BankNifty Daily, Butterfly pattern completed!Beautiful Butterfly 🦋 pattern has completed on Daily chart of BankNifty.
Expect some profit booking or neutral trend in coming days up-to 55840 level.
Most near level is the re-test of 78.6% level ( 56013 ), for a new UP trend ( investors ).
" Buy 🟢 " above 56013 with the stop loss 🔻 of 55840, for the
🎯 Target 1: 56300
🎯 Target 2: 56500
🎯 Target 3: 57000
🎯 Target 4: open.
" Sell 🔴 " below 55631with the stop loss 🔺 of 55843, for the
🎯 Target 1: 55363
🎯 Target 2: 55095
🎯 Target 3: 54763
🎯 Target 4: open.
Smart Levels is Smart Trading. 👨🎓
⚠ RISK DISCLAIMER :
All content provided by "TradeWithKeshhav" is for information & educational purposes only.
It does not constitute any financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. All investments / trading involve risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results / returns.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Regards :
@TradeWithKeshhav & team
Happy Trading and Investing!
Support and Resistance
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Nifty 50 Daily, Trend Based Fibonacci Extension (Natural levels)Hey Traders, I hope you all are doing well in your life.
Market is nature's response and Price is the God.
Let's check the market with the help of natural levels tool : Trend Based Fibonacci Extension .
After forming a ' W ' pattern on Daily chart, Nifty50 has given a pull-back ( base for Fib-Extension level tool, 24587 ).
Most near level is the re-test of 38.2% level ( 24980 ), for a new UP trend ( investors ).
" Buy 🟢 " above 25110 with the stop loss 🔻 of 24980, for the
🎯 Target 1: 25402
🎯 Target 2: 25650
🎯 Target 3: 26260
🎯 Target 4: 26500.
" Sell 🔴 " below 24960 with the stop loss 🔺 of 25110, for the
🎯 Target 1: 24880
🎯 Target 2: 24780
🎯 Target 3: 24680
🎯 Target 4: 24500.
Smart Levels is Smart Trading. 👨🎓
⚠ RISK DISCLAIMER :
All content provided by "TradeWithKeshhav" is for information & educational purposes only.
It does not constitute any financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. All investments / trading involve risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results / returns.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Regards :
@TradeWithKeshhav & team
Happy Trading and Investing!
Cardano (ADA) – Bulls Regain Control, Eyes on $0.90 BreakoutCardano had a strong week, managing to hold above key support at $0.77 and closing with a bullish weekly candle. This price action signals a shift in momentum, with buyers back in control.
However, ADA now faces a critical test: the $0.90 resistance level. So far, bullish momentum hasn't been strong enough to force a breakout, but with the broader market showing strength, this level may not hold for long.
A confirmed breakout above $0.90 would be significant, opening the path for a potential move above $1 — a level not seen since mid-2022.
Looking forward, October has started with a strong bullish tone across the crypto market. If this continues, Cardano could be positioned for a fresh rally, provided bulls can take out the $0.90 resistance.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $0.77
Resistance: $0.90
Target if breakout confirms: $1+
🟢 Bias: Bullish above $0.77
🔴 Risk: Failure at $0.90 could lead to a retest of support
XRP Breaks Above $3 – Bullish Momentum BuildsOverview:
XRP has officially closed the week above the $3 mark, a psychological resistance now turning into support. This is a major technical shift suggesting renewed bullish control.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $3.00
Short-Term Target: $3.20
Major Resistance / Magnet: $3.60 (All-Time High)
📊 Market Structure:
XRP appears to be breaking out of a consolidation zone between $2.70 and $3.00. This range held for several weeks, and a clean breakout could fuel a strong continuation toward previous highs.
🐂 Bullish Scenario:
Continued higher highs with volume could open the path to $3.20 and eventually $3.60.
A successful retest of the $3 level as support would further validate the breakout.
⚠️ Risk Note:
Watch for any fakeouts or low-volume rallies. A drop below $3 would negate the breakout and put the $2.70 support back in play.
📅 Outlook:
With Q4 2025 underway, a rally toward the ATH at $3.60 could be driven by both technical momentum and market sentiment.
