Coiled Spring Bitcoin is holding structure on the high time frames, currently reclaiming the $90k level after testing the lows. I’ve got my weighted average bands on the chart and price is respecting them so far. You can see on the daily chart how we’ve just poked back above the latest FOMC anchor (the blue line) and are squeezing between that and the breakdown AVWAP overhead. I try not to preempt levels though, I only really care about them once price actually reacts there.
Macro wise, things look decent. Yield curves like the 5y-03m and 10y-03m are positive. We’re seeing a bull steepening, not the textbook version since the 2y is still lower than the 3m, but not a cause for concern.
Other signals I’m tracking:
VIX is stable.
USDJPY is trending up but getting close to resistance, so that’s one to watch.
MOVE index is chilling, down at 63% which is historically a good zone for us.
DXY is high at 98 but trending down.
Credit spreads are super low at 2.84, so no stress there.
TGA is pivoting down now too.
Real yields aren’t doing much since nominals and breakevens are falling together.
Current pricing suggests no cut at the next FOMC, which is fine. But if a cut comes as a surprise that would be very interesting to say the least.
Community ideas
ITC LTD! H&S PATTERNOn weekly timeframe ITC has formed H&S Pattern which even broken the neck line of the pattern and closed below the pattern with huge selling volume.
Downside targets are the height of the head from the neck
Thats almost 30% downside targets with 275 as the Major Support.
View Invalid if Breakout above right shoulder.
BuyKey Points About Your Breakout Strategy
Identify breakouts using recent pivot highs and lows.
Clear entry, stop-loss, and target levels from the indicator.
Trade only when price breaks support or resistance.
Targets set using risk-reward from recent highs/lows.
Capture momentum while managing risk with stop-losses.
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Essential Disclaimer:
For educational purposes only; not financial advice.
Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor.
All trading outcomes are your responsibility; no legal liability on my part.
Lloyds Metals & Energy LtdDate 03.01.2026
Lloyds Metals & Energy Ltd
Timeframe : Weekly Chart
About
(1) In business of manufacturing of Sponge Iron, Power generation and mining activities
(2) It is one of the largest iron ore merchant miner in India
(3) Company is pioneer in integrated sponge iron production, with a capacity of 350,000 MTPA
Revenue Breakup
(1) Iron ore mining- 78%
(2) Sponge Iron manufacturing- 19%
(3) Power Generation- 3%
Capacity
(1) Sponge- 3,50,000 TPA
(2) Iron Ore – 10mnt
(3) Power- 34MW
Highlight :
(1) Delivered profit growth of 115% CAGR over last 5 years
(2) Return on equity track record: 3 Years ROE 46.2%
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 73,326 Cr
(2) Stock Pe 40.6
(3) Roce 38.3 %
(4) Roe 31.4 %
(5) Book Value 9X
(6) Opm 29.59%
(7) Promoter 62.82%
(8) Sales Growth 21.64%
(9) EV/Ebita 29.22
(10) PEG 0.36
Regards,
Ankur Singh
Bollinger Bands: Timing Your Short Sell EntriesThis trade is a short (sell) taken after price moved and closed below the Bollinger middle band, confirming downside momentum and continuation within a strong intraday downtrend.
Bollinger band context.
Price is riding the lower Bollinger band, showing strong volatility expansion to the downside and a trending rather than mean‑reverting environment.
The candles remain below the middle band (the 20‑period moving average), so the middle band acts as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish bias for short entries instead of counter‑trend buys.
Entry logic.
After a sharp impulsive drop, there is a minor pullback that stalls below the middle band and below the previous swing breakdown area, forming small-bodied candles with upper wicks, showing rejection of higher prices.
The sell entries around 4337 and 4330 are placed as price resumes downward from that pullback, aligning with the trend, with the expectation that price will continue hugging or re‑testing the lower band rather than reverting to the mean.
Stop loss reasoning.
The stop loss line is set above the consolidation/pullback zone and above the local resistance created by the failed bounce, where a close back above would mean price is reclaiming the middle band area and invalidating the immediate bearish continuation thesis.
Position sizing of 200 units with the stop beyond that structure allows the trade some room for normal volatility within the band while still cutting the trade if volatility flips in favor of buyers.
Take profit and targets.
The take‑profit level is placed lower, near the next intraday support zone where previous demand or a likely reaction area sits, also in the region where price might start to diverge from the lower band and pause or revert.
Given the strong sequence of red candles and the angle of the bands, the trade is designed as a trend‑following continuation play: holding until price reaches that lower horizontal support or shows a clear loss of bearish momentum near the band.
