Expecting a Bullish Move in CUMMINSIND As per the 2 Hour Chart of CUMMINSIND, we have witnessed a formation of a bullish engulfing on the downside levels.
Therefore, we are expecting to witness a bullish momentum in the stock in the upcoming trading sessions. Wherein, the stock is being expected to face a resistance initially at around the levels of 1001.85, 1017.85, and 1029.15. Whereas, on the other hand, on the downside levels, the stock may face a support at the level of 976.90, on closing basis.
Closing Price (as on 17.05.22) : 991.80
Disclaimer: No financial information whatsoever published here, should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for Educational and Information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Viewers must consult their personal financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here. Any Investor or Trader taking decisions based on any information published here, does so entirely at its own risk. Investors and Traders should bear in mind that any investment in Stock Market is subject to unpredictable market-related risks.
Stocktowatch
Expecting a Bullish Momentum in KIRLFERAs per the 2 Hour Chart of KIRLFER, we have witnessed a formation of a bullish engulfing pattern on the downside levels.
Therefore, we are expecting to witness a bullish momentum in the stock in the upcoming trading sessions. Wherein, the stock is being expected to face a resistance initially at around the levels of 216.20, 221.95, and 227.90. Whereas, on the other hand, on the downside levels, the stock may face a support at the level of 205, on closing basis.
Closing Price (as on 19.05.22) : 210
Disclaimer: No financial information whatsoever published here, should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for Educational and Information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Viewers must consult their personal financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here. Any Investor or Trader taking decisions based on any information published here, does so entirely at its own risk. Investors and Traders should bear in mind that any investment in Stock Market is subject to unpredictable market-related risks.
Expecting a bullish momentum in ADANIPORTS As per the 2 Hour Chart of ADANIPORTS, we have witnessed the formations of an inverted hammer, and a bullish harami followed by a confirmation candle on the downside levels.
Therefore, we are expecting to witness a bullish momentum in the stock in the upcoming trading sessions. Wherein, the stock is being expected to face a resistance initially at around the levels of 775, 788, and 803. Whereas, on the other hand, on the downside levels, the stock may face a support at the level of 744, on closing basis.
Closing Price (as on 11.05.22) : 762.90
Disclaimer: No financial information whatsoever published here, should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for Educational and Information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Viewers must consult their personal financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here. Any Investor or Trader taking decisions based on any information published here, does so entirely at its own risk. Investors and Traders should bear in mind that any investment in Stock Market is subject to unpredictable market-related risks.
APOLLO PIPES LTD ( EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY)There is no guarantee in stock market and Nothing over week
Always Invest or trade according to your loss bearing capacity
STOCK TO STUDY (EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY)
APOLLO PIPES LTD with target of RS 620 CMP IS RS 601.35
STOP LOSS: ACCORDING TO YOUR RISK APPETITE OR RS 550
Disclaimer: I am not Sebi Registered. All my ideas/opinions and analysis are for your information and educational purposes only and it does not constitute any recommendation to buy or sell any stock or index. Use your own wisdom.
M B PANDEY
Student of Share Market since 2015
B.Sc. (MATHS & PHYSICS)
Disclaimer: I AM NOT SEBI REGISTERED
REDINGTION INDIA LTD ( EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY)There is no guarantee in stock market and Nothing over week
Always Invest or trade according to your loss bearing capacity
STOCK TO STUDY (EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY)
REDINGTON INDIA LTD. with target of RS 165 CMP IS RS 158.15
STOP LOSS: ACCORDING TO YOUR RISK APPETITE OR @RS 153
Disclaimer: I am not Sebi Registered. All my ideas/opinions and analysis are for your information and educational purposes only and it does not constitute any recommendation to buy or sell any stock or index. Use your own wisdom.
M B PANDEY
Student of Share Market since 2015
B.Sc. (MATHS & PHYSICS)
Disclaimer: I AM NOT SEBI REGISTERED
TATA POWER CO LTD ( EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY)There is no guarantee in stock market and Nothing over week
Always Invest or trade according to your loss bearing capacity
STOCK TO WATCH FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY
TATA POWER CO. LTD. with target of RS 285 CMP IS RS 278.10
STOP LOSS: ACCORDING TO YOUR RISK APPETITE OR @RS 270
Disclaimer: I am not Sebi Registered. All my ideas/opinions and analysis are for your information and educational purposes only and it does not constitute any recommendation to buy or sell any stock or index. Use your own wisdom.
