader cycle remains impulsive, with no confirmed cycle-degree corrective overlap. Corrections so far remain contained and proportional within the long-term structure. This suggests the precious metals cycle remains active, not exhausted. 🔍 Key point: Structure defines risk. Price confirms. Invalidation: Only a sustained breakdown below the primary structural base would alter the yearly view. 📌 For learning & structural reference only. #Gold #XAUUSD #PreciousMetals #MarketStructure #CycleAnalysis #LongTermView #ElliottWave
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kacraj
1
Historic bull runGold – Historic Bull Run | Weekly Elliott Wave Perspective Gold is in a long-term secular bull market that began in 2015. The structure on the weekly chart is very clear. Red Wave (I) ended in August 2020. Red Wave (II) completed in October 2022 and was a shallow correction, not even retracing 50% of Wave (I). Red Wave (III) extended strongly and terminated near the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave (I) — a typical behavior of an extended third wave. Currently, Red Wave (IV) is unfolding. According to Elliott Wave alternation, when Wave (II) is shallow, Wave (IV) tends to be deeper and more complex. The present structure of Wave (IV) appears to be shaping as an expanded flat correction, which keeps the larger bull trend intact but allows for further downside volatility. Important short-term observations: This week’s high is higher than last week’s high But the low has breached last week’s low This outside-range behavior suggests more correction is still possible before Wave (IV) completes. 📌 Conclusion: The long-term bullish structure of Gold remains intact, but in line with Elliott Wave alternation, a deeper pullback during Wave (IV) should not be ruled out before the final Red Wave (V) resumes the uptrend. This is a structural analysis, not a trading call. Follow me to get updates like this post if it helps you.
WHSELFINVEST:GOLD
by bijoy2526
4
Aadhar Housing Finance - New Year Pick Date 01.01.2025 Aadhar Housing Finance Timeframe : Weekly Chart About It is one of the largest low-income housing finance companies in India servicing the home financing needs of the low income sections of the society. AUM As of 9MFY25, their AUM stood at ₹23,976 Crs achieving a 21% YoY growth AUM by Product Type (1) Home Loans: 74% (20 Other Mortgage Loans: 26% Borrowings Mix (1) Banks: 51% (2) National Housing Bank: 25% (3) Non-Convertible Debentures: 24% (4) Cost of Borrowings: 8.1% Asset Quality (1) GNPA: 1.36% (2) NNPA: 0.9% (3) Capital Adequacy Ratio : 46.1% Geographical AUM Diversification Uttar Pradesh – 13% Gujarat – 12% Maharashtra – 12% Tamil Nadu – 10% Rajasthan – 9% Madhya Pradesh – 8% Telangana – 8% Andhra Pradesh – 7% Karnataka – 5% Other States – 17% Valuations (1) Market Cap ₹ 21000 Cr (2) Stock Pe 21 (3) Roce 11.4 % (4) Roe 17 % (5) Book Value 3X (6) Opm 21% (7) Promoter 75% (8) Profit Growth (TTM) 18.50% (9) EV/Ebita 14.26 (10) PEG 0.79 Regards, Ankur Singh
NSE:AADHARHFCLong
by AnkurSingh
Btc big trade to analysis Here is a breakdown of the key elements and the strategy being described: 1. The Core Strategy: Liquidity Sweep marked two grey boxes labeled "liquidity grab." * What this means: In trading, "liquidity" often sits just below recent lows where traders place their "Stop Loss" orders. * The Prediction: The text "Req. This liquidity grab before b/o" the price needs to drop into the $80,500 – $82,000 range first. This "flushes out" sellers and collects buy orders before the price has enough strength to breakout (b/o) to the upside. 2. The Resistance Levels (Targets) There are two major horizontal lines acting as hurdles for the price: * Intermediate Resistance ($89,385). if a daily candle closes above this line, it confirms bullish momentum. * Main Target ($98,981): This is the ultimate "take profit" zone for this specific trade setup. 3. Fair Value Gaps (FVG) You can see small orange boxes labeled FVG. * Definition: These are areas on a chart where there was an imbalance in price—usually a very fast move that left a "hole." * Significance: Price often acts like a magnet to these gaps, returning to fill them before continuing in the original direction. There is a large FVG near the top ($100k+ range) that the analyst expects to be filled eventually. 4. Current Market Position * Current Price: Approximately $87,516. * Trend: The price recently had a sharp drop from $107k and is currently consolidating (moving sideways). * Volume: The bars at the bottom show that trading volume is relatively steady, but the analyst is waiting for a "spring" move (the dip to $80k) to trigger a high-conviction buy. Summary of the "Trade Plan" If you were following this chart's logic, the steps would be: * Wait for the price to dip into the $80k-$82k zone (the liquidity grab). * Look for a reversal and a daily candle close above $89,385. * Target the move up to $98,981. Would you like me to explain more about how to identify "Liquidity Grabs" or how Fair Value Gaps work in more detail?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by techtrader_ravi
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 1 Jan 2026NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 1 Jan 2026 Bullish-Above 26210 Invalid-Below 26160 T- 26420 Bearish-Below 26040 Invalid-Above 26090 T- 25850 NIFTY has closed on a positive note with 0.74% gain today. Index will have a bullish momentum till it is above 50 EMA in daily TF. However index is still in the range of 26350 and 25700. However possibility of upside momentum looks more. Next stop ATH will be near 26650 zone. Intraday levels are 26210 and 26040, plan trades on 15 Min candle close. I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
SBIN.. Trying for a Breakout..SBI Bank is trying for a breakout.. As seen, Moved out of Triangle pattern. Moving up with good volume. Tried to move upward but faced resistance at around 986 because of candle wig. Not a major resistance but was respected. If move above 986 and sustain then first target will be around 990.. and afterwards towards testing the lifetime high.. If trade works in favor then keep trailing your profit or book as per your appetite.. Its better to book profit and re enter if breaks the resistance..
