USDJPYGiven the current data on the USD/JPY chart, there are a few indicators suggesting a potential selling opportunity:
Oversold Condition: The Stochastic Oscillator is at 29.59, indicating the pair is in oversold territory. This often suggests a potential reversal or upward movement, but it can also mean that selling pressure might continue if the trend doesn't reverse soon1.
Trendlines: The auto trendlines might suggest a continued downtrend, especially if the current support level is broken.
Volume: The trading volume is moderate, which means there is enough market interest to sustain the current trend.
However, it's important to consider other factors such as economic news, market sentiment, and any upcoming events that might impact the currency pair. Always use risk management strategies and consider multiple indicators before making a trading decision.
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EURJPYThe chart hints at a bearish trend due to the descending channel and relatively high volumes, suggesting strong trader interest. The stochastic oscillator values indicate that there's a momentum in play, which traders can leverage for potential entry or exit points. Monitoring these key levels and trends can help in making informed trading decisions.
Breakout and Breakdown Strategy in 3D Time FrameTrend-Based Fibonacci Extension Levels (3-Day):
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1. Breakout Strategy
This strategy is for when the price breaks out above the 400% level or breaks down below the 361.80% level.
Bullish Breakout (Above 400%):
Trigger: A strong close above the 400% level, ideally with increased volume. Look for confirmation from indicators like the MACD (crossing bullish) or the Daily CMO moving higher from its low value.
Entry: Enter a long position just above the breakout candle high to avoid false breakouts.
Stop-Loss: Below the 400% level or the nearest support level, such as the 391% region.
Targets:
First Target (T1): 423.60% (next major resistance).
Second Target (T2): 450% if bullish momentum strengthens.
Bearish Breakdown (Below 361.80%):
Trigger: A strong close below the 361.80% level with confirmation (e.g., bearish MACD continuation or CMO dipping further negative on both Daily and 3-Day).
Entry: Enter a short position just below the breakdown candle low.
Stop-Loss: Above the 361.80% level or the last significant swing high.
Targets:
First Target (T1): 330% (midway support).
Second Target (T2): 261.80% (strong pullback level).
2. Range Trading Strategy
If the price continues to trade between the 361.80% and 400% levels, this strategy involves buying at support and selling at resistance.
Key Steps:
Entry:
Long near the 361.80% level if price shows signs of reversal (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns like hammers or engulfing candles).
Short near the 400% level if price shows rejection or reversal (e.g., shooting stars or bearish engulfing candles).
Stop-Loss:
For longs: Just below the 361.80% support level.
For shorts: Just above the 400% resistance level.
Targets:
For longs: Exit at 400%.
For shorts: Exit at 361.80%.
Indicators to Monitor in the Range:
Look for divergence between the CMO (Daily) and price at the support/resistance zones.
Use RSI: Enter positions when RSI approaches oversold (near 40) at support or overbought (near 70) at resistance.
3. Pullback Strategy
This strategy works if the price breaks a key level (either 400% or 361.80%) but pulls back to retest the level before continuing in the breakout direction.
Entry:
Bullish Pullback:
Wait for a breakout above 400%, then enter long when the price retests 400% and holds as support.
Bearish Pullback:
Wait for a breakdown below 361.80%, then enter short when the price retests 361.80% and confirms as resistance.
Stop-Loss:
Place the stop just below (bullish) or above (bearish) the retest level to manage risk.
Targets:
Bullish Target: First 423.60%, then higher extensions if momentum aligns.
Bearish Target: First 330%, then 261.80%.
Risk Management Tips
Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1-2% of your capital per trade to protect against unexpected moves.
False Breakouts: Be cautious of false breakouts—wait for confirmation (e.g., a retest or increased volume) before entering.
Multi-Time Frame Confirmation: Always confirm setups on both the Daily and 3-Day time frames, especially for breakout trades.
Final Thoughts
If you’re unsure about the direction, focus on range trading until a breakout occurs.
Watch for divergence between the Daily CMO (short-term momentum) and price. For example:
If CMO rises while price struggles at 400%, it could signal a breakout.
If CMO drops sharply as the price approaches 361.80%, a breakdown becomes likely.
Scenario Breakdown:
The price is consolidating between 361.80% (support) and 400% (resistance).
The pullback to 261.80% reflects a prior correction, indicating that this level might act as a significant support zone in the event of further downside.
The repeated rejection at the 400% level, coupled with resistance at 423.60%, confirms strong selling pressure in the current zone, preventing a bullish breakout.
