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USDJPY slumps to seven-month low amid risk aversion, BoJ biasUSDJPY begins the week on a back foot while declining for the fifth consecutive day to the lowest since early January. The Yen pair’s latest fall could be linked to the market’s risk-off mood and concerns about the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) further rate hikes versus the fresh bias about the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) requirement for more rate cuts. Also keeping the bears hopeful is the quote’s clear downside break of an upward-sloping support line from January 2023. With this, USDJPY bears are completely in control and can move further toward the late 2023 bottom of around 140.25, quickly followed by the 140.00 threshold. However, the oversold RSI (14) line and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s January 2023 to July 2024 upside, near 140.40, can challenge the quote’s further declines. If the pair drops past 140.00, the odds of witnessing a slump toward July 2023 low of near 137.20 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the USDJPY pair’s corrective bounce needs validation from a 50% Fibonacci ratio of 144.55. Following that, the lows marked during February and March of the current year, respectively near 145.90 and 146.50, will precede the multi-month-old support-turned-resistance of surrounding 148.60 to challenge the Yen pair buyers. It’s worth mentioning, however, that the rejection of the latest bearish trend signals will only be possible if the quote stays successfully above the 200-SMA hurdle of 151.60. Overall, the USDJPY pair sneaked into the bearish trend but the road toward the south is long and bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
Understanding Risk-ManagementThe stock is trading at lower prices if you see last month's movements. In the last few days, it formed a double bottom and again came down to lower levels. If reverses from these levels, a bull run may come. The risk-reward ratio is good at this point. 1. If we enter at 940 while considering the stop-loss at 860 - the loss will be 60 points. 2. If prices go in our desired direction, the final target comes at 1500 - the profit will be 560 points. So we have to keep our position size in a way that if we have to exit at a loss, that should be manageable for us. This means we should be ready for that loss. Else while going in profits, we may exit at the first target of 1140. Let's calculate the quantity of 25. If we have to exit at a stop-loss of 860 - the loss will be 2000. If the price reaches the first target of 1140 - the profit will be 5000 if the price reaches the final target of 1500 - the profit will be 14000 We should always keep our position size in accordance with our risk capacity. Risk management is a general concept in every aspect of our life and normally we follow this other than the stock market. Only for learning and sharing purposes, not a bit of trading advice in any form. Please do your own analysis before taking any trade or consult your financial advisor. All the best.
NSE:AFFLE
by anandlive
4
Crude Oil rebounds toward 200-SMA as the key week beginsWTI Crude Oil posts more than 1.0% intraday gain early Monday, after declining in the last three consecutive weeks, as energy traders brace for a rollercoaster week comprising multiple central bank announcements and top-tier data. In doing so, the black gold takes clues from a nearly oversold RSI (14) amid cautious optimism in the market. However, bearish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading beneath the 200-SMA keep the oil sellers hopeful of visiting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its December 2023 to April 2024 upside, near $75.30. Following that, a seven-month-old upward-sloping support line surrounding $74.40 will be a crucial level for the bears to conquer to keep the reins. In a case where the commodity prices remain bearish past $74.40, it becomes vulnerable to drop toward the previous monthly low of around $72.40. Alternatively, the WTI Crude Oil buyers’ ability to provide a daily close beyond the 200-SMA hurdle of $78.40 won’t give them the throne as a downward-sloping resistance line from early July, close to $79.50, will challenge further advances. Also restricting the commodity’s run-up is the $80.00 threshold and a two-month-old horizontal resistance region near $80.30-60. If the energy benchmark manages to remain strong past $80.60, the 23.6% Fibonacci ratio of around $83.00 and the monthly high of $84.50 will lure the bulls. Overall, the market’s consolidation allows WTI crude Oil to lick its wounds but the bullish trend is far from the reach.
TVC:USOIL
by MTradingGlobal
Crude Oil buyers brace for a bumpy road ahead, focus on $79.50WTI Crude Oil picks up bids to reverse the previous day’s retreat from a seven-week-old falling resistance line, close to $78.65 by the press time. In doing so, the black gold recovers from a 50% Fibonacci retracement of December 2023 to April 2024 upside, near $77.70. Given the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI conditions underpinning the commodity’s rebound, the buyers are likely to overcome the immediate trend line resistance surrounding $78.65. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and the 200-SMA, around $79.50 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the energy bulls. Also acting as an upside filter are the $80.00 threshold and late May swing high of $80.60. It should be noted, however, that the quote’s successful trading past $80.60 enables the optimists to aim for the support-turned-resistance line stretched from late 2023, near $83.50 as we write. On the contrary, a daily closing beneath the 50% Fibonacci ratio of $77.70 could quickly fetch the WTI crude oil prices to the previous monthly low of around $76.20. If the black gold remains bearish past $76.20, the monthly bottom of around $72.40 and the $70.00 psychological magnet will lure the sellers. It’s worth observing that the energy benchmark’s sustained weakness past $70.00 could make it vulnerable to a slump toward the previous yearly low of around $63.60. Overall, WTI Crude Oil appears all set to post the biggest weekly gain since early April but a daily closing past $79.50 will be crucial for bulls to retake control.
