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JUBILANT FOODWORKSJUBILANT FOODWORKS is consolidating between the levels of 570 to 545 the moment it breaks down the consolidation zone we can see a good fall till 528 as there can be a small hurdle. The further target we are getting is till 500. 500 is good support where it saw the support and reversed back with a double bottom pattern. which also completed the Tripple bottom pattern and then consolidated between 545 to 570. That makes it the most important level to break down . Another point is that while putting the FIB retracement we can see that the 0.5% rejection level is at the same 545 level and 0.6% is at 526. Because of this, we can see a slow bearish move (DEPENDING UPON THE VOLUME). We can see pressure building up when moving average of 50 and 100 are crossed that show a negative sign in the market and we can see the breakdown on that point too.
NSE:JUBLFOODShort
by SUTHARTRADE
GBPUSD remains firmer as traders await UK GDPGBPUSD’s rally post-US inflation data enabled it to poke the 100-DMA for the first time since late February. The pair’s further upside, however, appears limited as bulls brace for the UK’s Q3 GDP amid fears of witnessing a clear sign of recession. That said, the 100-DMA hurdle of 1.1665 and the upper line of a five-week-old bullish channel’s resistance line, near 1.1750, could challenge the quote’s immediate advances. Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of August-September downside and the early August low, respectively near 1.1875 and 1.2000, could entertain the buyers. Meanwhile, pullback moves need a daily closing below the two-month-old resistance line, close to 1.1585 at the latest, to tease GBPUSD sellers. Even so, a convergence of the 50-DMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.1330 will be a tough nut to crack for the bears. It’s worth observing that the previously stated bullish channel’s lower line, near 1.1210, appears the last defense of the buyers, a break of which won’t hesitate to challenge October’s low surrounding 1.0950. Overall, GBPUSD is on the bull’s radar ahead of the key UK GDP data. However, the quote’s further upside appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold consolidates monthly losses inside bearish channelGold braces for the first weekly gain in three while bouncing off a two-year low inside a one-month-old bearish channel. That said, the metal’s latest recovery approaches a fortnight-old hurdle surrounding $1665. Any further upside, however, will be challenged by the stated channel’s upper limit, close to $1,680. If the buyers manage to defy the bearish chart pattern, the 200-SMA level surrounding $1,707 could act as the last defense of the bears before activating the run-up to refresh the monthly top, currently around $1,734. Alternatively, gold’s pullback may aim for the latest swing low surrounding $1,641 before directing the bears towards the yearly bottom of $1,614. In a case where the bullion sellers keep controls past $1,614, the aforementioned channel’s bottom at around $1,607 and the $1,600 should probe the further downside. It should be noted that the quote’s weakness past $1,600 won’t hesitate to aim for the tops marked during August and September 2019, around $1555-57. Overall, gold holds onto the bearish trajectory but a short-term rebound can’t be ruled out.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD eyes further downside below parityAlthough June 1989’s low test EUR/USD bears, a clear downside break of the 2.5-month-old support line, now resistance around 0.9850, keeps sellers hopeful at the lowest levels in 20 years. Even so, the major currency pair stays inside a bearish channel formation established on May 12 and has its support line located around 0.9490 by the press time. Additionally, the January 2001 low of around 0.9600 could join the oversold RSI conditions to challenge the short-term downside. Meanwhile, recovery remains elusive until the quote stays successfully beyond the 10-week-old support-turned-resistance line around 0.9850. Following that, the 0.9950 and the 1.000 parity level could entertain short-term buyers. However, a convergence of the 50-DMA and upper line of the stated channel, close to 1.0080, appears a tough nut to crack for the EURUSD bulls before they can dream of retaking control. It’s worth noting that the Italian elections and multiple speeches from ECB President Christine Lagarde, as well as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, make it an interesting pair to watch on Friday.