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12 MONTHS HIGH_NATIONALALUM_LONGTERM TRADEHi traders, Posting the interesting Topic on NATIONALALUM with Technical Analysis long-term view. Currently HINDALCO INDUSTRIES is trading at INR 316.60 with longer term bullish basis along with strong Commodity demand at global level. Entry at current level with stoploss of 12 Months low. Ride the trend until it closes previous yearly low price or Market Structure. Note:_ Only for Educational purpose Since investments in Securities and market are subjected to market risk.
NSE:NATIONALUMLong
by Babujoseph77
12 MONTHS HIGH_HINDALCO INDUSTRIES_LONGTERM TRADEHi traders, Posting the interesting Topic on HINDALCO INDUSTRIES with Technical Analysis long-term view. Currently HINDALCO INDUSTRIES is trading at INR 884.15 with longer term bullish basis along with strong Commodity demand at global level. Entry at current level with stoploss of 12 Months low. Ride the trend until it closes previous yearly low price or Market Structure. Note:_ Only for Educational purpose Since investments in Securities and market are subjected to market risk.
NSE:HINDALCOLong
by Babujoseph77
Silver: Why Historical Highs Alone Don’t Define Market TopsMany are calling a “blow-off top” in Silver by comparing the current rally with 1980 and 2011. This approach misses a critical point: Markets don’t top because price looks high — they top when structure completes. On the monthly timeframe, Silver continues to trade within a rising multi-decade channel. The breakout above the long-term resistance zone (~48–50) is structural, not emotional. While momentum is elevated, there is no confirmed: 5-wave completion at this degree Structural breakdown Impulsive reversal sequence Historical spikes (1980, 2011) were cycle extremes within a broader structure, not the end of the secular trend. Until the structure fails, comparisons alone are not enough. Focus on structure. Not headlines. Educational view | Structure-based analysis | No predictions Silver #ElliottWave #MarketStructure #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis #XAGUSD
OANDA:XAGUSD
by kacraj
XAUUSD Structure Shift After Resistance RejectionXAUUSD earlier showed a clear bullish structure, supported by a rising trendline and consistent higher highs. The price moved steadily until reaching the 4550 resistance level, a zone historically attracting strong selling. Multiple rejections here showed buying exhaustion and growing seller activity. Market sentiment changed when price could not stay above the trendline. A clear break below dynamic support confirmed a short-term structure change, followed by a strong bearish move. The speed and strength suggest active distribution, not just a minor pullback, showing sellers temporarily in control. After the sharp decline, price reached key support, where bearish momentum slowed and candles compressed. This shows temporary balance as the market absorbs previous volatility. Such pauses are common after strong moves and act as decision points for the next phase. From a broader view, this area now indicates market intent. Staying above support may allow stabilisation and corrective recovery, while dropping below maintains downside pressure. Overall, XAUUSD moved from trend continuation to a rebalancing phase, making patience and confirmation vital before the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5% DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Resistance Breakout in JSL BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:JSLLong
by Kapil-Mittal
4
Jindal Stainless (D): Strongly Bullish - Sector-Backed BreakoutTimeframe: Daily | Scale: Linear The stock has confirmed a major "Blue Sky" breakout, clearing a confluence of resistance levels (Angular + Horizontal) to hit a new All-Time High. This move is powered by a sector-wide rally and strong institutional volume. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The breakout is fueled by a convergence of positive factors: > Sector Rally: The Nifty Metal index is surging, lifting all ferrous metal stocks. When a stock breaks out with its sector, the probability of success increases significantly. > Strong Earnings Support: The company’s Q2 FY26 results provided the fundamental floor, and the market is now pricing in future growth from its capacity expansion plans (targeting 4.2 MTPA). 📈 2. The Chart Structure (The "Coil" bursts) > The Squeeze: The tight sideways trend below the angular resistance. This "Coiling" action (low volatility + drying volume) indicated that sellers were exhausted. > The Breakout: Today's surge of 5.14% smashed through the ₹825–₹830 supply zone. - Significance: By closing at a new ATH ( ₹848.05 ), the stock has no overhead supply (resistance) left. It is now in "Price Discovery" mode. > Volume: The 2.77 Million volume is an "Ignition Bar." It confirms that "Smart Money" has initiated a new markup phase. 📊 3. Technical Indicators > EMAs: The Positive Crossover (PCO) on Short-term EMAs confirms the immediate trend is vertical. > RSI: Rising RSI across all timeframes (Monthly/Weekly/Daily) signals synchronized momentum. An RSI above 60 in a breakout is a sign of strength, not an overbought signal. 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is primed for a "Blue Sky" run. > 🐂 Bullish Target (Blue Sky): - Target 1: ₹960 . - Strategy: Since the stock is at an ATH, use a Trailing Stop Loss (e.g., 20-day EMA) to ride the trend as far as it goes. > 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"): - Immediate Support: ₹790 – ₹800 . The previous resistance zone should now act as a rock-solid floor (Polarity Principle). - Stop Loss: A close below ₹776 would act as a structural failure, invalidating the breakout. Conclusion This is a Grade A Setup . > Refinement: The "Low Volume" during the sideways phase followed by "High Volume" on the breakout is the perfect recipe for a sustainable move. > Action: The breakout is confirmed. The dip to ₹820-830 (if it happens) is a buying opportunity.
