Sensex - Expiry Day Analysis Sep 18Price is facing resistance around the 82720 - 82760 zone and is unable to break it today. 83000 is the next nearby resistance. 82500 is the nearby support.
Buy above 82780 with the stop loss of 82660 for the targets 82900, 82980, 83060, 83200, and 83360.
Sell below 82480 with the stop loss of 82600 for the targets 82360, 82240, 82120, 82040, 81960, and 81880.
Expected expiry day range is 82500 to 83400.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Support and Resistance
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in MBLINFRA
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS ON (17/09/2025)#XAUUSD UPDATEDE
Current price - 3673
If price stay above 3660 then next target 3690,3710 and 3730 and below that 3635
Plan;If price break 3673-3667 area,and stay above 3675,we will place buy order in gold with target of 3690,3710 and 3730 & stop loss should be placed at 3660
Maruti Suzuki . Multi time frame analysisThe price is forming a very narrow range consolidation between 15300 and 15360 in the one-hour time frame. The price can give a breakout from here or test the trend line before moving up.
In the daily time frame, we can see double top resistance around the 15370 and 15388 zones.
Using this analysis, when we look at the 15-minute chart, safe entry will be when the price sustains above the double top or during a pullback when the price takes support around 15200.
Scenario 1: Buy above 15390 with the stop loss of 15330 for the targets 15440, 15490, 15540, 15590, and 15660.
Scenario 2: Buy above 15200 with the stop loss of 15140 for the targets 15260, 15320, 15380, 15440, and so on.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
DEEPAK FERTILIZERTrend Structure:
The stock has been in a primary uptrend (marked with the blue ascending channel).
Recently, it went into a short-term retracement with a downward sloping trendline (white).
Support & Demand Zones:
Strong Bullish Order Block and FVG Discount Zone around the ₹1350 – ₹1400 level, where buyers are stepping in.
Price formed a Triple Bottom at this support, indicating strong demand and rejection of lower prices.
Pattern & Candlestick Structure:
Triple Bottom is a reversal pattern confirming that sellers are unable to push below ₹1350.
Current candles show bullish momentum, reclaiming above the retracement trendline.
Breakout:
Price has broken the short-term retracement trendline on the upside, signaling a potential end to the correction.
Fresh momentum is visible with today’s +3.70% rise, closing near ₹1478.
Volume:
Breakout accompanied with decent volume (296K), strengthening the bullish signal.
🔹 Technical Outlook:
Bullish Bias: The combination of triple bottom support, order block demand zone, and trendline breakout suggests bullish continuation.
Immediate Resistance Levels: ₹1520 – ₹1560 (near-term supply zone).
Major Resistance: ₹1650 – ₹1700 (previous swing highs).
Support Levels: ₹1400 (strong demand zone), followed by ₹1320 if broken.
🔹 Trading View:
Aggressive Traders: Can look for long entries near ₹1450–₹1470 with a stop loss below ₹1400.
Conservative Traders: Wait for a daily close above ₹1520 to confirm strength before entering.
Targets: First target ₹1560, second target ₹1650–₹1700
FED shaken by politics | Gold eyes new ATH🟡 XAU/USD – 16/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED & US Politics :
S. Miran elected to the FED Board but still serves as Trump’s economic advisor → concerns FED may face White House influence.
Michelle Mills elected with a narrow 48–47 margin.
Appeals Court blocked Trump from firing L. Cook, affirming FED’s independence, but raising the risk of a legal battle at the Supreme Court.
US Economy :
6:30 AM (US time): Retail Sales release – key consumer spending indicator.
Probability of a -50bps FED cut this week is down to 1.2% , nearly ruled out. FED is almost certain to deliver -25bps next week.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Politics create noise, but the macro backdrop (FED easing + weak US data) remains the tailwind supporting Gold’s journey toward new ATH.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) :
3706 – 3714 (Fibonacci resistance)
3722 – 3724 (Strong Sell Zone, potential ATH test)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) :
FVG Dock: 3666 – 3668
OB Harbor: 3643 – 3645
Strong Low: 3611 (deep support)
Market Structure :
After a series of BoS , Gold broke out of sideways EqH/EqL and surged.
Preferred scenario: retrace to FVG 3666 , then bounce toward 3714 – 3722.
If 3722 breaks successfully → confirms new ATH and extends bullish momentum.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy 1 (FVG)
Entry: 3666 – 3668
SL: 3657
TP: 3690 – 3706 – 3714 – 372x
Buy 2 (OB)
Entry: 3643 – 3645
SL: 3632
TP: 3666 – 3700 – 3714 – 372x
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone
Entry: 3722 – 3724
SL: 3732
TP: 3714 – 3706 – 3690
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship has broken free from sideways waters and is heading toward new peaks. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3666 – 3643) is the safe dock for sailors to gather strength before sailing further. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3722 – 3724) is the big wave, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . With dovish winds from the FED, the Golden sails are set toward new ATH.”
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in GMRP&UI
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
VoltasPrice is facing double top resistance at the 1434 - 1438 zone and had a pullback towards the 1410 zone. Nearby strong support is at 1400.
