Get started

Supply_and_demand

Proximal and Distal Line Plotting For Supply and Demand ZonesProximal and Distal lines are important components of any Supply and Demand zone. One needs to plot two horizontal lines to mark Supply and Demand Zones. To know How to draw these lines, you need to understand Supply and Demand Zone formations. Proximity means nearest to the current price, while distal means farthest from the current price. What is the need to draw Proximal and Distal lines on a zone? As a Supply and Demand trader, one needs to know which price point to enter and where to exit. The proximal line is used to define the entry point into a trade, and the Distal line defines the Stopping Point. We place our stop losses slightly beyond the distal lines of the zones. Have a look at the above image Supply zones are located above the current market price and Demand zones are located below the current market price. In the illustration above, CMP is Rs.1668.3 The green-shaded zone below CMP is the Demand zone. It has two horizontal lines one at Rs.1607.65 which is nearer to the current price, and it forms the proximal line, whereas the other horizontal line is at Rs.1588.75 which is far away as compared to Rs.1607.65, so it constitutes the distal line of the demand zone The pink-shaded zone above CMP is the Supply zone. It has two horizontal lines one at Rs.1688 which is nearer to the current price, and it forms the proximal line, whereas the other horizontal line is at Rs.1702.4 which is far away as compared to Rs.1688, so it constitutes the distal line of Supply zone. How to Draw Proximal and Distal Lines for a Demand Zone A Demand zone is a designated area on a chart where Demand exceeds Supply, and there is a high likelihood of having pending Institutional Buy Orders. We look to enter long trades when the price retraces back to the demand zone, in doing so we also participate along with the Institutions which increases the probability of the trade working in our favour. So it's important to correctly identify the Proximal line and Distal line of a Demand Zone. Let u see how to mark the Proximal and Distal line of a Demand Zone Proximal Line Marking For A Demand Zone Irrespective of whether it’s a DBR or RBR Demand zone, the proximal line marking method remains the same. There are multiple ways to mark proximal lines, I will discuss the one that I follow and is widely used. While marking the proximal line we look at only the Base Candles, Proximal line is plotted at the Highest Wick of the base candles. Distal Line Marking For A Demand Zone There is a slight variation while marking distal lines, depending upon whether it’s a DBR or RBR Demand Zone Distal Line For DBR Demand Zone We need to consider all three components, Leg In, Base Candles & Leg Out. The distal line is plotted at the lowest point of the entire formation. Distal Line For RBR Demand Zone We need to ignore the Leg In and focus only on the Base candles and the Leg Out. The distal line is plotted at the lowest point of either the Base candles or the Leg Out, whichever is lower. How to Draw Proximal and Distal Lines for a Supply Zone A Supply zone is a designated area on a chart where Supply exceeds Demand, and there is a high likelihood of having pending Institutional Sell Orders. We look to enter Short trades when the price retraces back to the supply zone, in doing so we also participate along with the Institutions which increases the probability of the trade working on our favour. So it's important to correctly identify the Proximal line and Distal line of a Supply Zone. Let u see how to mark the Proximal and Distal lines of a Supply Zone Proximal Line Marking For A Supply Zone Irrespective of whether it’s an RBD or DBD Supply zone, the proximal line marking method remains the same. There are multiple ways to mark proximal lines, I will discuss the one that I follow and is widely used. While marking the proximal line we look at only the Base Candles, Proximal line is plotted at the Lowest Wick of the base candles. Distal Line Marking For A Supply Zone There is a slight variation while marking distal lines, depending upon whether it’s an RBD or DBD Supply Zone Distal Line For RBD Supply Zone We need to consider all three components, Leg In, Base Candles & Leg Out. Distal line is plotted at the highest point of the entire formation. Distal Line For DBD Supply Zone We need to ignore the Leg In, focus only on the Base candles and the Leg Out. Distal line is plotted at the Highest point of either the Base candles or the Leg Out, whichever is Higher. Conclusion In conclusion, the Proximal and Distal lines are critical components of the Supply and Demand Trading Strategy. Knowing how to properly place them is essential for the correct identification of zones. Supply and Demand Zone formations when combined with other factors like Trend, Location, and Quality attributes of the zone form a very sound rule-based Price Action Trading Strategy.
