USDCAD sellers need validation from 1.3430 and Canada inflationUSDCAD stays pressured at the lowest level in a month after breaking a six-week-old horizontal support. Adding strength to the downside bias is the Loonie pair’s sustained trading below the 200-SMA. However, the nearly oversold RSI (14) line and sluggish MACD signals prod the bears, which in turn highlights a two-month-old ascending support line, close to 1.3430 at the latest. It should be noted, however, that a downside break of the 1.3430 support will make the quote vulnerable to drop towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement of July-September upside, near 1.3390, and to the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of 1.3320 ahead of directing the bears toward multiple tops marked in July and August around 1.3230.
Meanwhile, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since early August, between 1.3490 and 1.3500, guards the immediate recovery of the USDCAD pair. Also acting as the nearby upside hurdles for the Loonie pair is a one-week-old descending trend line and 200-SMA, respectively near 1.3510 and 1.3530. It should be noted that the quote’s run-up beyond 1.3530 will aim for the 1.3600 and the double tops marked in late August around 1.3635-40. In a case where the bulls manage to keep the reins past 1.3640, the monthly high surrounding 1.3700 will be in the spotlight.
Overall, the USDCAD pair is likely to decline further but the downside room appears limited.
Supportandresistancezones
HDFC BANK institutional buying zone HDFC bank has been in this range since about 300 days and has always bounced back from
this institutional buying zone where big players accumulate.
It has approached this range again giving a beautiful risk to reward ratio of 1:3 and more.
As seen in the past, on the break of this minor downward trend, the market rallies to the resistance zone hence we should follow the past.
Position Sizing is recommended...
What is position sizing?
It is when you first add half your position to check If the market is saying you are right or wrong, if the market moves in your direction, you will add your second half and tighten your stop loss. This way you add two positions but one only when the market shows you that you are correct.
Example: Suppose your risk is 100 per trade, You first buy enough Qt to risk only 50 ( Typically with a larger stop) and if the market forms a green candle or another bullish sign, you add another Qt to risk 50 more ( Total risk 100) and your second stop loss becomes tighter ( most probably at the breakeven of the first position) this way you minimise your loss but ur reward is the same and even more. If your first stop gets hit, you accept your mistake and move on.
Hence, if one does go long, I personally am buying as close to the zone as possible and then will be adding more as the trendline breaks.
Volume isn't a key indicator here since it has been high in the past as the market approached this zone and still rallied upwards.
Targets marked on the chart.
Keep It Simple
EURUSD pares US inflation-induced losses ahead of ECBEURUSD braces for the first weekly gain in nine as markets await the key European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate announcement. In doing so, the Euro pair extends the previous week’s rebound from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of March-July upside, near 1.0680 by the press time. The corrective bounce also gains support from a looming bull cross on the MACD indicator, as well as the gradually rising RSI (14) line from the oversold territory. It’s worth noting, however, that the 1.0800 appears a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers as it comprises the six-month-old previous support line, the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio. Following that, a downward-sloping resistance line from late July and the 100-EMA, respectively near 1.0855 and 1.0865, will act as the final defenses of the pair sellers.
On the contrary, the EURUSD pair’s fresh downside could aim for the latest swing low of around 1.0700 before poking the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of around 1.0680. In a case where the Euro pair remains bearish past 1.0680, May’s bottom of 1.0635 may act as a buffer during the quote’s slump targeting March’s low of 1.0516. It’s worth observing that the yearly low marked in January around 1.0480 could test the pair sellers past 1.0516 before giving them control.
Overall, EURUSD builds upside momentum but the recovery moves need validation from the hawkish ECB signals, especially after the previous day’s US inflation numbers challenged the pair buyers.
Gold bears prepare for another stunt as US inflation loomsGold Price again prods the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) support, after failing to break the same during late August, within a 2.5-month-old falling wedge bullish chart formation. The sluggish MACD signals and a downward-sloping RSI (14), not oversold, also favor the XAUUSD bears in breaking the 200-EMA support of around $1,910, which in turn will allow the precious metal to test the $1,900 threshold. However, the stated wedge’s bottom line of around $1,880 could challenge the commodity sellers afterward. In a case where the quote remains bearish past $1,880, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of its February-Mary upside, close to $1,860, will act as the final defense of the buyers before directing the prices toward the early 2023 low of around $1,805.
On the contrary, the Gold Price recovery will aim for the 100-EMA hurdle of surrounding $1,930. Following that, the aforementioned bullish chart pattern’s top line, close to $1,945, and the monthly high of near $1,953 could challenge the XAUUSD buyers. In a case where the bullion remains firmer past the $1,953 hurdle, the odds of witnessing a rally towards July’s peak of $1,987 and then to the theoretical target of the wedge formation, close to $2,045, can’t be ruled out. It’s worth noting that the $2,000 psychological magnet acts as an extra filter toward the north.
Overall, the Gold Price appears to decline further but the downside room seems limited unless the US CPI offers an extremely strong figure for August month.
HDFC Life - Keep on RadarThe stock has come down to the support area as shown on the charts. May reverse from here itself or may come down to even 600 levels. Keep tracking for a comfortable entry so that your stop-loss should be humble.
We should learn to hunt like a tiger. Show extreme patience. Take time to identify the trade to make a perfect entry. So that our target may not miss.
Only for learning and sharing purposes, not a piece of trading advice in any form.