💬 What’s your take? Are we heading for a new ATH this quarter?
📌 #XRP #Crypto #Altcoins #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #Q4Outlook
Powergrid stalls after failed V-shaped recoveryTopic Statement:
Powergrid attempted a V-shaped recovery but faced stiff resistance near 300, limiting its rebound and keeping the stock under short-term pressure.
Key Points:
1. The stock received strong support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, triggering an upward attempt
2. It is currently blocked by heavy resistance at the 23.6% retracement level at 296
3. Price remains below the 50-day EMA, making it moderately undervalued for short-term accumulation
4. The stock is following a downward trendline and faces resistance as it approaches it, with a breakout above this trendline likely to initiate a bullish move
XAUUSD : 06/10/25 - TP hit 1.Entry - NYSE session when FVG + P1 confirmed
2. MSS shift happend in 2 min during NY session
3. Entered during pullback
4. there are no High Resistance in either 4 hour or 1 hour but had one High resistance is there in 30 min TF , hence booked full at ATH
4. Closed full at 1:3
#ICT
Overall trend bullish hence looked for buy setups only
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in ORISSAMINE
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context
Gold continues to assert its strength by breaking the psychological barrier of $3,900, becoming the central asset amidst financial and political turmoil.
US government shutdown → defensive capital flows strongly into gold.
Fed expected to cut interest rates by another 0.25 points → further strengthens the advantage for the non-yielding precious metal.
Lack of economic data → investors closely follow private reports, adding uncertainty and supporting gold's role as the “number 1 safe haven”.
👉 Market sentiment is perfectly aligned: USD under pressure, capital moving away from risky assets, BUY side FOMO continues to amplify → gold stands before the opportunity to climb and conquer the 3950–3990 range.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Main trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the rising trendline.
BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → Volume CP Zone, supports momentum.
BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest old ATH, accumulation zone for the next rally.
SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, prone to liquidity traps.
Extended target: 3994 (Fib 3.618).
🔑 Key Levels
BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883
SELL Zone: 3949–3950
Resistance: 3950, 3994
Support: 3900, 3880
📈 Scenario & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902
SL: 3898
TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ???
✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883
SL: 3878
TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ???
⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950
SL: 3955
TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ???
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Liquidity may sweep above 3950 before adjusting → need to wait for price action confirmation.
Avoid FOMO at the peak, prioritize BUY only when price adjusts to support zones.
Order volume should be slightly reduced before unexpected Fed policy announcements.
✅ Summary
Gold is in the “golden phase” of an uptrend: political instability + dovish Fed + safe haven demand = BUY is the main strategy. Plan to accumulate around 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with an extended target of 3950–3990. SELL is only a short-term strategy at the liquidity zone.
📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups with the team!
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 06th October 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25050 – 25100 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25250 – 25300 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24700 – 24650 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24500 – 24450 range.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 06th October 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 56000 – 56100 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 56500– 56600 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 55200 - 55100 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 54700 - 54600 range.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 06th October 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 26600 - 26650 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26800 - 26850 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 26250 – 26200 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 26050 – 26000 range.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 06th October 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 12875 – 12900 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 13000 – 13025 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 12675 – 12650 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12550 – 12525 range.
Gold Soars on FOMO – 1000-Pip Opportunity Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent
✳️ Hello to all traders,
Today, we are not only analysing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A bullish storm is forming, promising attractive trading opportunities.
📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Bullish Structure
From a technical standpoint, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 chart is undeniable.
🔹 Break of Structure (BoS):
Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant.
Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend.
🔹 Potential Demand Zone:
After each rally, the price often takes a “pause” to accumulate.
Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,911,169 zone, where the confluence between Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next rally.
🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Lit
If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel driving the uptrend.
🔸 US Government Shutdown:
This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets.
Gold – the number one safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve their assets.
🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates:
The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%.
This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-yielding asset.
🔸 “Thirst” for Economic Data:
The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty.
In this environment, Gold continues to hold its safe haven role.
🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan
When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced.
Strategy:
Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169.