NSE:HDFCBANKEducation
by MAKTradingSchool
13
INDIAN OIL CORP LTD (IOC) ON WEEKLY SUPPLY ZONE New Study For Paper Trade Indian Oil Corp LTD (IOC) ON WEEKLY SUPPLY ZONE Ioc Equity Holder Keep Book Profit (not long term Holder) And other Can Sell Futures Or Buy Put Option Maximum 85.80 up side ioc can go with stoploss 88 target 75-65 Study Logic 👉 Weekly Supply Zone Only For Paper Trade And Education Purpose Don't Real Trade I am not sebi Registered Here Post is only for Education purpose i am not responsible for any profit and loss.
NSE:IOCShort
by mahetarimtiyaz
2
MFL add to watchlista promising setup but one needs to catch it on green closing above the previous week for best entry for trading and if one wanna buy a great R:R can enter at cmp but with strict SL SL will be closing basis below support zone in weekly timeframe or as per your setup target as per fibo level one can take a sum of profit or trail as per fibo level or there own setup one thing keep in mind its a weekly chart all the target must be follow on weekly basis do u own analysis i might be wrong i am not a sebi registered advisor so trade on your own risk
NSE:EPIGRAL
by suhailafzalkhan
S&P500 - WHAT DOES THE HIGHER TF?My analysis today deals with how the further course of our most popular stock index "S&P500" could look like. The DXY / USD has a non-negligible impact on the S&P500, as the whole economy depends on its behavior. > Meanwhile, this seems to take run-up, for a final upswing, which could bring the S&P500 under massive selling pressure. > Regardless of this selling pressure coming from the USD, a divergence has formed on the MACD + RSI indicators in the S&P500 weekly chart, forecasting a rising S&P500 / falling USD. Below, the analysis goes into detail so that you are aware of the significant levels and areas. For this I have carried out a "MULTI-TIME-FRAME" analysis, which refers to the higher time units (month & week) and thus makes the big picture visible. Normally, all time units below "1h" are called noise, but even a - 1h-4h - analysis is of no use to you, if the knowledge about the big and whole is missing. > We traders know that nobody can predict the future, and that's exactly why you have to be prepared for all initial situations. > If the DXY should rise again, it means "BLOOD" for the traditional and crypto markets. > This creates dangers, but also opportunities - it is important to look at the big picture. > I have explained in detail which levels are RELEVANT in the following pages. . Table of contents 1st part = INTRODUCTION 2nd part = TECHNICAL ANALYSIS = Monthly - Time frame = Weekly - Time frame 3rd part = CONCLUSION PART ONE "INTRODUCTION" After the "S&P500/USD" formed a top at last year's turn of the year, a strong sell-off is subsequently unleashed. > This sell-off paused in October|2022 to test the strength of it. > The two following bullish monthly candles, were interrupted with a "bearish engulfing", - this adds further selling pressure to the index. > That we can expect a price explosion, thus moves further into the distance - however, this is not excluded, for the following reason: = The weeks MACD + RSI, show since October last year, a bullish divergence. > Once you look at the DXY (USD index) on the higher time levels, the further sell-off in the traditional markets, however, becomes more likely. (My DXY analysis is linked below this post, for confirmation purposes.) SECOND PART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS For the analysis of the higher time levels I proceed according to the onion-skin principle. > MONTHLY - Level > WEEKLY - Level > DAILY - Level These are divided into > SUMMARY > CHARTS The charts and fibs are presented in logarithmic scaling, as the given information can be visually presented in a more harmonious way. 1. MONTHLY – TIME FRAME SUMMARY The trend channel shown in the chart formed in March|2009 and has since been able to take a stand as a legitimate trend channel. Its mid-trend line showed reactions when confronted and was respected by the market. > The price is in the area below the middle line and had recently touched it. > In the last 3 months, the price ran up to the middle line, but was not strong enough. > The trend arc is another support, which should be considered for a future sell-off. > The downtrend line, was respected and needs to be broken + tested before a "rally". If we go into more detail about the "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones, you can look at two "DEMAND" zones on the chart. > The "DEMAND" zone 1, is WEAK, because it is a RBR (Rally-Base-Rally) and was already tested by the course in October. > The "DEMAND" zone 2, is VERY STRONG, because it is a DBR (Drop-Base-Rally) and has not been tested by the price yet. The Fibonacci retracements should serve us as additional confirmation and were taken into account in past movements (last decades). > Should the price fall further, FIB 1 (0.88 FIB) will serve as resistance. Although due to the previous testing of the 0.786 FIB, the resistance will be crumbling. > If the sell-off continues, FIB 2 (1.618s FIB) will be the first point of contact for the price and in combination with the arc, can trigger a reaction on the "smaller" time levels. > The FIB 3 = 0.618 - 0.88 FIB level, in combination with the FIB 4, will trigger the biggest resistance reaction in the market, should such a strong sell-off occur. The past highs and lows usually serve as resistance / support, one of which we have. > HIGH | 02/20 - Already showed reactions = Future support A level of interest is before us, which since 2018, plays a strong role for the market. > This support, represents the drawn - POI (2,950 USD), which at the time of this analysis, is still far from the price. CHARTS S&P500 – Overall picture S&P500 – Overall picture without trendlines ATTENTION In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. 