1400 and 1412 are buying(support) levels. Buy can be initiated depending on the price movement at these levels.
Buy above 1412 with the stop loss of 1400 for the targets 1422, 1430, 1442, 1454, and 1466.
If the price opens below 1410 and moves towards 1400, we can buy when the price shows bullish strength above 1400.
Price is bearish below 1400. Sell below 1395 with the stop loss of 1405 for the targets 1386, 1374, and 1362.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 16th September 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25200 – 25250 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25400 – 25450 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24900 – 24850 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24700 – 24650 range.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 16th September 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 55300 – 55400 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 55800– 55900 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 54400 - 54300 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 53900 - 53800 range.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 16th September 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 26525 - 26575 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26725 - 26775 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 26225 – 26175 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 26025 – 25975 range.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 16th September 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13225 – 13250 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 13375 – 13400 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13000 – 12975 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12875 – 12850 range.
CEATPrice respected the Bullish Order Block and Discount Zone, confirming demand around 3000–3100.
A liquidity sweep occurred below 3000, trapping sellers and then reversing sharply.
Market structure shift (MSS) is visible with strong bullish candles reclaiming 3300+.
Current momentum is positive with price moving towards 3450–3500 resistance.
Titan on 1W TF1. Titan have taken support on long term support zone for 3 times.
2. Near support zone, it have formed bullish candlestick patterns.
In May 2025, it have formed Bullish Morubozu like candle which was last hit to support zone.
3. In first week of July 2025, there was a strong bearih candle with volume, despite that, stock have sustained near 3400 levels by consolidation and then have bounced back with 2 Bullish belt-holds in the bounce and have tested the long term resistance zone.
And now have retraced around 50%(July - Aug move).
4. Now the current levels are make or break levels, short term trend will be confirmed, bearish or bullish as per the move from these levels (50% zone).
Probability wise looks like it may take support, previous resistance zone should act as support as per price action.
Let's see how it moves further.
Disclaimer: This is not any stock tip/advice to buy or sell. Invest on your own risk.
GOLD Bullish continuation (new highs, momentum sustain) :
Probability: around 60–65%
The breakout has strong support from macro conditions. Real yields look like they are peaking, inflation expectations remain sticky, and the Fed is leaning toward easing. On top of that, the US dollar is softening and central banks are continuing to add gold to reserves. These combined factors increase the odds that the breakout holds and the trend continues higher.
Sideways consolidation or retest of breakout :
Probability: about 25–30%
A pullback or cnsolidation wouldn’t be surprising, especially if the Fed sounds less dovish or if inflation data cools faster than expected. In that case, gold could spend some time chopping between support and resistance before deciding its next big move.
Major correction or deep mean reversion :
A deep selloff looks like the least likely path right now. Real yields aren’t rising sharply, inflation isn’t collapsing, and the dollar is still under pressure. But nothing is guaranteed. A surprise hawkish turn from the Fed or a sudden global disinflation shock could knock gold back toward old structural levels.but this remains the least likely scenario in the near to medium term.
Samvardhana Motherson: Breakout or Double Top?Samvardhana Motherson has been carving a clean Elliott Wave structure since bottoming at ₹71.50.
Wave count : Wave 1 peaked at 108.17, followed by a textbook Wave 2 retracement to ₹89.86 (near the 0.5 Fib).
Current leg : Price has surged from Wave (ii) into 108, likely completing Wave (iii) of 3. A short Wave (iv) pullback would be natural before an eventual breakout in Wave (v) of 3.
Momentum factors : Strong volume surge supports the impulsive setup, while RSI in the overbought region suggests cooling off in the near term.
Moving averages : Price is now above both SMA50 and SMA200, the trend bias has turned positive, and moving averages may act as support on any pullback.
Summary : 108 is the make-or-break level. A brief consolidation is possible, but a sustained breakout above this zone in Wave (v) would confirm the Wave 3 extension.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
ETH Setup You Can't Ignore:4k FVG to 5k Seller Zone ⚠️ ETH Setup You Can’t Ignore: 4K FVG to 5K SELLER ZONE!
ETHUSD – Fair Value Gap & Liquidity Sweep Setup
Ethereum is trading within a critical range, presenting a potential ICT-style setup:
Fair Value Gap (4000–4200) – Key demand zone with a “Golden Line” midpoint; price may dip to fill this imbalance before reversing.
Seller Zone (~5000) – Major supply zone where profit-taking or distribution could trigger.
Bias – Expect a sweep of downside liquidity, a reaction within the FVG, and a possible rally toward the 5000 zone if higher timeframe confluence supports it.
⚠️ Always wait for confirmation and manage risk before execution.
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Buy XAU/USD now at 3644.00 level and hold at 3631.00 and target will be specific.
Entry Range 3642.00 to 3644.00
Take Profit 1 = 3646.00
Take Profit 2 = 3650.00
Take Profit 3 = 3654.00
Take Profit 4 = 3658.00
Stock Loss 3631.00
Key News Timings Chart Per.
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