Nifty Analysis for Jan 05, 2026Wrap up:-
Nifty forming a Ending Diagonal pattern in wave c.
In wave c of y of 5, wave 1 is completed at 26057, wave 2 at 25726, wave 3 at 26236, wave 4 at 25878 and now, nifty is in final wave 5 of wave c.
In wave 5 of c of y of 5, nifty forming abc pattern. In wave c, nifty is in 5th wave.
Short Nifty @26421 sl 26450 (daily closing basis) for a target of 26300-26135.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
Community ideas
Nifty Breakout and RetestNifty gave a breakout of a triangle on Friday and today it has given a retest of the breakout level.
One can look for longs from here on on Nifty with 26100/26050 as SL.
Target- 26300, 26450, 26500.
Check the Chart for understanding the pattern and keep a track for more learning.
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose.
Jai Shree Ram.
XAUUSD – Bulls in Control After Strong ExpansionGold has printed a strong impulsive move on the H1 timeframe, breaking above the prior consolidation and confirming bullish market structure. Price is holding above dynamic support (supertrend/step line), showing healthy continuation rather than exhaustion.
As long as price holds above 4415–4400, dips are likely to be bought. A sustained hold above 4425–4430 keeps the upside open toward 4455 → 4480 in the near term. Any pullback into the 4395–4380 zone would be considered a corrective retracement, not a trend reversal, unless structure breaks.
Bias: Bullish
Key Support: 4400 / 4380
Upside Targets: 4455 → 4480
Momentum favors continuation, watch for pullback-and-hold entries rather than chasing highs.
Part 2 Support and ResistanceOption Buyer vs Option Seller
Understanding their difference is crucial:
A. Option Buyer
Pays premium.
Limited risk (only the premium).
Unlimited profit potential in Calls.
High reward in Puts with limited risk.
Needs significant movement to make money.
B. Option Seller
Receives premium upfront.
Limited profit (only the premium).
High risk due to market movement.
High probability of profit (70–80% in range markets).
Requires margin.
Option selling is considered more stable, but risky in trending markets.
RECLTDRECLTD
bullish trend is Showing on the chart.
buy signals in
technical indicators and
high time frame bullish reversal from a falling wedge chart pattern.
BUYING RANGE 375/380
Watch for a breakout above 375/400 to sustain the bullish trend. If the resistance holds, there could be a retest towards 320/330 and an uptrend from here.
Bank Nifty Swing Trading Setup - RRR 1:4Bank Nifty forming ending diagonal wave 3 is running (C- c2) so go long at around 59000 and target is 60200-60500 risk around 300 points ( swing low) reward 1200 points RRR is around 1:4 it's good strategy follow risk management strictly happy trading journey ...
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation | Buy the Dip @ 4400 - 4375Gold (XAUUSD) has delivered a strong bullish impulse following heightened geopolitical tensions involving the US and Venezuela. Price is holding firmly above the 4400 key support zone, signaling sustained bullish strength.
As long as gold maintains acceptance above this level, the bias remains bullish, with upside targets at 4440 and 4470.
We are patiently waiting for a healthy pullback toward support to look for high-probability buy opportunities in line with the prevailing trend.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan.
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
XAUUSD – M30 Trading Plan | Buy Demand + GAP–FiboAUUSD – M30 Trading Plan | Buy Demand + GAP–Fibo
🔍 Market Context (SMC)
The price has formed an upward BOS, confirming the short-term trend still belongs to the BUY side. The current decline is just a technical pullback to rebalance the cash flow, there is no bearish CHoCH → no reason to reverse the bias.
OB is below the current price, so this area is Demand (Buy Zone),
🟢 Primary Scenario – BUY according to Demand + GAP + Fibo
• Confluence Buy Zone:
Demand / Bullish OB + GAP (iFVG) + Fibo 0.5 – 0.618
→ price range: 4.40x – 4.39x
• Entry Logic:
The price retraces to the GAP not fully filled, coinciding with the Fibo retracement of the upward BOS → high probability of a BUY reaction.
• Target:
TP1: nearest previous peak
TP2: expand according to structure if there is a continued BOS
• Invalidation:
M30 candle closes below the entire Demand / GAP area → cancel the BUY scenario
⚠️ Secondary Scenario – Not prioritized
If the price does not retrace to GAP – Fibo but continues sideways or breaks the peak → stay out, do not chase BUY without a proper pullback.
📌 Summary
• Trend: Bullish after BOS
• Optimal BUY point: Demand + GAP + Fibo (0.5–0.618)
• Only SELL when there is a clear bearish CHoCH (currently none)
Part 1 Support and ResistanceHow Option Premium Works
When you buy an option, you pay a premium.