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bears await Fed’s decision to refresh yearly lowEURUSD gyrates between the 50-DMA and a two-month-old support line surrounding the yearly bottom flashed last week. The steady RSI and bearish MACD signals, however, keep the sellers hopeful as markets await the Fed. That said, a downside break of the aforementioned support line, around 0.9850 by the press time may avail an intermediate halt near the 0.9800 threshold before directing the quote towards the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late June to early August moves, near 0.9730. It’s worth noting that the pair’s downside past 0.9730 will make it vulnerable to testing the early 2001 top near 0.9600. Alternatively, recovery moves beyond the 50-DMA hurdle, around 1.0100, needs validation from the monthly high near 1.0200 to convince the EURUSD buyers. Following that, a run-up towards the previous monthly high surrounding 1.0370 can’t be ruled out. In a case where the currency pair rises past 1.0370, its run-up towards the late June swing high of 1.0615 can’t be ruled out. Overall, EURUSD remains on the bear’s radar but awaits the FOMC to trigger the fresh south-run.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold sellers brace for fresh yearly low, $1,650 in the spotlightGold renewed the yearly bottom on breaking the fortnight-old support line, now resistance around $1,700, the previous day. The following consolidation, however, remains doubtful even as the oversold RSI challenges intraday sellers. That said, the precious metal drops towards the 78.6% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the August 17 to September 12 moves, near $1,662. Though, a three-week-long downward sloping support line from late August, near $1,650, could trigger the quote’s rebound, if not then the 100% FE level surrounding $1,641 and the $1,600 threshold will be in focus. Alternatively, recovery moves need to stabilize beyond the $1,700 to convince short-term gold buyers. Following that, the weekly high of around $1,735 and the 200-SMA near $1,746 could be considered as the final defenses for the bears. In a case where the bullion prices cross the $1,746 hurdle, a run-up towards the late August swing high around $1,765 and then to the $1,800 threshold can’t be ruled. However, the previous monthly top surrounding $1,808 might allow the XAUUSD bull a break afterward. To sum up, gold is likely to remain bearish ahead of the next week’s Fed meeting even if the downside appears limited.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
Fortnight-old bearish channel keeps gold sellers hopefulGold extends pullback from 50-SMA and the upper line of the 12-day-long descending trend channel as sellers flirt with the $1,695. That said, the downward sloping RSI, not oversold, adds strength to the bearish bias targeting the latest swing low, around $1,688. However, the yearly low, marked in July at around $1,680, will precede the stated channel’s bottom, close to $1,670, to challenge the sellers afterward. Meanwhile, recovery remains elusive until the gold price remains below the $1,723-25 resistance confluence including the 50-SMA and the channel’s top. Following that, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of July-August upside, near $1,730, could probe the XAUUSD bulls before giving them control. In that case, the tops marked during August 25 and 10, respectively near $1,765 and $1,807, will be the focus. Also acting as the upside barrier is the $1,800 threshold.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD has more downside room unless hitting 0.9700EURUSD dropped to the lowest since late 2002 during the four-day downtrend. The oversold RSI, however, tested the bears afterward around 0.9900. It’s worth noting that the consolidation remains elusive until the quote stays beyond the previous monthly low near 0.9950. Even so, the parity level and a six-week-old horizontal resistance area around 1.0090 could challenge the upside momentum before directing the buyers towards the 1.0255-60 resistance confluence including the 50-DMA and upper line of the bearish channel established on May 12. Alternatively, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late May to early August downside, close to 0.9850, appears immediate support to watch during the EURUSD pair’s further weakness. It’s worth noting, however, that a joint of the 78.6% FE and lower line of the aforementioned channel, near 0.9700 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the bears afterward. In a case where the quote remains weak past 0.9710, lows marked during late 2002 and a high of early 2001, between 0.9610 and 0.9590, will be in focus. Overall, EURUSD remains on the bear’s radar but 0.9700 becomes strong support as traders await the key US data/events.
