S&P 500 (SPX500)
Tough times ahead for Stock Markets?This chart looks at US 10 Year Bond Yield over last 30 years.
The yield was in a downtrend and in a falling channel for 30 years until now where it broke out above the channel. This may signal a near term top on Equity markets.
Purely educational not to be taken as advice
Short the upper end of the range?Because my trading can not catch up, please allow me to write it briefly.
<< tactics >>
When judging that 2800.0 functioned as a resistance line, I will short.
The first limit is on MPP (R1)
The second limit is on WePP (S2)
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
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Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thick line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding round number.
Red thick line: Untrustworthy line for me
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
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Has the uptrend ended?It was a story of five months ago when I made a move towards 2900.0.
Currently, it can be seen from the daily story that 2800.0 acts as a strong resistance, preventing up trend persistence.
Daily
I assume that this symbol is not considered an uptrend already.
However, most recently it is likely to consider trading using a support line from Double Zero 2700.0.
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1) Double Zero Judged that 2700.0 functioned as a resistance line.
long entry.
The first limit is under thin horizontal line 2738.6.
The second limit is under WePP (P) 2756.0.
2) It can not be determined that double zero 2700.0 functions as a resistance line.
There is MPP (P) 2678.0 under Double Zero 2700.0, so I do not think of a short. I will observe.
Finally, WePP and MPP will be updated on Monday as weekend and monthend are approaching.
Flexible response is required.
It is a good choice not to enter if you feel difficult.
I would be grateful if you like it idea,give me follow or agrees!
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Brown thick line: Yearly Pivot Points (YPP in the text)
Light blue thick line: Monthly Pivot Points (MPP in the text)
Green thin line: Weekly Pivot Points (WePP in the text)
Indigo thickLine: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by weekly or monthly
Indigo thin line: Horizontal line or Trend line seen by 4hourly or daily
Indigo dotted line: outstanding double zero
Red curve: EMA 20 close
Indigo curve: EMA 200 close
Green curve: EMA 800 close
Black curve: EMA 1600 close
x mark: Line which may not function
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Global risk (equity) marketsAfter the fox paus of North Korea, and despite the best efforts of US admin to fuck things up, normalcy is restored.
Normalcy by definition is abnormal though these days. So be on your tows.
Over next few days, week or two, it's the most bullish of bull market all around!
Medium to long term is unknown.
But it's great time to make some money in short term.
For one, there are a lots of shorts out there considering the headwinds out there.
And two, equal measure are willing to buy on dips. So in any impromptu move up, shorts get burned and longs will tag along.
I, for one, am definitely expecting a short and sharp burst up in US equities. And that should see a follow through in other markets.
There is always a fear of Kim Jong Un doing something stupid. But what the world doesn't understand is Kim isn't stupid. Trump is.
As long as General Kelly keeps doing a great job he's been doing so far, any Trump shorts will burn. And that's a great news for risk markets all around.
Make hay while the Sum shines. The Sun won't shine forever though.
I have a feeling when Trump sees Kelly getting some credits he will push on to satisfy his narcissism and dump the risk on trade.
So that should still give us a couple of weeks.
For Indian markets. the high beta and leaders like MARUTI, RELIANCE, HDFCBANK should translate well.
BankNifty Three Drive with Rising WedgeBankNifty is in Euphoria Mode, i have been bearish on banknifty since 19200 but it has rallied almost 5% since then, i still think it is Working on Greater Fool Theory, Fundamentals are still bad and it is giving some signals for weakness in technicals also, it is making Harmonic Three Drive Pattern with rising wedge, any bad news will trigger a big selloff, same patterns are showing up in Nifty Also..
BankNifty Sell for 16500....BankNifty is Looking to move towards 16500 now, there are three reasons mainly....
1- Banknifty is trying to Form a Channel.
2- It is trying to move in a (W) Formation Contantly with 1.41 extensions as targets.
3- It is trying to Fill every gap one by one (show with numbers on the chart)
Short Positions can be taken for the targets of 17000, 16500 with an SL above 19500...
Ii am still very bearish for Indian Markets
S&P 500 Alternate count (Downside view) September onwardsPreviously I was considering only a bullish count in which the Wave 4 was completed but here I have analyzed an alternate count in which I have discussed the downside possibility.
Which count will play out will soon become clear but if the downside plays out then we can see targets around the 1800 mark.
To be more precise the expected targets are -
Target 1 : 1990
Target 2 : 1865
Target 3 : 1788