2. WEEKLY – TIMEFRAME SUMMARY Besides the already mentioned trend channel, further trend lines become visible in this one. - These have caused reactions in the channel in the past and should therefore be kept in mind. (gray) The monthly "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones are joined by others from the weekly view that coincide with other resistance / support elements. - The near "DEMAND" zone has low significance as it has already been tested once by the price. As other Fibonacci additions, we have two more elements: > Both newly drawn elements refer to a possible upward movement. > If there is an upward movement of fundamental magnitude, these levels will be updated again. CHARTS S&P500 – Overall picture S&P500 – Overall picture without trendlines THIRD PART CONCLUSION "The calm before the storm " Before a thunderstorm breaks out, it suddenly becomes very quiet - currently it is unusually STILL | seen from a macro- and microeconomic perspective. > Will the calm be broken by a sharp sell-off, or by a price explosion? In summary, based on technical analysis, there are strong reasons for a falling S&P500 price. > Since the price top in Jan|2022 - every monthly - Bullish candle, was completely Bearish engulfed. = Which leads us to conclude a very strong sell-off. > The divergence on the weekly level, which indicates a price upswing, should be kept in mind - but this is not a reliable indication. For this reason, I am assuming a weak S&P500 and an accompanying bloodbath in the traditional and crypto markets. > Positioning after confirmation of this thesis = SHORT If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive a review of the idea. Thank you and happy trading!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by ZielIstDieAutarkie
Gap Trading Combined With Supply & Demand ZonesWhat Are Gaps? Gaps are nothing but Price of a Stock moving up and down sharply with no or little trading happening between the previous days close and current days open. Gaps show an ultimate picture of imbalance between supply & demand. Gap formations are due to many fundamental and technical reasons. Most common example, when there is an announcement of company earnings. Gap Up or Gap Down is imminent the next trading day due to positive or negative news. A trader can profit from gaps provided he/she can identify the type of gap and its location with perspective to Institutional Supply & Demand Zones. Gap Trading Strategy using Supply and Demand Zones A lot of traders are fearful of Gaps and see it as a threat & aren’t comfortable carrying positions overnight. However, for a professional Supply Demand Trader, these Gaps aren’t threats on the contrary they provide high probability trading opportunities, when combined with Supply & Demand Zones. Four Gap Structures That We Look At: 1. Inside Gaps 2. Outside gaps 3. Novice Gaps 4. Professional Gaps 1.How to Identify & Trade Inside Gaps? Inside gaps are created when Price Opens between the prior Day’s High and low. Often these gaps fill quickly on the same day. Inside gaps can be mainly used for quick intraday trades, provided they happen at strong supply & demand zones. Gap Up into a strong Supply Zone provides a good short opportunity, whereas Gap Down into a strong Demand Zone presents a good long opportunity. Let’s see an example: 2.How to Identify & Trade Outside Gaps? Outside gaps are created when Price opens beyond the Prior days High and low. These gaps generally do not fill on the same day. They indicate the establishment of a new Trend or the continuation of the existing one. One must wait for quality Supply & Demand Zones to form after the gap and wait for a pullback to join the new move. Let’s see an example: 3.How to Identify & Trade Novice Gaps? When price gaps in the same direction of the current trend, then it is called a Novice Gap. Novice gaps as the name suggests are created by novice trader emotions and are excellent opportunities to find high probability trade setups. Gap Up or Gap Down after extended moves into quality areas of Supply & Demand, offer us high probability Short & Long opportunities respectively. Let’s see an example: 4.How to Identify & Trade Professional Gaps? When price gaps up in the Opposite direction of the current trend, it is called a Professional Gap or a Pro gap. Pro gaps represent a significant imbalance between Supply & Demand. Pro Gaps generally occur after extended moves in one direction, taking the amateur traders completely by surprise. They generally bring about trend change. Pro Gap Down & Pro Gap Up form high probability Supply & Demand Zones. Pull back to these zones provide us with opportunities to enter at trend change points. Let us see with an example:
