Nifty - Expiry day analysis Dec 9The price broke the channel and fall down towards the double bottom support at the 25900 zone. The price can move in this range 25800 to 26200 as per the higher(daily) and lower(15 minutes) chart analysis.
As per the daily chart, we can see a strong support at the 25850 zone.
Buy above 25900 with the stop loss of 25840 for the targets 25940, 25980, 26020, 26100, 26160 and 26200.
Sell below 25780 with the stop loss of 25840 for the targets 25740, 25700, 25640, 25600 and 25540.
Expected expiry day range is 25700 to 26100.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Support and Resistance
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [10/12/2025: Wednesday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 10th of December 2025. The day is Wednesday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red piercing candle. Sign of indecision and trend exhaustion. Major resistance is at level 26000. Major support is at level 25700. The view is indecision to bearish.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Red marubozu with weak lower wick. The previous week's candle is also a red hanging man. Today's price gave a breakdown below 3 weeks of consolidation. Signs of trend reversal and previous trend exhaustion. The zone of 25950 - 25900 is a major resistance. The zone of 25750 - 25700 is a major support. The view is bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
Today's candle is kind of a red spinning top or long-legged doji with a small body. The candle shows a breakdown below the level 25900. The day is highly indecisive with a bearish bias. The zone of 25950 - 25900 is a major resistance. The zone of 25750 - 25700 is a major support. The view is bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
Price showed the neck breakdown of the classical head & shoulder (H&S) pattern. The zone 25950 - 25900 is a major resistance. The zone of 25750 - 25700 is a major support. The gap in the zone of 25750 - 25700 still remains unfilled. Today's price broke level 25900 and again got rejected from the same level. Additionally, price strategically expired below the level 25900 but above the level 25800. The price structure of lower highs and lower lows is intact. Thus, the institutional bias is negative. Every up move should be doubted. The view is bearish.
Events:
No expiries on Wednesday. However, the FED interest rate decision is on 11 December (the day after). Expecting high volatility.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price starts to build a higher highs and lower lows price structure above the level 26000 (which is a distant level).
(iii) Every up move till the upper breach of level 26000 should be doubted.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price starts to trade below the level 25800.
(iii) If the price sustains below the level 25800, there is a higher chance of the price breaking down the level 25700.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): 25900 - 25800.
Hypothesis and Insights from the Trading Plan:
(i) Take bearish trades only as institutional bias is bearish.
(ii) Any up move should be doubted. Bulls are weak.
(iii) The only indication of bullish trades will initiate when the price starts to trade above the level 26000 (which is a distant level). The chances are very low.
(iv) Strong resistance zone is (25950 - 25900).
(v) Minor support zone is (25750 - 25700).
(vi) The neckline of the H&S pattern is broken, confirming the initiation of the bearish phase of at least 400 points (considering the previous range of consolidation).
(vii) If level 25700 is broken, then a free fall is inevitable.
(viii) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (25900 - 25800).
(ix) Trade only when either bullish or bearish conditions are fulfilled. Otherwise, don't trade. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
XAUUSD GOLD Analysis on(09/12/2025)#XAUUSD UPDATEDE
Current price - 4192
If price stay below 4230, then next target 4170,4160 and 4145 above that 4260
Plan;If price break 4198-4206 area, and stay below 4200, we will place sell order in gold with target of 4200,4180 and 4160 & stop loss should be placed at 4260
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 10th December 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 59650 – 59750 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 60150 – 60250 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 58850 - 58750 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 58350 - 58250 range.
Market is expected to move up in the opening and profit booking at higher levels will drag the market down in the second half or during market closing session due to the outcome of the US FOMC scheduled on 10th December 2025.
PolicyBazaar (D): Strongly Bullish - Stake-Sale Driven BreakoutTimeframe: Daily | Scale: Linear
The stock has confirmed a decisive breakout from a 7-month consolidation phase. This move is supported by rising volume, bullish indicators, and a major strategic investment news flow.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The breakout is driven by a massive vote of confidence from institutional investors:
- Stake Acquisition: Reports confirm that MacRitchie Investments (a Singapore-based entity) has acquired a 6.47% stake in PB Fintech.
- Impact: When a large foreign investor acquires a significant stake, it often creates a new "valuation floor" for the stock. This news is the primary trigger for the volume surge and breakout.