Entry signals:
Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as:
Pin bar candles, engulfing
Or BoS on the M15 chart
Targets:
Short-term: $3950 – $3990
Long-term: Target “+1000 pips”
Risk management:
Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB to protect the account.
🧭 Conclusion
The current market sentiment is very favourable for the Buyers:
USD is under downward pressure
Defensive capital flows are strongly moving into Gold
The FOMO effect can stimulate an extended rally
The combination of a solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture.
👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity.
💼 Wishing everyone an effective and victorious trading day!
SBI Cards : Double Bottom Breakout Ignites Bullish MomentumSBI Cards and Payments has given a strong bullish breakout from a well-defined double bottom pattern on the daily chart, indicating bullish potential
The price has crossed above the neckline zone, confirming the breakout strength. The structure suggests that buyers have regained control, and momentum indicators are supporting further upside.
Currently, the stock is showing sustained strength above its short-term moving averages, and the breakout candle has closed decisively above resistance.
Based on the pattern height and measured move projection, the next potential target comes around the ₹904 price level. Any retest towards the neckline could offer a fresh buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward setup.
Key Levels:
Support: 845
Resistance: 904
Trend Bias: Bullish above 840
Conclusion:
The technical breakout from the double bottom pattern points towards renewed upward momentum in SBI Cards. A sustained move above 860–870 can accelerate the rally towards the 904 zone in the short term.
BTC "Saturday Bull Fizzle Complete (due to low volume)"On weekends (especially Saturday), Bitcoin markets typically see lower trading volume because institutional and large traders are less active. There was a bullish attempt (a move upward in price) visible near the “Saturday” area.
However, since the volume was weak, the move failed to sustain, and prices pulled back shortly after.
Term “Fizzle” means:
The bullish momentum started strong but quickly lost strength, resulting in a failed breakout or continuation.
Technical takeaway:
A rally on low volume is often a false move — without sufficient participation, it cannot push through resistance or create follow-through.
📊 Market Implication
This suggests:
The Friday bullish candle tried to extend into Saturday.
But due to thin liquidity, the move couldn’t attract further buying.
Result: short-term reversal or consolidation, confirming that weekend rallies aren’t reliable without volume confirmation.
From Euphoria to Equilibrium The Market’s True PatternHello Mates, Hope everyone’s doing great and enjoying the charts so today let’s explore one of the most important market concepts that how an All-Time High gradually evolves into a fresh Support and Resistance cycle.
Understanding the Market’s Natural Rhythm--::
Every chart tells a story a story of enthusiasm, correction, recovery, and retest.
Price action moves in cycles, and one of the most powerful yet simple cycles is when a market makes an All-Time High, corrects into a Support Zone, and then forms a New Resistance before deciding its next direction.
This NIFTY 50 weekly chart beautifully captures that structure a sequence every trader should recognize to understand market behavior with more clarity.
1️⃣ Major Swing High (The All-Time High)
At this stage, optimism dominates and new buyers rush in, assuming the trend will never end.
However, this is also where smart money begins distributing positions quietly.
You’ll often notice slowing momentum, smaller candle bodies, or divergence on oscillators.
This “All-Time High” is not just a price it’s the point where supply pressure starts building and emotional euphoria reaches its peak.
2️⃣ Primary Demand Zone (Support After the All-Time High)
As the correction begins, emotional traders exit while strong hands start building positions again.
The price eventually finds primary demand a zone that often aligns with previous breakout areas or major volume clusters.
This becomes a high-value area, where institutional accumulation quietly begins.
It represents balance after a phase of imbalance a healthy step in any structural cycle.
3️⃣ Secondary Supply Zone (Resistance After Support)
Once the support holds, the price rallies back and retests the previous breakdown region.
This forms a secondary supply zone, where earlier buyers might book profits and short-term traders look for reaction.
It’s a retest phase, where the market decides whether it wants to continue upward or stay range-bound. A breakout from here indicates renewed strength, while rejection can invite another leg of consolidation or retracement.
4️⃣ New Structural Base (Fresh Support)
Recently, we can observe a new higher base forming just below the resistance zone.
