Support and Resistance
Gold holds firm at 3,63x | Caution for Friday session🟡 XAU/USD – 19/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context
FED : Probability of a 25bps cut in October is 91.9%, while holding rates is only 8.9% → almost certain FED will continue easing.
US News : No major data today, market remains quiet.
Gold : Sharp moves in Asia session, but support 3,632 – 3,630 held strong.
Yesterday’s Buy at 3,62x delivered 200 pips , confirming this zone as a “fortress” support.
Note : Today is Friday – end of the week session, unexpected volatility may occur before the weekly close → strict risk management required.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Gold remains bullish, but caution is needed with end-of-week swings. Golden Harbor around 3,63x continues to be a solid anchor.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
3,661 – 3,663 (intraday resistance)
3,683 – 3,685 (strong OB, likely profit-taking zone)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
3,602 – 3,605 (FVG zone – deeper support if 3,63x breaks, waiting for strong demand)
Market Structure
After rebounding from 3,62x, Gold consolidated around 3,65x – 3,66x.
Main trend stays bullish, but needs support retest to confirm buyers’ strength.
3,66x is the pivot barrier:
• Breakout → targets 3,68x
• Rejection → retest 3,64x – 3,62x
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Entry: 3,602 – 3,605
SL: 3,588
TP: 3,629 – 3,661 – 3,683
⚡ Sell (short scalp)
Entry: 3,683 – 3,685
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,665 – 3,645
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The 3,63x fortress continues to hold, keeping the Golden ship safe on its northward journey. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,602 – 3,605) remains the main dock for sailors to gather strength. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,683 – 3,685) may raise waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . Today is Friday – the sea can shift unexpectedly, so keep the sails full but hands steady on the helm.”
BULLISH SWING OPPORTUNITY IN GBPCHFSo previously we have had analysis on H4 timeframe for a price retracement.
The price of ICMARKETS:GBPCHF is behaving exactly the same and formed a great Bullish Hammer at strong support level.
When we come on hourly timeframe we witness that the price is in oversold area from where the buyers will take control to move the price into 1.0810 - 1.0828 area.
Our buying strategy is simple. We placed a buy stop order at the Lower High at 1.0750 with a stop loss at 1.0708.
I am Taking a 42 pips risk with reward of 50 pips (even more can be taken but my TP is at 1.0800 level to be on the safe side.
Hence
Entry (Buy stop): 1.0850
Stop Loss (42 pips): 1.0708
TP (50 pips): 1.0800
Gold Market Analysis: September 20, 2025Gold (XAU/USD) continues its remarkable bullish run in 2025, driven by persistent geopolitical tensions, central bank buying, a weakening US dollar, and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts. As of today, the spot price stands at approximately $3,685 per ounce, marking a 1.06% increase from the previous day and a staggering 40.47% year-over-year gain. This follows a 26% rise in the first half of the year and nearly 41% year-to-date, with the metal recently touching an all-time high near $3,707 earlier this month. The market remains in a structural uptrend, though short-term volatility—exacerbated by the recent FOMC meeting—has led to some profit-taking and consolidation.
Technical Analysis
Gold's chart on the daily and H1 timeframes shows a bullish bias, with the price trading above key moving averages (50-day MA at $3,520 and 200-day MA at $3,200). The recent pullback from $3,707 appears corrective, testing demand zones around $3,638-$3,644 where buyers stepped in aggressively.Key Support Levels:Immediate: $3,644–$3,638 (recent demand zone; strong buying interest here).
Long term Support and resistance
Support : $3,525–$3,580
Key Resistance Levels: $3,900 - $4,000
Trend Bullish
~~ Disclaimer ~~
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational \ educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
# Boost and comment will be highly appreciated.
Nifty 50 Analysis as of September 19, 2025~ Technical Analysis ~
Trend Overview: Nifty 50 remains in a broader uptrend, trading within a broken descending channel on the 4-hour chart. It has held above the key psychological support of 25,000 for most of September, but a corrective fall is possible if it breaches 25,250-25,000. Resistance is clustered around 25,400-25,850, with a potential breakout targeting 26,000-26,300.