TVC:USOIL
by MTradingGlobal
2
LT - Positional Short SetupCMP 3658 on 29.04.24 The chart explains the support and resistance areas in recent sessions. According to the scenario, if the stock does not sustain above 3730, may go weak in the next few sessions. One should sell between 3650-3700. Targets are mentioned on the charts. This setup fails if the price sustains above 3730-50. One has to plan the position size and the exit plan wisely. This is only for learning and sharing purposes, not trading advice in any form. All the best.
NSE:LTShort
by anandlive
AUDUSD bulls need validation from 0.6720 to keep the reinsAUDUSD bulls struggle to keep command at the highest level since January as a jump in the Aussie Unemployment Rate supersedes upbeat Employment Change data from the Pacific major and challenges the previous day’s run-up. That said, the risk-barometer pair marked the biggest daily rise in six months on Thursday after softer US inflation and Retail Sales numbers drowned the US Dollar. The Aussie pair’s upside also took clues from hopes about more stimulus from China. Technically, the upbeat RSI (14) and the bullish MACD signals join the AUDUSD pair’s upside break of a four-month-old horizontal resistance, now immediate support near 0.6645-40, to keep the buyers hopeful. However, a downward-sloping resistance line from early February 2023, near 0.6720 by the press time, challenges the quote’s immediate upside. Following that, the pair’s quick run-up toward the yearly high of 0.6839 and then to the late 2023 peak surrounding 0.6870 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the March 2024 peak of near 0.6665 acts as immediate support for the pair traders to watch ahead of the aforementioned resistance-turned-support near 0.6645-40. It’s worth noting that a one-month-old rising support line of around 0.6610, quickly followed by the 0.6600 threshold, will act as the final defense of the AUDUSD buyers before giving control to the sellers. Overall, the AUDUSD pair remains on the bull’s radar but the pair’s further upside hinges on a daily closing beyond 0.6720.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY hovers around multi-year high as bulls run out of steamUSDJPY edges higher past 154.00 while making rounds to the 34-year top marked the previous day, mildly bid within a four-month-old rising trend channel early Tuesday. In doing so, Yen pair buyers take a breather at the multi-year high as the overbought RSI (14) line joins sluggish market conditions. It’s worth noting, however, that the bullish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading beyond a 6.5-month-old ascending resistance line, now support around 151.85, keep the bulls in the driver's seat. That said, the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the pair’s December-March moves and the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), respectively near 153.05 and 152.00, restrict the quote’s immediate downside. Following that, a two-month-old horizontal support zone near 150.90-80 and the aforementioned bullish channel’s support line, close to 149.60 at the latest, will act as the final defense of the pair buyers, a successful break of which could give control to the bears. Meanwhile, the 78.6% FE level surrounding 154.85 guards the immediate upside of the USDJPY pair ahead of the multi-month-old rising trend channel’s top line, near 155.20 as we write. It’s worth mentioning that the Yen pair’s sustained run-up beyond 155.20 will need validation from the June 1990 peak of 155.80 to keep the bulls in control. Following that, the pair’s gradual advances toward the 100% FE level of 157.15 can’t be ruled out. That said, the 156.00 and the 157.00 round figures will act as intermediate halts during the rise. Overall, the USDJPY pair buyers appear exhausted, suggesting a pullback in the prices, but the broadly bullish trend is likely to remain intact unless the quote breaks the 149.60 key support.
by MTradingGlobal
HINDCOPPER AnalysisAfter today's massive bloodbath, we've got HINDCOPPER on our radar for next 2-3 weeks. So the view after the bloodbath today, i.e. on 13th March 2024, the view is clear that we're looking for fundamentally strong companies that are available at cheaper valuations. We need to buy companies that are trading at a PE that is lower than the industry PE, that are running close to their Book Value, are not overvalued, both fundamentally and technically, and ofcourse we need to stay cautious in Small-Mid Cap segment. So here, we have HINDCOPPER. CMP- 234.90 Target- 275. (Ideally a zone, between 270-280) Stoploss- A little below our buy zone, at 225. Duration- 2-3 Weeks. Risk-Reward is a massive 1:4! It's really difficult to get such good trades in a crashing market like this. Let's pray for this to work Let me know what you think.
NSE:HINDCOPPERLong
by ArjitGarg
FASP levels for Nifty 13/03/2024The FASP for Nifty is listed for 13-03-2024. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities. What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)? It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds. Validity of the levels: 1 Day How to use these levels? The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options. Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
NSE:NIFTY
by SathishChandrasekaran
FASP levels for Bank Nifty 13/03/2024The FASP for BankNifty is listed for 13-03-2024. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities. What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)? It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds. Validity of the levels: 1 Day How to use these levels? The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options. Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by SathishChandrasekaran
GBPUSD bulls keep the reins despite latest inactionGBPUSD stays defensive above 200-SMA after posting the first weekly gain in four, making rounds to 1.2680 early Tuesday. In doing so, the Cable pair defends last week’s upside break of the key SMA support, around 1.2660 by the press time, while also edging higher past a one-week-old rising support line, close to 1.2645 at the latest. Not only the pair’s ability to stay beyond the key SMA and an immediate support line, but an absence of the trend-negative oscillators also keeps the Pound Sterling buyers hopeful. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s sustained trading beneath 1.2645 will defy the bullish bias and make it vulnerable to aim for the monthly low surrounding 1.2520. On the other hand, the 1.2700 round figure guards the immediate upside of the GBPUSD pair amid a lack of major data/events, as well as due to the cautious mood ahead of today’s US Durable Goods Orders. That said, the Cable buyers target a downward-sloping resistance line from late December 2023, near 1.2740 as we write. In a case where the Pound Sterling manages to stay firmer past 1.2740, the yearly high of near 1.2785 and the late 2023 peak of 1.2830 will test the upside momentum targeting the 1.3000 psychological magnet. To sum up, the GBPUSD pair’s latest performance appears less important for the bears as far as the price stays beyond the key SMA and the short-term support line.
by MTradingGlobal
AVTNPL: Monthly Breakout StockAVTNPL is a good company, and its fundamentals are good. A stock from Small cap, which can show a good upmove for next few months. One understand the chart properly to take your trades. Monthly Trendline Support Double Bottom Base creation Daily Timeframe Consolidation Breakout Now watch this ratio chart of AVTNPL and NIFTY 500. Three Major points to consider 1. Fibo 0.618 Support 2. Trendline Support 3. Double Bottom Creation How am i trading in this stock? I will start my trade by adding AVTNPL. My quantities will be less at start. My Stoploss will be 88 and Target will be 136. With Increasing strength, and stock moving upside i will keep adding with trailing SL. Trendline break and sustain will give me confidence to add more. I will keep updating to this chart. So do follow!
NSE:AVTNPLLong
by NikunjBangad
Gold again retreats from 200-SMA but bears need validationGold price fades bounce off a two-month-old rising support line, failing to cheer the US Dollar’s weakness, as the 200-SMA hurdle again challenges the metal buyers ahead of the second-tier employment clues from the US. Not only the 200-SMA resistance surrounding $2,040 and the pre-data anxiety, steady RSI and sluggish MACD signals also challenge the XAUUSD buyers. Even if the quote manages to cross the $2,040 upside hurdle, a five-week-long horizontal resistance zone of around $2,065 will be a tough nut to crack for the bullion buyers before retaking control. Following that, a run-up toward the late December 2023 peak of near $2,088 will be quick to witness on the chart. Meanwhile, an ascending support line from early December, close to $2,020 by the press time restricts the short-term downside of the Gold price. In a case where the XAUUSD remains bearish past $2,020, the mid-January swing low of near the $2,000 threshold will return to the charts. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s weakness past $2,000 makes it vulnerable to slump toward the two-month low of nearly $1,973 before challenging the November 2023 trough surrounding $1,930. Overall, Gold Price remains pressured on a short-term basis but the sellers need validation from technical and fundamental perspectives.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY stays pressured toward 141.00 on last trading day of 2023USDJPY fades the previous day’s corrective bounce off a five-month low amid sluggish markets on the final trading day of 2023. In doing so, the Yen pair extends the mid-week pullback from 200-SMA even as the oversold RSI (14) and the sluggish MACD signals challenge bears. Also putting a floor under the risk-barometer pair is a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the March-November upside, as well as May’s peak, surrounding 140.80. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s sustained trading below 140.80 makes it vulnerable to drop toward a broad horizontal support zone comprising levels marked since early March, between 137.90-70. Meanwhile, a corrective bounce could aim for the 200-SMA level of 143.00 whereas a seven-week-old descending trend line, close to 143.40 at the latest, will test the USDJPY buyers afterwards. Should the Yen pair manage to defend the recovery moves past 143.40, June’s peak of around 145.10 will be on the bull’s radar. Following that, a gradual run-up toward 148.00 and the 150.00 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. Overall, the USDJPY pair appears bearish even if a corrective bounce appears imminent.
by MTradingGlobal