When you sell an option, you receive it.
The premium is influenced by:
i. Intrinsic Value
The real value if exercised now.
For Calls: Max(0, Spot – Strike)
For Puts: Max(0, Strike – Spot)
ii. Time Value
The extra value based on how much time is left before expiry.
More time → more value.
Closer to expiry → less value.
iii. Volatility
Higher volatility increases option premiums because prices may move dramatically.
iv. Interest Rates & Dividends
These impact pricing but are secondary for most intraday/swing traders.
Option pricing is usually calculated using models like Black-Scholes, but traders mainly use practical observation.
HDFCAMC Channel Structure – Watching price acceptance key levelHDFCAMC has been moving inside a well-defined descending channel, respecting both the upper resistance and lower support trendlines.
Recently, price attempted to reclaim an important horizontal level inside the channel. Instead of an impulsive move, the stock is now pausing and stabilizing above this area, which is a healthy behavior from a price-action perspective.
Key observations:
Clear channel structure controlling the trend
Price holding above a minor resistance-turned-reference zone
No aggressive rejection so far — suggesting balance and participation
Volume remains steady, supporting controlled price movement
At this stage, there is no urgency. The focus is purely on how price behaves and settles above this zone before any directional expansion.
As always — price leads, we follow.
MFSL | Uptrend Continuation?DISCLAIMER: This idea is NOT a trade recommendation but only my observation. Please take your trades based on your own analysis.
Points to note:
-----------------
1.Stock in a strong uptrend, and broken out of a Cup & handle consolidation that lasted.
2. The breakout is strong and firm, forming a pole. Currently price is consolidating inside a flag.
3. The breakout from this flag can lead to another good move up
4. The target price is the pole's height
Considering these points, the following trade:
Entry CMP, SL 1425, TGT 2310
TVSMOTORTVSMOTOR
bullish trend is Showing on the chart.
buy signals in
technical indicators and
cup with handle chart pattern.
BUYING RANGE 3680/3690
Watch for a breakout above 3680/3700 to sustain the bullish trend. If the resistance holds, there could be a retest towards 3560/3600 and an uptrend from here.
BSE: Strong Breakout Followed by Healthy ConsolidationAfter a decisive breakout, the stock moved into a healthy consolidation phase. Instead of retracing deeply, price respected the breakout level and started forming a well-defined base support, indicating acceptance at higher prices.
The consolidation is controlled and structured, with price compressing inside a downward-sloping range while holding above the key horizontal level. This behavior often reflects absorption of supply and digestion of prior gains, rather than weakness.
Overall, the structure remains intact as long as the base support holds. This is a classic example of price stabilizing after expansion, offering clarity purely from price and structure, without relying on indicators.
CHOLAHLDNG: Price Compression Under a Falling TrendlineCHOLAHLDNG is currently trading inside a well-defined compression structure. Price continues to respect a falling trendline on the upside, while the downside is being supported by a stable demand zone.
Multiple attempts to move higher have been capped by the trendline, yet sellers have not been able to break the base decisively. This behavior shows balance and absorption, not distribution.
Key observations from pure price action:
Lower highs confirm supply pressure
Flat support indicates buyer participation
Volatility is contracting, signaling compression
This is a wait-and-watch structure, where price action around the trendline and support will provide clarity. No indicators needed — the structure itself defines risk and context.
SMC Breakdown – US500 (15M)Price delivered a strong sell-side liquidity sweep, followed by an impulsive bullish displacement, confirming short-term bullish intent. Post-displacement, market respected structure and began forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating internal BOS to the upside.
Current price is reacting into a premium supply zone / HTF imbalance, aligning with prior distribution. This area is marked as a high-probability reaction zone, not an immediate entry.
IDBI BANKIDBI BANK
bullish trend is Showing on the chart.
buy signals in
technical indicators and
cup with handle chart pattern.
BUYING RANGE 100/105
Watch for a breakout above 100/105 to sustain the bullish trend. If the resistance holds, there could be a retest towards 80/85 and an uptrend from here.
TFCI LTD. (Keep on radar)📊 TFCI – HTF Confluence Based Analysis (FVG + Fibonacci + RSI)
This analysis is based on historical price behavior, Fibonacci retracement, Fair Value Gap (FVG), and RSI mean-reversion characteristics.
🔹 Key Observations
1️⃣ RSI Behavior (Trend Context)
Historically, this stock has respected RSI 50–51 zone as a mean support in bullish phases.
RSI has reacted multiple times from this level, indicating trend continuation behavior, not exhaustion.
RSI here is used as a context filter, not a standalone buy signal.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement (Value Zone)
In past impulsive moves, price has consistently reacted from the 0.50–0.618 retracement zone.
