Trading Reverse Head & Shoulder PatternWhat is Reverse head & shoulder ?
Ans:- The Reverse Head and Shoulders is a bullish reversal pattern that is formed in the stock market when an asset experiences a decline, followed by a moderate recovery, then another decline to a lower level, another recovery to near the original decline, and finally another decline to a level that is lower than the previous decline. The pattern is considered complete when the price rises above the neckline, which is the line connecting the highs of the two recoveries.
The pattern is named after its visual appearance, which resembles the human head and shoulders, but in reverse. The three troughs form the shoulders and the head, while the neckline serves as the confirmation point for a reversal. The height of the pattern can be used to estimate the potential upside for the asset once the reversal is confirmed.
The Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern is often seen as a positive sign for the market, indicating a potential end to the downtrend and a shift towards upward momentum. However, it is important to consider other factors such as market sentiment before making a trade based on this pattern.
Now how to trade Reverse Head & shoulder pattern?
Ans:- To trade this pattern we should follow:-
Identifying the pattern: To trade the Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern, you first need to identify it on a stock chart. Look for three troughs followed by a neckline that connects the highs of the two recoveries.
Confirming the pattern: Once the pattern is identified, you need to confirm it by waiting for the price to rise above the neckline. This is considered the confirmation point and signals the start of a potential upward trend.
Setting a target price: The height of the pattern can be used to estimate the potential upside for the asset. Measure the distance between the neckline and the lowest trough and add it to the neckline to determine a target price.
Placing a trade: Once the pattern is confirmed and the target price is set, you can place a long (buy) trade. It is recommended to use a stop loss order to protect your trade in case the pattern does not play out as expected.
Monitoring the trade: After placing the trade, it is important to monitor the stock price and adjust your stop loss if necessary. Close the trade once the target price is reached or if the stock price drops below the neckline, indicating a potential reversal.
It is important to keep in mind that no single pattern or indicator can guarantee success in the stock market. It is also recommended to consider other factors such as market sentiment and technical indicators before making a trade based on the Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern.
Pros:
Sign of a potential trend reversal: The Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern is often seen as a positive sign for the market, indicating a potential end to the downtrend and a shift towards upward momentum.
Estimation of potential upside: The height of the pattern can be used to estimate the potential upside for the asset, allowing traders to set realistic targets and determine their risk-reward ratio.
Relatively easy to identify: The Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern is relatively easy to identify and does not require complex analysis, making it accessible to traders of all levels.
Con:
No guarantee of success: No single pattern or indicator can guarantee success in the stock market, and the Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern is no exception. The pattern can be disrupted by external factors such as market sentiment, economic data releases, and geopolitical events.
False signals: The pattern is not always reliable, and false signals can occur if the price does not rise above the neckline or if the trend does not continue as expected.
Need for confirmation: The pattern is not considered complete until the price rises above the neckline, and traders must wait for this confirmation point before entering a trade. This can lead to missed opportunities or increased risk if the pattern does not play out as expected.
In conclusion, The Reverse Head and Shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal pattern in the stock market that is formed by a series of declines and recoveries and, but it should not be relied upon exclusively. It is important to consider other factors and to always manage risk when trading based on this pattern.
Reversal
Buying Climax: What, Why and HowBuying Climax:
is a situation on the chart that represents ‘exhaustion’. This is the sharpest upward price surge where the last set of buyers enter the stock, thinking that the stock is going to the moon and never look back. This also reflects ‘Greed’ entering in to the stock. Investors who bought at the lower prices, during accumulation, take it as an opportunity to exit from the stock. Therefore, it represents those pre-conditions that lead to price correction.
The climax is associated with very wide range up bars/candles with exceptional volumes, followed by supply in most cases.
I will take up the case of Dr. Reddy with no particular reason but as a good example that just came in front of me and I thought it will be a good idea to share with the trading community what a climactic action looks like.