TATA STEEL ShortThis is wait and short analysis. Tata steel is in bull run recently, I see resistance in 186.20. So, it can be wait and short at 186.20 with stoploss of 187.70 for target 180 as primary and further targets updated later based on trend.
Please note it can consolidate near resistance and take time to fall (2/4 days more). Be strict with stoploss.
DLF LONGDLF is moving in sideways (As per long term chart), I see it is consolidated for few days after downside. Now it will move to upside from cmp 698.70 to 727 in short term.
I have shown downward and consolidation in chart. If it close below 698 (Hourly basis) will be considered still as consolidation. Please keep this small stop-loss if buying it.
ITC.. Can show some reversal from here..ITC.. As seen from chart, it has taken support at around 345 ( which was todays low also ) which is its good support on weekly basis ( Shown by YELLOW LINE )..
Now things can turn around from here for a trade..
The next resistance comes at around 370-375 ( Shown by BLUE LINE )
We can plan a trade from 350 for the target of 370..
If crosses 370 then next target could be something around 390..
One can book the profit at around 370 and trail or Re enter if sustains above 370..
ITC Limited - EW AnalysisITC Limited Complete analysis in EW theory now in correction phase of super cycle degree expected correction minimum fib retrace of wave1 38.2 % (Super cycle degree) already 30% over so expected reversal possible at 320-280 price level good opportunity for long term Investors and traders
Exalted Jupiter in Cancer: Analyzing the Bull Run of 2026Friends, today we'll talk a little about Jupiter's astro cycle. While the trading session is influenced by Mercury, which controls the daily trading system, when it comes to long-term trends, it depends on Jupiter.
This means that if Jupiter is in a good position, in its own sign, a friendly sign, or in its own or a friendly nakshatra (constellation), it gives good results.
Two more things to keep in mind are that it is afflicted by the Rahu and Ketu axis and the Kendra houses (angular houses), as is the case when Saturn and Mars are together in the Kendra houses. That's when it keeps the market stable.
And another important point is that when it is retrograde, the market moves sideways, or finds it difficult to make new highs, especially when it is not in its own or a friendly nakshatra.
As you all know, Jupiter went retrograde in Cancer on November 11, 2025 (that was also the day of the index cycle, it was the day of the conjunction of two cycles), and will move backward until it becomes direct on March 10 or 11, 2026. During this time, it will re-enter Gemini for some time around December 5th, and this will be a time for introspection and reconsidering past events. However, at this time, Jupiter is situated in its own nakshatra. That is why there has been no significant decline in the stock index. And after January 17th of this month, the market will become even more stable. Because there will be no malefic planets in the Kendra houses, and as soon as Jupiter becomes direct, you will see even better growth in the market. In June, Jupiter is moving into Cancer, which is considered its sign of exaltation,
and at the same time, the "Hamsa Yoga" is going to form.
Just before this rally, keep an eye on the conjunction of Mars and Saturn in Pisces around April 2026. This may cause a temporary "dip" or correction. This correction could actually be the "last chance" to buy in these sectors before they surge upwards in June when Jupiter and Mars conjunct in their powerful signs.
Since we're talking about Jupiter, I'd like to share a few more things with you. In Vedic astrology, constellations are known as Nakshatras. Because the zodiac is a 360° circle divided into 27 Nakshatras, each Nakshatra occupies exactly 13° 20' (13 degrees and 20 minutes) of space.
Duration of Jupiter's stay in a Nakshatra
On average, Jupiter stays in a Nakshatra for approximately 120 to 130 days (about 4 to 4.5 months).
A market rally may be seen until November 5th when Jupiter enters the Nakshatra of Ketu in Leo.
scalping🔎 Market Structure
Overall bias: Short-term pullback / bearish correction after a strong intraday up-move.
Price earlier made higher highs and higher lows, confirming an intraday uptrend.
The last leg shows strong bearish candles, indicating profit-booking or a trend pause.
📉 Moving Averages (Green = fast EMA, Red = slow EMA)
During the rally, price respected the fast EMA (green).
Recently:
Price broke below the fast EMA
Now testing / breaking the slow EMA (red) → short-term weakness.
If candles start closing below the red EMA, momentum turns bearish on 15-min.