NSE:JSLLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
$PEPE on the 1H chart is forming a inverse head & shoulderCRYPTOCAP:PEPE on the 1H chart is forming a classic inverse head & shoulders pattern. The left shoulder emerged after a controlled sell-off, the head dipped into deeper liquidity, and now a higher right shoulder has developed—indicating that selling pressure is easing. The neckline is slightly ascending, which adds strength to the pattern. Price is currently hovering just below this neckline, meaning the market is at a decision point, not late. A clean breakout and hold above 0.00000430–0.00000435 → Opens upside toward 0.00000460 → 0.00000490 → 0.00000510 Invalidation: Loss of 0.00000390 → Pattern weakens, retest of 0.00000360 possible This is a wait-for-breakout setup. Don’t front-run it — let PEPE prove strength.
Long
by CryptoSatRed
Part 2 Ride The Big Moves 1. Breakouts Option buyers profit most during: Higher highs Higher lows Volume expansion Trend confirmation 2. Reversals Put buyers benefit when: Market forms double tops Distribution zone breaks Supply zone rejection occurs 3. Volume Profile Important levels: POC (Point of Control) – maximum volume Value Area High / Low Low Volume Nodes (LVN) – breakout zones Option traders align entries with these areas. 4. Implied Volatility and Market Zones Low IV at support → calls become cheaper High IV at resistance → selling calls becomes attractive
NSE:ASHOKLEYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
MACRO FX COMPARISON: DXY vs AUDUSDMACRO FX COMPARISON: DXY vs AUDUSD – WHAT STRUCTURAL CHANGE REALLY MATTERS This is a structure-first, educational view comparing DXY and AUDUSD to understand the broader macro environment — and why most “USD reversal” narratives are premature. No forecasts. No trade calls. Only structure. 🔹 DXY – TIME CORRECTION, NOT TREND REVERSAL DXY remains locked inside a large corrective / overlapping structure. Price action shows range expansion in time, not impulsive price discovery. Momentum (RSI) confirms compression, not trend acceleration. Key point: A sideways or corrective DXY does not automatically mean USD weakness — it means indecision in trend. 🔹 AUDUSD – MACRO CONFIRMATION FROM FX On higher timeframes (Quarterly / Monthly), AUDUSD remains within a long-term corrective structure. Multiple upside attempts have failed to transition into an impulsive trend. Momentum remains muted — consistent with macro consolidation, not a new bull cycle. Important insight: If USD were entering a true bearish phase, AUDUSD would already be trending impulsively. It is not. 🔹 WHY THIS COMPARISON MATTERS Looking at DXY alone can be misleading. FX pairs like AUDUSD act as structural confirmation tools. Right now: DXY = correcting in time AUDUSD = trapped in macro correction No FX pair shows a clean impulsive USD breakdown This combination defines a non-trending USD environment, not a trend reversal. 🔹 WHAT WOULD ACTUALLY COUNT AS A STRUCTURAL CHANGE? Only the following would matter structurally: ✅ DXY Clean impulsive breakdown Loss of key higher-timeframe support with follow-through Momentum expansion, not divergence ✅ AUDUSD Clear 5-wave impulsive advance Sustained breakout from long-term corrective boundaries RSI regime shift above prior ranges Until then: The macro remains in transition, not resolution. 🔹 BOTTOM LINE Current FX behaviour reflects time-based correction, not trend exhaustion. Structural patience is required. Noise increases near transitions — structure filters it out. This is a study of market structure, not a trading signal. #AUDUSD #DXY #ForexAnalysis #MarketStructure #ElliottWave #StructureOverPrediction #PriceAction #EducationalAnalysis
by kacraj
XAU/USD: Watch for SELL after strong drop rebound◆ Market Context (M30) Gold has just experienced a strong displacement-type drop, breaking the previous upward structure. The current increase is only a technical pullback, not enough to confirm a trend reversal. ◆ Structure & Cash Flow (SMC) • The previous peak created a Lower High, confirming the short-term structure has shifted to bearish. • Price is retracing to the Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618 zone, coinciding with the old supply/distribution zone. • This is an area prone to SELL-side reaction if there is no clear breakout. ◆ Key Levels • Sell Zone (Fibo 0.5 – 0.618): ~4,435 – 4,445 • Current Price: ~4,379 • Nearest Bottom (Liquidity): ~4,300 • Invalid SELL scenario: M30 closes above 4,445 ◆ Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario 1 – SELL pullback (priority) • Wait for price to retrace to 4,435 – 4,445 • Appearance of rejection candle/small breakdown → watch for SELL • Targets: 4,360 → 4,330 → 4,300 • SL: above 4,445 ➤ Scenario 2 – Do not SELL if… • If price breaks and holds above 4,445 → Bearish scenario is invalidated, wait for a new structure to form. ◆ Summary • Main bias: Bearish – sell on pullback. • The current increase is just a technical rebound after a strong sell-off. • Avoid BUY against the trend when there is no clear upward CHoCH.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Part 1 Ride The Big Moves 1. Single-Leg Strategies A. Long Call Directional bullish bet. Maximum loss = premium paid. B. Long Put Directional bearish view. Great for hedging. C. Short Call Range-bound strategy; unlimited risk. D. Short Put Used to accumulate stocks. 2. Multi-Leg Strategies (Spreads) These reduce risk but limit profit. A. Bull Call Spread Buy ATM Call Sell OTM Call Used in slow uptrend markets. B. Bear Put Spread Buy ATM Put Sell OTM Put Used in slow downtrends. C. Iron Condor Sell OTM Call + Put Buy further OTM Call + Put Perfect for sideways markets. D. Straddle Buy ATM Call + ATM Put Expect high volatility. E. Strangle Buy OTM Call + OTM Put Cheaper than straddle. F. Butterfly Spread Accurate range prediction; low risk.
NSE:JIOFINEducation
by SkyTradingZone