Dr. Reddy had been in a downtrend between Oct2015 to Aug2017. It then consolidated for more than 2years before it decisively broke out of Rs2800 supply zone in Jan-Feb2020. It retested the supply zone in Mar2020 market correction and held it as a new support.
Thereafter we can observe three major breakouts seen on this weekly chart, which would help us in understanding a buying climax in a better way.
At every breakout you need to observe the range of the breakout candle and the volume involved in the breakout. A good breakout needs a wider candle with a strong closing and good volume. Let us see what happened.
Breakout 1
Range of the candle – 600 pts or around 18%
This seems an average type of range compared to the pre-breakout candles. So nothing alarming here.
Volume –
Slightly higher than the average volumes.
Breakout 2
Range of the candle – 600 pts or around 15%
It’s also an average type of range
Volume –
Is very high, more than any candle in this uptrend since 2020
Breakout 3
Range of the candle – 1160 pts or around 27%
This is exceptionally wide range
Volume –
Exceptionally high (More than 36mn). Not seen anywhere on the chart.
This is buying climax. You can see that, on the very next week, there was extremely high volume on the downside. This further validates that seller have entered the market and the upside could be limited.
We can draw a resistance line from this Sep2020 highs. Price corrected 25% from this resistance in the next 5-6months.
Also observe the Breakout4 (Jun2021) of the resistance (vertical dotted line)
Candle Range – narrow
Candle volume – very low compared to previous breakouts.
This is a weak breakout which could not sustain and is followed by a big supply candle. Further indication that the stock has lost steam.
I hope this idea was helpful.
Do like and comment for more such educational posts in the coming days.
Is it a comeback of this beast?What is RSI negative divergence?
Negative divergence happens when the price of a
security is in an uptrend and a major indicator
such as relative strength index (RSI) heads
downward.
Price has fallen almost 25% from all
time high levels, it has given breakout
from the falling trend if sustained can
make a new all time high but first
price has to clear ₹ 206 levels.
Reversal Pattern - Three inside UpThe three inside up pattern is a bullish reversal pattern composed of a large down candle, a smaller up candle contained within the
prior candle, and then another up candle that closes above the close of the second candle.
These patterns are short-term in nature, and may not always result in a significant or even minor trend change.
Consider using these patterns within the context of an overall trend. For example, use the three inside up during a pullback in an overall uptrend.
REASON -
The downtrend continues on the first candle with a large sell-off posting new lows. This discourages buyers, while sellers grow confident.
The second candle opens within the prior candle's trading range. Rather than following through to the downside, it closes higher than the prior close and the current open. This price action raises a red flag, which some short-term short sellers may use an opportunity to exit.
The third candle completes a bullish reversal, trapping remaining short-sellers and attracting those who are interested in establishing a long position.
Learn RSI Part 1 : Basic of Relative Strength IndexHello Traders,
I am back with the new educational concept. You may have often heard the word "RSI"
We are going to study about RSI : "Relative Strength Index", which is the most used indicator.
RSI is the price following indicator and it provides important levels from 0 to 100.
The important levels of RSI are 40-60, 70-30 and 50
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Why do we practice RSI?
There are a few reasons for using the most important indicator.
1.) It provides over bought & oversold levels.
If RSI goes above level 70, we can say it has "overbought" and if RSI goes bellow level 30 we can say it has "oversold"
Q.1 What is oversold & overbought?
A: These two terms are extreme level when the price reaches this level, reversal is possible
So shall we travel further? YES! Cool!
2) RSI gives us the direction of where the trend is going!
I have added level 50 as an important level.
So, if the price is below level 50, we can say that atmosphere is bearish and if price is above level 50 we can say that atmosphere is bullish.
In short, Bearish below level 50
Bullish below level 50
It is better to draw a horizontal line at level 50, to have a check on it easily!
We will continue the series it will cover the divergence and many more indicators.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
If you have any doubts, you can put them in the comment section below.
NIFTYToday's weak opening and recovery so far looks similar to the lower circuit and recovery on March 12, 2020, we know what followed next. BOTTOMS are RARELY made in V shape. They consolidate before gaining momentum. Intra day and stock specific would be a different matter, else let the mayhem fizzle out then look for reversals. Resistance at 9800.