🟨 Marked Zones (Very Important)
Resistance / Supply Zone (yellow)
Area around 73.6 – 74.0
Price rejected strongly from here → selling pressure
This was a good sell-on-retest zone
Support / Demand Zone (green)
Area around 72.1 – 72.4
This is the next major support
Buyers previously entered strongly from this zone
📌 Current Price Behavior
Strong bearish candle suggests:
Stops getting hit
Momentum traders exiting longs
If price holds above green zone → possible bounce / consolidation
If price breaks below green zone → continuation toward 71.6 – 71.2
🧠 Trade Scenarios (Educational)
✅ Bullish case
Price holds 72.1–72.4
Forms rejection / bullish candle
Target: 73.0 → 73.6
❌ Bearish case
Clean break & close below 72.1
Retest failure
Target: 71.6 → 71.2
🔑 Summary
Trend: Short-term correction inside a bigger intraday uptrend
Momentum: Bearish right now
Key level: 72.1 support decides next move
Best action: Wait for reaction at green zone
If you want, I can:
Mark entry–SL–target clearly
Analyze higher timeframe (1H / 4H)
ETHEREUM 2026 ATH Price Forecast | Bitcoin Halving Cycle AnalysiThis study observes Ethereum’s historical behavior relative to Bitcoin halving events. The purpose is to highlight recurring market structure patterns, not to provide financial or investment advice.
Observed Historical Cycles
2016 Bitcoin Halving
~70% drawdown in ETH
~546 days of sideways accumulation
Followed by a multi-year expansion phase (~22,800% peak move)
2020 Bitcoin Halving
~75% drawdown in ETH
~546 days of consolidation
Subsequent expansion to ~$4,693 (+2,600% approx.)
2024 Bitcoin Halving (Current Cycle)
~66% drawdown observed
~609 days of consolidation (ongoing)
Market structure remains comparable to prior accumulation phases
Key Observation
ETH trading within the $2,600–$3,000 range aligns with previous long-term accumulation zones seen before historical expansion phases.
Forward-Looking Scenario (Cycle-Based Projection)
If historical rhythm continues, the next expansion window may extend into 2026, with hypothetical price zones often discussed by market participants between:
$10,000
$15,000
$18,500+
These levels represent cycle-based projections, not price guarantees.
Conclusion
Ethereum has historically followed a pattern of deep drawdowns, prolonged consolidation, and later expansion after Bitcoin halving events. Whether this cycle continues to rhyme remains to be confirmed by future market behavior.
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Always conduct independent research and risk assessment.
TATA Elxsi on 1W TFHello Traders,
TATA Elxsi had taken support in April 2025 and bounced back from around 4800 levels.
After that, it has been in Sideways to bearish trend and have agin tested support zone last month.
There was strong pull back seen in the week of 15th Dec 2025. Also this week's closing is with Dragonfly canclestick with less volume.
It seems this is and consolidation phase and it may get trendy after the breakout after closing above 5600 on weekly basis.
Let's see how this stock moves further from current zone.
Note: This post is for information purpose only. Please do not consider this as Trading or investment recommendation.
US100 – Rejection From Discoun Zone + Trendline TapBias: Bullish Reversal (Counter-Trend Move Toward Premium)
Strategy Basis: SMT / Premium–Discount / Liquidity Sweep
📖 Trade Idea Description
US100 has tapped into a higher-timeframe ascending trendline support after delivering a sharp sell-off. Price swept the recent sell-side liquidity, reacted from the discount zone, and instantly showed strong bullish displacement.
This rejection aligns perfectly with:
✔ Retest of previous demand zone
✔ Liquidity grab below equilibrium
✔ Rejection wick forming bullish orderflow
✔ Discount pricing inside the PD Array
✔ Premium to discount rebalancing setup
Price has now reclaimed structure and is respecting the trendline, indicating possible continuation higher toward the premium zone.
🟢 Long Setup
Entry: 25,152 (after trendline rejection)
Stop Loss: Below discount zone – 24986
Take Profit: 25,500 (mid-range liquidity
🎯 Trade Narrative
Market has entered a deep discount after taking out major liquidity. The violent wick gives a clue that smart money stepped in. As long as price sustains above the demand + trendline, we anticipate a bullish push toward the imbalance and premium area.
This setup remains valid as long as price holds above the trendline and discount block.
For Educational purpose only.
Whirlpool possible double bottom reversal zoneA possible potential revrsal zone for Whirlpool , half bat structure is in formation waiting for a double bottom reversal and the stock is also trading at an important support zone . Once half bat point B is breached a very fast move can be expected in stock. Do your own research before investing. This is not a buy or sell advice.






