MACD (3-Day):
The MACD line below the trend line with a previous bearish crossover suggests that bearish momentum dominates the 3-Day time frame. This adds to the challenges for a sustained breakout above 400%.
RSI (3-Day):
The RSI at 61 indicates moderate bullish strength but not strong enough to push the price past key resistance levels yet. The current level hints at consolidation or fading bullish momentum, depending on further price action.
CMO (Chande Momentum Oscillator):
3-Day time frame (CMO at 33): The asset still holds moderate bullish momentum on the higher time frame, although it isn’t in an overbought zone.
Daily time frame (CMO at 4.71): This much lower value indicates almost no momentum or very weak bullish sentiment in the shorter term. This divergence between time frames highlights a lack of alignment between the shorter and longer-term trends.
Interpretation of Multi-Time Frame Analysis:
3-Day Time Frame:
The asset is struggling to build momentum, as indicated by the bearish MACD crossover, rejection at 400%, and moderate CMO levels. The RSI suggests that the price is not completely bearish, but the indecision between 361.80% and 400% signals potential consolidation unless a breakout occurs.
Daily Time Frame:
The CMO at 4.71 in the Daily time frame shows that short-term momentum is almost flat. This could mean:
Bulls are losing strength, and the price could revisit the 361.80% level as support.
If there’s no significant bullish catalyst, a move lower to 261.80% might occur.
The Daily time frame momentum lagging behind the 3-Day time frame suggests that the shorter-term market activity does not yet support an imminent breakout to the upside.
Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
The lack of momentum on the Daily time frame (low CMO and bearish MACD) suggests that the price may retest the 361.80% support level.
If this support breaks, the price could drop toward the 261.80% level, which has been a significant pullback level in the past.
Bullish Scenario:
If the price can reclaim the 400% level with volume and bullish momentum, a test of the 423.60% resistance level is likely.
A break above 423.60% could trigger further bullish continuation, but this requires alignment of both Daily and 3-Day indicators.
Neutral/Rangebound Scenario:
The asset might continue consolidating between the 361.80% and 400% levels until there’s a clear catalyst to break out of this range.
Key Insights:
Watch the Daily time frame CMO closely: The low value indicates weak short-term momentum, so any significant moves will need improvement in this indicator.
Pay attention to the 400% level: A clean breakout and daily close above this level could signal bullish strength returning.
Monitor the 361.80% level for breakdowns: If this support fails, a deeper correction becomes likely.
XAUUSD MONDAY MARKET OPENING PROJECTION 26.01.24he chart illustrates an analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, with a detailed projection for Monday's market opening on January 26, 2025. Key elements of the chart include:
Price Levels:
Current Price: $2,770.885.
Target Price: $2,785.816.
Stop Loss: $2,755.726.
Support Level: Around $2,766.852, marked by a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement line.
Technical Indicators:
Stochastic Oscillator (5,3): Indicates oversold conditions, with values of 16.24 and 20.94.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Shows a neutral reading of 52.22, suggesting no strong directional bias.
Projection:
The blue arrow anticipates a bullish movement from the current price toward the target price after a potential bounce near the $2,766.852 support zone.
A bearish scenario is mitigated with a stop loss at $2,755.726.
Context:
The analysis implies a buying opportunity around the support zone, aiming for a potential upward move.
This chart represents a calculated setup for traders, combining Fibonacci levels and momentum indicators to define a strategy for Monday's market session.
NIFTY MIDCAP Making in W pattern HourlyHello,
Indian indices fall 2 to 4% after trump oth Nifty midcap 100 spot 52700 making in W pattern if support taken then bounce upto 55000 possible RSI is oversold with positive divergence ocsillators are bullish below 52000 more panic possibilty for 51000, 50000, 48500.
TRUMP (HAPPY 20 JAN) TRUMP TIME BABY!!Volume trading involves using trading volume to gauge buying or selling pressure in the market, helping traders predict potential price movements. Here are some key points about volume trading:
Volume Indicators: Common volume indicators include On Balance Volume (OBV), Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), Klinger Oscillator, Accumulation/Distribution (A/D), and Tick Volume. Each offers unique insights into trading activity1.
Market Activity: High trading volume often indicates high market activity and liquidity, while low volume suggests less activity.
Trading Strategies: Traders use volume to spot breakouts, identify reversals, and capitalize on volume spikes during news events.
Patterns: Observing changes in trading volume over time can help traders glean insights into market sentiment and potential price movements.
NIFTY - Bullish while trading in between 2 strong trendlines
STRONG SUPPORT TRENDLINE -
market has reversed from a very strong support trendline recently indicating potential upward momentum. This trendline had previously been tested 3 times & each time market went significantly upwards afterwards
STRONG RESISTANCE TRENDLINE -
market is also nearing a strong resistance trendline which had been tested earlier by forming a double bottom pattern
OVERBOUGHT INDIAVIX -
indiavix has recently become overbought indicating correction which in turn will cause the market to go upwards
A strong rally likelyNifty CMP 23214
Fib- the Index as of now has taken the fib support at 23070. In my view this should hold.
RSI- the oscillator is taking the bull support at price support. Hence this is positive.
Elliott- the C wave rally in this counter should happen from here. This should take the Index back to 24800. That zone is also the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern.
Conclusion- Since the C wave rally is the sharpest, this rally should happen very fast. Take this rally as an opportunity to book profits.
Time to book profitsBiocon CMP 361
Trendline - the rising trendline is now resistance. Generally a sharp correction always starts after the stock hits this trendline from below.
Fibs - the support at 61.8% from a larger swing is an indication of a stock whose bull trend is weakening. Hence the rally post that has to be watched carefully.
RSI - The oscillator is in the bear zone on both the monthly and the weekly charts. Its a red flag.
Elliott- to me this is the start of the C leg of the fall and should be deep.
Conclusion - Investors should book profits. And traders definitely have an opportunity.
Banknifty Bullish Harmonic Pattern Moving AVG Support__RSIHello everyone,
banknifty fall consecutive 6 days trading at 8 months low 48700 RSI Positive divergence,
Bullish harmonic pattern and flag in making while nifty W in making So reversal possibilities also Maving avg band support overal confluence support with ocsillators bullish.
bullish reversal banknifty,
Banknifty Bullush Harmonic,
banknifty bullush flag,
Banknnifty RSI oversold and positive divergence,
PSU Banks still a better betNifty PSU Bank CMP -6598
Fibs- the Index took support at 61.8% fib retracement from a higher zone. This is an indication of bull trend being intact.
Trendline - it is also at its trendline support. which is +ve
RSI- the oscillator is above its bull zone and that is again a positive sign.
Conclusion - hence to me the PSU banking space is a better bet.
Sensex // Levels As of January 2, 2025, the S&P BSE Sensex Index is trading at 79,204.16 INR, reflecting a 0.47% increase over the past 24 hours.
Technical analysis indicates the following support and resistance levels:
Support Levels:
S1: 78,018
S2: 77,529
S3: 77,160
Resistance Levels:
R1: 78,877
R2: 79,246
R3: 79,735
These levels suggest that if the Sensex declines below the immediate support at 78,018, it may find the next support at 77,529. Conversely, if it rises above the immediate resistance at 78,877, it could encounter the next resistance at 79,246.
Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 66.391, indicating a buy signal, while the Stochastic Oscillator is at 99.408, suggesting overbought conditions.
Sensex Support & Resistance As of December 28, 2024, the S&P BSE Sensex closed at 78,723.97, marking an increase of 251.49 points (0.32%) from the previous close.
INVESTING
For the upcoming trading session, the following support and resistance levels have been identified based on pivot point analysis:
Resistance Levels:
R1: 78,851.64
R2: 78,919.22
R3: 78,969.83
Support Levels:
S1: 78,733.45
S2: 78,682.84
S3: 78,615.26
These levels are derived from the previous trading day's price range and can serve as potential indicators for intraday trading strategies.
Additionally, technical indicators provide further insights:
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 49.395 (Neutral)
Stochastic Oscillator (STOCH): 99.69 (Overbought)
Moving Averages:
MA5: 78,798.58 (Simple), 78,765.87 (Exponential)
MA10: 78,720.44 (Simple), 78,742.36 (Exponential)
MA20: 78,665.66 (Simple), 78,709.36 (Exponential)
MA50: 79,003.86 (Simple), 79,157.16 (Exponential)
These indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bullish trend in the short term.
Please note that support and resistance levels, along with technical indicators, are tools to assist in trading decisions and should be used in conjunction with other analyses and risk management strategies.
A sharp rally likely Shri ram Finance CMP 2882
Elliott- thats a corrective rally of which the c leg should start from here. It is likely to go to 3385 and then back to highs.
Fib- the stock has taken the fib support at 2760.
RSI - At this support the oscillator is in the bull zone.
All pointing that a rally is on cards