Short
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bears keep reins with eyes on 0.6800AUDUSD broke a one-month-old bullish channel after witnessing a downbeat Aussie Wage Price Index. The south-run also gained support from the softer jobs report for July. Even so, a convergence of the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July-August upside, near 0.6900, restricts the immediate downside of the pair. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) is near the oversold territory and suggests limited declines before the bounce. Should the quote breaks the 0.6900 round figure, the monthly bottom surrounding 0.6870 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near 0.6850 could entertain the bears before directing them to the mid-July swing high close to 0.6800. Meanwhile, corrective pullback needs to cross the stated channel’s support line, around 0.6970 by the press time, to convince the buyers. Following that, the weekly resistance line near the 0.7000 threshold could try stopping the upside moves. In a case where AUDUSD bulls cross the 0.7000 hurdle, the month-start peak around 0.7050 might become the last defense of bears before directing the prices towards the monthly high of 0.7136. Overall, AUDUSD has signaled a bearish trajectory after the downbeat employment numbers and is ready to reverse the bounce off the yearly low marked during July.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold bears jostle with key EMAs ahead of FOMC MinutesGold consolidates the previous four-week uptrend by retreating from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the June-July move from Monday itself. However, a convergence of the 100 and 200 EMAs, around $1,775, appears a tough nut to crack for the bears waiting for the Fed Minutes. Also acting as a downside filter is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level close to $1,755. In a case where the XAUUSD remains weak past $1,755, the odds of its fall towards the previous resistance line from early June, around $1,705, can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, gold’s recovery needs to cross the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at around $1,804 to convince buyers. Even so, a two-week-old upward sloping resistance line, close to $1,823, could test the upside momentum. It’s worth observing that the metal’s sustained run-up beyond $1,823 enables it to aim for the mid-June swing high surrounding $1,858.00. Overall, gold bears appear to keep reins but a clear downside break of $1,775 becomes necessary, not to forget the need for hawkish Minutes.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD braces for 100-pip fall on breaking 1.0200 support EURUSD began the key week by breaking an important support confluence surrounding 1.0200, which includes 100-SMA, 200-SMA and a one-month-old ascending trend line. The bearish bias also takes clues from the downbeat MACD and RSI conditions, confirming further south-run of the major currency pair. That said, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the late June to July downturn, around 1.0100, lures the pair sellers. However, the 1.0000 parity mark appears a tough nut to crack for the bears, which if conquered could make the prices vulnerable to refresh yearly low, currently around 0.9950. On the flip side, sustained trading beyond the 1.0200 support-turned-resistance needs validation from the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.0285 to convince the EURUSD buyers. Even so, a two-month-old horizontal resistance area around 1.0360-65, also comprising the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, will be crucial for the bulls to watch. In a case where the stays beyond 1.0365, the odds of its run-up towards the late June swing high around 1.0490 can’t be ruled out. Overall, EURUSD is likely to decline further as traders await important fundamental catalysts from the US and Eurozone.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD portrays bearish set-up ahead of US NFPBe it an ascending triangle or a pullback from 200-SMA, EURUSD bears flex muscles as markets await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for July. That said, the bearish triangle confirmation looms on the clear downside break of 1.0160, which in turn could direct the pair towards the yearly low near 0.9950. However, the 1.0090 and the 1.0000 parity level could offer intermediate halts during the fall. In a case where the pair sellers dominate below the 0.9950 trough level, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late June-July moves, near 0.9870 might join the likely oversold RSI conditions to hinder further downside. On the contrary, the 200-SMA and upper line of the monthly triangle offer a tough nut to crack for EURUSD buyers at around 1.0280. Following that, a run-up towards a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since mid-June, near 1.0358-65, could challenge the upside momentum. It’s worth noting, however, that the pair’s successful rise beyond 1.0365 could enable the bulls to aim for June’s high of 1.0588. Overall, EURUSD stays inside a bearish set-up with an absence of oversold RSI and bearish MACD signals amplifying the odds of the quote’s downside. However, it all depends upon how well the US employment data for July arrives. A negative surprise won’t hesitate to pamper bulls.
by MTradingGlobal
Recession Incoming? Here is what the technicals say US10Y-TVC:US02Y Economists: Recession incoming! World Leaders: Recession is out of the books. Whom to believe? Here is my analysis from a technical standpoint👇 As someone who believes in data driven decision making, the technicals point towards a recession. How so? When the difference between the 10 year bond yield and 2 year bond yield becomes negative, it is known as an 'Inversion in bond yield curve' and this inversion has been a strong indicator in predicting recession. Since this chart (US10Y-US02Y) started back in 1976, whenever the curve went into the negative zone, we experienced a recession shortly after. So the question now is, are we in the negative zone? YES! Recession incoming? Most likely yes! To all my connections in the field of finance especially, I'd love to know your thoughts on the same below in the comments 👇 Follow AVZ_Trades for more such content #finance #data #recession #bonds
TVC:US10Y
by AVZ_Trades
2
USDJPY bears battle with key supportsUSDJPY renews its six-week low while extending the downside break of a five-month-old ascending trend line, as well as the 50-DMA. However, the pair’s further declines appear less convincing as the nearly oversold RSI and proximity to the horizontal support zone from late April, around 131.50-25 challenge the bears. Even if the quote drops below 131.25, a convergence of the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of March-July upside and the 100-DMA, around 130.00, could act as an additional filter to the south. It’s worth noting that the pair’s sustained south-run below 130.00 could make it vulnerable to drop towards the 50% Fibo. level surrounding 127.00. Meanwhile, recovery moves might initially aim for the 50-DMA hurdle close to 134.35. Following that, the previous support line from March, around 135.80, could challenge the USDJPY buyers. In a case where the bulls keep reins past 135.80, the 137.00 mark appears the intermediate halt before challenging the recent multi-month high near 139.40 and the 140.00 psychological magnet. Overall, USDJPY bears seem to run out of steam as they’re close to important support levels.