NSE:SBINLong
by excitedRock2121
KPI Green (D): Aggressive Bullish, Promoter-Backed MomentumTimeframe: Daily | Scale: Linear The stock is staging a violent recovery from the bottom of a Symmetrical Triangle. While it has surged +26% in two days, it is currently testing the critical angular resistance . The move is backed by "Insider Buying," which gives it high structural conviction. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The volume explosion is driven by two major factors: > Promoter Buying: Reports confirm that Quyosh Energia (Promoter Group) purchased shares (approx. 11.2 Lakh shares) via bulk deals. When promoters buy at market prices, it signals they believe the stock is undervalued. > SJVN Order: The recent execution of the 200MW Solar Project agreement with SJVN (worth ~₹696 Cr) has improved revenue visibility for 2026. 📈 2. The Chart Structure (The Triangle) > The Setup: The stock has been consolidating in a Symmetrical Triangle since the ATH. - Support: The bounce from ₹313 (and the recent higher low) was the launchpad. - Resistance: The stock is now "Kissing" the downward-sloping trendline (around ₹510–₹515 levels). > Current Status: Despite the +26% move, a daily close above this angular trendline is needed to confirm the end of the correction. 📊 3. Volume & Indicators > Volume Spike: The volume of 77M+ (combined sessions/exchanges) is an "Institutional Stamp." This is not retail accumulation; this is big money entering. > RSI: Rising sharply. Note that daily RSI is entering "Overbought" territory (>70) due to the sudden surge. In strong momentum trends (like Power/Energy), RSI can stay overbought for weeks. 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is at the "Make or Break" point at the trendline. > 🐂 Bullish Breakout (The Continuation): - Trigger: A decisive Daily Close above ₹515 . - Target: ₹581 . - Blue Sky: If ₹581 clears, the path opens to retest the ATH ( ₹743 adjusted/unadjusted depending on chart). > 🛡️ Support (The "Pullback"): - Immediate Support: ₹479 . Since the stock rose +26% in 2 days, a cooling-off pullback to ₹479 is healthy and should be used to add. - Stop Loss: A close below ₹450 (mid-point of the surge candle) would signal that the momentum was a "flash in the pan." Conclusion This is a High-Octane Setup . > Refinement: The Promoter Buying makes this a "Buy on Dips" candidate rather than a "Sell on Resistance" one. > Strategy: Watch for the ₹515 breakout. If it clears, the momentum will likely carry it swiftly to ₹580 .
NSE:KPIGREENLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Daily update - Nifty Analysis and Trading Strategy NIFTY Trade plan on NSE:NIFTY 50 INDEX : 31st Dec 2025 Following a strong session, Nifty Spot encountered resistance near 26,187, broadly in line with the scenarios outlined in my posts on 26 December and yesterday. For full context, please refer to those prior updates. Hourly Chart Analysis Resistance Level Identification: The market has identified two primary resistance zones requiring attention: Immediate resistance: 26,186 zone (today's session high) Secondary resistance: 26,250 zone Price Action Expectations: Given the current technical setup, significant lateral movement appears unlikely. Market dynamics suggest potential retracement toward the 25,995 support level represents a probable scenario. Strategic Trading Approach: The prevailing market sentiment maintains a bullish bias, supporting a "buy-on-dips" methodology. Should price action retreat toward the critical 26,000 support zone while maintaining structural integrity above this level, long positioning targeting the 26,350 zone presents favorable risk-reward characteristics Daily Chart Analysis Market Extension Assessment: Today's substantial upward movement has resulted in technically overextended conditions on the daily timeframe. This suggests limited probability for continued aggressive advancement in the immediate session. Anticipated Price Behavior: Upper resistance levels are expected to generate meaningful opposition, potentially resulting in consolidation patterns. Technical indicators suggest the formation of reversal candlestick patterns (doji or hammer formations) represents a high-probability outcome, which would typically precede corrective movement toward the 26,000 support zone. Weekly Chart Analysis Dynamic Technical Environment: The weekly chart structure continues to evolve with each trading session, reflecting the dynamic nature of current market conditions. As of today's close, the technical bias ranges from bullish to sideways consolidation. Medium-Term Price Objective: Technical projections support upward movement toward the 26,250 target zone, consistent with the broader bullish market structure. If you like this analysis, please let me know in the comments. Thank you to all readers 🙏 I welcome your thoughts, questions, and insights. For direct correspondence, please feel free to reach out via email. I look forward to connecting with you. Disclaimer: Views expressed are my own and for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI registered advisor. I may or may not have any position in the securities/instruments discussed. Please consult with a registered professional before making investment decisions. #Nifty50, #NiftyAnalysis, #StockMarket, #TradingTips, #IndianStockMarket, #TechnicalTrading, #MarketUpdate, and #TradeSmart.