All the best for your trading journeys.
Rising wedge lures USDJPY sellers amid hawkish BoJ concernsUSDJPY begins the week on a negative note while extending a downside gap during the early hours of Monday. Adding strength to the bearish bias about the Yen pair are the concerns about the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) exit from the ultra-loose monetary policy easing and a five-week-old rising wedge bearish chart pattern. It should be noted, however, that multiple supports stand tall to test the pair sellers on their way to the theoretical target of the rising wedge confirmation, around 139.20. That said, the stated wedge’s bottom line of around 145.60 acts as an immediate challenge for the bears to retake control. Following that, the 200-SMA and an ascending trend line from mid-July, close to 144.70 and 143.40 in that order, will precede the 140.00 round figure to also check the pair’s downside momentum ahead of highlighting the 139.20 mark.
On the contrary, another rejection from the BoJ policymakers to the hawkish bias and strong US Consumer Price Index (CPI), scheduled for Wednesday, could renew the upside bias about the USDJPY pair. In that case, the tops marked since last Tuesday around 147.90 will provide headwinds to the Yen pair’s recovery. It should be noted that the stated wedge’s top line, around 148.10 by the press time, holds the key to the buyer’s entry. In that case, the north run will aim for the 150.00 psychological magnet ahead of targeting the previous yearly high surrounding 151.95, as well as the 152.00 threshold.
To sum up, USDJPY bulls appear to run out of steam but the bears need validation from 145.60, BoJ officials and the US inflation to retake control.
Nifty 50 Levels For 11th September Previous Day Market Close at Spot 19819
For tomorrow Fast #Resistant is 19850 If the Market Open Gap-up and gets support from 19850 then We Can see an upside move up to
#Level 20,000
As Per OI Data Market Has #Resistance at 19900 and big #resistance at 20000
And Downside Big Support is19700 and 19600 As per OI Data
For tomorrow If Nifty again Breaks 19800 Levels Then the Market Can Fall up to 19733
If the Market Open a Gap-up and Trade below19819 then We Find A Downside Entry.
NOTE- Only for Education Purposes.
Please Give A Like If You Like
USDCAD bulls jostle with 1.3640-50 crucial resistance on BoC DayUSDCAD bulls struggle to keep the reins at a five-month high as markets await the all-important Bank of Canada (BoC) Interest Rate Decision and the US ISM Services PMI for August. That said, the nearly overbought RSI and impending bear cross on the MACD checks buyers as they attack a convergence of an 11-month-old descending resistance line and a horizontal region comprising multiple levels marked since late April, close to 1.3640-50. As a result, the pair’s upside appears difficult and hence needs a strong boost from the BoC, as well as US data, to cross the stated hurdle, which in turn could propel prices towards the yearly high marked in March around 1.3865. Following that, the late 2022 peak of 1.3980 and the 1.4000 psychological magnet will gain the market’s attention.
Meanwhile, the USDCAD pullback may initially aim for the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of August-October 2022 upside, near 1.3500, ahead of retesting the 200-DMA support of 1.3465. In a case where the Loonie pair remains bearish past 1.3465, the early July swing high of 1.3385 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement surrounding 1.3200, also known as the Golden Fibonacci ratio, will be on the seller’s radar. Finally, the yearly low marked in July around 1.3090 acts as the last battle point for the buyers, a break of which won’t hesitate to drag the pair below the 1.3000 psychological magnet.
Overall, USDCAD remains bullish but may witness a pullback before the further upside, unless the BoC and US data offer surprises.
AUDUSD bears flex muscles on RBA DayAUDUSD bulls struggle to hold the forte after posting the first weekly gain in seven on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Decision Day. That said, the Aussie pair trades within a three-week-old bearish triangle, staying below the convergence of the 100-SMA and 50-SMA surrounding 0.6450 on the key day. It’s worth noting that the steady RSI and bearish MACD signals lure the sellers to sneak in and break the stated bearish triangle’s bottom line, close to 0.6420 at the latest. In a case where the risk-barometer pair remains weak past 0.6420, it confirms the bearish chart pattern and can well refresh the yearly low, currently the August 13 bottom of around 0.6360.
On the other hand, an upside clearance of the previously stated triangle’s top line, near 0.6530, could unleash the AUDUSD buyers. Following that, a downward-sloping resistance line from mid-July around 0.6600 will precede a five-week-old horizontal resistance zone surrounding 0.6625 to test the upside momentum. In a case where the Aussie pair buyers keep the reins, backed by the hawkish RBA actions or signals, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward July’s peak of around 0.6900 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, AUDUSD bulls run out of steam but the bears need approval from the RBA and the triangle breakdown.
HDFC BANK at Support levels. #HDFCBANK showing support level. It has returned from this point in the past.( Currently at lower level of the channel). MACD nearing Signal Line. RSI also started showing upward moment after bottoming out.
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Fundamentally , this stock has no red flags at this stage.
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Going by the analysis. HDFC Bank is a good buy at current levels.
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This is not a recommendation to buy, Only for education purpose, Use Discretion.
Bullish Kicker - Regression Channel BODaily time frame;
Regression Channel breakout Indicates Change in trend
Weekly time farmes;
Bullish Kicker candlestick signals reversal from the yellow support line, which was drawn from two prior tops (Oct'21 & Nov'22), which provided support as projected
Way forward,
1. Resistance, 19600
2. Support, 19200-19250