This area acts as a structural pivot — often referred to by professionals as:
Intermediate Demand Zone
Base Formation Area
Mid-Structure Support
Higher Low Support Zone
Why This Cycle Matters--::
Recognizing this evolution from All-Time High → Correction → Support → Retest → New Structural Base helps traders identify where they are in the price cycle instead of reacting emotionally and It builds a roadmap of liquidity flow and institutional intent.
No matter the timeframe or assets like stocks, forex, or crypto this structure repeats endlessly, forming the core rhythm of the market.
Key Takeaway--::
Price doesn’t move randomly. It evolves through phases of enthusiasm, fear, and reaccumulation and every level leaves footprints of intent.
Traders who learn to read these transitions stop chasing moves and start understanding the underlying structure of opportunity.
Regards- Amit Rajan
SILVER AT THE $50 "WIDOW MAKER ZONE": IS A CRASH IMMINENT?Silver has hit the wall. It's not just resistance—it's the exact price range $48.00–$50.00 that triggered the 70%+ market massacres of 1980 and 2011.
3 Reasons Why a Correction Is Locked In
The risk of a violent reversal is extreme. This zone is a perfect storm of selling pressure:
* The $50 Trap: It's a massive Technical Trap. Long-term sellers trapped from the 2011 peak are all waiting here to dump their bags and take profit.
* Psychological Trauma: Historical Precedent is terrifying. The memory of two prior crashes at this level creates panic-selling pressure that will compound any dip.
* Market Exhaustion: Retail Over-Exuberance is flashing red. Heavy positioning means the easy money is gone, and there's no fuel left to break the ceiling.
The Twist: Not a Total Bust (Yet)
While a crash is likely, a full 1980s-style wipeout is less certain. Why? Industrial Demand. Silver is fundamentally stronger now, backed by massive, non-negotiable demand from the Green Energy Transition (solar, EVs). This structural deficit offers a floor that past bubbles lacked.
The Bottom Line
The $48–$50 area is the "Widowmaker Zone." Expect carnage.
* The Line: If Silver fails to decisively close above $50.00, brace for a brutal correction—likely a fast drop back to the $35.00 range.
* Your Move: MAXIMUM CAUTION. Short-term profits must be protected. History doesn't just rhyme; at this price, it often repeats itself.
Short term trend opens up in Nifty So on Thursday we studied that NSE:NIFTY would remain sideways with a bullish tone.
And that’s exactly what happened on Friday.
Nifty traded within a range in the first half and then moved up sharply in the second half, closing +57 points higher.
Closing above the previous day’s high is definitely a good price action sign.
But ideally, buyers’ volume should have matched that momentum too.
On Friday, buyers’ volume was up — but not strong enough to suggest a sharp move ahead. In fact, on the last 15-minute candle, sellers’ volume was higher by 10 million.
However, on short-term charts, net volume has turned green, which means any dip till 24800 will likely be bought quickly.
Now, Nifty’s Pivot stands at 24848. A drop below this could lead to another range-bound session tomorrow, with support at 24800.
Resistance for the day would be 24925, and any meaningful move will only come if this level is broken and sustained for at least one hour.
Since PP is tight, if a breakout happens with strong buyers’ volume, we could see a sharp rally upward.
For FnO stocks, we’ll continue tracking NSE:BSE and NSE:BHARATFORG .
Sector-wise, #Shipbuilding, #NBFC, and #AutoParts are looking good.
That’s all for the day. Take care and have a profitable tomorrow.
---
📊 Levels at a glance:
Pivot: 24848
Support: 24800
Resistance: 24925 (sustain > 1H = breakout)
Pivot Percentile: Tight (sharp rally possible on volume breakout)
Bias: Sideways to bullish, buy dips above pivot
Sectors to watch: Shipbuilding, NBFC, Auto Parts
FnO Focus: #BSE, #BHARATFORG
Bitcoin Breaks Out of Descending Channel: Supply Zone to Support
This 4-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) highlights a breakout from a descending channel after a prolonged consolidation phase lasting over 16 days (99 bars).