Key Levels:Support: Immediate at 25,200 stronger at 25,000. A drop below 25,000 could accelerate bearishness toward 24,400-23,500.
Chart for your reference Posted
~~ Disclaimer ~~
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational \ educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
# Boost and comment will be highly appreciated.
Hitech Pipes Long
📊 Hi-Tech Pipes Ltd (NSE: HITECH) – Weekly Technical Analysis
The stock has witnessed a prolonged downtrend from its highs and recently formed a strong bullish reversal candle, signaling a potential short-term trend reversal. Key indicators are also turning positive, supporting the possibility of an upward move.
🔎 Technical Observations
Price Action:
After a steep fall from ~₹140 levels, the stock took support near ₹88–90.
A strong green weekly candle has appeared with good momentum, suggesting renewed buying interest.
RSI has bounced from oversold territory, indicating strength.
MACD has shown a bullish crossover, with the histogram turning green, confirming momentum shift.
The recent bullish candle was backed by higher-than-average volume, a sign of accumulation.
📌 Trading Plan
Entry Zone: ₹95 – ₹102
Stop-Loss: ₹88 (weekly close basis)
Target 1: ₹110 – ₹115
Target 2: ₹125 – ₹130
Target 3: ₹140 – ₹145
⚠️ Key Notes
Sustaining above ₹115 with strong volume will be crucial for further upside.
Since the broader trend is still weak, treat this as a pullback rally until the stock closes above ₹130+.
Booking partial profits at each target level is advised to protect gains.
📢 Conclusion
Hi-Tech Pipes Ltd is showing early signs of a reversal after a long decline. The combination of price action, momentum indicators, and support zone bounce makes it an attractive short-term opportunity. However, strict stop-loss management is necessary given the prior downtrend.
EURAUD Bearish SetupIf we look at H4 chart of ICMARKETS:EURAUD , it made a great reversal and formed a bearish Engulf at 70% Fib Level.
The H4 timeframe is forming a slid rationality to be bearish on H1 timeframe. The targets may take a week or so to hit while the SL may hit within a few days.
On H1 timeframe the MACD showed overboughtness and the price is probably to change its trend from Bullish to bearish.
the MACD divergence is second by Lower High formation indicating a bearish signal.
Now we need a confirmation for the price to cross the HIgher Low at 1.7795.
I will place a sell stop order 1.7793 with my SL at the Higher High at 1.7863
I will take two positions both at the breakout Higher Low at 1.7793. Both position has 2% risk in total with the stop loss at 1.7863
Note: The Sell stop order is a must. If its not triggered then we are not aiming for any other trade.
Important: If TP1 Hit, we will move our SL to Break even to trade the rest 2.5x reward with 0 risk.
Position 1 with 1 % Risk
Sell Stop: 1.7793
Stop Loss: 1.7863
TP: 1.7723
Position 1 with 1 % Risk
Sell Stop: 1.7793
Stop Loss: 1.7863
TP: 1.7615
THYROCARE TECHNOLOGIES (GAP FILLED) (MY PERSONAL VIEW)Daily Chart- THYROCARE - NSE
My personal view indicates the price rose with substantial strength and volume. The gap between 1205 and 1251 has now been completely filled. Volume has declined during the current consolidation phase, which historically can precede a major trend movement. I will only consider long positions if price clears above the gap level, which will serve as my entry confirmation.
KEY LEVELS (MY PERSONAL VIEW):
•Entry: Price clearance above 1251 (gap resistance)
•Target 1: Liquidity zone between 1375-1465
•Target 2: All-time high at 1465
•Target 3: 10% above ATH or trail according to momentum
•Stop Loss: Below recent swing low
TRADE ADVANTAGES (MY PERSONAL VIEW):
•Favorable risk-reward ratio with well-defined stop loss
•Clear entry trigger above confirmed resistance
•Multiple profit targets allow for partial position management
•Consolidation breakout suggests potential for strong momentum
•Historical liquidity zone provides logical profit-taking area
NARRATIVE (MY PERSONAL VIEW):
The substantial earlier advance demonstrated significant buying interest. The successful gap fill represents a healthy consolidation phase. The noticeably diminished volume during this consolidation typically precedes substantial directional moves. I anticipate a breakout above the gap level will initiate the next leg upward toward the identified liquidity zones and historical resistance levels.
Disclaimer: I am not a registered or authorized financial advisor and do not provide financial education. This post reflects only my personal view and trading approach. This is not advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
WHAT'S YOUR VIEW? COMMENT BELOW.
Gold Hits New Record: Should You Buy or Sell in This Hot Market?Namaste traders,
This past week, gold surprised everyone by closing strong. On Friday (19/09), it moved higher again, marking its 5th consecutive weekly gain at $3,683.24/oz, while futures touched $3,718.50/oz. This surge followed the Fed’s rate cut, which many thought would cool the yellow metal. So, is this a genuine rally or just a bull trap?
Fundamentals: Rate Cut Pushes Gold Higher
Lower interest rates reduce the cost of holding gold.
Fed’s dovish signals raised expectations for more easing.
In India, physical gold demand is at a 10-month high, while China also shows strong appetite despite higher prices.
Technical Outlook
Gold broke its downward trendline, signaling bullish continuation. Buyers are in control.
This Week’s View: Focus on buying near-term targets at $372x and $373x, but stay alert to macro news.
Trading Setups (with strict risk management):
Buy Scalp: $3671–$3669 | SL: $3666 | TP: $3674–$3694
Buy Zone: $3657–$3659 | SL: $3647 | TP: $3669–$3709
Sell Scalp: $3713–$3715 | SL: $3719 | TP: $3705–$3785
Sell Zone: $3731–$3733 | SL: $3741 | TP: $3723–$3683
Will gold shine brighter and set another all-time high? Share your view! 👇
XAU/USD – Captain Vincent Weekly Plan🔎 Captain’s Log – Context
📈 Main Trend : Strong uptrend after BoS.
📊 Price moving sideways within the rising channel, staying below Weak High 3674 .
📌 EMA 50 > EMA 200 → bullish trend remains solid.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Golden Harbor (BUY – Main Priority)
🎯 Entry:
FVG Dock: 3602 – 3593
FVG Deep: 3567 – 3560
OB Harbor: 3535 – 3540
⛔ SL: below 3520
✅ TP1: 3674 (sweep Weak High)
✅ TP2: 3720 – 3740
2️⃣ Quick Boarding (Short-term SELL – Counter-trend)
Condition: If price breaks 3674 first → watch for false break.
🎯 Entry: 3670 – 3680
✅ TP: back to 3602 – 3567
⚠️ Note : scalp only, don’t hold long.
3️⃣ Storm Breaker Alert (Bearish Scenario)
If 3535 breaks → short-term uptrend invalidated.
🎯 Bearish target: 3480 – 3500
Captain’s Note ⚓
“The golden sail still catches the wind after BoS, leading the captain and crew on the bullish tide. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3593 – 3560 – 3535) remains the preferred docking point to load cargo and continue the voyage. Quick Boarding 🚤 at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3670 – 3680) is only a short ride when the ship sweeps liquidity at Weak High 3674 . Should 3535 break, the ship might be dragged toward 3480 – 3500, but as long as it anchors at Golden Harbor, the grand journey still heads north toward 3720+.”
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 19th September 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25550 – 25600 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25800 – 25850 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25275 – 25225 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25050 – 25000 range.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 19th September 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 26900 - 26950 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 27100 - 27150 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 26550 – 26500 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 26350 – 26300 range.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 19th September 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 56100 – 56200 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 56600– 56700 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 55300 - 55200 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 54800 - 54700 range.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 19th September 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13350 – 13375 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 13475 – 13500 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13150 – 13125 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 13025 – 13000 range.
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
FED slows down: Cuts 25bps, gold stays flat🟡 XAU/USD – 18/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED : Cut rates by 25bps as expected, hinted at 2 more cuts this year → initially supported Gold to rebound around 3,65x.