- Strong Earnings: This follows a robust Q2 performance where Net Profit surged, validating the company's profitability trajectory.
📈 2. The Technical Structure (The "Box" Breakout)
> The Consolidation: Since May 2025 , the stock has been trapped in a wide rectangular channel:
- Resistance (The Ceiling): ₹1,945 – ₹1,955 . This level rejected rallies in June and early September.
- Support (The Floor): ₹1,625 – ₹1,645 . This zone acted as a strong demand area during corrections.
> The Breakout: Today (Dec 9), the stock decisively broke and closed above the ₹1,955 resistance.
> Volume: The move was backed by 2.32 Million in volume. This expansion confirms that the "supply" at ₹1,955 has been fully absorbed by buyers.
📊 3. Technical Indicators
Indicator analysis confirms the momentum shift:
- EMA: Short-term EMAs are in a Positive Crossover state across Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes, confirming a synchronized bullish trend.
- RSI: Rising across all timeframes. A rising RSI alongside a price breakout is a classic sign of sustainable momentum.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
With the "lid" at ₹1,955 removed, the stock is primed to retest its highs.
> 🐂 Bullish Target:
- Target 1: ₹2,246 (The ATH). This is the immediate structural target.
- Blue Sky: A sustained move above ₹2,246 puts the stock in price discovery mode.
> 🛡️ Support (The "Must Hold"):
- Immediate Support: ₹1,945 – ₹1,955 . The breakout zone has now flipped to support. Any pullback to this level is a high-probability "buy the dip" zone.
- Stop Loss: A close below ₹1,868 would imply a "fakeout" and invalidate the bullish thesis.
Conclusion
This is a High-Quality Setup . The combination of a technical breakout and a strategic stake buy makes this a high-probability trade. Watch for the stock to hold above ₹1,945 .
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 09th December 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 27925 - 27975 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 28200 - 28250 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 27450 – 27400 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 27200 – 27150 range.
Market is expected to be range bound on the Nifty Weekly F&O expiry and reversal may take place from resistance or support zone.
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [09/12/2025: Tuesday] Top-Down Nifty 50 price structure analysis for 09th December 2025. The day is Tuesday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red indecisive candle. Major resistance is at level 26100. Minor support is at level 25900. The view is indecisive to bearish.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
First day of the week. Today's red candle confirms that last week's red paper umbrella was a hanging man. Clear sign of trend reversal. Major resistance is at level 26100. Minor support is at level 25900. The view is bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
It's kind of a red morubozu with a minor 50 points lower wick. The candle engulfed the last 2 days of green candles. A major resistance zone is formed at the levels 26100 - 26000. Minor support is at level 25900. The view is bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
Two trend reversal patterns are observed. The first pattern is head & shoulder (H&S). The second pattern is a triple top. It's a clear sign of trend reversal. The neck of both the H&S and triple top is formed at the level 25900. A major resistance zone is formed at the zone 26100 - 26000. Minor support is at level 25900. Every up move should be doubted. The view is bearish.
Events:
Nifty 50 weekly expiry. No other high-impact event. However, a major event is on 12 December - the FED interest rate decision. Thus, volatility is expected.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price sustains above the level 26100.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price sustains below the level 25900 and shows promise of breaking below the level 25850.
(iii) Bearish target is in the zone (25750 - 25700)
Expectations (Hypothesis and Insights from the Trading Plan):
(i) Take a bearish position only. Price must break the level 25900 and show promise of trading below the level 25850.
(ii) Doubt every up move.
(iii) Take no bullish trade until the price starts to trade above the level 26000 - 26100.
(iv) There is a higher probability of breaking down (bearish trend continuation).
(v) After price breaks below the level 25850, there is a higher chance that the price will try to fill the gap in the zone 25750 - 25700.
(vi) Its expiry day. So, expect uncertain price movement in the second half.
(vii) It may happen that bulls might try to expire price above the level 26000 by the end of the day.
(viii) Trade only when bullish/ bearish conditions are fulfilled. Otherwise, don't trade. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
What coming for Nifty weekly Expiry??Today nifty clearly was supported by the 20 EMA on the daily charts while it tested its 60 minutes 200 EMA.