NSE:NIFTY
by DEBOJYOTI_BANDOPADHYAY
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 01-Jan-2026📘 NIFTY Trading Plan for 1-Jan-2026 (Timeframe: 15-min | Gap consideration: 100+ points) Key Levels from Chart Last Intraday Resistance Zone: 26,336 – 26,386 Opening Resistance Zone: 26,160 – 26,182 Opening Support Zone: 26,057 – 26,083 Last Intraday Support: 26,019 Lower Support (Extreme): 25,944 🔍 Note: Price is approaching an important daily resistance area, so reactions near upper zones are critical for trend continuation. 🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points) If NIFTY opens above 26,160, it signals strength carrying forward from the previous session. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Gap-up openings near higher-timeframe resistance often test buyer conviction. Acceptance above resistance confirms continuation, while rejection usually leads to healthy pullbacks. Plan of Action: Avoid trading in the first 10–15 minutes; let volatility settle. Sustaining above 26,160–26,182 → bullish continuation likely. Fresh buying confirmation above 26,182 can push price toward 26,336–26,386. Rejection from 26,336+ may trigger intraday profit booking. Options traders: Prefer ATM / ITM Calls after retest & hold; avoid chasing far OTM calls. 🟡 2. FLAT OPENING A flat open around 26,100–26,150 places price inside a decision zone. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Flat opens reflect temporary balance. The market usually gives one clean directional move after breaking either side of the opening range. Patience avoids whipsaws. Plan of Action: Holding above 26,160 keeps bullish bias active. Failure near 26,160–26,182 may lead to consolidation or pullback. Breakdown below 26,083 increases downside probability toward 26,019. Only trade after a clear breakout or rejection with volume support. 🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points) If NIFTY opens below 26,083, early sentiment turns cautious. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Gap-downs into support zones often attract short covering or value buying. Selling without confirmation near support increases reversal risk. Plan of Action: First support to watch: 26,057–26,083. Breakdown and acceptance below 26,057 opens downside toward 26,019. If 26,019 fails, next support lies near 25,944. Strong bullish candles near supports can give intraday bounce trades. ⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 🛡️ Avoid overtrading on the first trading day of the year. Risk only 1–2% capital per trade. Use time-based SL (15–20 mins) if premium stops moving. Prefer ATM options or spreads near resistance zones. Book partial profits at predefined levels; don’t wait for extremes. Avoid emotional trades near all-time-high resistance areas. 🧾 Summary & Conclusion Above 26,182: Bulls stay in control toward 26,336–26,386. Between 26,083–26,160: Market in balance; wait for confirmation. Below 26,083: Sellers gain control unless buyers defend 26,019. Trade reaction at levels, not excitement around new-year moves 🎯. Discipline + patience = consistency. ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Markets involve risk; please consult your financial advisor before trading.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
3
Compression Near Resistance — Let the Market Decide Today’s NSE:NIFTY candle is not a breakout candle. The index has not closed above the descending trendline yet. What we are seeing instead is compression just below a key resistance. This is an important distinction. Price is staying near the trendline without sharp rejection. Upper wicks are controlled. Pullbacks are shallow. Selling pressure is getting absorbed rather than expanding. That tells us the market is building energy, not giving direction yet. For tomorrow, the market’s job is simple — test this trendline again. Two scenarios have higher probability. Scenario 1: The index gives a mild dip toward the 26000–26030 zone and buyers step in. If price stabilizes and starts holding above this area, it would indicate strength and set up a healthy continuation attempt. Scenario 2: The market opens flat or slightly positive and spends time near the trendline. Sideways action near resistance, without aggressive selling, is also a bullish sign. It shows sellers are defending, but not winning. The risk scenario to watch: If there is a sharp rejection from the trendline and Nifty starts sustaining below 25950, then this compression can fail and the market may slip back into a range. Intraday bias for tomorrow: Bias remains mildly positive as long as the index holds above 26000 with acceptance. A confirmed close above the trendline will attract momentum traders, but until then, patience has the edge. This is where many traders make mistakes. They assume a breakout before it actually happens. Experienced traders wait for the market to prove itself. Sector-wise, defence stocks continue to show relative strength. Index stability or an eventual breakout can support selective setups in that space. Overall market mood is constructive, but not aggressive. This is a preparation phase, not an execution phase. Let the market speak first. React to behaviour, not expectations. That’s all for today. Read the structure, ignore the noise. Have a focused and profitable tomorrow. 📊 Levels at a glance: Support zone: 26000–26030 Immediate resistance: Descending trendline area Risk level: Below 25950 Bias: Wait for reaction, trade confirmation Sector focus: Defence
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Trendxinc