🔻 A clearly defined supply zone (marked in red) acted as a major resistance area, rejecting price multiple times before the breakout. The breakout above this zone indicates a shift in market structure, with bullish momentum gaining strength.
🟡 The breakout was followed by sustained buying pressure, pushing BTC upwards toward the $118,000 region. Price has since pulled back slightly and is now hovering around $115,500 — retesting the previous resistance zone, now potentially acting as support
XAU/USD Near Record Highs: Key Data AheadGold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – October 3, 2025
1. Macro & News Context
Gold is holding near record highs, heading for its seventh consecutive weekly gain, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting rates and by concerns around the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Spot prices have recently tested the ₹3,890–3,900 region and are now consolidating around ₹3,860.
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) – Typically scheduled for 18:00 IST on the first Friday of the month, the September jobs report is likely to be delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown.
Key event to watch today:
ISM Services PMI (September) will be released at 19:30 IST. Since ISM data is privately produced, it will be published regardless of the shutdown and may serve as the main volatility catalyst in today’s U.S. session. 【ISM】
Labor market signals: Challenger job cut data showed lower layoffs in September, but planned hiring at the lowest level since 2009, reinforcing a softer employment backdrop. Combined with the Fed’s recent 25 bps rate cut (to 4.00%–4.25%), this continues to support the bullish gold narrative.
USD trend: The dollar has weakened broadly this week, aligning with market bets on further monetary easing. This backdrop provides an additional tailwind for gold.
2. Technical Landscape (H1 Chart)
The attached chart highlights key technical zones and a completed Harmonic XABCD pattern on the 1H timeframe:
Support levels:
Near-term: ₹3,844–3,841
Deeper: ₹3,827 (intraday pivot), ₹3,792 (strong low)
Strategic: ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish Order Block)
Resistance levels:
Immediate: ₹3,865
Strong supply: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish Order Block)
Extended target: ₹3,930–3,940 (Sell Scalping | Fibo zone)
Momentum: After bouncing from point D of the harmonic structure, gold has been forming higher lows (HL). Price currently sits above the longer-term moving average and is testing the shorter-term average, suggesting a constructive short-term bias as long as supports hold.
3. Trade Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy-the-dip (preferred bias)
Entry zone: ₹3,844–3,841
Stop loss: Below ₹3,827 (safer: below ₹3,792)
Targets:
₹3,865 (first take-profit)
₹3,880–3,890 (major supply)
Stretch: ₹3,930–3,940
Rationale: Higher low formation, bullish macro backdrop, aligned with strong weekly uptrend.
Scenario 2 – Countertrend short at resistance
Trigger zone: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish OB)
Confirmation: Rejection candles (H15–H1) such as wicks, engulfing, or failed breakout.
Stop loss: Above ₹3,895–3,900 (or above ₹3,945 if price spikes into the ₹3,930–3,940 fib zone).
Targets: ₹3,865 → ₹3,844 → ₹3,827
Rationale: Potential liquidity sweep ahead of ISM, with profit-taking likely near supply zones.
Scenario 3 – Breakdown through support
Trigger: 1H close below ₹3,841
Path: ₹3,827 → ₹3,792 (Strong Low) → ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish OB)
Rationale: Loss of intraday structure would flip bias short until major demand zones.
4. How to Trade Around Today’s Data
If NFP is indeed delayed, the 18:00 IST slot may bring limited volatility.
Focus instead on the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST, which could trigger sharp swings in both USD and gold.
Adjust position sizing: Expect spread widening and slippage around the release. Reduce leverage or scale into positions.
5. Risk Management
Limit risk per trade to 0.5–1% of account equity.
Avoid chasing price once levels are tested; wait for H15–H1 candle closes for confirmation.
Monitor the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Treasury yields – further dollar weakness would reinforce bullish gold setups.
🔑 Key Takeaway
Gold remains structurally bullish in the broader trend, with immediate support at ₹3,841–3,844 critical to maintain upside momentum. Watch for reactions around ₹3,880–3,890 and ₹3,930–3,940. With NFP possibly delayed, the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST will be today’s most important catalyst for directional moves.






