HINDPETROHINDPETRO is looking good but the 290-300 level is big obstacle for this stock by comparing previous months so it can make a good move on above 300. still need to wait few days to get confirmation.people can buy this stock who can average if it goes down. but overall trend positive.......share your view as a comment please.....
PVR | RSI+RESISTENCE | EDUCATIONHere I used EMA , KAMA & RSI.
at a 1450 level, a very strong resistance is there.
We can see the RSI & chart pattern is complementing each other very well.
it looks like the bullish trend is very strong so it can take some time to reverse.
RELIANCE : WOLFE WAVE : NEXT IMP. LEVELAfter continuous 3 downside impulsive waves now the RELIANCE chart has made a Wolfe's Wave with a beautiful breakdown of bottom line.
Furthermore, according to Price Action, RELIANCE has form a good reversal pattern by making a HIGHER LOW and gave a good closing near previous SWING HIGH. And if the STOCK now moves above its previous HIGH then it will enter into the channel again and according to Wolfe's Wave the Target for the Stock will be the upper Incline Line.
But there is a very very important level which can show a resistance to the STOCK which I have market in CHART with RED COLOUR.
Spot On - 2G(With Red Dot)Retracement and Reversal decoding the price movement.
Watch out for 2G(with Red Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Top.
Watch out for 2R(with Green Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Bottom.
For more details check out
* 2G(with Green Dot) and 2R(with Red Dot) also occur
Possibly a beginning of Up TrendRetracement and Reversal decoding the price movement.
Watch out for 2G(with Red Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Top.
Watch out for 2R(with Green Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Bottom.
For more details check out
* 2G(with Green Dot) and 2R(with Red Dot) also occur
Between 2R(with Green Dot) and 2G(with Red Dot) - 200 INRRetracement and Reversal decoding the price movement.
Watch out for 2G(with Red Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Top.
Watch out for 2R(with Green Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Bottom.
For more details check out
* 2G(with Green Dot) and 2R(with Red Dot) also occur
2R(with Green Dot) again - 1200+Retracement and Reversal decoding the price movement.
Watch out for 2G(with Red Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Top.
Watch out for 2R(with Green Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Bottom.
For more details check out
* 2G(with Green Dot) and 2R(with Red Dot) also occur
2R(with Green Dot) spotted at the right time.Retracement and Reversal decoding the price movement.
Watch out for 2G(with Red Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Top.
Watch out for 2R(with Green Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Bottom.
For more details check out
* 2G(with Green Dot) and 2R(with Red Dot) also occur
2R(With Green Dot) - Uptrend beginsRetracement and Reversal decoding the price movement.
Watch out for 2G(with Red Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Top.
Watch out for 2R(with Green Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Bottom.
For more details check out
* 2G(with Green Dot) and 2R(with Red Dot) also occur
2R(With Green Dot) shows the possible beginning of Up trendRetracement and Reversal decoding the price movement.
Watch out for 2G(with Red Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Top.
Watch out for 2R(with Green Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Bottom.
For more details check out
* 2G(with Green Dot) and 2R(with Red Dot) also occur
2R(With Green Dot) shows the possible reversal of a downtrendRetracement and Reversal decoding the price movement.
Watch out for 2G(with Red Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Top.
Watch out for 2R(with Green Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Bottom.
For more details check out
* 2G(with Green Dot) and 2R(with Red Dot) also occur
Is this the beginning of the Uptrend?Retracement and Reversal decoding the price movement.
Watch out for 2G(with Red Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Top.
Watch out for 2R(with Green Dot)* and you might be the lucky one to find the Bottom.
For more details check out
* 2G(with Green Dot) and 2R(with Red Dot) also occur
Well PlayedDisplaying 2G near the TOP and 2R near the Bottom makes Retracement and Reversal so special.
Retracement and Reversal Never Predicts.
Keep Watching. Keep Trading.