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Support

06 Mar ’24 — New ATH, yet again - are you a believer now?Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: “Nifty managed to pull up and close above 22358 which is not a bad thing at all, but what was worrying is how NiftyIT traded today.” 4mts chart How many of you really thought we would hit a new ATH today? Even if you happened to read yesterday’s post-mortem report - you might not have gathered enough courage to go long. The markets really took all of us for a ride today. The opening hours it spent below the 22295 support showing a strong intent to fall. NiftyIT was trading with deep cuts and went almost to negative 558 points by 11.39. BankNifty on the other hand started strong and stayed strong and could pivot NiftyIT to go green. Even though the market views all favored us, the positions did not. The underpricing of the call options and the strong short-covering really hurt us. What is more saddening is the low conviction of the CALL short sellers, the moment the market turns - they run for cover. And this running away is fueling further upmove which triggers the next strike’s covering. The strength of the last 2 GREEN candles requires no special explanation. Right from the support level, it went and took out the all-time highs. Two things were in favor, firstly the strength of Banks and then the massive reversal of NiftyIT. We are maintaining our bullish stance for tomorrow as well, but we are not expecting 22600 to be broken tomorrow. 63mts chart
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
05 Mar ’24 — Nifty breaks a support, BN breaks a resistanceNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: “Our stance continues to be bullish and the first support level would be 22295. It is a shallow support and not quite relevant for a stance change, but the momentum is what really matters.” 4mts chart For a brief period, Nifty traded below the support level of 22295. Even on the lower timeframe we did not have a close below that level due to which a stance change is not required. Nifty managed to pull up and close above 22358 which is not a bad thing at all, but what was worrying is how NiftyIT traded today. Even from the start, the weakness in the IT sector was evident. NiftyIT ended the day -1.59% ~ 594 points. The major reason Nifty fell today was attributed to this weakness. There is something the IT sector knows that we don't. Look at how SPX (-0.89%), NDQ (-1.78%) are trading, a selected few people knew this in advance and started selling the tech sectors. On the higher timeframe, the 3 red candles till the support level stands out. Even though the buying came today, it may not prove useful if we gap-down tomorrow. It all depends on how the US market closes today. Primarily, I need to spend some time to understand why the tech sectors are cooling off. News aside, the charts still shows no change in bullish stance, however if we open gap down tomorrow and that too below the 22295 levels we will immediately change stance to neutral. And if it breaks 22199, we would love to go short. 63mts chart
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
NIFTY Analysis: Double Top Pattern and Support ZoneNIFTY is currently in a sideways zone, and a double top pattern seems to be forming, but confirmation is still pending. The marked zone on the chart, 21635 to 21515, could potentially act as a support zone for NIFTY as these are Fibonacci levels. Speaking about the double top pattern, if the price closes above 21126, this pattern will become invalid. On the other hand, if the price closes below 21130, it will confirm the pattern, potentially marking the beginning of a downtrend in NIFTY. For now, we will wait for a reversal from our marked support zone in NIFTY without taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by iamrk7