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NZDUSD stays on the buyer’s radar on RBNZ dayDespite the RBNZ-led volatility, NZDUSD defends the early month breakout of the 100-DMA and a downward-sloping trend line from April 05. That said, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s April-October downturn, near 0.6090, restricts the Kiwi pair’s immediate declines ahead of the aforementioned resistance-turned-support line, close to 0.6040 at the latest. Following that, the 100-DMA and a six-week-old ascending trend line, respectively near 0.6015 and the 0.6000 round figure, could act as the last defenses of the pair buyers before welcoming the bears. Meanwhile, the pair’s upside momentum needs a daily closing beyond the monthly high surrounding 0.6205 to convince NZDUSD buyers. In that case, the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 200-DMA, close to 0.6270 and 0.6305 in that order, will be in the spotlight. Should the New Zealand dollar remains firmer beyond the 200-DMA, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, also known as the golden ratio, might probe the north-run near 0.6455, a break of which won’t hesitate to challenge the tops marked in May-June around 0.6570-75. Overall, NZDUSD is likely to remain the bull’s favorite unless breaks the 0.6000 threshold.
by MTradingGlobal
RBNZ Rate DecisionReserve Bank Of New Zealand Interest rate decision: The Consumer Price Index CPI rose by 7.2% in September 2022, it's fall from August's print but still higher than experts thought which the consensus is 6.5. Economists expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to lift the cash rate by a record 75bps while money markets wager a roughly 65% probability for the biggest ever rate point hike this month. Guys my take on this rate saga are: I'm bullish with NZDJPY, NZDUSD, NZDCHF, if the bank increase its OCR by 75bps. I'm bearish with NZDJPY, NZDUSD, NZDCHF, if the bank increase its OCR by only 50bps. Because the New Zealand Dollar needs an upward revision to the Bank's rate hike trajectory and Hawkish rhetoric from the governor Adrian Orr to resume it's March towards 0.6250 against US Dollar.
by CELGIB_TRADING
GBPUSD breaks 1.1290 support ahead of BOE announcementsGBPUSD renews 37-year low, breaking four-month-old support line and 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the GBPUSD pair’s moves between August 17 and September 13, close to 1.1290, as traders await the Bank of England’s (BOE) monetary policy updates. Though the cable pair broke the nearby key support, now resistance around 1.1290, oversold RSI conditions and a likely positive surprise from the “Old Lady”, as the BOE is popularly known, tease the Cable pair buyers. In that case, the 5-DMA and a six-week-old resistance line, respectively around 1.1410 and 1.1560, could challenge the bulls. Following that, a one-month-long horizontal resistance area will precede the 50-DMA to restrict the quote’s further upside around 1.1740 and 1.1845 in that order. Alternatively, the 78.6% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) level near 1.1160 lures the GBPUSD bears unless it stays below 1.1290. In a case where the Cable pair drops below 1.1160, the odds of witnessing a slump towards the 1.1000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. Overall, GBPUSD seemed to have a little downside room ahead of the anticipated hawkish BOE.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD pierces 0.7100 on RBA’s rate hikeAUDUSD bulls cheer the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) 25 basis points (bps) rate hike in early Tuesday. The recovery moves also justify the RSI rebound from oversold territory, as well as pierce a downward sloping resistance line from April 21, near 0.7100 by the press time. Considering the RBA’s hawkish moves, backed by firmer technicals, the Aussie pair is likely rising towards the mid-March swing low surrounding 0.7165. However, the 200-SMA and previous support line from March, around 0.7285 and 0.7410 in that order, will challenge the bulls afterward. Meanwhile, the pair’s fresh downside may aim for the 0.7040 level before directing the bears towards the 0.7000 psychological magnet. Following that, the yearly bottom surrounding 0.6965 will be in focus as a break of which will direct the AUDUSD bears toward the mid-2020 lows near 0.6775. Overall, AUDUSD is cheering the well-due recovery as the RBA announced rate-hike. However, the upside momentum needs validation from the Fed before reversing the broadly bearish trend.
by MTradingGlobal
Money Continues To Flow Into BondsMonthly Charts force us to take a step back and give us no choice but to identify the direction of the primary trends. We use these charts to put shorter-term trends into context and this exercise is particularly useful when the market is experiencing heightened volatility. This chart is the US 10-Year Note Futures making its highest monthly close, ever. New all-time highs are evidence of an uptrend, not a downtrend. It's clear that money continues to flow into the Bond market despite the strong rebound in stocks over the last month. This is evidence of risk aversion, not risk appetite among market participants. US Rates set the tone for Interest Rates around the world, so the trend we're witnessing here is indicative of the strength we're seeing in Bonds all around the globe.
CBOT:ZN1!
by AllstarchartsINDIA