M B PANDEY
Student of Share Market since 2015
B.Sc. (MATHS & PHYSICS)
Disclaimer: I AM NOT SEBI REGISTERED
Expecting a Bullish Move in BAJAJCONAs per the 2 Hour Chart of BAJAJCON, we have witnessed a Formation of a “HAMMER” Pattern on the downside levels.
Therefore, we are expecting to witness a bullish momentum in the stock in the upcoming trading sessions. Wherein it is being expected to face a resistance initially at around the levels of 163.40, 167.25, and 174.20. Whereas, on the other hand, on the downside levels, the stock may face a support at the level of 155, on closing basis.
Closing Price (as on 07.03.22) : 159
Disclaimer: No financial information whatsoever published here, should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for Educational and Information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Viewers must consult their personal financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here. Any Investor or Trader taking decisions based on any information published here, does so entirely at its own risk. Investors and Traders should bear in mind that any investment in Stock Market is subject to unpredictable market-related risks.
Tata Motor DVR : Buy, Target Rs. 265 Tata Motor DVR has tested the lower band bollinger band level and its ready to give a bounce back to test the upper bollinger band level of Rs. 265.
Maintain strict Stop Loss.
Disclaimer : Do your due diligence before investing. For educational purposes only.
EXPECTING A BULLISH MOVE IN LUPINAs per the 2 Hour Chart of LUPIN, we have witnessed a Formation of a “Bullish Harami” along with a confirmation candle all together at the downside levels.
Therefore, we are expecting to witness a bullish momentum in the stock in the upcoming trading sessions. Wherein it is being expected to face a resistance initially at around the levels of 887.40, 899.95, and 913.05. Whereas, on the other hand, on the downside levels, the stock may face a support at the level of 862.95, on closing basis.
Closing Price (as on 04.02.22) : 875.15
Disclaimer: No financial information whatsoever published here, should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for Educational and Information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Viewers must consult their personal financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here. Any Investor or Trader taking decisions based on any information published here, does so entirely at its own risk. Investors and Traders should bear in mind that any investment in Stock Market is subject to unpredictable market-related risks.
Expecting a Bullish Move in CADILAHCAs per the 2 Hour Chart of CADILAHC, we have witnessed the Formation of a “Bullish Engulfing” on the downside.
Therefore, we are expecting to witness a bullish momentum in the stock in the upcoming trading sessions. Wherein it is being expected to face a resistance initially at around the levels of 393.10, 398.55, and 404.30. Whereas, on the other hand, on the downside levels, the stock may face a support at the level of 380.25, on closing basis.
Closing Price (as on 27.01.22) : 385.10
Disclaimer: No financial information whatsoever published here, should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for Educational and Information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Viewers must consult their personal financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here. Any Investor or Trader taking decisions based on any information published here, does so entirely at its own risk. Investors and Traders should bear in mind that any investment in Stock Market is subject to unpredictable market-related risks.
Expecting a Bullish Move in CENTURYTEXAs per the 2 Hour Chart of CENTURYTEX , we have witnessed the Formations of “Bullish Harami” as well as “Inverted Hammer” on the downside.
Therefore, we are expecting to witness a bullish momentum in the stock in the upcoming trading sessions. Wherein it is being expected to face a resistance initially at around the levels of 866.80, 877.15, and 892.35. Whereas, on the other hand, on the downside levels, the stock may face a support at the level of 842.60, on closing basis.
Closing Price (as on 25.01.22) : 855.60
Disclaimer: No financial information whatsoever published here, should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for Educational and Information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Viewers must consult their personal financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here. Any Investor or Trader taking decisions based on any information published here, does so entirely at its own risk. Investors and Traders should bear in mind that any investment in Stock Market is subject to unpredictable market-related risks.
RELIANCE: An Invincible (Report of 50% yield)IID-02
RELIANCE INDUSTRY.
REGIME 🔍
Overview
Quantitative analysis
Qualitative analysis
Final words
Overview 📜
{
Reliance is based on a multi-functional business model worth 16T engaged as the biggest player in private sector corporation in India.
These are the basic things that everyone has aware of about founders, historic performance, product recognization, fortune 500, etc.
A simple seductive POV about the company has it's a cruise in the ocean surrounded by small ships and for the long-term view facing waves will be much easier and full of opportunities as compared to the ships with a small market cap.
Let's come to characterization.