by MTradingGlobal
Bull Trap or start of a Bull Run ?The trend usually slows down near 100 & 200 DMA and sets up a trap for bulls/bear before moving sharply in one direction. Now that we know the property of the chart the direction is to be analysed. With recession becoming the word of the year in 2022 the Fed and the US Govt are trying way too hard to change its definition only to keep the markets feeding for a little more time but markets have a tendency of coming back to their mean levels irrespective of excess money printing and cash flowing into equity. The Bond market tells otherwise - breaking out of its long channel giving a very bullish indication and does not look very good for the equities in the medium term. It's impossible to time the markets accurately when they will make their last highs but it should be very soon (acc. to the charts). The trade horizon should be current and next month contract depending how long the bull trap takes. Will be updating the idea as we go along.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Sarthak_Singh
USDJPY breaks key support before Fed’s preferred inflation gaugeUSDJPY broke a five-week-old support line, as well as a horizontal area around 134.25 that comprises the levels marked since June 17, to refresh the monthly low near 133.75. It’s worth noting, however, that oversold RSI conditions challenge the bears ahead of the US PCE Price Index for July, the Fed’s preferred inflation data. However, the corrective pullback needs validation from the immediate horizontal support-turned-resistance around 134.20, as well as the ascending trend line from June 23, near 135.75, to recall the buyers. Even so, the 200-SMA near 136.20 will test the upside momentum. On the contrary, the pair’s further downside aims at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the June-July upside, around 133.15. Following that, the 131.50-25 area comprising mid-June lows and highs marked in April, as well as in May, will be a tough nut to crack for the pair bears. It’s worth noting that the pair’s sustained declines past 131.25 could make it vulnerable to revisiting May’s low around 126.35. Overall, USDJPY recently broke the crucial support but the odds favoring further downside are fewer.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold buyers aim for $1,755 ahead of US GDPGold defends the post-Fed rally around a two-week high, also keeping the upside break of the 100-SMA level of $1,725 and the previous resistance line, now support around $1,721. The upside momentum also takes clues from the bullish MACD and RSI signals, not to forget Fed-inspired USD weakness to direct the buyers towards July 08 high near $1,753. Following that, $1,773 and $1,783 may entertain the bulls before directing them to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the June 17 to July 21 downturn, near $1,820. Alternatively, pullback moves may initial aim for the 100-SMA level near $1,725 before challenging the resistance-turned-support of $1,721. However, a fortnight-old horizontal support zone, near $1,699-94, appears a tough nut to crack for metal sellers. Given the bearish MACD signals and the downbeat RSI, not to forget the Fed-led firmer USD, the precious metal is likely to decline further. That said, the yearly low of around $1,680 could offer an intermediate halt during the south run targeting the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of $1,655.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bears brace for 0.9870 with eyes on FedEURUSD remains pressured around a one-week low as traders prepared for the Fed’s verdict, likely a 0.75% rate hike and Powell’s aggression. That said, the pair’s clear downside break of the 50-SMA directs the quote toward the multi-year low marked earlier in the month around 0.9950. Given the RSI approaches the oversold territory, the pair’s declines past 0.9950 appears less expected. However, the bear’s rejection to step back from 0.9950 could open the doors for the further south-run towards the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of June 27 to July 21 moves, around 0.9870. Meanwhile, recovery remains elusive below the 50-SMA level surrounding 1.0165. Following that the previous weekly top around 1.0275 could gain the EURUSD buyers’ attention. However, a convergence of the 200-SMA and downward sloping resistance line from early June, close to 1.0340, should challenge the bulls. Also acting as the key upside hurdle is the six-week-old horizontal area near 1.0360-65. Overall, EURUSD is likely to decline further towards refreshing the yearly bottom. However, it all depends upon the Fed’s actions. Hence, the trader’s discretion is required.