This zone represents a healthy pullback rather than trend reversal.
Current retracement is approaching the same historical value area.
3️⃣ Fair Value Gap (FVG)
A bullish FVG is present in the same price region.
Price is revisiting this imbalance after a strong impulsive move.
FVG + Fib overlap increases the probability of institutional interest / reaction.
🔹 Confluence Area
📌 FVG + Fibonacci 0.50–0.618 + RSI ~50
This overlap creates a high-probability reaction zone, provided price confirms via structure.
🔹 Trade Plan Logic (Execution Based)
Bias: Bullish as long as HTF structure holds
Zone: FVG overlapping with 0.50–0.618 Fib
Confirmation Required:
Structure shift on Daily or Hourly TF
Higher low / bullish engulfing / reclaim of minor resistance
RSI Role: Should hold near or above 50 during confirmation
⚠️ No aggressive entries without confirmation.
🔹 Invalidation
Sustained acceptance below the FVG + 0.618 Fib
Loss of higher-low structure on HTF
🧠 Conclusion
This is a confluence-based setup, not a prediction.
If price confirms strength inside the value zone, the risk–reward becomes favorable.
Otherwise, patience is required until structure validates the thesis.
I am not a SEBI Registered. This analysis is purely for educational purposes only.
If you gain some learning from this chart, then please like this post for more reach & also do comment if you have any questions regarding this.
Part 12 Trading Master ClassTypes of Options: Calls and Puts
Options are broadly divided into two categories:
A. Call Option
A Call option gives the buyer the right to buy an asset at a fixed price (strike).
You buy a Call if you expect the market to rise.
You sell a Call if you think the market will stay below the strike or go down.
B. Put Option
A Put option gives the buyer the right to sell an asset at a fixed price.
You buy a Put if you expect the market to fall.
You sell a Put if you expect the market to stay above the strike or move upward.
These two instruments allow traders to take directional views, hedge positions, or earn income through option writing.
TECHM with strong recoveryPrice is currently consolidating near 1608. Strong support lies at 1570–1550, which should act as a cushion for buyers. Immediate upside is capped at 1635. A decisive close above the 1640–1650 zone will likely attract fresh momentum, opening the path towards 1700+ levels. Traders may watch for sustained volume confirmation above the breakout zone to validate the move.
MMFL: Stage 1 to Stage 2 Breakout SetupThe Core Thesis: Change of Character (Weinstein Stage 1 Breakout)
After a prolonged period of underperformance and sideways consolidation (the "Stage 1 Base"), MMFL has shown a clear Change of Character. The stock is emerging from its long-term accumulation zone, supported by a significant "volume shocker" session that signals the start of institutional accumulation.
Technical Analysis & Breakout Factors
Stage 1 Accumulation Breakout: The stock spent months in a neutral range between ₹350 and ₹370. The recent move above ₹390 marks a clean breakout from this base, potentially initiating the Stage 2 Advancing Phase.
Moving Average Alignment: MMFL is now trading above all key Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), including the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day lines. Weinstein’s strategy emphasizes price holding above a rising 30-week (or 150/200-day) moving average for a confirmed Stage 2 move.
Relative Strength (RS) Positive: While the stock was down -14.2% over the last year, its 1-week return (+10.2%) and 1-month return (+16.6%) show a powerful reversal in relative strength against the broader market.
Volume Confirmation: On the breakout day , the stock traded 1.09 million shares, which is more than 4x the weekly average volume of 2.62 lakh shares. This "volume spike" is a mandatory requirement for a valid Weinstein breakout.
Fundamentals: Management has guided for a "breakout year" in FY27, with the commissioning of a new 16,500-ton press expected to add ₹300 crore to the annual turnover.
Trade Recommendation: Long Position (Early Stage 2)
Action: BUY (Long Entry)
Entry Trigger: Daily Close above ₹401.00 (Confirmation of the recent intraday high and clear distance from the base).
Target 1 (T1): ₹430.00 (Immediate consensus analyst target).
Target 2 (T2): ₹475.00 – ₹485.00 (Testing the 52-week high resistance zone).
Stop-Loss (SL): ₹358.00 (Placed strictly below the first support zone and the recent base floor).
Risk/Reward Ratio (R:R): Approx. 1:2.3 (Risking ~₹36 to gain ~₹85).
Key Takeaway for Traders
MMFL has transitioned from a boring, sideways "Basing Area" to an active "Advancing Phase". The combination of a massive volume surge and a break above key moving averages suggests the start of a multi-month trend. Ensure the stock stays above its 30-week MA (approx. ₹360 zone) to maintain the bullish thesis.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research before trading.






