1. Revenue Split: 🟢
Refining & Marketing Business (50% of revenue)
It accounts for ~27% of the total oil refining capacity of India
Retail Business (21% of revenue)
The company's subsidiary, Reliance Retail Ltd (RRL) is India's largest retailer by revenue and profitability. It operates about 11,800 stores across India and caters to the demand of over 125 million registered customers
Digital Services Business (Jio) (9% of revenue)
The digital services business is the most profitable with an EBITDA Margin of 33%
The competitiveness in terms of their SWOT principles put out companies like Vodafone from the lane and a fatal threat to Airtel. Reliance sold a stake in Jio Platforms Ltd to make it a debt-free company by March 2021. It sold a 33% stake for ~1.5 lakh crores to 13 marquee investors like Facebook, Qualcomm, Google, KKR, Silver lake, etc. in just 2 months.
Petrochemicals Business (19% of revenue)
It has various petrochemical plants in India located in Dahej, Hazira, Hoshiarpur, Jamnagar, Vadodara, and other cities.
Oil and Gas Exploration & Production Business (0.5% of revenue)
It produces oil & gas in the U.S. shale in 2 separate Joint Ventures with major oil giant Chevron and Ensign Natural resources.
Media & Entertainment (1% of revenue)
Reliance is the owner of Network 18 Media which operates 56 channels in India spanning news and entertainment. It is also in the Film industry through Viacom studios and Jio Studios.
2. Service Area: 🟢
Hydrocarbon exploration and production
Petroleum refining and marketing
Petrochemicals
Textile
Retail
Digital
Financial services businesses
3 Explicit Data: 2022 🟢
Reliance has fragmented into 5 sectors with their 352 subsidiaries.
Recent acquisitions
[
1. 7-Eleven:
From Retail business (21% revenue) Reliance with their subsidiary Reliance Retail Ventures (RRVL) that wholly-owned subsidiary 7-India Convenience Retail, entered into a master franchise agreement with 7-Eleven, Inc (SEI) for the launch of 7-Eleven convenience stores in India
2. Ritika Pvt Ltd:
Reliance Retail Ventures acquired a 52 percent equity stake in Ritika Pvt Ltd alongside with 7-Eleven on October 21
3. JustDial:
RRVL acquired 1.31 crore equity shares of JustDial. It now holds 40.98 percent in Just Dial. Reliance has taken sole control of Just Dial by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) takeover regulations with effect from September 1, 2021.
4. Dunzo:
Reliance Retail acquired a 25.8 percent stake in Bengaluru-based Dunzo, valuing the company at about $800 million. The acquisition is made in January 2022
5. Mandarin Oriental:
Reliance Industrial Investments and Holdings Limited (RIIHL) is going to acquire a 73.37% stake in the premium luxury hotel of Newyork. The deal will be expected to close by March 2022
6. Addverb:
In January 2022, Reliance Retail acquired a 54% stake in domestic robotics company Addverb for USD 132 million (about Rs 983 crore). With this investment, Reliance Retail became the largest shareholder in the company. (Representative Image)
7. Netmeds:
Reliance Industries (RIL) acquired a 60% stake in online pharmacy Netmeds for Rs 620 crore. The acquisition is made in August 2022
]
4 Takeovers 2022 🟢
Key takeaways
Reliance has announced warfare somewhat similar to digital services back in 2016 when they eliminate their rivals Idea & Vodafone bt=y launching JIO.
Now Reliance is ready to take on the likes of Amazon, Netflix, and Hotstar. Reliance has roped Uday Shankar, former Star & Disney India chairman, and James Murdoch, as strategic partners in the growing media business. Currently, Reliance is holding a 73% stake in Network18 which has a joint venture with Viacom18. Viacom18 offers 53 channels and reaches around 600 million Indians monthly.
Digital Services Sector (Growing rapidly at 22% growth)
1. Zee Entertainment and Sony Pictures Networks India (26.6%)
2. Star-Disney (18.6%)
3. Network18 (51%)
We believe that in upcoming quarters Reliance will adapt to higher growth strategies with the help of Digital services as Viacom18 has just started building its sports portfolio and already owns multiple media sports rights.