Powell turned hawkish :
• “No need to move quickly on rate cuts.”
• “Today’s cut is mainly risk-management.”
This message signaled that the FED is not fully opening the easing door → Gold fluctuated and stalled its upside momentum.
Tonight: Awaiting Jobless Claims & Philly Fed for more clarity on the FED’s path.
⏩ Captain’s Summary
Gold is supported by the rate cut, but Powell’s “braking” caused volatility.
Zone 3,663 – 3,665 has become the pivot support to determine the next move.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
3,684 – 3,686 (strong OB)
3,717 – 3,719 (ATH Zone – very strong, likely heavy selling)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
Pivot Dock: 3,663 – 3,665 (new pivot support)
Main Harbor: 3,629 – 3,630 (BoS confluence & old sideway)
Market Structure
After breakout and profit-taking, Gold returned to test support.
3,663 – 3,665 : pivot support.
• If it holds → rebound to 3,684 – 3,717.
• If it breaks → deeper correction to 3,629.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,663 – 3,666
SL: 3,655
TP: 3,684 – 3,717
Buy Zone 2
Entry: 3,629 – 3,630
SL: 3,618
TP: 3,663 – 3,684 – 3,717
⚡ Sell (only at resistance)
Sell Zone OB
Entry: 3,684 – 3,686
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,665 – 3,645
Sell Zone ATH NEW
Entry: 3,717 – 3,719
SL: 3,727
TP: 3,706 – 3,690 – 3,675
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails caught wind as the FED cut rates, but Powell’s headwind slowed the advance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,663 – 3,629) is the pivot dock to decide the next course. If it holds, the ship may rebound to test Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,684 – 3,719) . If it breaks, the ship will retreat deeper to gather strength. For now, Quick Boarding 🚤 should only be done at strong resistance, while the larger voyage still leans northward.”
JSWSTEEL - Major Breakout After Long ConsolidationFrom May 2021 to April 2024, JSW Steel consistently faced resistance from the same trendline, rejecting multiple times.
In April 2024, price finally broke out above this resistance zone. After the breakout, the stock came down for a pullback and perfectly respected the same line, which has now flipped into support.
During this pullback, a minor downtrend was visible, but that too has been broken to the upside, showing a clear shift in momentum.
Now, the stock has given a strong breakout again (as shown in the chart). This indicates that the consolidation phase is over and it's going to give a very good rally in coming weeks/months.
Conclusion:
This looks like a good buying opportunity, both for swing trading and long-term investment, as the price action suggests strength and continuation on the upside.
BTCUSDT Analysis – Channel Breakout in FocusBitcoin is currently moving inside an upward channel, where the $107,820.57 level acted as strong support. This level also aligned with the lower trendline of the channel, and price reacted well to it, triggering the latest bullish move.
At present, BTC is facing a critical resistance at $117,583.51, which serves as a potential long trigger. A breakout above this level could accelerate the upside momentum.
Given the expectation of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, the crypto market could gain further bullish momentum.
Our main bullish confirmation remains a breakout of $123,435.36, which would validate the continuation of the macro bullish wave count. However, it is preferable to secure entry before price reaches that level in order to optimize risk-to-reward.
📌 Trading Plan: Watch $117,583.51 for a breakout entry. Manage risk properly as volatility is expected to rise with macroeconomic events
#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSDT #Crypto #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarket #TradingView #Altcoins
GBPCHF BEARISH MOMENT WILL TURN ON AFTER RETRACEMENT.ICMARKETS:GBPCHF
The Swiss Frank is capping due to bullish moment of a fundamental asset, Gold.
We believe that the Swiss frank will not frank against Loonie, after hitting resistance risistance area.
From their we will move look at a nice bearish signal on candlestick pattern to enter into sell mode.
A H4 close above that resistance area will pave way to the bullish momentum but I believe it will not be a frank. Let it make a new Higher high near that resistance Area.
A clear signal is subject to price action near resistance area.