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Parallel Channel

15 Jan ’24 — Bullish reinforcements are on the way! Nifty50Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: “Till yesterday, we were looking for neutral trades with a possibility of going down. See how the tables have turned today. For Monday — we need to look out for bullish opportunities now.” 4mts chart Another gap-up of 131pts ~ 0.6% today! It was required to break the channel resistance line. There was a minor fall, but the 22000 level provided early support and we kept the gap unclosed. Once Nifty50 found its balance, it rallied steadily for the day and closed near the highs. The new ATH is 22111. 63mts chart The break away from the channel is evident in the 63mts chart. See the points Nifty is climbing every time it gets a stance upgrade from neutral to bullish. Remember how things were looking weak on the 8th and 10th of Jan and how Nifty turned from there? For tomorrow, the bullish stance continues and the first support will be the ascending channel top-line ~ 22050 levels.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
POLYCAB - Weekly Channel pattern - Read description carefullyPOLYCAB - Although the company has corporate governance issues, there could be good swing trading opportunities in the stock. My thoughts (not a trading recommendation): 2 scenarios - I'd go long if the stock takes support at the channel bottom with good price action & reversal candlesticks. My stop loss will be if the channel breaks. I'd go short if the channel breaks with good volumes and my stop loss will be if the stock comes back into the channel.
NSE:POLYCAB
by SwingtradesbyAbhishek
12 Jan ’24 — Traders are cold-blooded, Bias changed to Bullish🐂Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday “Nifty looks perfectly neutral from here, the moment the support of 21491 gives away — we can start looking for bearish opportunities. To go bullish the ATH has to be taken out. With the IT majors TCS and INFY declaring the results — we should have a strong swing direction tomorrow.” 4mts chart link Major highlights today Gap-up of 120pts ~ 0..56% NiftyIT gains 5.14% Nifty50 takes out the ATH, new value = 21928 Nifty goes from neutral to bullish Today’s stop came right at the ascending channel top-line Never seen NiftyIT so stubborn to go up, a gain of 5.14% far exceeds expectations, and that too when the IT majors are at their all-time highs. What we still do not understand is the reason for outperformance when the results were average. Anyway, this was the major reason Nifty50 broke out from the neutral zone to the bullish zone. 63mts chart link Today’s price action was along the top trend line of the ascending channel, and careful enough not to break it. There is no shame in saying traders are cold-blooded. We cannot stick with our bias, direction, or opinions and expect the market to behave as per our analysis. If the markets have turned, we need to adapt. Till yesterday, we were looking for neutral trades with a possibility of going down. See how the tables have turned today. For Monday - we need to look out for bullish opportunities now.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
Gold - Are Bulls Back? Or Will Bears Strengthen their Grip?OANDA:XAUUSD If Looked at Closely, The Trend Zone has been tested and decent buying is evident. Bearishness will fade above 2050 In that case 2065 2075 2090 and eventually 2100 might open up 2005, Only below this trend zone some more Bearishness is possible in which case 2000 1995 1980 could be tested. So in Summary 2050 2005 Are the levels If Gold sustains outside these levels, then the above mentioned zones could be tested.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrAnandM
2
Bank Nifty - Jan 10We had nearly 900 points move today. Because of this, tomorrow can be a less movement day. Price is moving within a channel. Trend deciding level is 47300. Pattern : Channel. Range : Medium. Trend strength : Normal. Buy Above : 47320. Stop Loss : 47260. Targets : 47400, 47480,47560, 47640 and 47720. Sell below : 47200. Stop Loss : 47280. Targets : 47120, 47040, 46960, 46880, 46800 and 46740. Expected expiry range is 46800 to 47600. Check the live market updates. Hit the like button to Rock !! Show some energy !! Note : This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell. You are responsible for whatever you do.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by vanathi
1
Kotak Mahindra Bank - Range ConsolidationKotak Mahindra Bank Limited offers a range of banking services covering commercial and investment banking on the wholesale side and transactional/branch banking on the retail side. Book Value Per Share: 562.55 Dividend Yield: 0.08 TTM EPS: 86.40 TTM PE: 21.12 P/B: 3.25 Sector PE: 25.38 Positives: Company with high TTM EPS Growth Effectively using Shareholders fund - Return on equity (ROE) improving since last 2 year Efficient in managing Assets to generate Profits - ROA improving since last 2 year Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (QoQ) Increasing Revenue every Quarter for the past 4 Quarters Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years Company with Zero Promoter Pledge Companies with current TTM PE Ratio less than 3 Year, 5 Year and 10 Year PE Brokers upgraded recommendation or target price in the past three months Decrease in NPA in recent results Mutual Funds have increased holdings from 9.45% to 9.63% in Sep 2023 qtr. Negatives: Declining Net Cash Flow: Companies not able to generate net cash Seems to be overvalued vs the market average Lagging behind the market in financials growth Net Profit TTM Growth % - Low in industry Price to Book Ratio - High in industry Promoters have decreased holdings from 25.94% to 25.93% in Sep 2023 qtr NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION.
