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Nifty 50: Genuine Rally or Selloff Setup?The Nifty 50 Index went up, but this upward move was likely just a temporary correction, not the start of a new, long-term rise.
Bottom (Wave W): The index first hit a low around 24,377
Bounce (Wave X): It then went up to a high near 25,448 . This rise was a clear, three-part corrective move (like an ABC pattern) that stayed inside a rising channel .
Clue: Because the move from the bottom (W) to the peak (X) was corrective, it suggests the overall trend is still bearish (downward).
Points to look at:
1. Reversal: The index is currently around 24,836 and is starting to turn down from the top of that rising channel. This suggests the temporary rise is over.
2. Projected Drop (Wave Y): The main prediction is a significant drop (Wave Y) that will likely break the previous low of 24,377 .
3. Target: This decline is expected to head toward the lower blue trendline on the chart, completing a larger WXY corrective pattern.
4. Projection: Ending point of wave (Y) can act as the ride for the new impulse cycle.
5. Bearish Stance: Traders should be cautiously bearish (expecting the price to fall).
6. Price action perspective: Previous swing is bearish, better to look at short positions for safe entry.
7. Selling Opportunities: Any small upward movements (retracements) are seen as good selling opportunities (betting on the price going down), as long as the price doesn't break above the recent highs or the channel ceiling.24,300 is indeed a strong demand zone.
Stay tuned!
Money Dictators :)
Power Finance Corp cmp 411.15 by the Weekly Chart viewPower Finance Corp cmp 411.15 by the Weekly Chart view
- Support Zone 380 to 400 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 440 to 460 Price Band
- Price traversing within Descending Triangle pattern after ATH
- Rising Support Trendline well respected by touch points since close to 2 years
- Price seen majorly trending inside Darvas Box since Mar 2025 in a range of 380 to 440
- Volumes in close sync with avg traded qty on Daily Chart and in steady stream by Weekly Chart
spot gold or mcx gold update as per chartgold spot looks stair pattern or now news in focus usa shut down--
technical lvl- spot gold abv 3883 looks again up side 3900-3920--3945$ where support 3860$ which break blow with volume than more down fall 33852--42--34$ expect.
mcx gold sustain abv 118300 looks 119k near where support 117700 which can be create down correction in evening side.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 01st October 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 24775 – 24825 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 24975 – 25025 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24475 – 24425 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24275 – 24225 range.
Market will react to the RBI MPC outcome, specially on FY 2025-26 economic outlook, inflation etc data.
ATH $3871: Shutdown Fear & 97% Fed Cut Fuel Gold Surge
Hello, investors and traders!
Gold continues to show phenomenal strength, setting a new ATH at $3,871.45/oz (on Sept 30), and closing at $3,843.43/oz. This gain confirms the strongest September since 2011, solidly confirming the explosive growth trend for the yellow metal.
Fundamental Analysis: Politics and the Fed Drive Buying Wave
Two core drivers are pushing gold prices higher, making any attempt to short (call the top) extremely risky:
Political Instability: The risk of a looming US Government shutdown is ratcheting up uncertainty and strongly boosting safe-haven demand.
Low-Rate Expectations: Weakening US jobs data has nearly locked in the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates in October. The market is currently pricing in a 97% chance of a Fed rate cut.
Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy
After a recent shock drop of 70 points, Gold quickly absorbed the selling pressure and created a new ATH, proving that buying pressure is overwhelming. The strong upward bias is undeniable.
Outlook: Continue to Prioritize Buy given the powerful trend and supportive fundamentals. Only attempt Sell strategies near psychological resistance levels with an extremely tight Stop Loss (SL).
Key Resistance: $3894, $3904, $3914, $3924
Key Support: $3869, $3843, $3834
Suggested Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management):
BUY SCALP
Zone: $3870 - $3868 / SL: $3864
TP: $3875 - $3885 - $3900
BUY ZONE
Zone: $3834 - $3832 / SL: $3824
TP: $3842 - $3862 - $3892
SELL SCALP (High Risk)
Zone: $3904 - $3906 / SL: $3910
TP: $3901 - $3891 - $3876
SELL ZONE (High Risk)
Zone: $3925 - $3927 / SL: $3935
TP: $3917 - $3907 - $3897 - $3887 - $3877 - $3867
The market is running on fear and rate-cut anticipation. Are you betting on the $3900 mark this week? 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #GovernmentShutdown #TradingView #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 01st October 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 55050 – 55150 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 55550– 55650 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 54250 - 54150 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 53750 - 53650 range.
Market will react to the RBI MPC outcome, specially on FY 2025-26 economic outlook, inflation etc data.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 01st October 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 26200 - 26250 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26450 - 26500 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 25875 – 25825 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25650 – 25600 range.