Though both the moving averages has given support to the index on intraday basis. Still a fall is being seen in the market as the index closed 225 points lower.
Head & Shoulder pattern formation on the charts is there which seem to take support from the neckline. If the market remains beaarish and tend to breach the lower levels a clear support is around 25700-50 levels.
While a rising wedge pattern in also there as per the technicals. RSI is showing bearish divergence and a Death cross over (20 & 50 EMA) is there on the hourly charts.
If the market tries to recover a good resistance zone in around 26040-60 levels.
A swing/positional trader can initiate an entry once the neckline is breached and retest the support levels.
Major Trend is sideways and same is the Minor trend of the index.
Bullish entry can be created around the levels, once a positive setup is there on the charts for a target up to the resistance levels.(For intraday play)
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the trade.
No bearish trade can be initiated as there was a good for on the hourly charts and profit booking can be seen in the upcoming session.
Major Support Zone :- 25850-900
Resistance levels :- 26060, 26200
Patience is the key for a good trading setup to function. Plan as per the plan.
Sensex - Expiry day analysis Dec 11The price faced resistance at 85000 and was unable to sustain above that and fall down. The next nearby support is seen at the 83900 - 84100 zone. As per the daily chart, we can see a gap in that area.
If the gap is filled with bearish strength, there will be more fall.
Buy above 84660 with the stop loss of 84520 for the targets 84800, 84940, 85080, 85200 and 85360.
Sell below 84400 with the stop loss of 84560 for the targets 84280, 84140, 84020, 83880, 83740, 83600 and 83480.
The expected expiry day range is 83700 to 84800.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Gold Hits Buy Zone – Wait! Here's What to Confirm…◆ Market Context
On the M30 chart, the market shows a shift from a downtrend to a short-term recovery phase after forming BOS and CHoCH at the nearest bottoms. However, the upward movement has hit a prolonged downtrend line and reacted sharply downward again. This indicates that the trendline and upper resistance zone still maintain significant selling pressure.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• After breaking the upward BOS, the price made a strong push to 4,219 but couldn't sustain it, forming a downward reaction at the trendline and resistance zone.
• The Resistance Zone 4,211 – 4,219 has been confirmed by multiple price rejections.
• Currently, the market is adjusting to the Buy Support – Fibo – iFvG zone around 4,192. This is the first short-term support zone to test the buying momentum.
• If this zone doesn't hold, the price may return to the deeper liquidity zone 4,173 – where a large number of buyers' stop-losses are concentrated.
◆ Important Price Zones
Resistance (selling zone):
• 4,211
• 4,219
Short-term support:
• 4,192 (Fibo + iFvG + small OB)
Deeper support – Liquidity Pool:
• 4,173 (target zone if 4,192 support is broken)
◆ Main Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario 1: Price holds at 4,192
• Wait for reversal signals at the support zone
• Recovery targets:
▪ 4,211
▪ 4,219
• If 4,219 is broken → the price may extend to a higher zone, but there is currently no confirmation signal for this.
➤ Scenario 2: Price breaks 4,192 support
• Short-term upward structure invalidated
• Prioritize following the downtrend
• Next targets:
▪ 4,173
▪ monitor liquidity reactions in this area to identify subsequent buying opportunities
➤ Scenario 3: Retrace to resistance for further selling
If the price retraces to 4,211 – 4,219 but doesn't break:
• Monitor rejection patterns
• This is a suitable zone to continue the downward movement following the main flow
◆ Summary
• The main trend still leans towards a decline, with the downtrend line in control.
• The 4,192 zone is a crucial reaction point to determine if buyers still have enough strength.
• If 4,192 is lost, the market is likely to seek liquidity at 4,173.
• If 4,192 holds, the price may recover to 4,211 – 4,219 before determining the next direction.
Price Compressing Below Trendline, Waiting for a Liquidity SweepGold continues to consolidate inside a narrow range as markets wait for fresh USD flows and upcoming Fed expectations. Sellers are losing momentum, but buyers still haven’t secured a clean breakout as price remains capped beneath the short-term descending trendline.
Current structure suggests a classic “liquidity sweep → bullish reversal” setup, with clear liquidity buildup sitting underneath the market.
📊 MMF Technical Outlook (H1)
1️⃣ Price reacting around a previous POC zone (Volume Profile)
Heavy traded area → easy for fake moves
No clean breakout above 4,218 yet
2️⃣ Key Levels – Main Setup Favors “Dip-Buy”
Important zones:
4,218 – 4,220 → Minor supply + descending trendline; breakout needed for bullish continuation
4,190 – 4,181 → Liquidity sweep zone (ideal buy area)
4,242 → Main upside target if breakout confirms
Structure shows price may dip lower first to clear liquidity before reversing upward.
🎯 MMF Daily Plan – BUY After Liquidity Sweep
▶️ Primary Scenario (High-Probability)
Wait for price to sweep liquidity into 4,190 → 4,181.
🔹 BUY Zone: 4,190 – 4,181
🔹 SL: below 4,172
🔹 TP1: 4,218
🔹 TP2: 4,242
Why this works:
Confluence: liquidity pocket + fib retracement + structural demand
MMF Flow suggests a clearing phase before bullish expansion
▶️ Secondary Scenario (Break & Retest)
If price breaks strongly above 4,218, wait for a clean retest to join the trend.
🔹 Entry: 4,218 – 4,220
🔹 TP: 4,242
🧭 MMF Bias Today
Bias: Neutral → Bullish as long as 4,180 holds
Avoid FOMO buys into 4,218 resistance
Only engage after a sweep or a clear BOS + retest
XAU/USD: Buy at OB 4.18x–4.17x; Sell on reaction.✍️ Captain Vincent – SMC Flow Analysis
📊 Market Structure (H1)
Gold continues to accumulate within the range of 4,200–4,220 after failing to break the recent peak. The structure shows:
• Multiple ChoCH – BoS declines → selling pressure still leads in the short term.
• However, the OB Buy 4,184–4,170 zone remains a crucial structural bottom, where buyers react strongly once swept.
• Above, the market leaves a Liquidity Sell area at 4,261, a natural target if gold gathers enough liquidity below.
→ The current phase is liquidity gathering before making a big move.
💎 Key Levels – Price Zones to Watch
🔸 Resistance / Sell Zone
• 4,218 → intraday resistance, price reacts multiple times.
• 4,243–4,244 → confluence of sideways peak + old BoS.
• Liquidity Sell: 4,261 → extended target if price breaks strongly upwards.
🔸 Support / Buy Zone
• 4,200–4,201 → short-term price balance zone.
• OB Buy 4,184–4,170 → strong demand, where the previous trend initiated.
• If breaking 4,170 → price may sweep deeper but remains in the ideal discount zone for BUY hunting.
🎯 Trading Plan – Clear and Easy to Follow
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Prioritize BUY at OB 4,184–4,170
Expect the market to create a sweep below 4,200, touching OB Buy to gather liquidity before bouncing up.
BUY Conditions:
• Price touches 4,184–4,170
• Reversal signals appear on M15–H1: pin bar, engulfing, rising ChoCH
• Decline slows down or buying force becomes clear
Targets:
• TP1: 4,190
• TP2: 4,200
• TP3: 4,215
• TP4 extended: 4,261 (Liquidity Sell)
Invalidation: H1 closes below 4,165 → stay out and reassess the structure.
2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Short SELL when price retests 4.24x
If the price does not drop immediately but pulls up:
SELL Conditions:
• Retest 4,243–4,244
• Strong reaction appears: rejection wick, declining ChoCH
• Must not close H1 above 4,250
Targets:
• TP1: 4,235
• TP2: 4,225
• TP3: OB Buy 4,184–4,170
Invalidation: H1 closes above 4,250 → stop SELL, shift bias to observe breakout.
3️⃣ Extended Scenario – Sweep peak 4,261
Only activate when:
• Price bounces strongly from OB Buy
• Clear breakout of 4,243 zone
• Structure forms HL → HH
At that point, gold will tend to run straight up to sweep liquidity at 4,261 before the market chooses a new direction.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Do not BUY when price is still within the resistance zone 4,218–4,243.
• SELL is only a short-term strategy, do not go against the major trend if a breakout occurs.
• OB Buy 4,184–4,170 is the zone with the highest probability of triggering an upward wave.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 10th December 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 26025 – 26075 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26300 – 26350 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25625 – 25575 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25400 – 25350 range.