NSE:CUBEducation
by MAKTradingSchool
16
USD - IS IT KEEPING THE UPPER HAND AFTER ALL?My today's analysis deals with the fact that it could coming to an end with the correcting, and a further rise in the DXY is in front of us. > We traders know that no one can predict the future and that is exactly why you have to be prepared for all initial situations. > If the DXY should rise again, it means "BLOOD" for the traditional and crypto markets. > This creates dangers, but also opportunities - it is important to look at the big picture. > Which levels are RELEVANT; I have explained in detail in the following pages. TABLE OF CONTENTS - 1. Part = DXY EXPLANATION - 2. Part = TECHNICAL ANALYSIS = Monthly - Time frame = Weekly - Time frame = Daily - Time frame - 3. Part = CONCLUSION FIRST PART “INTRODUCTION“ The "DXY" indicator entered on September 28 of this year, the first time since May 2021, in a downward correction. > On this day, I published an analysis, which dealt with a possible top in the DXY. > This forecast turned out to be a precision landing on the day and is to till now the TOP. (My analysis is linked below this post, for confirmation purposes.) To help you understand the relevance of the "DXY Index", let's take a closer look at it. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is a ratio (index) that compares the value of the U.S. dollar using a basket of six currencies. > EUR = 57,6 % > JPY = 13,6 % > GBP = 11,9 % > CAD = 9,1 % > SEK = 4,2 % > CHF = 3,6 % EXPLANATION DXY > RISE One of the currency pairs falls > Pressure on other currency pairs increases = Chain reaction = All currency pairs fall DXY < FALL One of the currency pairs rise > Pressure on other currency pairs decreases = Chain reaction = All currency pairs rise So if you interpret the DXY correctly, you can get confirmation for ideas in other related currency pairs. SECOND PART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS For the analysis of the higher time levels I proceed according to the onion-skin principle. > MONTHLY - Level > WEEKLY - Level > DAILY - Level These are divided into > SUMMARY > CHARTS 1. MONTHLY – TIME FRAME SUMMARY The trend channel shown in the chart formed in May|2011 and has since maintained its position as a legitimate trend channel. Especially its mid-trend line showed many reactions and great interest of the market. > The price has reached this middle line and has already reacted positively. > The trend arc is another bullish signal and could serve as additional resistance in the future. If we look more closely at the "DEMAND" zone, we see that it has already been tested on. > The monthly candle closed above the zone, which is another positive indicator. > If we get another rise in the DXY, the marked "SUPPLY" zone, will serve as a very strong resistance and will be a real challenge. The Fibonacci retracement should serve us as an additional confirmation, and was taken under proof in past movements (last decades). > The 0.328 level, was breached without another reaction at this time level and the monthly candle closed below it. > Still pending is the next 0.50 level, which in combination with several arguments, represents a Medium-Strong resistance. > In the absence of a reaction from this level, we will see another sell-off to the 0.618 level. Past highs usually serve as resistance, of which we have two. > HIGH | 01/17 - Already showed a reaction > HIGH | 03/20 - Reaction still pending Points and levels of interest are available to us, which have a not irrelevant duration. > The most significant resistance is the marked POI ZONE (turquoise), with 50 years of experience. > We can be sure that there is great interest in this one. > This already proved true with a first reaction, but we must continue to wait for the candle close to confirm the argument. > If this is "temporarily" broken by a panic in the market, the POI at 102,000 points, serves as the next point of contact. CHARTS DXY – Overall picture DXY – Trendlines DXY – Supply & Demand ZONES + Market-Structure-Break DXY – Fibonacci + POI ATTENTION In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. 2. WEEKLY – TIMEFRAME SUMMARY Besides the already mentioned trend channel, another one is now visible (violet), which was formed in May|2021. > Regardless of its inconspicuousness, it supports the tenor of the thesis. > It was respected and must prove itself again in the coming days and weeks. The additional "SUPPLY&DEMAND" zones join the two existing ones and remain untouched. As further Fibonacci additions we have: > A 1.618 level which was almost touched but is still pending to be worked off. > A 0.786 level which has been able to defend the last two weekly closes. > A 0.88 level, which in combination with the pending MSB, represents a strong resistance. CHARTS DXY – Overall picture DXY – Overall picture + Monthly DXY – Trendlines DXY – Supply & Demand ZONES + Market-Structure-Break DXY – Fibonacci + POI ATTENTION In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. 