NSE:KOTAKBANK
by babutaaniket
08 Jan ’24 — Nifty Breaks the Trendline This Time — PostMortemNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️ Recap from yesterday: “Our stance is still neutral with equal possibilities in either direction. Since Nifty50 is following the ascending channel’s top trend line — the chances of going up look more probable. To go down — we need news flow/event as there is no technical weakness.” 4mts chart link The gap up open today and a thrust upwards gave the false impression that we might have an up day. What happened on the contrary was a breach of the trend line. See the circled portions on the chart. At 09.47 the attempt was unsuccessful but at 10.51 the support gave away. Once we breached it, the price action started to pick up momentum. 63mts chart link The breach of the upper trend line of the ascending channel is quite visible in the higher time frame. Ideally, it is not a pure bearish signal as we are technically still in the bull market. We are changing the stance to bearish from neutral for the ultra-short-term only. If Nifty50 manages to crawl back up the top line - we will have to reverse the stance to neutral. In case Nifty manages to fall further - it will be interesting to see how it reacts to the bottom line of the channel.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
Nifty Weekly View- Three PatternsNifty Weekly View 📊 In this insightful analysis of the Nifty, we'll explore three crucial patterns that are currently dominating the charts. These patterns provide valuable insights into the future direction of this key market index. 📈🧐 1. Ascending Triangle Pattern (Yellow Highlighted) 📈 Ascending triangles are bullish chart patterns characterized by higher lows and higher highs within a narrowing range. This pattern signifies increasing buying pressure, with buyers showing a willingness to enter the market at lower prices while sellers are content to sell at higher prices. It's a strong indication of positive sentiment. 📈📈🚀 ++ Nifty has formed an Ascending Triangle breakout and its in Bull control 2. Channel Formation (Blue Highlighted) 📊 An upward channel, another bullish chart pattern, takes shape when prices move within a confined range defined by parallel trendlines. The upper trendline represents resistance, while the lower trendline signifies support. This pattern reflects a balanced power dynamic between buyers and sellers, with buyers stepping in at lower prices and sellers offloading at higher prices. A clear sign of market stability. 📊💹🛡️ ++ Nifty is travelling in an upward channel and approaching the upper trendline of channel plus its above the centre line of the channel. Again bull is taking control. 3. Rising Wedge (Pink Highlighted) 📉 On the flip side, a rising wedge is a bearish chart pattern where prices create higher highs and higher lows, but the upper trendline steepens more rapidly than the lower trendline. This indicates mounting selling pressure, as sellers become increasingly willing to sell at higher prices. A potential bearish signal to watch out for. 📉📉📉💔 -- Nifty has some underlying issues of forming an internal rising wedge, though it gets activated below 19200 only, so its far away from present levesls. Now, let's discuss the potential price movement of Nifty for the remainder of 2023 based on these patterns. If Nifty manages to hold above the crucial 19,200 levels on a daily closing basis, we could witness an upward rally. 📈💼💼 Expected Targets with Dates 📆 First Target - 20,453 by 9th Oct'23 🚀🎯 A promising start to the upward momentum. Second Target - 21,224 by 6th Nov'23 🌟💫 Steady progress towards higher levels. Final Target - 22,420 by 26th Dec'23 🎯🎉 A potential year-end surge. As we closely monitor these patterns and targets, remember that the world of technical analysis is dynamic and ever-evolving. Keep learning and stay tuned for further updates. Your comments and insights are always appreciated. 📚📈💬👀
NSE:NIFTYLong
by yogesharora2409
10
05 Jan ’24 —Nifty50 takes support at the trendlineNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “The first thing we had to do was to change the stance from bearish to neutral. To go bullish we need some more momentum, if it comes up in the forenoon session — I will update you via TV minds.” 4mts chart link Two things happened today A gap-up open - which did not make any sense. The rejection from the trend line - that made every sense. We repeated this earlier - our markets may be the only one that frequently opens gap-up or gap-down. The bulk of the action happens outside of the trading hours - seems like we need to grow up & mature. Today’s gap-up did not make any sense, even the opening candle. By 10.35 we lost the steam and started falling. Took a minor pause at 11.15 and then by 13.55 we went underwater. We got a nice rejection right at the trend line between 14.15 to 14.31. We are quite sure that many traders would have thought we might be falling further and that's when the reversal came. It was so intuitive to watch Nifty50 take support at the trendline and retrace the fall. Finally, we ended the day with a gain of 0.24% 63mts chart link Our stance is still neutral with equal possibilities in either direction. Since Nifty50 is following the ascending channel’s top trend line - the chances of going up look more probable. To go down - we need news flow/event as there is no technical weakness.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
04 Jan ’24 — Unexpected reversal takes out my Stop Loss - NiftyNifty Weekly Analysis Between the last expiry and today, Nifty50 has fallen only 99pts ~ 0.46%. Credits to the recovery today that made up 141 of the lost points. N50 also has managed to bounce off the channel top line indicating further signs of strength. 63mts chart link Nifty Today Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from Yesterday: “On the higher time frame, you can see how N50 is just entering the channel. If the conditions stay like this for tomorrow — we can see a good trending move tomorrow. The first threat to keep in mind is the rejection that came on 21st Dec when N50 bounced from the channel topline.” 4mts chart link We were totally shocked to see a gap-up open of 89pts ~ 0.42% followed by a strong intent to go up. Since yesterday, we have been looking for bearish opportunities and what the gap-up open did was to take out the stop loss. Just like the 21st Dec, we got a perfect bounce off from the trend line showing sheer strength. Bears like me got trapped and were running for cover, this made the followthrough rally much easier today. A total swing of 161pts ~ 0.75% for today. And that too when NiftyIT was flashing red and green. BankNifty took the bulk of the weight today. 63mts chart link The first thing we had to do was to change the stance from bearish to neutral. To go bullish we need some more momentum, if it comes up in the forenoon session - I will update you via TV minds. Kindly make sure you are following @viswaram handle to get the updates via email.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram