Stockstowatch
Multi Year Trend Line Breakout The monthly chart of EID Parry shows a multi year trend line breakout with good volumes.
But this comes with RSI divergence too.
Though the breakout raises probabilities of further upside. The chances of long term upside may gain strength on close above the highest high.
Keeping SL at close below the lower trend line.
ABFRL preparing for a bull run The stock stock showing strong upward momentum since a year not its preparing for a big move after breakout and retest.
keep the stock in radar.
#note - The idea is shared for educational purpose and not a trade recommendation, Please trade after consulting your trade advisor.
AXIS BANK: Three Black CrowsStock has witnessed selling pressure from the previous swing resistance on the daily chart and formed a Bearish reversal candlestick pattern which is know as Three Black Crows. Prices have also broken the rising trend line established from Jun'22 low of INR 618.25 which suggest that prices may face more weakness in the coming days.Hence any retracement from the current level should be taken as selling opportunity for the downside objective of 700 zone which is fibonacci 61.8% retracement level of the previous rally.
In the Three Black Crows Candlestick Pattern, all the three candles have bearish close consecutively.
Each candle opens and closes progressively lower than the first.
Each candlestick should have big real bodies and very small or no shadow.
Trading strategy: Sell on rise near 760-770 keeping SL of 794 and look for the target of 720/694
MARUTI: Ascending TriangleThis is also a converging triangle formed with one flat horizontal line on the top & an inclined line meeting at a common point as illustrated in the chart.
The flat horizontal line act as a resistance for the prices & the on the inclined line the prices take support. It’s not necessary that the ascending triangle formation takes place only in the bull market, they can be formed in a bearish trend also.
Here also you should concern with the key point “The Third Touch”. The five significant points help us to make our decision in a better way. Here, each points suggesting a reversal point & as soon as price got it’s third touch on the inclined supporting line the price shoot up & a breakout happened.
The target for this pattern is the maximum vertical range of the triangle.
Trading strategy:MARUTI: BUY 9285-75 SL: 9050 TGT: 9545/9850
GAIL: Head and shoulder THEORY:
This pattern forms after an extensive upside rally. It consists of a left shoulder, a head, and a right shoulder. The left shoulder is formed after a big bull rally in which the volumes are quite large.
At the end of the left shoulder, a minor correction takes place on the downside which happens on the low volumes comparatively the starting of the left shoulder. After this, again an up move can be seen on large volumes forming a head whose top is above the left shoulder following a correction on lower volumes & completing the head.
The completion of the head must be below the top of the left shoulder. If the prices fall down below the low of the left shoulder then too this pattern remains intact. In the end, the right shoulder is formed usually on smaller volumes comparatively the previous two rallies.
Now if you connect the bottoms of the left shoulder, head & the right shoulder there will be a formation of the ‘Neckline‘. This line will act as a decision line. If the prices break this neckline & give closing below the line, this will be the confirmation of the breakdown of the H&S pattern.
However, it has been noticed that after breaking of the neckline the prices again attracted towards this neckline. We say this phenomenon as a retest of the neckline which will add some more confidence while trading this pattern.
After retesting if the prices again come down this will be the final confirmation of the downside movement of the price as shown below.
The bookish target of this pattern is taken as the vertical price range from the top of the head to the neckline & the bookish Stop loss should be the top of the right shoulder. However this stop loss can be big, so it is advised to keep a stop loss of 4-5% of the price range above the neckline.
May 29
TRADING STRATEGY: GO SHORT WITH SL OF 99 & LOOK FOR THE TARGET OF 73/63 IN THE COMING WEEKS.
NOTE: IF THE STOCK BREAKS THE RESISTANCE OF 99 THEN IT WILL BE A H&S FAILURE PATTERN, WHICH WILL CALL A BULLISH ALTERNATE SCENARIO.
GRASIM: Evening Star with ResistanceStock has formed a reversal candlestick pattern which is known as Evening Star on weekly time frame. Also there is a horizontal resistance which suggests that the trend developed from the bottom of 1274 is exhausted and stock is ready to turn from the current level.
In the Evening Star Candlestick Pattern, the first candle closes bullish and the second candle closes with a small range and, the third candle closes aggressively lower (more than 50% of the first candle).
Evening Star Explanation:
In the Evening star candlestick pattern, the first candle shows the buyers are dominating as the price closes higher.
On the second candle, there is indecision in the market as both selling and buying pressure are in equilibrium (that's why the range of the candle is small).
On the third candle, the sellers win the battle and, the price closes lower.
Trading Strategy: Keeping SL of 1790 go short on current levels and look for the target of 1590/1550
SUNPHARMA: Cup and Handle BreakoutTrading Strategy : Stock has given a breakout of the formation of cup and handle . One should buy the stock near the current level i.e. 912 and keeping a stop loss of 856 , look for the target of 1050-1115 which is the measured target zone..
Buy: 912
Stop loss : 856
Targets:
Tgt 1: 1050
Tgt 2: 1115
Theory:
The Cup with Handle is a bullish continuation pattern that marks a consolidation period followed by a breakout. It was developed by William O'Neil and introduced in his 1988 book, How to Make Money in Stocks.
As its name implies, there are two parts to the pattern: the cup and the handle. The cup forms after an advance and looks like a bowl or rounding bottom. As the cup is completed, a trading range develops on the right-hand side and the handle is formed. A subsequent breakout from the handle's trading range signals a continuation of the prior advance.
Trend: To qualify as a continuation pattern, a prior trend should exist. Ideally, the trend should be a few months old and not too mature. The more mature the trend, the less chance that the pattern marks a continuation or the less upside potential.
Cup: The cup should be “U” shaped and resemble a bowl or rounding bottom. A “V” shaped bottom would be considered too sharp of a reversal to qualify. The softer “U” shape ensures that the cup is a consolidation pattern with valid support at the bottom of the “U”. The perfect pattern would have equal highs on both sides of the cup, but this is not always the case.
Cup Depth: Ideally, the depth of the cup should retrace 1/3 or less of the previous advance. However, with volatile markets and over-reactions, the retracement could range from 1/3 to 1/2. In extreme situations, the maximum retracement could be 2/3, which conforms with Dow Theory.
Handle: After the high forms on the right side of the cup, there is a pullback that forms the handle. Sometimes this handle resembles a flag or pennant that slopes downward, other times it is just a short pullback. The handle represents the final consolidation/pullback before the big breakout and can retrace up to 1/3 of the cup's advance, but usually not more. The smaller the retracement, the more bullish the formation and significant the breakout. Sometimes it is prudent to wait for a break above the resistance line established by the highs of the cup.
Volume: There should be a substantial increase in volume on the breakout above the handle's resistance.
Target: The projected advance after breakout can be estimated by measuring the distance from the right peak of the cup to the bottom of the cup.
indusind Bank, Is this scrip ready for a bull run ????Indusind Bank completed Cup pattern
What's Next??
Situation -1 - We may see a breakout, Retest and a huge up-move towards 1740
Situation -2 , Price may retrace and fall towards 1000. At least 50%+ retracement from previous swing will be considered healthy.
Note - Trading is risky and please enter to trade after consulting to your financial advisor. Above presentation is for educational purpose, Not a trade advise.
Symmetrical Triangle BreakoutThe weekly chart of Max Health Care Cleary Shows a Symmetrical Triangle Breakout.
Breakout happened with a good volume bar.
The stock can touch app 480 - 500 as per the pattern. However the stock is in an uptrend.
So even when the target is achieved one may hold the stock with trailing stop loss.