Market will react to the RBI MPC outcome, specially on FY 2025-26 economic outlook, inflation etc data.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 01st October 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 12725 – 12750 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 12875 – 12900 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 12475 – 12450 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12325 – 12300 range.
Market will react to the RBI MPC outcome, specially on FY 2025-26 economic outlook, inflation etc data.
Persistent hovers near support after volatile swingsTopic Statement:
Persistent has seen a roller coaster price action this year and is now stabilizing near key technical and psychological support zones.
Key Points:
1. The stock is taking support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 4951, a level it continues to hold
2. This support zone aligns with the barrier of 5000, reducing the likelihood of a breakdown
3. The price is also very close to a long-term trendline, adding structural strength to the current support
4. Currently trading below the 50-day EMA, the stock offers a strong investment opportunity at these levels based on past behavior
Nifty 50 Price ActionNifty 50 is trading near 24,715 as of September 4, 2025, showing mild recovery after several sessions of volatility and weakness. The index has bounced back above the 24,600 support zone with improved breadth and higher volumes, but technical indicators reflect a cautious undertone. All short- and medium-term moving averages (5, 10, 20, 50) still point bearish, and bearish crossovers on 5-20 and 20-50 day averages reinforce negative momentum. Oscillators like MACD, stochastics, ROC, and CCI remain in bearish territory, while RSI sits neutral around 45, and William %R signals oversold conditions, suggesting the possibility of a short-term bounce.
Immediate resistance for Nifty is seen at 24,650–24,700, with a major hurdle near the 50-day moving average in the 24,850 area. A decisive move above these levels would strengthen bullish sentiment, potentially opening up the range to 25,250–25,500. On the downside, key support remains at 24,500, with stronger base near 24,250. A break below these supports could lead to extension of the recent pullback toward the 24,000 level.
The broader trend appears range-bound with slight positive bias, but foreign institutional investors have been net sellers, which has tempered upside momentum. Sectors like auto, capital goods, and select mid-cap stocks are attracting buyers, while defensive sectors remain subdued. For now, a cautious approach is advised, using “sell on rise” until Nifty can reclaim more short-term moving averages. Long-term trend remains bullish, suggesting dips should be viewed as buying opportunities for quality stocks, especially if domestic and global cues improve.
MEDANTA Price ActionMedanta (Global Health Ltd) is currently trading in the ₹1,300–₹1,335 range, having shown a notable run-up over the past six months, but with increased volatility in recent weeks. The stock reached a recent high near ₹1,393 and a low around ₹935 during the past year.
Fundamentally, Medanta continues to deliver robust revenue growth: annual revenues for FY25 rose to ₹3,692 crore, up approximately 13% from the previous year. Operating profitability remains strong, with margins in the 23% range and net profits exceeding ₹480 crore for the latest fiscal year. However, the most recent quarter saw a profitability dip due to a non-recurring expense, reflecting some variability in the bottom line.
On valuation, Medanta trades at a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of more than 73 and a price-to-book (P/B) above 11, both of which are elevated compared to sector averages. This premium reflects market optimism about its growth prospects but also limits the scope for immediate, significant upside. The company has a modest dividend yield and consistently generates healthy cash flows, contributing to financial strength.
The outlook from analysts remains moderately positive: one-year price targets are clustered around ₹1,300–₹1,500, with the company expected to benefit from long-term sector growth and its strong operating metrics. Near-term, the share price may consolidate after recent gains, with moves likely guided by the next round of earnings and overall market sentiment. Medanta’s key strengths are scale, profitability, and discipline, but its premium valuation requires steady execution and increasing returns to justify further appreciation.
LORDSCHLO Price ActionLords Chloro Alkali Limited (LORDSCHLO) traded positively today, closing at 176.5 after an upward move of 2.77% for the session. The stock opened at 173.45, reached a high of 178.0, and dropped to a low of 169.05 during the day. Trading volume was below average, with about 13,620 shares traded, indicating moderate investor activity.
Price action was characterized by a firm bullish undertone, as the stock built on its gains and held well above both its 50-day and 200-day averages, reflecting underlying strength amidst broader market uncertainty. Support was established just below 170, while resistance near 178 capped further advances. With an EPS of 5.52 and PE around 32, momentum appears strong, and the stock is consolidating above key moving averages, suggesting potential for further upside if buying continues.
XAUUSD – Gold Smashes to New ATH: Bulls in Full Control📊 Market Overview
Gold has surged into uncharted territory, breaking through to a fresh All-Time High (ATH). The earlier dip toward 3,800 USD acted as nothing more than a springboard, allowing buyers to reload before launching this powerful breakout.
Safe-haven demand continues to fuel the rally, as concerns over a potential US government shutdown and expectations of more Fed rate cuts strengthen bullish momentum.
📍 Crucial Levels to Watch
🔴 SELL Reaction Zone
3,911 – 3,915 (Liquidity Resistance) → Potential short-term ceiling, profit-taking may appear here.