Market is expected to move up in the opening and profit booking at higher levels will drag the market down in the second half or during market closing session due to the outcome of the US FOMC scheduled on 10th December 2025.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 10th December 2025 NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 27775 - 27825 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 28050 - 28100 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 27325 – 27275 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 27050 – 27000 range.
Market is expected to move up in the opening and profit booking at higher levels will drag the market down in the second half or during market closing session due to the outcome of the US FOMC scheduled on 10th December 2025.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 10th December 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13875 – 13900 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 14025 – 14050 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13600 – 13575 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 13450 – 13425 range.
Market is expected to move up in the opening and profit booking at higher levels will drag the market down in the second half or during market closing session due to the outcome of the US FOMC scheduled on 10th December 2025.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 09th December 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 26200 – 26250 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26400 – 26450 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25750 – 25700 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25550 – 25500 range.
Market is expected to be range bound on the Nifty Weekly F&O expiry and reversal may take place from resistance or support zone.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 09th December 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 59650 – 59750 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 60150 – 60250 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 58850 - 58750 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 58350 - 58250 range.
Market is expected to be range bound on the Nifty Weekly F&O expiry and reversal may take place from resistance or support zone.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 09th December 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13900 – 13925 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 14050 – 14075 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13625 – 13600 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 13475 – 13450 range.
Market is expected to be range bound on the Nifty Weekly F&O expiry and reversal may take place from resistance or support zone.
XAU/USD hits OB Sell zone; watch for trend confirmation.◆ Market Context
The market is in a phase of forming lower highs after a strong drop from the 4,248 area. The most recent volatility shows the price creating a bearish CHoCH, then confirming a Break of Structure (BOS) — indicating a shift from equilibrium to a bearish bias.
Each recent rally has stopped below previous highs, proving that selling pressure continues to dominate.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• After BOS, the market often returns to test the Order Block (OB) area before continuing the main trend.
• On the chart, the OB Sell is located at 4,215 – 4,217, which is the point of the last push candle before the strong drop.
• This area also coincides with the short-term resistance zone and previous price behavior shows multiple reactions from sellers.
If the price approaches the OB Sell without forming a reversal structure, the likelihood of continuing to decline is high.
Liquidity above:
• 4,230
• 4,241
• 4,248
→ These are areas that may be swept before the price reverses.
◆ Main Trading Scenario
➤ Sell Scenario (priority)
• Waiting zone: 4,215 – 4,217 (OB Sell)
• Condition: appearance of price rejection, reversal pattern, or clear rejection candle
• Targets:
▪ 4,188
▪ 4,172
▪ 4,165 – 4,164 (deep support & bottom liquidity)
• Stop loss: above 4,230
→ This is the most suitable scenario with the current structure.
➤ Extended Scenario (liquidity sweep before decline)
If the price surpasses OB Sell and heads towards liquidity 4,230 – 4,241 – 4,248:
• Observe signs of weakening
• Wait for a reversal pattern
• Look for SELL entry points in the above areas with targets similar to the main scenario
This is common behavior when the market wants to gather liquidity before pushing the trend.
➤ Buy Scenario (opposite – only execute with strong confirmation)
Buy is only suitable when:
• Price breaks the nearest bearish structure
• Closes above 4,230 and holds
• Re-test of the 4,215 – 4,217 area fails
In that case, the buy target will aim for 4,241 and 4,248.
However, this is not yet activated.
◆ Summary
• The short-term trend still leans towards bearish after BOS.
• The 4,215 – 4,217 area is crucial for observing price reactions.
• Selling remains a reasonable strategy until the market breaks 4,230 with a clear signal.
• Downside targets are at 4,172 → 4,165.
XAU/USD: Gold Tests Liquidity Floor, Eyes Reversal BUYGold remains under pressure during the Asian session as a stronger USD and cautious sentiment ahead of key US data keep the market defensive. However, the short-term structure shows weakening downside momentum, suggesting a potential liquidity sweep before a bullish reversal.
📊 MMF Technical Outlook (M30 – H1)
1️⃣ Price is approaching the liquidity zone: 4,176 – 4,170
This area aligns with:
Previous session liquidity sweep
Lower trendline support
Strong BUY reactions in past sessions
👉 High probability for a short-term bottom.
2️⃣ Resistance holds at 4,194 – 4,210
Confluence of supply + descending trendline
Multiple rejections here
👉 Only a strong close above 4,210 confirms bullish continuation.
3️⃣ Current structure favors a “Liquidity Grab → Reversal” pattern
Signals include:
Repeated lower-wick rejections
Weakening downside pressure
Potential W-pattern forming above the trendline
👉 BUY setups become favorable once the liquidity sweep completes.
🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Reversal Priority
▶️ Scenario 1 — BUY at Liquidity Zone
Wait for price to tap and react:
🔹 BUY Zone: 4,176 – 4,170
🔹 SL: below 4,164
🔹 TP1: 4,194
🔹 TP2: 4,210
🔹 TP3: 4,228 (extended target if breakout occurs)
▶️ Scenario 2 — Break & Retest Setup
If price breaks above 4,194:
🔹 Retest BUY: 4,194 – 4,196
🔹 Targets: 4,210 → 4,228
🧭 MMF Daily Bias
Primary Bias: BUY as long as 4,170 holds
Strategy: Accumulate on liquidity dips – avoid chasing mid-range
Invalidation: H1 close below 4,164
XAU/USD H1 Plan: SELL at OB, BUY at Liquidity1. Market Structure (H1)
Gold is in a corrective phase after breaking the previous upward structure. From the nearest peak, the price continuously creates downward BoS waves, confirming that selling pressure is in control in the short term.
Currently, the price is moving within a descending channel and retesting the trendline multiple times but has not been able to breakout. This supports the scenario of the price continuing to complete a deeper decline to gather liquidity before forming a major recovery wave.
2. Important technical zones on the chart
🔹 OB – Sell Zone: 4,190 – 4,197
Confluence of Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618 of the most recent decline.
This is the H1 supply zone where the price previously broke the downward structure → prioritize observing SELL when the price retraces.
🔹 Liquidity Buy Zone: 4,154 – 4,163
Liquidity cluster located just below the nearest bottom.
This is the area where the market is likely to create a liquidity sweep before reversing upwards.
🔹 Deep Liquidity Zone: 4,115 – 4,12x
Deep liquidity zone, confirmed by multiple old bottoms formed since the beginning of the month.
If the price is pushed down here, this will be a very strong BUY zone for the next major recovery wave.
3. Trading scenarios according to structure – clear & easy to follow
🔸 Scenario 1 – SELL from OB 4,19x (main scenario)
Activation conditions:
Price retraces to OB Sell zone 4,19x
Appearance of reversal signals M15–H1: strong rejection candles, ChoCH down, engulfing
Targets:
TP1: 4,163 (Liquidity)
TP2: 4,154
TP3 extended: 4,12x – 4,115
Note: This OB zone is a beautiful confluence – if the price reacts strongly, there is a high chance the market will complete the decline according to the model.
🔸 Scenario 2 – BUY according to Liquidity Sweep (priority after SELL)
After completing the decline to liquidity zones:
BUY Zone 1: 4,154 – 4,163
Wait for bottom sweep & ChoCH up → BUY according to recovery wave
BUY Zone 2: 4,115 – 4,12x (strongest Buy)
If the price breaks through the Liquidity zone 4,15x
This is the zone where the largest buying force may appear → expect to create a new H1 bottom
Targets for both BUY zones:
TP1: 4,195 (OB Sell retest)
TP2: 4,210
TP3 extended: 4,23x – 4,24x
Further: 4,25x – 4,27x (Fibo 1.272 – 1.618)
4. Important notes & risk management
Do not BUY when the price is standing in the descending channel – wait for sweep & confirmation.
SELL is only valid when the price hits exactly OB 4,19x, avoid FOMO selling in the middle of the zone.
BUY is invalid if H1 breaks deeply below 4,110.
Strong upward scenario only activates when H1 closes above 4,200.
GPPL LongGPPL is in uptrend, recently it had a range breakout. Price pulled back and took support at AVWAP drawn from breakout. Formed a small range and again broke out today and closed above AVWAP drawn from recent swing high on 1hr timeframe. Overall maret is not that healthy so took pilot position.






