}
Quantitative analysis 💰
{
Fundamentals 🟢
1. PE: 29 as compared to its peers IOC and BPCL in refineries 4.45 and 6.74 significantly higher.
2. M.Cap: 16T (largest in the nation)
3. D/E Ratio: 0.36 (insignificant)
4. Book-Value: 1.91 (greater than 1) and 90% to its peer IOC (0.56)
5. Sales: Increased by 66% QoQ (Q4)
6. OPM%: 36% QoQ
7. PAT: Surged by 47% QoQ
8. ROCE & ROE: 7.42% vs 9.89% Expected YOY
9. Reserves: Increased by 12.5%
10. Contingent liabilities: Decreased by 48% YoY
Key takeaways 🟢
1. MarketCap is 16T, Revenue is 6.4T, Earnings are 541b (⭐)
2. Dividend Yield: 0.29 vs peers 9% in refineries (⭕)
3. P/E company vs market: 27.6x vs 22x (⭕)
4. P/B company vs market: 2x vs 1.7x (⭕)
5. Future growth: 48% YoY (FY 2021-2022) expected (⭐)
Taking the current position of the company and growth of 48% company earnings is likely to burst from 72,749 Cr to 107,668 in the FY 2022-2023
Technicals 🟢
Behaviour
1. Trend Identification: Uptrend
2. Consistent volume: (Yes) above 26m Weekly
3. Individual Resistance/Support: Weekly 1Billion
4. Individual Support/Demand: 700 million
5. Current Resistance: 220m light one.
6. Market Cycle: Primary Trend with sideway distribution (1W)
7. MA Support: Above 50MA holding twice (Strong)
8. Fib retracement: 0.06
Momentum
1. Multi-frame: Monthly- Retest, Weekly-Upside
2. Wave analysis: Broken the markdown,
3. Higher Highs: Broken the last lower highs
4. Lower-Lows: Rejection
Pattern
1. Structure: Pennant integrated within ascending flag (Bullish)
2. Trendline: 9-month uptrend & 4 wicks support
3. Wick Identification: Not identifiable
FCFM 🟢
What is FCFM?
FCFM is a Fractal Core of Financial Markets developed by CENTURY. It's based on the empirical values taken through compounding markups or markdowns of particular Security.
FCFM helps to evaluate the future valuation of security with the companionship of market participants and circumstances of consecutive +ve corporate earnings.
Current Zones
FCFM Demand/Support: 2050
FCFM Resistance/Supply: 2750
Future Zones
FCFM Demand/Support: 2050
FCFM Resistance/Supply: 2750
FCFM has relevant levels considering the corporate earnings of Reliance Industry has increased QoQ and YoY by 47% and 44% respectively.
}
Qualitative Analysis 💎
{
Management 🟢
The reliance industry has well qualified and full of combativeness leadership team having experience of over 9years. From JIO to Petrochemical their strategical approach of keeping the cruise on lane has pushed the management handful skills higher.
Leadership including Mukesh Ambani (chairman) to Srikanth Venkatachari (Joint Chief Financial Officers) & Alok Agarwal (Joint Chief Financial Officers) have well-sniffed experience towards competitiveness
Ownership 🟢
Promoters: 50.61
FIIs: 24.75
DIIs: 13.62
Government: 0.17
Public: 10.85
Top Shareholders 🟢
1. Srichakra Commercials Llp (11.64)
2. Devarshi Commercials LLP (8.58%)
3. Life Insurance Corporation of India (6.37%)
4. The Vanguard Group, Inc. (2.08%)
5. SBI Funds Management Private Limited (1.63%)
6. BlackRock, Inc. (1.54%)
7. J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Inc. (0.5%)
SWOT Analysis 🟢
1. Strenght
- First private sector corporation in India count in Fortune 500
- Largest Markcap in India
- Reliance has fragmented into 5 sectors with their 352 subsidiaries
- Brand Value and recognizable among major sectors.
- Operational Advantage in refining.
2. Weakness
- Production declining in exploratory blocks
- Not much, Reliance has maintained a quite well health position.
3. Opportunity
- Capex growth for new overtakes and plants
- Acquisitions across the nation
- Emerging into multi-sectors.
- Investing in attractive international oil and gas destinations
4. Threat
- In Refineries, RIL peers have high earnings growth, and dividend distribution is maintained in main earnings.
- In Retail, RIL faces stiff competition from the Future group, D-Mart, etc. Such competition limits market share.
- In telecom, Jio is up against the giants of the industry like Vodafone, Airtel, and Idea. These companies are looking for a chance to regain customers lost to Jio.
}
Final Words 💊
{
RIL is a cruise in the service of charming benefits among shareholders. But cruise needs high maintenance charges and to keep the cruise on lane navigators (promoters) compensation is a key point.
Until the management is strong RIL is the safest one, if the management failed no matter how's the company profit is, Vision is the only key in case of reliance to keep floating and beating the heights of waves. In simple RIL is a competitor for the majority of companies in India and a lot of employment is under RIL. Innovative ideas with good capital budgeting will keep things easy.
The given targets for RIL are relevant as FCFM validates and certifies the required parameters.
FCFM
ABP (Average buy price) / BV (Book Value): 2050rs
FV (Future Value): 3700 Year 2023
}
Report By-
Rajveer Singh Scolia
NSE:RELIANCE