🟢 BUY Reaction Zones
3,830 – 3,820 (Fibo Support) → First pullback level for intraday buyers.
3,808 – 3,810 → Secondary support zone for a deeper correction.
3,747 – 3,752 (Liquidity BUY Zone) → Stronger base for swing buyers.
🎯 Trading Setups
1️⃣ Buy the Dip (Primary Play)
Entry: 3,830 – 3,820, confirmation needed.
Targets: 3,900 → 3,915, extend toward 3,950+ if momentum remains strong.
Stop: Below 3,808.
2️⃣ Sell the Spike (Countertrend)
Entry: 3,911 – 3,915, only on visible rejection.
Targets: 3,871 → 3,830.
Stop: Above 3,922.
3️⃣ Swing Buy Opportunity
Entry: 3,752 – 3,747 (Fibo confluence).
Targets: 3,830 → 3,900.
Stop: Below 3,735.
⚡ Pro Tips
Trend bias = Strongly Bullish, prioritize long setups.
Countertrend shorts are tactical; keep stops tight.
Headlines from the US political scene and Fed could trigger extra volatility at highs.
💬 Discussion
Will gold extend to 3,950 – 4,000 USD, or is a sharp pullback around the corner? Drop your views and charts below 👇
Supreme Holdings & Hospitality – Value Pick Analysis🏨 Supreme Holdings & Hospitality – Value Pick Analysis NSE:SUPREME
📌 CMP: ₹89–88
🔎 Technical View
📈 Heading towards ₹120 – ₹130 targets
⏳ Consolidating for last 2 months
🔄 Forming Round Bottom on bigger horizon
📊 Inside Bar Pattern on weekly chart
💰 Valuation Check
📘 Book Value: ₹147
⚖️ CMP ~40% below BV → Value Buy opportunity ✨
👥 Shareholding
👑 Promoter Holding: 58%
📊 Financials
💵 Revenue: ₹60–70 Cr annually
💹 PAT Margins: 10–12%
🏦 Debt-Free Company ✔️
🔥 Verdict: Strong value buy candidate 📉➡️📈 with technical breakout potential + solid fundamentals.
WEAK AXIS BANK CHART ON 75MINUTE AND DAILYAXIS BANK CURRENTLY TRADING AT 1160 in cash segment and 1168 in Oct futures.
Axis Bank Oct future can be sold at 1168 with SL of 1190 for a target of 1100-1090 in Oct expiry. Also as per Gann pressure dates on 04-Oct (Market Closed) the effect will be seen on 03-Oct or 06-Oct-2025.
Lets hit the target.
📉 THIS CHANNEL IS ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES.
Disclaimer: I am Not a SEBI registered analyst. I just share my positions to do paper trading and no where its a recommendation! Please do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Hero MotoCorp – Inverted Head & Shoulders📈 Pattern Analysis: Between mid-December 2024 and July 2025, Hero MotoCorp developed a textbook Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern , a strong bullish reversal setup after a steep 50% decline from the top . The bottom of the head was formed by a Hammer candlestick pattern , indicating a potential trend reversal with strong buying interest at lower levels.
📊 Breakout Confirmation:
In August 2025, the stock broke above the neckline with rising volumes, confirming the activation of the bullish pattern. Following the breakout, Hero MotoCorp delivered a sharp rally of more than 20% in just 20 trading days, validating the strength of the setup.
🔎 Key Observations:
* The multi-month consolidation built a strong base for the reversal.
* Volume expansion during breakout confirmed institutional participation.
* The price action aligns with classical bullish reversal theory.
🎯 Outlook:
While this event has already played out, the pattern serves as a clear example of how bullish head and shoulders formations can reverse strong downtrends and lead to swift gains once neckline breakout occurs.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This case study is for educational and training purposes only. It is not an investment recommendation or trading advice.
World Coin :: breakout from triangle. Hello Everyone,
I would like to present an Idea of exponential gains. Worldcoin recently broke out of two triangles; a small trinagle the price target of which has already been hit and a breakout of a very big triangle. The price is currently retesting the breakout line of the triangle. Please have a look at the chart. I would also highlight that 80% of the supply of world coin is held by the insiders therefore it is in their interest to take the price up. But also the insiders are the major sellers of the leverage longs and than dump the token to grab liquidity. Therefore insider benefit from both price going up and down. I suggest all of you not to give the opportunity to insiders to grab liquidity by going long with leverage because in that scenario their best interest is to liquidate you because if you are leveraged long the other side of your trade is leverage short (which is insiders). Instead buy spot in that case insiders have no choice but to pump the price because dumping will not be in their interest as their is no free liquidity to grab.
I hope you understood the game plan.
Buy as much world coin on spot and wait for price to hit 25-30 dollars.
Thank you