2. DAILY – TIMEFRAME SUMMARY In the chart, further trend lines are drawn, which have shown reactions in the last 4 months. > These will represent resistances for a possible upward movement. Because so many elements are drawn in the chart, I would advise you to look again at the chart below, where you see only the S&D zones. > Some close together with the higher time levels, which reinforces their - resistance/support. CAUTION (Paler Zones) > The Supply zone, has been touched before and thus has less resistance. > The Demand zone, has been breached and thus should not trigger a major reaction, however it could still be "recaptured". In order to be able to forecast possible target ranges, we would first have to reach the bottom, which has yet to form. > The plotted levels can still change, but serve as a first reference point. > If the reached level already represents the bottom, one can see that the FIB levels, beautifully go along with the "Supply&Demand" zones. CHARTS DXY – Overall picture DXY – Overall picture + Monthly + Weekly DXY – Trend lines DXY – Supply & Demand ZONES DXY – Fibonacci THIRD PART CONCLUSION "The market makers only make money when everyone else loses. So what is the current mainstream opinion?" Run that question through your head and let me know in the comments what you think is more likely. > Another sell-off or a strong USD for now? In summary, based on technical analysis, there are a few reasons for a "temporarily" strong USD. > If you take a closer look at the area of the - HTF-POI-ZONE - you will see quite quickly that resistances could be enough for a whole arm. > Bringing this wall down will take more than one run-up, in my opinion. For this reason, I am assuming a strong USD and an accompanying bloodbath in the traditional and crypto markets. > Positioning after confirmation of this thesis = SHORT If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive a review of the idea. Thank you and happy trading!
TVC:DXYLong
by ZielIstDieAutarkie
Price Action Trading Using Supply & Demand ZonesSupply and Demand Trading Strategy is a price action strategy that focuses on identifying Institutional Buying & Selling Footprints on a Price Chart. This strategy doesn’t rely on any indicators or oscillators; entire focus is on Price Action. Owing to the sheer large size of their orders, Institutional buying or selling leaves behind certain footprints which create specific chart patterns. Price Action Trading Methodology relies on a vast number of Price Patterns, however Supply Demand Trading Methodology focuses only 4 Specific Price Formations. These are classified as Supply & Demand Zones. Supply & Demand Zones These zones are areas on a price chart where price in the past had spent very little time and had moved in an explosive manner. Such sharp moves in price is possible only because of Institutional buying or selling. Owing to the structure of these zones, there is a very high likelihood of having unfilled institutional orders in any zone. Demand Zone Formations Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) A Rally- Base- Rally is a price action pattern that represents the formation of a Demand Zone. It is generally found in strong uptrends, indicating a continuation of the uptrend. This type of pattern is characterized by a leg-in candle followed by a basing of candlesticks and then another Big Explosive leg-out candle. If you look at the leg out candle created in the chart below, it shows a strong vertical rally which is very likely due to institutional buying activity. Drop-Base-Rally (DBR) A Drop-Base-Rally is a formation that represents another Demand Zone pattern. It is a reversal formation, in which a drop is followed by a sideways price movement and then a strong bullish rally. The leg out candle ideally should be a big explosive move which will depict institutional buying activity. Supply Zone Formations Drop-Base-Drop (DBD) Drop-Base-Drop is a price action pattern that represents a Supply zone. A bearish drop followed by a basing or sideways price movement and then an explosive bearish continuation downwards. It is a continuation pattern which can be used to trade & participate in the down trend. Rally-Base-Drop (RBD) Rally-Base -Drop is a price action pattern that represents another supply zone. This formation is characterized by an upward move then a basing of candles and a strong explosive move downwards. Explosive drop after basing indicates the footprint of institutional selling activity. This formation is generally found at the end of an Uptrend signalling a reversal. Trade Action at Zones Supply & Demand trading methodology is a retracement strategy. Long trades can be initiated when price retraces to a Demand Zone & Short trades can be initiated when price retraces to a Supply Zone. However, all zone formations aren’t alike, one must qualify the zones based on factors like how Explosive was the move from the zone, how much time price spent in the zone & most importantly what Reward to Risk Ratios do they zones provide. These zone formations combined with Trend, Location & Multiple Time Frame Analysis lays down the ground rules for Supply Demand Trading.
NSE:ASHOKLEYEducation
by MAKTradingSchool
2