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bulls have a long way ahead to take control as ECB loomsEURUSD fades a week-long recovery mode ahead of the key European Central Bank (ECB) meeting. The pullback could also be linked to the pair’s inability to cross the 100-SMA amid RSI retreat from overbought territory, which in turn suggests the further weakness of the quote. However, a weekly support line, now resistance, joins the 100-SMA near 1.0230 to challenge intraday sellers, a break of which could quickly drag the quote towards the previous Wednesday’s peak surrounding 1.0120. In a case where the major currency pair drops below the 1.0120 supports, the odds of its slump towards the parity level can’t be ruled out. However, bullish MACD signals probe the bears targeting the fresh yearly low, currency around 0.9950. Meanwhile, a sustained trading beyond the 1.0230 resistance confluence can direct short-term buyers towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of June 09 to July 14 downside, at 1.0265. Iff the EURUSD prices cross the 1.0265 resistance, a five-week-old horizontal area including the 50% Fibonacci retracement, near 1.0360-65, could challenge the buyers. It’s worth noting that a convergence of the 200-SMA and a downward sloping trend line from June 09, close to 1.0400, appears the last defense of the pair bears, a break of which could give control to the bulls. To sum up, EURUSD sellers seem flexing muscles ahead of the ECB’s widely known 0.25% rate hike and hence the region’s central bank should do more to defend the Euro buyers.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold bears need validation from $1,690 to keep reinsGold braces for the fifth consecutive weekly fall at the yearly low. However, oversold RSI challenges the bears as they approach the $1,690 support confluence, comprising 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of March-August 2020 upside and an ascending trend line from May 2020. If the precious metal posts the weekly close below $1,690, it becomes vulnerable to testing the 200-week moving average (WMA) near $1,650. It’s worth noting that the $1,650 level is the last defense for the bullion buyers and a break of which will give rein to sellers. Alternatively, the corrective pullback may aim for September 2021 low surrounding $1,721 before eying the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near $1,765. In a case where gold prices manage to stay beyond $1,765, the $1,800 threshold and the previous support line from early 2020, around $1,865, will regain the market’s attention. Overall, the gold price is about the reach the bear’s home but multiple hurdles could trigger the corrective pullback.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD stays inside short-term bearish channel at yearly lowAUDUSD justifies its risk-barometer status aptly as it remains near the two-year bottom, inside a 12-day-long bearish channel. The quote’s further downside, however, appears limited in the short-term due to the nearness to the stated channel’s lower line, close to 0.6690 at the latest. That said, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of June 16 to July 05 moves, near 0.6705, could offer immediate support to the Aussie pair. In a case where the bears refrain from stepping back from 0.6690, the 78.6% FE level near 0.6650 could gain major attention. Alternatively, the 50-SMA level surrounding 0.6800 guards the immediate recovery moves ahead of the immediate descending channel’s upper line, around 0.6840 by the press time. It’s worth noting that a clear upside break of the 0.6840 hurdle isn’t a call to the AUDUSD bulls as the 100-SMA level of 0.6855 could challenge the advances afterward. Should the quote rises past 0.6855, the odds of its run-up towards the late June swing high near 0.6965 and then to the 0.7000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. Overall AUDUSD remains in a bearish trajectory, despite the recently firmer Aussie jobs report and increasing calls about the RBA’s aggression. However, the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold retains bearish bias ahead of US NFPGold remains inside a four-month-old descending trend channel despite a recent corrective bounce off the yearly low, mainly due to the oversold RSI. The recovery moves, however, failed to cross the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the metal’s upward trajectory from August 2021 to March 2022, near $1,755. In addition to the $1,755 hurdle, a horizontal area comprising lows marked since mid-May also restricts the quote’s short-term advances near $1,786. In a case where the bullion prices rally beyond $1,786, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the stated channel’s upper line, respectively around $1,820 and $1,828, will lure the bulls. It’s worth noting that the upside momentum past $1,828 will need validation from the 200-DMA level surrounding $1,846 to welcome the buyers. On the contrary, an 11-month-long horizontal support zone near $1,721-17, restricts the precious metal’s immediate downside. Following that, the aforementioned channel’s lower line, around $1,681, could act as the last defense of gold buyers before directing the quote towards the previous yearly low of $1,667. Overall, gold prices may extend the latest rebound if today’s US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), or any of the June US jobs report data, disappoints the US dollar buyers. However, the bears can keep reins until the quote rallies past $1,846.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal