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Stock Operating An Epic Example, Oberoi Realty -20% in a Month. 4/1/2024:- Open 1460... Beginning of the Month Pumped 6% Sold High Premium Puts Strike Range 1460 to 1585. 4/1/2024 to 20/1/2024:- Stock Traded in Same Range. Pump and Dump Activity - Distribution at High Price. Operators minted in Put options. 15/1/2024:- Short Positioning Range in 6% form 1500-1585 All Time High. 20/1/2024:- Sold ITM Call approx. Strike Range 1585 to 1320. It was operators monthly expiry plan. 23/1/2024:- Stock 4% Gap-down and sold just another 4% to make sure nobody would dare to challenge short positions of the stock operators. 24/1/2024 to 25/1/2024:- Monthly Expiry Stock Being sold just another 7-8% 25th Jan. 2024:- Monthly Expiry End Game for the Strike 1300++ Call Buyers Agree? Don't Agree? It doesn't matter because... I Hope someone beginner an innocent retail stock option buyer will get an idea before entering into either long or short position in stock options or futures. Disclaimer: This is for the educational purposes only. Analysis & View are personal. Trade at your own risk. We recommend consult your financial advisors and do your own analysis before taking any trade. Profit and Losses are subject to your own risk management and constantly changing market conditions.
NSE:OBEROIRLTY
by SEBIRegistered
Nifty view - 21 December 2023We could see a massive profit booking in Nifty yesterday. I was not active for a few days and will also not be very active in options. However, I'll be there in cash markets. Today, we see record volumes with vix almost 14.5, making it perfect for buying and selling. I've marked the levels where I'll go long or short. For now, I'm neutral in the market and have sold appropriate options for today's expiry. Also, I would not recommend going long or short in today's expiry as it is very risky.
NSE:NIFTY
by pr0p
4th Dec ’23 - BankNifty has more firepower than Nifty for upmoveBankNifty Analysis The real reason for the outperformance on Nifty50 = BankNifty today. In the last newsletter, we discussed how relevant BankNifty’s next move would turn out to be. Would you believe we took out the ATH today and the new value is 46484.45? 5mts chart link - click here BankNifty went on to take out the 45399 resistance in the gap-up open itself. The momentum was so strong that it was not retested at all. We went flat for a bit but started trending after 12.10. The total gains today was an astonishing 1617pts ~ 3.61%. The options premiums were going crazy today - even the OTM put options. Such was the euphoria today. NiftyIT was not participating at all in the rally today, but I am sure no one would have noticed that as it was overshadowed by BankNifty’s outperformance. 1D chart link - click here BankNifty has just managed to climb back up to the double top pattern set on 21st July & 15th Sep. Since today’s green marubozu looks pretty strong, we can safely assume we are past that threat. Momentum-wise, BN has more firepower than Nifty for the immediate short term. I prefer to stick with my long stance until 45399 support level is taken out.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by viswaram
NIFTY TRADE SETUPI am thinking of taking a bearish position in Nifty due to a minimal stop loss. To execute this trade, sell the 20650CE or 20700CE options and hedge the position according to our risk appetite. Alternatively, we can take a bear put spread by buying the 20650PE and selling the 20400PE options. These two positions carry low risk for me.. I will set a stop loss at Nifty 20610 and my target is 20300 . It is important to hedge your position to mitigate potential risks. Before taking any positions in the trade, it is important to conduct a thorough analysis to evaluate the potential risks and rewards. This analysis will help determine if the trade aligns with your risk appetite and whether it is worth pursuing. To calculate the breakeven point, maximum profit, and maximum loss using Sensibull.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ard-komercisto
2
9th Oct ’23 - Israel's War changes sentiment - PostMortem NiftyNifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “For Monday, I wish to continue my neutral stance but keep my options open for bullish moves. The moment 19776 is tested and broken — we can expect further participation to take Nifty much ahead. For the bears to make a comeback — the US markets have to close in DEEP RED today.” Nifty opened mega gap-down due to the shocking developments over the weekend. Israel declared it is in a state of war after Hamas fired rockets and took hostage Israeli citizens - source. No one was expecting this sharp reversal in global macro. In fact, US markets closed last Friday pretty strong. Since I am not a Geo-political expert - I have no comments on what will happen, but the financial markets usually do not like uncertainty. The greatest risk right now is crude oil as the war is in the Middle East. If other countries join this battle - the risk of further escalation cannot be ruled out and the biggest victim could be the developing countries that import OIL. Even though the chart may confuse you, we only fell 0.86% ~ 168pts in the opening 10mts and that was the low for the day. The recovery was sharp and decent and we made it up to the 61.8% retracement level. From there we started falling but gradually. There again the low set in the initial 10mts still untouched. I had to go short today - not just because the chart told me, but because I thought fundamentally the perceived risk could be much higher. Already our markets have outperformed the global peers - and this risk-on should have prompted the FIIs to pull out more money. We might have to wait for a few days for more clarity to emerge, so I thought to take some risks with some long PUT options. The 1hr chart does not show a direction yet. If 19446 was taken out today - it would have shown bearishness - but it is neutral. For true bearishness 19350 or the recent swing low has to be taken out tomorrow. Well, I have a bearish bias because of the LONG PUT option - but the charts are not showing anything so far. If we bounce back from the 19446 level tomorrow also - I may be forced to close out the position at a loss. For tomorrow I would like to go with a 50% neutral and 50% bearish option. Nifty is not technically weak - it is the global macro that is weak. In the battle for technical analysis versus fundamental analysis - fundamental always wins especially when accompanied by strong news-flow.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
Bank Nifty Analysis for 21Sept23 Option Trading Analysis for Bank Nifty for 21/09/23 Key Points: Global markets closed negative on 20/09/23, which led to a sharp fall in Bank Nifty. Bank Nifty opened below its shared support levels, indicating a bearish sentiment. Put writers are heavily positioned at 45300 levels, suggesting that there is strong resistance at this level. Support and Resistance Zones: Support: 45300, 45100, 44900 Resistance: 45700, 45933, 46150 Trading Strategy: Long: If Bank Nifty sustains above 45700 levels, then traders can go long with a stop loss below 45300 levels. Short: If Bank Nifty breaks below 45300 levels, then traders can go short with a stop loss above 45700 levels. Risk Management: Traders should always use stop losses and risk management techniques when trading options. It is important to remember that options are a leveraged product and can result in significant losses if not traded carefully. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice and traders should always do their own research before taking any trading decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by santubittu
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NSE:NIFTY1!
by rishurishab66
PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 28 Mar 2023March series is coming to a close tomorrow, but the options premium is already dead. Only few strikes near the money has some more premiums to shed, all the other OTMs are well below the average rates to what we usually see on the penultimate day of expiry. It also translates into very little movement expected tomorrow. Well today was an inside day - we did not even swing as much as yesterday. Yesterday was another range bound day too. So consecutive range bound days has taken the air off the PE & CE options. NSE:BANKNIFTY opened at 39545 gap up to yesterday's close but almost half-way to the last hour swing of yesterday. And then we started trading with no special emotion today. We were stuck in a range of 39340 to 39560 till 15.20. There was one candle at 15.25 that just broke out of this range - but again not something that important too. One of the reason of a flattish trade would be attributed to the NSE:CNXFINANCE expiry which is generating a lot of volumes now. The stock manipulations required to keep the Finnifty index range bound is active.  The only reason i haven't pursued trading on NSE:CNXFINANCE despite its similarity with banknifty was because of the HDFC-HDFCBK merger event. HDFC is the main contributor to Finnifty's weight outside of the 5 main bank thats supporting banknifty. After the merger, both the index will have 85 to 90% correlation, the only difference being the scale to which its set to.  --- Tomorrow's expiry may only become interesting if we have any news event in US or Europe markets today. Otherwise we are quite starting at a boring range bound trade tomorrow. --- The range bound trade continues in the 15mts TF. At present we do not have a directional bias until one of the support or resistance gets broken. --- 1hr TF has not lost its bearish bias yet, according to me the next leg of lower low is in the making and probably its taking some time. --- On NSE:BANKNIFTY minds i made 2 posts today "$BANKNIFTY need some triggers or news flow to break the range trade at present non-directional trade seems like working" at 10.10 and  "$BANKNIFTY option premiums are all dead ! not even a fake move today to fire up the premiums Finnifty is making an impact over last 4 expiries" at 13.59
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
Nifty - Bearish move possible if Monday 1st 15m/1hr is redNifty has been consolidating between 17800-17900 since last few days. It is currently at a confluence point of both upper and lower trendlines. There are more bearish indications than bullish. Hence Monday opening plus first 15m/1 hr candle is hugely important to decide what happens next. A large movement is possible in the upcoming days if Nifty opens flat or lower tomorrow and breaks 17800 in first 15m candle itself. It would signal large movement downward tomorrow. Similarly if Nifty opens tomorrow in green and crosses 17900-17920 a huge upside move is possible as well. Bearish signs: - 1. Fib retracement of 61.8% of recent SH & SL. 2. Daily RSI below 50. 3. 17750-17850 zone in NIfty has major resistances. Nifty futures weekly chart shows no closing above the resistance zone. 4. Very bearish positioning by FIIs in both Futures & Options. 5. Multiple moving averages around 17900 both EMA and MA. 6. Options positioning indicates 17800 PE has the maximum support but no huge additions seen below 17800. 7. Global cues - Rise in treasury yields, DXY & newer bets on Fed funds rate going even higher BEARISH BELOW 17780 with targets of 17584, 17445 and 17350. Bullish signs: - 1. Nifty taking support from the Covid trendline and moving up. 2. Formed a double bottom and moving up and formation of higher lows indicates strong buying support still exists. BULLISH ABOVE 17900 with targets of 18100, 18200.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by DashSam